The Curious Engineer

All blogs / Society / politics / economy

Noahpinion

noahpinion.blog

Economics and other interesting stuff. Click to read Noahpinion, by Noah Smith, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.

Society / politics / economyAI / ML

’20’21’22’23’24’25’26
Posts
1,375 from 24 Nov 2020 to 31 Oct 2026
Posting
about daily (196 in the last year)
Kind
personal blog
Feed
https://www.noahpinion.blog/feed

2026 160

  1. Farewell, my Captain
  2. A golden age of science is coming
  3. Roundup #90: In which Noah joins a Japanese VC firm
  4. The internet breaks
  5. France and the limits of liberalism
  6. “You Can See Everything” and the nature of liars
  7. Can a Million AI Agents Create Superintelligence?
  8. Why are we ruled by barbarians?
  9. AI vs. the railroads
  10. A Nobel for New Keynesian macro, at last!
  11. Why Donald Trump won in 2024
  12. Maybe the Rapture is already here
  13. There is no “Indian Question”
  14. What the AI boom is doing for Americans
  15. The second Trump presidency is a world-historic failure
  16. Roundup #89: It isn’t X, it’s Y
  17. Stop spending money on smaller classes
  18. Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?
  19. Four eras of San Francisco tech culture
  20. No, you are not on Indigenous land
  21. The problem(s) with utilitarianism
  22. How we can beat China
  23. Roundup #88: Is it time to panic yet?
  24. The anti-American Right
  25. Two missing pieces in the AI safety discussion
  26. Get the Middle East out of my politics!
  27. Liberalism needs a new philosophy of immigration
  28. AI keeps stubbornly refusing to take our jobs
  29. America is still beating China in the AI race
  30. Why you won’t get a flying car
  31. Roundup #87: Technology BAD!!
  32. In defense of Asian American art
  33. Here’s how we’re all going to die
  34. The death of Market Street
  35. What if our biggest problems aren’t economic?
  36. Are we watching the U.S. go bankrupt?
  37. Economists should be worried about birth rates
  38. Where to eat in San Francisco
  39. The end of an era for China's economy
  40. 23 low-regret recommendations for AI policy
  41. Roundup #86: Unintended consequences
  42. The poverty of anti-tech thought
  43. Should we "pace" AI self-improvement?
  44. Banning data centers would blow up the U.S. economy
  45. Are the Democrats going to save us this time?
  46. The end of the age of heroes
  47. Slopulism is taking over America
  48. Why did South Korean stocks just crash?
  49. Roundup #85: Most policy is also industrial policy
  50. What will more intelligence actually do for us?
  51. We asked too much of the American university
  52. Who was the worst monster of the 20th century?
  53. The UK is a cautionary tale for the U.S.
  54. America's political economy is pretty bleak right now
  55. Book Review: "Power and Progress"
  56. Why I didn't sign the "We Must Act Now" statement (yet)
  57. The American suburbs are better than you think
  58. I have never been working class
  59. MAGA's attack on science is even worse than it looks
  60. JD Vance's crusade against GDP is wrong and bad
  61. No, China did not manage to avoid a crash
  62. The American age was the human age
  63. Stop screeching about immigration, and get smart about it
  64. Roundup #84: Bears on bikes
  65. Will AI make companies outsource more, or less?
  66. Europe's resistance to AC is driving it insane
  67. The Democrats have their own MAGA now
  68. China is winning the other tech race
  69. Pizza wheels are bad, Japanese toilets are great
  70. What defines Japan's national identity?
  71. Does anything I write matter anymore?
  72. Iran is Trump's Katrina
  73. Will China, Inc. be zombified?
  74. Degrowth would make Europeans into "Europoors"
  75. Are you finally ready to admit it's the phones?
  76. Insurers aren't the main villain of the U.S. health care system
  77. Roundup #83: I told you so!
  78. Why Europe should put up trade barriers against Chinese goods
  79. I'm kind of over the whole "Anti-monopoly" movement
  80. How much more software do we really need?
  81. The way we treat pigs is a sin
  82. America needs liberal nationalism back
  83. Your future job will be to keep AI on task
  84. Are you tired of the Trump era yet?
  85. America is heading for a debtpocalypse
  86. Roundup #82: Staring in wonder at the world
  87. All non-drone militaries are obsolete
  88. Dating advice for men
  89. Yes, Europeans are poorer than Americans
  90. Trump actually started to decouple America from China
  91. Tyrants are losing wars
  92. Do billionaires earn their money?
  93. Barack Obama was a successful President
  94. Could development economics be more useful?
  95. AI's big messaging pivot
  96. California's "billionaire tax" is the wrong approach
  97. Roundup #81: Back to our regular programming
  98. Scoring the Jensen-Dwarkesh debate
  99. The moderately easy problem of consciousness
  100. Why shoplifting is bad
  101. Is China's soft power really rising, or is America's just crumbling?
  102. No, America is not in a "stealth manufacturing boom"
  103. Updated thoughts on industrial policy
  104. Hasan Piker is bad for the Democrats
  105. You are what you consume
  106. What if a few AI companies end up with all the money and power?
  107. Will Americans want more housing if it looks prettier?
  108. Yes, assimilation is good
  109. I told you this would end badly
  110. Roundup #80: All AI, all the time
  111. Salarymen, specialists, and small businesses
  112. How Japan has changed in the last 20 years
  113. Maybe you should have bought an electric car
  114. Plentiful, high-paying jobs in the age of AI
  115. AI has the worst sales pitch I've ever seen
  116. The economic consequences of the Iran war
  117. There isn't always a "long arc" of morality
  118. A conversation with Claude
  119. China is quietly looking weaker
  120. Save us, Digital Cronkite!
  121. Roundup #79: The revenge of macroeconomics
  122. The future isn't what it used to be
  123. San Francisco's urban revival is in danger
  124. Are we in the foothills of World War 3?
  125. Something feels weird about this economy
  126. If AI is a weapon, why don't we regulate it like one?
  127. Japan can be America's arsenal
  128. Superintelligence is already here, today
  129. The shape of the multipolar world is a little clearer
  130. Roundup #78: Roboliberalism
  131. Why does America feel worse than other countries? Crime.
  132. The Citrini post is just a scary bedtime story
  133. Does anyone know why we're still doing tariffs?
  134. Democratic economic policy in the age of AI
  135. China is killing the fish
  136. Updated thoughts on AI risk
  137. How technology has already changed the world in my lifetime
  138. You are no longer the smartest type of thing on Earth
  139. Roundup #77: The Fix-Everything Button
  140. The Takaichi Era begins for real
  141. Why America's extremes will both fail
  142. The Fall of the Nerds
  143. What a liberal immigration enforcement policy might look like
  144. International financial anarchy
  145. What if AI succeeds but OpenAI fails?
  146. No, China doesn't plan 1000 years ahead
  147. Let the Chinese cars in
  148. Roundup #76: Great Powers acting stupid
  149. What happens if the world pulls its money out of America?
  150. Let's save the human species!
  151. Resistance is necessary, but it's not enough
  152. Zero-sum economics keeps failing
  153. Trapped in the hell of social comparison
  154. Roundup #75: Checking in on the Bad Guys
  155. Gangster affordability
  156. Why are federal agents gunning down Americans in the streets?
  157. America must embrace the Electric Age, or fall behind
  158. Welcome to Chaos World
  159. Where does a liberal go from here?
  160. America's chip export controls are working

2025 208

  1. At least five interesting things: Buy Local edition (#74)
  2. The Weeb Economy
  3. Ten things that are going right in America
  4. Why Everyone Loves Japan
  5. Why Europe should resist the Second China Shock
  6. America has to feel fair
  7. Can we make America feel more affordable?
  8. I think India can do it
  9. FDI is the Missing Piece of Japan’s Puzzle
  10. My thoughts on AI safety
  11. The Trump presidency is still alive and kicking
  12. At least five interesting things: Debunking the Debunkers edition (#73)
  13. Should robots take our jobs?
  14. The AI bust scenario that no one is talking about
  15. Europe is under siege
  16. They need to make you hate some group
  17. China has invented a whole new way to do innovation
  18. America's mayors are right to support small business
  19. I love AI. Why doesn't everyone?
  20. The "$140,000 poverty line" is very silly
  21. Book Review: "Blank Space"
  22. Noahpinion's 2025 Year in Review
  23. Bad education is a terrible way to fight inequality
  24. At least five interesting things: Future of Humanity edition (#72)
  25. The economics theory that could have saved the Trump presidency
  26. The future of war is the future of society
  27. Housing is at the heart of America's economic problems
  28. China's people are on a treadmill
  29. Eurocope
  30. Mamdani's biggest challenges
  31. I want the Japanese future back!
  32. At least five interesting things: Smart Ideas edition (#71)
  33. The internet wants to be fragmented
  34. "I'm a weeb for Ireland"
  35. The Great World War 2 Afterparty is over
  36. The giant basket case countries
  37. Economic ideas for Takaichi Sanae
  38. Bring back liberal nationalism
  39. Our age of kings
  40. Trump's energy policy is incoherent and self-defeating
  41. Should we worry about AI's circular deals?
  42. After Trump, the deluge
  43. America could win this trade war if it wanted to
  44. At least five interesting things: No, You're Wrong edition (#70)
  45. A Nobel for thinking about long-term growth
  46. America's future could hinge on whether AI slightly disappoints
  47. Can anything knock China off its mountain?
  48. Malaysia: Truly Asia
  49. The U.S. political situation
  50. The Third Magic
  51. Why do people get paid to invest their money?
  52. Network State, or a Network of States?
  53. Book Review: "Doughnut Economics"
  54. What if local control can actually help build housing?
  55. Tech can fix most of our problems (if we let it)
  56. Why every country needs to master the Electric Tech Stack
  57. Indians and Koreans not welcome
  58. Without free speech, America is nothing
  59. Good cities can't exist without public order
  60. China is quietly saving the world from climate change
  61. The Bluesky-ization of the American left
  62. Civil war is for idiots and losers
  63. Are Westerners turning back into medieval peasants?
  64. What is an American?
  65. America is getting the economy we voted for
  66. At least five interesting things: You Can't Just Do Things edition (#69)
  67. Why I left Bloomberg
  68. AI and jobs, again
  69. Book Review: "Breakneck"
  70. The richest third-world country
  71. A few cultural thoughts
  72. Europe's crusade against air conditioning is insane
  73. Moderation is good for its own sake
  74. The U.S.-China competition is on pause
  75. Toward a Shallower Future
  76. America has only one real city
  77. Corporations aren't the reason your rent is too high
  78. At least five interesting things: Cool research edition (#68)
  79. Who will actually profit from the AI boom?
  80. Did RFK just take away your cancer treatment?
  81. Immigrant memoir comics!
  82. What can India do to industrialize?
  83. Will data centers crash the economy?
  84. Why does everyone still hate the Democrats?
  85. The only thing worse than sweatshops is no sweatshops
  86. Xi Jinping is the main thing holding China back
  87. MAGA doesn't build anything
  88. Should Democrats go back to neoliberalism?
  89. The anti-immigration backlash comes to Japan
  90. Stop pretending you know what AI does to the economy
  91. At least five interesting things: Bad Policy edition (#67)
  92. Trump is enabling Chinese power
  93. Developing countries: A follow-up
  94. Why tariffs haven't raised inflation much (yet)
  95. Free-market economics is working surprisingly well
  96. At least five interesting things: It Isn't That Bad edition (#66)
  97. How to take our country back
  98. The Elite Overproduction Hypothesis
  99. We can't afford to keep cutting taxes for the rich
  100. Jewish Americans are feeling unsettled
  101. Would you rather have cheap energy, or stupid culture wars?
  102. The dawn of the posthuman age
  103. A chat with Derek Thompson
  104. Zohran Mamdani's policies will (mostly) not bring abundance to NYC
  105. The economic consequences of a war with Iran
  106. China's industrial policy has an unprofitability problem
  107. Western democracies are actually pretty good at war
  108. Progressives take their best shot at Abundance (but it falls short)
  109. Feeling cautiously optimistic about American democracy
  110. Social media destroyed one of America's key advantages
  111. At least five interesting things: Anything but protests edition (#65)
  112. A bunch of thoughts and evidence on immigration
  113. Immigration is not an "invasion", nor should it be
  114. It's OK not to be fat
  115. Even if Trump chickens out, you should still be worried about the economy
  116. How Chinese drones could defeat America
  117. It's time for Abundance to get mad
  118. The anti-economists have overreached
  119. Service costs aren't exploding anymore
  120. America needs its foreign students
  121. The Age of Twitter is finally ending. Can Substack take its place?
  122. Memorial Day chat with Matt Yglesias
  123. At least five interesting things: Stubborn optimism edition (#64)
  124. Shops make a city great
  125. White Americans as a normal minority
  126. Is the U.S. in a "high-level equilibrium trap"?
  127. So why *did* U.S. wages stagnate for 20 years?
  128. America has become a laughingstock
  129. Why has American pop culture stagnated?
  130. At least five interesting things: Requiem for capitalism edition (#63)
  131. The crisis of the 21st century is here
  132. Globalization did not hollow out the American middle class
  133. Thoughts on Sinofuturism
  134. The Tech Right is not succeeding
  135. Why do econ journalists keep making this basic mistake?
  136. Welcome to The Future
  137. I owe the libertarians an apology
  138. If you think Americans are mad now, just wait a few months
  139. MAGA is a destructive force in American society
  140. How to have friends past age 30
  141. You are the heir to something greater than Empire
  142. The pundit's dilemma
  143. In which I review almost every episode of Black Mirror
  144. Worst-case scenarios and endgames for the Trump economy
  145. Will this be the Chinese Century?
  146. The authoritarian takeover attempt is here
  147. What would a real anti-China trade strategy look like?
  148. This is called "capital flight"
  149. At least five interesting things: Nightmarica edition (#62)
  150. All the arguments for Trump's tariffs are wrong and bad
  151. Hey Democrats: Stop fiddling while Trump burns America
  152. Trade deficits aren't losses; they are IOUs
  153. Tariffs: Another American act of intentional self-harm
  154. How Brazil built a world-beating aircraft manufacturer
  155. The latest episode of Mad King Trump
  156. Understanding America's New Right
  157. If and when you live in a dictatorship, how will you know?
  158. Blue states don't build. Red states do.
  159. At least five interesting things: Japan Trip edition (#61)
  160. The "corporate feudalism" thing won't work
  161. Dems need to moderate and fight
  162. Book review: "Abundance"
  163. I have written a book!
  164. It's time to start panicking about the national debt
  165. China is trying to kneecap Indian manufacturing
  166. Why America betrayed Europe
  167. There is no utopia waiting on the other side of Trump's economy
  168. This thing will fail
  169. At least five interesting things: Bananas republic edition (#60)
  170. Trump takes a baseball bat to the U.S. economy
  171. Is China inventing big important things?
  172. A sovereign crypto fund is a new way to pay out regime cronies
  173. America is ruled by gangsters now
  174. Popular econ books: What to read, what not to read
  175. What happens when we gut federal science funding?
  176. How the Democrats can fight back against MAGA
  177. Only fools think Elon is incompetent
  178. America is being sold out by its leaders
  179. Japan, South Korea, and Poland need nuclear weapons immediately
  180. One big thing the legacy media gets wrong
  181. It's time for Europe to stand up
  182. Trump's economy is already in trouble
  183. At least five interesting things: Chaos Blitz edition (#59)
  184. Anti-anti-neoliberalism is also not enough
  185. What I think DOGE is really up to
  186. What's going to happen to Ukraine now?
  187. When are tariffs good?
  188. The chaos has arrived
  189. Trump starts to break things
  190. Patrick Collison interview + at least five interesting things (#58)
  191. Some simple lessons from China's big AI breakthrough
  192. Too many Americans still fear the future
  193. Paul Krugman and Noah Smith have a chat
  194. Yes, reshoring American industry is possible
  195. Trump's executive orders: Five big takeaways
  196. Your memecoin is your slush fund
  197. What is there left to believe in?
  198. Why I'm long-term bullish on the Middle East
  199. The Pettis Paradigm and the Second China Shock
  200. TikTok is just the beginning
  201. Should economists read Marx?
  202. At least five interesting things: Red Tape edition (#57)
  203. Learn smart lessons from the L.A. fires, not stupid lessons
  204. The Taiwan posts
  205. Trudeau was a poor steward of Canada's economy
  206. Biden's tarnished industrial legacy
  207. How do we measure whether China's economy is "ahead" of America's?
  208. The Players on the Eve of Destruction

2024 236

  1. Why Japan opened itself up to immigration
  2. At least five interesting things: Build Something, Dammit! (#56)
  3. Five possible reasons China's productivity slowed down
  4. Indian immigration is great for America
  5. Yes, Americans are much richer than Japanese people
  6. Good cities can't exist without public order
  7. What are the checks and balances on the power of Elon Musk?
  8. Macroeconomics: The predator of foolish regimes
  9. America is losing the physical technologies of the future
  10. At least five interesting things: Will of the Masses edition (#55)
  11. Why are so many Americans acting like a pack of ghouls?
  12. How we'll know if Trump is going to sell America out to China
  13. How Paul Krugman changed the public face of economics
  14. Insurance companies aren't the main villain of the U.S. health system
  15. Democrats need to loudly reject progressive extremism
  16. At least five interesting things: Nerdy economics edition (#54)
  17. Manufacturing is a war now
  18. "Paycheck-to-paycheck" and five other popular myths
  19. No, you are not on Indigenous land
  20. The best-case scenario for Trump's second term
  21. The alternate reality of RFK and the antivaxers
  22. At least five interesting things: The new conservative era (#53)
  23. Four years of Noahpinion
  24. Nobody knows how to stop humanity from shrinking
  25. What drove Asian and Hispanic voters to the right in 2024
  26. America doesn't really have a working class
  27. Why targeted tariffs are more effective than broad tariffs
  28. Liberalism is the rebellion now
  29. 7 Reasons Democrats Should Be Optimistic About Their Chances in 2026 and 2028
  30. At least five interesting things: Trump aftermath edition (#52)
  31. The blue cities must be fixed
  32. The educated professional class is out of touch with America
  33. Americans hate inflation more than they hate unemployment
  34. Identity politics isn't working
  35. Four reasons not to vote for Trump, and four reasons to vote for Harris
  36. Why on Earth does Trump want to cancel the CHIPS Act??
  37. Trumpism is kakistocracy
  38. Democrats fixed many of the problems of the early 2020s
  39. Thinking about "temporary hardship"
  40. If Trump loses the election, our nation can finally rest
  41. On immigration, what Americans want is democratic control
  42. Why America's future could hinge on Elon Musk
  43. Realistically, how much damage could Trump do to the U.S. economy?
  44. How long can we sustain economic growth?
  45. The magic of zakkyo buildings
  46. EVs are just going to win
  47. The free world teeters on the edge of a knife
  48. What remains of the progressive project?
  49. A Nobel for the big big questions
  50. At least five interesting things to start your week (#51)
  51. Against steelmanning
  52. Announcing the winners of our semiconductor policy contest!
  53. In which I rebut Nate Silver on the economy and Matt Yglesias on nuclear
  54. The Democrats are a strong party, the Republicans are a weak party
  55. What if everyone is wrong about what AI does?
  56. Let us pause to appreciate the remarkable U.S. economy
  57. Let's evaluate Kamala Harris' entire economic policy program!
  58. Make-work is not the future of work
  59. At least five interesting things to start your week (#50)
  60. Once again: Imports do not subtract from GDP
  61. Strategies to secure America's supply chains
  62. America's supply chains are a disaster waiting to happen
  63. Let go of the nuclear retrofuture
  64. How will you save small midwestern towns without mass immigration?
  65. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#49)
  66. The dark vision of America
  67. Four thoughts on Eurosclerosis
  68. Harris needs to be Pennsylvania fracking's biggest champion
  69. Xi Jinping vs. macroeconomics
  70. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#48)
  71. Yes, Haitians are good enough to be Americans
  72. Six ideas for Poland
  73. The U.S. needs to pay more attention to electronic warfare
  74. Unrealized gains taxes are a pointless hassle
  75. Why Can't the U.S. Build Ships?
  76. How do you deal with real, actual Nazis?
  77. Biden did stuff, and it looks like it's working so far
  78. Progressives need to learn to take the W
  79. Sizing up the New Axis
  80. Anti-neoliberalism is not enough
  81. Book review: "Ender's Game"
  82. At least five interesting things to start your week (#47)
  83. Why you should not ignore economists
  84. What's up with those revised job numbers?
  85. A data-driven case for productivity optimism
  86. The Democrats embraced patriotism after all
  87. Harris has the right idea on housing
  88. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#46)
  89. Harris makes a big mistake by embracing price controls
  90. Mass deportation would accomplish nothing
  91. New Industrialist Roundup 2024
  92. Some thoughts on the future of the tech industry
  93. How tariffs on China could help the world
  94. The Democrats' new sunny vibes
  95. The U.S. economy is not crashing
  96. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#45)
  97. Why America fell behind in drones, and how to catch up again
  98. How Maduro and Chavez wrecked Venezuela's economy
  99. Who's "weird"?
  100. Why did the U.S. miss the battery revolution?
  101. The new progressive economics: some constructive criticism
  102. Come see me speak about Japan!
  103. Why Trump (or Harris) might fail to stand up to China
  104. Yes, we still have to work
  105. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#44)
  106. Biden's legacy: a summary
  107. Democrats benefit from low turnout now
  108. Bad and good arguments for industrial policy
  109. Understanding the new Tech Right
  110. Europe's fate is in Germany's hands now
  111. How can America be stabilized?
  112. There's not that much wealth in the world
  113. Skilled immigration is a national security priority
  114. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#43)
  115. Let's evaluate the whole Republican party platform!
  116. Energy Bell: The sketch of an idea
  117. Why has U.S. manufacturing productivity stagnated for over a decade?
  118. Assessing the threats to the Republic
  119. At least five interesting things to start your week (#42)
  120. The elemental foe
  121. Time to think about a second Trump term
  122. The age of SASEA
  123. Yes, of course crime is way down
  124. The triumph of electromagnetism over thermodynamics
  125. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#41)
  126. Give us your ideas on how to deal with Chinese chips!
  127. China's demographics will be fine through mid-century
  128. Noam Chomsky and the end of "America bad"
  129. Why some franchises go downhill while others stay great
  130. Is the West falling behind in science?
  131. How not to be fooled by viral charts, Part 2
  132. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#40)
  133. Three holes in the U.S.' economic strategy against China
  134. Decade of the Battery
  135. Trump and inflation
  136. How many of our "facts" about society, health, and the economy are fake?
  137. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#39)
  138. How much can you really learn about a country from visiting it?
  139. A preview of the next four years?
  140. Climate is just one piece of industrial policy
  141. Happy fun Cold War 2 update
  142. The case of the angry history postdoc
  143. At least five interesting things to start your week (#38)
  144. A pivotal moment for Japan's national defense
  145. How to devalue the dollar
  146. How liberal democracy might lose the 21st century
  147. In which British writers scold America on trade
  148. At least five interesting things to start your week (#37)
  149. Why is China producing so many export goods, anyway?
  150. Seven reasons America is headed for a more conservative decade
  151. The China tariffs are here
  152. How I would regulate AI
  153. The death (again) of the internet as we know it
  154. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#36)
  155. The macro arsonists
  156. Japan is not a xenophobic country
  157. America's semiconductor policy is missing a key piece
  158. The positive case for Joe Biden
  159. Who's afraid of East Asian management culture?
  160. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#35)
  161. Is Japan having a currency crisis?
  162. Biden is right that we need to raise taxes
  163. What America needs to do now on national security
  164. Palestine is the end of the line for the New Left
  165. At least five interesting things to start your week (#34)
  166. How Latin America started to beat inequality
  167. Five things to be optimistic about in America today
  168. Why China is defeating Tesla
  169. Why so many of us were wrong about missile defense
  170. Sizing up the New Axis
  171. Twilight of the economists?
  172. Americans are still not worried enough about the risk of world war
  173. At least five interesting things to start your week (#33)
  174. Why is the U.S. doing so much deficit spending?
  175. The U.S. would be insane to go it alone on trade and manufacturing
  176. The perverse incentives of euthanasia
  177. Try patriotism
  178. Why did the world break in the early 2010s?
  179. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#32)
  180. The biggest advantage of independent op-ed writers
  181. Secrets of Japanese urbanism
  182. Market-rate housing will make your city cheaper
  183. The decade of the Second China Shock
  184. Go read some Vernor Vinge
  185. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#31)
  186. Are "luxury beliefs" a real thing?
  187. How we could return to the productivity growth of the 1990s
  188. Plentiful, high-paying jobs in the age of AI
  189. Three threats to the age of energy abundance
  190. What just happened in San Francisco politics?
  191. 2024 Noahpinion subscriber survey!
  192. Trump just rug-pulled the China hawks on TikTok
  193. At least five things for your weekend (#30)
  194. Why Japanese cities are such nice places to live
  195. Chinasplaining will backfire
  196. Defending the status quo is not environmentalism
  197. Did immigration bring down inflation?
  198. Why small developers are getting squeezed out of the housing market
  199. Getting past the 2010s
  200. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#29)
  201. New technologies, new totalitarians
  202. Japan and South Korea need nuclear weapons
  203. This is not a good way to fight racism in America
  204. Japan isn't quite "back", but it has a fighting chance
  205. Book review: "Power and Progress"
  206. At least five interesting things to start your week (#28)
  207. We’re entering a golden age of engineering biology
  208. Pakistan needs a plan
  209. Russia is not actually a very nice place to live
  210. A bunch of handy charts about climate change
  211. 2024 could be the pivotal year for Cold War 2
  212. The Ukraine war is ultimately about Poland
  213. Do poor countries need a new development strategy?
  214. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#27)
  215. Tariffs are coming
  216. Economic losses for our allies are not wins for the U.S.
  217. Three reasons the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates soon
  218. Biden should run on a message of abundance
  219. Interview: Sarah C. Paine
  220. America, please be reasonable on immigration
  221. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#26)
  222. Will China squander its moment in the sun?
  223. A vote for Trump is a vote for chaos
  224. The Dark Forest hypothesis is absurd
  225. The California Forever project is a great idea
  226. Does the yield curve tell us a recession is coming soon?
  227. Is U.S. industrial policy learning from its mistakes?
  228. At least five interesting things to start your week (#25)
  229. Bitcoin is a special-interest group
  230. World commerce is dependent on America's fading naval power
  231. Techno-optimism for 2024
  232. People's Park and the Great American Infill
  233. How much of modern academia is waste?
  234. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#24)
  235. All futurism is Afrofuturism
  236. Toward a shallower future

2023 240

  1. Hispanics as the new Irish
  2. In defense of science fiction
  3. Blue states don't build
  4. At least five interesting things to start your week (#23)
  5. My sci-fi novel recommendations
  6. What the Solow Model can teach us about China
  7. Why the U.S. steel industry is dying
  8. How did the U.S. achieve a soft landing?
  9. Six reasons chipmakers should put their fabs in Japan
  10. Nations don't get rich by plundering other nations
  11. Some thoughts on where the war in Ukraine is headed
  12. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#22)
  13. You probably shouldn't give your money to an elite university
  14. Uphold territorial integrity
  15. Car wars
  16. Why are your groceries still so expensive?
  17. I think Bitcoin has room for one more bubble (repost)
  18. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#21)
  19. Stop saying "there is no decoupling". There is!
  20. Vibes vs. data
  21. People are realizing that the Arsenal of Democracy is gone
  22. The U.S. must not ignore Indonesia
  23. Americans are angry about immigration
  24. At least five things for your Thanksgiving weekend (#20)
  25. Feeling strangely optimistic about Egypt
  26. Three years of Noahpinion
  27. Politicized science inevitably tends toward pseudoscience
  28. The Roaring 20s are back on track
  29. At least five things to finish your week (#19)
  30. Don't expect too much from the U.S.-China detente
  31. The Super-Scary Theory of the 21st Century
  32. Singapore urbanism
  33. Yes, it's possible to imagine progressive dystopias
  34. Liberalism is losing the information war
  35. How Ireland got so rich
  36. The Middle East is getting older
  37. The U.S. economy shrugged off the tech bust
  38. Asia is much more important to U.S. interests than the Middle East
  39. At least five interesting things to start your week (#18)
  40. Does the notion of a "Global South" still make any sense?
  41. Great news about American wealth
  42. The American socialist worldview is just totally broken (repost)
  43. A lot of what you see in the news is just Cold War 2
  44. America needs a bigger, better bureaucracy
  45. Thoughts on techno-optimism
  46. Economic possibilities for Gaza
  47. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#17)
  48. We're not ready for the Big One
  49. At least five interesting things for the end of your week (#16)
  50. A Nobel for the story of women in the workforce
  51. Western leftists have lost the plot
  52. A three-state solution is the only viable future for Israel and the Palestinians
  53. You're not going to like what comes after Pax Americana
  54. What do Americans want that Biden can give them?
  55. Don't be a decel
  56. How China's "debt traps" actually work
  57. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#15)
  58. The traditional auto industry is doomed
  59. Here are some better versions of Bernie Sanders' ideas
  60. What if Xi Jinping isn't that competent? (repost)
  61. Why do economists get paid more than sociologists?
  62. Argentina's macroeconomic situation is even worse up close
  63. Germany needs to stop messing around!
  64. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#14)
  65. An Age of Austerity is probably on the way
  66. How to be an opinion writer
  67. Who's afraid of the Huawei Mate 60 Pro?
  68. How not to be fooled by viral charts
  69. The next phase of globalization is going to be awesome
  70. At least five interesting things for your weekend (#13)
  71. Our climate change debates are out of date
  72. The danger of another American civil war is low
  73. China's slowdown and the incentives for war
  74. Is it time for the Revenge of the Normies?
  75. Hey tech folks: Vivek Ramaswamy is not the one
  76. Interview: Jean Twenge, psychologist
  77. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#12)
  78. Decoupling isn't phoney
  79. Americans are coping ourselves to death
  80. BRICS is fake
  81. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#11)
  82. Humanity is going to shrink
  83. Why China's economy ran off the rails
  84. A few economists are starting to think seriously about industrial policy
  85. China's crash is unlikely to hurt the global economy (much)
  86. The economics of "Rich Men North of Richmond"
  87. At least five interesting things to start your week (#10)
  88. Why skilled immigration (usually) benefits both countries
  89. Can unions and industrial policy coexist?
  90. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#9)
  91. The George Floyd protests were not a civil war (repost)
  92. Comparing "Morning in America" with 2023
  93. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#8)
  94. Interview: Heather Boushey, economist and member of the Council of Economic Advisers
  95. How homogeneous is Japan really? (repost)
  96. If this is a bad economy, please tell me what a good economy would look like
  97. Uh, guys, we really should think about spending more on defense
  98. Mike Bird and Noah Smith debate industrial policy
  99. Americans are falling out of love with the idea of college
  100. Yes, the U.S. were the "good guys" in World War 2
  101. Book Review: "The End of the World is Just the Beginning"
  102. The China 2023 series
  103. What should China do to revive its economy?
  104. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#7)
  105. No, NEPA really is a problem for clean energy
  106. Refusing to teach kids math will not improve equity
  107. Tokyo is the new Paris
  108. The pushback against industrial policy has begun
  109. Grading the economic schools of thought
  110. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#6)
  111. Interview: Chris Miller, historian and author of "Chip War"
  112. The world is big and no one is listening
  113. California needs real math education, not gimmicks
  114. China at the peak
  115. At least five interesting things for the middle of your week (#5)
  116. Who cares about the Ivy League? (repost)
  117. The New 1970s
  118. The student debt revolt failed, but Millennials will be fine
  119. America after affirmative action
  120. Maximum Canada is happening
  121. The end of the "vibecession"?
  122. At least five interesting things to start your week (#4)
  123. Hey tech folks: The West is not failing
  124. Indiamerica
  125. Why it's so hard to fix the information ecosystem
  126. Four reasons China can't reset the world
  127. Why rabbits?
  128. Did "tech bros" ruin San Francisco?
  129. Heterodox vs. mainstream macroeconomics
  130. Heat pumps, heat pumps, heat pumps!!
  131. At least five interesting things to start your week (#3)
  132. Why trying to "shape" AI innovation to protect workers is a bad idea
  133. Price controls: Too early for a victory lap
  134. The reverse OPEC maneuver
  135. At least five interesting things to start your week (#2)
  136. In which David Sacks and Balaji raise a false alarm about the jobs numbers
  137. Real estate is China's economic Achilles heel
  138. Where does libertarianism go from here?
  139. At least five interesting things to start your week (#1)
  140. The debt ceiling deal: What was the whole point?
  141. Is immigration raising rents in America?
  142. Where China is beating the world
  143. Degrowth: We can't let it happen here!
  144. Decoupling is just going to happen
  145. Nonprofits are sapping the progressive project
  146. Interview: Dan Wang, China specialist
  147. Turkey, you were doing so well! (repost)
  148. Thus passes Robert Lucas
  149. How technology has changed the world since I was young
  150. All the arguments against EVs are wrong
  151. Generative AI and the finance industry
  152. Interracial violence is rare in the United States
  153. A DemTech Economic Agenda: Ten Steps Towards Collective Resilience
  154. Why the U.S. should fight Cold War 2
  155. Debt ceiling brinksmanship is terrible, but it is time for austerity
  156. The new industrial policy, explained
  157. How Pakistan can join the South Asia growth boom
  158. First Republic falls. Is the banking crisis restarting?
  159. Here...comes...INDIA!!!
  160. Tucker Carlson and the Age of Bad Feelings
  161. Repost: Someone has to run the fabs
  162. Four interesting econ stories
  163. Will there be a Millennial Big Chill?
  164. "Luxury" construction causes high rents like umbrellas cause rain
  165. Economic development is doing OK
  166. Why aren't we taking every Chinese refugee we can?
  167. Five big trends that have changed in the last few years
  168. 2023 is when the empires strike back
  169. Europe is not ready to be a "third superpower"
  170. Yes, it's OK to be mad about crime in San Francisco
  171. Nobody knows how many jobs will "be automated"
  172. Will Elon Musk kill Substack?
  173. Repost: Weebs!
  174. Industrial policy doesn't have to succeed right away
  175. Bank weakness is how our economy cools off
  176. Two posts about de-dollarization
  177. Some ideas for science fiction in the 2020s
  178. Three more books about the technology wars
  179. Why Americans fear the AI future
  180. Putin is a rest stop on the road of post-Soviet collapse
  181. Why not put TSMC and Samsung fabs in Canada?
  182. Repost: Interview with James Medlock
  183. Progressives need to embrace progress
  184. Repost: The Darkness
  185. Yes, of course we should ban TikTok
  186. In which Balaji gives away at least a million dollars
  187. The Wokeness series
  188. Will government regulate VCs and startups a lot more now?
  189. SVB and the Fed
  190. Preventing panic in the banking sector
  191. Why was there a run on Silicon Valley Bank?
  192. Which industries will China dominate?
  193. LLMs are not going to destroy the human race
  194. Interview: Kevin Kelly, editor, author, and futurist
  195. Why do education, health care, and child care cost so much in America?
  196. Conceiving the 2000s
  197. Everything you think you know about homelessness is wrong
  198. Honestly, it's probably the phones
  199. What's your plan for 5 years of 5% interest rates?
  200. The Build-Nothing Country
  201. AI Techies!
  202. China goes all-in on Russia's war effort?
  203. Don't be a doomer
  204. Repost: Much of what you've heard about Carter and Reagan is wrong
  205. Wokeness as mainline orthodoxy
  206. The U.S. cannot afford to turn against immigration
  207. China must stop its coal industry
  208. Decoupling is not deglobalization
  209. Welcome to the UFO wars
  210. Will AI take away the coding jobs?
  211. Europe has to stand against Russia
  212. The Developing Country Industrialization series
  213. The state of Bidenomics
  214. Stock buybacks don't really matter
  215. Repost: Why I'm so excited about solar and batteries
  216. Can India industrialize?
  217. You are now living through Cold War 2
  218. "Threats to the dollar" are just scare stories
  219. Friend-shoring vs. "Buy American"
  220. Why does ChatGPT constantly lie?
  221. Professionalize the police
  222. Vertical communities
  223. Would breaking up Google really do any good?
  224. Actually, Japan has changed a lot
  225. The Big Tech layoffs are a turning point
  226. The fiscal arsonists
  227. How much does aging really hurt a country?
  228. Three books about the technology wars
  229. Secretary jobs in the age of AI
  230. How college towns can survive and thrive over the next 20 years
  231. Repost: Distributed service-sector productivity
  232. Is the Fed hiking too fast?
  233. Wokeness as prairie fire
  234. The Poland/Malaysia model
  235. China's industrial policy has mostly been a flop
  236. Three economics happenings of note
  237. Why Paul Ehrlich got everything wrong
  238. The U.S. is starting to look more stable
  239. Inequality might be going down now
  240. The third magic

2022 253

  1. Tesla won't dominate the auto industry, because no one will
  2. Why immigration doesn't reduce wages (repost)
  3. I will never get to go to Hong Kong
  4. Unlearning the macroeconomic lessons of the 2010s
  5. Why the U.S. middle class is feeling squeezed
  6. Ghana, you were doing so well!
  7. Geopolitics and geostrategic competition in 2023
  8. The internet wants to be fragmented
  9. The conquest of the post-pandemic inflation
  10. Interview: Ezra Klein, journalist and author
  11. Techno-optimism for 2023
  12. A quick subscriber feedback survey!
  13. The big NEPA roundup
  14. The dream of bringing back Bell Labs
  15. Do people really still think stocks will return 10%?
  16. How the old system of the world shaped American society
  17. My cyberpunk city, my cyberpunk world
  18. Vietnam: It's time to level up
  19. Generative AI: autocomplete for everything
  20. Don't panic! Europe is not facing imminent de-industrialization.
  21. Did Big Tech antitrust pick the wrong target?
  22. Is the "End of History" back on track?
  23. How VCs can avoid being tricked by obvious frauds
  24. China's pivot is a bit of a mess
  25. The weak yen is an opportunity
  26. Two years of Noahpinion
  27. The H-1b visa has problems, but it's not hurting U.S. workers
  28. Seven more books on China
  29. Wealth is partly imaginary
  30. Battery-powered appliances!
  31. Turning the page on the Second Tech Boom
  32. Against "polycrisis"
  33. Why the midterms make me optimistic for America
  34. The world has progressed beyond the need for Russian power
  35. What if crypto just...dies?
  36. Macroeconomics is still in its infancy
  37. The promise of cultivated meat
  38. Why aren't wages rising in a tight labor market?
  39. Book review: "Status and Culture", by W. David Marx
  40. Why affirmative action had to go
  41. Eleven days in Taiwan
  42. Twitter's problems: a roundup
  43. The U.S. city of the future
  44. Are the UK, Japan, and Italy "undeveloping countries"?
  45. The end of the system of the world
  46. Why I think an invasion of Taiwan probably means WW3
  47. Taipei urbanism
  48. Why "per capita emissions" is a bad frame for the climate debate
  49. "National Conservatism" has no coherent, workable plan for America
  50. Amsterdam: some impressions
  51. Xi Jinping, forever
  52. Biden declares economic war on the Chinese semiconductor industry
  53. Headed to Amsterdam, Singapore, and Taipei!
  54. Why can't economists predict financial crises?
  55. An Econ Nobel for research that saved the world
  56. Why I don't think the Fed will back off
  57. Book Review: "Freedom's Forge"
  58. Authoritarians are not governing effectively
  59. We still haven't solved the Nuclear Age
  60. Time for a little global financial chaos
  61. I come bringing good news about hydrogen
  62. A concrete vision of the liberal democratic future
  63. U.S. government debt is not a ticking time bomb
  64. Why the UK is having an economic crisis
  65. How much will beating inflation hurt American workers?
  66. Non-Western Economic Development Requires Risk-Taking
  67. Was there really a "neoliberal turn"?
  68. Lovecraftian intelligence
  69. The Long March of the YIMBYs
  70. The end of the pandemic
  71. Cautious optimism about Ukraine's economy
  72. No, the U.S. is not "a poor society with some very rich people"
  73. No, the U.S. didn't outsource our carbon emissions to China
  74. August inflation update
  75. Blockchains, dollarization, and capital flight
  76. Liberalism is resilient
  77. Thoughts on the origins of wokeness
  78. The War Economy: Batteries and drones
  79. Pinochet's economic policy is vastly overrated
  80. Don't panic. Europe will deal with its gas crisis.
  81. American workers need lots and lots of robots
  82. Video interview: Mike Duncan, history podcaster and author
  83. Interview: Vitalik Buterin, creator of Ethereum
  84. Yes, your house is wealth
  85. Yes, sanctions on Russia are working
  86. Decade of the battery
  87. Book Review: "Danger Zone"
  88. On the wisdom of the historians
  89. The Elite Overproduction Hypothesis
  90. America is not fixing its college financing system
  91. The Uphill Battle Women Still Face in High Finance
  92. Four reasons why GDP is a useful number
  93. Is America falling behind China in science?
  94. China's recession, and how it'll fight it
  95. The case for high-skilled immigration reform (and how to make it happen)
  96. Contemplating a world of linear growth
  97. Solar is happening. Nuclear is (mostly) not.
  98. Barack Obama was a successful President
  99. Macroeconomic update: Soft landing in progress?
  100. Why renewable subsidies are better than carbon taxes
  101. Economic misconceptions of the crypto world
  102. The Inflation Reduction Act: Bidenomics 2.0
  103. Mexico: A development puzzle
  104. Underrated sci-fi and fantasy books
  105. Could we sanction China if we had to?
  106. Industrial policy starts with semiconductors
  107. Sizing up the New Axis
  108. The U.S. education system gets decent value for money
  109. The Inflation Reduction Act: Some initial thoughts
  110. Yes, we're probably in a recession, and that's fine
  111. The financialization of tech
  112. Why doesn't the Fed just hike 200bp all at once?
  113. Four things I got wrong since I started this blog
  114. Pakistan is in big trouble
  115. Why can't America build trains?
  116. How we will fight climate change
  117. Nutty macroeconomic theories will ruin your country's economy
  118. The wreck of Bidenomics
  119. Interview: Leah Boustan, economist
  120. China is flailing
  121. The War Economy
  122. The 8% interest rate scenario is still in play
  123. Why Sri Lanka is having an economic crisis
  124. On bullshit in investing
  125. How to write a successful Substack
  126. Abe Shinzo: A retrospective
  127. Americans are generally richer than Europeans
  128. Will VC produce fewer home runs in the future?
  129. A Time of Troubles
  130. Disinflation begins
  131. I think Bitcoin has room for one more bubble
  132. Indonesia: The most amazing development story on Earth?
  133. Video interview: Olivier Blanchard on inflation
  134. The Biden administration has dropped the ball on vaccine development
  135. Central Bank Digital Currencies are not very interesting or useful
  136. The Left-NIMBY meltdown
  137. Is Web3 culture similar to Amway culture?
  138. So, how can we lower gas prices?
  139. How are Milton Friedman's ideas holding up?
  140. Where does the wealth go when asset prices go down?
  141. Oxfam serves up a lot of dodgy statistics
  142. The Bitcoin salvation scenario
  143. Progressives should fear inflation more than recession
  144. Book review: "Slouching Towards Utopia"
  145. U.S. pundits: Please stop trying to concede on Ukraine's behalf
  146. Will U.S. debt cause a global collapse?
  147. The year we all became reactionaries
  148. Was the American Rescue Plan a mistake?
  149. The Japan that Abe Shinzo made
  150. Interview: Katherine Boyle, venture capitalist
  151. Antitrust vs. ESG
  152. Book reviews: "Ametora" and "Pure Invention"
  153. Fixing Japan's broken corporate culture
  154. NFTs will (probably) be back
  155. The U.S. must commit to making South and Southeast Asia rich
  156. The China evacuation
  157. Ideas to boost Japanese growth (Part 1)
  158. Japan's living standards are too low
  159. Are tech workers going to be paid much less now?
  160. A soft landing is still the likeliest scenario
  161. Why I love the new labor movement
  162. Greedflation, gouging and price controls
  163. What kind of financial asset is Bitcoin?
  164. The Fed isn't going to bail out your stocks this time
  165. Can the Philippines sustain its growth?
  166. No, America is not collapsing
  167. Suddenly startups are having trouble raising money. Why?
  168. Five books to understand U.S. unrest
  169. Does China have hidden reservoirs of growth potential?
  170. What's your plan for a world of 8% interest rates?
  171. Does student loan forgiveness make economic sense?
  172. Imports do not subtract from GDP
  173. Think Bigger About Remote Work
  174. Book review: Trade Wars are Class Wars
  175. Why I'm (cautiously) optimistic about Elon buying Twitter
  176. The YouTube Nazi Panic was just another moral panic
  177. Interview: Ramez Naam, futurist, author, and investor
  178. How to stay optimistic in these dark times
  179. What is the Right's economic plan?
  180. Hu Jintao was very underrated
  181. The American socialist worldview is just totally broken
  182. Defense spending, again
  183. Is Substack good for the world? Is Substack worth it for writers?
  184. Democrats need to run on the war
  185. The Two Paper Rule
  186. Five possible reasons why China's productivity slowed down
  187. Video interview: David Roberts on climate change
  188. Should the U.S. increase or decrease defense spending?
  189. Meme stocks and Bitcoin will not redistribute wealth
  190. The long economic war against Russia: A plan
  191. Zines
  192. Interview: Arvind Subramanian, former Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India
  193. War got weird
  194. Nuclear game theory and its limitations
  195. Give us all the refugees, dammit!
  196. The car will triumph, again
  197. Interview: Me!
  198. Ukraine's economic future
  199. When will the Fed drop the hammer?
  200. Putin's war and the Chaos Climbers
  201. It's not Cancel Culture, it's Cancel Technology
  202. The U.S. needs a Latin America policy
  203. U.S. state capacity is actually pretty high
  204. China has a fateful choice to make
  205. China, Russia, and the inflation situation
  206. Don't worry about de-dollarization
  207. Time for a Diplomatic Revolution
  208. Will high oil prices cause a recession?
  209. The Ukraine War and the price of bread
  210. How are the Big Sanctions hurting Russia so far?
  211. The Tamerlane Principle
  212. Interview: Andrew Gelman, statistician
  213. How will Russia's war affect China?
  214. Beyond sanctions: An off-ramp for post-Putin Russia
  215. Video interview: Rob Lee, Russian defense policy specialist
  216. The big sanctions: A quick explainer
  217. A moment of clarity
  218. The economic consequences of a Russia-Ukraine war
  219. Interview: Emi Nakamura, macroeconomist
  220. The rejection of Bidenomics
  221. Interview: Alec Stapp and Caleb Watney of the Institute for Progress
  222. NFTs are just the beginning of the Crypto Wealth Splash
  223. Last War Brain
  224. Does China think long-term while America thinks short-term?
  225. Inflation is forgetting
  226. The U.S. is failing to compete effectively with China
  227. The NYT article on MMT is really bad
  228. Turkey, you were doing so well!
  229. A New Industrialist roundup
  230. How to sell Georgism to the middle class
  231. Pre-K is day care
  232. Fighting inflation by increasing supply is a multi-decade project
  233. Do we stand at the precipice of radical change?
  234. Some thoughts and evidence on racial preferences in admissions
  235. Interview: Hal Brands, international relations professor and author
  236. Why is Ukraine such an economic failure?
  237. A DeFi crash course for normies: Crypto markets since 2017
  238. I can only promise you that it's going to get weirder
  239. Did macroeconomics fail us on inflation?
  240. The YIMBYs are starting to win a few
  241. What makes an "optimistic" vision of the future?
  242. America’s Top Environmental Groups Have Lost the Plot on Climate Change
  243. America needs more basic research
  244. Yes, worker skills matter
  245. Web3 had better not be Transaction Cost Hell
  246. Interview: Tyler Cowen, economist and public intellectual
  247. Six books on China
  248. The Biden Boom
  249. America needs immigration to grow and thrive
  250. China's economic woes: An opportunity for U.S. manufacturing?
  251. Interview: Ryan Petersen, founder and CEO of Flexport
  252. Why price controls are a bad tool for fighting inflation
  253. Six reasons 2021 was a better year than people think

2021 248

  1. Yes, most Americans own capital
  2. How are the post-Soviet economies doing?
  3. The liberty of local bullies
  4. Christmas Omicron update
  5. Can we actually "brain-drain" China?
  6. Jamaica is doing OK
  7. Why the CTC is so important
  8. Love it and leave it
  9. Omicron update, Inflation update
  10. Crypto and the global financial system
  11. Four reasons Biden's spending bill won't make inflation worse
  12. Video interview: Greg Sargent on the threat of election subversion
  13. Progressives need to tell the positive story about immigration
  14. Techno-optimism for 2022
  15. The Omicron situation, Week 2
  16. Yes, the U.S. is still a (flawed) democracy
  17. The George Floyd protests were not a civil war
  18. How to fix Twitter
  19. The Omicron situation
  20. Video interview: Eric Topol on the Omicron variant
  21. One year of Noahpinion
  22. Is China's catch-up growth over?
  23. Examining an MMT model in detail
  24. Is America normalizing?
  25. People have a right to be upset about inflation
  26. Try patriotism
  27. Inflation Is Up, But the Inflation Truthers Are Still Wrong
  28. Why steel tariffs are always bad
  29. Inflation is real; now it's up to the Fed
  30. The Metaverse and (near-)infinite economic growth
  31. What if Xi Jinping just isn't that competent?
  32. Thoughts on the Virginia election
  33. Much of what you've heard about Carter and Reagan is wrong
  34. Cutthroat capitalism vs. cuddly capitalism
  35. Who were the most important individuals of the 2000s and the 2010s?
  36. "Defund the police" is dead as a doornail
  37. What makes a cultural superpower?
  38. Some problems with unrealized capital gains taxes
  39. This year's econ critics make a few good points
  40. People Aren’t Lazy (Including You!)
  41. Natsec is how America gets things done
  42. Beware shoveling money at overpriced service industries
  43. Who is the real problem when it comes to climate change?
  44. OK, NOW is it time to worry about inflation?
  45. The Econ Nobel we were all waiting for
  46. Life in the New American Suburbs
  47. Why do people worry about deficits?
  48. Nuclear vs. Solar
  49. Why the Build Back Better negotiations are going to disappoint me
  50. Interview: Jason Crawford, nonprofit founder
  51. What happened to construction productivity? Part 1: Measurement
  52. Pass the damn infrastructure bill, dammit
  53. What does China have to lose from a real estate crash?
  54. Climate optimism of the will
  55. A failed economic theory of everything
  56. U.S. vs. China: A battle of ideas, not militaries
  57. China's real estate trilemma
  58. On Critical Race Theory
  59. It's time for variant-specific boosters
  60. The 9/11 Era is over. Good.
  61. The Shouting Class 2: Last Refuge of Scoundrels
  62. Interview: Larry Summers, economist
  63. People are realizing that degrowth is bad
  64. My anime recommendations
  65. China's "Profound Transformation" is not so profound
  66. Why is the Squad attacking Jerome Powell?
  67. Towards the abolition of animal farming
  68. Revolution, Afghanistan, Asia
  69. The sci-fi futures we didn't get
  70. Epistemic trespassing, or epistemic squatting?
  71. Why has the gig economy been a disappointment?
  72. Biden is sandbagging on immigration
  73. Cultural gatekeeping
  74. The 2020 Census and America's racial future
  75. The Afghanistan occupation and the Japan occupation
  76. Don't rely on supply-side policy to fight inflation
  77. How might China's industrial policy fail?
  78. Score 2 for Bidenomics
  79. Calling the top on our Age of Unrest
  80. Does America really lose all its wars?
  81. Is an economics PhD still a great deal?
  82. Hidden gems of Twitter
  83. Why don't Americans trust each other anymore?
  84. Are big companies just better?
  85. The Shouting Class
  86. What kind of economy leads to national power?
  87. The homevoters and the haut precariat
  88. Orwell's "The Lion and the Unicorn"
  89. Should you trust science, or scientists?
  90. Why is China smashing its tech industry?
  91. Video interview: Anna Gifty Opoku-Agyeman, grad student, organizer, and writer
  92. The economists' revolt
  93. Some pictures of rabbits
  94. Haiti vs. the Dominican Republic
  95. Drawing pictures of cities
  96. The Climate Left is a useful farce
  97. The U.S. Military won't allow an insurrection
  98. Why Cuba is having an economic crisis
  99. Interview: Matt Yglesias, author and blogger
  100. The U.S. didn't start Cold War 2
  101. Is the U.S. a "land of opportunity"?
  102. The War on Poverty was a success
  103. Interview: Jason Furman, former chair of the Council of Economic Advisers
  104. Is economics an excuse for inaction?
  105. Fourth of July thoughts
  106. Yuppie Fishtanks: YIMBYism explained without "supply and demand"
  107. Hispanic voters and the American Dream
  108. Bidenomics takes on government investment
  109. What Studwell got wrong
  110. Charles Blow's dream of a Black Quebec
  111. A response to Scott Alexander on Jewish achievement
  112. Why would Pakistan grow?
  113. Who can push back when wokeness overreaches?
  114. Interview: Marc Andreessen, VC and tech pioneer
  115. Losing sight of the Future
  116. Of course there's a STEM crisis
  117. Social class in America
  118. Murphy's Law? or, Follies of a Finite Physicist
  119. Covid doom predictions that never happened
  120. The terrific triviality of Twitter
  121. A virtuous cycle of worker power and technology?
  122. The social conservatives won more than you think
  123. We aren't going to defund the police (nor should we)
  124. Why do people feel like their academic fields are at a dead end?
  125. America's scarcity mindset
  126. Science fiction novels for economists
  127. Bangladesh is the new Asian Tiger
  128. How to criticize China without abetting racism
  129. Are we better off?
  130. Answering the Techno-Pessimists (complete)
  131. Answering the Techno-Pessimists, Part 4: Science Slowdown?
  132. That time conservatives canceled the KKK
  133. A few thoughts on depression
  134. Why do people hate inflation?
  135. Status Anxiety as a Service
  136. Time to temper my optimism?
  137. The future of war is bizarre and terrifying
  138. When to worry about inflation
  139. Yes, lockdowns were good
  140. Masks after the pandemic
  141. Getting rich has never been so random
  142. The Darkness
  143. How Clubhouse might still win
  144. Rabbit = Good Friend
  145. Writing about fertility is really hard
  146. Pandemic UI needs a redesign
  147. Wokeness as old-time American religion
  148. Podcast interview with Cory Doctorow
  149. Contemporary China vs. Imperial Japan
  150. Why politically guided science is bad
  151. Is the Labor Theory of Value useful at all?
  152. The deep economic theory of Bidenomics
  153. The vaccine insurrection
  154. China's government is starting to screw up
  155. Someone has to run the fabs
  156. A tall stack of hot takes
  157. Who should we export the vaccine to?
  158. Ally with Vietnam
  159. How successful are Jews really?
  160. Andrew Yang's ideas are better than you think
  161. Interview: Julia Galef
  162. Noah Smith's writing advice
  163. Republicans and the Great Replacement
  164. Why has climate economics failed us?
  165. I don't get the high-speed rail thing (yet)
  166. Weebs
  167. Bitcoin is upending the world of the rich
  168. The Great Protest Wave
  169. Lessons from the first New Deal for the Next One
  170. Bidenomics, explained
  171. Against Hickelism
  172. Bitcoin mining and resource use
  173. Immigration as the new abortion
  174. China is very 20th century
  175. Yes, experts will lie to you sometimes
  176. Wokeness as respect redistribution
  177. The return of the Macro Wars
  178. Your local price changes aren't inflation
  179. China just isn't very popular
  180. Substack complaints miss the mark
  181. Decarbonization: Think globally, act locally
  182. The Time of Consolidation
  183. Distributed service sector productivity
  184. Checking in on the Global South
  185. Biden is triangulating the Left
  186. Kim's Convenience: The end of the dream
  187. How long will the COVID recession last?
  188. We will not ban cars
  189. Interview: Patrick Collison, co-founder and CEO of Stripe
  190. Biden's first big win (and what comes next)
  191. Answering the techno-pessimists, part 3: The productivity slowdown
  192. Five reasons COVID's ass is grass
  193. Is conflict with China fueling anti-Asian attacks?
  194. All futurism is Afrofuturism
  195. Interview: Saikat Chakrabarti, creator of the Green New Deal
  196. How to fix U.S. foreign policy
  197. Why not tie minimum wage to local rent?
  198. Anti-immigration is a relentless meme
  199. Who cares about the Ivy League?
  200. Video interview: David Shor, political data scientist
  201. Texas vs. The Future
  202. It's not Cancel Culture, it's Cancel Technology
  203. The U.S.' vaccine rollout is world-beating
  204. Silicon Valley isn't full of fascists
  205. Is Biden the "Reagan of the Left"?
  206. Triumph of the HODLers
  207. My sci-fi novel recommendations
  208. Hexapodia podcast, Episode I
  209. Carbon removal is how we make climate change fair
  210. COVID relief isn't stimulus, it's social insurance
  211. Hispanics or coups
  212. Larry Summers' misplaced stimulus anxiety
  213. The end of the War on Islam
  214. Interview: Liam Kofi Bright, philosopher
  215. Innovation: It takes a village
  216. What do short-sellers really do?
  217. GameStopulism
  218. Taiwan is a civilization
  219. Interview: James Medlock
  220. What kind of bubble is Gamestop?
  221. The minimum wage pushback
  222. Can knowledge industries escape superstar cities?
  223. Minimum wage cabals, China showdown, vaccine optimism, and more
  224. The Bernie movement: An assessment
  225. Answering the techno-pessimists part 2: Green energy
  226. No one knows how much the government can borrow
  227. Cyberpunk came true. So what's next?
  228. What was the Trump Era?
  229. The Left-NIMBY canon
  230. Bitcoin cannot store energy
  231. Short thoughts + Bloomberg roundup, 1/16/21
  232. Interview: Claudia Sahm
  233. Why $15 minimum wage is pretty safe
  234. 20 predictions for the 2020s
  235. Short thoughts on the insurrection, 1/13
  236. More short thoughts on the coup
  237. Considerations for a new Fairness Doctrine
  238. Short thoughts on the coup
  239. Housing and wealth-building
  240. Thoughts on America's Cold Civil War
  241. Japanese lessons for the American coup
  242. A Singapore plan for public housing
  243. The Vaccine War
  244. This Week at Bloomberg, 1/3/2021
  245. Ama
  246. Will the U.S. have another civil war? Interview with Paul Staniland
  247. Answering the techno-pessimists, Part 1: life expectancy
  248. Tankies!

2020 30

  1. Shots. Into arms. NOW.
  2. Why immigration doesn't reduce wages
  3. Interview: Dr. Akiko Iwasaki
  4. Chinese Demography
  5. Should you give $600 to Scrooge, or to Tiny Tim?
  6. Nobody says hi in San Francisco
  7. The U.S. government gave out way more than $600
  8. Vaccine allocation, age, and race
  9. Invincible empire?
  10. Book review: "One Billion Americans", by Matt Yglesias
  11. Techno-optimism roundup
  12. RCTs vs. intuition
  13. Batteries and the road not taken
  14. The Texas tech cluster
  15. Why I'm so excited about solar and batteries
  16. How homogeneous is Japan?
  17. No, Pandemic UI didn't kill jobs
  18. The Super-Scary Theory of the 21st Century
  19. Jevons' Paradox won't slow the energy transition
  20. A preview of upcoming posts
  21. The new macro: "Give people money"
  22. Techno-optimism for the 2020s
  23. Actual police defunding
  24. Climate change isn't THAT hard
  25. I have seen the future of housing
  26. Political lying as tribal signaling
  27. MMT and the meme-ification of macro
  28. Tell me what you want, what you really really want
  29. I will never get to go to Hong Kong
  30. Welcome to Noahpinion: The Substack!