Interconnects AI
The cutting edge of AI, from inside the frontier AI labs, minus the hype. The border between high-level and technical thinking. Read by leading engineers, researchers, and investors. Click to read Interconnects AI, a Substack publication with tens of thousands of subscribers.
- Posts
- 384 from 12 Jun 2020 to 30 Oct 2026
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- weekly (74 in the last year)
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- personal blog
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2026 64
- Was I wrong about open models & cyber risks?
- Artificial Analysis v5 and the benchmarker's dilemma
- Podcast: Kimi K3.1 Pro, the new cyber reality, and Muse musings
- Latest open artifacts (#25): DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017, American-made models, and new regulatory controls in the US & China
- Meta shakes up the frontiers, open and closed
- I expect rapid progress but not towards general superintelligence
- The Cyber Risk Discourse is Broken
- Introducing Trillium Labs
- Debating RSI, the US-China Gap, and Jaggedness with JS Denain of Epoch AI
- The current balance of power in open models
- Why I still haven’t bought into true RSI
- Open-Source AI & Open Models Reading List
- One resignation turned the embers of AI fear into a wildfire
- When will average people feel AI’s impact?
- Latest open artifacts (#24): Motif-3, GLM-5.3, Hy4-preview and open model licenses
- Teaching Everyone to Fish for Tokens
- GLM-5.3: How Chinese labs keep stride with the frontier
- I wrote an AI textbook — how long until AI can do it better?
- 5 useful things you'll learn in my new post-training textbook (shipping now!)
- Lessons from the hacks
- Introducing our Artifacts Hub and Adoption Dashboard
- Latest open artifacts (#23): Laguna S2.1, Inkling, & Kimi K3 show the utility of open models on the Pareto frontier
- Open models recap: more on Kimi K3, Qwen 3.8, Xi's WAIC speech, distillation, the open-closed gap, and what's next
- Kimi K3: The open-weights escalation
- 6 months to live for open models
- Latest open artifacts (#22): Zyphra, Cohere, and Poolside are expanding the breadth of the ecosystem
- GLM-5.2 is the step change for open agents
- Banning Open Source AI Would Be A Mistake
- State of the blog, mid-2026
- Frontier post-training recipe review with Finbarr Timbers
- Welcome to the AGI era of AI governance
- Claude Fable 5 and new AI safety fables
- Farewell Ai2
- Open and closed models are on different exponentials
- Some ideas for what comes next, May 2026
- Latest open artifacts (#21): Open model bonanza! Gemma 4, DeepSeek V4, Kimi K2.6, MiMo 2.5, GLM-5.1 & others. On CAISI's V4 assessment.
- How open model ecosystems compound
- Notes from inside China's AI labs
- The distillation panic
- Reading today's open-closed performance gap
- My bets on open models, mid-2026
- What I’ve been building: ATOM Report, post-training course, finishing my book, and ongoing research
- The inevitable need for an open model consortium
- Claude Mythos and misguided open-weight fearmongering
- Gemma 4 and what makes an open model succeed
- Latest open artifacts (#20): New orgs! New types of models! With Nemotron Super, Sarvam, Cohere Transcribe, & others
- Lossy self-improvement
- GPT 5.4 is a big step for Codex
- What comes next with open models
- Dean Ball on open models and government control
- Olmo Hybrid and future LLM architectures
- Latest open artifacts (#19): Qwen 3.5, GLM 5, MiniMax 2.5 — Chinese labs' latest push of the frontier
- How much does distillation really matter for Chinese LLMs?
- Open models in perpetual catch-up
- Opus 4.6, Codex 5.3, and the post-benchmark era
- Why Nvidia builds open models with Bryan Catanzaro
- Latest open artifacts (#18): Arcee's 400B MoE, LiquidAI's underrated 1B model, new Kimi, and anticipation of a busy month
- Thoughts on the job market in the age of LLMs
- Arcee AI goes all-in on open models built in the U.S.
- Get Good at Agents
- Use multiple models
- Claude Code Hits Different
- 8 plots that explain the state of open models
- Latest open artifacts (#17): NVIDIA, Arcee, Minimax, DeepSeek, Z.ai and others close an eventful year on a high note
2025 83
- Open models: Hot or Not with Nathan Lambert & Florian Brand
- 2025 Interconnects year in review
- 2025 Open Models Year in Review
- New Talk: Building Olmo 3 Think
- Latest open artifacts (#16): Who's building models in the U.S., China's model release playbook, and a resurgence of truly open models
- Olmo 3: America’s truly open reasoning models
- Why AI writing is mid
- Interview: Ant Group's open model ambitions
- Opening the black box of character training
- 5 Thoughts on Kimi K2 Thinking
- Burning out
- How to scale RL
- Latest open artifacts (#15): It’s Qwen's world and we get to live in it, on CAISI's report, & GPT-OSS update
- The State of Open Models
- Thoughts on The Curve
- ChatGPT: The Agentic App
- Thinking, Searching, and Acting
- Coding as the epicenter of AI progress and the path to general agents
- Latest open artifacts (#14): NVIDIA's rise, "Swiss & UAE DeepSeek," and a resurgence of open data
- On China's open source AI trajectory
- Ranking the Chinese Open Model Builders
- Contra Dwarkesh on Continual Learning
- Latest open artifacts (#13): The abundance era of open models
- What I've been reading (#2): More on Kimi K2, how to build a bad research center, Pretraining with RL, and sporks of AGI
- GPT-5 and the arc of progress
- gpt-oss: OpenAI validates the open ecosystem (finally)
- Towards American Truly Open Models: The ATOM Project
- Interviewing Ross Taylor on the state of AI: Chinese open models, scaling reasoning, useful tools, and what comes next
- The White House's plan for open models & AI research in the U.S.
- Latest open artifacts (#12): Chinese models continue to dominate throughout the summer 🦦
- Kimi K2 and when "DeepSeek Moments" become normal
- xAI's Grok 4: The tension of frontier performance with a side of Elon favoritism
- The American DeepSeek Project
- Ilya on deep learning in 2015
- Latest open artifacts (#11): Visualizing China's open models market share, Arcee's models, and VLAs for robotics
- Some ideas for what comes next (Jun. 2025)
- What I've been reading (#1)
- Crafting a good (reasoning) model
- The rise of reasoning machines
- What comes next with reinforcement learning
- How I Write
- A taxonomy for next-generation reasoning models
- Latest open artifacts (#10): New DeepSeek R1 0528!, more permissive licenses, everything as a reasoner, and from artifacts to agents
- Reinforcement learning with random rewards actually works with Qwen 2.5
- Claude 4 and Anthropic's bet on code
- People use AI more than you think
- My path into AI
- What people get wrong about the leading Chinese open models: Adoption and censorship
- Sycophancy and the art of the model
- State of play of AI progress (and related brakes on an intelligence explosion)
- Qwen 3: The new open standard
- Transparency and (shifting) priority stacks
- The latest open artifacts (#9): RLHF book draft, where the open reasoning race is going, and unsung heroes of open LM work
- OpenAI's o3: Over-optimization is back and weirder than ever
- OpenAI's GPT-4.1 and separating the API from ChatGPT
- Llama 4: Did Meta just push the panic button?
- RL backlog: OpenAI's many RLs, clarifying distillation, and latent reasoning
- Recent reasoning research: GRPO tweaks, base model RL, and data curation
- GPT-4o's images and lessons from native input-output multimodality
- Gemini 2.5 Pro and Google's second chance with AI
- The latest open artifacts (#8): The return of ~30B models, side effects of OpenAI's proposed DeepSeek ban, and yet another reasoning roundup
- Managing frontier model training organizations (or teams)
- Gemma 3, OLMo 2 32B, and the growing potential of open-source AI
- Interviewing Eugene Vinitsky on self-play for self-driving and what else people do with RL
- Elicitation, the simplest way to understand post-training
- Where inference-time scaling pushes the market for AI companies
- GPT-4.5: "Not a frontier model"?
- Character training: Understanding and crafting a language model's personality
- Claude 3.7 thonks and what's next for inference-time scaling
- The latest open artifacts (#7): Alpaca era of reasoning models, China's continued dominance, and tons of multimodal advancements
- Grok 3 and an accelerating AI roadmap
- An unexpected RL Renaissance
- Deep Research, information vs. insight, and the nature of science
- Making the U.S. the home for open-source AI
- Why reasoning models will generalize
- The latest open artifacts (#6): Reasoning models, China's lead in open-source, and a growing multimodal space
- Interviewing OLMo 2 leads: Open secrets of training language models
- DeepSeek R1's recipe to replicate o1 and the future of reasoning LMs
- Let me use my local LMs on Meta Ray-Bans
- DeepSeek V3 and the actual cost of training frontier AI models
- (Voiceover) DeepSeek V3 and the actual cost of training frontier AI models
- The state of post-training in 2025
- Quick recap on the state of reasoning
2024 137
- 2024 Interconnects year in review
- (Voiceover) 2024 Interconnects year in review
- OpenAI's o3: The grand finale of AI in 2024
- (Voiceover) OpenAI's o3: The grand finale of AI in 2024
- The AI agent spectrum
- (Voiceover) The AI agent spectrum
- OpenAI's Reinforcement Finetuning and RL for the masses
- (Voiceover) OpenAI's Reinforcement Finetuning and RL for the masses
- Interviewing Finbarr Timbers on the "We are So Back" Era of Reinforcement Learning
- OpenAI's o1 using "search" was a PSYOP
- (Voiceover) OpenAI's o1 using "search" was a PSYOP
- OLMo 2 and building effective teams for training language models
- (Voiceover) OLMo 2 and building effective teams for training language models
- Tülu 3: The next era in open post-training
- (Voiceover) Tülu 3: The next era in open post-training
- Scaling realities
- (Voiceover) Scaling realities
- Saving the National AI Research Resource & my AI policy outlook
- (Voiceover) Saving the National AI Research Resource & my AI policy outlook
- Interviewing Tim Dettmers on open-source AI: Agents, scaling, quantization and what's next
- Interviewing Andrew Carr of Cartwheel on the State of Generative AI
- Why I build open language models
- (Voiceover) Why I build open language models
- Artifacts 5: Deepseek's Janus, I'm writing a Mini RLHF book, Qwen 2.5, video datasets, audio models, and more
- Claude's agentic future and the current state of the frontier models
- (Voiceover) Claude's agentic future and the current state of the frontier models
- Interviewing Arvind Narayanan on making sense of AI hype
- Building on evaluation quicksand
- (Voiceover) Building on evaluation quicksand
- Interviewing Andrew Trask on how language models should store (and access) information
- How scaling changes model behavior
- AI Safety Culture Confronts Capitalism
- [Article Voiceover] AI Safety's Crux: Culture vs. Capitalism
- Interviewing Riley Goodside on the science of prompting
- [Article Voiceover] Llama 3.2 Vision and Molmo: Foundations for the multimodal open-source ecosystem
- Llama 3.2 Vision and Molmo: Foundations for the multimodal open-source ecosystem
- Artifacts Log 4: Reflection 70B, o1 on LMSYS, fine-tuning fine-tunes, and speech models
- [Article Voiceover] Reverse engineering OpenAI's o1
- Reverse engineering OpenAI’s o1
- Futures of the data foundry business model
- Futures of the data foundry business model
- A post-training approach to AI regulation with Model Specs
- A post-training approach to AI regulation with Model Specs
- OpenAI’s Strawberry, LM self-talk, inference scaling laws, and spending more on inference
- OpenAI's Strawberry, LM self-talk, inference scaling laws, and spending more on inference
- OLMoE and the hidden simplicity in training better foundation models
- OLMoE and the hidden simplicity in training better foundation models
- On the current definitions of open-source AI and the state of the data commons
- On the current definition of open-source AI and the state of the data commons
- On Nous Hermes 3 and classifying a "frontier model"
- Nous Hermes 3 and exploiting underspecified evaluations
- Artifacts Log 3: Synthetic math and Magpie datasets, another 1T param model, and many Mistral models
- Interviewing Ross Taylor on LLM reasoning, Llama fine-tuning, Galactica, agents
- A recipe for frontier model post-training
- A recipe for frontier model post-training
- Interviewing Sebastian Raschka on the state of open LLMs, Llama 3.1, and AI education
- GPT-4o-mini changed ChatBotArena
- GPT-4o-mini changed ChatBotArena
- Llama 3.1 405b, Meta's AI strategy, and the new open frontier model ecosystem
- Llama 3.1 405B, Meta’s AI strategy, and the new, open frontier model ecosystem
- SB 1047, AI regulation, and unlikely allies for open models
- SB 1047, AI regulation, and unlikely allies for open models
- Artifacts Log 2: Gemma 2, more Chinese LLMs, high quality datasets, and domain-specific training
- Switched to Claude 3.5
- Switched to Claude 3.5
- Interviewing Dean Ball on AI policy: CA SB 1047, upcoming AI disaster response, Llama 3 405B, Chinese open-source AI, and scaling laws
- RLHF roundup: Getting good at PPO, sketching RLHF’s impact, RewardBench retrospective, and a reward model competition
- RLHF Roundup: Trying to get good at PPO, charting RLHF's impact, RewardBench retrospective, and a reward model competition
- Frontiers in synthetic data
- Frontiers in synthetic data
- Text-to-video AI models are already abundant, but the products?
- Text-to-video AI is already abundant
- AI for the rest of us
- AI for the rest of us
- A case study in reproducibility of evaluation with RewardBench
- A realistic path to robotic foundation models
- A realistic path to robotic foundation models
- We aren't running out of training data, we are running out of open training data
- We aren’t running out of training data, we are running out of open training data
- Name, image, and AI's likeness
- Name, image, and AI’s likeness
- Artifacts Log 1: Announcement, Llama 3 fine-tunes, SOTA reward model, human prompt datasets...
- OpenAI chases Her
- OpenAI chases Her
- OpenAI's Model (behavior) Spec, RLHF transparency, and personalization questions
- OpenAI’s Model (behavior) Spec, RLHF transparency, personalization questions
- ChatBotArena: The peoples’ LLM evaluation, the future of evaluation, the incentives of evaluation, and gpt2chatbot
- RLHF: A thin line between useful and lobotomized
- How RLHF works, part 2: A thin line between useful and lobotomized
- Phi 3 and Arctic: Outlier LMs are hints
- Phi 3 and Arctic: Outlier LMs are hints
- AGI is what you want it to be
- AGI is what you want it to be
- Llama 3: Scaling open LLMs to AGI
- Llama 3: Scaling open LLMs to AGI
- Stop "reinventing" everything to "solve" alignment
- Stop "reinventing" everything to solve alignment
- The end of the "best open LLM"
- The end of the “best open LLM”
- We disagree on what open-source AI should mean
- Why we disagree on what open-source AI should be
- DBRX: The new best open LLM and Databricks' ML strategy
- DBRX: The new best open model and Databricks’ ML strategy
- Evaluations: Trust, performance, and price (bonus, announcing RewardBench)
- Evaluations: Trust, performance, and price (bonus, announcing RewardBench)
- Model commoditization and product moats
- Model commoditization and product moats
- The koan of an open-source LLM
- The koan of an open-source LLM
- Interviewing Louis Castricato of Synth Labs and Eleuther AI on RLHF, Gemini Drama, DPO, founding Carper AI, preference data, reward models, and everything in between
- How to cultivate a high-signal AI feed
- How to cultivate a high-signal AI feed
- Google ships it: Gemma open LLMs and Gemini backlash
- Google ships it: Gemma open LLMs and Gemini backlash
- 10 Sora and Gemini 1.5 follow-ups: code-base in context, deepfakes, pixel-peeping, inference costs, and more
- 10 Sora and Gemini 1.5 follow-ups: code-base in context, deepfakes, pixel-peeping, inference costs, and more
- Releases! OpenAI’s Sora for video, Gemini 1.5's infinite context, and a secret Mistral model
- OpenAI’s Sora for video, Gemini 1.5's infinite context, and a secret Mistral model
- ($ Paid Perks) Discord Access & Book Discount
- Why reward models are key for alignment
- Why reward models are still key to understanding alignment
- Alignment-as-a-service: Scale AI vs. the new guys
- Alignment-as-a-Service: Scale AI vs. the new guys
- Open Language Models (OLMos) and the LLM landscape
- Open Language Models (OLMos) and the LLM landscape
- Model merging lessons in The Waifu Research Department
- Model merging lessons in The Waifu Research Department
- Local LLMs, some facts some fiction
- Local LLMs, some facts some fiction
- Multimodal blogging: My AI tools to expand your audience
- Multimodal blogging: My AI tools to expand your audience
- RLHF learning resources in 2024
- Multimodal LM roundup: Unified IO 2, inputs and outputs, Gemini, LLaVA-RLHF, and RLHF questions
- Multimodal LM roundup: Unified IO 2, inputs and outputs, Gemini, LLaVA-RLHF, and RLHF questions
- Where 2024’s “open GPT4” can’t match OpenAI’s
- Where 2024’s “open GPT4” can’t match OpenAI’s
- It's 2024 and they just want to learn
2023 56
- Interconnects year in review: 2023
- Interviewing Tri Dao and Michael Poli of Together AI on the future of LLM architectures
- State-space LLMs: Do we need Attention?
- Big Tech's LLM evals are just marketing
- Mixtral: The best open model, MoE trade-offs, release lessons, Mistral raises $400mil, Google's loss, vibes vs marketing
- Do we need RL for RLHF?
- Synthetic data: Anthropic’s CAI, from fine-tuning to pretraining, OpenAI’s Superalignment, tips, types, and open examples
- The Q* hypothesis: Tree-of-thoughts reasoning, process reward models, and supercharging synthetic data
- RLHF progress: Scaling DPO to 70B, DPO vs PPO update, Tülu 2, Zephyr-β, meaningful evaluation, data contamination
- OpenAI’s shakeup and opportunity for the rest of us: openness, brain drain, and new realities
- The interface era of AI
- Reckoning with the Shoggoth of AI
- Open LLM company playbook
- How the Foundation Model Transparency Index Distorts Transparency
- RLHF lit. review #1 and missing pieces in RLHF
- Undoing RLHF and the brittleness of safe LLMs
- The AI research job market shit show (and my experience)
- LLMs are computing platforms
- Open, general-purpose LLM companies might not be viable
- Can robotics take off like GenAI? Moravec's paradox vs. scaling laws
- DALL·E 3 and multimodality as moats, correcting bad moat takes
- Challenges operationalizing responsible AI in open RLHF research
- Midjourney vs. Ideogram, ML product companies, preventing AI winter, DALL·E 3 tease
- In defense of the open LLM leaderboard
- Announcing The Retort Podcast
- AI researchers' challenges: atomic analogies and strained institutions
- Cruise's collisions and adapting to AI
- LLM products: measurement and manipulation
- Specifying objectives in RLHF
- "If it's not fully closed ML, it's open" - is it?
- Llama 2 follow-up: too much RLHF, GPU sizing, technical details
- Llama 2: an incredible open LLM
- LLM agents follow-up: exploration, RLHF, and more
- LLM agents and integration dead-ends
- Disinformation with LLMs: the distribution risk
- Tesla Autopilot's negligence and regulation
- How RLHF actually works
- Different development paths of LLMs
- Open-source LLMs' harmlessness gap
- Evaluating and uncovering open LLMs
- Code: green pastures for LLMs
- Unfortunately, OpenAI and Google have moats
- Specifying hallucinations
- Beyond human data: RLAIF needs a rebrand
- The next chapter: Interconnects
- Growing needs for accessing state-of-the-art reward models
- Behind the curtain: what it feels like to work in AI right now (April 2023)
- The implicit dynamics of optimizing costs vs. rewards vs. preferences
- GPT4: The quiet parts and the state of ML
- AGI Roundup: Re-visiting Go; transitioning from narrow to general; multimodality & GPT4
- The RLHF battle lines are drawn
- "AI alignment" and uncalibrated discourse on AI
- Three seasons of RL: Metaphor, tool, and framework
- Scaling laws for robotics & RL: Not quite yet
- Pretraining quadrupeds: a case study in RL as an engineering tool
- Looking into 2023
2022 8
- Predicting machine learning moats
- Closed-API vs Open-source continues: RLHF, ChatGPT, data moats
- RLHF, 'online' ML systems, and RL going mainstream
- Join my new subscriber chat
- Using RL's exploitation to debug
- Back in the game
- Designing Societally Beneficial Reinforcement Learning Systems
- Flexible Centralization in Multi-agent Learning & Control
2021 14
- Remote robotic-data farms
- on the Horizon of applied RL
- Reward is not enough
- How all machine learning becomes reinforcement learning
- Setting ourselves up for exploitation: RL in the wild
- Counting down until consumer drones are banned in cities
- Clarifying RL: Obscure problem formulations and structure tradeoffs
- Decoupling AI from the latent variable of spoken languages
- 100th anniversary of the word robot: COVID didn’t give us personal robots, it gave us Woebot
- Boston Dynamics 🤖🐈: Studying Athletic Intelligence
- Robotic Companies 2.0: Horizontal Modularity
- Reflections on digital technology from a capitol siege
- Considering AIs through our own mind’s reflection
- The stakeholders start to learn the stakes: predictions for machine learning and automation in 2021
2020 22
- 2020: (half) year in review - Democratizing Automation
- The Ubiquity and Future of Model-based Reinforcement Learning
- Facebook Case Study 🌏🔬: Using AI to Regulate the Digital Ecosystem
- The Collingridge Dilemma and Current Policy on Robots
- Constructing Axes for Reinforcement Learning Policy
- Towards an Ethics for Roboticists
- What is ML for Climate Change?
- Why PhD Students are Lonelier than Retirees
- Models, Systems, Code; and Robots
- Some thoughts on teaching & learning
- Autonomy startups are such a mess
- AI & Arbitration of Truth
- Can robots be autonomous and unintelligent?
- The uncanny world of robots at home
- Digital companies and the goal of at-home embodied AI
- Automated: how algorithms shape a day in the life and our future
- Recommendations are a game - a dangerous game (for us).
- Automating code, Twitter's hack(s), a robot named Stretch
- Online courses, automating education, and digitalizing degrees
- Democratizing Automation
- Drones, Swarms, and Storms of Drones
- "10 years of automation in 1 year"