The Curious Engineer

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Count Bayesie

countbayesie.com

Intuitive and fun explorations of common problems in Probability

MathAI / MLPython

’15’16’17’18’19’20’21’22’23’24’25’26
Posts
51 from 19 Feb 2015 to 2 Jul 2026
Posting
now and then (2 in the last year)
Kind
personal blog
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https://www.countbayesie.com/blog?format=rss

2026 2

  1. Making LLMs Better at Creative Writing using Entropy
  2. Building an AI Director for Continuous Video Generation

2023 2

  1. Linear Diffusion: Building a Diffusion Model from linear Components
  2. Replacing an A/B Test with GPT

2022 6

  1. Understanding Convolutions in Probability: A Mad-Science Perspective
  2. What is the Probability Elon Musk will buy Twitter? Using the Volatility Smile to Infer Market Probability Distributions
  3. Using Censored Data to Estimate a Normal Distribution
  4. Modern Portfolio Theory and Optimization with JAX
  5. How to Read the News like a Bayesian
  6. Is December getting warmer? Modeling weather data in NJ

2021 3

  1. The Logit-Normal: A ubiquitous but strange distribution!
  2. Technically Wrong: When Bayesian and Frequentist methods differ
  3. Inference and Prediction Part 2: Statistics

2020 5

  1. Inference and Prediction Part 1: Machine Learning
  2. Survivorship bias in House Hunting: A practical modeling example using JAX
  3. Learn Thompson Sampling by Building an Ad Auction!
  4. Why Bayesian Stats Needs Monte-Carlo Methods
  5. On Audre Lorde's "The Master's Tools..."

2019 4

  1. Probability and Statistics in 90 minutes
  2. Prior Probability in Logistic Regression
  3. Logistic Regression from Bayes' Theorem — Count Bayesie
  4. A Deeper look at Mean Squared Error — Count Bayesie

2017 1

  1. Kullback-Leibler Divergence Explained — Count Bayesie

2016 3

  1. A Guide to Bayesian Statistics — Count Bayesie
  2. Bayesian Reasoning in The Twilight Zone! — Count Bayesie
  3. Use Bayes' Theorem to Investigate Food Allergies — Count Bayesie

2015 25

  1. Understanding Markov Chains with the Black Friday Puzzle — Count Bayesie
  2. The Toy Collector's Puzzle — Count Bayesie
  3. The Lebesgue Integral: a Curious Tea Party (Part 2) — Count Bayesie
  4. The Lebesgue Integral: A Curious Tea Party (Part 1) — Count Bayesie
  5. Probability Spaces: An Illustrated Introduction — Count Bayesie
  6. Measure Theory for Probability: A Very Brief Introduction — Count Bayesie
  7. The Riemann Integral — Count Bayesie
  8. Programming the Fundamental Theorem of Calculus — Count Bayesie
  9. How Big is the Difference Between Being 90% and 99% Certain? — Count Bayesie
  10. Rejection Sampling and Tricky Priors — Count Bayesie
  11. Moments of a Random Variable Explained — Count Bayesie
  12. Writing Finnegans Wake with a Recurrent Neural Net — Count Bayesie
  13. Small List of Gigantic Books for Summer Reading! — Count Bayesie
  14. Bayesian A/B Testing: A Hypothesis Test that Makes Sense — Count Bayesie
  15. Using Bayes' Factor to Build a Voight-Kampff Test! — Count Bayesie
  16. Bayesian Priors for Parameter Estimation — Count Bayesie
  17. Parameter Estimation - The PDF, CDF and Quantile Function — Count Bayesie
  18. Expectation and Variance from High School to Grad School — Count Bayesie
  19. Working with Probability Distributions — Count Bayesie
  20. Monte Carlo Simulations in R — Count Bayesie
  21. Han Solo and Bayesian Priors — Count Bayesie
  22. One in a Million and e — Count Bayesie
  23. Understanding Variance, Covariance, and Correlation — Count Bayesie
  24. Random Variables and Expectation with Robots and Stuff! — Count Bayesie
  25. Bayes' Theorem with Lego — Count Bayesie