The Curious Engineer

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William M. Briggs

wmbriggs.com

Statistician to the Stars!

MathSociety / politics / economyEssays / personal

’10’15’20’25
Posts
5,759 from 6 Dec 2006 to 29 Oct 2026
Posting
about daily (170 in the last year)
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personal blog
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https://www.wmbriggs.com/feed/

Latest

October 2026

  1. Class 99: Entropy Part I
  2. Book Update: Launch Date
  3. Reading Bryan Johnson’s The Immortalism Manifesto
  4. Class 98: Limitations of Genetic Associations With Personality
  5. I’m Thinking Of A Number Between 1 and 5 (that you can’t guess)
  6. Against Numerology: Some Basic Calculations
  7. Class 97: The Goal Of Models
  8. Book Update
  9. Sexual Assault Galore At Cornell
  10. Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?
  11. Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save Us
  12. Viewer Asks: Why Do I Bother?

September 2026

  1. Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” Abortions
  2. Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants
  3. Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges
  4. Whoring For Climate Change
  5. Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer Review
  6. Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
  7. PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap Hanekamp
  8. The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan Edwards
  9. Politicians Demand “Right” To Be Protected Against AI
  10. Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
  11. Is the West Dying Out? The Demographic Crisis Explained: Jon Harris Podcast
  12. Lindsay Clancy Strangled Her Kids Because Of “Climate Change”
  13. Do Dogs Poop In Alignment With The Earth’s Magnetic Field?
  14. Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & Intelligence

August 2026

  1. Fertility Fears Overblown: Tiny Shift in Childless Rate Saves The Species
  2. A New Kind Of University: Your Comments Wanted
  3. Bad Black Health Blamed On Slavery
  4. Is Moral Certainty Possible?
  5. We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) Research
  6. Sweet Wee Ps Say Sugar Makes You Lose Your Mind
  7. AI Is Neither Artificial Nor Intelligent
  8. You Can’t Con An Honest Man & The Case of Jason Arday
  9. Academics: Achieve Sustainability by Easing Population to 4 Billion by 2200
  10. The Impossibility of Proposition Nations
  11. Ugly Women Rulers Condemn Lookism

July 2026

  1. The Wee P Boogie: The Song That’s Sweeping the Nation!
  2. Wolfgang Smith For Everyone
  3. Death By Organ Donation
  4. $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
  5. Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp
  6. Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics
  7. Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
  8. University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEing
  9. The Equality Paradox
  10. My Horrible Interaction With AI
  11. SOON
  12. The Court’s Slow Theft Of The Constitution — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
  13. Happy Birthday to US
  14. Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

June 2026

  1. Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
  2. The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
  3. Marbles!
  4. Class 92: Simple Optimal Decisions: PSA & Cancer Example
  5. Math Is Epistemic Violence, Says Lady Academic
  6. Truly Random Numbers Found?
  7. Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
  8. Climate Change Increases Risk of Even Slower World Cup Games!
  9. The Ultimate IQ Test: Guessing the Author’s Mind and Escaping the Infinity of Answers
  10. Reader Poll: Shorter or Longer, Frequent or Rarer Posts?
  11. No Model Will Save Us: Pope Leo, the Miserostat, and AI’s Woke Coders
  12. How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

May 2026

  1. Class 90: Simple (Optimal) Decisions
  2. Shocking Abortion Numbers: Death Distributions Show We’re Living Longer
  3. Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You Wednesday
  4. Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”
  5. Creating Microbial Monsters To Terrorize Ourselves
  6. Class 89: The Measure Most Modelers Forget: Skill Examples
  7. The Shocking Conclusion of the HR Trilemma!
  8. The HR Trilemma: Which Door Decides Your Fate?
  9. Capital Punishment Deters Crime More Than The Death Penalty
  10. How Experts Use “Calamities” to Find Official Victims & Gain Power
  11. Richard Dawkins, The Big Muscles Fallacy & AI Pachinko

April 2026

  1. Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
  2. The Red-Blue Button Dilemma & Its Surprising Answer
  3. UFO Reports About To Blast Off!
  4. Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
  5. Noticing Differences Between Races Does Not Pay
  6. What Are The Chances Of All These Scientists Dying, Killed, Or Going Missing?
  7. Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
  8. How A Miracle Turns Mundane
  9. Contest Winner Announced!
  10. Trump’s Last Stand: Mea Culpa, Redux — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
  11. Class 85: Proper Scores of Model Goodness
  12. Proof!
  13. Justice Ketanji Roars
  14. Iran Has Caught Covid: A Reason For The War
  15. Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

March 2026

  1. There Is No Solution To Crashing Fertility: Good Times Made Soft Men
  2. Did The Pope Really Say Health Is A “Right”?
  3. All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
  4. It’s The End Of The World Again
  5. Belgian Judge Wants To Arrest Little Nate Cofnast Because Cofnast Says Smart People Are Smarter Than Dumb People
  6. Class 83: Why Were Paul Ehrlich’s Predictions So Good (and so Bad)?
  7. The Great Effeminization of the Academy
  8. The Only Metric That Matters: Or, Pinker’s Folly
  9. Lancet Discovers Public Health Is Politics
  10. Class 82: Be More Uncertain (About Models)
  11. On Not Reading
  12. The Great Smoothing: Another Reason Not To Fear (or trust) AI
  13. A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?
  14. Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
  15. The Paper Test Shows Why AGI Is Not Possible: And Why The Brain Is Different In Kind
  16. Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
  17. Faith Deposited: Why Godless Science Fails

February 2026

  1. Class 80: Granger Causality; Per Se & Accidental Time Series; Stationarity
  2. Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of Bluesky
  3. The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde Bombshell
  4. Class 79: Time Series Example
  5. The Importance Of Not Making Decisions
  6. Don’t Take The ‘Long-Covid’ Alzheimer’s Study Seriously
  7. AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest Panic
  8. Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
  9. Desperate Need For Equality: AP Exam Performance
  10. Some Sanity: Experts Sued For Creating Gender Delusions
  11. Why The Recent Claims Of AGI Fail: Plus, A New Test For AGI
  12. Polar Bears Are Doing Fine: Activists, Not So Well
  13. Impossible LSAT Statistics Question
  14. How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)

January 2026

  1. Class 77: Trendy Trends In Time Series
  2. Who Still Listens To AM Radio?
  3. Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital Twins
  4. What Science Says About Making Medication Mandatory
  5. What A Winter
  6. FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
  7. Class 76: That’s Not Noise. That’s Signal!
  8. AI: The Earth Is Spinning Faster & Slower (Because “Climate Change”)
  9. Confirmation Bias In The Minneapolis Shooting
  10. Sports Betting Is An Excellent Way To Lose Money
  11. Class 75: A Gentle Introduction To Time Series
  12. The Consent Fallacy
  13. On Laws Banning Hacking Women’s Genitals & Imposing Beliefs
  14. Register Your Predictions For 2026!
  15. Happy New Year!

December 2025

  1. How Did We Do In Our 2025 Predictions?
  2. Why The Drake Equation Fails
  3. Canada Invents New Euphemism For Doctor Killings
  4. Merry Christmas!
  5. Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science
  6. Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With Russia
  7. Climate Models
  8. Is Powerball A “Fair Game”?
  9. No Class: But Here’s Some Homework
  10. On The Form Of Species: ‘Dance To The Tune Of Life’ by Denis Noble Reviewed
  11. How To Tell How Much Of “IQ” Is Inherited & How Much Is Environment
  12. Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
  13. Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You Racist
  14. I Finally Read James Lindsay’s Manifesto (Yes, He Has A Manifesto)
  15. The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation

Every year

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