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Chipstrat
Independent research on semiconductors, AI infrastructure and business strategy by Austin Lyons.
- Posts
- 168 from 20 Dec 2023 to 27 Oct 2026
- Posting
- weekly (72 in the last year)
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- personal blog
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2026 62
- Right-Sizing Memory
- My Conversation with Dylan Patel and Stacy Rasgon
- Optics Primer, Part 4: Coherent Optics
- Dell's Tailwinds
- 🎙️ The Compute 100: Startups vs. Incumbents in Semis, Intel Foundry, Physical AI, and more
- Is EDA Dead?
- AI With No Decode (Jev), and What It Means for AI Infrastructure
- 🎙️The Race to Build the Next Trillion-Dollar AI Chip Company
- A Billion Agents Need Somewhere to Run
- Oligopoly Equilibrium
- Open Models & American Diffusion; Nvidia & Poolside
- NPO State of the Union
- Build Your Own DRAM Supply Model
- AMD on Agentic CPUs, and Why There's No One Size Fits All
- The Hardest Computing Problem Ever, According to Arm's Physical AI Chief
- Why Did AMD Buy Taalas?
- Will ASML Finally Charge for Its Value?
- TSMC could spend $10B more on N2 capacity. Why won’t they?
- 🎙️ PicoJool’s Al Yuen: The Case for GaAs VCSELs in Scale-Up Interconnects
- The Next Trillion-Dollar Chip Company
- High Bandwidth Flash: The Full Report
- Micron's Blowout and the Case for a Memory Supercycle
- The ISA Doesn't Matter Where It Counts
- Are Agentic CPUs a Commodity? It’s Complicated.
- Power Moves Into the Package. Empower, PowerLattice, and the IVR Socket
- An Interview with Nvidia's Deepu Talla About Physical AI and Robotics
- Inside the 800G → 1.6T → 3.2T Race
- An Interview with the Gimlet Labs Team About Heterogeneous Inference for AI Agents
- Advanced Packaging: Intel's EMIB vs TSMC's CoWoS
- VCSELs + 200G Wall In AI Datacenters?
- Rethinking Amazon + Not All SaaS Is Dead
- TSMC's Margins in Uncharted Territory
- An Interview with Meta VP Matt Steiner About Ads Infrastructure
- Substrate
- An Interview with MatX CEO Reiner Pope About LLM Chips
- The Agentic Computer: New S-Curve or Another iPad?
- Coherent's Vertical Integration Strategy
- Agentic AI Needs CPUs. Whose CPUs?
- The Multi-Silicon Era Is Here
- GTC 2026 Keynote Debrief
- Meta's MTIA Roadmap
- Optics Primer, Part 3: Co-Packaged Optics (CPO)
- An Interview with Rivian’s Mukund Chavan About RAP1
- Broadcom Makes Lasers?
- Lumentum and the Laser Bottleneck
- xLight. Photons as a Service.
- Arista's Ethernet Bet
- The Nvidia Business Hiding in Plain Sight
- The $200 Billion Bet
- Meta’s ROIC Strategy: GEM Now, LLMs Later
- The MI450 Waiting Game
- This Month in Review (Jan '26)
- Intel Q425: Back to Reality
- An Interview with Microsoft's Saurabh Dighe About Maia 200
- Optics Primer, Part 2: LRO & LPO
- Why LIDAR Is Consolidating Now
- Right Systems for Agentic Workloads
- LiDAR, Explained: How It Works and Why It Matters
- Credo’s Reliability Thesis
- Intel's Product Marketing at CES: B-
- When Frontier AI Goes From Cloud to Desk in Five Years
- Lithography Economics
2025 51
- Right Tool for the Job
- Optics Primer, Part 1: Traditional Pluggable Optics
- GPU Networking, Part 4: Year End Wrap
- Nvidia, AMD, Amkor, Arista @ UBS Tech Conference
- Rivian's Silicon & Physical AI
- Nvidia Q3 Earnings
- Intel is "All In On 14A"
- Understanding SkyWater
- AMD & Apple Earnings
- The Four Horsemen: Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta Earnings
- When Broadcom’s Customers Start Buying Chip Startups
- Intel Q3 2025 Earnings: Doing Fine
- SerDes Matters!
- TSMC Earnings and Intel Foundry
- An Interview With Mohamed Awad About Chiplets
- Right-Sized AI Infrastructure. Marvell XPUs
- Credo AECs
- GPU Networking Basics Part 3: Scale-Out
- Building the Chiplet Ecosystem
- Eliyan: The Ultimate Chiplet Interconnect
- AWS Is Missing the AI Infra Moment
- Why GenAI is Good for Google
- Nvidia's Climb to $4T and the Peaks Ahead
- Intel’s 18A: Misstep or First Step?
- Thinking Bots + Nvidia’s Robotics Play
- AMD's Strategic Bets
- WWDC25: Apple’s Playing a Different Game
- Enterprise AI: Nvidia, Dell, and Implications for AMD
- Chiplets and the Future of System Design
- Anticipatory Intelligence and the Return of Windows
- Qualcomm Automotive Primer
- The Long Arc of Semiconductor Scaling
- Intel Foundry’s Cultural Reboot
- Robots That See, Part 2: Vision Transformers
- Robots That See, Part 1: The Evolution of Computer Vision
- GPU Networking Basics, Part 2
- Jensen, We’re With You. But We’re Not There Yet.
- GPU Networking Basics, Part 1
- Dispelling DeepSeek Myths, Studying V3
- Nvidia 4Q25 Earnings
- DeepSeek Mixture of Experts & V2
- AMD's AI Accelerator Business: Puts and Takes
- Reasoning Models and DeepSeek, Semis Implications
- DeepSeek Pulls Forward Copilot+ PC adoption
- Personal Update
- Apple's AI Strategy
- CPU Server Growth, Enterprise AI Agent Adoption Challenges
- Chipstrat Chat with Jared O’Leary, CEO of SirenOpt
- Edge AI at CES 2025
- What Happens If TSMC Controls It All?
- The Power of Nvidia's Systems Thinking Approach
2024 53
- AMD's AI Woes & Trust Crisis
- Jensen The Great and His 50% Edge AI Price Cut
- Semiconductor Metrology
- Arm's Edge AI Strategy: Is It Enough?
- Meta & Contextual AI at the Edge
- Gelsinger Retires; Intel's Future
- Why America Must Invest in Intel Foundry
- MatX Prediction
- Tokens Per Second Per Watt: A Useful Metric for Edge AI
- High-Bandwidth Memory
- GenAI for Gaming, Netflix, CapEx
- X86 Commoditization and Competition
- Etched's Oasis: Creating a Market For Sohu
- Android, AI, and Qualcomm Phones
- AI Phones: Qualcomm Gets It
- Monopsony and TSMC
- Groq's Business Model, Part 3: Competing with Google, AWS, Microsoft
- Groq's Business Model Part 2
- Groq’s Business Model, Part 1: Inference API
- Follow Ups: Intel AI PC, Qualcomm, Apple Intelligence, Microsoft Recall, Nuclear Power
- Chipstrat Chat with Groq's Mark Heaps
- Data Center Energy, National Security, Nuclear Power
- Qualcomm + Intel
- Intel's AI PC Mirage
- IDM Death Spiral
- Intel Skips 20A
- ZML's Hardware-Agnostic Distributed Inference
- Understanding Intel, Part 2
- Understanding Intel
- Semis Funding Heats Up, Groq, Block and China
- AMD's Earnings: Playbook Strength and New Strategic Update
- Jack Dorsey's Bitcoin Push: A Noble Effort, But Will It Matter?
- Hardware as a Differentiator: Block's Unique Approach to Financial Services
- Memory: From Caches to Commodity Cycles
- Arm's Journey to Value-Based Pricing
- Etched: Silicon Valley's Speedrun
- Intel CPU follow-up, Nvidia Superchips, AMD MI300A
- Is Intel's CPU Role Diminishing In The Age of AI?
- Lisa Su - Steady As She Goes
- The Rise of Groq: Slow, then Fast
- 🎧 Chipstrat + The Circuit - Episode 70 - NPUs
- Qualcomm’s Opportunity
- Rethinking AMD
- The Future of Edge Inference Hardware
- FPGAs - Speed of Hardware, Flexibility of Software
- Can AMD Bridge Nvidia’s Software Moat?
- 🎧 Chipstrat + The Circuit Podcast
- Nvidia and Microsoft - The Impact of LLM-Powered Copilots on Microsoft's Hardware Strategy
- Amazon's Nvidia Entanglement
- Nvidia’s Risk
- GPU Bloat Stifles AI
- ASICs: Custom Chips to Improve Performance
- GPUs: General-Purpose Parallel Computing