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Apricitas Economics
Data-driven Insights on Economics, Business, Finance, and Public Policy. Click to read Apricitas Economics, by Joseph Politano, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
- Posts
- 230 from 6 Jun 2021 to 25 Oct 2026
- Posting
- monthly (10 in the last year)
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- personal blog
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2026 9
2025 14
- America is Flying Blind on Immigration
- California Keeps Losing Tech Jobs
- The Tariff Exemption Behind the AI Boom
- How Tariffs Are Breaking US Trade
- A Detailed Look at Trump's Car Tariffs
- Trump's Retreat Still Leaves Tariffs at 90-Year Highs
- The Farce of the Deal
- Tariffs are Already Stalling the Economy
- The Clues to Trump's Future Tariffs
- Charting the Largest Tariff Hike in Modern History
- The Cost of Tariff Chaos
- Sure Friends Betrayed
- Trump's Blockade of America
- Trump's 2nd Trade War Begins
2024 19
- Low-Income Countries are Falling Behind
- Weight Loss Drugs Continue to Power Denmark's Economy
- America's Productivity Boom
- The EU Joins the EV Trade War
- The AI Investment Boom
- Universal Tariffs are Universally Bad
- The Regional Impacts of America's Investment Boom
- America & China's Chip Race
- The Death of NYC Congestion Pricing
- A Detailed Look at Biden’s New China Tariffs
- America's Manufacturing Productivity Problem
- California is Losing Tech Jobs
- The Multifamily Supply Surge—and Credit Crunch
- New Zealand's Building Boom—And What the World Must Learn From It
- Mexico's Investment Boom
- The US-China Chip War is Escalating
- US Growth Keeps Beating Expectations
- America's New Business Boom
- The New Geography of American Growth
2023 71
- The 2024 Economic Outlook: Growing Confidence
- 2023 Economic Year-in-Review
- America's Energy Export Boom
- The Economic Fallout of Student Loan Forbearance Ending
- The Most Important Inflation Indicator Shows More Cooling Ahead
- Car Markets at the End of the Chip Shortage
- The New Economic Geography of the Housing Shortage
- Are Real Wages Rising?
- America's Return to Strong Growth
- America's Record Wealth Boom
- Monetary Policy in a Surplus Economy
- The British Economy Was Stronger Than We Thought
- America's Economy Was Bigger Than We Thought
- The Green Trade Wars
- The Fed Sees a Softer, Higher Landing
- America's Missing Empty Homes
- Celebrating Apricitas' 1-Year Anniversary
- How Weight Loss Drugs Stopped a Danish Recession
- America's Weakening Labor Market
- The Economics of Global Rearmament
- Have Rising Mortgage Rates Frozen the Housing Market?
- The State of Russia's Wartime Economy
- Germany's Industrial Slowdown
- The EU's Fragile Recovery
- What was the Tech-cession?
- Sticking the Soft Landing
- How China Suddenly Became a Car Export Powerhouse
- The Economic Impact of the Student Loan Restart
- The Most Important New Disinflation Indicator
- The Semiconductor Trade War
- US Supply Chains are Recovering
- Tepid Optimism for a Soft Landing
- The Case for a Fed "Skip"
- The UK's Stagnation
- How the Banking System Changed Post-SVB
- The Housing Credit Crunch
- Americans' Excess Savings Are Mostly Spent
- A Softer Landing on a Longer Runway?
- Car Inflation is Back—Don't Panic!
- Core Inflation is (Finally) Cooling
- The Risks Still Lurking in the Banking System
- The Death of First Republic?
- America's Industrial Transition
- Did the Energy Crisis Accelerate The Energy Transition?
- The Disinflationary Process Continues
- Germany's Slowdown
- A Historic Labor Market Recovery
- What Killed Signature Bank?
- Supply, Demand, and Today's Inflation
- The Death of Credit Suisse
- The Fed's $300B Emergency Response
- The Fed's Plan to Rescue the Banking System
- The Death of Silicon Valley Bank
- ChatGPT, Please Take My Job!
- Ukraine's War Economy, 1 Year In
- Can Australia Keep the Miracle Going?
- Russia's New Friends
- Korea's Trade Troubles
- The Road to Disinflation
- Canada's Balancing Act
- Financial Conditions Are Tight, But Maybe Easing
- The US Labor Market Was Stronger Than We Thought
- America's 2022 Slowdown
- Can The Housing Market Stabilize?
- A Special Preview of Critical Upcoming US Economic Data
- A Global Perspective on the Car Shortage
- The Core Story of American Inflation
- The Eurozone's Unique Inflation Crisis
- How Europe is Decoupling From Russian Energy
- The Most Important New Inflation Indicator
- The British Inflation Crisis
2022 82
- What Does a Labor Shortage Mean?
- The Last Dove Standing
- Monetary Policy in a Shortage Economy
- Where is Russian Oil Going?
- The 2023 Macro Outlook
- Don't Call it a Pivot
- Progress in the Fight Against Inflation
- Chat With Me and Other Apricitas Readers
- The 2022 Economic Year-in-Review
- China's Imbalanced Economy
- The State of America's Labor Market
- Russia's Recession
- The New Geopolitics of American Trade
- A Holiday Dive Into Food and Goods Inflation
- The EU's Industrial Crunch
- The Tech-cession
- Banks Face a New Challenge
- The Labor Market Mystery Deepens
- Evaluating Recession Risks Amidst Inflation
- The Crypto Financial Crisis
- How High Will Interest Rates Go?
- Can a Strong Dollar Fix Inflation?
- How Rate Hikes are Affecting the Economy
- America's Energy Turning Point
- Europe's Long Winter
- Are Supply Chains Healing?
- Inflation's Hidden Cost
- America's Shrinking Pile of Savings
- The New Economic Picture
- Understanding America's Car Shortage
- Gilt Trip
- The Bearish Fed
- The $665B Wage Discrepancy
- America's Fractured Housing Market
- Good News is Bad News
- Inflation's Next Chapter
- Taking the Leap
- Understanding Inflation Expectations
- The Trillion Dollar Question
- The Inflation Reduction Act
- Labor Market Mystery Hour
- Stagflation, Again?
- Are We In a Recession?
- The Upside-Down Housing Market
- The EU's Hamiltonian Moment
- 9.1% Inflation
- Watching for a Recession
- Financial Conditions are Worsening
- The Inflation Miscalculation
- Mapping Europe's Natural Gas Crisis
- The Powell Shock
- A Global Energy Crisis is Worsening Inflation
- The EU's Different Inflation Problem
- Americans are Spending Their Excess Savings
- Financial Conditions Are Rapidly Tightening
- Is the US Economy Shrinking?
- Peak Inflation?
- We Have a Chance to End America's Great Employment Failure
- America's Homebuilding Boom (That Isn't)
- Mr. Crypto Goes to Washington
- Why Are Gas Prices So High?
- Inflation hits 8.5%, Driven by a 18% Jump in Gas Prices
- You Asked, We Answered! On Monetary Policy, Housing, and Hot Takes
- Layoffs are at Historic Lows
- Why You Should (and Shouldn't) Fear a Yield Curve Inversion
- Sanctions on Russia Won't End the Dollar's Reserve Currency Status
- Financial Conditions Are Tightening as the Fed Raises Rates
- Inflation Hits 7.9%, and Things are Likely to Get Worse Before They Get Better
- The Post-Omicron Employment Bounce
- What are Americans Buying?
- UC Berkeley and American Stagnation
- Understanding the Fed's Hawkish Pivot
- Inflation and the Supply Chain Crisis
- Omicron and the Labor Market
- What's Going on With Wages?
- The Gamification of Finance
- Argentina's Great Depression
- Understanding Americans' Excess Savings
- The Inflation Outlook
- Life After the Volcano
- To Understand This Winter's Job Market, Focus on Layoffs
- Are Rising Corporate Profit Margins Causing Inflation?
2021 35
- The Best of the Best: Who to Follow in 2022
- What's Going on With Housing Prices?
- The Borrower of Last Resort
- CPI Inflation Was 6.8% Over the Last Year. What's Driving Red Hot Inflation?
- Industrial America is Fighting Back
- The US Added 210,000 Jobs In November: Here are the Challenges Still Facing the Labor Market
- Why We Shouldn't Doom Over Labor Force Participation
- The Car Crisis
- Americans are Quitting Their Jobs: Here's Why That's a Good Thing
- CPI Inflation Was 6.2% Over the Last Year. What Does Future Inflation Have In Store?
- The Federal Reserve is Tapering Again. Did They Get it Right This Time?
- The October Employment Situation
- The Curious Case of the Missing Artists
- The Yield Curve is a Policy Choice
- The Life, Death, and Zombification of the Phillips Curve
- Rivalry, Innovation, and Speedrunning
- Capitalism and the Surplus Economy
- The Inherent Flaws in Inflation Measurements
- The Fault in R-Stars: The Problems in Policymaking Based on "Natural" Rates
- Student Loans are Bad Taxes
- Stabilizing an Unstable Coin
- Video Games, Price Architecture, and the Zero Marginal Cost Revolution
- Yes, Inflation is Transitory
- The Interpersonal Economy - Automation, Employment, and You
- The Great European Undershoot
- An International Comparison of National Debt
- A Better Measure of the National Debt
- Tight Monetary Policy, Not Loose Monetary Policy, Has Exacerbated Inequality
- Households Are Extremely Illiquid
- Keep Enhanced Unemployment - Forever
- Housing On the Margins
- Fight Inflation - With Housing
- What to Expect When You're Expecting Inflation
- Apricitas - an Econ Blog
- Economics and Policy for a Better World