West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
2014–2016
1,041 posts
2016 335
December 2016
- The coolest part is when it makes its own planes
- The war on data heats up
- If Soylent actually were people, it would probably be easier on the digestion
- Now that I think of it, maybe all tech reporters should be satirists
- The wonderful thing about age discrimination is that eventually we all get a chance to share the experience
- Happy XKCDmas
- "Albert and Pogo's Christmas" by Walt Kelly
- Bad reporting continues
- Christmas Greetings from Slumberland
- Our annual Toys-for-Tots post
- Among living Americans, there are only two "generations"
- Last minute gift ideas from Cracked
- Two Napoleons and a Potemkin village
- Charter schools and astroturf
- The future of Faraday Future is questionable
- Despite what Munroe says about the industry group, it's still less effective at lobbying than Disney's
- "Disruption" is now officially a dead metaphor
- Vanishing overhead bins in the upsell economy
- Thomas Friedman blogging IV – – good tech is friendly tech
- More excellent work from Adam Conover
- Thomas Friedman blogging III – – a few words from Matt Novak
- Cracked's interesting but self-refuting argument
- Essential tech reporting at Gizmodo [Facebook edition]
- Ordinal wealth and the bigger pie fallacy
- Thomas Friedman blogging II – – failing to learn about "learning faster"
- The Flawed Premise
- Thomas Friedman blogging I – – it's time to kill the "moonshot" metaphor
- More on graphical representations of music
- Tom Hanks, creepy CGI Santa Clauses, and the theological canary in the coal mine
November 2016
- Forget about faithless electors for a moment; it's the faithful we might need to watch.
- Terrestrial superstation blogging – – Luken
- The myth of orthogonality
- It's not what you'd call a pretty sound...
- "As God as my witness..." is my second favorite Thanksgiving episode line [Repost]
- This is joseph i hadnt been thinking
- In anticipation
- Another entry in the Annals of Bad Ideas
- One more for the lexicon: Curse of the First Model
- And no, we are not going to talk about the movie version
- With all this talk of moon bases and Mars missions
- Cracked.com: " Why Hollywood Can Lose Billions & Still Make Terrible Movies"
- Terrestrial superstation blogging – – MGM's the Works
- On the plus side, it's an industry disruptor from a visionary CEO
- I'm just going to post videos till I get my head around things
- More thoughts on the economy
- Talking Points Memo
- "Click"
- Prehistory of the TED talk
- Post-election pondering
- More post-apolitical posts
- It's important to remember the good moments as well
- An important cultural literacy note
- Going out like he went in...
- Even the hitchhiker with the axe... *
- "How to Rig an Election"
- Entrenchment versus democracy
- If Donald Trump is somehow elected president tomorrow...
- "Worth making" does not begin to cover it
- A post-apolitical era(?)
- Trump didn't start Trumpism
- When different interpretations become different realities
- I never thought the “Seven Days in May” joke would become a thread…
- When the meta-dialogue about the campaign starts to sound like the f**king campaign
- Four from Talking Points Memo I'll want to get back to
- Five hour lines and the tell-your-grandchildren effect
- Nevada, either leaning slightly Trump or in the bag for Hillary
- Proof = hearing about things
- However, the real candidate is not filled with tasty treats
- I was joking about the Seven Days in May reference
- It's like a weird mash-up of The Manchurian Candidate and Seven Days in May
- The message is the same but the direction has reversed
- I'd say something about “unintended consequences,” but that implies longer term intent
- Petruchio liberals
- An emerging journalistic subgenre
- In retrospect, it's surprising we don't use more sewage metaphors
- Is this Clinton story becoming a Comey story?
October 2016
- R.I.P. Zacherley (September 26, 1918 – October 27, 2016)
- Happy Halloween from the Mercury Theatre
- Not so much being asked to dig your own grave, as being charged for the shovel
- Growing up in Arkansas...
- Following up on "Calling all political science grad students"
- Why I no longer wait to post speculations on the campaign
- Trump as stressor -- yet another evangelical edition
- Aspect Dominance or just reporters loking for a man biting a dog? -- repost and update
- When we finally get around to discussing range-of-data issues
- Breaking the laugh barrier
- An open letter to Brian Beutler and Ed Kilgore
- [I had a really funny title for this post, honest]
- Saying your opponents won't show up to vote may work as unintentional reverse psychology
- Mormons, Evangelicals and...
- I don't have time to discuss how bad this is
- Even the guy with the axe...
- Do you realize we've been telling these jokes for almost thirty years?
- Evangelicals and clarifying shocks continued [insert Road to Damascus reference here]
- Vivendi, where the shamelessness goes to 11
- A mean looking kid walking by a row of glass houses with a big ol' bag of rocks -- repost
- Rabbit season! Duck season! Rabbit season!
- What they're reading today in Utah
- If you're following politics, you need to be following the religious right. If you're following the religious right, you should be following Charles Pierce.
- Just take that old post I wrote and substitute "Mormon" for "Evangelical"
- Thinking about the rigged election narrative in catastrophe theory terms
- And you thought #LeaveItBlank was out there
- Evangelicals and the clarifying shock
- I've got this idea for a movie about a celebrity fascist propelled to power through the support of baby boomers
- On Sunday posts, electoral math, voter psychology, marketability, and the care and feeding of black swans.
- #Leaveitblank?
- If you start hearing this word a lot a month from now, remember you heard it here first
- "The Conspiracy Behind Your Glasses"
- It was good enough for Robert Redford in Three Days of the Condor
- Inheritance Tax
- A very brief Robert Benchley film festival
- Why AP? -- another assault on conventional wisdom from your friends at West Coast Stat Views
September 2016
- A system with multiple veto points
- How the sugar lobby (effectively) killed RC Cola
- What almost everyone gets wrong about Uber and driverless cars
- The coolest spot in town
- This is what I meant by "a very lonely position"
- “Transformative” remains a word better suited to Hogwarts than to the Harvard Business School
- Damn, we have been hammering at this one for a long time.
- "Never trust a superintendent. They'll lie to your face"
- "Why do you hate us for caring too much?" – – Dispatches from a besieged institution
- “And now the piano stylings of Richard Nixon”
- Yes, things are better
- Sugar versus Fat: which is worse for your heart?
- Two must-read articles on the state of California's charter schools with commentary by Charles Pierce
- Pension Funds: a never ending saga
- A reminder that the New York Times is not a monolith
- Ddulite watch -- annual Apple post
- A quote to close the week
- We haven't talked about this for a while
- We haven't had a visit from Roger for a while
- I don't normally link to Twitter, but...
- The cognitive dissonance phase
- Josh Marshall is the most important journalist of the 2016 election.
- The essential context for this and every other SpaceX story
- Another Day, another dot
August 2016
- Cracked takes on AirBNB
- There's always Ann Coulter.. No,wait. Strike that.
- The logical result of an illogical policy
- Déjà vu all over again
- Adam's back
- When I have time I need to come back to this
- Light posting for a awhile
- College Humor -- "If Internet Ads Were Salesmen "
- What a 12-year-old in the early Fifties expected the 21st Century to look like
- The back of the queue is packed; front is almost empty -- updated
- If James Whitmore were alive alive he'd be booked solid
- New article
- I grew up with a lot of Trae Crowders
- Test-based education reform -- when a means to an end becomes the end itself
- Sad
- Calling all political science grad students
- With Trump, everyone gets their own scandal
- Quote of the Day
- The loss of plausible deniability
- Some of the scariest stuff doesn't even involve Trump
- Weekend blogging -- Moondog
- Of course, Jeff Zucker's standard for doing a really nice job might be different than yours and mine
- "On any other day, that might seem strange"
- To understand Trump, you have to understand right-wing media. To underestand right-wing media, you have to understand...
- Just when I was about to back off from all the "black swan" references
- Today's classic movie clip
- Explaining Trump in Four Words
July 2016
- A fifty-one year old view of the future of high-speed rail
- Aspect Dominance or just reporters loking for a man biting a dog?
- Catching up on Tesla
- And now a brief musical interlude
- Everyone looks good compared to someone
- When catharsis becomes an end to itself
- First it was Andrew Gelman* with the clickbait titles...
- Son, there used to be these things called antitrust laws
- Charter school financing has a way of getting complicated
- Live fast, die young, leave a good-looking resume
- Cracked: "Why Everybody Wins If Batman & Superman Are Public Domain "
- Matthew Stewart on McKinsey and Co.
- The birth of scientific management
- Flashman finds work (again)
- One reason there were so few women in classic cartoons
- If only they had come up with a cool name
- Damn you, Tom Simonite!
- The near miss effect -- what compulsive gamblers and tech reporters have in common [repost]
- In that last paragraph you can substitute in SpaceX, Solar City and the Hyperloop
- In lieu of fireworks, here's some data visualization for the 4th
- This is the sound of the sky not falling
June 2016
- You need to watch this
- This would also be perhaps the first time a question starting with "how does it feel" will produce an interesting answer
- Brexit Bregrets or Polls as Self-refuting Prophesies
- Still coming up to the edge of the 1964 analogy
- "Whom are you voting for? This guy can read your mind." -- with that headline, what could go wrong?
- How long does Trump stick around after the fun stops?
- It's not "vibranium." Hell, it's not even a "hyperloop."
- Red flags -- when contradiction becomes confirmation
- Best pop culture reference by an economist
- The coming of Trump -- what we were saying about journalistic decline and Republican dysfunction here at the blog in 2013 [Part 2]
- The coming of Trump -- what we were saying about journalistic decline and Republican dysfunction here at the blog in 2013 [Part 1]
- We haven't done one of these for a while
- I always tried to do my best on tests. Now I learn the real money is in bombing them
- The rule for distinguishing the serious Hyperloop articles from the BS
- "Life as seen in Dickens' fiction"
- Proposed* Hyperloop** connecting Austria*** to Slovakia to Hungary***
- Squandering journalistic reputations on the Hyperloop, the Economist edition
- Quote of the day
- Donald Trump as stressor – – Phase 2
- That's a lot of weather to be immune to
- Journalistic Betrayals -- Is the NYT experimenting with Pinteresque alternate chronologies?
May 2016
- Too busy to talk about these now but...
- At least it's under $5 billion...
- "Elon Musk does his best Donald Trump impression" -- the invaluable Michael Hiltzik
- Latest video in the Puzzler's Guide to Problem Solving series
- "Wowza" doesn't begin to cover it -- why we need Gawker -- part III
- "How To Party Your Way Into a Multi-Million Dollar Facebook Job" -- the sad state of business journalism [Why we need Gawker -- part II]
- Why we need Gawker -- part I
- Chamberty and barratry -- Josh Marshall takes us through the courts of Ithuvania
- Running a political columnist through the translation app
- Adventures in Ithuvania -- REPOST
- What went wrong with Mars One and Hyperloop coverage -- never let a resolved issue stand in the way of a nice think piece
- Essential Kael
- Keep an eye on the follow-up
- Where were we? Oh, yeah, the Hyperloop
- I'm going to see how far I can go into this thread without using either the expressions "train wreck" or "perfect storm."
- Another puzzle video -- going meta on Dudeney's Beer Barrel Puzzle
- From sandwich-makers to sitcoms -- more tales of monopsony
- What does Mark Thoma think about Jimmy John's?
- The shift from “is not” to “is” framing or when the irresistible appeal of not-Trump meets the immovable obstacle of is-Cruz
- TFA's enrollment woes – the importance of putting numbers into context
- One of these I'm actually going to write that ddulite mega-thread...
- The wages of bad journalism are Trump
- So speaks a person who has never lived with room-mates
- Aleatoricism and Social Media
- Product placements and hidden costs
- How a hit show loses (or perhaps "loses") money
- Puzzle and Problem-solving videos [Doublet edition] – now slightly less beta
- Maybe I'll get around to a post on...
- Dean Dad on Zero Sum Performance
- Context only counts if it shows up in the first two dozen paragraphs
- When is the presumption of reasonableness reasonable?
April 2016
- Actually, Whole Foods are both high-price and high-volume
- Damn, apparently Krugman has gotten to the College Humor staff
- The Monsanto House of the Future
- The “Prisoner's Dilemma” moratorium
- Remembering the St. Francis Dam
- "Likely not peer reviewed"
- Suspensions and calm-down rooms in Boston
- A missing data parable that links to secondary data use
- It still counts as commuting when you do it in an airplane
- Striving to empower positive, problem-solving team members to aspire to inspire to create a culture of yes
- Trump, Hitler and an excuse to post a College Humor video [slightly NSFW]
- Intro to epi -- relative life expectancy
- When moving to a high density urban area increases commuting distance
- When threads collide -- anti-trust and copyright
- Paul Krugman provides a coda to the naked emperors thread
- Deferred futures, unvanished cities and bent spoons -- pre-blogging an Arthur C. Clarke thread
- They only let him slip away / Out of kindness, I suppose…
- When surveys come back and bite you
- When threads collide -- ed reform and the new economy
- "Will More Transit Actually Ease L.A.'s Traffic?"
- Baseball is kind of a slow game -- maybe it leads to ADHD
March 2016
- Location continued
- This is not the mind behind ‘Dilbert’; this is the mind behind the 'Dilberito.'
- Location, Location, Location continued -- more outliers
- Lessons in reading a business story -- location, location, location
- Brooks on Trump -- Denial, Anger, Bargaining, Depression, Acceptance
- Getting an early start to the weekend
- Quotas
- The Wages of Strauss* -- Part II (Josh edition)
- Revisiting "The Battle for New York Schools: Eva Moskowitz vs. Mayor Bill de Blasio"
- Musical Accompaniment
- Suspensions and Race
- Budget spirals
- The Missing White House Tapes -- you can find everything on Youtube
- Policy tangle
- When did following up become the exception instead of the rule?
- You should read the whole thing
- One of these days, we need to have a discussion of Kickstarter...
- The wages of Strauss are Trump
- Hard to believe we've never heard of this guy
- A useful reminder of a key life lesson
- Context for the No-Excuses/Campbell's Law discussion
- Trade and Taxes
- Rob Long on the television content bubble
- Rational decisions based on incorrect assumptions
- ‘If you’ve made them cry, you’ve succeeded in getting your point across’
- In an age of open-carry, that video would have ended very differently
- Still don't want to push the 1964 analogy too far, but...
February 2016
- And, of course... Florida
- I should have posted this quote a long time ago
- I don't have time to write this up...
- As you read this, keep repeating to yourself, "second graders"
- Ayn Rand: a continuing saga
- The Other Seccret Success Academy Tape*
- Just when you thought Hulu's anti-trust issues couldn't get any worse
- "Slam the Exam" = "Game the System"?
- Losing money to build market share
- While we're on the subject...
- Working towward a notion of plausibility -- Krugman on models
- "Some kids don't count"
- “[T]he feeling that you don't believe that black and brown kids can be successful" -- why culture and rhetoric of the reform movement make civil discussion so difficult
- This Mercury being less interested in carrying messages than in filtering tham
- A very good question
- Success is not a scalar
- Slowly he turned*... -- more on Trump and the Nixon Pivot
- Posts I don't have time to write – two from LGM
- "Because you like the story"
- David Frum's well-written Rubio analysis consists of a badly written tweets
- Recognition Kalopsia, Confirmation Kalopsia, Narrative Kalopsia
- Parking and time wasted
- Vivid guesses
- Bob Elliott, R.I.P.
- Iowa -- land of red squares
- Data based decisions work badly with fraudulent data
- The Other Half of the Problem
January 2016
- Remember that pivot thing?
- I think we need to think more carefully about how to make situations like this one less unfair
- Only Trump can go to Nixonland?
- VFX paradox
- More thoughts on the Goffman story
- Success made easy
- Sometimes the side effects matter
- In case you missed it...
- I'm posting this anecdote mainly as a reminder to start using the word "kalopsia" more often...
- Today in education reform
- Redistribution to make society stronger
- Private and public can both be effective
- Ayn Rand and Government?
- Traffic Myths
- I had a busy Monday
- When threads converge -- "How Mickey Mouse Destroyed the Public Domain"
- How you sound to others
- Food stamps, time of the month, and outcomes
- Small changes in taxes
- A Paul Krugman pun so bad even he apologizes
- Even suburban cowgirls get the blues
- Star Wars the Force Awakens (mild spoilers)
- A good new year's resolution
- A thought for the new year: Eisenhower on planning
2015 337
December 2015
- Happy New Year from Windsor McCay and Little Nemo
- This could go poorly
- As currently implemented, MOOCs make no economic sense
- I have serious doubts about the 1964 analogy, but ...
- Miami: the new Venice?
- Principal agent problems
- Albert and Pogo's Christmas
- Public subsidy of health care costs
- In the war on Christmas, it was the evangelicals who took the first shot (literally)
- Why I am unlikely to write a naked emperor post about Talking Points Memo
- "The world’s first $200 million STAR WARS fan-film"
- Our annual Toys-for-Tots post
- Believe it or not, I was working on a post arguing that mainstream journalism had declined in quality when this came up
- Fall flashback -- If I were writing it today I'd make more of Romano's title -- "This is the way Trump ends"
- I really don't snack that much
- Have you noticed how, as journalists have gotten worse, comedians have started stepping up to fill the gap?
- In the Heart of the Sea – – another example of the strange economics of filmmaking technology
- Distracted by the large flock of black swans
- Damn you, Jonathan Chait
- "Confessions of a Republican," Johnson, 1964
- Brooks on a good day
- Whose budget plans are more realistic, Trump or Kasich? (this is not a rhetorical question)*
- Note to self:
- The war on data
- This American Life had two thirds of a great episode on marketing
- Obscure comic book heroes battle (the idea of) cost disease
- XKCD polio
- Argument by outlier
- Kruzno -- the beta
- I haven't posted this in a while...
November 2015
- I actually knew "Entrance of the Gladiators"
- Happy Black Friday
- "As God as my witness..." is my second favorite Thanksgiving episode line [Repost]
- Breaking news: New York Times spots naked emperor at GOP royal court
- Bateman on the Turkey/Russia standoff
- At least Krauthammer's position on Eastasia remains consistent
- Little Nemo Meets Lieutenant Kijé -- Having fun with Kdenlive
- This is not a post
- Perceived value -- Vegas style
- Everyone has an opinion on how to deal with Daesh*; people who read Robert Bateman have a more informed one
- "Who am I kidding? I mean, we all have strings."
- Why I'm not writing a post on Napoleon Hill
- "I was the Duke"
- In the spirit of the day
- If you're going to do a series called "Smarter Every Day," you should probably try to be, well, smarter
- "The Friends of Frank Fay."
- "George" "F." "Will" is no David Brooks
- The Witch of November
- "Heathens don't amount to shucks alongside of pirates" -- understanding Ben Carson
- Groo
- Return of the rabbit ears
- The more things change -- advertising edition
- Just because you're a critic doesn't mean you have to be critical
- Outlaws
- Defending the indefensible for fun and profit – lesson 1: tone and framing
October 2015
- I ain't scared of no posts
- "[POPULAR APP] for [BLANK]" -- it's like Mad Libs but you end up getting twenty million in venture capital
- Corporate statisticians survival guide – – rule of nominal overcompensation
- More Netflix
- This would tend to support the hack hypothesis
- Nonetheless, I still prefer to think of music executives as rapacious creeps
- Things that a data-driven company ought to know
- As cracked.com observed, the fact that Apple chose this guy to represent the competition tells us loads about the way the company looks at its customers.
- With any luck, the last we'll hear from these two
- Martian Climate Truthers
- Meta-perception and plausible deniability
- Papering the house -- Twentieth Century style
- Education reform
- Well, this looks interesting
- Dean Dad on assessments
- Teach For America's aspect dominance*
- Two anecdotes on command economies
- Andrew Gelman: Hoisted from the Comments
- Does nobody read primary sources?
- The welfare state
- "So long and thanks for all the fish"
- We have little evidence that our approach is effective, but at least it's inhumane -- UPDATED
- Three from Marketplace, presented almost without comment
- New York Times definition of the week: "full-fledged investigation" = one Google search UPDATED
- Occam's Razor
- Ken Levine shows us how NBC shows get on the air
- The Daraprim story
September 2015
- Cliches so hoary it hurts to type them
- Revisiting Nate Cohn -- Scott Walker edition
- The magic of markets
- Papering the house -- 21st Century style
- Under our radar
- Disability in the United States
- Jonathan Chait is strongly (but selectively) offended by Islamophobia
- Dynamic scoring
- A natural experiment in journalistic objectivity (or at least a chance to draw a sharp comparison)
- Tasteless joke first, intellectual stuff later
- CARLY and the sliding scandal scale
- Planned Parenthood, channeled information and catharsis
- Some people inefficiencies are other people's core services
- Matthew Yglesias has a good overview of the Jeb cuts
- Mercury and Mars
- Uber as a restaurant
- Naked emperors, standard hack templates and a really bad piece by the NYT's Alan Rappeport -- UPDATED
- Can Uber beat buses?
- Only Nixon can go to China; only Trump can go to Iran and Kentucky -- UPDATED
- Is Trump the leper with the most fingers?
- A must read
- "Maybe there are two different Donald Trumps"
- Interesting discussion of crowdfunding movies
- Or you could flip this around and say that big-budget superhero movies are a terrible investment
- The Tragedy of Mercury
August 2015
- Arguments for a content bubble
- The third reason Trump is so interesting
- An unintentionally informative sentence about the culture of the education reform debate
- Did you know Happy Birthday was copyrighted?
- Hopefully not followed the next day by a BBC segment on what it feels like to be going to Mars
- "... while Governor Bush's attire was tastefully sheer and minimal"
- Trump's first gaffe? (tone of voice:tentative)
- Wishful Analytics
- Who's Afraid of Lonesome Rhodes?
- Donald Trump as stressor – – Five Thirty-eight edition
- More on Joseph the unclear
- Quote of the day
- More naked emperor reporting -- at this point, the NYT is just trolling us
- Rolling back the Civil Rights Movement one school district at a time
- Yes, it is possible to lose money doing this
- Symbiotic relationships, non-aggression pacts and naked emperors
- Mark Thoma and the Sesame Street MOOC
- When the channeling of information goes awry
- "Since John Harvey Kellogg gave C.W. Post his first enema" [Now with working link}
- There is nothing more dangerous than a data-driven system designed and administered by people who don't understand statistics
- And you thought they were kidding
- Joseph is unclear
- Retirement age
- Parking requirements
- Growth fetishists are an optimistic lot
- Harsh Discipline and No-excuse Charters continued
- Harsh Discipline and No-excuse Charters
July 2015
- Supply and demand
- When your business model depends on finding miracle workers, you learn not to check behind the curtain
- Sometimes you just need the punchline
- The strange loves of pundit centrists
- Meritocracy
- Outlier by the Bay
- REPOST -- Maybe the [2012] Republican primary [was] going just as we should [have] expect[ed]
- The Apple Tax
- Let's all take a moment to close our eyes and picture ourselves desecrating the grave of William Proxmire
- "The Fallen of World War II"
- Let's see how many people I can piss off with this one: Fox News is not all that conservative
- Euro-area thought of the day
- Update on the Washington Post piece
- Why Eureka (and implementation in general) belongs in the Common Core debate
- Godzilla vs. Rodan -- digital media edition
- On the plus side, a holographic instant replay machine would be really cool
- Over at the Monkey Cage...
- Sentence of the day: constructive critcism
- From the ashes of New Math
- Sentence of the day: Greece edition
- Opposite day at the Common Core debate
- I'm trying to make a point about executive compensation (and perhaps implicitly about anti-trust laws)
- Video accompaniment
- Perhaps "secrets" isn't exactly the right word
- David Brooks -- wrong in the right way
- I do not have time to heap an appropriate amount of scorn on this...
- "Welcome to Devonian Park"
- In the great halls of Ithuvania, all of the banquets are catered by Whole Foods
- For the math nerds in audience (or as we call them here, "the audience")
- John Lott's tertiary defense
June 2015
- Mark Thoma continues to shine
- Cracked, on the other hand, is very good at talking about math
- There may be a quality control problem here -- nearing the end of the EngageNY thread
- On the teaching blog
- Third, when you call yourselves "Great Minds," you're just asking for trouble
- What high school students are learning about statistics
- Defining dysfunction
- A genuinely funny conspiracy theory
- Captain Outrageous
- Uber and rules
- The New Yorker's culture desk could use a fact checker
- I don't have time to comment on this one
- Eugen Weber explains the origin of window shopping
- Over at the teaching blog
- FYC -- AMC really, really likes Emmy Awards
- What could possibly go wrong?
- Another convoluted IP tale
- Josh Marshall on Scott Walker's anti-tenure push
- Cracked has some fun with ad campaigns
- Land of the Pyramids
- Damn you, Jessica Williams!
- Coming attractions
- Good cop, bad cop
- The issue isn't (just) excessive CEO pay
- What happens when someone actually tests one of Nathan Myhrvold's culinary tips?
- Privacy in and out of the classroom
- Revisiting the SNAP challenge
- The internet has made historical revisionism so much easier
- Yes, I am taking the pro side here on autonomous vehicles
- CLEPs and MOOCs
- Tired blood and Nazi superman vitamin pills
- Dining tip – when eating out with Maureen Dowd, don't share an appetizer
- Before we talk about 21st Century technology...
- Jack Shafer, poster child [repost]
- When the data runs contrary to what people claim
May 2015
- It is a legitimately good sign when a transportation story uses the term “maximum throughput”
- A statistician walks into a grocery store... repeatedly
- Adventures in Ithuvania
- The actual future of the driverless vehicle
- "Inequality and Urbanism"
- "...pretty soon you're talking real money"
- Three from our war on science correspondent...
- Really cheap chickenless chicken and black-bean soup
- The New York Times has a class problem -- "Poor Little Rich Women"
- Seen recently at the food blog
- I haven't made up my mind whether Mike is onto something with the "gentry class" designation
- Fake Data in Political Science
- Blast from the past -- The curse of large numbers and the real problem with p-values
- Very good statistics post (p-value edition)
- Double-talk and Mathiness
- The value(s) of a dollar
- Notes on today's election
- Double Talk
- Another post at the food blog
- Private property
- More on the Business Insider food stamp challenge
- Leave it to an Irishman like Pierce to throw in a puck goat
- Journalists can't shop (I was way too hard on Ron Shaich)
- It might not be a kangaroo at all; it could just be a really big mouse
- I've been watching the national press screw up Arkansas stories all my life
- Getting a handle on the food stamp discussion
- Hey, buddy, can you spare a dime for a cup of coffee? -- no, really
- Musical accompaniment for upcoming pasts on class tourism
- An Arkansas Tea Party group plans an anti-equality rally. Guess what happens next...
- Experiments in blogging -- A Statistician Walks into a Grocery Store
- Not 'diagnostic' in the sense that it aids in diagnosis
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver: Standardized Testing
- Morricone Mondays
- A rich person's idea of a poor person's grocery
April 2015
- Eating reasonably healthy at the 99 Cents Only store
- Not a left/right but a left coast/right coast issue
- 'It's a good thing we didn't see what we just saw.'
- Time of Apollo
- This is where I got my numbers on radiation shielding for Mars One
- A VERY intelligent rover
- “Six Minutes of Terror” -- why Mars landings are so difficult
- "Clutching at straws: the illusion of existing technology" -- more Mars One
- Disclaimer of the week
- Pi
- "Little interest in sequels"
- I thought I had posted these weeks ago
- Another post I won't have time to write
- n-gram ranking can be fleeting
- The best parts always end up on the cutting room floor
- "The van-leader of civilization"
- Self-inflicted Gish Gallops
- California Drought -- Bad Grandfather
- Educational media of yore
- “Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally” -- more for the to-blog pile
- Fmri
- Is the attitude toward Israel another left/right axis shift?
- Little Technophile on the Prarie
- Self driving cars
- An April Fool's Day Repost
March 2015
- I realize we're entering dead horse territory here -- UPDATED
- I don't have time to blog about this
- No part of this project is credible
- Against a stupid meme, the gods themselves contend in vain
- For some reason, this morning I found myself thinking about scams and hoaxes involving space exploration
- Mike the Mad Biologist has a good post on tenure
- At this point, the only things Mars One is likely to get into orbit are the wheels coming off of the bus
- If you're following the Mars One story, you need to read this
- Rocket Boosters
- First class tickets for ships that have sailed
- Annals of unintended consequences
- Enhanced prototype demonstrations
- Elmo Keep's other must-read on Mars One
- Another Mars One update
- The Mars conversation I'd like to be having
- Corporate PR vs. Beat Sweetening -- different but not that different
- I don't have time to discuss it today...
- More on the rise of PR
- A premature diagnosis of cost disease?
- You guys can write this post yourselves -- I'm tired
- More Martian musings – – reality shows and diet pills
- The Decline of Journalism and The Rise of Public Relations
- MOOCs and the Eugen Weber Paradox
- More on Mars One -- I expect this from ABC News but Sheldon?
- The Golden Age of PR
- Cartoon Metalogic
- For investors, all money isn't created equal
- Elegant theories and headless clowns -- more bad tech reporting from the New York Times
- Epidemiology Research
- Defining away concerns about charter school attrition
- Nimoy tribute on MeTV
February 2015
- I was about to slam Krugman for ignoring meaningful counter-examples...
- Bondholders as Stakeholders
- Quick Post: Financial Advice
- CBS joins the terrestrial superstation ranks
- Skimming the cream -- a history lesson from Charles Pierce
- Driverless cars may actually be getting closer
- Checking in with MovieBob
- I don't think you want to go with the "handful" defense
- The politics of that pile of old comics
- Secret Origins -- College Humor
- Repost -- Selection on Spinach*
- Repost -- Selection effects on steroids
- Estimands and targets of inference
- Netflix PR
- Analog recording without analogs
- Some points on Uber
- Why some policy changes should be slow and measured: a case study
- People knew smoking was a bad idea before 1964
- The end of public health?
- Intellectual Property
- Anti-militarism
- Before the age of the fan
- "Every Tech Commercial"
January 2015
- Electronic voting
- What's the big deal about an indictment?
- Great man theory of history: a counter example
- What if Google forgot about passwords?
- Infrastructure maintance and suburban development
- Double bonus false-equivalence points at the New York Times
- “Epidemiology and Biostatistics: competitive or complementary?”
- When a guy from College Humor does a TED talk... no, really
- The War on Data Continues
- “History of the memo”
- The Road to Bakersfield
- The perils of being overly tax aggressive
- Visualizing a different kind of data
- This could almost get me to start listening to the TED radio hour
- Plagiarism -- repeat offendees
- I'm a bit nervous about posting this at the teaching blog
- Crowdfunding research and the threshold of reportability
- Why I am rooting for Netflix (no, really)
- Patent Law and Progress
- There's a flying pig joke here somewhere
- The real challenge of infrastructure
- Innovative business models
- Charles Pierce shows how journalists should acknowledge a mistake
- Push, push, push...
- Happy New Year's -- Little Nemo grows up
2014 369
December 2014
- Some things to keep in mind if you see Annie on New Year's Day
- I'll explain why later...
- Robots, Railguns and Rube Goldberg
- The perils of bell curving
- Modern War
- Today's Principal Agent Problem
- Movies in the modern age
- Happy Holidays
- Incentives and proper incentive alignment: a never-ending series
- Sony's hypercube -- they keep finding new sides to cave in on
- The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
- Accountability is for little people continued -- more thoughts on the Sony hack
- I'm more comfortable blaming the victim a little when the victim has a market cap of twenty billion
- Checking in on the last next big thing
- A quick note on Kružno, official game of the village of Kružno*
- Perhaps claims that are almost certainly false should be fact-checked more thoroughly
- Infrastructure part 2
- Our annual Toys-for-Tots post
- Heroic bureaucrats and annoying foodies -- one reason so many reforms fail
- How do you move diagonally in hexagonal chess?
- Differential levels of technological progress
- The death of the comic book industry (circa 1970)
- I should really come back to this one
- Infrastructure
- Agon alert -- a post for board game geeks
- From commie to Randian and back in under four minute
- The challenge of discussing racism is finding definitions under which you and your friends don't qualify as racists.
- Mars One -- libertarian ideology, ddulite fantasies and the decline in journalistic standards
- A very specific definition of 'exclusive'
- False flags
- Remembering a couple of conservative college columnists
- What's wrong with the press part 10^100 -- people who use 'summer' as a verb
November 2014
- A recent exchange I had with my iPhone
- "As God as my witness..." is my second favorite Thanksgiving episode line [Repost]
- It's not a question of being too positive or negative but of being wrong in both directions
- New side project up at Amazon.
- This isn't about Ferguson, but it may be the most relevant thing you'll read on the subject.
- More bad behavior from your friendly neighborhood cable company
- Megan and Mark are in synch
- Thoughts on the coming storm
- Other than stem cells...
- "Duct tape and string"
- A subtle issue with standardized tests
- James Boyle's devastating take down of Robert Bork
- One of these days I'm going to do a post on genres as fitness landscapes
- What do stock buyback actually do?
- Fixing Common Core (or at least a small part thereof) over at the teaching blog
- James Kwak does a valuable service...
- Annals of heroic inference
- "The unbookable lesson"
- "I'm sorry, the card says 'MOOPS'.”
- Another side to the driverless car discussion
- The Good Wife makes some really interesting musical choices
- Speed boating
- "Deconstructing Common Core."
- This may have led to some bias in our sample
- Obviously the Onion is releasing news under different names
- Education reform and rent seeking -- textbook edition
- Con(firmation) artists and consistency -- inevitable David Brook edition
- A huge conflict of interest -- more from Meredith Broussard's Atlantic piece on textbook companies and standardized tests
- Failures in targeted marketing
October 2014
- Measurement
- Old story, new setting
- Mark says smart stuff
- This is the perfect October clip
- Graphs that make me nervous -- UPDATED
- Yes, a Surgeon General would come in handy right about now
- "—We Also Walk Dogs"
- Optimization and college enrollments
- Mark Evanier points out the fundamental contradiction in conservative complaints about Hollywood's "political correctness"
- Three films
- Have you had your flu shot yet?
- When journalists have an ethical obligation to roll their eyes...
- David Brooks, con(firmation) artist
- Another one for the West Coast Stat View Lexicon -- Farpotshket
- "The skeptics are wrong all the time"
- This is why I think nobody cares about the debt
- Discipline then and now
- Robert Heinlein's house of the future
- The myth of a data-driven Netflix
- Hexagonal Reversi
- Dick Cavett from 2013
- "Velocitas Eradico," Nazi mad scientists and other cool things a little research would have uncovered
- Sneetch class
- Education reform thoughts
- Non-compete agreements
- Assuming I didn't lose you at "TED Talk"
- Two Quotes
- Effect sizes: an often overlooked issue
- Selection on Spinach*
- XKCD -- write your own damned post
- Checking in with Cracked.com -- the website that's better than it has an right to be
- Step-back SAT/GRE problems -- trying something new at "You Do the Math"
- The New York Times' regularly scheduled sackcloth and ashes show
- XKCD Marriage
- “I can no longer accept cash in bags in a Pizza Hut parking lot” -- time to add Pennsylvania to the list
- Now they've got me defending the efficient market theorem...
- I'm going to let someone else bitch about the New York Times for a while
- Examining the rope – – Rotten Tomatoes edition
- Understanding Common Core-aligned math homework
- Two ways of looking at the achievement gap and how the reform debate often misses them both
- Limits of Market Forces: a never-ending saga
- The Thirty Million Words Initiative
September 2014
- Why a predictably breakable rope is better than an unbreakable rope
- The great buried lede of the Common Core debate
- "Marvel, Jack Kirby Heirs Settle Dispute Over Superhero Rights"
- Lots of red flags on this one
- Checking back in on "Netflix and the big swinging check syndrome"
- The Con(firmation) Artists of the New York Times
- What's so bad about working together?
- More shifting alliances -- TPM edition
- More self-defeating comment spam
- Mrs. Johnson's class is doing well. Let's call that a school
- And you have a problem with Joe Camel?
- Artificial intelligence, natural stupidity
- At least we can all agree that ad hominem and overly general attacks are bad
- Yes, it's bear-in-the-pool hot
- Wondering where the numbers come from -- Rotten Tomatoes
- Shifting alliances
- I'm sure it's not an original observation but
- Driverless Cars and Uneasy Riders
- Useful, fun and affordable -- one out of three ain't bad
- Another story that needs to be on our radar -- ECOT
- Jon Chait at his absolute best
- When your business model requires minimal competition
- I know I go on about ignoring Canada's education system
- Selection effects on steroids
- Support your local journalists
- I know I pick on Netflix a lot
- Job security
- The essential distinction between charter schools and charter school chains
- Context is important.
- Netflix and the big swinging check syndrome
- Netflix and the ethics of modern journalism
August 2014
- Barry Ritholtz on Market Timing, Wolf Richter on rigging the IPO market
- One of the most important aspects of Common Core gets relatively little attention
- Accountability at the LAUSD
- Buying a reputation
- A joke but not a hoax
- Victimology
- Yes, people are now talking about flipping schools
- Defining "bad teachers"
- Terrestrial Superstation Watch
- The Big Uneasy
- The Mulford Act
- Well, I'm glad it's not a dispute
- Off by just a quarter century
- Another excerpt from the upcoming ebook
- Addressing Pólya's list
- Checking in with two thousand and ten
- Sometimes you have to remind yourself that you're winning
- Can ConnCan con Conn?
- Pearl on Pólya
- A How to Solve It primer
- This is what a "danger to the staff" looks like
- 'Rigor' is the new 'wholesome.'
- Affinity Khan
- New Math: revisionist narrative watch
- Campbell's law revisited
- Two quotes
July 2014
- Common Core is for the common folk*
- Self-defeating comment spam of the day
- "Obviously, he's kept a very low profile"
- Management salary apologists need to work up some new material -- college edition
- This is simply remarkable
- Caveats
- Delving into the pros and cons of positive thinking over at You Do the Math
- More Michigan corruption and an LA-based observation
- How does one evaluate evidence in complex circumstances
- This not an outlier; this is a business model
- I started to go with "arsonists decry fires, call for more kerosene" but that didn't capture the full disconnect
- My notes on Khan Academy's SAT prep at You Do the Math
- One quote that tells you everything you need to about Florida's culture of charter school oversight
- Florida charters and the not-so-hidden costs of creative distruction
- When I say anyone can run a charter school in Florida...
- More on Florida and the looting phase of education reform
- A bit of context for the Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 conspiracy theories
- As we were saying about 'that's where they keep the money' -- more from the League of Women Voters
- The League of Women Voters weighs in on Florida's charter school scandals
- "We couldn't even afford one Mercedes Benz at Next Generation"
- Two Michigan stories
- Rural hospitals
- Thinking about incentives at You Do the Math
- More on the Jack Kirby copyright case
- Vergara transcripts
- Sometimes when you blow a something up, you just get rubble...
- Ray Fisman on Swedish school vouchers
- Formalizing Next-Big-Thingism
- A lesson about Twitter, TV cameras and life in the public eye
- Helsinki's 'mobility on demand' system and the travel-time landscape
- Unions
- I know there's a verb there somewhere
- Sometimes it really is just because "that's where they keep the money"
- A new post up at You Do the Math pits George Pólya against the education reform movement
- Watching a Variety editor pull back from the obvious on Netflix.
- A bit more background on the Jack Kirby IP case
- Spam
- "Are you sure I had a point A?" -- Ramesh Ponnuru's rhetorical misdirection
- An IP post for the Fourth of July
- Tenure and watchdogs
- If you don't believe me, ask Dilbert
- "How naïve I was."
- Yes, this is work related...
- Gee, I wonder which views she wasn't showing sufficient respect for?
June 2014
- On the bright side, they are supporting the press
- There's a Belleville/Bellevue joke here somewhere
- Great Moments in management consulting
- Warren Buffet and “the institutional imperative.”
- Autism and pesticides
- Warning: our IP thread is about to include some very geeky strands
- "We somehow took the education system that produced the individuals who put a man on the moon with technology less powerful than the phone in my pocket and characterized that education system as a failure using the word 'accountability.'"
- New slogan: "Don't be evil... That's what we have subsidiaries for"
- Framing of discussions is key
- Eli Broad's mixed messages*
- Brad DeLong has an interesting approach to the cost of college problem
- The LA Times' Steve Lopez on the defenestration of Stuart Magruder
- The rise and fall of "innovator"
- Putting aside the question of why Cantor lost
- Well, that didn't take long -- more on Vergara and the perils of legislating from the bench
- My ed reform ddulite study list
- Michael Hiltzik has perhaps the definitive summary so for of the California tenure ruling
- I'll be getting back to this when I'm less disgusted
- I don't think Tyler Cowen is right here, but I hope he is
- More on the California decision
- Understanding McKinsey
- An excellent take on Vergara v. California
- I'm not a lawyer...
- Two quotes presented without comment
- Accountability is for little people
- Does this make sense?
- Charter vs. Charter?
- Pranks as natural experiments
- Weekend blogging -- famous but underrated
- It never rains but pours
- Agricultural round-up
- The near miss effect -- what compulsive gamblers and tech reporters have in common
- "[N]o revenue, no patents, no trademarks, no manufacturing facilities, and no experience"
- Flawed analogy watch -- Comcast edition
- The sad part is this doesn't significantly lower my opinion of Matt Miller
- When it comes to technology journalism, reports of progress don't have to be directionally accurate
May 2014
- Weekend blogging: before the man with no name, there was...
- This time it's different
- Bookable, readily bookable, semi-bookable, ebookable
- What exactly are the stakes?
- Adding in base 8, counting by ten, and other reform fixations
- A good day for a recommendation
- Here's one for the Unqualified Offerings crowd...
- Weekend blogging -- Memorial Day Roger Corman Marathon
- Can nobody work out the incentives?
- A pretty good one-page intro to New Math
- Good grief! -- Sally Brown on New Math [Updated]
- The Aphorisms of Success
- France and jobs
- When "best practices" aren't -- sometimes imitating the successful is a really bad idea
- The two big assumptions behind 'best practices'
- Freakonomics
- I'd like for you all to take a look at something...
- Quoting Pólya quoting Shaw
- Weekend blogging -- Breaker Morant
- "Santa Ana winds blowin' hot from the north..."
- The SAT probably is unfair to the disadvantaged but not for the reasons you've been hearing
- A cyncial take
- Another one for the West Coast Stat Views lexicon: Jethro Models
- Yes, the House is still capable of bipartisan action...
- Weekend blogging -- brought to you by the Good Wife
- A musical introduction to the old "new math"
- Two more for the West Coast Stat Views lexicon: The Jar Jar Binks Paradox and Mathematical Anosognosia
- More futures past -- Highway edition
- A distributional question
- It may be a good thing that I missed this New York Times SAT article when it first came out...
- A Star Wars Day experiment
- Weekend blogging -- perhaps the strangest Donald Sterling tie-in you'll see this week
- "The Heart of Algebra"
- Symmetries and asymmetries of the fringes
April 2014
- I'm amazed that no one seems to have quoted George Bernard Shaw on Donald Sterling and the NAACP
- Problems that (nearly) rich people have -- college edition
- More on understanding the math but not the statistics
- Adam Smith is a deeper thinker than he is often given credit for
- Weekend blogging -- string pragmatists and legal meta-information, two more reasons I wish I could embed CBS clips
- With many standard stories, what gets left out is often the best part
- Why I criticize 538 more than Business Insider (mainly because I don't read Business Insider)
- Believe it or not, we've been talking about the nice Krugman -- some perspective on the 538 debate
- What do grades measure?
- What Nate Silver's critics are actually saying
- Good post on Vox about issues with ordinal variables
- Gauss, the fox who decided to be a hedgehog
- Zombie Alert
- Weekend blogging -- getting VORPal
- 538 and Vox
- The Hedgehog who thought he was a fox -- a cautionary tale
- The moment it became obvious that Nate Silver wasn't really listening to his critics
- Imagine an all-curling channel...
- "N.R.G. Pick-Ups are PURE DEXTROSE" -- junk food health claims through the years
- Degrees of separation – class and capital
- Causal inference is hard
- There are valid reasons to be concerned about the SAT, starting with its history
- Being a management consultant who does not suffer fools is like being an EMT who faints at the sight of blood
March 2014
- Perhaps we should add "opaque" to the list of journalists' vocabulary questions
- Weekend blogging -- due to cuts in arts programs, school orchestras have been forced to adopt extreme cost-cutting measures
- Fiscal prudence (a never ending saga)
- On SAT changes, The New York Times gets the effect right but the direction wrong
- The SAT and the penalty for NOT guessing
- Why I am optimistic about 538
- A tentative foray into e-publishing
- This is also true in Epidemiology
- SAT winners and losers
- Weekend blogging -- What kind of urban culture attracts the creative class? (answered in comic strip form)
- Question of the day
- Sometimes, the SAT you read about in the news doesn't look much like the actual SAT
- Professional Conduct
- Problems with modern reform paradigm
- When threads collide -- David Coleman vs. Prof. Feynman
- Differential growth in life expectancy?
- “The best thing that happened to the education system in New Orleans was Hurricane Katrina”
- A rare RPG post
- Has this person ever worked in a large corporation?
- Texas versus California
- The second half is more remarkable
- This was both entertaining and thought-provoking
- Orthogonality and the SAT
- Negotiation
- More on inequality
- Data Intuition
- Open Data
- How did we miss this one?
- Biomedical Patents
- The frustrations of public health
February 2014
- Copyright
- Back (momentarily) on the terrestrial superstation beat part 1 -- GetTV
- Also true for Epidemiology
- Light posting
- The Outlier by the Bay
- Weekend blogging --Hard boiled (foreign edition)
- Context is everything
- Chip and Pin
- French inefficiency
- "The Wolf of Sesame Street"
- Felix and pensions
- More on the animosity of the education reform movement toward professional teachers
- Free markets: a continuing story
- Points to Ponder
- Feynman beautifully summarizes the problem with 'rigor' in primary and secondary math textbooks
- Jon Chait and Education reform
- "Judging Books by Their Covers" by Richard P. Feynman
- Silcon Valley collusion
- I think Matt should be sad
- “I didn’t like Nixon until Watergate”
- Talking Points Memo misrepresents the Washington Post's Answer Sheet
- Inequality
- Andrew Gelman opens a couple of cans of worms
- Legal uncertainties
January 2014
- Principles?
- DON'T SEND FLOWERS -- NOT DEAD YET
- 33 freaking degrees
- Are we becoming more tolerant of nepotism (and other perks of privilege)?
- Second order effects
- The often dubious "not" in not-for-profit
- An optimistic take on Netflix
- A slightly creepy letter from the CEO of Exxon Mobil
- A belated fact check of an old Felix Salmon Netflix post
- Felix Salmon hits a home run
- A challenge for the math historians in the audience
- The great pedagogical end run
- Catching up on the education beat
- The strange bedfellows of the education reform movement
- Weekend blogging -- Starring the writer...
- Before Michael Lewis, there was George Goodman and "The Money Game"
- Identity politics
- When Common Core is not Common Core (and more importantly, vice versa)