The Curious Engineer

Overcoming Bias

2014–2026

1,497 posts

← 2010–2013

2026 107

October 2026

  1. Skinner, Stewart, Wilson on Deliberate Culture
  2. Why Might Aliens Visit Earth?
  3. Prefer Evolved To Folk Morality
  4. Directed Culture Trials
  5. History of 20 Sources of Moral Authority
  6. Moralized Trends Are Often Extended
  7. Mistaking Context for Virtue
  8. Five Slogans Re Cultural Drift

September 2026

  1. Four Sets of Abstract Moral Systems
  2. Innovation Without Feedback Is Drift
  3. Don’t Other AIs
  4. The Arc of Moral Authority: From Tradition To Interiors To Prices
  5. AI Vs. Human Value Drift
  6. AI Pause Regs Look Risky
  7. What Hidden Motives Imply
  8. Your Conscience Is Not A Moral Oracle
  9. Disclosure Seems Unlikely
  10. Modern Worries

August 2026

  1. Aliens Are Not Crazy Unlikely
  2. Testimony Data Project
  3. Make Peace With Darwin
  4. No-New-Physics Consciousness
  5. Digital Mind Suicide
  6. Digital Mind Castes
  7. The Modern Mind's Fatal Flaw
  8. Easy To Hard Discipline Academic Careers Paths
  9. How To Be A Usually-Right Contrarian
  10. Status And Social-Skill Bias
  11. Why Sheep Need Pigs in Sheepdog’s Clothing

July 2026

  1. Who Are Your "Descendants"?
  2. Our Likely Future Filter: World Govt
  3. The End Of Culture
  4. 200yrs of Reasons For World Govt
  5. LLM-judged policy debates
  6. Overly Smooth Drained Strict Costly Norms
  7. Callard's Uni-Context
  8. This Time Is Always Different
  9. Firm Inside Info Auctions
  10. Why So Lucky In Weights?
  11. My Politics

June 2026

  1. AI Solution to Cultural Drift?
  2. Beware Change-Blocking Priors
  3. Sacred Identify
  4. Overcoming Sincere Prestige Bias
  5. Hanania On Populism
  6. Our Eight Great Contests
  7. Do Polymath LLMs Love Big Brother?
  8. Legible Forager Stories
  9. The Promise of Polymath LLMs
  10. Biotech Paper Game
  11. Why Excess Regulation?
  12. How Weak Is Cultural Evolution?
  13. We Must Change How We Source Morality

May 2026

  1. Meta-Institutions Matter Most
  2. The Elephant In The Op-ed
  3. Toward-Forager Predictions
  4. Staying Like Foragers
  5. Past & Future of Good & Evil
  6. The Return Of Culture
  7. Four Culture Fixes
  8. The Coming Hackastrophe
  9. On Politics And Governance
  10. Figure Stuff Out Together

April 2026

  1. On Prediction Market Regulation
  2. Where You Are Most Wrong
  3. Intellectual Populism Trend
  4. My Best Idea: Decision Markets
  5. Why Focus On Mid-Level Goals?
  6. My Class And Goals
  7. Power Futarchy
  8. Remake or Replace Tribes
  9. Cultural Network Structure
  10. Seeking Culture Epics
  11. Why Ban Sports Bets?
  12. Project Hail Mary
  13. When AI Day of Reckoning?
  14. Our Uphill Battle
  15. More Fatal Conceits
  16. Nations Double-Down on Status

March 2026

  1. Authenticity as Grace
  2. Finish The Industrial Revolution, Or Bust
  3. Many Culture Causes
  4. How Meaning Makes Suffering
  5. Whose Mistake US Slavery?
  6. We Submit By Banning Blackmail
  7. Insider Journalism
  8. Are Humans Egalitarian?

February 2026

  1. Macro Cultural Debt
  2. Buying News By Metric
  3. Treat Info Institutions Alike
  4. Our Modern Mistake
  5. AI is Acceleration
  6. Mature Cultural Desire
  7. Capitalist ≠ Voluntary
  8. Situate Your Essay
  9. The Myth of Libertarian Vs Authoritarian
  10. Your Deepest Value is Adaption
  11. Answered Prayer Seems Implausible

January 2026

  1. Dependence Drives Group Thickness
  2. Toward Legible Adaption
  3. Cultural Rationality
  4. Novels See Only Politics Changed By Facts
  5. Why Not Firm Youth Movements?
  6. Our Slapdash Cultural Change
  7. It's Your Job To Keep Your Secrets
  8. Christian Cultural Drift
  9. Academia’s Abstraction Failure

2025 127

December 2025

  1. They Will Blame You
  2. Why Modern Art
  3. Our Rationality Future : Quit, All-in, or Bust
  4. Three Value Clumps
  5. Left And Right As Abstract Non-Conformist Hypocrisy
  6. Cultural Variety Is Crazy Hard To Fix
  7. What Is Liberal Futarchy?
  8. A Governance Innovation Crisis
  9. A Status Story of Modern Abstraction
  10. Wealth, Reason Weaken Culture
  11. My Big Ask
  12. Prediction Markets Now
  13. The Money Ick
  14. Market Sabotage is Rare
  15. The Rise And Fall of Abstraction

November 2025

  1. The Male Gender-War Advantage
  2. US War Dept’s Big UFO Lie
  3. Pay Pariah Cults?
  4. Cultural Forces
  5. News Error Markets
  6. Civs Rot
  7. No-Corner Futarchy
  8. Our Precious
  9. Public Opinion Is Culture
  10. The Big Public Failures
  11. If Punching Up is OK, So Is Punching Down

October 2025

  1. Neither Dominance nor Prestige: Rank
  2. What Debts Make Decay?
  3. You Are Not Your Values
  4. Power Corrupts Prestige
  5. Beware Moral Confidence
  6. How Limit “Gambling”?
  7. What Do Humans Want?
  8. Beware Competent World Govt
  9. Futarchy's Minor Flaw

September 2025

  1. Left Vs Right As Bickering Backseat Kids
  2. This Too Shall Pass
  3. Culture Is High Dimensional
  4. If Anything Changes, All Value Dies?
  5. Three Kinds of Contrarian
  6. Skinner’s One Ring To Rule Culture
  7. The Biggest Innovations Are Adaptive
  8. More Random Than We Realize
  9. Yay Adaptivist Activists
  10. Big Institution Changes by 2075

August 2025

  1. My Hopes For Rationality
  2. Is Modernism Due To Youth Culture?
  3. Futarchy To Pick Ad Agency
  4. Blame the Self-Seen Victim
  5. Decide Now; We Won’t Know Much More Later Re UFOs
  6. We Need Elites To Value Adaption
  7. Pre-Sputnik Earth-Orbit Glints
  8. The Joy Of Submission
  9. A Curious Lack of Curiosity
  10. Beware Boldly Going Together
  11. Repudiation Markets
  12. Poverty Insurance Audit Juries
  13. Beware Macro Decay Modes
  14. Beware Moral Confidence

July 2025

  1. Ngram Diversity Trends 1960+
  2. Moral Compromise
  3. Modern Culture Trends
  4. Why Modern Sincerity
  5. An Affirmation Puzzle
  6. Morally Full Of Ourselves
  7. High-Dimensional Foraging
  8. 3 Levels of Culture Fixes
  9. Reason’s Overreach

June 2025

  1. Why Modernist Value Changes?
  2. How Adaptive Modern Fiction?
  3. Seeing like a STEM
  4. Combos Cut Long-Shot Bias
  5. Sexism Promoted Farmer Monogamy?
  6. Decision Conditional Prices Reflect Causal Chances
  7. Futarchy Liquidity Details
  8. A Virtuous Governance Cycle
  9. Dangers of Competent Governance

May 2025

  1. Intuitions Have Context
  2. Stories Are Behavior, Explained
  3. My Complaint Re Academia
  4. Key Gadget: Pro-Equilibria Norms
  5. Politics and Culture
  6. Choice At Different Abstraction Levels
  7. Advisory Futarchy
  8. Details Avoid Bias
  9. Sincerity Adds To Drift
  10. Elite Confidence
  11. Surprisingly Blind
  12. Abstraction Worsens Drift

April 2025

  1. Culture-Guiding Futarchy
  2. Can Humanity Choose Its Future?
  3. Songs Regulate Emotion
  4. Adaptive Status Markers
  5. Status Marker Polls
  6. Efficiency Is Sacred
  7. AI Is GPT, & GPTs Go Slow
  8. Should I Be Clearly Conservative?
  9. Might Makes The Best Right
  10. Why Not Inquire Together More?
  11. Seek What Outcomes Via Futarchy?
  12. Unleash Capitalism
  13. Futarchy For Fundraising

March 2025

  1. Turn The Ship Or Leave on Lifeboats
  2. Join We Meta-Adaptionists
  3. What Do I Want?
  4. What Things Really Feel?
  5. Romantic Decay As Cultural Drift
  6. Futarchy As Meta Governance
  7. Philosophical Angst Is Culture Skepticism
  8. Respect The Social Wild

February 2025

  1. Can Systems Stop Culture Drift?
  2. Four Awakenings
  3. Our Big Oops
  4. Futarchy And Self-Dealing Governance
  5. Futarchy and the Transfer Problem
  6. Reenacting Trauma
  7. When They Hear Less Than You Say
  8. My Status Circles
  9. UFO As Aliens Odds, Spending

January 2025

  1. Federal Futarchy
  2. Celebrity v CEO v Politician
  3. Gender Norms Are Complex, Opaque
  4. Beware Shared Basic Value Changes
  5. What Would Socrates Do?
  6. Toward More Direct Signals
  7. Fear Change
  8. Feels Gone Wrong

2024 109

December 2024

  1. What Culture Can You Trust?
  2. Decision Selection Bias
  3. What Priority The Innocent?
  4. Conquest and Liberation of Academia
  5. Hail Jeffrey Wernick
  6. Arntz-Gray & I Talk Feminism
  7. The Two Big Games
  8. Culture Status Report
  9. Cultural Scenario Probabilities

November 2024

  1. Love And War And Status
  2. Futarchy Futurism
  3. No Meta Status Orgs
  4. Beware Policy Abstraction
  5. Tension-Filled Black Holes

October 2024

  1. How Every Empire Falls
  2. Prioritizing Concrete Proposals
  3. Drift Poll Winner: Rational Culture
  4. Our Authoritarian Default
  5. Beware Value Dashboards
  6. Who You Are Vs. What You Control
  7. Capitalism, Govt Causes Culture Woes?
  8. Betrayed By Culture
  9. Culture Drift Predicts Decadence
  10. Do The Easy Neglected Task
  11. Status Is Your God

September 2024

  1. What Features Matter Most?
  2. Quantity Enables Quality
  3. Floppy vs Stiff Concepts
  4. When Lawyers Sing
  5. Beware System Decay
  6. Dreamtime Drift
  7. Modernism Tests Cultural Drift
  8. Messengers Wanted
  9. Join me at Interintellect
  10. Rational Culture
  11. On Liberality
  12. Kipping on Grabby Aliens

August 2024

  1. Life Without Hard Steps?
  2. The Big Econ Error
  3. Why Don’t Gamers Win At Life?
  4. How Far Might We Fall?
  5. Culture Policy Is Neglected
  6. Was Romance The Proto-Sacred?
  7. Don't Enslave Digital Minds
  8. Rational Culture Choice
  9. Futarchy Details

July 2024

  1. Are The Smart Blind To Adaption?
  2. Fighters Vs. Fight Analysts
  3. Cryonics Chances
  4. Open Talk Friday on Cultural Drift
  5. My Culture Posts
  6. Concepts of Culture
  7. Convo on Culture
  8. Cultural Drift Of Digital Minds
  9. Nature, Culture, Or Law?
  10. On Worker Equity
  11. Neo Social Darwinism
  12. Who Cares About The Future?
  13. History of Social Darwinism
  14. Culture-Oriented History

June 2024

  1. A Stuff Fetish
  2. Meta Jury Markets
  3. Humanity's Sports Car Has Broken Steering

May 2024

  1. Beware Moral Fashion
  2. Authorized Heretics
  3. What Exactly Is “Magic”?
  4. Robust Efficient Fertility
  5. How Long Will Population Fall?
  6. Hard Vs. Soft Culture Fixes
  7. More On Evolved Values
  8. I Fear Maladaptive Culture
  9. Why Exactly Won’t We Build?
  10. Youth Drive Cultural Drift
  11. How Fix Cultural Drift?

April 2024

  1. Second Response to Alexander on Medicine
  2. Feud-Limiting Norms
  3. Response to Scott Alexander on Medical Effectiveness
  4. Culture As A Cruel Master
  5. Who Warns Of Warners?
  6. Hail Cecilia Heyes
  7. Bostrom’s Deep Utopia
  8. World Value Drift
  9. Old Folks See Culture Change
  10. Hail Richerson & Boyd
  11. Systems Explain STEM vs Culture Style

March 2024

  1. On Culture Talk
  2. How Do Values Change?
  3. Caplan's Build Baby Build
  4. Libertarianism As Deep Multiculturalism

February 2024

  1. Polymaths Are Late Bloomers
  2. The Mystery of Order
  3. Why Not For-Profit Govt?
  4. The Good and Bad Of Academia
  5. Our Tenured Civ
  6. Why Crypto

January 2024

  1. Elite-Only Financial Markets
  2. Why The Line
  3. Brink Lindsey's Doubts
  4. My Fertility Posts
  5. Are We A Tower of Babel?
  6. Incentives Are Not Enough
  7. Paid Subscriber Discussion
  8. Five Fertility Fails
  9. Spirit Vs. Letter of Law
  10. Stasis is Illiberal
  11. Social Miracles As Hostage Exchange
  12. Crediting Conservatives
  13. Culture is Coordination
  14. How Much More Innovation Before Pause?

2023 104

December 2023

  1. Why First Impressions Matter Too Much
  2. Vet Abstractions
  3. To See Into Crevices, Add Light
  4. Against Kind Informed Voters
  5. Truly Sacred Things
  6. Resenting The Resentful
  7. Mutual Admiration Societies
  8. We Can BUY New Culture
  9. Opacity Blocks Agreement
  10. Recalibrating Respect
  11. Evidence Order Bias

November 2023

  1. Frank’s Book Of Little Aliens
  2. After Eating It, Software Will Bite The World
  3. Choose: Cultural or Bayesian Morality
  4. Honing Fertility Fall Theories
  5. Bow To Our Future Overlords
  6. Fertility Fall From Selection Neglect
  7. Ancient Fertility Quotes
  8. Why Not Heterodox Research?
  9. Making Sense of Girard

October 2023

  1. What If Culture Is Unstable?
  2. Prince For President
  3. Fix Zoning Via Self-Set Tax Package Buys
  4. Two Cheers For Capitalism
  5. Which Political Axis?
  6. Explaining All The Weird UFO ‘Aliens’
  7. Why Not Synch?
  8. Turn the Ship, or Abandon It
  9. A Fertility Reckoning
  10. Four Uses For Personal Tax Assets

September 2023

  1. Can Govt Debt Solve Fertility?
  2. Origins of Woke
  3. The Return of "Commune-ism"
  4. Will Nations Fund Fertility?
  5. Escalating Signals Cut Fertility

August 2023

  1. What Does Your Money Vow?
  2. Smiles By Gender
  3. 16 Fertility Scenarios
  4. Myth of Left and Right
  5. Shrinking Economies Don’t Innovate
  6. Regulating Tech
  7. Suggest a Post Topic
  8. Why Interpret Me?
  9. Buy Health Update
  10. To Sue Or To Shun?
  11. Bad Raisins in Good Pudding

July 2023

  1. How Deregulate Govt?
  2. Visiting Death
  3. Status Leadership
  4. How Fast Are Private, Govt Solutions?

June 2023

  1. Four Cases for Panspermia
  2. Defy Your Neck-Hairs
  3. UFOs: What the *Further* Hell?
  4. Gender And Status

May 2023

  1. Is Discrimination About Inequality?
  2. The Sacred Shaped Hole in Our Hearts
  3. To Imagine AI, Imagine No AI
  4. Which Of Your Origins Are You?
  5. AI Risk Convo Synthesis
  6. Our Alien Stalkers
  7. Fertile Factions
  8. Let's Talk

April 2023

  1. My Awkward Inference
  2. Rejection Bias
  3. Foom Liability
  4. Toward Consecrated Capital
  5. Types of Partiality
  6. Most AI Fear Is Future Fear
  7. Equal, Yet Unequal

March 2023

  1. Robots-Took-Most-Jobs Insurance
  2. For Long-Term Influence, Pick A Side
  3. LLMs For On-Brand Org Text
  4. Inquiry Porn
  5. Women As Worriers Who Exclude
  6. Why Is Law Perverse?
  7. AI Architecture
  8. Classic Seduction Scene
  9. Magic Kingdom
  10. Turns Out, I Believe In Magic
  11. Why Tenure
  12. Democracy Needs Free Speech
  13. Statement of Commitment to Academic Freedom and to Intellectual Merit
  14. Sacred Talk
  15. AI Risk, Again

February 2023

  1. Law Free Zones
  2. Tim Urban’s What’s Our Problem?
  3. Who Can Words Hurt?
  4. How Weird Inside Black Holes?
  5. Elite Vs Expert “Innovation”
  6. Overcoming Bias is Now on Substack
  7. Only Physics Computes
  8. Explain The Sacred
  9. Why Is Everyone So Boring?
  10. Religion Can Divert Sacred Energy

January 2023

  1. How Planning Helps
  2. Prediction Market Quotes
  3. The Price of Nations
  4. Why Not Limit City Citizenship?
  5. Are Elites Displacing Experts?
  6. Rah Capitalist Imperialists
  7. HFT as Crazy Huge Market Failure
  8. Are Financial Markets Too Short-Term?
  9. I See Stylists Everywhere
  10. Earth: A Status Report

2022 123

December 2022

  1. Where You Stand Versus Sit
  2. More Data On The Sacred
  3. On-Demand All-Topic Courts
  4. Status App Concept
  5. Elites Must Rule
  6. Less Talk Context
  7. We Sweat Big Stuff Badly
  8. Who Owes Who What?
  9. Coming soon
  10. Explaining Christmas
  11. Yet More Elites Vs Experts

November 2022

  1. Heresy Helps You Think
  2. Thinkers Must Be Heretics
  3. An Alien War Nightmare
  4. Sacred Money
  5. Clean Politician Bonds
  6. My Videos
  7. More Or Less Sacred
  8. Preferred Unfair Evaluations
  9. Why Not For-Profit Government?
  10. Who Watches The Watchers? You.
  11. Land Speculators Made U.S.

October 2022

  1. Sacred Pains
  2. Why We Don’t Know What We Want
  3. What Will Be Fifth Meta-Innovation?
  4. New Tax Career Agent Test
  5. Testing Tax Career Agents
  6. Fossil Future
  7. Replace G.P.A. With G.P.C.?
  8. More Academic Prestige Futures
  9. Complex Impact Futures
  10. Needed: World Suggestion Box
  11. Divorcing Tax Career Agents

September 2022

  1. Values Are Facts
  2. Beware Mob War Strategy
  3. Beware Profane Priests
  4. Sacred Inquiry
  5. Evaluating “Feminism”
  6. Hail Industrial Organization
  7. Sacred Distance Hides Motives

August 2022

  1. We See The Sacred From Afar, To See It Together
  2. Bizarre Accusations
  3. MacAskill on Value Lock-In
  4. AGI Is Sacred
  5. Is Nothing Sacred?
  6. Moral Progress Is Not Like STEM Progress
  7. A Portrait of Civil Servants
  8. Violent Offense Under Bounties & Vouchers

July 2022

  1. Who Should Be Our “Adults”?
  2. Beware Upward Reference Classes
  3. Hating On Personal Equity
  4. Cook’s Critique of Our Earliness Argument
  5. Beware Sacred Cows
  6. Objectification As Emotional Labor
  7. For What Do We Want To Be Wanted?
  8. Why We Blame Victims
  9. Space Econ HowTo
  10. Hiding Motives From Yourself
  11. Our Level In the Great Filter
  12. Brand Truth Narrowly
  13. Artful Supporting Complaints
  14. More/General Agents in NBER

June 2022

  1. Branding Report Professions
  2. Selling Safaris
  3. Why Not Wait On AI Risk?
  4. Re An Accused, Tell The Truth
  5. You Owe Your Parents Grandkids
  6. UFOs as US PsychOp
  7. Why Be Romantic
  8. Beware Cosmic Errors
  9. Why Allow Line Cutting?

May 2022

  1. Argument Selection Bias
  2. You Choose Inequality
  3. Decision Market Math
  4. New-Hire Prediction Markets
  5. Prediction Markets Need Trial & Error
  6. Lottery Lawsuits, For Small Harm Law
  7. Why Did Religion Change?
  8. Foom Update
  9. What Do We Owe The World?

April 2022

  1. The Meaning of Life
  2. Dealism
  3. Hidden Motives In Law
  4. Will Design Escape Selection?
  5. Intellectual Prestige Futures
  6. Hello Alien Polls
  7. The Accuracy of Authorities
  8. AI Language Progress
  9. Great Filter With Set-Backs, Dead-Ends

March 2022

  1. We Trust The Statusful
  2. Sensible Antitrust
  3. Friends, Factions, And Status
  4. Unblinding Our Admin Futures
  5. From Norms to Law In War
  6. Make Law Like Couches, Not Cars
  7. Are Firms Today’s Low Class?

February 2022

  1. Rationality As Rules
  2. Self-Set Legal Liability
  3. J. Phil. Critique of Ems
  4. Can We Tame Political Minds?
  5. Want Your Complaint Heard?
  6. Losing My Religion
  7. On Disagreement, Again
  8. Brainwashing is Sorcery
  9. Can Combined Agents Limit Drugs?
  10. The Planiverse
  11. Against Day Fines
  12. Me on Prediction Markets
  13. Wait To Marry A Cause
  14. Why Inequality Fell Then Rose
  15. Foreign Policy Is Incoherent

January 2022

  1. Life in 1KD
  2. Me on Tyler on Bryan on Labor
  3. Discussion Contests
  4. New Sport of Debate?
  5. Medical Doubts OpEd
  6. Exploring Value Space
  7. Best Case Contrarians
  8. Much Talk Is Sales Patter
  9. My Old Man Rant
  10. My 11 Bets at 10-1 Odds On 10M Covid deaths by 2022
  11. On What Is Advice Useful?
  12. To Innovate, Unify or Fragment?

2021 124

December 2021

  1. Innovation Liability Nightmare
  2. Karnataka Hospital Insurance Experiment
  3. Three Types of General Thinkers
  4. We Don’t Have To Die
  5. How Group Minds Differ
  6. What Hypocrisy Feels Like
  7. Coming Commitment Conflicts
  8. On Evolved Values

November 2021

  1. Argument Foreplay
  2. The Coming World Ruling Class
  3. Will World Government Rot?
  4. Minds Almost Meeting
  5. What I Hold Sacred

October 2021

  1. ‘The Profit’ Socialism Challenge
  2. An ‘Amazon’ of Online College?
  3. What Makes Stuff Rot?
  4. Are Political Freedoms a Fluke?
  5. How Do Aliens Differ?
  6. Status Explains Lots
  7. ‘Long Reflection’ Is Crazy Bad Idea
  8. Beware Centralization

September 2021

  1. To Cut Inequality, Face Hard Choices
  2. Yay Argument Orientation
  3. Elite Biases Make Policy Biases
  4. Are You Your Best Career Agent?
  5. The Insular Fertile Future
  6. Think of the (Alien) Children!

August 2021

  1. Competition Cuts Spite
  2. Be The Emperor’s Kid
  3. What Are Universities For?
  4. Why Taxes Or Control, Not Subsidies?
  5. Why Not Innovate More?
  6. What is ‘Elite Overproduction’?
  7. Why Not Extend Formal Social Systems?
  8. Douthat’s God Argument
  9. Why Does Reason’s Reach Vary?
  10. Seeking Status Fashion Stats
  11. Green Knight Disses Glory
  12. Neglecting Hard-To-Judge Abilities
  13. Status Madness Starves Religion
  14. Envisioning Artificial Life
  15. How High Our Elite Tax?

July 2021

  1. Will Tech Help Totalitarians?
  2. Brin’s UFO Questions
  3. Fading Past Blocks Simulation Argument
  4. Why Are We Weird?
  5. Doing Intelligent Design Right?
  6. Opinion Entrenchment
  7. DIY vs. PFR Matchmaking
  8. Seeing ANYTHING Other Than Huge-Civ Is Bad News
  9. You Don’t Want To Know Your Limit
  10. The Coming Cosmic Control Conflict

June 2021

  1. Replace Govt As Career Agent
  2. We Moderns Are Status-Mad
  3. UFOs – What The Hell?
  4. Report UFOs as Physical Likelihood Ratios
  5. Give Tyler His Due
  6. Comment Requested
  7. “Artificial” = Not-Self-Made?
  8. Would UFO Aliens Be Our Gods?
  9. How School Goes Wrong
  10. Protecting Hypocritical Idealism
  11. On UFOs-As-Aliens Priors
  12. Skirting UFO Taboos
  13. UFOs and Status
  14. Who Wants Curated Democracy?

May 2021

  1. Biologists Taboo Artificial Life
  2. Roemer’s Socialism
  3. The Biological Universe
  4. Views Aren’t About Sights
  5. “If We Win, You Win”
  6. Panspermia Siblings
  7. Status Trumps Argument
  8. Who Watches Discrimination Watchers?
  9. When The Tabooed Taboo
  10. Parsing Pictures of Mars Muck
  11. UFOs Show Govt. Competence As Either Surprisingly High Or Low
  12. The Debunking of Debunking
  13. Theories Of Unnatural Selection
  14. Subtext Shows Status

April 2021

  1. Motive/Emotive Blindspot
  2. Shoulda-Listened Futures
  3. Schulze-Makuch & Bains on The Great Filter
  4. Explaining Regulation
  5. Try-Two Contest Board
  6. Do Your Thoughts Scale?
  7. Managed Competition or Competing Managers?
  8. A Zoologist’s Guide to Our Past
  9. Real Vs. Fake Stories: Complements or Substitutes?
  10. Position Vs. Topic Contrarians
  11. Reviving Freedom of ‘Religion’
  12. Response to Suri Re Futarchy
  13. Prefer Law To Governance
  14. To Beat Aliens, We Must Become Aliens
  15. Meta-Comments On UFO Talk

March 2021

  1. Explaining Stylized UFO Facts
  2. UFO Stylized Social Facts
  3. Given Our Date, Is Sun Birth Late?
  4. Are Expansive Aliens Obvious?
  5. Power Laws Approximate Appearance
  6. Super Hostile Takeovers
  7. Live And Learn
  8. Who Wants Good Advice?
  9. Sell Tax Rights To Make Agents
  10. Our Default Info System: Status And Gossip
  11. What Holds Up A North Pole of Dust?
  12. Do Foo Fighters Show Our Snafu Fubar Future?
  13. Non-Grabby Legacies
  14. SETI Optimism is Human Future Pessimism
  15. An Org Games Example
  16. Separate-To-Make-Equal Vaccine Queues?

February 2021

  1. Is Status-Seeking A Context-Neglecting-Value?
  2. Hail S. Jay Olson
  3. What Is At Stake?
  4. How Long Will We Distance?
  5. Who Wants Common Sense?
  6. More on Experts Vs. Elites
  7. The InDirect-Check Sweet Spot
  8. Experts Versus Elites
  9. Counter-Signaling On Aliens
  10. Humans Are Early
  11. An Adventure

January 2021

  1. Why We Can’t See Grabby Aliens
  2. Try-Menu-Combo Filter Steps

2020 136

December 2020

  1. Long Views Are Competitive
  2. The Long Term Future of History
  3. How Far To Grabby Aliens? Part 2.
  4. How Far To Grabby Aliens? Part 1.
  5. Re Privacy Wars, Sue For Peace
  6. Reliable Private-Enough Physical Identity
  7. Social Proof, But of What?
  8. If Aliens Are Near
  9. Searching For Eden
  10. Try-Try or Try-Once Great Filter?

November 2020

  1. Keep Govt Officials Out of Life Details
  2. Why We Fight Over Fiction
  3. Hidden Motives of Gratitude
  4. The Pandemic Monkey Trap
  5. Five Important Topics
  6. Who Wants Social Insurance?
  7. Easy Conspiracy Tests
  8. Centrists Outside The Overton Window
  9. The Real Problem
  10. ALL Big Punishment Is “Cruel”
  11. Universal Basic Dorms
  12. We Will Never Learn More On Consciousness
  13. Join The Universe
  14. Six Struggles Surrounding Status
  15. Prestige As Mob-Enforced Dominance
  16. Prestige in US Today
  17. Why Abstaining Helps
  18. Why Do We ‘Rest’?

October 2020

  1. Who To Privilege Re Testimony?
  2. A Call For Cancel Courts
  3. Randomize Judges Widely
  4. What Are Parents Owed?
  5. Win-Win Babies As Infrastructure
  6. Optimum Prevention
  7. We Are Over-Preventing Covid
  8. Personal Energy Apps
  9. Contra-Counting Coalitions Value Variety
  10. Socialism: A Gift You’d Exchange?
  11. What Do Workers Want?
  12. The Socialist Manifesto
  13. Rulesy Folks Push Paternalism

September 2020

  1. Yay Parliaments
  2. Why Not Clearer Legitimacy?
  3. Our Hidden Motive To Submit
  4. Abstract Views Are Coming
  5. How To Pick A Quack: Theory
  6. The World Forager Elite
  7. Elois Ate Your Flying Car
  8. Honest Putdowns
  9. Specialized Innovation Is Easier
  10. Time Reversal In Tenet
  11. Our Brave New Merged World
  12. Remote Work Is Teleportation Lite

August 2020

  1. Common Econ Critiques
  2. How To Pick A Quack: Data
  3. Russell’s Human Compatible
  4. Lognormal Priorities
  5. Sim Argument Confidence
  6. Lost Advanced Civilizations
  7. Breadth, Humor Show Privilege
  8. Dominance Explains Paternalism
  9. Remote Work Specializes
  10. What Future Areas Matter Most?

July 2020

  1. Incentivized Guardians
  2. Innocent Verdicts
  3. School Vouchers As Pandemic Response
  4. Beware RightTalkism
  5. Future Timeline, in Econ Growth Units
  6. Thomas More on How to Corrupt Law
  7. We Colonize The Sun First
  8. Utopia’s Garden, World, and Wall
  9. Board Games As Policy Arguments
  10. Seeking Robust Credible Expertise Buyers

June 2020

  1. Problem-Owners Tolerate Risk
  2. Risk-Aversion Sets Life Value
  3. The Commanding Heights of Culture
  4. Toward A University Department of Generalists
  5. On Our Own
  6. No Recent Automation Revolution
  7. Philosopher Kings in Blue?
  8. Missing Model: Too Much Do-Gooding
  9. Science 2.0
  10. Max Policing Is Disproportionate

May 2020

  1. The High Cost of Masks
  2. Time to Mitigate, Not Contain
  3. Pandemic Futarchy Design
  4. Five Ways to Rate
  5. Farrell On Who Pushes To Open
  6. Lazar’s Dreamland
  7. Modeling the ‘Unknown’ Label
  8. Non-UFO Local Alien Clues
  9. Why Openers Are Winning
  10. Social Network Games
  11. The Plan A Winner’s Circle Alliance

April 2020

  1. Constant Elasticity Prevention
  2. 2 Lockdown Cost-Benefit Analyses
  3. Vouch For Pandemic Passports
  4. Why Does Govt Do Stuff?
  5. Subpoena Futures
  6. What Can Money Buy Directly?
  7. Why Not More Job Agents?
  8. Three Futures
  9. A Perfect Storm of Inflexibility
  10. Covid19 Pizza-Risk Estimator
  11. Peter Doherty on Variolation
  12. Variolation Test Design
  13. Reply to Cowen On Variolation
  14. Beware R0 Variance

March 2020

  1. Variolation (+ Isolation) May Cut Covid19 Deaths 3-30X
  2. Crush Contrarians Time?
  3. How Many Judges?
  4. Know When To Fold `Em
  5. Do You Feel Lucky, Punk?
  6. Expose The Young
  7. Common Useless Objections
  8. Vouching Fights Pandemics
  9. Simple Sims On Pandemic Variance
  10. For Fast Escaped Pandemic, Max Infection Date Variance, Not Average

February 2020

  1. Why Big Implicit Deals?
  2. Plot Holes & Blame Holes
  3. Deliberate Exposure Intuition
  4. Consider Controlled Infection
  5. Defrock Deregulation Economists?
  6. Respectable Rants
  7. Explainable Governance
  8. Decision Theory Remains Neglected

January 2020

  1. Socialism Via Futarchy
  2. Nickname Court
  3. Parasite vs. Joker
  4. How To Not Die (Soon)
  5. Crazy Complaints
  6. Rah Chain of Command
  7. Radical Signals
  8. How Bees Argue
  9. Disagreement on Disagreement
  10. Stubborn Stupidity Vs Hidden Motives

2019 107

December 2019

  1. Governance By Jury
  2. Injustice For All
  3. Capitalism Uses Hate; That’s Good
  4. Might Disagreement Fade Like Violence?
  5. Automation As Colonization Wave
  6. Why Not RFID Tag Humans?
  7. Automation: So Far, Business As Usual
  8. Unending Winter Is Coming

November 2019

  1. Designing Crime Bounties
  2. Social Roles Make Sense
  3. What Info Is Verifiable?
  4. A New Truth Mechanism
  5. Occam’s Policy Razor
  6. Prestige Blocks Reform
  7. Firms & Cities Have Open Borders

October 2019

  1. Why Not Also Punish False Praise?
  2. Rules of Public Evidence?
  3. The Big Change In Blame
  4. Joker is Creepy
  5. Open Borders
  6. State Rating Agencies
  7. Let Foreigners Speak
  8. Separating Redistribution From Hardship Insurance

September 2019

  1. Dreamtime Social Games
  2. Status Apps Are Coming
  3. Who Vouches For You?
  4. Quality Regs Say ‘High Is Good’
  5. Graziano on a World of Uploaded Minds
  6. Yay Democracy Dollars
  7. Stamina Succeeds
  8. Beware Multi-Monopolies
  9. What’s So Bad About Concentration?
  10. 10% Less Democracy

August 2019

  1. Why Not Hi-Tech Forms?
  2. How Idealists Aid Cheaters
  3. Ways to Choose A Futarchy Welfare Measure
  4. Paternalism Is About Status
  5. A Model of Paternalism
  6. Against Irony

July 2019

  1. Advice Wiki
  2. End War Or Mosquitoes?
  3. How To Prep For War
  4. Big War Remains Possible
  5. Will War Return?
  6. Beware Nggwal
  7. Pay More For Results
  8. Why Age of Em Will Happen

June 2019

  1. Grabbing Now Versus Later
  2. Libertarian Varieties
  3. We Agree On So Much
  4. Rangehtml
  5. Stephenson’s Em Fantasy
  6. Decision Markets for Monetary Policy
  7. Our Prestige Obsession
  8. Progeny Probs: Souls, Ems, Quantum

May 2019

  1. Understandable Social Systems
  2. Low Prestige Hurts More
  3. Chiang’s Exhalation
  4. Expand vs Fight in Social Justice, Fertility, Bioconservatism, & AI Risk
  5. Who Likes Simple Rules?
  6. The Persistence of Poverty
  7. Why Crime Discretion?
  8. Freedom Isn’t Free
  9. Bounty Hunter Blackmail
  10. Liability Insurance For All
  11. Populists Like Late Bloomers
  12. Huemer On Disagreement

April 2019

  1. Taboo Gradations
  2. Who Complains How About Whom
  3. Firms Are Not Aliens
  4. Downfall
  5. Publish Tax Returns
  6. Identity Norms
  7. Rebooting Justice
  8. Agency Failure AI Apocalypse?
  9. Space Fund
  10. The Puzzle of Human Sacrifice
  11. Pre-Civilization Egypt
  12. Firms Are Under-Trusted
  13. Champions Show War Ability

March 2019

  1. Explaining Sex Rate Changes
  2. Best Cause: New Institution Field Trials
  3. Revolt of The Public
  4. Speculator-Chosen Immigrants
  5. Can We Trust Deliberation Priests?
  6. To Oppose Polarization, Tug Sideways
  7. Why Grievances Grow
  8. Reponse to Weyl
  9. Consider Reparations

February 2019

  1. Classic Style Intellectual Worlds
  2. Why Weakly Enforced Rules?
  3. Enforce Common Norms On Elites
  4. Aliens Need Not Wait To Be Active
  5. Checkmate On Blackmail
  6. How Lumpy AI Services?
  7. Conditional Harberger Tax Games

January 2019

  1. Fine Grain Futarchy Zoning Via Harberger Taxes
  2. Distant Future Tradeoffs
  3. How Does Brain Code Differ?
  4. Youth As Abundance
  5. When Wholes Become Parts
  6. Have A Thing
  7. Gender Is Big
  8. Replication Markets Team Seeks Journal Partners for Replication Trial
  9. Umpires Shouldn’t Be On Teams
  10. Most Progress Not In Morals
  11. Tales of the Turing Church

2018 107

December 2018

  1. Toward An Honest Consensus
  2. Perpetual Motion Via Negative Matter?
  3. Choose: Allies or Accuracy
  4. The Aristillus Series
  5. When OK to Discriminate?
  6. Do I Offend?
  7. It’s All Data
  8. #MeToo In A Star Is Born
  9. Response To Hossenfelder
  10. Can Foundational Physics Be Saved?
  11. Overconfidence From Moral Signaling

November 2018

  1. Open Policy Evaluation
  2. Stubborn Attachments
  3. Moral Choices Reveal Preferences
  4. On the Future by Rees
  5. Vulnerable World Hypothesis
  6. World Government Risks Collective Suicide
  7. Social Media Lessons
  8. Can You Outsmart An Economist?
  9. How To Fund Prestige Science
  10. Non-Conformist Influence
  11. Marshtml
  12. Avoiding Blame By Preventing Life
  13. Long Views Are Coming
  14. Long Legacies And Fights In A Competitive Universe

October 2018

  1. Long Legacies And Fights In An Uncaring Universe
  2. Intellectual Status Isn’t That Different
  3. Bottom Boss Prediction Market
  4. Bets As Signals of Article Quality
  5. Rationality Requires Common Priors
  6. Dominance Hides in Prestige Clothing
  7. Challenge Coins

September 2018

  1. How Gossip Works
  2. Gossip Cabals
  3. The Master and His Emissary
  4. My Poll, Explained
  5. Allow Covert Eye-Rolls
  6. Great Filter, 20 Years On
  7. News Accuracy Bonds
  8. Sexism Inflation
  9. Commitments Explain Gaps
  10. A Coming Hypocralypse?

August 2018

  1. Separate Top-Down, Bottom-Up Brain Credit
  2. My Market Board Game
  3. Spaceship Earth Explores Culture Space
  4. If The Future Is Big
  5. My Kind of Atheist
  6. Sanctimonious Econ Critics

July 2018

  1. Compulsory Licensing Of Backroom IT?
  2. Dalio’s Principles
  3. General Evolvable Brains
  4. Economists Rarely Say “Nothing But”
  5. Today, Ems Seem Unnatural
  6. Yay Marriage
  7. Maps of Meaning

June 2018

  1. Responses to Sex Inequality Critics
  2. Comparing Income & Sex Redistribution
  3. A Civility Pause
  4. Signaling Gains From Transparency
  5. Future Influence Is Hard
  6. Be A Dad
  7. Men Are Animals
  8. Age of Em Paperback
  9. Sloppy Interior Vs. Careful Border Travel
  10. How Does Evolution Escape Local Maxima?
  11. Two Types of Future Filters

May 2018

  1. More Than Death, Fear Decay
  2. Why Not Thought Crime?
  3. Revival Prizes
  4. Radical Markets
  5. Skip Value Signals
  6. Why Economics Is, And Should Be, Creepy

April 2018

  1. A Pullable Thread of the Social Fabric
  2. Aaronson on Caplan
  3. Two Types of Envy
  4. Mysterious Motivation
  5. Prediction Machines
  6. How Best Help Distant Future?
  7. Between Property and Liability
  8. Like the Ancients, We Have Gods. They’ll Get Greater.

March 2018

  1. Toward Reality TV MBAs
  2. Toward Micro-Likes
  3. The Uploaded
  4. How Deviant Recent AI Progress Lumpiness?
  5. Growth Is Change. So Is Death.
  6. Study Resistance To Widened Political Polarization
  7. The Model to Beat: Status Rank
  8. Beware Covert War Morality Tales

February 2018

  1. Bad-News Boxes
  2. Signal Inertia
  3. On Value Drift
  4. Small Change Good, Big Change Bad?
  5. How Human Are Meditators?
  6. A Salute To Median Calm
  7. The Ems of Altered Carbon

January 2018

  1. Toward Better Signals
  2. On Unsolved Problems
  3. Caplan Critiques Our Religion Chapter
  4. A LONG review of Elephant in the Brain
  5. Read The Case Against Education
  6. Privately Enforced & Punished Crime
  7. Social Innovation Disinterest Puzzle
  8. Our Book’s New Ground
  9. When Disciplines Disagree
  10. Elephant in the Brain Reviews
  11. Kaczynski’s Collapse Theory
  12. Ten Could be Twenty or More

2017 89

December 2017

  1. Automatic Norm Lessons
  2. Automatic Norms in Academia
  3. 10 Implications of Automatic Norms
  4. Automatic Norms
  5. News As If Info Mattered
  6. Exclusion As A Substitute For Norms, Law, & Governance
  7. Capturing The Policy Info Process
  8. On Thought Leaders
  9. Dragon Debris?
  10. Join The Debate

November 2017

  1. Preferences > Awareness
  2. Why Be Contrarian?
  3. The One Ruler Obsession
  4. Authentic Signals
  5. Villain Markets
  6. More Prediction Market Criticism
  7. How Big Future Change?
  8. All Pay Liability

October 2017

  1. Hypocrisy As Key To Class
  2. Yay Stability Rents
  3. Markets That Explain, Via Markets To Pick A Best
  4. A Wonk’s First Question
  5. Reply to Christiano on AI Risk
  6. An Outside View of AI Control

September 2017

  1. Dealism, Futarchy, and Hypocrisy
  2. Harnessing Polarization
  3. City Travel Scaling
  4. Humans Cells In Multicellular Future Minds?
  5. Prediction Markets Update
  6. Prepare for Nuclear Winter
  7. Too Much of a Good Thing
  8. MRE Futures, To Not Starve
  9. Tegmark’s Book of Foom

August 2017

  1. Forager v Farmer, Elaborated
  2. Meaning is Easy to Find, Hard to Justify
  3. Entrenchit Happens
  4. Can Human-Like Software Win?
  5. There’s Always Subtext
  6. Marching Markups
  7. My TED/TEDx Talks
  8. How Social Is Reason?
  9. Why Ethnicity, Class, & Ideology?
  10. Ems in Walkaway
  11. Organic Prestige Doesn’t Scale
  12. Compare Institutions To Institutions, Not To Perfection
  13. Hazlett’s Political Spectrum
  14. Foom Justifies AI Risk Efforts Now

July 2017

  1. Philosophy Vs. Duck Tests
  2. High Dimensional Societes?
  3. “Human” Seems Low Dimensional
  4. Boost For Being Best
  5. A Post-Em-Era Hint

June 2017

  1. Beware The Moral Spotlight
  2. Intellectuals as Artists
  3. Forget The Maine
  4. A Tangled Task Future
  5. A Call To Adventure
  6. Conformity Excuses

May 2017

  1. Design A Better Chess
  2. I’m Not Seaing It
  3. When to Parrot, Pander, or Think for Yourself
  4. Compelling ≠ Accurate
  5. What TED Needs

April 2017

  1. Steven Levy’s Generic Skepticism
  2. Superhumans Live Among Us
  3. Mormon Transhumanists
  4. Hail Humans

March 2017

  1. Fuller on Age of Em
  2. Baum on Age of Em
  3. A Book Response Prediction
  4. Reversible Simulations
  5. Darwin’s Unfinished Symphony
  6. Imagine Philosopher Kings
  7. Better Babblers
  8. The Robot Protocol
  9. The Great Cycle Rule
  10. I’m In Europe This Week
  11. Big Software Firm Bleg

February 2017

  1. When Does Evidence Win?
  2. Cowen On Complacency
  3. The Elephant in the Brain
  4. Cycles of War & Empire
  5. On Homo Deus
  6. Why We Mix Fact & Value Talk
  7. Both Plague & War Cut Capital Share?
  8. Neglected Big Problems

January 2017

  1. Surprising Popularity
  2. Status Hypocrisy
  3. Future Gender Is Far

2016 105

December 2016

  1. Dream Themes
  2. Trade Engagement?
  3. Avoid “Posthuman” Label
  4. Missing Credentials
  5. When Is Talk Meddling Okay?
  6. Beware Futurism As Political Allegory
  7. Chip Away At Hard Problems
  8. The Good-Near Bad-Far Bias
  9. Imagine A Mars Boom
  10. This AI Boom Will Also Bust

November 2016

  1. My Play
  2. Careful Who You Call ‘Racist’
  3. 10 Year Blog Anniversary
  4. Dial It Back
  5. Trump, Political Innovator
  6. Get A Grip; There’s A Much Bigger Picture
  7. Needed: Social Innovation Adaptation
  8. Big Impact Isn’t Big Data
  9. Brains Simpler Than Brain Cells?
  10. Ems Give Longer Human Legacy

October 2016

  1. In Praise of Low Needs
  2. Seduced by Tech
  3. Chronicle Review Profile
  4. Smart Sincere Contrarian Trap
  5. Idea Talkers Clump
  6. Play Blindness
  7. No One Rules The World
  8. Play Will Persist

September 2016

  1. Liu Cixin’s Trilogy
  2. Social Science Critics
  3. Peak Religion
  4. How Culturally Plastic?
  5. Social Design Debt
  6. All Is Simple Parts Interacting Simply
  7. Presumed Selfish
  8. Why Not Walking Talks?
  9. Write To Say Stuff Worth Knowing

August 2016

  1. Talks Not About Info
  2. Alas, Unequal Love
  3. Change Favors The Robust, Not The Radical
  4. No Third AI Way
  5. Power Corrupts, Slavery Edition
  6. No Short Em Age

July 2016

  1. Chace on Age of Em
  2. Regulating Self-Driving Cars
  3. Economic Singularity Review
  4. My Caplan Turing Test
  5. Oarsman Pay Parable
  6. Caplan Debate Status
  7. World Basic Income
  8. Community Watchers
  9. Grace-Hanson Podcasts
  10. AI As Software Grant
  11. Merkle’s Futarchy
  12. Me Soon In Bay Area, DC, NYC
  13. See A Wider View
  14. The Future of Slavery
  15. Open Thread

June 2016

  1. Once More, With Feeling
  2. Against Prestige
  3. Caplan Audits Age of Em
  4. Why Does Software Rot?
  5. Beware Prestige-Based Discretion
  6. Henry Farrell on Age of Em
  7. Unauthorized Topics
  8. Tyler Says Never Ems
  9. Future Fears
  10. Guardian on Age of Em
  11. My Questions For Bryan
  12. Prestige is Political
  13. Star Trek As Fantasy
  14. Wall Street Journal on Age of Em
  15. New Yorker on Age of Em
  16. Reply to Jones on Ems
  17. Caplan on Age of Em
  18. Age of Em Criticism

May 2016

  1. Alexander on Age of Em
  2. Rating Ems vs AIs
  3. 4 Age of Em Web Reviews
  4. Problem, No Solution Taboo?
  5. Astonishing Questions Exist!
  6. Me in London, Cambridge
  7. FT Reviews Age of Em
  8. Lognormal Jobs
  9. The Labor-From-Factories Explosion

April 2016

  1. Me at BGSU, CMU, MIT
  2. Is Forgotten Party Death?
  3. Me in Rochester Mon, Tue
  4. Who Wants School?
  5. School Is To Submit

March 2016

  1. Super-Voting Scenario
  2. How Good 99% Brains?
  3. Me in London, Oxford, Istanbul
  4. What Price Kilo-Votes?
  5. Age of Em Update
  6. How Different AGI Software?
  7. Can’t Stop Lecturing

February 2016

  1. Against DWIM Meta-Law
  2. Scared, Sad, Angry, Bitter
  3. Does Money Ruin Everything?
  4. A Bet I’d Have Lost
  5. Why I Lean Libertarian

January 2016

  1. My Circus Sideshow
  2. Me in Budapest
  3. Here Be Dragons

2015 99

December 2015

  1. Sycophantry Masquerading As Bargains
  2. Missing Engagement
  3. Sexist Prices?
  4. Happy Weather
  5. The Future of Language
  6. Tax Coastal Cities?
  7. NYC Age of Em talks
  8. Engagement As Respect
  9. How Plastic Are Values?

November 2015

  1. Variety Is Shallow
  2. Cities As Harems
  3. Age of Em in Amsterdam
  4. Hive Mind
  5. Science Fiction Is Fantasy
  6. Could Gambling Save Psychology?
  7. Investors Not Barking

October 2015

  1. Require Legal Liability Insurance
  2. Testing Moral Progress
  3. Super-Factor Scenario
  4. Variety Seems Social
  5. Seeking Super Factors
  6. Media Genre More Basic Than Politics Or Personality?
  7. Masking Design Competence
  8. Assimilated Futures

September 2015

  1. Max & Miller’s Mate
  2. Beware Intuitive Econ
  3. Intelligence Futures
  4. Forsee The Speakularity
  5. News of What?
  6. Failed Singularity Model
  7. Help Me Pick Book Title
  8. Monster Pumps

August 2015

  1. If Post Filter, We Are Alone
  2. Why Have Opinions?
  3. Excess Turbulence?
  4. Life’s Laminar Endgame
  5. Yay Soda Firms
  6. Specific vs. General Foragers & Farmers
  7. Why News?
  8. Youth Movements

July 2015

  1. The Ghosts Of Em
  2. Does Decadence Cause Decay?
  3. Docs Not So Helpful
  4. Em Redistribution
  5. Regulating Government
  6. Effective Altruism Complaints

June 2015

  1. Mass Moralizing
  2. Learn By Doing, Not Watching
  3. Em Scale Economies
  4. Doing Good ≠ Being Good
  5. Industry Via Fashion?
  6. Error Is Not Simple

May 2015

  1. Elite Evaluator Rents
  2. What Does Harvard Do Right?
  3. Take Origins Seriously
  4. Why Happiness?
  5. What Is Signaling?
  6. Ranking The Sacred

April 2015

  1. Who Wants Thick Democracy?
  2. Financial Status
  3. SciCast Contest
  4. Stock Vs. Flow War
  5. Beware General Visible Prey
  6. My Two May Em Talks
  7. Perfect Bits
  8. Light On Dark Matter
  9. ‘About’ Isn’t About You
  10. Party in the Street
  11. Firms Now 5/6 Dark Matter!
  12. Disciplines As Contrarian Correlators
  13. Open Thread

March 2015

  1. Oxford To Publish The Age Of Em
  2. Advice Shows Status
  3. Bowing To Elites
  4. Dissing Track Records
  5. Ford’s Rise of Robots
  6. The Data We Need
  7. Life Before Earth
  8. Student Status Puzzle
  9. Yawning At Utopia
  10. Growth Could Slow

February 2015

  1. Eight Million Visits
  2. Why Prefer Potential?
  3. Ian Morris on Foragers, Farmers, Industry, & Ems
  4. Old Prof Vices, Virtues
  5. Meaning Via Work Or Play?
  6. Am I A Moralist?
  7. Blockchain Bingo
  8. Fashion Excuses

January 2015

  1. Placebos Show Care
  2. Industry-Era Action Stories
  3. Collusion In Quadratic Voting
  4. Is `Libby’ A Slur?
  5. Ritual Instinct
  6. Why Not Sell Cities?
  7. Trade Quarks, Not Votes
  8. On Exposing Hypocrisy
  9. Show Outside Critics
  10. Open Thread

2014 160

December 2014

  1. The Evolution-Is-Over Fallacy
  2. Forged By Status
  3. You Don’t Rule The World
  4. What Are Aliens Like?
  5. The Next Status Game
  6. Pondering Plasticity
  7. “Slow” Growth Is Cosmo-Fast
  8. Me At NIPS Workshop
  9. Guess Alien Value, Chance Ratios
  10. Thank You GMU Econ!
  11. AI Boom Bet Offers
  12. On Stossel Tonight
  13. One In A Billion?
  14. Open Thread

November 2014

  1. Yes, Compare Nations
  2. Authentic =? Accepted
  3. Policy vs. Meta-Policy
  4. Hanson Loves Moose Caca
  5. Imagine Libertopia
  6. Conservative vs. Liberal Jobs
  7. Relishing Inequality
  8. Help Me Imagine 2
  9. Why Erase Childhood?
  10. Fair Movie Reviews
  11. The Puzzle Of Persistent Praise
  12. Connected-Task Cities Win
  13. SciCast Pays HUGE
  14. This Time Isn’t Different
  15. Open Thread

October 2014

  1. Philosophy Between The Lines
  2. “I Robot, You Unemployed”
  3. The Rosy View Bias
  4. Thrown’s Kit’s Self-Deception
  5. Em Software Results
  6. History Vs. Future
  7. Why Not Egg Futures?
  8. Em Software Engineering Bleg
  9. Why We Believe
  10. More Whales Please
  11. Good Job Templeton
  12. Cyprus Mail Profile
  13. Open Thread

September 2014

  1. Pretty Smart Healthy Privilege
  2. Hope For A Lumpy Filter
  3. Great Filter TEDx
  4. Did Industry Cause Nations?
  5. Tarot Counselors
  6. Do Economists Care?
  7. Open Thread

August 2014

  1. Beware Status Arrogance
  2. Fundamentalists Are Not Traditionalists
  3. Security Has Costs
  4. Liked For Being You
  5. Regulating Infinity
  6. Neglecting Win-Win Help
  7. Why Do We So Seek Synch?
  8. Automation vs. Innovation
  9. Part Of Something Big
  10. Open Thread

July 2014

  1. Irreducible Detail
  2. Adam Ford & I on Great Filter
  3. Lost For Words, On Purpose
  4. Conflicting Abstractions
  5. I Still Don’t Get Foom
  6. Tegmark’s Vast Math
  7. SciCast Pays Big Again
  8. Bets As Loyalty Signals
  9. More Stories As Religion
  10. Boston Talks This Week
  11. Near-Far Work Continues
  12. Will Rituals Return?
  13. Firm Inefficiency

June 2014

  1. Trustworthy Telepresence
  2. Auto-Auto Deadline Looms
  3. Status Bid Coalitions
  4. Paul Carr Interviews Me
  5. Why We Can’t Have Nice Things
  6. Big Scope Status Bias
  7. Mocking As Respect
  8. Bias Is A Red Queen Game
  9. Don’t Be “Rationalist”
  10. Forager Mating Returns
  11. Proverbs As Insight
  12. How Deep The Rabbit Hole?
  13. Open Thread

May 2014

  1. Days Of Our Lives
  2. Disagreement Is Far
  3. Reparations As Law
  4. Big Signals
  5. First Person Em Shooter
  6. SciCast Pays Out Big!
  7. Robot Econ in AER
  8. Em Econ @ Yale Thursday
  9. Jones, Beckstead, & I
  10. Sam Wilson Podcast
  11. Who/What Should Get Votes?
  12. Let’s Talk About Race
  13. Why Do Firms Buy Ads?
  14. Info As Excuse
  15. Michael Covel Interview
  16. Fixing Academia Via Prediction Markets
  17. Factory+Files Future
  18. Should You Kiss Ass?
  19. How Important Is Inequality?
  20. Open Thread

April 2014

  1. Cross Of The Moment Film
  2. Spanish Interview on Prediction Markets
  3. Abstractly Ideal, Concretely Selfish
  4. Rank-Linear Utility
  5. More Broken Evals
  6. GiveWell Interview
  7. Humanity Can’t Steer Its Future Much
  8. Help Me Imagine
  9. When Will Schools Space, Interleave, and Vary Practice?
  10. The Up Side Of Down
  11. The Future Of Intellectuals
  12. Multiplier Isn’t Reason Not To Wait
  13. Rah Manic Monopolists?
  14. Review of LockStep
  15. Who Gains From Grit?
  16. Reason, Stories Tuned for Contests
  17. To The Barricades
  18. Extremists Compete
  19. Open Thread

March 2014

  1. NASA Goddard Talk Monday
  2. Conspiracy Theory, Up Close & Personal
  3. Social Science Exists
  4. Me On Fox Friday
  5. Computing Cost Floor Soon?
  6. Academic Stats Prediction Markets
  7. Socializers Clump
  8. Hidden Asset Taxes Must Be Huge
  9. Why Neglect Social Results?
  10. Leadership Fantasies
  11. Prefer Contrarian Questions
  12. Moral Legacy Myths
  13. Open Thread

February 2014

  1. Fail Faster
  2. Dvorsky Em Interview
  3. My Little Finger
  4. Dust In The Wind
  5. Gopnik on Religion
  6. Me Talking Thrice
  7. Engineering v. Design
  8. What Cost Variety?
  9. Rah Local Politics
  10. Open Thread

January 2014

  1. Why Broken Evals?
  2. Trends Rarely Inform Policy
  3. Who Wants Standards?
  4. Advice Isn’t About Info
  5. I Was Wrong
  6. Anxiety Du Jour Books
  7. Her Isn’t Realistic
  8. Tech Regs Are Coming
  9. One Cam Net To Rule Them All?
  10. Freedom As Identity
  11. Why Info Push Dominates
  12. Announcing: SciCast
  13. Open Thread

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