The Curious Engineer

Astral Codex Ten

2022–2026

1,206 posts

← 2020–2021

2026 189

October 2026

  1. Your Book Review: The History And Adventures Of An Atom
  2. Links For October 2026
  3. My California Ballot, 2026
  4. Open Thread 457
  5. Your Book Review: The Ghost In My Brain
  6. San Francisco Meetup This Saturday
  7. Why Global Trepanation?
  8. Against Against Handover
  9. Open Thread 456
  10. Your Book Review: Storm Of Steel
  11. Meetups Everywhere 2026: Times & Places
  12. AI Safety Is Not A Corporate Plot
  13. Open Thread 455
  14. Your Book Review: We Present Television
  15. Ballots Everywhere: Times & Places
  16. Top Forecasters On The Plague
  17. Hidden Open Thread 454.5
  18. An Open Letter To Steven Pinker On AI
  19. Open Thread 454
  20. Our AI Midwife

September 2026

  1. Open Thread 453
  2. Your Book Review: Lee Kuan Yew's Memoirs
  3. Fall Meetups 2026 - Call For Meetup Organizers
  4. The Specter Of Neuralese
  5. Does Georgism Work? Five Years Later
  6. Hidden Open Thread 452.5
  7. Mysteries Of AI Generalization
  8. Open Thread 452
  9. Your Book Review: This Is Going To Hurt
  10. AI Superforecasting Should Transform The FDA
  11. King Ludd
  12. Open Thread 451
  13. Royce On San Francisco
  14. God Help Us, Let’s Try To Learn About Mechanistic Interpretability Techniques
  15. Open Thread 450
  16. Your Book Review: The Tale Of Genji
  17. College EA Meetups Everywhere: Times & Places
  18. Absurd Adventure And Amygdalectomy Advocacy
  19. Nicholas Decker In Hell

August 2026

  1. Open Thread 449
  2. Your Book Review: Thomas Urquhart’s Translation Of Rabelais
  3. Hidden Open Thread 448.5
  4. Take The 2026 ACX Survey
  5. Highlights From The Comments On The Substack Religion Debate
  6. Re: Re: Re: Pritchard On Liberal Happiness
  7. Open Thread 448
  8. Your Book Review: A Residence Of 21 Years In The Sandwich Islands
  9. College EA Meetups Everywhere: Call For Organizers
  10. Why I'm Staying Out Of The Substack Religion Debate
  11. Open Thread 447
  12. Your Book Review: The Escape Artist
  13. The Foothills Of Bay Area House Party
  14. The Quest For Caffeine You Can Have At Night
  15. Open Thread 446
  16. MacGregor The Bridge Builder
  17. Open Questions On Open Weights
  18. Hidden Open Thread 445.5
  19. The Beauty Of Settled Science
  20. Does Forecasting Have Room At The Top?
  21. Open Thread 445

July 2026

  1. Your Book Review: The Epic Of Gilgamesh
  2. Links For July 2026 (Part 2)
  3. Highlights From The Discourse On The Hugging Face Incident
  4. Hidden Open Thread 444.5
  5. Psychology Research Is Mostly Fine
  6. Open Thread 444
  7. Your Book Review: Breakdown In Pakistan
  8. The Hugging Face Incident
  9. Links For July 2026 (Part 1)
  10. Contra Pritchard On Liberal Happiness
  11. Open Thread 443
  12. Your Book Review: Great And Desperate Cures
  13. Against "Stochastic Terrorism"
  14. Six Slightly Skew Boogeymen
  15. AI Chip Regulation Is Not A Dystopian Surveillance State
  16. Open Thread 442
  17. Introducing Plan A
  18. Your Book Review: The Book Of Abraham
  19. Open Thread 441
  20. The AI Superforecasters Are Here
  21. Hidden Open Thread 440.5
  22. Chip Off The Old Block

June 2026

  1. Open Thread 440
  2. The Metaculus Democracy Threat Index
  3. Hidden Open Thread 439.5
  4. Should People Avoid Whole-Body Screening Info?
  5. Open Thread 439
  6. Preliminary Thoughts On The Midjourney Scanner
  7. Waiting For The Miracle
  8. Never Cross a River Four Feet Deep on Average
  9. Open Thread 438
  10. My AI Opinions
  11. Hidden Open Thread 437.5
  12. Berkeley Meetup This Wednesday
  13. Open Thread 437
  14. Choose Book Review Finalists 2026
  15. Open Thread 436

May 2026

  1. Book Review: The Dialectical Imagination
  2. Hidden Open Thread 435.5
  3. Use AI This Election
  4. Open Thread 435
  5. New Paradigms Won't Save You
  6. Hidden Open Thread 434.5
  7. The Types Of Candidate You Find In The California Gubernatorial Race
  8. Open Thread 434
  9. The Sigmoids Won't Save You
  10. Every Magazine Piece On The SF AI Scene
  11. Nostalgebraist's Hydrogen Jukeboxes
  12. Open Thread 433
  13. Three Model Organisms For Taste
  14. Contra Everyone On Taste
  15. Hidden Open Thread 432.5
  16. Open Thread 432

April 2026

  1. What Deontological Bars?
  2. Your Attempt To Solve Debate Will Not Work
  3. Open Thread 431
  4. Links For April 2026
  5. Half A Month Of Consolation Writing Advice
  6. Open Thread 430
  7. Orban Was Bad, Even Though We Don't Have A Perfect Word For His Badness
  8. Open Thread 429
  9. Open Thread 428.5 + Zagreb Update
  10. Zagreb Meetup This Friday
  11. Open Thread 428
  12. The PauseAI Protest: A Photo-Essay
  13. Hidden Open Thread 427.5
  14. Meetups Everywhere Spring 2026: Times & Places

March 2026

  1. Against The Concept Of Telescopic Altruism
  2. Open Thread 427
  3. A Buddhist Sun Miracle?
  4. Book Review: The White King Of La Gonave
  5. Hidden Open Thread 426.5
  6. How Natural Tradeoff And Failure Components?
  7. Every Debate On Pausing AI
  8. Open Thread 426
  9. Being John Rawls
  10. Hidden Open Thread 425.5
  11. Support Your Local Collaborator
  12. Shameless Guesses, Not Hallucinations
  13. Open Thread 425
  14. Spring Meetups Everywhere 2026 - Call For Organizers
  15. Hidden Open Thread 424.5
  16. Lines Composed In A Fake Sequoia Forest
  17. Last Rights
  18. Open Thread 424
  19. SEIU Delenda Est
  20. Open Hidden Open Thread 423.5
  21. Mantic Monday: Groundhog Day
  22. Open Thread 423
  23. "All Lawful Use": Much More Than You Wanted To Know

February 2026

  1. Next-Token Predictor Is An AI's Job, Not Its Species
  2. Open Thread 422.5
  3. The Pentagon Threatens Anthropic
  4. Malicious Streetlight Effects Vs. "Directional Correctness" - A Semi-Non-Apology
  5. Open Thread 422
  6. Book Review Contest Rules 2026
  7. Hidden Open Thread 421.5
  8. Crime As Proxy For Disorder
  9. Record Low Crime Rates Are Real, Not Just Reporting Bias Or Improved Medical Care
  10. Open Thread 421
  11. AMA (Ask Machines Anything)
  12. What Happened With Bio Anchors?
  13. Hidden Open Thread 420.5
  14. Political Backflow From Europe
  15. Open Thread 420
  16. Links For February 2026
  17. Hidden Open Thread 419.5
  18. Moltbook: After The First Weekend
  19. Open Thread 419

January 2026

  1. Best Of Moltbook
  2. ACX Classifieds 1/26
  3. Open Thread 418
  4. Slightly Against The "Other People's Money" Argument Against Aid
  5. Hidden Open Thread 417.5
  6. Highlights From The Comments On Scott Adams
  7. Open Thread 417
  8. The Dilbert Afterlife
  9. Hidden Open Thread 416.5
  10. SOTA On Bay Area House Party
  11. Mantic Monday: The Monkey's Paw Curls
  12. Open Thread 416
  13. The Permanent Emergency
  14. Sell Me This Pen
  15. Hidden Open Thread 415.5
  16. Highlights From The Comments On Boomers
  17. Open Thread 415
  18. Hidden Open Thread 414.5
  19. You Have Only X Years To Escape Permanent Moon Ownership
  20. Learn Phrygian In Zero Days

2025 233

December 2025

  1. Highlights From The Comments On Vibecession
  2. Open Thread 414
  3. ACX/Metaculus Prediction Contest 2026
  4. Open Thread 413
  5. Against Against Boomers
  6. The Pledge
  7. Open Thread 412
  8. Hidden Open Thread 411.5
  9. Links For December 2025
  10. Open Thread 411
  11. Vibecession: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  12. Hidden Open Thread 410.5
  13. The Good News Is That One Side Has Definitively Won The Missing Heritability Debate
  14. Open Thread 410

November 2025

  1. Hidden Open Thread 409.5
  2. Against The Omnipresent Advantage Argument For Trans Sports
  3. Why AI Safety Won't Make America Lose The Race With China
  4. Open Thread 409
  5. The New AI Consciousness Paper
  6. God Help Us, Let's Try To Have An Opinion On The War In Gaza
  7. Open Thread 408
  8. Suggest Questions For Metaculus/ACX Forecasting Contest
  9. What Happened To SF Homelessness?
  10. Open Thread 407
  11. In What Sense Is Life Suffering?
  12. Hidden Open Thread 406.5
  13. The Bloomer's Paradox
  14. Writing For The AIs
  15. Open Thread 406

October 2025

  1. Links For October 2025
  2. Model City Monday 10/27/25
  3. Open Thread 405
  4. Highlights From The Comments On Fatima
  5. My Antichrist Lecture
  6. Tech PACs Are Closing In On The Almonds
  7. Open Thread 404
  8. Non-Book Review Contest 2025 Winners
  9. Hidden Open Thread 403.5
  10. ACX Grants Results 2025
  11. Open Thread 403
  12. Fascism Can't Mean Both A Specific Ideology And A Legitimate Target
  13. Hidden Open Thread 402.5
  14. Open Thread 402
  15. Vote In The 2025 Non-Book Review Contest
  16. The Fatima Sun Miracle: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

September 2025

  1. Open Thread 401
  2. Sources Say Bay Area House Party
  3. Hidden Open Thread 400.5
  4. Open Thread 400
  5. Your Review: Project Xanadu - The Internet That Might Have Been
  6. Hidden Open Thread 399.5
  7. Defining Defending Democracy: Contra The Election Winner Argument
  8. Open Thread 399
  9. Your Review: The Synaptic Plasticity and Memory Hypothesis
  10. Book Review: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
  11. Hidden Open Thread 398.5
  12. I'm Gruesome For Newsom
  13. Open Thread 398
  14. Berkeley Meetup This Tuesday
  15. Your Review: Participation in Phase I Clinical Pharmaceutical Research
  16. Links For September 2025
  17. Open Thread 397.5
  18. What Is Man, That Thou Art Mindful Of Him?
  19. Open Thread 397

August 2025

  1. Meetups Everywhere 2025: Times and Places
  2. Open Letter To The NIH
  3. The Economics Of Envy
  4. Open Thread 396.5
  5. In Search Of AI Psychosis
  6. Open Thread 396
  7. Your Review: Ollantay
  8. Hidden Open Thread 395.5
  9. My Responses To Three Concerns From The Embryo Selection Post
  10. Open Thread 395
  11. Your Review: Dating Men In The Bay Area
  12. In Defense Of The Amyloid Hypothesis
  13. Hidden Open Thread 394.5
  14. Dictator Book Club: Mussolini On Fascism
  15. Highlights From The Comments On Liberalism And Communities
  16. Open Thread 394
  17. Your Review: My Father’s Instant Mashed Potatoes
  18. Dream Book Review: The Deal With Trauma
  19. Hidden Open Thread 393.5
  20. Fall Meetups Everywhere - Call for Organizers
  21. Should Strong Gods Bet On GDP?
  22. Open Thread 393
  23. Your Review: Joan of Arc

July 2025

  1. Suddenly, Trait-Based Embryo Selection
  2. Hidden Open Thread 392.5
  3. My Heart Of Hearts
  4. Open Thread 392
  5. Your Review: The Astral Codex Ten Commentariat (“Why Do We Suck?”)
  6. Apply For An ACX Grant (2025)
  7. Press Any Key For Bay Area House Party
  8. Open Thread 391
  9. Your Review: Islamic Geometric Patterns In The Metropolitan Museum Of Art
  10. Hidden Open Thread 390.5
  11. Book Review: Arguments About Aborigines
  12. Open Thread 390
  13. Your Review: Of Mice, Mechanisms, and Dementia
  14. Hidden Open Thread 389.5
  15. Practically-A-Book Review: Byrnes on Trance
  16. Now I Really Won That AI Bet
  17. Open Thread 389
  18. Hidden Open Thread 388.5
  19. Your Review: School
  20. Highlights From The Comments On Missing Heritability
  21. Using AI To Research The Missing Heritability Post
  22. Links For July 2025

June 2025

  1. Contra Skolnick On Schizophrenia Microbes
  2. Open Thread 388
  3. Hidden Open Thread 387.5
  4. Your Review: Alpha School
  5. Missing Heritability: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  6. Open Thread 387
  7. Make A Personalized AI Kids' Book
  8. Hidden Open Thread 386.5
  9. Open Questions For Future ACX Grants Rounds
  10. ACX Grants 1-3 Year Updates
  11. Open Thread 386
  12. The Claude Bliss Attractor
  13. Hidden Open Thread 385.5
  14. "But" vs. "Yes, But"
  15. If It's Worth Your Time To Lie, It's Worth My Time To Correct It
  16. P-Zombies Would Report Qualia
  17. Open Thread 385
  18. Hidden Open Thread 384.5
  19. Choose Nonbook Review Finalists 2025
  20. Berkeley Meetup This Wednesday
  21. Open Thread 384

May 2025

  1. Bayes For Everyone
  2. Hidden Open Thread 383.5
  3. Sorry, I Still Think MR Is Wrong About USAID
  4. Open Thread 383
  5. Moments Of Awakening
  6. Contra MR On Charity Regrants
  7. The Evidence That A Million Americans Died Of COVID
  8. Hidden Open Thread 382.5
  9. The Other COVID Reckoning
  10. Open Thread 382
  11. Book Review: Selfish Reasons To Have More Kids
  12. Hidden Open Thread 381.5
  13. In Search Of /r/petfree
  14. Open Thread 381
  15. The Twins Join The Linguistic-Symbolic Order
  16. Highlights From The Comments On AI Geoguessr
  17. Hidden Open Thread 380.5
  18. Moldbug Sold Out
  19. Open Thread 380
  20. Testing AI's GeoGuessr Genius
  21. You Can Keep Having An Opinion Even When The Government Also Has It

April 2025

  1. Hidden Open Thread 379.5
  2. The Populist Right Must Own Tariffs
  3. Open Thread 379
  4. AMA With AI Futures Project Team
  5. AI Futures: Blogging And AMA
  6. Hidden Open Thread 378.5
  7. With This Character's Death, The Thread Of Prophecy Is Severed
  8. Links For April 2025
  9. Open Thread 378
  10. Yet Another Reason To Hate College Admissions Essays
  11. ACX Classifieds 4/25
  12. Hidden Open Thread 377.5
  13. Highlights From The Comments On POSIWID
  14. Open Thread 377
  15. Come On, Obviously The Purpose Of A System Is Not What It Does
  16. Twilight Of The Edgelords
  17. Hidden Open Thread 376.5
  18. My Takeaways From AI 2027
  19. Open Thread 376
  20. Hidden Open Thread 375.5
  21. Introducing AI 2027
  22. The Colors Of Her Coat

March 2025

  1. Open Thread 375
  2. Hidden Open Thread 374.5
  3. "Deros And The Ur-Abduction" In Asterisk
  4. Meetups Everywhere Spring 2025: Times & Places
  5. Open Thread 374
  6. More Drowning Children
  7. Hidden Open Thread 373.5
  8. Misophonia: Beyond Sensory Sensitivity
  9. Open Thread 373
  10. Hidden Open Thread 372.5
  11. OpenAI Nonprofit Buyout: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  12. The Ozempocalypse Is Nigh
  13. What Happened To NAEP Scores?
  14. Open Thread 372
  15. Why Should Intelligence Be Related To Neuron Count?
  16. Open Thread 371.5
  17. Spring Meetups Everywhere 2025 - Call For Organizers
  18. Open Thread 371

February 2025

  1. Everything-Except-Book Review Contest 2025
  2. Links For February 2025
  3. Hidden Open Thread 370.5
  4. Why I Am Not A Conflict Theorist
  5. Open Thread 370
  6. Highlights From The Comments On Tegmark's Mathematical Universe
  7. Lives Of The Rationalist Saints
  8. Hidden Open Thread 369.5
  9. Tegmark's Mathematical Universe Defeats Most Proofs Of God's Existence
  10. Open Thread 369
  11. Only About 40% Of The Cruz "Woke Science" Database Is Woke Science
  12. Hidden Open Thread 368.5
  13. Deliberative Alignment, And The Spec
  14. Ask Me Anything (2/2025)
  15. Open Thread 368
  16. 1DaySooner's Trump II Health Policy Proposals
  17. Hidden Open Thread 367.5
  18. Money Saved By Canceling Programs Does Not Immediately Flow To The Best Possible Alternative
  19. Model City Monday 2/3/25
  20. Open Thread 367

January 2025

  1. Why Recurring Dream Themes?
  2. Hidden Open Thread 366.666
  3. ACX Survey Results 2025
  4. Open Thread 366
  5. Hidden Open Thread 365.5
  6. Everyone's A Based Post-Christian Vitalist Until The Grooming Gangs Show Up
  7. Try The 2025 ACX/Metaculus Forecasting Contest
  8. Open Thread 365
  9. Links For January 2025
  10. Highlights From The Comments On Lynn And IQ
  11. Hidden Open Thread 364.5
  12. How To Stop Worrying And Learn To Love Lynn's National IQ Estimates
  13. Subscrive Drive '25 + Free Unlocked Posts
  14. Open Thread 364
  15. Bureaucracy Isn't Measured In Bureaucrats
  16. Hidden Open Thread 363.5
  17. On Priesthoods
  18. Open Thread 363
  19. Can You Hate Everyone In Rome?
  20. It's Still Easier To Imagine The End Of The World Than The End Of Capitalism
  21. Hidden Open Thread 362.5
  22. H5N1: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

2024 231

December 2024

  1. Open Thread 362
  2. Why Worry About Incorrigible Claude?
  3. Open Thread 361
  4. Take The 2025 ACX Survey
  5. Claude Fights Back
  6. Hidden Open Thread 360.5
  7. Links For December 2024
  8. Open Thread 360
  9. The Innocent And The Beautiful Have No Enemy But Time
  10. Hidden Open Thread 359.5
  11. Highlights From The Comments On Prison
  12. Open Thread 359
  13. Indulge Your Internet Addiction By Reading About Internet Addiction
  14. Friendly And Hostile Analogies For Taste
  15. Hidden Open Thread 358.5
  16. Book Review: From Bauhaus To Our House
  17. Open Thread 358

November 2024

  1. Prison And Crime: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  2. Open Thread 357
  3. Against The Generalized Anti-Caution Argument
  4. Hidden Open Thread 356.5
  5. How Did You Do On The AI Art Turing Test?
  6. Open Thread 356
  7. The Early Christian Strategy
  8. Hidden Open Thread 355.5
  9. Book Review: The Rise Of Christianity
  10. Open Thread 355
  11. Game Theory Of Michigan Muslims
  12. Congrats To Polymarket, But I Still Think They Were Mispriced
  13. Hidden Open Thread 354.5
  14. Mantic Monday: Judgment Day
  15. Open Thread 354
  16. Links For November 2024

October 2024

  1. ACX Endorses Harris, Oliver, Or Stein
  2. Hidden Open Thread 353.5
  3. The Case Against California Proposition 36
  4. Open Thread 353
  5. Notes From The Progress Studies Conference
  6. Hidden Open Thread 352.5
  7. Secrets Of The Median Voter Theorem
  8. ACX Local Voting Guides
  9. Open Thread 352
  10. Book Review: Deep Utopia
  11. Hidden Open Thread 351.5
  12. Mostleastremarkablegate And The Nature Of Online Harassment
  13. AI Art Turing Test
  14. Open Thread 351
  15. Book Review Contest 2024 Winners
  16. SB 1047: Our Side Of The Story
  17. Triple Tragedy And Thankful Theory
  18. Open Thread 350
  19. Ballots Everywhere: Times And Places
  20. Against The Cultural Christianity Argument
  21. Preliminary Milei Report Card

September 2024

  1. Ballots Everywhere: Call For Organizers, Times, & Dates
  2. Open Thread 349
  3. Vote In The 2024 Book Review Contest
  4. ACX Classifieds 9/2024
  5. How Often Do Men Think About Rome?
  6. Open Thread 348
  7. Your Book Review: The Ballad of the White Horse
  8. Sakana, Strawberry, and Scary AI
  9. Mantic Monday 9/16/24
  10. Open Thread 347
  11. Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
  12. Your Book Review: Nine Lives
  13. Links For September 2024
  14. Contra DeBoer On Temporal Copernicanism
  15. Open Thread 346
  16. Your Book Review: The Pale King
  17. Highlights From The Comments On "Sorry You Feel That Way"
  18. Interview Day At Thiel Capital
  19. Open Thread 345

August 2024

  1. Your Book Review: The History of the Rise and Influence of the Spirit of Rationalism in Europe
  2. Meetups Everywhere 2024: Times & Places
  3. In Defense Of "I'm Sorry You Feel That Way"
  4. Open Thread 344
  5. Your Book Review: The Complete Rhyming Dictionary and Poet's Craft Book (1936 Edition)
  6. The Compounding Loophole
  7. Lukianoff And Defining Cancel Culture
  8. Open Thread 343
  9. Your Book Review: Silver Age Marvel Comics
  10. How Do We Rate The Importance Of Historical Figures?
  11. Why Does Ozempic Cure All Diseases?
  12. Open Thread 342
  13. Your Book Review: How the War Was Won
  14. Hidden Open Thread 341.5
  15. Highlights From The Comments On Nietzsche
  16. Altruism And Vitalism As Fellow Travelers
  17. Open Thread 341
  18. Your Book Review: Two Arms and a Head
  19. Meetups Everywhere Fall 2024 - Call for Organizers
  20. Hidden Open Thread 340.5

July 2024

  1. Matt Yglesias Considered As The Nietzschean Superman
  2. Open Thread 340
  3. Your Book Review: Real Raw News
  4. Hidden Open Thread 339.5
  5. Links for July 2024
  6. Some Practical Considerations Before Descending Into An Orgy Of Vengeance
  7. Open Thread 339
  8. Hidden Open Thread 338.5
  9. Your Book Review: How Language Began
  10. Highlights From The Comments On Mentally Ill Homeless People
  11. Consciousness As Recursive Reflections
  12. Open Thread 338
  13. Your Book Review: The Family That Couldn’t Sleep
  14. Hidden Open Thread 337.5
  15. Lifeboat Games And Backscratchers Clubs
  16. Details That You Should Include In Your Article On How We Should Do Something About Mentally Ill Homeless People
  17. Open Thread 337
  18. Your Book Review: Don Juan
  19. Prediction Markets Suggest Replacing Biden
  20. Open Thread 336

June 2024

  1. Your Book Review: Dominion
  2. Subscriber Bonus Debate Questions
  3. My 2024 Presidential Debate
  4. Hidden Open Thread 335.5
  5. Clarification On "Fake Tradition Is Traditional"
  6. Open Thread 335
  7. Your Book Review: Autobiography Of Yukichi Fukuzawa
  8. Fake Tradition Is Traditional
  9. The Mistakes Are All Waiting To Be Made
  10. Open Thread 334
  11. Hidden Open Thread 333.333333
  12. Failure To Replicate Anti-Vaccine Poll
  13. Nobody Can Make You Feel Genetically Inferior Without Your Consent
  14. Open Thread 333
  15. Hidden Open Thread 332.5
  16. Contra Hoel On Nerd Culture
  17. Berkeley Meetup This Wednesday
  18. Open Thread 332

May 2024

  1. Unsong Available In Paperback
  2. Contra Stone On EA
  3. Links for May 2024
  4. What Is Going On In IFS?
  5. Open Thread 331
  6. A Theoretical "Case Against Education"
  7. Book Review: The Others Within Us
  8. Open Thread 330
  9. Choose Book Review Finalists 2024
  10. Hidden Open Thread 329.5
  11. Profile: The Far Out Initiative
  12. Mantic Monday 5/13/24
  13. Open Thread 329
  14. Highlights From The Comments On Hanson And Health Care
  15. The Emotional Support Animal Racket
  16. Asterisk/Zvi on California's AI Bill
  17. Highlights From The Comments On "The Origin Of Woke"
  18. Open Thread 328
  19. Hidden Open Thread 327.5
  20. Book Review: The Origins Of Woke

April 2024

  1. Response to Hanson On Health Care
  2. Open Thread 327
  3. Survey Results: PMS Symptoms
  4. Desperately Trying To Fathom The Coffeepocalypse Argument
  5. Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness
  6. Open Thread 326
  7. ACX Survey Results 2024
  8. Ye Olde Bay Area House Party
  9. Updates on Lumina Probiotic
  10. Open Thread 325
  11. ACX Classifieds 4/24
  12. Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate
  13. Open Thread 324
  14. Explicit Honesty
  15. Links For April 2024
  16. Open Thread 323

March 2024

  1. Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024
  2. Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate
  3. Take The 2024 ACX Survey
  4. Open Thread 322
  5. Hidden Open Thread 321
  6. In Continued Defense Of Non-Frequentist Probabilities
  7. The Mystery Of Internet Survey IQs
  8. Open Thread 320
  9. Hidden Open Thread 319.5
  10. In Partial Grudging Defense Of Some Aspects Of Therapy Culture
  11. Verses On Five People Being Killed By A Falling Package Of Foreign Aid
  12. Mantic Monday 3/11/24
  13. Open Thread 319
  14. Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024 - Call For Organizers
  15. Hidden Open Thread 318.5
  16. How Should We Think About Race And "Lived Experience"?
  17. ACX Grants Followup Impact Market
  18. Who Predicted 2023?
  19. Open Thread 318
  20. Book Review Contest Rules 2024

February 2024

  1. Links For February 2024
  2. Less Utilitarian Than Thou
  3. Open Thread 317
  4. Who Does Polygenic Selection Help?
  5. Highlights From The Comments On Polyamory
  6. Mantic Monday 2/19/24
  7. Open Thread 316
  8. Hidden Open Thread 315.5
  9. X Fact Check: Does Gender Integration Moderate Politics?
  10. Love And Liberty
  11. Sam Altman Wants $7 Trillion
  12. Open Thread 315
  13. ACX Grants Results 2024
  14. Hidden Open Thread 314.159
  15. Evolution Explains Polygenic Structure
  16. You Don't Hate Polyamory, You Hate People Who Write Books
  17. Contra The Atlantic On Polyamory
  18. Open Thread 314
  19. Links At Length: Democratic Socialists' Budget Crisis
  20. It's Fair To Describe Schizophrenia As Probably Mostly Genetic

January 2024

  1. Seems Like Targeting
  2. Mantic Monday 1/29/24
  3. Open Thread 313
  4. Hidden Open Thread 312.5
  5. Your Name Was Changed At Ellis Island
  6. The Psychopolitics Of Trauma
  7. Some Unintuitive Properties Of Polygenic Disorders
  8. Should The Future Be Human?
  9. Open Thread 312
  10. Hidden Open Thread 311.5
  11. Subscrive Drive 2024 + Free Unlocked Posts
  12. Links For January 2024
  13. Against Learning From Dramatic Events
  14. AI Sleeper Agents
  15. Open Thread 311
  16. Highlights From The Comments On Capitalism & Charity
  17. Hidden Open Thread 310.5
  18. Book Review: Cyropaedia
  19. The Road To Honest AI
  20. Open Thread 310
  21. Hidden Open Thread 309.5
  22. Does Capitalism Beat Charity?
  23. Singing The Blues
  24. Open Thread 309

2023 252

December 2023

  1. Hidden Open Thread 308.5
  2. Open Thread 308
  3. In The Long Run, We're All Dad
  4. Hidden Open Thread 307.5
  5. Open Thread 307
  6. Hidden Open Thread 306.5
  7. Son Of Bride Of Bay Area House Party
  8. Open Thread 306
  9. Apply For An ACX Grant (2024)
  10. Defying Cavity: Lantern Bioworks FAQ
  11. What Ever Happened To Neoreaction?
  12. Beyond "Abolish The FDA"
  13. Mantic Monday 12/4/23
  14. Open Thread 305
  15. Hidden Open Thread 304.5
  16. Links For November 2023

November 2023

  1. Contra DeBoer On Movement Shell Games
  2. In Continued Defense Of Effective Altruism
  3. God Help Us, Let's Try To Understand AI Monosemanticity
  4. Open Thread 304
  5. Open Thread 303.5
  6. Seen In The Bay
  7. Open Thread 303
  8. Book Review: I See Satan Fall Like Lightning
  9. Hidden Open Thread 302.5
  10. Does Anaesthesia Prove Ketamine Placebo?
  11. Open Thread 302
  12. Followup: Quests And Requests
  13. Hidden Open Thread 301.5
  14. Hardball Questions For The Next Debate
  15. Highlights From The Comments On Kidney Donation
  16. Open Thread 301
  17. Quests And Requests
  18. Dictator Book Club: Chavez
  19. Hidden Open Thread 300.5

October 2023

  1. Mantic Monday 10/30/23
  2. Open Thread 300
  3. My Left Kidney
  4. Open Thread 299
  5. Open Thread 298
  6. Impact Market Mini-Grants Results
  7. Open Thread 297
  8. Pause For Thought: The AI Pause Debate
  9. How Are The Gay Younger Brothers Doing?
  10. Open Thread 296

September 2023

  1. Links For September 2023
  2. Book Review: Beelzebub's Tales To His Grandson
  3. Open Thread 295
  4. ACX Classifieds 9/23
  5. Book Review: The Alexander Romance
  6. Highlights From The Comments On Elon Musk
  7. Open Thread 294
  8. Book Review Contest 2023 Winners
  9. Hidden Open Thread 293.5
  10. Book Review: Elon Musk
  11. Highlights From The Comments On Last Week's Model Cities Post
  12. Open Thread 293
  13. Vote In The 2023 Book Review Contest
  14. Hidden Open Thread 292.5
  15. Contra Kirkegaard On Evolutionary Definitions Of Mental Illness
  16. My Presidential Platform
  17. Model City Monday 9/4/23: California Dreamin'
  18. Open Thread 292
  19. Your Book Review: Zuozhuan

August 2023

  1. Hidden Open Thread 291.5
  2. Here's Why Automaticity Is Real Actually
  3. Highlights From The Comments On Fetishes
  4. Mantic Monday 8/28/23
  5. Open Thread 291
  6. Your Book Review: Why Nations Fail
  7. Meetups Everywhere 2023: Times & Places
  8. Highlights From The Comments On Dating Preferences
  9. More Thoughts On Critical Windows
  10. Critical Periods For Language: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  11. What Can Fetish Research Tell Us About AI?
  12. Open Thread 290
  13. Your Book Review: The Mind Of A Bee
  14. Hidden Open Thread 289.5
  15. Bride Of Bay Area House Party
  16. In Defense Of Describable Dating Preferences
  17. Open Thread 289
  18. Your Book Review: The Weirdest People in the World
  19. Highlights From The Comments On Putin
  20. Links For August 2023
  21. Open Thread 288
  22. Your Book Review: The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich
  23. Hidden Open Thread 287.5
  24. More Memorable Passages From "The Man Without A Face"
  25. Dictator Book Club: Putin
  26. Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023 - Call For Organizers
  27. Mantic Monday 7/31/23: Room Temperature Superforecaster

July 2023

  1. Open Thread 287
  2. Your Book Review: On the Marble Cliffs
  3. Bad Definitions Of "Democracy" And "Accountability" Shade Into Totalitarianism
  4. New York Meetup On Sunday
  5. Highlights From The Comments On Social Model Of Disability
  6. We're Not Platonists, We've Just Learned The Bitter Lesson
  7. Open Thread 286
  8. Your Book Review: The Laws of Trading
  9. Highlights From The Comments On British Economic Decline
  10. The Extinction Tournament
  11. Berkeley Meetup On Sunday, Special Guest Philip Tetlock
  12. Contra The xAI Alignment Plan
  13. Open Thread 285
  14. Your Book Review: The Educated Mind
  15. Contra The Social Model Of Disability
  16. Hidden Open Thread 284.5
  17. Wikipedia Wednesday 7/12/2023
  18. Why Match School And Student Rank?
  19. Open Thread 284
  20. Your Book Review: Secret Government
  21. Ask Me Anything Thread (7/2023)
  22. Links For July 2023
  23. Tales Of Takeover In CCF-World
  24. Open Thread 283
  25. Hidden Open Thread 282.5
  26. Your Book Review: Safe Enough?

June 2023

  1. Is There An Illusion Of Moral Decline?
  2. Sure, Whatever, Let's Try Another Contra Caplan On Mental Illness
  3. Every Flashing Element On Your Site Alienates And Enrages Users
  4. "Through A Glass Darkly" In Asterisk Magazine
  5. Open Thread 282
  6. Your Book Review: Public Citizens
  7. Hidden Open Thread 281.5
  8. Book Review: Programming And Metaprogramming The Human Biocomputer
  9. Davidson On Takeoff Speeds
  10. Open Thread 281
  11. Hidden Open Thread 280.5
  12. Your Book Review: Njal’s Saga
  13. Your Incentives Are Not The Same As Media Companies'
  14. Atlanta Meetup This Sunday
  15. The Canal Papers
  16. Open Thread 280
  17. Your Book Review: Man’s Search for Meaning
  18. Attempts To Put Statistics In Context, Put Into Context
  19. Assistant Dictator Book Club: America Against America
  20. Highlights From The Comments On The Academic Job Market
  21. Open Thread 279
  22. Your Book Review: Why Machines Will Never Rule the World
  23. Links For May 2023

May 2023

  1. All Medications Are Insignificant In The Eyes Of God And Traditional Effect Size Criteria
  2. Are Woo Non-Responders Defective?
  3. Open Thread 278
  4. Your Book Review: Lying for Money
  5. Hidden Open Thread 277.5
  6. Hypergamy: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  7. Mantic Monday 5/22/23
  8. Open Thread 277
  9. Your Book Review: Cities And The Wealth Of Nations/The Question Of Separatism
  10. Peer Review: Hypergamy - Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  11. Why Is The Academic Job Market So Weird?
  12. Galton, Ehrlich, Buck
  13. Open Thread 276
  14. Hidden Open Thread 275.5
  15. Highlights From The Comments On Long COVID And Bisexuality
  16. Highlights From The Comments On Housing Density And Prices
  17. Constitutional AI: RLHF On Steroids
  18. Open Thread 275
  19. Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
  20. Hidden Open Thread 274.5
  21. Raise Your Threshold For Accusing People Of Faking Bisexuality
  22. Replication Attempt: Bisexuality And Long COVID
  23. Change My Mind: Density Increases Local But Decreases Global Prices
  24. Open Thread 274

April 2023

  1. The Psychology Of Fantasy
  2. Highlights From The Comments On Nerds And Hipsters
  3. Mantic Monday 4/24/23
  4. Open Thread 273
  5. Hidden Open Thread 272.5
  6. Links For April 2023
  7. Contra Kriss On Nerds And Hipsters
  8. Highlights From The Comments On IRBs
  9. Open Thread 272
  10. Book Review: From Oversight To Overkill
  11. Spring Meetups Everywhere 2023
  12. Open Thread 271
  13. Book Review: The Arctic Hysterias
  14. Hidden Open Thread 270.5
  15. But Seriously, Are Bloxors Greeblic?
  16. Most Technologies Aren't Races
  17. Highlights From The Comments On Telemedicine Regulations
  18. Open Thread 270

March 2023

  1. Hidden Open Thread 269.5
  2. MR Tries The Safe Uncertainty Fallacy
  3. The Government Is Making Telemedicine Hard And Inconvenient Again
  4. Turing Test
  5. Open Thread 269
  6. Hidden Open Thread 268.5
  7. Book Review: Paper Belt On Fire
  8. Half An Hour Before Dawn In San Francisco
  9. Open Thread 268
  10. Why Do Transgender People Report Hypermobile Joints?
  11. Are We All Doxastic Voluntarists?
  12. Classifieds Thread 3/23
  13. Why I Am Not (As Much Of) A Doomer (As Some People)
  14. Open Thread 267
  15. Links For March 2023
  16. Open Thread 266.66666...
  17. Give Up Seventy Percent Of The Way Through The Hyperstitious Slur Cascade
  18. Issue Two Of Asterisk
  19. Kelly Bets On Civilization
  20. Open Thread 266
  21. Impact Market Mini-Grants Update
  22. Against Ice Age Civilizations
  23. Memorize A Few Basic Numbers To Have Intuitions About Other Things
  24. OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond"

February 2023

  1. Highlights From The Comments On Geography Of Madness
  2. Open Thread 265
  3. Announcing Forecasting Impact Mini-Grants
  4. Book Review: What's Our Problem?
  5. Book Review: The Geography Of Madness
  6. Grading My 2018 Predictions For 2023
  7. Open Thread 264
  8. Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  9. Trying Again On Fideism
  10. Contra Kavanagh On Fideism
  11. Ro-mantic Monday 2/13/23
  12. Open Thread 263
  13. Hidden Open Thread 262.5
  14. Links For February 2023
  15. Henrietta Lacks Seems Like A Nice Person, But Not A Scientific Hero
  16. Bonus Wisdom Of Crowds Analysis
  17. Crowds Are Wise (And One's A Crowd)
  18. Open Thread 262
  19. Berkeley Meetup On Tuesday, Special Guest Daniel Ingram
  20. Hidden Open Thread 261.5
  21. Mostly Skeptical Thoughts On The Chatbot Propaganda Apocalypse
  22. Book Review Contest Rules 2023
  23. Response To Alexandros Contra Me On Ivermectin

January 2023

  1. Mantic Monday 1/30/2023
  2. Open Thread 261
  3. Hidden Open Thread 260.5
  4. [Sneak Peek] Declining Sperm Count: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  5. Janus' Simulators
  6. You Don't Want A Purely Biological, Apolitical Taxonomy Of Mental Disorders
  7. Who Predicted 2022?
  8. Open Thread 260
  9. ACX Survey Results 2022
  10. Hidden Open Thread 259.5
  11. Which Political Victories Cause Backlash?
  12. SSC Survey Results On Schooling Types
  13. Open Thread 259
  14. Hidden Open Thread 258.5
  15. 2023 Subscription Drive + Free Unlocked Posts
  16. Conspiracies of Cognition, Conspiracies Of Emotion
  17. Highlights From The Comments On The Media Very Rarely Lying
  18. Stage 2 Of Prediction Contest
  19. Open Thread 258
  20. Hidden Open Thread 257.5
  21. Even More Bay Area House Party
  22. How Do AIs' Political Opinions Change As They Get Smarter And Better-Trained?
  23. Open Thread 257

2022 301

December 2022

  1. Take The 2022 ACX Survey!
  2. Hidden Open Thread 256.6
  3. Sorry, I Still Think I Am Right About The Media Very Rarely Lying
  4. Links For December 2022
  5. Selection Bias Is A Fact Of Life, Not An Excuse For Rejecting Internet Surveys
  6. Open Thread 256
  7. Fact Check: Do All Healthy People Have Mystical Experiences?
  8. Hidden Open Thread 255.5
  9. The Media Very Rarely Lies
  10. The Buying Things From A Store FAQ
  11. Prediction Market FAQ
  12. Open Thread 255
  13. 2023 Prediction Contest
  14. A Crypto Exchange
  15. Perhaps It Is A Bad Thing That The World's Leading AI Companies Cannot Control Their AIs
  16. Open Thread 254
  17. Highlights From The Comments On Bobos In Paradise
  18. Hidden Open Thread 253.5
  19. Why I'm Less Than Infinitely Hostile To Cryptocurrency
  20. Know Your GABA-A Receptor Subunits
  21. What Your Doctor Spends 80% Of Their Time Doing
  22. Peer Review: Prediction Market FAQ
  23. Open Thread 253
  24. Which Is Bigger, 256,000 Or A Deer?
  25. Book Review: First Sixth Of Bobos In Paradise

November 2022

  1. Highlights From The Comments On Semaglutide
  2. Can This AI Save Teenage Spy Alex Rider From A Terrible Fate?
  3. Open Thread 252
  4. If The Media Reported On Other Things Like It Does Effective Altruism
  5. Semaglutidonomics
  6. "Is Wine Fake?" In Asterisk Magazine
  7. Mantic Monday: Twitter Chaos Edition
  8. Open Thread 251
  9. Hidden Open Thread 150.5
  10. The Psychopharmacology Of The FTX Crash
  11. Open Thread 250
  12. Too Spicy For Twitter
  13. Contra Resident Contrarian On Unfalsifiable Internal States
  14. Can People Be Honestly Wrong About Their Own Experiences?
  15. Open Thread 249.5: Challenge Mode
  16. Highlights From The Comments On Brain Waves
  17. Open Thread 249
  18. Highlights From The Comments On My California Ballot
  19. ACX Grants: Project Updates
  20. My California Ballot 2022
  21. Moderation Is Different From Censorship
  22. Open Thread 248.5

October 2022

  1. Highlights From The Comments On Jhanas
  2. Open Thread 248
  3. Elon Musk Has Purchased Twitter
  4. Book Review: Malleus Maleficarum
  5. Nick Cammarata On Jhana
  6. Open Thread 247.5
  7. Highlights From The Comments On Supplement Labeling
  8. From The Mailbag
  9. Open Thread 247
  10. Book Review: Rhythms Of The Brain
  11. Open Thread 246.5
  12. Another Bay Area House Party
  13. Mantic Monday 10/17/22
  14. Open Thread 246
  15. Hidden Open Thread 245.5
  16. Highlights From The Comments On The Central Valley
  17. Links For October
  18. Highlights From The Comments On Columbus Day
  19. Open Thread 245
  20. A Columbian Exchange
  21. Hidden Open Thread 244.5
  22. LA and San Diego Meetups This Weekend
  23. How Trustworthy Are Supplements?
  24. CHAI, Assistance Games, And Fully-Updated Deference
  25. Open Thread 244

September 2022

  1. Highlights From The Comments On Unpredictable Reward
  2. Universe-Hopping Through Substack
  3. From Nostradamus To Fukuyama
  4. Open Thread 243
  5. Hidden Open Thread 242.5
  6. Ask Me Anything
  7. Highlights From The Comments On Billionaire Replaceability
  8. Why Is The Central Valley So Bad?
  9. Janus' GPT Wrangling
  10. Open Thread 242
  11. Bay Area Meetups This Weekend
  12. Hidden Open Thread 241.5
  13. Travelogue: Northern California
  14. Unpredictable Reward, Predictable Happiness
  15. I Won My Three Year AI Progress Bet In Three Months
  16. Open Thread 241
  17. Classifieds Thread 9/22
  18. Links For September 2022
  19. Open Thread 240
  20. Book Review Contest 2022 Winners
  21. The Prophet And Caesar's Wife
  22. Open Thread 239.5

August 2022

  1. Billionaires, Surplus, And Replaceability
  2. Open Thread 239
  3. Your Book Review: Kora In Hell
  4. Hidden Open Thread 238.5
  5. Meetups Everywhere 2022: Times & Places
  6. Highlights From The Comments On The Repugnant Conclusion And WWOTF
  7. Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions
  8. Book Review: What We Owe The Future
  9. Open Thread 238
  10. Your Book Review: 1587, A Year Of No Significance
  11. Open Thread 237.5
  12. Highlights From The Comments On Subcultures
  13. Skills Plateau Because Of Decay And Interference
  14. Meetups Everywhere 2022 - Call For Organizers
  15. Mantic Monday 8/15/22
  16. Open Thread 237
  17. Your Book Review: God Emperor Of Dune
  18. Will Nonbelievers Really Believe Anything?
  19. Hidden Open Thread 236.5
  20. A Cyclic Theory Of Subcultures
  21. Why Not Slow AI Progress?
  22. Open Thread 236
  23. Your Book Review: Exhaustion
  24. Hidden Open Thread 235.5
  25. Absurdity Bias, Neom Edition
  26. Slightly Against Underpopulation Worries
  27. Model City Monday 8/1/22
  28. Open Thread 235

July 2022

  1. Your Book Review: Viral
  2. Hidden Open Thread 234.5
  3. Links For July
  4. Highlights From The Comments On Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
  5. Forer Statements As Updates And Affirmations
  6. ELK And The Problem Of Truthful AI
  7. Open Thread 234
  8. Your Book Review: The Society Of The Spectacle
  9. Hidden Open Thread 233.5
  10. Perpendicular Lives II
  11. Criticism Of Criticism Of Criticism
  12. Open Thread 233
  13. Your Book Review: The Righteous Mind
  14. Hidden Open Thread 232.5
  15. Impact Markets: The Annoying Details
  16. Book Review: The Man From The Future
  17. Mantic Monday 7/11/22
  18. Open Thread 232
  19. Your Book Review: The Outlier
  20. Hidden Open Thread 231.5
  21. Highlights From The Comments On The 2020 Homicide Spike
  22. Nobody Knows How Well Homework Works
  23. Study: Ritalin Works, But School Isn't Worth Paying Attention To
  24. Open Thread 231
  25. Hidden Open Thread 230.5
  26. Your Book Review: The Internationalists
  27. Links For June

June 2022

  1. Highlights From The Comments On San Fransicko
  2. What Caused The 2020 Homicide Spike?
  3. Model City Monday 6/27/22
  4. Open Thread 230
  5. Your Book Review: Public Choice Theory And The Illusion Of Grand Strategy
  6. Open Thread 229.5
  7. Book Review: San Fransicko
  8. Open Thread 229
  9. Your Book Review: The Future Of Fusion Energy
  10. Peer Review: Nightmares
  11. Hidden Open Thread 228.5
  12. Mantic Monday 6/13/22
  13. Open Thread 228
  14. Hidden Open Thread 227.5
  15. Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything
  16. Somewhat Contra Marcus On AI Scaling
  17. Against "There Are Two X-Wing Parties"
  18. Which Party Has Gotten More Extreme Faster?
  19. My Bet: AI Size Solves Flubs
  20. It's Bad On Purpose To Make You Click
  21. Open Thread 227
  22. Your Book Review: The Castrato
  23. Hidden Open Thread 226.5
  24. Classifieds Thread 6/2022
  25. Birth Order Effects: Nature vs. Nurture

May 2022

  1. A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows
  2. Open Thread 226
  3. Your Book Review: The Anti-Politics Machine
  4. [Peer Review] Which Party Has Gotten More Extreme Faster?
  5. Hidden Open Thread 225.5
  6. In Partial, Grudging Defense Of The Hearing Voices Movement
  7. California Gubernatorial Candidates From Z to Z
  8. Willpower, Human and Machine
  9. Open Thread 225
  10. Your Book Review: Making Nature
  11. Hidden Open Thread 224.5
  12. Lavender's Game: Silexan For Anxiety
  13. Link: Troof On Nootropics
  14. Contra Dynomight On Sexy In-Laws
  15. Open Thread 224
  16. Your Book Review: Consciousness And The Brain
  17. Hidden Open Thread 223.5
  18. Book Review: The Gervais Principle
  19. Mantic Monday 5/9/22
  20. Open Thread 223
  21. Berkeley Meetup This Saturday
  22. Why Do People Prefer My Old Blog's Layout To Substack's?
  23. Every Bay Area House Party
  24. Open Thread 222

April 2022

  1. Highlights From The Comments On Xi Jinping
  2. Hidden Open Thread 221.5
  3. Current Affairs' Marxist Critique Of Toddler Show Blippi Isn't Marxist Enough
  4. Book Review: A Clinical Introduction To Lacanian Psychoanalysis
  5. Open Thread 221
  6. Hidden Open Thread 220.5
  7. Initial Conditions
  8. Contra Hoffman On Vitamin D Dosing
  9. Highlights From The Comments On "Sadly, Porn"
  10. Mantic Monday 4/18/22
  11. Open Thread 220
  12. Irvine Meetup This Monday
  13. Hidden Open Thread 219.5
  14. Links For April
  15. Biography of Jason Shea, 44th US President
  16. Obscure Pregnancy Interventions: Much More Than You Wanted To Know
  17. Deceptively Aligned Mesa-Optimizers: It's Not Funny If I Have To Explain It
  18. Open Thread 219
  19. Spring Meetups In Seventy Cities
  20. Peer Review Request: Obscure Pregnancy Interventions
  21. Hidden Open Thread 218.5
  22. Dictator Book Club: Xi Jinping
  23. Highlights From The Comments On Self-Determination
  24. Yudkowsky Contra Christiano On AI Takeoff Speeds
  25. Open Thread 218
  26. The Low-Hanging Fruit Argument: Models And Predictions

March 2022

  1. Hidden Open Thread 217.5
  2. Idol Words
  3. Who Gets Self-Determination?
  4. Information Markets, Decision Markets, Attention Markets, Action Markets
  5. Open Thread 217
  6. Hidden Open Thread 216.5
  7. Highlights From The Comments On Justice Creep
  8. Men Will Literally Have Completely Different Mental Processes Instead Of Going To Therapy
  9. Contra Hoel On Aristocratic Tutoring
  10. Mantic Monday 3/21/22
  11. Open Thread 216
  12. Hidden Open Thread 215.5
  13. The Onion Knight
  14. Highlights From The Comments On Zulresso
  15. Justice Creep
  16. Mantic Monday 3/14/22
  17. Open Thread 215
  18. Hidden Open Thread 214.5
  19. Progesterone Megadoses Might Be A Cheap Zulresso Substitute
  20. Advice For Unwoke Academic?
  21. Zounds! It's Zulresso and Zuranolone!
  22. Ukraine Thoughts And Links
  23. Open Thread 214
  24. Hidden Open Thread 213.5
  25. What Are We Arguing About When We Argue About Rationality?
  26. Microaddictions
  27. Ukraine Warcasting

February 2022

  1. Open Thread 213
  2. Austin Meetup Correction
  3. Hidden Open Thread 212.5
  4. Biological Anchors: A Trick That Might Or Might Not Work
  5. Links For February
  6. Play Money And Reputation Systems
  7. Open Thread 212
  8. Austin Meetup Next Sunday
  9. Hidden Open Thread 211.5
  10. The Gods Only Have Power Because We Believe In Them
  11. Book Review: Sadly, Porn
  12. Mantic Monday: Ukraine Cube Manifold
  13. Open Thread 211
  14. Highlights From The Comments On Motivated Reasoning And Reinforcement Learning
  15. ACX Grants ++: The Second Half
  16. Hidden Open Thread 210.5
  17. So You Want To Run A Microgrants Program
  18. Heuristics That Almost Always Work
  19. Two Small Corrections And Updates
  20. The Passage Of Polymarket
  21. Open Thread 210
  22. Book Review Contest Rules 2022
  23. Hidden Open Thread 209.5
  24. ACX Grants ++: The First Half
  25. Why Do I Suck?
  26. Motivated Reasoning As Mis-applied Reinforcement Learning
  27. Predictions For 2022

January 2022

  1. Open Thread 209
  2. Hidden Open Thread 208.5
  3. Classifieds Thread 1/2022
  4. Highlights From The Comments On Health Care Systems
  5. Against That Poverty And Infant EEGs Study
  6. Bounded Distrust
  7. Grading My 2021 Predictions
  8. Open Thread 208
  9. Resubmit And Summarize Your Proposals For Grants ++
  10. Ask Me Anything
  11. Hidden Open Thread 207.5
  12. Book Review: Which Country Has The World's Best Health Care?
  13. Practically-A-Book Review: Yudkowsky Contra Ngo On Agents
  14. Open Thread 207
  15. There's A Time For Everyone
  16. Hidden Open Thread 206.5
  17. Open Thread 206
  18. Highlights From The Comments On "Don't Look Up"
  19. Open Thread 205.5
  20. Name's The Same
  21. Movie Review: Don't Look Up
  22. Lewis Carroll Invented Retroactive Public Goods Funding In 1894
  23. Open Thread 205

← 2020–2021