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the next wave
thenextwavefutures.wordpress.com
Andrew Curry's blog on futures, trends, emerging issues and scenarios
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- 740 from 21 Apr 2007 to 28 Aug 2026
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- monthly (15 in the last year)
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2026 12
- Pace Layers as a sense-making device
- The next industrial revolution
- What will happen in the 2030s
- Creating a politics of longing
- Understanding systemic change by looking at the Grenfell Tower
- ‘The Fizz’ and transformative futures
- Culture, change, and ‘structures of feeling’
- What kind of business is the AI business?
- AI could be the end of the digital wave, not the next big thing
- Britain’s political eruption
- Plants and the great cognition debate
- A handbook for regenerative design
2025 14
- Making sense of futures
- Party politics is realigning itself
- Crises of care, crises of work
- Breaking the industrial food system
- Taking down the Grenfell Tower
- The impact of sea level rise on the world’s cities
- Paying for parking, or, we’re all Shoupistas now
- Creating a politics of the future
- Limits to Growth was right about collapse
- Understanding Trump’s tariffs
- The steps to an American oligarchy
- ‘Power and interest’ as an actor mapping tool
- Understanding the so-called obesity ‘wonder drugs’
- Books of 2024–some old, some new
2024 27
- Big Food, Big Tobacco, and ultra-processed foods
- States have a shelf life of about 200 years
- Creating paths for change
- The great fertility shift
- Six narratives about Trump’s election
- Soft simulations and the next attack on the Capitol
- Designing organisations that work
- Keeping students in school, instead of failing them
- Wrestling with Britain’s ‘stagnation’ crisis
- Changing the ‘toxic’ discourse on migration
- Cybernetics and the science of managing our crisis
- Understanding systems thinking
- The Red May Day and the Green May Day
- Looking for hope
- Asking questions about the future
- Using ‘literary futures’ to open up the imagination
- Young men and the problem with masculinity (Pt 3)
- Unravelling the gender politics of young men [Pt 2]
- Young women are becoming more radical. Young men aren’t. [Pt 1]
- Building the democratic local economy
- The ‘vast uncertainty’ of AI and jobs
- Why business futures isn’t about managing uncertainty
- The IMF’s AI and jobs report
- How Davos works
- Planning for degrowth
- Busy doing the wrong things
- Bullying your workers and ‘defending the brand’
2023 40
- Looking at the future from the past
- Imagining the future of food in a net zero world
- Images of the future
- Solving the ‘gnarly problems’ of business
- Turn off, tune in: psychedelics and depression
- Mapping the actors
- How to live without growth
- Breaking the law in response to climate change
- Searching for systems in Three Horizons
- ‘Meddling kids’ win landmark climate case in the US
- The long boom that wasn’t
- Climate politics and culture wars
- The humans that make AIs seem human
- Tech bros say the sky is falling in
- Elites, political disintegration, and ‘cliodynamics’
- Paying for clean water
- Turning utility companies into investment vehicles
- Why we choose narcissists as leaders
- From photography to “promptography”
- Changing our deep narratives
- Looking for the money in the AI business
- It’s better to believe in luck
- How Britain’s four-day week pilot turned out
- Changing how businesses think about transition
- ‘Industrial wheatscapes have many ghosts’
- Making business sustainable
- A lexicon of time
- The long century of the car
- Why breadth usually beats depth
- The ‘enshittification’ of the corporate world
- How to accelerate the transition
- We are all modern now
- Tom Nairn and the power of nationalism
- War and the civilian
- Against everything
- The future of cities and the future of work
- The end times
- Giant Leap, or Too Little Too Late
- Mapping the future(s)
- How Britain fell in and out of love with roads
2022 17
- Making change
- Tacit knowledge and high value work
- Seeds of a better future
- Modernity and our crisis of meaning
- Breaking Twitter
- The history of the office
- The politics of Britain’s ‘mini-budget’ crisis
- The monarchy, the mirror, and the mythology
- Breaking Britain’s energy ‘market’
- Uber and the political economy problem
- Five things I’ve learnt about horizon scanning
- The finance curse and the British economy
- Social change isn’t accelerating
- Working with systems
- Rethinking insulation
- Living without ‘machines’
- America’s fears of the next civil war
2021 34
- Making the transition happen
- Assessing the prospects for technologies
- Stephen Sondheim and the re-invention of the modern musical
- The rise and fall of scenario planning
- Racism and the battle for the ‘bystanders’
- The IEA starts believing in energy transition
- Creative lessons from the Velvet Underground
- The trouble with exponentialism
- The fight over food at the UN’s Food Summit
- Lessons from Afghanistan
- Revisiting The Limits to Growth
- The decline of the Olympics
- Mapping journeys to net zero transport
- Learning from history
- The difference between data and decisions
- A revolution of the imagination
- AI and the ‘robo-apocalypse’ story
- The complete history of an AI
- Making algorithmic bias political
- The ethics of AI
- The visions that launched AI
- After neoliberalism: the politics of place
- The constrained future of aviation
- Football: guardians and traders
- The non-fungible business of digital art
- Rescuing nature
- The value of biodiversity
- Sowing the seed of the future
- Jeff Bezos: old-school American tycoon
- The male, male, world of industrial design
- The trouble with Davos
- Making sense of the Gamestop moment
- A turning point for climate change?
- Announcing ‘Just two things’
2020 28
- Sixes and Sevens #45
- Sixes and Sevens #44
- Making long-term decisions
- Big tech and its limits
- Sixes and Sevens #43
- Sixes and Sevens #42
- This is what Millennial politics looks like
- Seeing around corners
- The world the coronavirus makes (2 of 2)
- Sixes and sevens #41
- Sixes and Sevens #40
- Sixes and Sevens #39
- Sixes and sevens #38
- Sixes or sevens #037
- The world that coronavirus makes (Part 1 of 2)
- Sixes and sevens #036
- Sixes and Sevens #035
- Sixes and Sevens #034
- Sixes and sevens #033
- Re-reading Future Shock, 50 years on
- Sixes and sevens #032
- Sixes and Sevens #031
- Reading the ‘Davos Manifesto’
- The business challenges of the 2020s
- Sixes and sevens, #030
- Sixes and sevens #029
- Sixes and sevens #028
- Sixes and sevens #027
2019 41
- The end of the inner self?
- Skyfall’s future
- Sixes and Sevens #026
- Sixes and sevens #25
- One or two things I understand about #GE2019
- Sixes or sevens, #024
- Sixes or sevens #023
- Public strategy mistakes
- Sixes and Sevens #022
- Sixes and sevens #021
- Sixes and sevens #020
- Sixes and sevens #019
- Ruskin, futures, and ways of seeing
- Sixes and sevens #018
- Sixes and sevens #017
- Sixes and sevens #016
- Sixes and sevens #015
- Patterns of change
- Sixes and sevens #014
- Ripping off the plaster
- Sixes and Sevens #013
- Sixes and Sevens #012
- Sixes and Sevens #011
- Ten notes on the cocaine business (part 2 of 2)
- Ten notes on the cocaine business [part 1 of 2]
- Sixes and sevens #010
- Sixes and sevens #09
- Sixes and Sevens, #08
- Brexit and long wave thinking
- Energy blackouts and black elephants
- Sixes or Sevens, #07
- Sixes or sevens #06
- Theories of change and theories of the future
- Sixes or sevens #05
- Sixes and sevens #04
- Sixes and sevens #003
- Sixes and sevens #002
- Sixes or sevens #001
- The futures diamond
- Stubborn and stupid
- The Tofflers’ competing futures
2018 11
- Talking about the Scenarios 2018 conference
- The politics of place and the new politics of work
- Distraction, rest, and the future of work
- The curse of Thomas Malthus
- Britain’s fault-lines
- Imagining enclaves
- The customer comes last
- Dilemma thinking
- Review: Transformative Innovation
- The desperation of hope
- Agitators, innovators and orchestrators
2017 26
- Capitalism’s toxic heart
- On Three Horizons
- Brexit hits its zugzwang moment
- Re-reading Pierre Wack on scenarios
- On visioning
- America’s retail debt crisis
- The gut
- James Meade and the automation problem
- “Tools for Hope”: futures for change
- The limits of surveillance capitalism
- Main Street versus Wall Street
- Chaos in the Valley
- Globalisation, nations, and cities
- Breaking up with Brexit
- The future of platform capitalism
- Some things I learned from GE2017 [1 of 2]
- Podcasting
- The end of smoking
- Grenfell Tower, predictable surprises and slow violence
- The new politics of place
- Article 50 and after
- Hans Rosling, 1948-2017
- Revisiting the Ik
- Spending time with Donald
- Seven futures from New Scientist
- Remembering Mark Fisher
2016 24
- Some more things I know about Trump
- Some things I know about Trump
- ‘Found’ post on the US election
- The future of work
- Oligarchs and executives
- Heathrow as cargo cult
- World Factory
- Dirty lenses
- Unpeeling the city
- Punk as scapegoat, culture as crisis
- Making futures work stick
- Apple’s Irish problem and the end of the tech boom
- Making the regenerative city
- Three Horizons and future transformation
- The solar transition
- The fear of the future
- Shakespeare’s ‘strangers’
- The EU referendum and the England problem
- Handing knowledge down the years
- Crossing the divide
- Paint it black
- 1816 and all that
- Robin Hood, austerity, and the “burden” of tax
- Trading down
2015 35
- William Morris and David Gentleman
- Trapped in the moment of birth
- Futures and metaphors
- The human face of High Value Work
- Futures methods
- Britain’s forty year political crises
- Migrants and refugees and Paddington Bear
- Gods of Metal
- Designing for sociability
- Back to the future for work
- Fighting over democracy
- Watching a pandemic
- Wars, hegemony, and long waves
- Some notes on Obama in Charleston
- Disturbing the future: my ‘Five Books’ interview
- Long waves and the innovation question
- Utopias and six generations
- Long waves: discussing the evidence
- Insiders and outsiders
- Thinking about long waves
- Politics, parties, and positioning
- Four things I learnt from that “business leaders’ letter”
- The working of non-violence
- From urban paradox to Ecopolis [2/2]
- The trouble with Petropolis [1/2]
- Game theory and the king’s new clothes
- Taxes and corruption
- Dicing with death in the Eurozone
- The End of Absence: review
- “Looking and not blinking”
- The precariat and the basic income [Part 2]
- The precariat and the basic income [Part 1]
- Remembering Leon Brittan
- The battle with bullshit
- Back to the future
2014 18
- The end of the future
- “Bad apples” and rotten audits
- The strange death of Conservative England
- Seven notes on the #IndyRef and its aftermath
- Looting the public
- The clearing system and the universities
- The Tesco problem
- Managing a crisis
- In search of European democracy
- Anticipating the next wave of technology
- Loosening the grip of oligarchy
- Postcards as a workshop tool
- Some lessons from the Co-op
- Cultures of integrity
- A bill of digital rights
- China’s prospects
- Bringing it back home
- Jobs and productivity, from the Economist
2013 27
- In harm’s way
- Good and bad strategy
- 1964: James Meade and the automation problem
- Work & automation: a festival of links
- Robots 101
- The beat’s fashion sense
- The coming decline of London
- Reframing politics
- Gutenberg’s complete system
- Straining the train
- The dark heart of Whitehall
- Public spaces, public places
- Spies, security, and democracy
- The cause of the suffering
- Out of the shadows
- Why disco won
- 1932 and all that
- The curse of the invisible interface
- Losin’ the kids
- ‘Freedom’, ‘choice’, and zombie capitalism
- Ten notes on the financial crisis (guest post)
- The hollow city
- Made in Britain? Not so much
- Last man standing (part 2)
- Last man standing (part 1)
- Trains and cars
- Passion’s new business models
2012 22
- Guns and cars and commonsense (guest post)
- The New North
- 4 degrees and counting
- Opening the future
- Flying blind
- Scenarios, the world economy and poverty
- The plug-out city
- Some notes on fish
- Re-reading The Limits to Growth
- The Future of Futures
- The future of golf
- Breaking the bank (part 2)
- Breaking the bank (part 1)
- Thinking in miracles
- The human factor
- From ownership to stewardship
- Talking energy blues
- ‘Occupy’ as public innovation
- Library futures
- Copyright wars
- The values of work
- Best practice in strategic futures
2011 20
- The long view of technology
- Playing the development game
- Privatising public space (2)
- Privatising public space (1)
- Coming shortly: the APF’s virtual futures conference
- Plutonomy retail
- Sharper, not flatter
- Inter-generational conflict and moral panic
- Notes on the riots
- Apologies
- Debt and disorder
- Guardians, traders, and public policy
- Cultural futures
- Twittering about the law
- Servant of two masters
- Re-visiting Ireland’s boom years
- The future of food (2 of 2)
- The World In 2020
- The future of food (1 of 2)
- Global boosters
2010 29
- Playing the risk game (2 of 2)
- What the future learns from the past
- The limits of ownership
- Leadership, resilience, and ‘Lord Franklin’
- Hacking the low tech future
- Thinking about Ed
- The 1910 time traveller
- Transport and the lock-in problem
- Understanding the financial crisis
- Playing the risk game (1 of 2)
- Technologies and utopias
- Six lessons from Facebook’s privacy wars
- The decline of the two-party system
- Notes on the volcano
- Land, art, and signals from the edge
- The breakdown of politics, continued
- When politics breaks down
- A pointer to the future of payments
- Eco-pragmatism and resilience
- Blood in the boots
- Running the numbers on waste
- Villains and heroes in the fish wars
- ‘The Golden Age’ – depending on your lenses
- The iPad and the Chevrolet
- Taking a long view
- Tweeting the next wave
- Google, China, and ‘strategic ethics’
- The future of sport?
- The invention of celebrity
2009 58
- Future Savvy
- Changing the look of the blog
- The end of the cheap airline boom years
- Influencing the pasts
- Banksters # 2
- Climate change as Pascal’s wager
- Banksters # 1
- Complexity and risk
- The future flood
- The auction from the future
- The problem with carbon trading
- Challenging Britain’s energy assumptions
- Fudging the oil numbers
- Rupert versus the internet
- Down to the ground
- Banks ‘too big to save’?
- Greening the tax base
- Opening up the museum
- The strange death of party politics
- Imagining the 22nd century
- Roads less travelled
- The end of the Celtic Tiger
- Working on the moon
- How change happens
- Touching the limits
- The return of political economy
- The end of Moore’s ‘law’?
- Walking on the moon
- Energy from the desert
- Slow language
- The future of football
- How regions succeed
- General Motors and the 200-year company
- Not so many fish in the sea
- The noise of a past future
- After recorded music loses its value
- Banking, greed, and politicians
- Thirty years ago today
- The purpose of scenarios
- The trouble with economists
- The changing shape of surveillance
- ‘Thinking in systems’ – review
- The crisis and the world’s poorest
- The ‘2030 crisis’ and the return of Malthus
- The end of “shareholder value”?
- Copenhagen climate change blues
- Global mobile
- The social life of drugs
- Trouble ahead, trouble behind
- White bicycles and the politics of consumption
- The drugs problem
- Underclothes as fashion
- Trends for 2009 from the APF
- Nationalising the banks
- Learning from long-term futures
- Runways as white elephants (part 2)
- Runways as white elephants (part 1)
- Trapped in the moment of birth
2008 68
- An oil-spike recession
- ‘Survivors’ and catastrophe stories
- Checking the database state
- America’s 2025
- Thinking in Three Horizons
- Fireworks everywhere
- Obama and long-term trends
- The past and future of music
- The BBC, Brand and Ross
- Lessons for the city from ‘The Ghost Map’
- Fewer countries using the death penalty
- Some notes on the crash – and the rescue
- Theatre as journalism
- Simulating the end of humankind
- The US financial ‘rescue’ and the wolf of Gubbio
- Understanding the crash
- China’s political instability
- Doping, cycling and the Olympics
- ‘Slow Sunday’ and social prototyping
- ‘Participatory workshops’ by Robert Chambers
- More on suburbs and sustainability
- Energy prices and the decline of globalisation
- Refugees and climate change politics
- Museums of the future
- The failure of the political class
- The creative virus
- Bringing it all back home
- Sustainable suburbia
- Why plastic bags matter
- Competition between global cities
- Britain’s random drugs policy
- The impact of global organised crime
- Mobile money – from Africa to the UK?
- Important machines in history
- Scoring the impending global crisis: population
- Banks and chutzpah
- Making the Transition locally
- Arthur C Clarke and our ‘future in space’
- Alternative histories, alternative pasts
- How globalisation ends – or not
- Physical theatre goes mainstream
- Arthur Clarke’s Three Laws
- The erosion of liberties
- More evidence that noise kills
- How globalisation ends
- And now for ‘peak coal’
- Innovation lessons from James Watt
- Woody, hydro-power, and plastic
- The economic consequences of the (Iraq) war
- Living without outdoor advertising
- Energy and computer design
- The principles of sustainable economics
- Cheap energy and the shape of the internet
- Poles returning to Poland from Britain
- Honesty or transparency
- Liquid assets in Pratchett-land
- The rise of iWar
- Explaining England’s surveillance obsession
- What if… London is at its peak compared to UK
- 500-year trade cycles
- Five fantasies about the global economic system
- Britain’s car exports at 20-year high
- Homesick without leaving home
- Futures and other professional cultures
- The emerging auto market
- Sporting records, limits and technology
- The history of energy use
- China rising – politics follows economics
2007 189
- Nokia and the ‘eco-sensor’ phone
- Selling the highways dream – 50s style
- Trends versus futures
- Toy stories and global ethics
- Gandhi and the conditions which create violence
- Ice skating rinks and the ‘return of the repressed’
- Declining competitiveness of English football
- Why social networking goes from boom to bust (and back?)
- Britain’s carbon emissions – rising not falling
- Smoking and artistic integrity
- Saying no to bottled water
- Global remittances now three times larger than aid
- Capturing predictions
- Mobile payments market starts to move
- Commercialising childhood
- The limits of the UK population predictions
- Art as danger
- Thinking about long-term futures
- Burning up the book
- The future of management
- Machine readable design
- Steps towards sustainable business
- The etymology of ‘utopia’
- Everybody’s happy – Brave New World revisited
- The wisdom of the football crowd
- ‘Darkening’ the soft drinks market
- Apple and the ‘strategic moment’
- Competing futures of cars
- A brief history of information
- Trends in cards and cash
- ‘Healthy food’ trends in the US
- Competing on sustainability
- Scotland, Trident and the failure of politics
- The trouble with competition economists
- ‘Saving’ daylight
- Humans versus the biosphere
- DOTT 07 – sustainable design for communities
- Falling out of the future
- General Motors’ lessons from the Cluetrain
- Oil? It’s already peaked, say researchers
- My chapter in new scenarios book
- Ten top trends from the World Future Society
- UK – an immobile society
- Toxic consumption
- Gone into ecological debt for the year
- Inheritance tax, insecurity, and inequality
- Signs of deep shift in the economy
- UK government ‘blind’ to wave power
- DOTT’s top design/sustainability books
- Radiohead – really, it’s up to you
- Ageing into infinity
- nextwavenotes 26:09:07
- Visual pollution and the mental environment
- Containers and the growth of world trade
- Looking backwards at the future of the fax
- If the planet were a business
- Surveillance scepticism and the world of “pre-crime”
- nextwavenotes 18:09:07
- Fashion under fire from liberals and conservatives
- The dark side of the earth 2007
- nextwavenotes 13:09:07
- ‘One laptop per child’ – a disruptive technology
- Arctic ice ‘falling off a cliff’
- Women – promoted faster, paid less
- Visualising consumption
- The health costs of noise
- Robot wars, robot ethics
- Cracks in the China dolls
- Quick service note – search facility now added
- William Gibson – the novelty of ‘non-mediated’ experience
- The slow death of long-format music
- More articles in ‘selected articles’
- Foresight and scenarios in the voluntary sector
- Mid-life (crisis) markets and the guitar business
- Airlines, collusion, and carbon
- The future of the creative economy
- Global car production continues to rise
- Countering greenwash
- Bookends of American power?
- Cycling, doping, and the pace of change
- The 21st century flood
- The gender gap
- Globalisation and the power of the executive
- A telecoms story about competition and infrastructure
- The need for more resilience
- Ulrich Beck: globalisation meets its limits
- Making the present seem strange
- From products to services
- Getting to zero carbon in 20 years
- Cities as spectacle
- The scale of the required low carbon shift
- The futures of “convergence”, maybe
- Worldviews from the volksmusic
- Urban trees – chopped by insurance claims
- Health shows the limits of affluence
- Rupert, MySpace, and social class
- How England might get proportional representation
- How communities get to low carbon
- ‘Word free food’ – weak signal, but still interesting
- Changing shape of the ocean liner
- DNA sequencing could be ‘routine’ in 10 years
- The $100 lap top goes into trial phase
- Changing questions suggest different political landscapes
- Brave New World, 75 years on
- The rise of virtual currencies
- China overtakes US as biggest CO2 emitter
- Sudan and Iraq top latest list of failed states
- Shifting the battle-lines on climate change
- Young black people – significant victims of crime
- Connecting high house prices and long hours
- Motorists become more socially conscious
- HSBC – accelerating flexible working?
- Gosh! Unemployment figures understate numbers
- Pharma business model faces critical challenges
- Some official data on child trafficking into UK
- Visa Swap: puff, positioning, or business model test?
- Blindspot – our over-examined children?
- Facebook: putting the person back into the internet
- Misperceptions of green space inflect land debate
- Tesco and the gardening market
- UK continues to work longer hours
- More judicial challenges to CIA ‘rendition’ programme
- The increasing length of films
- UK’s mini-baby boom
- Housing report – built on arguable assumptions
- ‘Taking Liberties’ – sign of different film economics?
- William Faulkner on ‘the past’
- Childhood more depressing than it used to be
- Nokia: lessons on competing in emerging markets
- Energy White Paper’s underlying assumptions
- Climate change impact on UK biodiversity
- A couple more trends on the liberties issues
- Spotting data on “illegal” agency workers
- More on the acquittal of anti-war peace protestors
- Testing copyright law in the Magic Kingdom
- Human rights keeps checking security agenda
- Eating beef – starting on the road to disapproval?
- Shifts to flexible working – and its impact
- A sustainable football stadium
- Failling airline numbers
- Creativity and psychedelia
- Black swans, unknown unknowns, and wild cards
- The future of food distribution
- UK income inequality increases again after falling
- The changing shape of street vending
- Russia develops new types of state power
- Ted Heath’s prescient comment on liberties
- ‘Liberties’ issues seem to be gaining momentum
- Bees in rapid decline
- Heading south: Europe’s climate in 2071
- Up to one billion refugees from climate change?
- Designs that framed how we see technologies
- The future of technology: from blogs to lifelogs
- Car parks to close because of congestion charge
- The future that never happened
- Trees good for urban well-being – but threatened
- Blood and Gore on sustainability and business
- UAE starts on zero carbon zero waste city plan
- Birds change habits because of noise pollution
- The roots of high UK house prices
- DVD sales killed the rental shop
- Flat pack housing – a weak signal of some sort
- UK visitor trends indicate global shifts
- Virtual credit, real spend – Warcraft meets Visa
- Enabling the future
- Buffett on insight versus data
- Ethics challenge to Warren Buffett empire
- Politicians as public subjects
- UK personal insolvencies still climbing
- Open source reaches the mass market, at last
- The perils of large mergers
- Cycling continues to rise in London
- Greenpeace 2, Apple 1
- The future of recruitment and of work
- China’s green wall – to stem the desert
- The London stock boom may be peaking
- Shocking data on UK ethnicity and income difference
- Another take on defence and security ‘futures’
- Politicians at fault for low interest in politics?
- Working on waste
- The ecological limits to China’s growth
- When the rivers run dry – review
- The trendZ behind the BrandZ
- Long term decline in food expenditure ending?
- Freeview claims it’s overtaken Sky in UK
- The future of land
- 30-year futures from the MoD
- Past, present, future
- Environmental authoring