The Curious Engineer

Grey Enlightenment

2020–2026

1,356 posts

← 2016–2019

2026 151

October 2026

  1. The brain-body gap explanation for obesity
  2. Average Is Over: Why AI Won’t Upend the Social Order
  3. The AI buildout is sustainable
  4. AI Keeps Getting Better. Why Is Its Writing Still So Bad?
  5. Why Defrauding the Wealthy Worked for Elizabeth Holmes
  6. Math: You Can’t Demand Novelty and Then Complain About AI
  7. The Online Right’s Democratic Grievances
  8. The cope of “replaced by AI”
  9. The Nuance the Math Debate Is Missing
  10. The proof is in the prompt: why math is not going away
  11. Smart People Cram Too.
  12. Elite Grads Aren’t Impressive. Compared to What?
  13. What the College Preparedness Debate Misses
  14. Book Smarts vs. “Streamer Smarts”: Who Called Tariffs, Iran, and Maduro Right?

September 2026

  1. The Scott Alexander v. Steven Pinker AI debate
  2. AI Is the Uber Moment for Mathematics
  3. Breaking Kayfabe
  4. Meta and Bitcoin Recover: Why I’m Still Right
  5. Go ahead and major in computer science
  6. AI Helps People Get Past the Blank Page
  7. When it comes to AI job-loss forecasts, it’s time to put up or shut up
  8. The Clarity Act dies–right again
  9. The final frontier for AI: writing
  10. How much of “write simply” is just survivorship bias?
  11. The daily view 9/10/2026 Polymarket huge Iran win, AI vs Writing, AI vs Math, and Hedging
  12. The Optimality Thesis: Why America Doesn’t Need a Smart President
  13. The daily view 9/6/2026: No mass unemployment due to AI, Nike’s downfall , AI and cheating
  14. Buying tech and shorting Bitcoin as a play on “power dynamics”
  15. The Cope of Predicting Higher Ed’s Death

August 2026

  1. The daily view: 8/31/2026: Bitcoin recovery, Pangram, Polymarkat & Iran, and elite colleges
  2. Tax windfalls are not wealth: debunking a myth
  3. Richard Hanania and the Myth of the Inevitable Debt Crisis
  4. Andrew Tate’s sports cars are rented–so what?
  5. AI-assisted writing is common because writing is hard
  6. There Is No AI Math Crisis
  7. It’s time to quit the “war on cancer”
  8. AI-generated writing: it’s still bad
  9. Maybe Dieting Fails Because Humans Need Fewer Calories Than We Think
  10. There is no mainstream or alternative: it’s all just “content”
  11. “Nostalgia maxxing:” why can’t we leave the past
  12. The Daily View 8/10/2026: Attention, Shrinkflation, Truth Social API, …
  13. The are no good options for “affordability”
  14. The debate over math and AI–why mathematicians are still needed and valued
  15. The crypto industry lost.
  16. The information deluge, and human capital boom

July 2026

  1. Leopold Aschenbrenner blows up
  2. The “memory shortage” that no one saw coming
  3. The AI Experts Who Couldn’t Predict AI
  4. The Long-Form Content Boom No One’s Talking About
  5. The Daily View 7/22/2026: Iran, Polymarket, Math, AI & Job Loss, Trump
  6. The Jacobian conjecture falls to AI
  7. Andrew and Tristan Tate arrested in Florida
  8. Why European-Style Policing Doesn’t “Work” in the US
  9. Elite Colleges Will Survive AI. The Rest Need to Adapt.
  10. Healthcare Is Expensive Because Americans Expect So Much from It
  11. The Daily View 7/11/2026: Superforecasters , Iran, and AI & Cheating in College
  12. Why It Can Be True That Students Are Both Smarter and Less Prepared
  13. The TV Addict Who Became a Macro Forecaster
  14. Why we cannot have nice things
  15. Trump Profiting from Crypto Is Not Corruption

June 2026

  1. The Gospel of Gains: How Fitness Culture Went Mainstream
  2. AI is not going to make mathematicians obsolete
  3. The Daily View 6/25/2026: Bitcoin @$58k, MicroStrategy collapse, Reflecting pool, AI…
  4. The Weight-Loss Revolution People Didn’t Want
  5. The Surprisingly Small Ambitions of Billionaires
  6. The Iran Deal That Won’t Happen
  7. Why Eminence Is a Bad Measure of Intelligence
  8. Enough with the hype about underwhelming or speculative cancer treatments
  9. Cope and Elon’s wealth (why cant we just admit being a billionaire is great)
  10. What Happened to the AI Job Crisis?
  11. Why Some Smart People Appear Ordinary Until Adulthood
  12. Freddie’s gatekeeping
  13. The daily view 6/5/2026: IQ, Berkeley math, Affordability, AI and Jobs, AI Bubble…
  14. Why human behavior is not as unpredictable/random as assumed
  15. The Daily View 6/2/2026: Bitcoin crashes, Iran, Job Openings

May 2026

  1. Thinness, Status, and Coping (why it’s okay to admit that being thin is good)
  2. Another day, another deal
  3. Why Everyone Feels Like They’re Losing
  4. Profiting from Iran and Polymarket
  5. Why anecdotal evidence is better than studies
  6. AI will not hurt the signaling value of elite colleges
  7. AI job loss predictions keep being wrong
  8. AI Didn’t Break College. It Exposed What College Already Was
  9. Debunking the claim that the “FDA is holding back cancer cures”
  10. The importance of having an information advantage at trading
  11. How the Mainstream Media Came to Sound like Zero Hedge/Info Wars
  12. Shorting BTC to hedge the stock market, part 2 , Free hedging with STRC
  13. Iran, oil, and stocks: taking a victory lap
  14. People turning to gambling or fraud in response to rigged/unfair system
  15. On the stubborn attachment to wrong ideas

April 2026

  1. The Daily View 4/30/2026: Stocks ignore oil prices, GLP-1s and Walmart, and Blackpilling
  2. Cole Tomas Allen: Why There Is No Profile for Premeditated Violence
  3. “Slow Metabolism” May Help Explain High Dieting Failure Rates
  4. U.S. Soldier Charged in Insider Trading Case: A Convenient Fall Guy Amid Widespread Fraud
  5. AI-based unemployment and UBI: my thoughts
  6. The daily view: Iran blockade, AI and labor, Palantir’s bad manifesto
  7. Optimality, revisited
  8. The ‘MAGA divorce’ does not matter
  9. The Trump-Jesus non-controversy
  10. Trump threatens Strait of Hormuz blockade, Bitcoin crashes
  11. Trump: diplomacy by delay
  12. America is becoming smarter and dumber at the same time
  13. The daily view 4/6/2026: Iran, Metabolism, Wealth & Status, Downwardly-mobile American young people
  14. AI Changes Everything–and Nothing
  15. Why successful people often have bad opinions online

March 2026

  1. Update on Iran: Why I remain bullish on stocks and bearish on Bitcoin
  2. Insider trading with Truth Social and form capture
  3. How Can America Be So Miserable When It’s So Rich?
  4. The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, possibly until 2028
  5. A ground invasion of Iran would not be as unpopular as commonly assumed
  6. Bad leadership as the default
  7. Why the Minnesota Starvation Experiment Doesn’t Generalize to Modern Dieting
  8. To flout or flaunt IQ? Choose the second.
  9. No, Matt Walsh, the use of AI in writing is perfectly fine
  10. Foreign policy takes precedence over domestic issues.
  11. The problem with studies and extrapolating ‘old data’ to the present
  12. Debunking common assumptions, part 1
  13. Right again: Trump approval ratings stable after strikes
  14. Leopold Aschenbrenner’s hedge fund: dispelling the hype
  15. MAGA and its discontents
  16. Iran and Anthropic: My Thoughts

February 2026

  1. The rise of the lock-in guy
  2. Taleb & Charles Murray about IQ and College
  3. What AI can and cannot do
  4. SCOTUS strikes down (some) Trump tariffs
  5. The stock market and forecasting as an IQ test
  6. AI still sucks at rendering stock charts
  7. The “Highlight Reel” Myth of Social Media
  8. Costco and theft
  9. Prediction markets, and the mobilization of decentralized talent
  10. The problem with blaming ‘ultra-processed’ foods for obesity
  11. “Wealth inflation” has led to “elite overproduction”
  12. Right again: Bitcoin the victory lap edition
  13. The strivers were right all along
  14. ‘America First’ is more about making America like the EU

January 2026

  1. The Daily View 1/30/2026: Silver Crash, Bitcoin Crash, AGI hedge, Epstein, Iran…
  2. Eating out of boredom isn’t really a thing
  3. The daily view: Silver Surges as Bitcoin Keeps Falling , Bad Advice/Bullshit,
  4. The Killing of Alex Pretti: We’re Living in Trump’s America
  5. Prediction markets and insider trading
  6. Claims of Trump Having Dementia are Unfounded
  7. Trump tariffs victory lap
  8. Scott Alexander on Scott Adams
  9. A tariff is not a tax
  10. Obesity and SNAP: the overlooked IQ connection
  11. The Daily View 1/12/2026: Bitcoin Party is Over, IQ Threshold Effects, ‘MAHA’ food guidelines
  12. Math vs Writing: difficulty and threshold effects
  13. “Why are white-collar jobs so resilient , even with AI?”
  14. Coffeezilla: the most overrated scam investigator
  15. U.S. Strikes Venezuela, Maduro Deposed: My thoughts
  16. Yarvin: the Trump window has closed

2025 192

December 2025

  1. Predictions for 2026
  2. Shared Dissatisfaction in an Age of Liberal Disillusion
  3. 2025 predictions recap: my most accurate year ever
  4. “Vibecession” reflects an increasingly difficult economy and society
  5. “The Lost Generation”
  6. Meritocratic Wealth vs Lottery Wealth
  7. Lies can persist when it’s not worth investigating the truth
  8. Culture hasn’t stagnated; rather, it has become more niche.
  9. Defensive writing thrives because everyone is a critic
  10. Systems beat AI (Bitcoin case study)
  11. Gatekeeping and Cringe
  12. The Daily View 12/8/2025: Positivity, AI vs. Math, Bitcoin vs. QQQ, Undigested Calories
  13. Why the College Accommodations Debate Has No Easy Answers
  14. Jan 6th pipe bomber suspect arrested: analysis
  15. Update on weight-loss drug predictions: right again
  16. The Daily View 12/1/2025: Bitcoin collapse, AI bubble, Weight Loss Challenge

November 2025

  1. It’s time to treat serious ‘state crimes’ as federal crimes
  2. No one has any power
  3. A Heuristic for Preventing Information Overload
  4. Organic virality vs. astroturfing
  5. Bitcoin’s collapse continues…
  6. Why the US has done so well despite mediocre ‘national IQ’
  7. The Rise of the Vibes-Based Right
  8. 50-year mortgages are probably not that bad
  9. ‘Aristocratic Tutoring’ Cannot Explain von Neumann’s Success
  10. Declaring Victory: A Big Fat Zero* for Crypto Donors (*over the past year)
  11. Grading Trump: A “B+” So far
  12. No, Fuentes hasn’t already won
  13. Don’t expect Trump to do anything about healthcare costs, inflation, or student loan debt
  14. AI and The Government Shutdown
  15. Groyperization on the Decline
  16. Leave where we last left off
  17. Hanania’s rewriting of history

October 2025

  1. The Monetization Trap: When Profits Come at the Expense of Productivity
  2. Almonds and Bitcoin: Way Too Soon to Declare Victory for Crypto Donors
  3. Bulking, Metabolism, and Selection Effects
  4. Suggestion to Fix Reddit
  5. Against IQ Modesty
  6. The daily view 10/21/2025: Irony, AI bubble, AI-book flop, Autism, and Covid
  7. Enough with the sales hype: there is nothing special about sales
  8. The Real reasons Bitcoin is Falling so much
  9. Wealth and Social Atomization in America
  10. US-China trade wars resume: Bitcoin hedge a success
  11. Why long-form writing and blogs will continue to thrive in spite of AI
  12. If you’re actually smart, there is no excuse to not be able to make money
  13. Two thoughts on AI: How it’s different from past bubbles
  14. Is AI a bubble? Maybe, maybe not. Who cares.
  15. The pitfalls and worthlessness of commonsense advice
  16. Bitcoin update: three negative factors, and more correct predictions
  17. Efficient markets and the replication crisis
  18. Metabolism and IQ, revisited

September 2025

  1. Indians and Football, a response
  2. If someone writes it, no one will read it
  3. Code-switching and the normcore-right
  4. Employees/Tech Workers do Not Need to Care if AI is a Bubble
  5. Why higher stock market valuations may be sustainable
  6. Why Trump’s H-1B Fee is Not That Big of a Deal
  7. Shorting Bitcoin as the Perfect Hedge
  8. Population crisis and social arbitrage
  9. Explaining the ‘Richard Hanania phenomenon’
  10. The New State of Discourse: AI Risk Pushed to the Periphery
  11. The Murders of Iryna Zarutska and Charlie Kirk and the Failure of Law Enforcement
  12. The Assassination of Charlie Kirk
  13. Why convexity/optionality are overrated
  14. Some thoughts on Trump’s second term: Tech’s ascent
  15. Americans Lose Faith That Hard Work Leads to Economic Gains
  16. Anthropic raises $13 billion at a valuation of $183 billion: My thoughts
  17. The Groypers Have No Relevance in U.S. Politics
  18. The HBD pill is a tough one to swallow

August 2025

  1. Nick Fuentes – the Firestarter of the Right
  2. Two reasons why Bitcoin has imploded
  3. Systems are Better than Experience
  4. Why affecting online sentiment is more effective than philanthropy
  5. How ‘slop’ hijacks our senses
  6. The daily view 8/21/2025 Bitcoin falls, Terence Tao funding cut, Epstein
  7. Careerism is rational
  8. Why everything has gotten harder
  9. Most content is mediocre because most people are mediocre
  10. The Daily View 8/15/2025: Bitcoin, Math, National Debt, AI Bubble?
  11. Scott Bessent rules out Bitcoin purchases, CPI low: right again
  12. Investing for AGI/takeoff
  13. Why AI has not lived up to the hype, and probably never will
  14. The ‘loneliness epidemic’ is also a people problem
  15. Why the Trump tariffs were a nothing-burger
  16. Being Smart Helps When it Comes to Success
  17. More correct predictions , and the role of IQ and forecasting
  18. The Doom Loop

July 2025

  1. IQ, Modesty, Hard Work, and Luck
  2. Why AI will not free people from work or lead to social equality
  3. The Daily View: 7/25/2025 Bitcoin, Peak Wokeness, Epstein
  4. GLP-1 Drugs are Not a Threat to Life Insurance Companies
  5. Scott Greer is right about the MAGA base not turning on Trump about Iran or Epstein
  6. Why there will be no full transparency on Epstein
  7. OpenAI claims gold-medal performance at IMO 2025
  8. The bad news for Bitcoin: far fewer coins are lost than assumed
  9. Garry Taubes is wrong: low-carb is not superior for weight loss
  10. AI as a force multiplier
  11. Trump’s Epstein Reversal
  12. Fast or slow metabolisms are not a “lie”. It’s time to put this myth to rest.
  13. Why everyone is probably wrong about AI
  14. Elon’s “America party” : my thoughts
  15. A nation in perpetual crisis
  16. Persuasion techniques are overrated and survivorship bias

June 2025

  1. The ‘some guy’ phenomenon
  2. Why the Loudest Voices Give the Worst Advice
  3. What Richard Hanania gets Wrong about Government Research
  4. Here are my thoughts about the Iran situation . A big day of gains
  5. Iran-Israel situation update: do not expect productive negotiations
  6. Sorry, but Persistence does Not Beat Talent
  7. War cannot be ruled out
  8. Why do smart people have bad political takes?
  9. Israel strikes Iran, again
  10. Muted Inflation , Stocks Surge, and the Rise of Elon Musk
  11. The obesity trap, and common misconceptions about obesity
  12. From ‘DOGE hero’ to zero…
  13. Bitcoin crashes and Elon and Trump lock horns over debt, spending bill
  14. AI has revealed the modern liberal arts education for a farce
  15. Brian Chau: America vs. China (Crime edition)

May 2025

  1. The Daily View 5/30/2025 : TACO trade, Bitcoin still sucks, AI and jobs, NYTs Musk hit piece
  2. Trump’s ‘War on Harvard’ will not lead to lasting reforms
  3. AI cheating and fatalism
  4. Math/IQ challenge update: some thoughts
  5. The Daily View 5/23/2025: Prostate Cancer, Harvard, Tax Cuts, Claude 4
  6. The ‘Substack Effect’–How Substack made writing better, but also harder
  7. No one needs or wants a book about AI risk
  8. Why does advice work so poorly?
  9. How Tesla defied the odds
  10. Trump’s tariffs: white-collar careers boom, small biz struggles: same as it always was
  11. Pundits vs. Elites vs. Experts
  12. ‘Wordcels’ are ranked too low
  13. Caffeine’s reputation as a stimulant is overblown
  14. Testing new post
  15. It’s time to give the AI doomsaying a rest
  16. WordPress Update

April 2025

  1. Math competition prep is a ‘red queen’ race
  2. Stocks recover all ‘Liberation Day’ losses
  3. Why UK/European-style policing would not work in the US
  4. There is no ‘Harvard reform’ moment
  5. Tariffs will hurt regular people, not elites
  6. The left is still crying wolf about the tariffs
  7. Individual differences of metabolism are real and matter
  8. Caning, punishment, and prison: more thoughts
  9. AI-generated writing: cheating and its detection
  10. The Daily View 4/9/2025: Trump Pauses Tariffs for 90 Days, Stocks Surge
  11. Trump Tariffs, take 3: Why the economic fallout will not be that bad
  12. Trump Tariffs, Take 2: Why it Will Not Return Jobs and Factories to America
  13. Why I am not worried about the tariffs
  14. Twitter/X’s ingenious pivot and rebranding as an AI company

March 2025

  1. People with >160 IQs must exist
  2. Explaining Richard Hanania’s sudden success
  3. On Bullshit and Dieting Advice
  4. Harvard offers free tuition for families making $200K or less: My thoughts
  5. Debunking the Media Hype over Warren Buffett’s Cash Pile and Market Timing
  6. Intellectual Inflation
  7. Stop trying to diagnose Elon Musk over the internet
  8. Elon Musk, and the decline of the credibility of experts and expertise
  9. “That study does not meant what you think it does” the problem with science and science reporting
  10. Metabolism , fitness influencers, and looking good into adulthood
  11. Sumo wrestler myths–enough with the hype about the sport

February 2025

  1. ‘Thought leader’ is just another form of elite status
  2. A great start to 2025 as Bitcoin falters, no reserve
  3. The left’s crisis of confidence
  4. Long-term weight loss, willpower, and acceptance
  5. Claims of college grade inflation and dumbing-down are overblown
  6. The Daily View, 2/17/2025: Twitter-Roundup Edition
  7. Healthcare is Not Like a Priesthood
  8. Debunking hype about East Asian health and not needing Ozempic
  9. A ‘big’ start to 2025
  10. Reverse dieting/refeeds are a scam
  11. Blame lucrative white-collar jobs for delayed family formation
  12. It’s not Dead Internet Theory. It’s more like Dumb Internet Theory
  13. How I Knew there Would be No Reserve + Bonus Math Problem
  14. Trump Tariffs a ‘nothing burger’
  15. Bitcoin weak again as I am right

January 2025

  1. White-collar jobs will continue to thrive despite AI
  2. How much of individual success is attributable to free time?
  3. Memecoins are actually bad for bribery–debunking a common narrative
  4. Trump Punts on the Bitcoin Reserve–Right Again
  5. More harsh truths about IQ and wealth or job success: why IQ matters
  6. Day 2: The Dynamics of Power + Bonus Math Problem
  7. Day 1: No Bitcoin reserve. Right again?
  8. Trump crypto reserve setting up for disappointment
  9. Why writing is harder than STEM, revisited
  10. The Daily View: 1/1/7/2025: Merit and Punditry, Trump Crypto Reserve, Coca-Cola, the LSATs
  11. Meritocrats vs. Ethnocrats
  12. Peak woke, part 1
  13. UK data is unhelpful when trying to draw inferences to US employers/job market
  14. Enough with the folk wisdom about IQ
  15. No mention of ‘crypto reserve’ in Jan 5th 2025 Trump tweet
  16. Thoughts about the woke-right
  17. The daily view 1/3/2025: Bitcoin and Polymarket, Stocks overvalued?, Elon on Mounjaro…
  18. 2025 predictions, and recap of 2024

2024 221

December 2024

  1. More thoughts on the H-1B visa situation
  2. The Trump-Tech Immigration Rift
  3. Why America is So Successful (and Wealthy) Compared to the Rest of the World
  4. Is the claimed efficacy of social engineering overhyped?
  5. A high IQ is a huge head-start to mastery
  6. Social media platforms are not like dying malls
  7. The cognitive elite we already have
  8. The sad truth about metabolism: why nothing works
  9. The problem with studies–why studies are not as useful as assumed
  10. The myth of Bitcoin liquidity
  11. The Daily View 12/9/2024: Depopulation, Sports Betting, Elon, UNH Shooter ID’d
  12. The UNH shooter is still at large.
  13. Brian Thompson’s death: some thoughts on healthcare and health insurance
  14. The Daily View, 12/4/2024, Right Again: Bitcoin Falls, Trump Meets Mark Zuckerberg
  15. Prison And Crime: Much More Than You Wanted To Know: Thoughts
  16. Stop blaming ultra-processed foods for obesity: 5 things to consider

November 2024

  1. Elon’s Brilliant Gambit
  2. Prison is worse and is a more effective deterrent than caning
  3. Chris Langan, the CTMU, and the process and pitfalls of developing research
  4. Predictions: Trump’s ‘crypto reform’ is DOA; Tariffs not a big deal
  5. Sports betting, crypto gambling, and lottery-like systems of wealth
  6. Rational loss aversion explains why healthcare spending is so high
  7. The meritocracy is still intact even if we don’t like it
  8. The Computer Science (/CS/) section of arXiv is out of control and needs pruning or to be spun-off
  9. The Daily View: 11/14/2024: DOGE, Crime and Prisons, Conspiracy Theories, Crypto Regulation, IQ
  10. In Praise of the Cybertruck
  11. Trump economic policy and predictions; why I am bullish on stocks
  12. Did the media cost Harris the 2024 election?
  13. Elon Musk–the man of the hour.
  14. The Case for Trump
  15. Writing is not the same as thinking

October 2024

  1. Academic-style writing persists because it works
  2. Why good writing is one of the hardest things ever
  3. Stop blaming obesity on sugar
  4. The Daily View, 10/26/2024: DOJ Tether Investigation, Tesla surges, Elon + Trump, DJT stock, GLP-1 drugs
  5. Americans have less vacation time, but so what
  6. Prediction market prices are more useful than polls, but not quite probabilities either
  7. Bitcoin suddenly falls after attempt at $70k: it still sucks
  8. The National Debt is Not a Big Deal For Investors
  9. Uber stock surge proving how useless the financial media are
  10. The daily view 10/17/2024: Election, Billionaires, Elites, Parenting, Life Expectancy, Crime…
  11. Why Trump Media stock (DJT) stock is surging: free advertising
  12. AI: still stuck in the textbox
  13. Kamala winning does not mean the end of America or ‘last election’
  14. The only winners of the 2024 election: stocks and social networks
  15. The continued rise of billionaires, and the decline of institutions
  16. The mediocre men problem
  17. There is no fertility/population crisis
  18. Update on Bitcoin and Successful Progress on Math Challenge
  19. David Foster Wallace’s suicide, and why his career trajectory will likely not be repeated

September 2024

  1. Trump Still Free as Democratic Elites Fall
  2. When a Crystal Ball Isn’t Enough to Make You Rich
  3. The Daily View 9/26/2024: Trump, Meta, McDonald’s, 2024 Election
  4. Nate Silver On the Edge: Risk Takers , Getting Rich, and Poker
  5. ‘Universal Ozempic’ would bankrupt America’s healthcare system for little benefit
  6. IQ skepticism: debate and objections
  7. AI and preventing cheating in the classroom setting
  8. The myth of Democratic disunity
  9. The quadrant of responsibility: individual vs. collective
  10. Michael Saylor’s Big Bitcoin Purchase
  11. One man’s job-seeking plight shows the contradiction of IQ discourse
  12. Trump loses debate, but I am not concerned
  13. Trump vs. Kamala debate: predictions, thoughts
  14. The Wordcel Advantage
  15. Dr. Jordan Peterson: The Most Terrifying IQ Statistics, Thoughts on IQ
  16. The forever-rise of elites
  17. How confusing correlation with causation led to a $107.17 billion coffee business
  18. Optimality

August 2024

  1. IQ estimates of public intellectuals
  2. The Daily View 8/28/2024: Bitcoin, Kamala’s Tax, IQ
  3. Prison spending is not too high
  4. Tipping is out of control
  5. The Atlantic: ‘Far Right Is Becoming Obsessed With Race and IQ’
  6. The Daily View 8/21/2024: Kamala Surge, Trump livestream, Mr. Beast nothing-burger
  7. Cope culture. (Yes, doctors make a lot of money, and that is fine.)
  8. The implications of a Harris presidency–why forecasts are unreliable
  9. Bitcoin keeps falling as U.S. government sells Silk Road coins–the endgame and analysis
  10. Elon’s Twitter buyout, in hindsight, a genius move as news cycle intensifies
  11. Slow metabolisms are not a myth
  12. The Daily View 8/9/2024: Poverty, IQ, Tim Walz
  13. The wealthy are as indulgent as ever
  14. The Endurance Running Hypothesis is Probably Wrong
  15. The daily view: 8/4/2024 Bitcoin falls , Iran-Israel tensions rise
  16. Practice works, but genes work better
  17. No, Kamala Harris does not have momentum and is a weak candidate

July 2024

  1. McDonald’s is a premium product now
  2. Trump promises to commute Ross Ulbricht’s sentence
  3. The China-US Connection
  4. Variable response is not the same as no response
  5. The Daily View 7/24/2024: Bitcoin Conference, Biden is Out
  6. Do not expect much from Vance
  7. Incompetence at Scale
  8. The decline of Cold-War era ‘genius collectives’, and the rise of human capital
  9. The Daily View 7/17/2024: Trump assassination attempt analysis, and more
  10. Trump selects J.D. Vance as VP
  11. “…inches from Civil War”
  12. Why Most Financial Analysis is Useless and can be Ignored
  13. Competence is not the same as IQ
  14. Wikipedia’s Problem is its Popularity
  15. A second Trump term: expect the economy to boom, and other predictions
  16. Governments Continue to Dump Bitcoin as Price Crashes , Bitcoin Lags Tech Stocks
  17. How Did Silicon Valley Turn into a Creepy Cult?
  18. Child chess prodigies are likely high-IQ prodigies
  19. Bitcoin keeps falling as stocks keep going up
  20. The end of work, and the new post-scarcity
  21. Consider Specialization: The Benefits (and drawbacks) of Specialization

June 2024

  1. Debate Disaster
  2. Bitcoin, the dems, and Biden are today’s big losers as always. Tech stocks always win.
  3. Hard to Gain Weight? Maybe if You’re Young
  4. Election Years are Bullish for Stocks, Wall St. Optimistic About Trump Win
  5. There won’t be a debt crisis. Things will continue as always.
  6. The daily view 6/21/2024 Presidential Debate, Presidential Forecasting, Race Realism
  7. The Back Row Versus The Front Row
  8. Bitcoin Keeps Falling as Stocks Surge: Right Again
  9. Freddie deBoer on Ibram Kendi
  10. Why is Costco so Popular?
  11. Blaming Obesity on Low IQs
  12. Skepticism that high-ranking colleges are more woke
  13. $20k Bitcoin Target Coming Up
  14. Why Jews are Overrepresented in Politics and Intellectual Movements
  15. The Daily View: GameStop Falls, Bitcoin Falls (again), Test-Optional Struck Down
  16. The justification for buying GME, and how GME is manipulated
  17. Talent is a Scarcer Resource than Wealth
  18. SEC Inattention to GameStop Manipulation Proof of Double-Standard Favoring Celebrities
  19. Sam Bankman-Fried’s Indictment is an Indictment on Society

May 2024

  1. Trump found guilty in hush money trial
  2. Tirzepatide and Semaglutide will not solve the worldwide obesity epidemic, but are a good start nonetheless
  3. Choosing the right model of the world
  4. How to Recognize VHIQ
  5. Whites on Welfare
  6. The Daily View, 5/26/2024: Japan and Ozempic, Hikikomori , Smoking and Obesity
  7. Arguments are not strange
  8. The Assistant No One Asked For
  9. The Fall of the Alt-Right and the Rise of the Norm-Core Right
  10. America’s Criminal Justice System is Optimized for its Population
  11. Legacy Media is Thriving in the Trump Era
  12. The Stats You Need: Divorce Rates and Harvard’s Acceptance Rate
  13. The Daily View 5/15/2024: FIRE lifestyle, Music, VCs, Status Games, and more
  14. The internet is overflowing with ‘content’, and it sucks. Users are fighting back.
  15. The Age of Rage: Why are People are So Angry?
  16. Daily View, Finance Edition: RIP James Simons, Huge Gains Shorting Bitcoin
  17. Explaining DJT stock surge in the context of efficient markets
  18. The failure of tail hedging, and why barbell strategies are misleading
  19. The Daily View 5/6/2024: Jane Street, 180+ IQs Study, Crypto, and more
  20. In an era of overabundance, elite colleges matter more than ever
  21. Nate Silver: Go to a state school
  22. SBF’s Fraud is an American Success Story
  23. Bitcoin’s crash is a reminder of the importance of high barriers to entry

April 2024

  1. The importance of talent and the difficulty of ‘good writing’
  2. The Daily View 4/28/2024: Meta Crash, Stock Surge, Bitcoin Falls, Biden Approval Falls
  3. Age-Related Cognitive Decline is Real
  4. TikTok Ban: Take 2 (Why it won’t happen)
  5. A Strong ‘Night Effect’ for Bitcoin: All of bitcoin’s gains come from overnight
  6. Why Generation Z is Unprecedentedly Rich
  7. The Daily View 4/21/2024: Iran vs. Israel, DJT Stock Comeback
  8. AI will not make writers obsolete
  9. Test-Optional is a Failure: The Return of the SATs
  10. Iran vs. Israel: The problem with forecasting, and my heuristic for profiting
  11. O.J. and the compartmentalization of serious crime
  12. The Daily View 4/13/2024: Bitcoin Crashes, Iran Attack, and ‘Degen communism’
  13. Why the AI can read your mind but nothing works
  14. The daily view 4/10/2024: Bitcoin, Life Expectancy, Crisis, Ukraine, and IQ
  15. Noah Smith on Euthanasia: Why I’m Not Convinced
  16. Daniel Kahneman’s Success: a creation of the media
  17. Jonathan Haidt, Teen Anxiety, and Smart Phones: Why I am Skeptical
  18. Online Obituaries Explain the College Wage Premium
  19. Bitcoin: The Disappointment Continues , $20k on the horizon
  20. SBF sentencing: some thoughts. SBF got no favoritism

March 2024

  1. Why DJT will not meet a similar fate as past Trump companies
  2. ‘Acquired savant syndrome’ or ‘sudden genius’ probably does not exist
  3. Trump Keeps Winning
  4. When the going gets tough, hit the delete button! (Reddit and social media commenting guide)
  5. Peak Woke? Maybe
  6. How ‘DEI’ makes companies more impersonal
  7. The great Bitcoin/crypto die-off continues
  8. The Daily View: 3/18/2024
  9. TikTok Ban Won’t Happen
  10. ‘Coachability’ does not refute IQ
  11. How to break-even shorting Bitcoin in a bull market
  12. The Daily View: 3/13/2024
  13. New Weight Loss Drugs: Of Course It’s About Vanity
  14. Don’t beat yourself up for missing out on AI or Nvidia hype
  15. ‘Go Woke Go Broke’ Comes for Google
  16. Bitcoin Update: Crash Resumes at 69k. 2021 all over again?
  17. Blame Incentives for Delayed Family Formation
  18. The Daily View, 3/1/2024: Twitter Edition

February 2024

  1. Why legacy media is thriving
  2. The defection, part 3: The next shoe drops: Google’s Gemini ‘goes woke’
  3. There are no good solutions to the SATs and coaching
  4. Efficient Markets and Skill, Part 2: Reading the Future by Decoding Systems
  5. Don’t Talk About HBD?
  6. The Post-2022 Liberal Defection, continued
  7. Does Successful Traders on Reddit’s ‘Wall Street Bets’ Refute the Efficient Market Hypothesis?
  8. Bring Back Smoking to End Obesity
  9. Luxury Beliefs – a flawed and unoriginal concept
  10. Trace – Freddie Enrichment and IQ Debate: Why Trace is Wrong
  11. Cory Doctorow and ‘Enshittification’: Stuck in Stage Three
  12. Tucker-Putin Interview
  13. The Investment Case for Leveraged Tech, This Decade’s Bitcoin
  14. College as a path of least resistance: why degrees continue to thrive
  15. College grads and IQ, now and then: claimed 15-point difference is too high
  16. Meta Surges 20% on Earnings, FBL up 40%
  17. Talent is a Scarcer Resource than Wealth
  18. Normies and the GOP

January 2024

  1. Meta was supposed to be dead…the stock is up 300%
  2. The Daily View, 1/28/2024: YIMBY-ism, Fast Food, Twitter, etc.
  3. The Wegovy Class Divide – Why It’s Not What You Think
  4. Market update for 2024: a huge start for the year, Bitcoin crashes, and optimism about Trump
  5. The daily view 1/22/2024: Vivek, IQ, Scolds, and Inactivity and Obesity
  6. Blame Recurring Services for Americans Feeling Poorer
  7. Mark Cuban–the left’s strongest weapon
  8. On betting against change
  9. 2024 primaries: Ramaswamy gone, Trump still dominant
  10. The WEF: mostly smoke and mirrors
  11. The left-wing defection
  12. Meta’s reality-defying comeback
  13. Why American Investors Do Not Need to Worry About the National Debt
  14. College grads and students of the ’40s and ’50s were probably average
  15. 2024 predictions cont. (Meta, SVIX, McDonald’s, weight loss drugs, etc.)
  16. 2024 predictions, and recap of 2023
  17. The NYTs sues Open Ai–Why the case is not a slam-dunk for the NYTs

2023 214

December 2023

  1. 2023 Bitcoin Method Recap, and Efficient Markets
  2. Midwit Syndrome
  3. The Republican Party is Not Doomed
  4. The Daily View: 12/23/2023 Bitcoin Scorecard, Nike Earnings, Trump, and Seed Oils
  5. The New ‘Success Sequence’
  6. Five years later, the verdict is in: Big tech beats crypto
  7. The Daily View: 12/17/2023: University backlash, Eli Lilly, Morning people, Food, and AI
  8. Stocks surge to new highs for 2023: right again
  9. Crypto crashes again: two questions for ‘crypto people’
  10. Knowing how to think
  11. The Daily View 12/8/2023: GOP debates, Bitcoin, Ai, Uber, and Mr. Beast
  12. Why Americans Work So Much–Some Overlooked Explanations
  13. Why wealth may have been more fleeting and dynamic in the past, compared to stasis today
  14. Stop blaming seed oils for obesity
  15. Henry Kissinger dies at 100–some thoughts

November 2023

  1. The Daily View 11/29/2023: Unrest, Home Prices, College, Life Expectancy, Charlie Munger
  2. The incompleteness of crime stats
  3. The daily view: Twitter edition
  4. OpenAI Engineers Earning $800,000 a Year
  5. The daily view: 11/21/2023
  6. Elon’s free speech defection
  7. GLP-1 weight loss drugs will not end the worldwide obesity epidemic
  8. Thoughts and Predictions for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  9. Bitcoin setting up for major disappointment
  10. Americans are insanely wealthy
  11. Big Tech and the future: A mini-manifesto.
  12. Old studies about income/wealth and job success vs. IQ are unconvincing
  13. The daily view 11/6/2023 Taleb, Republican Aristocracy, Wokeness, and Philosophy
  14. The daily view 11/3/2023: Stocks surge and Bitcoin falls, IQ circularity, Ozempic, South Korea schools
  15. Why Americans are incredulous about the strong economy

October 2023

  1. Why Substack’s subscription model does Not scale well, and is losing ground to Twitter
  2. The daily view: 10/27/2023: No Bitcoin ETF, Low-trust Societies, Meta/tech Earnings
  3. Cognitive Screening is Legal, the last holdout of wokeness
  4. Food companies have little to fear from new weight loss drugs, and why I am NOT investing in Eli Lilly
  5. Looking for crisis in the wrong place
  6. The situation at Twitter isn’t as bad as the media hype would suggest
  7. The Daily View: 10/18/2023: Meta, Bitcoin, and more
  8. Ads are everything, not AI
  9. Middle East conflicts are good for unity
  10. The appeal to authority: when it works and doesn’t
  11. The daily view 10/10/2023: Bitcoin Falls, and Crisis in the Middle East
  12. The One-Man Renaissance Technologies, and why shorting Bitcoin is easier than shorting stocks
  13. Shakespeare , SBF and Survival
  14. Does Mounjaro and Ozempic threaten food sales? unlikely
  15. It’s Time To Be Realistic About College Alternatives
  16. The disconnect between the perceived vs. actual rarity of high-net-worth individuals vs high-IQ individuals

September 2023

  1. Much of social sciences research is probably garbage/wrong
  2. Why AI may not be as big of a productivity boost as assumed
  3. The Myth of Wealthy Boomers (why they are not much ‘better off’ compared to later generations)
  4. How Smart is Elon Musk?
  5. Contract Law as an Answer to Wokeness
  6. Developing GLP-1 Weight Loss Drugs was ‘Harder’ Than Detecting Gravity Waves
  7. Why I’m not optimistic the student loan debt situation will improve
  8. The Interlocutor’s Advantage
  9. The Daily View 9/13/2023: Trump, Ukraine, Bitcoin, Ark Investments
  10. Why Influence/Reach is Better than Power, Wealth, or Social Status
  11. The increasing concentration of culture
  12. The characteristics or traits of top performers (and why you’re screwed)
  13. Cancellation fail
  14. Psychology does have a bullshit problem, but STEM is not immune either

August 2023

  1. Another prefect trade and forecast
  2. 2024 update: Trump and Ramaswarmy
  3. BTC getting ready to dump again, ETF approval still a longshot
  4. Compact Magazine vs ‘the Eugenicons’
  5. BRICs has always been a joke
  6. Corporal punishment is not a good deterrent, and is a poor substitute for prisons
  7. Crypto crash resumes: The future is not crypto, but instead big tech companies
  8. The Daily View: 8/22/2013
  9. Elon calls the shots
  10. Crypto meltdown, ESP, Veritasium IQ video
  11. bitcoin crashed again: score one for me
  12. IQ is not just predictive at the low-end
  13. SBF bail revocation throws water on notion of democratic privilege or favoritism
  14. ‘Tooleb Tweets’ & IQ Edition, Andrew Tate
  15. I have seen the future, and it is Mounjaro
  16. The attempted cancellation of Richard Hanania: Why I think he will be OK
  17. Obesity and genes: the skinny of it
  18. The best of times? Why care about politics, or not

July 2023

  1. Criticisms of capitalism
  2. Blame food, not vegetable oils, for obesity
  3. “n for n” for predictions for 2023
  4. The barriers to work may be too high, so men are dropping out
  5. IQ decline dysgenics (are IQs really falling?)
  6. The trinity: enshitification, tip inflation, and shrinkflation
  7. Social Science as the New Puritanism
  8. Bitcoin update: crash to commence–crypto has no future in society
  9. ‘We’ Hate Zuck Because He’s Better Than Us
  10. High vs. low cost of living calculations (why things are not as bad as they seem)
  11. The daily view 7/7/2023: Bitcoin Crash Soon, Battle of Billionaires, Affirmative Action
  12. All jobs have risk, but you may as well maximize your earnings anyway
  13. No de-dollarization

June 2023

  1. The daily view 6/30/2023: Bitcoin ETF rejection?, Apple $3 trillion, OpenAI sued
  2. College tuition and scholarships: who pays what
  3. bitcoin getting ready to crash again , charts very bearish
  4. Defending Ehrlich (sorta)
  5. Tooleb tweets, part 4
  6. The Daily View 6/24/2023: OceanGate , Bitcoin, Putin,
  7. The cancer miracle is always just around the corner
  8. The Rot Economy
  9. The Daily View 6/19/2023: Juneteenth, vaccines, education
  10. ‘Old’ Media has Been Dying Forever, Yet it Holds On
  11. The Declining Quality of Google Search is an Opportunity for Reddit and other Competitors
  12. Diversity Really is Our Strength? It Depends.
  13. Crime and Real Estate in California (separating hype from reality)
  14. Turkish Lira crashes, crypto crashes: right again. Mid-year recap.
  15. AI is not going to make things cheaper (hidden fees and costs will persist)
  16. The crypto clown show continues: more lawsuits
  17. ‘Snowflake’ as an insult has never made sense
  18. Why people may be better-informed than ever before
  19. DeSantis is Firing on all Cylinders
  20. Measuring very high IQ, and being among the smartest

May 2023

  1. Is ‘go woke go broke’ finally happening, thanks to Elon and Twitter?
  2. The daily view 5/29/2023: Ark, Bitcoin Keeps Lagging Tech, DeSantis vs. Trump
  3. A single story is worth a million studies
  4. Semaglutide and religion: Why it’s not about the weight loss
  5. Boomers had it easier? It depends
  6. America and Violent Crime: Perspective is Still Needed
  7. Explaining the joke
  8. Too early to speculate on 2024 election
  9. Bitcoin continues to lag QQQ/big tech, right again
  10. How to blow $1 million (when cryptocurrency meets hubris)
  11. Pre-employment cognitive screening is common and legal
  12. The Left’s Colossal Twitter Blunder
  13. Why AI does not threaten my job/income
  14. IQ edition, part 2: big trading win, and Mensa members regressing, Diminishing Returns to IQ
  15. Why has the Incidence of Obesity Exploded in the US? Some possibilities
  16. Bitcoin chart very bearish: Using IQ to predict the market
  17. No societal collapse yet, but we’ll keep waiting
  18. Open AI is No Gold Rush
  19. The Daily View 5/1/2023 : A lot of Items!

April 2023

  1. Having academic credentials is no assurance of quality
  2. Meta stock surges again: how so many got it wrong
  3. The Media Purge
  4. Ignoring the Middle Fallacy: overlooking long-term trends
  5. Elon Removes Legacy Twitter Checkmarks…a Mistake?
  6. Richard Hanania: Weight Loss, Free Will, and Choice
  7. The Daily View: Bitcoin crash cont., McDonald’s stock surge, Elon lawsuit, the SATs
  8. kaboom…Bitcoin crash, $20k coming up?
  9. Shoplifting is out of control in NYC
  10. AI risk as rebranded climate change
  11. The Future is Meta , Alphabet and Advertising–not GPT, Open AI, or Crypto/Blockchain
  12. Abortion Does Not Hurt DeSantis, and Why DeSantis is the Perfect GOP Frontrunner
  13. The Statute of Limitations– a commonly misunderstood concept
  14. AI, Consciousness, and Audience Capture
  15. Elon Musk in a Bind over Substack
  16. The AI Winter: some possible scenarios
  17. Socially Optimized Positions, Authenticity, and Weirdness
  18. Why Open AI Will Not Worth a Trillion Dollars (the bearish case)
  19. 2023 1st quarter investing update: a hugely strong start

March 2023

  1. Let Harvard (and other colleges) Discriminate Based on Race
  2. The daily view 3/30/2023: Home prices fall, UK inflation, GOP, and the Metaverse/META
  3. Moloch and college tuition: why broken systems endure
  4. The daily view: Being governor is not at all like being president
  5. The fall of crypto, and the permanent ascent of Substack and the ‘wordcels’
  6. Eliezer Yudkowsky: We’re All Gonna Die
  7. Market Manipulation, Night Effects, and Huge Day for Method
  8. Tirzepatide and Semaglutide (Mounjaro, Wegovy) are probably not worth the money
  9. Right again about Trump (so far)
  10. The Reddit Mods/Moderation is Out of Control
  11. Balaji goes into full-blown shill/grifter mode
  12. SVB , moral hazard, and risk, part 2
  13. SVB failure: the limitations of moral hazard, and the difficulty of assessing risk
  14. Crypto getting ready to dump, again
  15. Depression and other societal problems are hardly exclusive to ‘the left’
  16. Silicon Valley Bank Failure , Contagion, and Aftermath: More Thoughts
  17. Why the failure of SVB is possibly worse than 2008
  18. The crypto collapse, continued: is there anything that isn’t a fraud or insolvent?
  19. Putting high tuition and education costs into perspective: why things are not as bad as they seem
  20. Columbia Dropping the SAT/ACT
  21. The collapse of crypto shows the limitations of expertise and track records
  22. The media has only itself to blame for people not trusting it
  23. Zero-marginal productive people, and healthcare rationing
  24. Update: META stock keeps going up, $350 soon

February 2023

  1. Cryptocurrency has no future
  2. America’s Threats are Always on the Horizon, Hypothetical
  3. IQ vs. Income: Threshold Effects and Diminishing Returns
  4. The new scolds: why liberalism stopped being cool
  5. Is The ‘Great Awokening’ Winding Down?, Part 2
  6. The Daily View 2/19/2023: Tesla Car Crash, the Creator Economy and Exiting From the System, and Bitcoin Crash Soon
  7. The rise of right-wing fitness culture
  8. Woke-ism winding down? It depends
  9. On the sustainability of the ‘Western democratic hegemony’
  10. Another great day, update on BTC method
  11. “That study does not mean what you think it does”
  12. AI will not be replacing doctors anytime soon
  13. The Daily View 2/9/2023: Biden, Bitcoin due to crash, AI Risk and IQ
  14. Cancel culture assumes perfect information
  15. The incoherence of looking at the world through the lens of privilege
  16. “Balloongate” is not the start of another Cold War
  17. Right again about Russia-Ukraine
  18. Memo to media: stop citing numbers without indexing them
  19. META stock surges 20% on huge earnings + buybacks: right again
  20. The ‘rational consumer’ explanation for obesity

January 2023

  1. The student loan debt problem will continue until the alternatives improve
  2. The transience of the culture wars
  3. Update on BTC/QQQ Trading Method: Still Crushing It
  4. Shrinkflation: Why Have Trucks Bucked this Trend?
  5. “The media is honest, except when it isn’t”
  6. WFH is not like an office expense
  7. The student loan debt problem will continue until the alternatives improve
  8. Crypto rug-pull cometh
  9. Blame food palatability for obesity
  10. Is the WEF threat overblown? Probably
  11. Nobody is a Prisoner of Their IQ, But IQ Still Matters
  12. Health authorities and experts have no skin in the game
  13. From one ‘current thing’ to the next
  14. The daily view: 1/12/2023
  15. Fears of job loss due to AI are probably overblown
  16. Little surprise that gen-Z is avoiding low-skilled jobs, the trades
  17. SBF getting bail is not a ‘good deal’
  18. Revising some predictions, belated 2023 predictions
  19. The post-2020 downfall of the alt-right: some explanations
  20. How victimization and cheap political point-scoring hurt the right
  21. 2022 scorecard, and my predictions for 2023

2022 208

December 2022

  1. Trading Bitcoin for Fun and Profit: My Method, and Insight into Renaissance Technologies
  2. The Limitations of Wealth and Fame at Guaranteeing Success
  3. Why People are Getting Fatter: Reconciling Genes with Environment
  4. Problems with super-forecasting
  5. America is broken, but so are most other countries
  6. These hustles keep coming up short: why college keeps winning
  7. Society’s love-hate relationship with creativity
  8. Twitter Files Reveal the Overreach and Power of the FBI
  9. The Daily View: SBF Arrested, Musk Goes to War with Journalists on Twitter
  10. Why Was The Beatles “1” So Successful?
  11. Why the labor force participation rate is falling: some explanations
  12. Academia is the public sphere
  13. No oversupply of college/comp-sci degrees, yet
  14. The Pendulum Comes Back, Usually
  15. Apple Returns to Twitter: Right Again
  16. Why Sam Bankman-Fried Has Not Been Arrested Yet
  17. The stages of crypto grief

November 2022

  1. The daily view: Jan 6th, Trump, Musk vs. Twitter
  2. Why Americans Spend So Much On Healthcare
  3. The obesity epidemic: genes and drugs
  4. 2022: Recap: Elon Musk, Twitter, FTX, and the decline of the left-wing cultural hegemony
  5. The crypto crash continues
  6. Why Bad Social Science Research Endures
  7. Trump 2024
  8. Why the obesity epidemic may not be solvable
  9. FTX Bankruptcy
  10. Stocks Still Better Than Bitcoin, and Record-high Twitter Traffic Under Musk
  11. The Daily View: Bitcoin Crash, Financial Physics, and Interest Rates
  12. Market Update: Ark and Bitcoin keep falling
  13. Money On The Table: Why Start a Substack Blog
  14. The Regime’s Response to the Musk Threat (Why I’m Optimistic)
  15. The Daily View 11/1/2022: Twitter, McDonald’s , the Metaverse , and Uber

October 2022

  1. The Hidden Underachievers and the Limits of the Meritocracy
  2. Twitter buyout complete (finally)
  3. The Decline of Social Conservatism: What Happened
  4. Xi Jinping secures power: some thoughts
  5. Tucker and Kanye
  6. Philosophical ramblings: Creativity, Authenticity, Stoicism, and Wealth and Happiness
  7. Taleb covers BTC short, too soon?
  8. 2022 has sucked, but looking ahead
  9. There is no reason to trust the mainstream media
  10. The end of cult figures
  11. The National Sickness
  12. Expect more political and cultural division in the US, but not civil war
  13. Tail Hedging Strategies Are Struggling During the 2022 Bear Market
  14. History Changes, But Trends Can Last a Long Time, Too
  15. Fukuyama Still Endures
  16. Markets Update: Foreign Currencies Crash, Bitcoin Poised to Fall Further
  17. The State of America

September 2022

  1. Covid is bad, but so is living in a permanent state of fear and anger
  2. battlelines and woke framing
  3. Monarchies may seem unfair, but so are a lot of other things in life
  4. Blame College Wage Premium for Tuition Surge, not Government
  5. The Implications of The Bell Curve
  6. The Diversity of Conservatism
  7. Forecasting: The Importance of Having an Edge
  8. The Russia-Ukraine situation could have been far worse
  9. Origins of the woke
  10. Modern medicine is keeping a lot of young and middle-aged people alive
  11. Bitcoin and Gold Both Fail Miserably as Hedges, Investments
  12. Censorship probably does work
  13. The left’s self-own
  14. Europe’s Lost Decade (the crisis is overseas, not here!)
  15. Elite overproduction not that big of a deal, yet

August 2022

  1. Conservatism vs. Liberalism: The Circle
  2. Taleb vs. Andrew Tate
  3. Biden Student Loan Forgiveness; It’s not about the money, but rather the perceived favoritism
  4. Freddie deBoer is wrong about STEM jobs
  5. The IQ cliff and the lottery of success: Substack vs. YouTube
  6. Teachers are likely not underpaid, and do not have it worse than other professions
  7. Bitcoin vs. 3x Funds (the winner is 3x funds), Predictions, AI Risk, and Rationality
  8. Nassim Taleb keeps being wrong about IQ
  9. Elite overproduction does not threaten college advantage
  10. The booming digital content creator economy
  11. Bad Argument Against Utilitarianism
  12. Why Trump Will Not Be Arrested
  13. The Decline of Leadership in America
  14. FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate
  15. Another huge day for GameStop
  16. Is Inflation like a tax? It depends.
  17. Russia’s Drug Laws are Comparable to the US
  18. The Case Against Collapse
  19. Superforecasting: How it’s done

July 2022

  1. Lotteries and the Age of Extreme Payouts
  2. Mid-Year Predictions Scorecard
  3. The Future of the GOP is Snoop Dogg
  4. Another pop psychology casualty: nudging
  5. The college experience, how bad is it?
  6. Elon Musk’s Bitcoin Betrayal
  7. The Daily View 7/22/2022: Coinbase Insider Trading and Tesla
  8. Doe the US Not Care About Financial Crimes? Likely not
  9. The stakes are low for US politics, and America’s rivals are weak and apathetic
  10. Fixing the Expertise Misallocation Problem
  11. Refuting common arguments against IQ and talent
  12. Elon Musk Puts a Price Tag on Fighting Social Media Censorship
  13. Why capitalism and business is possibly more liberal than academia
  14. Who are the elite, and why elite overproduction is not a problem
  15. Taleb is woke
  16. Sensationalism and misleading/confusing headlines in the financial media
  17. Nothing about America’s Healthcare System Makes Sense

June 2022

  1. ‘Professional Morons’
  2. The abortion debate continued: Roe v. Wade Overturned, and Abortion and Eugenics
  3. ‘1,000 True Fans’, ‘Long Tail’, ‘Grit’, and other popular bullshit
  4. The deconsolidation of power
  5. Substack worth $1 billion? Likely not
  6. Why the college bubble won’t pop
  7. Why did inflation spiral out of control: a retrospective
  8. School and College: it’s more than just conformity and obedience
  9. The crypto crash, continued
  10. The left don’t need politics
  11. Low tech vs. high-tech wealth, and the relationship between wealth and power
  12. Don’t blame lead for black-white achievement gap
  13. No good reason to buy bitcoin
  14. Tooleb tweets, part 3
  15. The Vacuum of Leadership, part 2
  16. Has science stalled out? Sorta
  17. Lyin’ with stats: college tuition edition
  18. Post Updates: IQ and Job Professions

May 2022

  1. These are not the villains you’re looking for
  2. Forecast Updates: Stocks Recover as Bitcoin Lags
  3. The Expendables: The Millions of Americans that Society Has No Use For
  4. The overblown population/fertility crisis
  5. The Asymmetry of Activism vs. Content Creation
  6. Another billionaire bites the dust
  7. Elon Musk Scandal
  8. The Fake World of TED and Pop Psychology
  9. Thomas Sowell and the Nobel Prize
  10. IQ and Life Expectancy
  11. Backtracking, Authenticity, and Validity
  12. That tweet aged poorly
  13. Hedges against inflation, stagflation
  14. Pushing Back Against the anti-College Movement, some thoughts
  15. Reinstating Trump would boost Twitter’s earnings, user engagement
  16. GDP vs. Profits Paradox: Strong Returns in Slow Growth Environments
  17. The Daily View, 5/5/2022: MicroStrategy, Facebook , Abortion
  18. The billionaire scam
  19. The daily view: 5/2/2022
  20. Tucker

April 2022

  1. Bitcoin is not a hedge against uncertainty, a bear market, or recession
  2. Ending legacy favoritism will not hurt the Ivy League financially
  3. Still skeptical about the link between social media and envy
  4. Taleb tweets, continued
  5. Elon Musk Twitter buyout almost finalized : thoughts
  6. IQ is not that important…except for all the things in which it is
  7. The Daily View: Tesla, Home Prices, and more
  8. IQ science has not been debunked
  9. The ‘Marketplace of Ideas’ Bites Back
  10. Some thoughts on mass incarceration: why cost is not the issue
  11. Musk, Twitter, and the Era of Billionaires and its implications
  12. Inflation at 8%, analysis
  13. Who are the woke? If you don’t know, that is the point
  14. Real World Risk Institute, a follow up
  15. Russia not a threat to dominance, importance of US dollar
  16. Good opinions and IQ
  17. Not so distinct
  18. Tesla Crushes Bitcoin
  19. How Taleb Uses Twitter
  20. Media wrong about GameStop, Tesla,

March 2022

  1. The Ukraine Rollup , media fails again
  2. Ukraine-Russia Update
  3. Taylor Hawkins dies
  4. It is possible for large groups of people to keep secrets for a long time
  5. The Debate over Cancel Culture: Some Thoughts
  6. Sam Altman and College: Why the Bubble Refuses to Pop
  7. Not that smart
  8. Losers, IQ, and the Lottery of Success
  9. Market update Fed edition
  10. Why you should (and need to care) what other people think of you
  11. Tooleb still shilling for the left on Ukraine-Russia
  12. Calling Out Taleb and the Media for Russian Misinformation
  13. The Difficulty of Hedging Inflation
  14. Mid-year forecasts/predictions
  15. Why the American Empire Will Continue: Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order by Ray Dalio
  16. another correct prediction (Elon Musk)
  17. Arkk and Bitcoin Continue to Meltdown
  18. Russian Oligarchs are Not Buying Bitcoin
  19. Bitcoin’s Surge Has Nothing to do with Russia

February 2022

  1. The Ignoring the Middle Fallacy (the importance of accumulated earnings/returns)
  2. Russia-Ukraine Update: Wrong but Optimistic
  3. Not worried about the Russia-Ukraine situation
  4. PsyOp Warfare
  5. The Daily View: 2/20/2022
  6. The Canadian Truckers Situation, and The Limits to Freedom
  7. Of Nothingness and Abundance
  8. YouTube and podcasts will not save us
  9. Giving up the war on obesity
  10. Thoughts on the Bitfinex Hack Story
  11. The Myth of the Super-Successful ‘C’ Student
  12. No one is ever consistent in their beliefs
  13. Saving Democracy by Losing
  14. The Daily View 2/2/2022: Google, Crypto, Vaccine Propaganda
  15. Why Infrastructure Beats Growth and Innovation

January 2022

  1. Do we stand at the precipice of radical change?
  2. The Daily View: 1/28/2022
  3. From Big Government to Big Tech
  4. Ending Legacy Favoritism Will Likely Not Cost Harvard Money
  5. You Don’t Get to Withdraw “Your Share” of Public Expenditures
  6. So much for that, Bitcoin edition
  7. Ray Dalio on America and China
  8. myocarditis and covid
  9. Taleb reflects on his Mediocrity
  10. Scott Adams vs. Vox Day
  11. Over the weekend the following two posts went hugely viral
  12. The Theranos fraud, discussion
  13. The Purging of The Right
  14. 2022 Predictions
  15. Time to retire ‘go woke, go broke’
  16. 2022 plans

2021 175

December 2021

  1. Central Banking, the Stock Market, and Bitcoin
  2. More Tooleb Tweets, Again
  3. The Sucker Complex
  4. Higher ed may be broken, but the alternatives/solutions are not that great either
  5. The SAT and the Meritocracy
  6. The only hedge against inflation is quality
  7. Taleb, The Mob, and Covid
  8. Is abortion eugenic?
  9. Debunking the ‘Inflation Tax’ Argument
  10. Leveraged ETFs vs. Bitcoin/Ethereum for FIRE, the winner is ETFs
  11. The Importance of Controlling the Platform
  12. The Shrinking Presidency
  13. Declining Fertility Rates: What is to Blame
  14. The downfall of financial experts
  15. The Daily View 12/5/2021
  16. The Myth of White Collar Leniency
  17. The Persistence of the Black-White Academic Achievement Gap

November 2021

  1. Freddie Deboer on Writing
  2. The Return of Covid….again
  3. The Biden Freefall
  4. Superior versus Inferior Assets
  5. The Kyle Rittenhouse Verdict, analysis
  6. Characteristics of Good and Bad Opinions (Updated for 2025)
  7. More about Inflation: Do Not Expect the Fed to Do Anything
  8. Bitcoin , the Big Inevitable Disappointment
  9. The Myth of Political Corruption in the U.S.
  10. On the False Epistemological Overconfidence of Social Media
  11. Even more skepticism about the ‘loneliness epidemic’
  12. The New Gilded Age
  13. So Much For That, Part???

October 2021

  1. Experts vs. Non-experts
  2. Tesla at $1 trillion, and the wealth tax
  3. Antitrust: Much Ado About Nothing Again
  4. Bitcoin: It Still Sucks, part ???
  5. Did William Shatner Debunk the Obesity Health Crisis?
  6. More Taleb Tweets
  7. Why Healthcare is So Expensive in America, Part 2
  8. The inflation debate, continued
  9. The Daily View 10/13/2021: Twitter Edition
  10. The National Suicide
  11. Skepticism about the link between envy and social media
  12. Economics is not that hard to understand or predict
  13. Money Does Not Buy Popularity, Power, or Influence

September 2021

  1. On the Permanent Ascendance of Elites
  2. The question of collapse, part 2: Diversity, China, Unrest
  3. Superforecasting and A Few Unpleasant Truths
  4. Pushing back against the ‘WTF happened in 1971’ thesis
  5. Bitcoin: The Cookie Keeps Crumbling
  6. The era of billionaires has begun
  7. How Systems Beat Crowds
  8. How the Vacuum of Leadership in Washington led to Rage Online
  9. The Genes Debate: Assortative Mating and Embryo Selection
  10. Ignoring the ‘Expert Consensus’ Can Be Very Profitable
  11. The Jewish Question
  12. The class structure of America
  13. The contradictions of pragmatism
  14. The Rise of the Professional Class

August 2021

  1. Don’t Blame the Fed for Tesla’s Stock Surge
  2. Infation and the national debt, not a concern yet
  3. The Trouble with Politics
  4. A Market for Everyone
  5. The Declining Relevance of Cultural Institutions
  6. 3x Tech ETFs Destroy Bitcoin
  7. Afghanistan: The Big Nothing
  8. The Universalism of Conservatism
  9. The FDA Debate, and the Infant Fish Oil Saga
  10. Social Media Censorship Continues, Rand Paul and Marjorie Taylor Greene suspended
  11. The Declining Relevance of the Mainstream Media
  12. Taleb vs. Snowden
  13. The Great Disconnect
  14. The effects of childhood lead exposure on crime and IQ likely overstated

July 2021

  1. Project 100,000: An Analysis
  2. Stock Market Investing Series, Part 1: Why The Stock Market Has Gone Up So Much
  3. Not Worried about China-US Relations or Crisis
  4. The wealth-IQ perception disconnect (why being wealthy seems so much rarer than being smart)
  5. Tyler Cowen: Why Healthcare is So Expensive in America, part 1
  6. Civilization and Collapse, Cont.
  7. Is ‘wokeism’ just a fad that will pass? Probably not
  8. Will Society Collapse This Century? Who knows, but probably not
  9. Appointing the right people
  10. Traditionalism and Technology
  11. Bitcoin getting ready to fall again, and why listening to billionaires will not make you rich
  12. Small Signs of Collpase
  13. Coming to Terms With Another Biden Win
  14. Collapse and revival: 4 scenarios
  15. So much for that, part 5

June 2021

  1. Fighting the Entropy of Status
  2. Are Lopsided Elections the Solution to Political Polarization in the U.S.?
  3. What happend with John McAfee
  4. Can Ideas Be Suppressed? Probably
  5. Vox Day Ranting About The Boomers
  6. Covid, Forecasting, and the Problem with the Precautionary Principle
  7. Doubling Down on Stupidity
  8. Thoughts about IQ
  9. Covid: Made in the USA? (Ron Unz Article)
  10. So Much for That, Part 4, Biden vs. Putin
  11. Post-Covid: More of the Same
  12. The popularity of Ben Shapiro and others
  13. Why Declining Population Growth and Sluggish GDP Growth are Not a Concern for Investors
  14. The Alpha Weakness
  15. Today’s Bitcoin Idiots
  16. Wuhan Lab Leak Theory (don’t expect closure if a leak)
  17. The Daiy View 6/4/2021
  18. Reversals between the ‘left’ and the ‘right’

May 2021

  1. So much for that, and about alt-tech
  2. The era of antitrust is over, and selective enforcement of rules
  3. We Don’t Know Our Potential (Nathan J. Robinson essay)
  4. Real Estate Update: Still right after all these years
  5. Bitcoin is No Threat to the US Hegemony
  6. The Age of Kayfabe
  7. Elon Musk and the Fall of Institutions
  8. The 8 million jobs openings, hype vs. reality
  9. Microstrategy’s Macro-Sized Losses
  10. Why Stocks Beat Crypto
  11. Krugman right but for the wrong reason
  12. The Culture Wars Online, Revisited
  13. The Return to Tradition
  14. Two Interesting Studies
  15. The CRT Debate
  16. Whose rationality
  17. Trump’s Twitter Suspension, A Retrospective

April 2021

  1. Skepticism about loneliness epidemic
  2. Answering Questions
  3. Why the jobs are going unfilled
  4. Why Talent Beats Grit (‘growth mindset’ versus the ‘fixed mindset’)
  5. The Overblown Minimum Wage Debate
  6. Sentencing guidelines are weird
  7. Taleb, more BS
  8. The future: much like the present
  9. Paper Wealth is Real Wealth
  10. Normies, Status, and Substack
  11. Repost: Are Things Really That Bad For Millennials
  12. Convergence to the global hegemon
  13. Random Thoughts April 4th
  14. Pre-Employment IQ Testing is Very Common

March 2021

  1. Taleb Gets Called Out for Spreading BS Again
  2. The Covid Stimulus Inflation Debate, Continued
  3. Paul Graham on Writing: What Went Wrong
  4. More theories of liberalism
  5. The NEET-demic
  6. Death of a Client, Analysis
  7. MicroStrategy’s Bad Strategy
  8. On the ‘Grand Unified Theory’ of Social-Justice Liberalism
  9. GameStop stock rally proves media wrong, again
  10. Seth Godin Does Not Know Economics
  11. On the Erosion of Confidence in Experts
  12. On The Experience of Being Poor-ish, For People Who Aren’t , Analysis
  13. Scott’s GOP Solution

February 2021

  1. Why no one is making money with cryptocurrency
  2. Don’t blame low interest rates for post-Covid tech speculative boom
  3. Trump Twitter vs. Biden Twitter
  4. The meaninglessness of the national debt
  5. In defense of (some) dishonesty
  6. Taleb gets Covid
  7. The Crisis of Journalism
  8. Escaping the valley of mediocrity
  9. On the Source of Woke Rage: Why is Everyone So Angry?
  10. Further evidence of the positive role of IQ and option trading success
  11. The paradox of popularity: how popular messages are not necessarily viral
  12. So much for that…
  13. The March Towards A Post-Scarcity Economy: Thoughts and Implications

January 2021

  1. Thoughts on GME (GameStop)
  2. Getting Rich with GameStop is Not like Winning the Lottery
  3. The ‘Extremism’ of Civic Nationalism
  4. Making sense of the news cycle
  5. Why people choose authoritarianism over democracy
  6. The Daily View 1/19/20
  7. The Question of Blacks, Whites, and Crime
  8. How /r/WallStreetBets ‘Solved’ Wall Street
  9. Two correct predictions for 2021
  10. Trump Twitter Suspension
  11. Capitol Hill Protests
  12. Moldbug and Covid
  13. 2021 forecasts and predictions
  14. In defense of (some) dishonesty

2020 195

December 2020

  1. Answering and Addressing Covid-related Economic Questions and Concerns
  2. Election Fraud, Unrest, and the Legacy of Trump
  3. High-status, low-status conservatism
  4. No collapse of America, yet
  5. Airbnb and Disney…Media Narratives Wrong Again
  6. Grading Trump
  7. The Coding Bootcamp Scam
  8. Population: It’s quality that matters, not quantity
  9. Bitcoin: It Still Sucks
  10. Ramz: QAnon was Fake and Harmful
  11. Skepticism about ‘Stop the Steal’
  12. Were 1930s ‘cheap’? It depends
  13. Questioning commonly held assumptions and narratives

November 2020

  1. Move over, Newton
  2. IQ and Social Status and Success
  3. Social Optimization
  4. Taleb wrong about masks , again
  5. Predicting Politics is Harder than Predicting Economics and Finance
  6. Stock market makes new highs in spite of Covid
  7. Turchin is wrong: There will be no coming collapse of America
  8. The IQ debate: Total vs. Per-capita IQ
  9. The smart-left/right vs. mainstream left/right
  10. Some election thoughts
  11. Stocism is Overrated
  12. Tech censorship, more thoughts
  13. The Eleventh Hour
  14. Covid Economic Update

October 2020

  1. 2020 election forecast and discussion
  2. YouTube steps up censorship
  3. WTF Happened in 2008
  4. The Return of the Peterson
  5. Google Sued by the DOJ: Not Concerned
  6. What happened to the protests?
  7. Performance Outrage and Antitrust
  8. Some Thought on Trump and Biden
  9. IQ and Entrepreneurship
  10. Who Does Washington Answer To?
  11. Right Again: Covid Deaths Had No Effect On Stock Market
  12. Another correct prediction
  13. Thoughts and predictions about recent Trump developments
  14. A post-truth era? Why Americans may be better-informed than ever

September 2020

  1. Bitcoin is not a good investment, part 2
  2. Bitcoin is not a good investment
  3. Investigating the source of the unrest
  4. Joe Rogan Does Not Tweet Much, and Other Observations
  5. Freddie deBoer On ‘The Cult of Smart’ [podcast]
  6. New York is Not Dead/Dying, part 5
  7. The Party of Pandering
  8. NFL Ratings Falling
  9. New York is Not Dead/Dying, part 4
  10. What David Graeber got Wrong about Work (what happened to the 15-hour workweek?)
  11. New York is Not Dead/Dying, part 3
  12. New York is Not Dead/Dying, part 2
  13. New York is Not Dead/Dying, part 1
  14. The media resurgence
  15. How big can the tech giants become?

August 2020

  1. The Trump Defection, part 2
  2. The free speech debate: handling heretics
  3. The Trump Defection, Part 1
  4. Mediocrity, Success, and the Problem of Democracy
  5. He’s Right…No Post-America Era
  6. If Trump Wins: The Next 4 Years
  7. Putting the protests, unrest, and riots in perspective
  8. Another one gone
  9. Understanding the debt situation
  10. The post-Covid social and economic landscape of America
  11. ‘Law and order,’ but selectivity enforced
  12. Why low stakes issues dominate discourse
  13. TikTok 45-day deadline
  14. Elon Musk Praises China
  15. TikTok is not going anywhere
  16. Failing to renew $600 unemployment checks will not hurt the US economy much
  17. How big can the tech giants become?

July 2020

  1. The UBI Debate: Mixed Socialism
  2. Blame mega-corps for woke agenda, not activism and NGOs
  3. In Defense of Drudge
  4. If Biden Wins…
  5. The labor buffer overflow
  6. Countering arguments why Trump will lose
  7. There will be no post-Covid higher education collapse/day of reckoning
  8. Is There a ‘Loneliness Epidemic’? Possibly not
  9. The Passing of the Second Imperial Age? Likely Not
  10. Tucker Carlson Should Not Resign in Protest
  11. Emerging Markets Are Still Terrible
  12. Molyneux now cancelled from Twitter
  13. Eric Weinstein interviews Tyler Cowen, and the ‘Feminization of Society’
  14. Taleb stands with ‘cancel culture’
  15. Blame low IQs for unemployment and low wages
  16. No, Renaissance Technologies Did Not Lose 20%
  17. The Biggest Winners and Losers

June 2020

  1. IQ: it is about relative success
  2. The Question of Collapse
  3. No, Trump is Not at High Risk of Losing
  4. Downsizing and Privatizing the Police, some Implications
  5. Bret Weinstein on Joe Rogan
  6. Dave Chappelle Special
  7. Trump approval rating holds steady
  8. The memory hole pandemic
  9. The premature ‘Death of Democracy’
  10. The New Socialism
  11. The Decline of Legacy Conservatism
  12. George Soros and other wealthy donors are probably funding BLM and antifa, but so what
  13. Everything is being accelerated
  14. The left inciting civil unrest to tank economy and Trump, after Covid fails to do the job
  15. Stocks Are Recovering While the Economy Collapses. Why?

May 2020

  1. George Floyd and Civil Unrest
  2. Trump takes on Twitter
  3. The Only Fans Nation
  4. China-US worse case scenario
  5. The smart fraction/faction theory of economic growth and success
  6. The capitalism vs. communism debate, part 2
  7. Capitalism and its dissident discontents
  8. China not a threat to US
  9. Countering some wrong Covid arguments
  10. Pandemic not a threat to ‘FIRE’ movement
  11. Innovation and economic stimulus can coexist
  12. The Age of the Homebody Has Only Begun
  13. Coronavirus: Pandemic sends US jobless rate to 14.7%
  14. The battle for the middle
  15. An era of extremes
  16. Nassim Tooleb keeps digging himself deeper
  17. Brazil sees surge in cases…right again
  18. Coming to terms with death

April 2020

  1. Questioning the assumption that human are social animals
  2. Decline of the US empire? Yeah right
  3. America: The rise of the smart
  4. Unz is Wrong: Covid-19 was not a bio weapon against China
  5. Tooleb keeps being wrong
  6. The virus endgame
  7. Investment and economic perspectives post-Covid, part 2
  8. Investment and economic perspectives post-Covid
  9. It’s amazing how fast things change
  10. Taleb liberal goes full retard
  11. Goalposts, moved
  12. Holding ourselves to a higher level of discourse in regard to Corona
  13. Shared Narratives and the Coronavirus
  14. The great write-off
  15. Truth Spirals

March 2020

  1. Denmark is evidence social distancing didn’t work
  2. The biggest winner of Covid 19: the media
  3. Getting stuff wrong about the virus
  4. Virus thoughts
  5. Ram Z Paul, CoronaVirus, and the Meaning of Conservatism
  6. Social distancing does not work , part 3
  7. Pandemic outcomes: HBD wins again
  8. Let’s stop hating on the boomers
  9. Why social distancing does not work that well, part 2
  10. Hoping for the best
  11. Why social distancing is probably not that effective for containing the virus
  12. Trump approval rating holding steady despite virus
  13. I agree with Elon: Virus panic is dumb
  14. Regulation without government
  15. The coronavirus has divided the right
  16. Is the Coronavirus a Once-In-A-Century Pathogen? Likely not
  17. The left’s only hope
  18. Like it or not, civic nationalism has worked

February 2020

  1. Not worried about coronavirus
  2. Liberalism, liberal democracy not in retreat
  3. Speaking too soon again
  4. Political Forecasts/Predictions are Worthless
  5. Eugenics Debate
  6. Trump still not in power (not gonna happen)
  7. Problems with Ethno-States
  8. Dropping like flies
  9. College cheating epidemic shows that college is useless
  10. Is the purpose of school to create obedient workers? Repost
  11. China vs. US Education System
  12. Can We Have Prosperity Without Growth? Yes
  13. Rush Limbaugh Cancer Diagnosis
  14. 3x Leveraged ETF Strategy Guide, Part 3a
  15. No Privacy Online
  16. Debunking the Tesla ‘missallocation of capital’ argument
  17. Side Hustles are Overrated
  18. Amazon and Tesla Surge on Earnings…Right Again

January 2020

  1. Bernie Sanders’ Immigration Plan is Terrible, but there are some silver linings
  2. No idea what he is talking about
  3. Online Journalism: Themes of Viral Articles
  4. News Updates
  5. Smart-Left vs. Regressive-Left
  6. The Great Freeze
  7. Thinking rationally: 3 examples
  8. 3x Leveraged ETF Strategy Guide, Part 2b
  9. 3x Leveraged ETF Strategy Guide, Updated for 2020, Part 2
  10. Is a post-scarcity economy possible? It’s already happening
  11. Incentives matter
  12. Is there a case for the humanities?
  13. Revising some views about IQ
  14. How I Understand Stocks and Economics
  15. Escalation against Iran good for Trump, stock market
  16. Getting Sunk Costs Wrong
  17. 3x Leveraged ETF Strategy Guide, Updated for 2020, Part 1: Intro
  18. Some thoughts on Iran
  19. Why the job-apocalypse probably won’t happen
  20. Is the purpose of school to create obedient workers? Questioning a popular narrative
  21. Decade in review , and predictions

← 2016–2019