2011
2,030 posts
2011 2,030
December 2011
- Schedule for Week of Jan 1, 2012
- Summary for Week Ending December 30th
- Merkel: "Will do everything to strengthen the euro"
- Question #9 for 2012: Inflation
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate back to pre-recession levels
- Restaurant Performance Index increased in November
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates: Slight increase for Freddie in November
- Gasoline Prices and Brent WTI Spread
- Labor Force Participation: The Kids are Alright Part 2
- Kansas City Fed manufacturing index "eased slightly" in December
- Misc: Chicago PMI at 62.5, Pending Home Sales increase
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 381,000
- A Pickup for Housing in 2012?
- Existing Home Inventory declines 18% year-over-year in December
- Question #10 for 2012: Monetary Policy
- Italian bond yields decline
- Lawler: Completed Foreclosure Sales in 2011 to Fall Well Below 2010 Levels
- Treasury: China not a currency manipulator, however "movement of the RMB is insufficient"
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 2.3% in October
- Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
- Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in October (seasonally adjusted)
- Case-Shiller: House Prices decline in October
- WSJ: "Slowing Inflation Cheers Fed"
- Private Investment and the Business Cycle
- WaPo: "Falling home values mean budget crunches for cities"
- Germany's Schaeuble pushes for Financial Transaction Tax
- Happy Holidays!
- Interview with Stand Up economist Yoram Bauman
- Schedule for Week of Dec 25th
- Summary for Week Ending December 23rd
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 973 institutions
- Mortgage Settlement Update: Some details, Deal to be announced in January "at the earliest"
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales increase in November to 315,000 SAAR
- Personal Income increased 0.1% in November, Spending increased 0.1%
- Reports: Fed could signal near zero rates into 2014, House ready to pass payroll tax cut extension
- More House Price Indexes show price declines in October
- Chicago Fed: Economic activity index declined in November
- Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increase in November
- Final December Consumer Sentiment at 69.9
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 364,000
- ATA Trucking Index increased 0.3% in November
- Lawler: The NAR “benchmark revision story” is not over!
- Impact of NAR Revisions on GDP
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in November
- Existing Home Sales Revisions
- Existing Home Sales in November: 4.42 million SAAR, 7.0 months of supply
- CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory remains at 1.6 million units
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index decreases, Mortgage rates at low for year
- Europe Update
- Housing Analysis: Bull and Bear
- A comment on Existing Home Sales revisions
- State Unemployment Rates "generally lower" in November
- Multi-family Starts and Completions, Record Low Total Completions in 2011
- Housing Starts increase in November
- Credit Stress Indicators
- ECB Warns on Risks
- Q3 2011: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
- NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in December
- Residential Remodeling Index at new high in October
- Sunday Night Futures
- Financial Times interview with ECB president Mario Draghi
- Ten Economic Questions for 2012
- State Budget Cuts: Nearing the End?
- Inland Empire: Unemployment Rate now declining
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 974 institutions
- Schedule for Week of Dec 18th
- Summary for Week ending Dec 16th
- Report: Deal reached on two month extension of Payroll Tax Cut
- Bank Failure #92 in 2011: Western National Bank, Phoenix, Arizona
- Bank Failure #91 in 2011: Premier Community Bank of the Emerald Coast
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales: Given the Benchmark Revision, a “Challenge”
- Europe Update
- Key Measures of Inflation mostly slow in November
- LA area Port Traffic declines year-over-year in November
- BLS: CPI Unchanged in November
- Report: Deal near on spending bill, payroll tax cut extension
- Lawler on FHA: Slow Pace of Conveyances, Solid Sales Pushes SF Inventory to Lowest Level since mid-2008
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 3.2% year-over-year
- Empire State and Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes show improvement in December
- Industrial Production decreased 0.2% in November, Capacity Utilization decreased
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 366,000
- The American Community Survey and Total Housing Units
- Reports: Iowa AG says Mortgage Settlement by Christmas, Final issue is selection of monitor
- Europe: More Bad News
- Fed: Household Debt Service Ratio back to 1994 levels, Mortgage financial obligations remain elevated
- The Excess Vacant Housing Supply
- MBA: "Refinance Applications Increase as Rates Drop to 2011 Lows"
- DataQuick on SoCal: November Home Sales Rise
- Update: MF Global
- Lawler on NAR Revisions for 2007 through 2011
- FOMC Statement:: Economy expanding "moderately", Global growth slowing
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 0.1% in November
- BLS: Job Openings "essentially unchanged" in October
- Retail Sales increased 0.2% in November
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in November
- A little better GDP Growth in Q4
- NAR: Downward Revisions for 2007 to 2011 Home Sales and Inventory to be released on Dec 21st
- Jobs needed to reach 8% unemployment rate by November 2012
- MF Global and Rehypothecation
- European Bond Yields rising
- Sunday Night Futures
- Wolfgang Münchau: "The crisis goes on"
- Hamilton: "More on those secret Federal Reserve loans to banks"
- FOMC Preview: No Changes Expected
- Music: Econoparody Holiday Sampler
- Schedule for Week of Dec 11th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 977 institutions
- Summary for Week ending Dec 9th
- Bank Donates foreclosed home to homeless agency
- Europe Friday
- AAR: Rail Traffic increased in November
- Consumer Sentiment increases in December
- Trade Deficit declines in October
- Europe Friday: Over promise, Under Deliver Again?
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for November
- Labor Force Participation Rate: The Kids are Alright
- Q3 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth declines $2.4 Trillion in Q3
- Europe: ECB cuts rates, Adopts further "non-standard measures"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 381,000
- FT: "We cannot afford another half-baked solution"
- Labor Force Participation Rate by Age Group
- Europe Update
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
- Mortgage Settlement Update: California and Nevada join forces
- Lawler on "Real Estate Investors, the Leverage Cycle, and the Housing Crisis"
- Financial Times: EU negotiators prepare "Bazooka"
- Fed Chairman responds to "inaccurate" Bloomberg article
- CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.3% in October
- Existing Home Inventory declines 17.5% year-over-year in early December
- FT Alphaville: Post-euro currency values
- Research: New paper on the role of investors in the housing bubble
- LPS: House Price Index Shows 1.2 Percent decline in September
- Fed's Evans on "Forward Guidance"
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in November
- Europe: More Austerity, Planning for "fiscal union"
- WSJ: New Fed Communication Strategy
- Another Key Week for Europe
- Comments on the Employment-Population Ratio
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 3.4% year-over-year, "full recovery still far away"
- Rare Sighting: A New Mall
- Schedule for Week of Dec 4th
- Summary for Week ending Dec 2nd
- Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 980 institutions
- Homebuilder understatement of the day
- Survey: Small Business hiring picking up
- Seasonal Retail Hiring, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- November Employment Report: 120,000 Jobs, 8.6% Unemployment Rate
- Europe: Hints of a Deal
- Employment Situation Preview: Better, but still Weak
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.6 million SAAR in November, Highest since Aug 2009
- Construction Spending increased in October
- LPS: Mortgages In Foreclosure Process at an All-Time High
- ISM Manufacturing index indicates slightly faster expansion in November
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 402,000
- China's stop-and-go measures
November 2011
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates mostly unchanged in October
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased at a slow to moderate pace"
- Restaurant Performance Index "essentially unchanged" in October
- Misc: Chicago PMI increases to 62.6, Pending Home Sales increase
- ADP: Private Employment increased 206,000 in November
- Report: Payroll Tax Cut extension is likely
- Preparing for the end of the Euro
- Europe: EFSF viewed as insufficient, Greece to receive aid payment
- Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increase in October
- Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
- CoreLogic: 10.7 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q3
- Case Shiller: Home Prices decline in September
- NY Times: "Crisis in Europe Tightens Credit Across the Globe"
- Visible Existing Home Inventory declines 17% year-over-year in November
- Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey shows contraction in November
- New Home Prices: Average Lowest since 2003
- NY Fed Q3 Report on Household Debt and Credit
- New Home Sales in October: 307,000 SAAR
- OECD: Euro zone in recession
- Sunday Night Futures
- Wolfgang Münchau: "Only days to avoid collapse" of eurozone, Currency Market prepares for breakup
- Report: Payroll tax cut extension is likely
- Tim Duy: "Europe Scrambles for Solutions"
- Report: Black Friday sales up 7%
- Report:: Euro-zone considering bilateral agreements for fiscal integration
- Schedule for Week of Nov 27th
- Summary for Week Ending Nov 25th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 980 institutions
- Gasoline Prices and Brent WTI Spread
- S&P cuts Belgium's credit rating to AA
- Italian two-year Bond Yields above 7.8%
- More Europe
- Happy Thanksgiving!
- Europe: On the Strasbourg meeting today
- Thanksgiving morning reading: Mostly Europe
- Zillow Forecast for Case-Shiller House Price Index
- Real House Prices using Fed Reserve Stress Test Scenario
- Europe: Italian 2 year yields above 7%, Belgian yields up sharply
- Misc: Kansas City Fed manufacturing index shows sluggish growth, Auto sales expected to increase
- Final November Consumer Sentiment at 64.1
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in October, Spending increased 0.1%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 393,000
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
- Mortgage Servicer Settlement Update
- FDIC-insured institutions’ 1-4 Family Real Estate Owned (REO) decreased in Q3
- Fed outlines new bank supervisory stress test
- ATA Trucking Index increased 0.5% in October
- FOMC Minutes: Discussion of providing "likely future path of the target federal funds rate"
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed or slightly lower" in October
- Richmond Fed: Manufacturing activity stabilized in November
- Q3 real GDP growth revised down to 2.0% annualized rate
- WSJ: BofA warned by regulators
- Housekeeping: New CR iPad Layout
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 1.4% in September
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 1.5% in September
- Existing Home Sales: More on Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
- Existing Home Sales in October: 4.97 million SAAR, 8.0 months of supply
- Chicago Fed: Economic activity up slightly in October
- Europe Update
- A few comments on the expected NAR existing home sales revisions
- Report: Not so Super committee to admit defeat as soon as Monday
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 977 Institutions
- Lawler: Household Growth by Age Group: 2010 – 2015 “Conservative” Forecasts
- Schedule for Week of Nov 20th
- Summary for Week Ending Nov 18th
- Europe Update
- Bank Failures #89 & 90: Iowa and Louisiana
- Lawler: Early Read on October Existing Home Sales
- Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
- The recovery in U.S. Heavy Truck Sales, and a forecast for November Auto Sales
- Credit Stress Indicators
- LA Port Traffic in October: Exports increase year-over-year, Imports down
- Multi-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
- Q3 MBA National Delinquency Survey: Comments and State Data
- Philly Fed: "Regional manufacturing is expanding, but at a slow pace"
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies decline slightly in Q3
- Housing Starts decline slightly in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: Four Week average falls under 400,000
- Research: How Household Debt Contributes to Unemployment
- Europe: European Bond Yields and more Debate on ECB
- Rate of increase slows for Key Measures of Inflation in October
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in October
- NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in November
- Industrial Production increased 0.7% in October, Capacity Utilization increased
- Residential Remodeling Index at new high in September
- HARP Updates
- DataQuick: SoCal October Home Sales decline
- Lawler on FHA MMIF Actuarial Review for FY 2011
- Misc: Empire Manufacturing survey improves, Farmland Prices "surge"
- European Bond Yields Rising as Euro zone economy slows
- HUD report on FHA Financial Status
- Retail Sales increased 0.5% in October
- State by state exports to Europe
- Schedule Update: MBA's 3rd Quarter 2011 National Delinquency Survey will be released Thursday
- SF Fed: Recession odds in 2012 are greater than 50% due to European Crisis
- Europe: Italian and Spanish bond yields rising
- LPS: House Price Index Shows 3.8 Percent Year-Over-Year Decline in August
- Europe: Italian bond auction, Merkel calls for "New Europe"
- "Animal McMansion": Another use for vacant homes
- Italy: Mario Monti premier-designate
- Downside Risks
- Vegas goes to Pot
- Greece: New Boss, same as the Old Boss?
- Berlusconi Resigns
- Schedule for Week of Nov 13th
- Summary for Week Ending Nov 11th
- Update on NAR revisions
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 981 Institutions
- Lawler: D.R. Horton: Orders Up Modestly, Margins Down a Bit on Rising Costs
- If Europe is in a recession, how about the U.S.?
- Consumer Sentiment increases in November
- European Bond Yields: Italian yields decline, Spanish yields rise
- Europe Update
- Bank Failure #88: Community Bank of Rockmart, Rockmart, Georgia
- Mortgage Rates and Refinance Index
- RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Hits 7-Month High in October
- Trade Deficit declines in September as Exports increase
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 390,000
- Italian Update: Bond yields decline
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for October
- Lawler: SF REO Inventories at Fannie, Freddie, PLS, and a “Guess” at FHA
- Europe
- Housing: REO and Mortgage Delinquencies
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 1.1% in October
- Italian Bond Yields hit 7.4%
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
- Greek Politics
- Fannie, Freddie and FHA REO Inventory declines in Q3
- Las Vegas: 100,000 foreclosures and counting
- Europe Update
- BLS: Job Openings increase in September
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in October
- Foreclosure Filings Slow Sharply in Nevada after new Law takes Effect
- Econoparody: "In the Greek Midwinter"
- Visible Existing Home Inventory declines 16% year-over-year in early November
- Fed: Banks Tighten Lending Standards to Banks and Firms with European Exposures
- Italy: 10 Year bond yields continue to increase
- CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.1% in September
- Sluggish Growth and Payroll Employment
- Sunday Night Futures
- MERS Update: Multidistrict litigation decision
- Report: Greek Government Agrees to Coalition Deal
- Retail: Seasonal Hiring vs. Retail Sales
- Greece Update
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 985 Institutions
- AAR: Rail Traffic increases in October
- Schedule for Week of Nov 6th
- Summary for Week Ending Nov 4th
- A Recent Rarity: Forecast upgrades
- Bank Failures #86 & 87: Utah and Nebraska
- Report on Greece: Papandreou to Stand Down, Venizelos to Form Government, Elections in February
- Greek Confidence Vote Resources
- Construction Employment: Down in October, up slightly in 2011
- Seasonal Retail Hiring, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- October Employment Report: 80,000 Jobs, 9.0% Unemployment Rate
- Thursday Night Futures: Jobs, jobs, jobs ... and Greece
- Survey: Small Business Owners report small reduction in employment, hiring plans slightly positive
- Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
- Freddie Mac REO and Mortgage Rates
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline below 400,000
- Bernanke on Income inequality
- Greek Referendum will be on staying in the Euro
- A few comments on the Bernanke Press Briefing
- Bernanke Press Briefing 2:15 PM ET
- FOMC Statement: No change, "economic growth strengthened somewhat"
- HVS: Q3 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- ADP: Private Employment increased 110,000 in October
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased slightly
- Greece: Who knows?
- LPS: Foreclosure timelines increase, Mortgage delinquency rate declines slightly in September
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.26 million SAAR in October, Highest since Aug 2009
- Preliminary Vehicle Sales for October
- Construction Spending increased slightly in September
- ISM Manufacturing index indicates slower expansion in October
- Greece Update
- Gasoline Price Update
October 2011
- Europe: Greece to Hold Referendum on Debt Deal in December or January
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates mixed in September
- Restaurant Performance Index increased in September
- Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey shows sluggish expansion
- Chicago PMI at 58.4, down from 60.4 in September
- Mario Draghi takes over at ECB tomorrow, FT Cartoon
- Sunday Night Futures: Japan Intervenes in foreign-exchange
- Recovery Measures
- FOMC Meeting Preview
- Visible Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year in October
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 985 Institutions
- Lawler to Census on Housing Data: "Splainin" Needed Not Just on Vacancy Rate
- Schedule for Week of Oct 30th
- Summary for Week ending Oct 28th
- Friday Evening Reading on Europe
- Bank Failure #85: All American Bank, Des Plaines, Illinois
- Report: Mortgage Settlement deal could be reached within a month
- Q3 2011 Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
- Consumer Sentiment increases in October, still very weak
- Personal Income increased 0.1% in September, Spending increased 0.6%
- California Gov. Jerry Brown proposes State Pension Changes
- Strong Auto Sales growth seen in October
- Misc: Fannie/Freddie Investor REO Buying, Pending Home Sales down, Kansas City Manufacturing edges higher
- NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten Slightly in Recent Survey
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 4% year-over-year
- GDP slightly above pre-recession peak, Investment Contributions
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly
- Advance Estimate: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 2.5% in Q3
- Euro Summit Statement
- Pres. Van Rompuy: Agreement on a comprehensive package reached
- Europe: After Midnight
- Misc: COLA and Graphs
- Euro Watch
- House Sales: Distressing Gap and New Graph Gallery
- New Home Sales increase in September to 313,000
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased slightly
- Europe: Confusion and Uncertainty
- ATA Trucking Index increased 1.6% in September
- Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
- Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increase in September
- Misc: Richmond Fed, FHFA House Prices decline, Consumer Confidence down
- Case Shiller: Home Prices increased Seasonally in August
- Report: Negotiators ask Greek debt holders to take 60% cut in face value of bonds
- More on HARP and Housing
- A few comments on the HARP Refinance Program changes
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.7% in August compared to August 2010
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased 2.4% in August
- NY Fed President Dudley: More action needed to stabilize the housing sector
- Chicago Fed: Economic activity improved in September
- WSJ: Details on New FHFA Refinance Program, No LTV Limit, Eliminate appraisals
- Housing: Zillow forecast for Case-Shiller, FHFA Refinance Plan and a Rumor
- Merkel: No Decisions Today, Announcement expected Wednesday
- Report: European Banks need to raise €108bn in new capital
- Europe Update
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 976 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of Oct 23rd
- Summary for Week ending Oct 21st
- Report: Analysts not optimistic about new FHFA Refinance Plan
- Bank Failure #84: Community Banks of Colorado, Greenwood Village, CO
- Bank Failures #81 - 83: Georgia and Florida
- Financial Times: Possible 60% haircuts for Greek debt
- Misc: Solid Auto Sales seen in October, Merrill Lynch ups GDP Forecast
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in September
- Europe: Finance Ministers expected to approve aid for Greece, Most Major Decisions Delayed
- Fed Officials discuss buying more MBS, Bernanke talks with Senators
- House Price Indexes show price declines in August
- Builders to deliver record low number of housing units in 2011
- Sarkozy: 2nd European Leader Summit to Adopt Plan
- Philly Fed Survey shows Expansion, Existing Home Sales NSA Graph
- Existing Home Sales in September: 4.91 million SAAR, 8.5 months of supply
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 4-Week average lowest since April
- Europe Update: Prepare to be underwhelmed
- LA Port Traffic in September: Exports increase year-over-year, Imports Down
- Merle Hazard: "Diamond Jim"
- Fed's Beige Book: Pace of economic growth "modest" or "slight""
- Rate of increase slows for Key Measures of Inflation in September
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index declined in September
- 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment approximately 3.6% increase
- Housing Starts increased in September
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index at Lowest Level Since 1996
- Countdown to Euroday Oct 23rd: Another wild day
- Housing: A comment on Shadow Inventory
- Housing: A comment on Builder Confidence
- DataQuick: California Foreclosure Activity Back Up
- Bernanke: Effects of the Great Recession on Central Bank Doctrine and Practice
- NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in October
- Report: Lenders Approving more Short Sales
- Mortgage Settlement Update: A Refinance Plan for Certain borrowers with Negative Equity
- Fed's Evans suggests raising inflation target until unemployment falls below 7%
- SoCal: LA Office Vacancy Rates increase, Rents Fall
- Countdown to Euroday Oct 23rd: Lowering Expectations
- Residential Remodeling Index at new high in August
- Industrial Production increased 0.2% in September, Capacity Utilization increased slightly
- NY Fed: Empire State general business conditions index "little changed" in October
- Report: Homes for sale inventory at lowest level since at least 2007
- Europe: Clock is ticking, Officials try to ratchet back expectations
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 979 Institutions
- Lawler: For Seriously-Troubled Loans: A Call to ARMs
- Europe Update: Eight Days to Save Europe
- Schedule for Week of Oct 16th
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September
- Summary for Week Ending Oct 14th
- Stand-up economist Yoram Bauman on Chinese Housing
- Bank Failure #80: Country Bank, Aledo, Illinois
- Bank Failures #77 through 79: In Georgia, North Carolina and New Jersey
- Misc: Market and Foreclosure Auction
- See-Saw Economy or a Series of Shocks?
- Consumer Sentiment declines in October
- Retail Sales increased 1.1% in September
- Europe: Spain debt downgraded, Deadline for European Banks to raise capital
- DataQuick: SoCal Home sales increase slightly year-over-year in Sept
- European Bond Spreads and Interbank Lending
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate shows slight year-over-year increase
- Misc: Mortgage Rates increase, Foreclosure Activity declines in September
- Trade Deficit unchanged at $45.6 billion in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 404,000
- Ireland: “mortgage to rent” scheme proposed
- Europe Update: Slovakia clears hurdle on EFSF, More Capital for Banks, Leverage for EFSF?
- Lawler: Existing Home Foreclosures and Short Sale percentages for a few areas
- FOMC Minutes: "Considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook for a gradual pickup in economic growth"
- BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in August
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declined in September
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increases in Latest Survey
- Jim the Realtor: "Market is a buzz"
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data
- Report: Foreclosure starts declined in September
- Las Vegas Home Sales stay strong in September due to investor buying
- Europe: EC, IMF, ECB says aid likely for Greece, Slovakia votes on EFSF
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in September
- Tim Duy: Too Early to Sound the All Clear?
- Misc: Market and more on Household Income
- EU Leaders delay summit until Sunday Oct 23rd
- Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year in October
- Study: Real Median Household Income kept falling even after the recession ended
- Sunday Night Futures
- Report: Merkel, Sarkozy Reach General Agreement on Bank Recapitalization
- Europe Update: Merkel and Sarkozy are meeting today
- Construction Employment
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 983 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of Oct 9th
- Summary for Week Ending Oct 7th
- Friday Night Europe
- Bank Failures #75 & 76 in 2011
- AAR: Rail Traffic increases in September
- Europe, again ...
- Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- September Employment Report: 103,000 Jobs, 9.1% Unemployment Rate
- Reis: Mall Vacancy Rates increased in Q3
- Survey: Small Business Owners report reduction in employment, hiring plans slightly positive
- Misc: Solid Retail Sales, Rail Traffic increases, ECB, Protests
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates below 4%
- CoreLogic: Home Price Index declined 0.4% in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 401,000
- Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 5.6% in Q3
- Open Thread
- Europe Update: New Stress Tests and Bank Recapitalisation
- Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in September
- ADP: Private Employment increased 91,000 in September
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index Decreased in Latest Survey
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q3 to 17.4%
- Consumer Bankruptcy filings down 10 percent through Q3
- Market Update: Almost a new bear
- Goldman puts U.S. recession probability at 40% in 2012
- Bernanke Testimony: "Economic Outlook and Recent Monetary Policy Actions"
- Europe: Aid to Greece Delayed
- Unofficial Problem Bank List Quarterly Transition Matrix
- LPS: Foreclosure Starts increased in August, Seriously Delinquent Mortgage Loans fall to 2008 levels
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.1 million SAAR in September
- Europe Update
- Construction Spending increased in August
- ISM Manufacturing index increases in September
- Chrysler: U.S. September sales increase 27% year-over-year
- Sunday Night: Europe and Futures
- Greece to cut 30,000 public sector jobs, miss deficit targets
- A few preliminary comments on the September Employment Report
- Update on Gasoline Prices
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 986 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of Oct 2nd
- Summary for Week Ending Sept 30th
- Real Estate Agent Tracker Tool
September 2011
- Bank Failure #74 in 2011: First International Bank, Plano, TX
- Mortgage Settlement Update: California Drops Out of Talks
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline in August
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 4.1 percent compared to same week in 2010
- Restaurant Performance Index declined in August
- September Consumer Sentiment increases to 59.4, Chicago PMI fairly strong
- Personal Income decreased 0.1% in August, Spending increased 0.2%
- Misc: Foreclosure "Closer", One in Five Modifications Redefault and More
- Freddie Mac: Record Low Mortgage Rates
- Employment: Comment on preliminary annual benchmark revision
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity expands "modestly" in September
- Misc: GDP revised up, Employment to be revised up, Germany approves EFSF changes, Pending Home sales decline
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline sharply to 391,000
- Treasury: Mortgage loan fraud suspicious activity reports increased in Q2, Most occurred during bubble
- Lawler: Best Guess for August Pending Home Sales
- Europe Update
- Fed's Rosengren: Housing and Economic Recovery
- Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year in September
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increases
- Europe Update: Nothing Settled Yet
- ATA Trucking Index decreased slightly in August
- Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
- CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory Declines to 1.6 million units
- Case Shiller: Home Prices increased Seasonally in July
- Merkel: Germany will help stabilize Greece
- Europe: A few key dates
- On Pace for Record Low New Home Sales in 2011
- Report: Plan to increase European Bank Capital
- Misc: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey picks up, Home Sales Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales decline slightly in August
- Chicago Fed: Economic activity weakened in August
- Europe Update: Merkel says "Barrier" around Greece Needed
- Update on Gasoline Prices
- Bank Failures per Week in 2011
- Report: Six Week deadline to Prepare New European Plan
- Report: Germany and France Open to New Proposal
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 986 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of Sept 25th
- Summary for Week Ending Sept 23rd
- Mortgage Refinancing increasing as Mortgage Rates Fall
- Bank Failure #73: Citizens Bank of Northern California, Nevada City, CA
- Bank Failure #72: Bank of the Commonwealth, Norfolk, VA
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 2.5% in July compared to July 2010
- Misc: Europe, Auto Sales
- NY Fed's Dudley: Financial Stability and Economic Growth
- Mortgage Settlement Update
- Morning Greece: Bank Downgrades, Default Rumor Denied, G20 Statement
- Fed Study: Lack of Home equity and underwriting changes limited Refinancing in 2010
- House Price Indexes show smaller price increases in July
- Europe Update: Greek Austerity, EU to recapitalise 16 banks
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased in July
- Misc: Low Mortgage Rates, Leading Indicators indicate weak growth, FHFA reports house prices increase in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 423,000
- Misc: Possible Refinance Boom, Update to Reinhart and Rogoff paper
- Will there be another Refinance Boom?
- FOMC Statement: Extend Maturities, Reinvest in agency mortgage-backed securities
- Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
- Existing Home Sales in August: 5.0 million SAAR, 8.5 months of supply
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index Turns Positive
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index declines, Record Low Mortgage Rates
- Report on Greece: European Commission said “good progress” was made
- Europe Update
- Multi-family Starts and Completions, Starts and the Unemployment Rate
- Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes Decline in August
- Housing Starts decline in August
- Europe: Greece Officials Optimistic, Italy's Credit Rating Downgraded
- Lawler on August Existing Home Sales: Regional Reports Point to Above-Consensus Gain
- Greece: Conference Call with EU and IMF has started
- "The bigger the loan, the longer to foreclose"
- NAHB Builder Confidence index declines slightly in September
- Residential Remodeling Index at new high in July
- Greece, again
- FOMC Preview
- Bank Deposits increase Sharply
- Repeat: Sovereign Debt Series
- Europe Update: Little Progress
- Schedule for Week of Sept 18th
- Summary for Week ending Sept 16th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 984 Institutions
- Poll: Debt Ceiling impacted confidence similar to 9/11 and Katrina
- Q2 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate assets off $6.6 trillion from peak
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in August
- Preliminary September Consumer Sentiment increases slightly to 57.8
- Update on EU Finance Ministers Meeting
- Misc: Record Low Mortgage Rates, Foreclosure Activity Up Sharply
- Report: Geithner to Propose using EFSF like TALF
- Early Look: 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment on track for 3.5% increase
- Key Measures of Inflation increase in August
- Philly Fed Survey: "Manufacturing activity is continuing to contract, but declines are less widespread"
- Industrial Production increased 0.2% in August, Capacity Utilization increases slightly
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 428,000
- First September Surveys
- Europe Update: German and France back Greece and much more
- DataQuick: SoCal August Home Sales Climb
- Households Doubling Up and Housing
- LA Port Traffic in August: Imports decline
- Retail Sales flat in August
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increases, Record Low Mortgage Rates
- Misc: Household Income declines, Poverty increases, Austerity leads to contraction
- Europe Update
- Olick: "Huge Surge in Bank of America Foreclosures"
- CoreLogic: 10.9 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q2
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declined in August
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in August
- Greece Update
- U.S. motorists on pace to spend record amount on gasoline this year
- Market Update
- Vehicle Sales: Fleet Turnover Ratio
- Europe: Greek 2 Year Yield hits 64%
- Sunday Night: Europe and Futures
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data
- Greece Government announces new property tax
- A Day of Remembrance
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 986 Institutions
- Greece Update
- Schedule for Week of Sept 11th
- Summary for Week ending Sept 9th
- Greece: Articles on financial crisis
- Bank Failure #71 in 2011: The First National Bank of Florida, Milton, Florida
- G7 communique: "Central Banks stand ready to provide liquidity as required"
- Misc: Market, Existing Home Sales forecast, ECB's Stark resigns, MERS
- AAR: Rail Traffic mixed in August
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 6.6% compared to same week in 2010
- Europe: Greece Update
- The American Jobs Act
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August
- President Obama's Job Speech: 7:00 PM ET
- WSJ: Greece's Recession Deepens
- Bernanke: Inflation not "ingrained in the economy"
- Mortgage Rates fall to Record Low
- Trade Deficit decreased sharply in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 414,000
- WSJ: Fed Prepares to Act
- CBO: An Evaluation of Large-Scale Mortgage Refinancing Programs
- Fed's Williams: Downside Risks and Temporary Factors
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity continued to expand at a modest pace"
- Fed's Evans on the Fed's Dual Mandate
- BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in July
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index near 15 Year Low
- Mansori: Swiss FAQs
- Market Snapshot
- Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in August
- Swiss National Bank sets minimum exchange rate
- Monday Night Futures and Europe
- Labor Day: Few Labor Stories
- Construction Employment Update
- Europe: Service Sector Slows, Stocks Fall, Bond Yields move higher
- Europe Update
- Weekly Schedule and Graph Galleries
- Survey: Small Business Hiring Plans increased in August
- Mansori: The Transatlantic Cash Flow
- Update: Labor Force Participation Rate by Age
- Schedule for Week of September 4th
- Summary for Week Ending September 2nd
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 987 Institutions
- Bank Failures #69 & 70: Two more Georgia Banks
- FHFA Sues 17 Firms to Recover Losses to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
- Europe Update: Greek Bond Yields move Sharply Higher
- Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- August Employment Report: 0 Jobs (unchanged), 9.1% Unemployment Rate
- Misc: Jobs, Greek Bailout, REO and More
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 12.12 million SAAR in August
- Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
- Construction Spending declined in July
- ISM Manufacturing index declines slightly to 50.6
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 409,000
- Misc: Germany economy "resilient", GDP per capita
August 2011
- Lawler: Census 2010: Homeownership Rates by Selected Age Groups
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates mostly unchanged in July
- Restaurant Performance Index declined in July
- CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.8% in July
- ADP: Private Employment increased 91,000 in August
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Activity "near 15-year lows"
- LPS: Average Loan in Foreclosure Is Delinquent for Record 599 Days
- Recession Measures
- FOMC Minutes: Discussed Options for additional monetary accommodation
- Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
- Case Shiller: Home Prices increased in June
- House Price Preview
- HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 14.1% Year-over-year in August
- Europe Update: Finland and Germany discussing Bailout for Greece
- Texas Manufacturing Activity "Flat" in August
- Pending Home Sales decreased in July
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in July, Spending increased 0.8%
- NY Times: Headwinds for the Big Banks
- FDIC-insured institutions’ Real Estate Owned (REO) decreased in Q2
- Report: Major Exchanges Expect to Open Monday
- IMF's Lagarde: European banks need "urgent recapitalization"
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 988 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of Aug 28th
- Summary for Week Ending August 26th
- A few articles on Bernanke's Speech
- Real Gross Domestic Income above Pre-Recession Peak
- Hurricane Tracking Resources
- Analysis: Bernanke highlights September FOMC meeting, Suggests more Fiscal Stimulus
- Bernanke: The Near- and Longer-Term Prospects for the U.S. Economy
- Final August Consumer Sentiment at 55.7, Down Sharply from July
- Q2 real GDP growth revised down to 1.0% annualized rate
- Misc: Friday and Greece
- Update on Q2 REO Inventory
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.1 Percent compared to same week in 2010
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity expands "modestly" in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 417,000
- Possible Housing Proposals: New Refinance Plan and Rental Program
- More Europe: Banks increase ECB borrowing, France Austerity
- FHFA Introduces Expanded House Price Index
- Europe Update: Greek Bond Yields Surge
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Activity at Lowest Level Since 1996
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased -1.4% in June compared to June 2010
- ATA Trucking index decreased 1.3% in July
- Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes for July
- Misc: Richmond Fed, FDIC Problem Banks, Home Sales Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales in July at 298,000 Annual Rate
- Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased in June
- Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Range and Current
- Research: Aging Population will probably lower Stock Market P/E Ratio
- MBA Delinquency Survey: Comments and State Data
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies increased slightly in Q2
- Chicago Fed: Economic growth below trend in July
- Libya Updates
- New Song: Split-Rated
- Some preliminary thoughts on Bernanke's 2011 Jackson Hole Speech
- Update on Gasoline Prices
- The New Retirement Plan: No Retirement
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 984 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of Aug 21st
- Summary for Week ending August 19th
- More downward revisions to economic forecasts
- Bank Failure #68: First Choice Bank, Geneva, Illinois
- Bank Failure #67: First Southern National Bank, Statesboro, Georgia
- Bank Failure #66: Lydian Private Bank, Palm Beach, Florida
- On Track for Record Low Housing Completions in 2011
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in July
- Europe Update: More Bank Funding Concerns
- Key Measures of Inflation in July
- Bank Failure #65: On a Thursday?
- Early Read: 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment on track for 3%+ increase
- Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
- Philly Fed Survey: "Regional manufacturing activity has dipped significantly"
- Existing Home Sales in July: 4.67 million SAAR, 9.4 months of supply
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 408,000
- Report: U.S. Investigating S&P Ratings of Mortgages
- Chicago Fed: Midwest Farmland Values Soar
- New Resource for Tracking Home Sales
- Mortgage Refinance Activity Graph
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index Drops for Fifth Straight Month
- MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity Increases, Purchase Activity Declines "Sharply"
- Europe Update
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
- Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
- Multi-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
- Industrial Production increased 0.9% in July, Capacity Utilization increases
- Housing Starts decline slightly in July
- Misc: Europe and Summary
- Lawler Forecast: Existing Home Sales may "dip" in July
- LA Port Traffic in July
- DataQuick on SoCal: Lowest July Home Sales in Four Years
- NY Fed Q2 Report on Household Debt and Credit
- NAHB Builder Confidence index unchanged in August, Still Depressed
- Residential Remodeling Index at new high in June
- Empire State Survey indicates contraction
- Sunday Night Misc: Europe, Japan, Futures
- Event Driven Declines in Consumer Sentiment
- Hamilton: Economic consequences of recent oil price changes
- Quote of the Day: "If you don't have the demand, you don't hire the people"
- White House Debates Doing Little or Nothing
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 988 Institutions
- Schedule for Week of August 14th
- Summary for Week Ending August 12th
- Comparisons to Japan
- Bank Failure #64 in 2011: First National Bank of Olathe, Olathe, Kansas
- Misc: Market and Italy
- Appeals Court Rules failure to properly disclose teaser rate for Option ARM might constitute Fraud
- Consumer Sentiment declines sharply in August
- Retail Sales increased 0.5% in July
- Gasoline Prices expected to decline sharply
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
- Misc: Dow up 400+, S&P 500 up 4.6%
- U.S. Births Decline in 2010
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 1.4 Percent compared to same week in 2010
- Trade Deficit increased in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 395,000
- Misc: France, Futures and More
- FHFA, Treasury, HUD Seek Input on Disposition of REOs
- Dow Down 500+, S&P 500 down 4.4%
- HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 13.3% Year-over-year in mid-August
- The QE3 Watch
- BLS: Job Openings "essentially unchanged" in June
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index decreased slightly in July
- MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase Significantly
- Update: ECB Bond Buying
- Dow up 420+, S&P up 4.7%
- FOMC Statement: "exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013"
- FOMC Meeting Thoughts
- Freddie Mac Seriously Delinquent Loans and REO by Selected States
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in July
- Monday Night Futures
- Q2 REO Inventory Estimate
- Dow Down 600+, S&P 500 down 6.66%
- FOMC Preview
- Misc: Market Sell-Off, Obama to Speak at 1 PM, S&P announces more downgrades
- ECB Italian and Spanish Bond Buying Begins
- Sunday Night Futures
- G7 Statement
- ECB Considering "Massive" Bond Purchase, G7 Statement Later Today
- Mortgage Delinquencies and REOs
- Construction Employment Update
- Fannie Mae sells record number of REO in Q2
- Schedule for Week of August 7th
- Summary for Week ending August 5th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 988 Institutions
- AAR: Rail Traffic soft in July
- Bank Failure #63: Bank of Whitman, Colfax, Washington
- Bank Failure #62: Illinois
- Misc: S&P Plans U.S. Downgrade, makes math error, ECB to Buy Italian Bonds
- Q2 2011 Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
- More Employment
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- July Employment Report: 117,000 Jobs, 9.1% Unemployment Rate
- Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
- LPS: Foreclosure Starts Increased in June
- Dow Down 500+, S&P off 4.8%
- European Commission President: Crisis no longer contained to periphery
- NMHC Quarterly Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 400,000
- Europe Update
- Using Graphs and Ranking Economic Data
- States cutting Unemployment Insurance benefits
- CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.7% in June
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in July
- ADP: Private Employment increased 114,000 in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, But Still Low
- Misc: Europe is a Mess, House For Sale Listings Decline
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 12.23 million Annual Rate in July
- FHA sells record number of REO in June
- Recession Measures
- Personal Income less Transfer Payments Revised Down Sharply
- Personal Income increased 0.1% in June, PCE decreased 0.2%
- A "Run to the Bank"
- Misc: Fiscal Drag, House Vote, Stall Speed?
- The Economic Drag
- Construction Spending increased in June
- ISM Manufacturing index declines in July
- Housing: The Missing Move-up Buyer
- Sunday Night Futures
July 2011
- Another Debt Ceiling Update
- Problem Banks: Comparing Official and Unofficial Counts
- Debt Ceiling Update
- Restaurant Performance Index increases in June
- Next Senate Vote at 1 PM ET Sunday
- Random Thoughts
- Schedule for Week of July 31st
- Summary for Week ending July 29th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 995 Institutions
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline in June
- Bank Failure #61: Integra Bank, National Association, Evansville, Indiana
- Bank Failures #59 & 60 in 2011: Virginia and South Carolina
- HVS: Q2 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- GDP: Investment Contributions
- Real GDP still below Pre-Recession Peak, Chicago PMI declines, Consumer Sentiment Weak
- Advance Estimate: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 1.3% in Q2
- Debt Ceiling Charade impacting Short-Term Credit Markets
- Housing Starts: Impact of Changes in Household Size
- Fed's Williams: The Economic Outlook
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity slows in July
- Pending Home Sales increase in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 398,000
- HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 11.1% Year-over-year in July
- Rumor: NAR Considering Introducing Repeat Sales Index
- Fed's Beige Book: "Pace of economic growth has moderated"
- Europe Update
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index Lowest Since February
- Mortgage Servicer Settlement Update
- ATA Trucking index increased 2.8% in June
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- Update: Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
- New Home Sales in June at 312,000 Annual Rate
- Case Shiller: Home Prices increase in May
- Busy Day Tomorrow: Case-Shiller and New Home Sales
- Update on Europe
- Be careful with the Housing Vacancies and Homeownership report
- Surowiecki: Smash the Ceiling
- Texas Manufacturing Activity Picks Up in July
- Chicago Fed: Economic growth below average in June
- Subprime America?
- Labor Force Participation Rate Update
- Q2 GDP Forecasts and Revisions
- Debt Ceiling Charade: The Smart Options
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased -1.9% in May compared to May 2010
- Schedule for Week of July 24th
- Summary for Week Ending July 22nd
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 993 Institutions
- Reports: Government considering renting REOs, Extending Conforming Loan Limits
- Bank Failure #58: Bank of Choice, Greeley, Colorado
- Bank Failures #56 & 57 in 2011: Two banks in Florida
- Goldman Sachs Lowers estimate of Excess Vacant Housing Supply
- Mortgage Rates and Refinance Activity
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in June
- Greece: Fitch warns of ‘selective default’
- Greek Default and more
- Other House Price Indexes
- European Summit Statement Approved
- Europe Update: Some Details, More Later
- Philly Fed Survey: "Regional manufacturing remained weak in July"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 418,000
- Report: Germany and France Agree on Greek Bailout
- NY Fed's Brian Sack: The SOMA Portfolio at $2.654 Trillion
- European Commission president: Now is the Time to Act
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased in May
- Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
- Existing Home Sales in June: 4.77 million SAAR, 9.5 months of supply
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates declining demand in June
- MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity "Surges", Purchase activity flat
- On Track for Record Low Housing Completions in 2011
- DataQuick: California Mortgage Defaults lowest since 2007
- Report: No Plans for another Large Housing Program
- Multi-family Starts and Completions
- Housing Starts increase in June
- More Bidders at Foreclosure Auctions
- Lawler: Existing Home Sales Down in June
- Europe Update: Next Key Meeting on Thursday
- NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in July, Still Depressed
- Residential Remodeling Index at new high in May
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
- U.S. Government Receipts as Percent of GDP
- Apartment Construction increases in Los Angeles
- Leonhardt: "We're Spent"
- HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 10.9% Year-over-year in mid-July
- Schedule for Week of July 17th
- Summary for Week Ending July 15th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 995 Institutions
- Debt Ceiling Charade: Almost Over
- Bank Failure #55: Summit Bank, Prescott, AZ
- Stand-up Economist Yoram Bauman on Politics and the Federal Budget
- Bank Failure #54: First Peoples Bank, Port Saint Lucie, FL
- Bank Failure #52 & 53 in 2011: Two More in Georgia
- Key Measures of Inflation ease in June
- Eight Banks Fail European Stress Tests
- Consumer Sentiment declines sharply in July
- Industrial Production increased 0.2% in June, Capacity Utilization unchanged
- Empire State Survey indicates contraction, Core CPI increases 0.3 percent
- European Stress Tests results at 12 PM ET
- Debt Ceiling Charade: S&P places U.S. on Credit Watch Negative, Possible Debt Deal taking shape
- DataQuick: Bay Area Home Sales "Surge" in June
- LA Area Port Traffic in June: Imports Decline
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 2 Percent compared to same week in 2010
- Retail Sales increased 0.1% in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 405,000
- Europe Update
- Moody's Places US Government Bond Rating on Review for Possible Downgrade
- Misc: Greece Downgraded, Did Bernanke shift on QE3?
- Bernanke Testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased in June
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- Debt Ceiling Charade Update
- DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales increase in June, Record Low New Home Sales
- Moody’s downgrades Ireland to Junk with negative outlook
- Seattle: The Downtown Apartment Boom
- BLS: Job Openings unchanged in May
- Trade Deficit increased sharply in May to $50.2 billion
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index "basically unchanged" in June
- Misc: New Policy Ideas for housing being discussed, Realtor group overstates house prices
- Statement by the Eurogroup
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
- More Europe
- AAR: Rail Traffic soft in June
- Europe: Bond Yields up Sharply for Italy, Greece, Ireland and Portugal
- Report: EU to consider Greek Default
- How many jobs are needed over the next year to keep the unemployment rate steady?
- Report: EU Calls Emergency Meeting on Monday
- Home Sales "Surge" in Las Vegas
- Schedule for Week of July 10th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 1,004 Institutions
- Summary for Week Ending July 8th
- Greece: More Discussions about Debt Reduction
- Bank Failure #51: Signature Bank, Windsor, Colorado
- Bank Failures #49 & 50 in 2011
- European Financial Crisis: Italy
- More Employment: Return of the Teen! and Unemployment by Duration and Education
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- June Employment Report: 18,000 Jobs, 9.2% Unemployment Rate
- Reis: Mall Vacancy Rates increase in Q2
- Cost of Living and CPI-Chained
- European Financial Crisis: Portugal Update
- Employment Situation Preview: More Payroll Jobs Added, Still Weak Overall
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 418,000
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 157,000 in June
- Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 6% in Q2
- Goldman's Hatzius forecasts 125,000 payroll jobs added in June
- Report: $60 Billion Mortgage Servicer Settlement being Discussed
- Survey: Small Business Hiring in June a "Bust", but hiring plans turn positive
- Conforming Loan Limit Data
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in June
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate flat in Q2 at 17.5 Percent
- Changes to Conforming Loan Limit
- Gasoline Prices down almost 40 cents per gallon Nationally from May Peak
- Orange County: Construction Employment up Year-over-year
- Moody’s downgrades Portugal to Junk with negative outlook
- Consumer Bankruptcy filings Decrease 8 Percent in First Half of 2011
- Greece Update: Will ECB accept temporary default?
- Some Employment Statistics
- Happy Independence Day!
- Greece Update: S&P says proposed Greece Debt Plan is "likely a Default"
- Next Deadline for Greece: Mid-September
- The Detroit Youth Movement
- NY Times: Principal Reductions for some Option ARMs
- Schedule for Week of July 3rd
- Greece Update: Loan Approved
- Summary for Week Ending July 1st
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 1,003 Institutions and State Stress Level
- Lawler: Do Housing “Experts” Actually Look At All Available Data?
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 11.45 million Annual Rate in June
- Goldman Sachs: Five Hopeful Signs for the Second Half
- Construction Spending declined in May
- ISM Manufacturing index increases in June
- Consumer Sentiment declines in June
- Greece: Next Tranche of Aid expected to be approved tomorrow
- Ford on Car Sales: May and June "slowest sales rates of the year"
June 2011
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 2.8 percent compared to same week in 2010
- Restaurant Performance Index decreases in May
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline in May
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity rebounded solidly in June
- CoreLogic: May Home Price Index increased 0.8%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 428,000
- NY Times Poll: 89% of Americans view homeownership as important part of the American dream
- After Foreclosure: The Bounce Back Buyers
- Debt Ceiling Charade Update: S&P Warns on Default
- LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates decreased slightly in May
- Misc: Pending Home Sales increase, Greek Parliament Votes for Austerity
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- BofA Settlement
- HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 8.5% Year-over-year in June
- Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Activity Stabilized in June
- Update: Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
- Case Shiller: Home Prices increase in April
- Greece: 48-hour general strike begins
- Greece Update
- ATA Trucking index decreased 2.3% in May
- Texas Manufacturing survey shows slower expansion in June
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in May, PCE increased less than 0.1%
- Sunday Night Futures
- Week Ahead: Better or Worse News?
- Greece Update: Banks to Propose Rolling over 50% of Debt
- Falling Gasoline Prices
- Schedule for Week of June 26th
- Summary for Week Ending June 24th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 1,001 Institutions and Transition Matrix
- Las Vegas: Bubble Monuments
- Bank Failure #48 in 2011: Mountain Heritage Bank, Clayton, Georgia
- NY Times: Overbuilding in Spain
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.7 percent compared to same week in 2010
- FHA sells record number of REO in May, Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rate declines
- Q1 real GDP growth revised up to 1.9%, Durable-goods orders up 1.9%
- Greece Update and European Bond and CDS Spreads
- Misc: Release of Oil Reserves, Greek Agreement, another House Price index shows increase
- Chicago Fed: Economic growth remained below average in May
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales in May at 319 Thousand SAAR
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 429,000
- Greece: Cabinet approves Austerity, European Banks pressured to accept losses
- If the slowdown is temporary, when will the news flow change?
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 3.7% in April, Prices at new Post-Bubble Low
- Bernanke Press Briefing 2:15 PM ET
- FOMC Statement: No Change, "Economic recovery is continuing at a moderate pace"
- CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory Continues to Decline
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates declining demand in May
- Irvine: Luxury Condos become Rental Apartments
- Misc: ARMs Comeback, Greek TV, and More
- Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
- May Existing Home Sales: 4.81 million SAAR, 9.3 months of supply
- Miami Condos: Foreign Cash Buyers
- Greek Prime Minister Faces a confidence vote today
- Lawler: Closed Home Sales Down, Pending Sales Up in May
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased -2.4% in April compared to April 2010
- Morning Greece: Deal Postponed
- Housing Bust Winners: Some Farmers in Illinois
- FOMC Meeting Preview
- NY Times on Backlog of Foreclosures
- Some Stats on Income Inequality
- Schedule for Week of June 19th
- Summary for Week Ending June 17th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 996 Institutions
- Here come the downgrades for Q2 GDP Growth
- Bank Failures #46 & 47 in 2011: Georgia and Florida
- Lawler: CAR vs. “Reality,” and the NAR Benchmarking
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.0 percent compared to same week in 2010
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in May
- Consumer Sentiment declines in June
- Morning Greece: Merkel Agrees to "voluntary participation of private creditors"
- ECB's Trichet: Greek Default Should Be Avoided
- Another House Price Index shows a small gain in April
- Building Home Equity the Old-fashioned Way
- Residential Investment: Mutli-family Starts and Completions
- Philly Fed Survey: "Regional manufacturing activity weakened in June"
- Housing Starts increase in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 414,000
- Misc: Q2 GDP Downgrades, Oil Prices decline, FHA REO Sales Surge
- May Update: 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment
- Greece Update
- Core Measures of Inflation increased in May
- NAHB Builder Confidence index declines in June
- Industrial Production edged up in May, Capacity Utilization unchanged
- Misc: Empire State Survey indicates contraction, Inflation rate lower, French Bank Rating Reviewed
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
- Residential Remodeling Index increases in April
- LA Port Traffic in May: Both Imports and Exports increased
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
- Bernanke: "Failing to raise the debt ceiling would be self-defeating"
- Key Question: Is the slowdown temporary?
- Retail Sales declined 0.2% in May
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreases in May
- Q1 2011: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
- DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales Slow in May, Record Low New Home Sales
- Greece Downgraded Again
- Misc: Flippers in Sacramento, and more "Hate" for Housing
- Greece Update
- Existing Home Inventory: Data for 54 Metro Areas
- Freddie Mac: Very low Cash-Out Refinance Activity
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 2.5 percent compared to same week in 2010
- Schedule for Week of June 12th
- Summary for Week Ending June 10th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list over 1,000 Institutions
- Updated List: Ranking Economic Data
- Saudi Arabia promises more oil production
- Housing: Sacramento Distressed Sales at high level in May
- NY Fed's Dudley expects "Economic growth will pick up in the second half of 2011"
- Signs of financial distress?
- Las Vegas Lands sells for 15 percent of 2007 price
- Census Bureau on Homeownership Rate: We've got “Some 'Splainin' to Do”
- Q1 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate assets off $6.6 trillion from peak
- Trade Deficit decreased to $43.7 billion in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 427,000
- China: Another Year, Another Prediction of a Housing Bust
- Hamilton on the OPEC Announcement
- Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity continued to expand, "some deceleration"
- CoreLogic House Price Graph, Real Prices, and Prices and Month-of-Supply
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declines in May
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- CoreLogic: Negative Equity by State and more
- Bernanke: Growth "likely to pick up" in second half
- AAR: Rail Traffic mixed in May
- BLS: Job Openings decline in April
- Report: 10.9 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q1
- Unemployment Rate and Residential Construction Growth, by State
- Mansori: Betting On the PIGs
- Lawler: Existing Home Active Listings show Big Declines in Wide Range of Metro Areas
- Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
- Survey: Small Business Hiring plans turn negative
- More details on Greek Debt Restructuring
- Comparing Payroll Job Growth in 2011 to 2010
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate continues to recover after weak April and early May
- Schedule for Week of June 5th
- Greece Update: Creditors asked to accept longer maturities
- Summary for Week Ending June 3rd
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 997 Institutions
- Bank Failure #45 in 2011: Atlantic Bank and Trust, Charleston, South Carolina
- Birth/Death Model and Unemployment by Duration and Education
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slightly faster expansion in May
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- May Employment Report: 54,000 Jobs, 9.1% Unemployment Rate
- HUD Secretary Donovan: Foreclosure Settlement in a "matter of weeks"
- Labor Mobility: Starting to Increase
- Greece Report: Agreement on New Bailout, Some Investor Participation, No "intrusive" Supervision
- Employment Situation Preview: Fewer Payroll Jobs Added, Grim Overall
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 422,000
- Restaurant Performance Index indicates expansion in April
- Construction Spending increased 0.4% in April
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 11.8 million SAAR in May
- CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.7% between March and April
- General Motors: U.S. May sales decrease 1.2% year-over-year
- ISM Manufacturing index declines to 53.5 in May
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 38,000 in May
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity flat, Refinance activity declines
May 2011
- Lawler: Census 2010 and the US Homeownership Rate
- Renters and the Mini-Boom in Miami
- Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent: Back to 1999
- Chicago PMI shows sharply slower growth, Manufacturing Activity Expands in Texas
- Case Shiller: National Home Prices Hit New Low in 2011 Q1
- The Excess Vacant Housing Supply
- Even more Negative Sentiment for Homeownership
- Oil and Gasoline Price Update
- Reports: Next Greek bailout to include external supervision
- ECB Official: "Orderly" Greek restructuring is a "fairy tale"
- San Diego: Home Builders opening more communities for sale
- House Prices: Will the March Case-Shiller indexes be at new post bubble lows?
- Arizona Lands sells for 8 percent of peak price
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate continues to improve after soft patch
- Schedule for Week of May 29th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 997 Institutions
- Summary for Week Ending May 27th
- Bank Failure #44 in 2011: First Heritage Bank, Snohomish, Washington
- European Bond and CDS Spreads
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline
- Real GDI and Personal Income less Transfer Payments still below pre-recession levels
- Consumer Sentiment increases in May, Pending Home Sales decline sharply
- Personal Income and Outlays increased 0.4% in April
- Economic Slowdown: Temporary or Something Worse?
- Lawler: Census 2010 Demographic Profile: Highlights, Excess Housing Supply Estimate, and Comparison to HVS
- LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates increased slightly in April, Foreclosure pipeline "Bloated"
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Activity was largely unchanged in May
- Q1 real GDP growth unrevised at 1.8% annualized rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 424,000
- Misc: State Revenues increases, Gas Prices fall, GDP and Weekly Claims tomorrow
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.4% in March compared to March 2010
- ATA Trucking index decreased 0.7% in April
- Debt Ceiling Charade: Vote to Fail Next Week
- More Negative Sentiment for Homeownership
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity increases slightly
- WSJ: State AGs Warn Banks of Suits if Foreclosure Settlement isn't Reached
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 4.2% in March, Hit new Post-Bubble Low
- Lawler: FDIC-insured institutions’ Real Estate Owned (REO) decrease in Q1
- Misc: Home Sales Distressing Gap, Richmond Fed shows contraction, FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile
- New Home Sales in April at 323 Thousand SAAR, Ties Record low for April
- Fed Governor Duke: Recession impact on Financial Decisions
- Fannie, Freddie, FHA and PLS Real Estate Owned
- The Foreclosure Pipeline
- Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
- European Woes
- Chicago Fed: Economic activity weakened in April
- NY Times: The Glut of Foreclosed Homes
- Survey: Gasoline prices down 9 cents over last two weeks
- "Dismal Start" for Auto Sales in May
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 988 Institutions
- Walking Away in Chicago
- Greece Soft Restructuring Talk, and Italy Outlook Downgraded
- Schedule for Week of May 22nd
- Summary for Week Ending May 20th
- Bank Failure #43: Summit Bank, Burlington, Washington
- Bank Failures #41 & 42 in 2011: Two more in Georgia
- Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Before Crisis, Peak and Current (40 states)
- Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Before Crisis, Peak and Current
- State Unemployment Rates "little changed or slightly lower": in April
- Greece Bond Yields increase as Policymakers Disagree on Restructuring
- Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Percent and Number
- Existing Home Sales: Investors, Distressed Sales and First Time Buyers
- Philly Fed Survey shows "regional manufacturing activity grew slightly in May"
- MBA: Total Delinquencies essentially unchanged in Q1 Seasonally Adjusted
- April Existing Home Sales: 5.05 million SAAR, 9.2 months of supply
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declines to 409,000, 4-Week average highest since November
- Tough Job Market for recent College Graduates
- Three Releases Tomorrow: Mortgage Delinquencies, Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Minutes: Exit Strategy Discussion
- Is REW the new MEW? (Retirement Equity Withdrawal)
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity decreases, Refinance activity increases
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates declining demand in April
- LPS: Delinquencies edge up in April, FNC: Non-Distressed House Prices stable in March
- High Gasoline Prices impacting consumers
- Lawler: The “Excess Supply of Housing” War
- Mutli-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
- Industrial Production unchanged in April, Capacity Utilization declines slightly
- Housing Starts decline in April
- Gasoline, Oil prices decline
- Housing Data: Making foreclosure and default data publicly available
- Misc: Existing Home Sales forecast, California Revenue increase, MBA Quarterly Delinquency report
- Debt Ceiling: False Comparisons to 1995 / 1996
- NAHB Builder Confidence index unchanged at low level in May
- Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates slower growth in May
- Residential Remodeling Index increases in March
- The upward slope of Real House Prices
- Schedule for Week of May 15th
- Another Mortgage Refinance Wave?
- Final Portugal bailout terms expected Monday, maybe Greece update too
- More on Debt Ceiling Charade
- Summary for Week Ending May 13th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 983 Institutions
- April Update: 2012 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- LA Port Traffic in April: Imports increase, Exports decrease
- Core Measures of Inflation increased in April
- Consumer Sentiment increases in May
- Sorry for the Service Disruption
- More "Hate" for Homeownership
- Reis on Apartment, Office and Mall Trends
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declines in April
- BLS: Job Openings increased in March, Highest since 2008
- Trade Deficit increased to $48.2 billion in March
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity increases, Mortgage Rates lowest in 2011
- Leonhardt: Rent or Buy, a Matter of Lifestyle
- Report: $5 Billion Mortgage Servicer Settlement being Discussed
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
- Real CoreLogic House Price Index, and Price-to-Rent Ratio, back to 1999 Levels
- CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.5% in March, Prices now 4.6% below 2009 Lows
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreases in April
- Misc: Higher Margin requirements for Oil, Sheila leaving FDIC and Greece
- Construction Employment Update
- AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in April
- Zillow on Negative Equity: 28.4% of all single-family homes with mortgages are "underwater"
- NY Fed Q1 Report on Household Debt and Credit
- Another Downgrade for Greece
- WSJ: Home Market Takes a Tumble
- Updates on Greece and Ireland
- Employment: A comment on the Birth/Death Model
- Schedule for Week of May 8th
- Greece Update: "Further adjustment programme" needed, Next meeting May 16th
- No Surprise: Gasoline prices expected to fall sharply
- Summary for Week ending May 6th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 983 Institutions
- Total Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory declined in Q1, Fannie and Freddie REO Sales at Record Levels
- Bank Failure #40 in 2011: Coastal Bank, Cocoa Beach, Florida
- Misc: Greece, Consumer Credit, Housing Inventory
- Employment: A dirty little secret and more graphs
- Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- April Employment Report: 244,000 Jobs, 9.0% Unemployment Rate
- Japan: Fukushima Daiichi Reactor Update
- Survey: Small Business Hiring in April "Disappointing"
- Lawler: Census Releases Demographic Profile of 12 States and DC: Confirms Bias of HVS
- NMHC Quarterly Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten
- Clear Capital Home Price Index shows Double Dip
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims sharply higher
- Update on Debt Ceiling Charade
- Martin Marietta Materials: Residential end-use market volume grew 15% YoY
- Fed's Williams expects inflation to peak mid-year, "then edge back downward"
- ISM Indexes and BLS Payroll Employment
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates sharply slower expansion in April
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 179,000 in April
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity increases slightly, Mortgage Rates lowest in 2011
- Portugal Bailout Agreement: €78 Billion
- Housing: Another Price Reduction for Rhode Island Governor's Home
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 13.2 million SAAR in April
- Lawler: Monthly Report to Commissioner Suggests Serious REO Inventory Problem at FHA
- General Motors: April U.S. April sales increase 26.4% year-over-year
- The Debt Ceiling Farce
- ECB Official: Extension of Greek debt maturities possible
- Household Formation and the "Big L"
- Fed: Banks more willing to make consumer loans
- Construction Spending increased in March
- ISM Manufacturing at 60.4 in April
- Survey: Small-Business Lending Is Increasing
- Late Night Thread
- Lower Commodity Prices?
- Chicago Fed: Economic Activity Improved in March
- Schedule for Week of May 1st
April 2011
- Goldman estimates 3.5 million Excess Vacant Housing Units
- Summary for Week ending April 29th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 984 Institutions
- Jim the Realtor: A Stinker REO
- Bank Failures #35 through #39 in 2011
- LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates declined in March, Foreclosure pipeline "Bloated"
- Q1 2011 Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
- Restaurant Performance Index increases in March
- Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in April compared to March
- Personal Income and Outlays Report for March
- European Bond and CDS Spreads
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline
- Multifamily: Rents Rising, Record low completions, Starts increasing rapidly, more "hate" for owning
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Slower expansion in April
- Residential Investment and Non-Residential investment in Structures at Record Lows as Percent of GDP
- Advance Report: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 1.8% in Q1
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase, 4-Week average over 400,000
- Tim Duy: Very High Bar for QE3
- A few takeaways from Bernanke Press Briefing
- Bernanke Press Briefing 2:15 PM ET
- FOMC Statement: No Change, "Economic recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace"
- Q1 2011: Homeownership Rate at 1998 Levels
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- Bernanke Wednesday
- Misc: More "Hate" for Housing, Record number of homes in foreclosure process
- Misc: Richmond Fed shows slower expansion, ATA Trucking index increases in March
- Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
- Case Shiller: Home Prices near post-bubble lows in February
- Greece Budget Deficit worse than forecast
- Study: 26 percent of renters spend over half their income on housing
- Timing: New Home Sales and Home Builder Reports
- Texas Manufacturing survey shows slower expansion in April
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales in March at 300 Thousand SAAR, Record low for March
- March Survey: Almost half of housing market is now distressed properties
- Wells Fargo Forecast for New Home Sales
- Misc: Summary, Schedule, Residential Investment Analysis and Graphs
- Schedule for Week of April 24th
- FOMC Preview
- Summary for Week ending April 22nd
- Home Builders still see no recovery
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 976 Institutions
- Budget Deficit: Gang of Six
- Another Boom in Silicon Valley
- Supply Chain Disruption Update
- Greece Update
- Correct Reporting and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
- Other House Price Indexes
- Philly Fed Survey shows slower expansion in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease, 4-Week average increases to 399,000
- More than a Lost Decade
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased in February
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 3.3% in February
- Existing Home Inventory decreases 2.1% Year over Year
- March Existing Home Sales: 5.10 million SAAR, 8.4 months of supply
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index little changed in March
- Thoughts on Residential Investment Recovery
- Housing: On pace for Record Low Completions in 2011
- Housing: Feeling the Hate
- State Unemployment Rates little changed in March
- Housing Starts increase in March
- Jim the Realtor: Predict the Price of REO
- Extend and Pretend Greek Style
- Las Vegas adds jobs in March, first time in over 3 years
- A Comment on the Deficit
- NAHB Builder Confidence index declines slightly in April
- Greece Bond Yields at Record High following Default Comments
- Residential Remodeling Index shows strong increase year-over-year in February
- Quote of the Day: 15 years of house price appreciation "It's gone"
- Q4 2010: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
- Schedule for Week of April 17th
- Jim the Realtor: More REOs hitting Market, Half Off Sale
- CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased slightly in February
- IMF: Greek Debt Unsustainable
- Summary for Week ending April 15th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 978 Institutions
- Report: Protests in Syria Gaining Momentum
- Bank Failure #34: Heritage Banking Group, Carthage, Mississippi
- Bank Failures #29 through #33 in 2011
- First Look at 2012 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Europe Update: Ireland Downgraded, Greece to default?
- Core Measures show low inflation in March
- Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in April
- Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization increased in March
- Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates faster growth in April
- Office Vacancy Rates and New Deliveries for three SoCal Cities
- Study: Suicide Rates Rise and Fall with Economy
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
- LA Port Traffic: Exports increased sharply in March
- Renting vs. Buying at the High End
- RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Increases in March, Down in Q1
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 412,000
- Senate Panel on Crisis and Summary
- DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales Still Slow, Record Low New Home Sales
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales and Inventory for March
- Two Stories: Fed sees economic improvement, Fed releases mortgage lender enforcement actions
- President Obama on the Fiscal Policy: 1:35 PM ET
- BLS: Job Openings increase in February, Highest since 2008
- Retail Sales increased 0.4% in March
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- Misc: Goldman says Q1 finished strong, Rail Car Woes
- Existing Home Inventory is confusing too
- Here come the downgrades for Q1 GDP Growth: Part III
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increases in March
- Trade Deficit decreased in February to $45.8 billion
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreases in March
- $4 Gasoline, Again
- Shameless Puff Piece
- Housing Starts: Vacant Units and Unemployment Rate
- Fed's Yellen: Inflation Transitory, will not "impede the economic recovery"
- Fed's Dudley: Not "enthusiastic about tightening policy too early"
- Softer Commodity Prices?
- Economic Outlook and Downside Risks
- Schedule for Week of April 10th
- Home Improvement Rebounds
- Fed's Yellen: Too soon to exit QE2
- Summary for Week ending April 8th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 982 Institutions
- Articles on "Budget Deal"
- Bank Failure #28: Nevada Commerce Bank, Las Vegas, NV
- Bank Failure #27 in 2011: Western Springs National Bank and Trust, Western Springs, Illinois
- Five Hours until possible Government Shutdown
- AAR: Rail Traffic increases in March
- Refinance Activity and Mortgage Rates
- CNBC: McConnell says Budget Deal Near
- Europe Update: Austerity in Portugal, Bank Stress Test concerns in Germany
- Mortgage Lenders lay off workers as refinance activity declines rapidly
- House Prices: Nominal, Real, Price-to-Rent
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
- Reis: Mall Vacancy rates increase in Q1
- CoreLogic: House Prices declined 2.7% in February, Prices now 4.1% below 2009 Lows
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 382,000
- Forecast: Rising Rents to slow House Price Declines
- Portugal to ask for Bailout
- Budgets and Political Grandstanding
- Construction Employment Outlook Update
- Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rates fell sharply in Q1, Lowest in almost three years
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases ahead of FHA fee increase
- A QE Timeline
- When will Office Investment increase?
- FOMC Minutes: Some Disagreement, Worry about Oil Prices, No Tapering of QE2
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in March
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q1
- Bernanke in Q&A: "Inflation will be transitory"
- Bernanke: Clearinghouses, Financial Stability, and Financial Reform
- Consumer Bankruptcy filings decrease in Q1 2011
- Homebuilder to Buy Distressed Homes and Rent Them
- Follow-up: Governors not immune to the housing bust
- Las Vegas: Commercial Property Vacancy Rates Increase in Q1
- 60 Minutes on ForeclosureGate
- Labor Force Participation Rate Update
- Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Employment Diffusion Indexes
- Schedule for Week of April 3rd
- Catching up: Construction Spending declined in February
- Survey: Small Businesses add Jobs for Second Consecutive Month
- Summary for Week ending April 1st
- Unofficial Problem Bank List at 985 Institutions, Correction for Capitol Bancorp
- FHFA: Where the Conforming Loan Limit Might Fall on October 1
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 13.1 million SAAR in March
- Misc: Autos, ISM Manufacturing, NY Fed's Dudley
- Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- March Employment Report: 216,000 Jobs, 8.8% Unemployment Rate
- Restaurant Performance Index increases in February
March 2011
- Irish Bank Stress Tests and European Bond Spreads
- Employment Situation Preview: More Jobs, but still Grim
- Kansas City Manufacturing Survey at Record High, Chicago PMI Strong in March
- Ireland: Stress Test Results to be released at 11:30 AM ET
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 388,000
- Irish Finance Minister: Bank stress test results of "major significance"
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline slightly
- Lawler: The “Shrill Cry” from Lobbyists on QRM
- A comment on Regional Fed Talk
- CoreLogic: Shadow Inventory Declines Slightly
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 201,000 in March
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases slightly
- Here come the downgrades for Q1 GDP Growth: Part II
- State and Local tax revenue increases in 2010
- Proposed New Mortgage Lending Rules
- Philly Fed February State Coincident Indexes
- Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
- Case Shiller: Home Prices Off to a Dismal Start in 2011
- Sports Stadium bonds in trouble?
- Neutron Loans hit California City
- Personal Saving Rate and Income less Transfer Payments
- Here come the downgrades for Q1 GDP Growth
- Texas Manufacturing Activity Strengthens Further, Pending Home sales increase in February
- Personal Income and Outlays Report for February
- Ireland Update: Stress Tests, New ECB Liquidity Facility, and ... bondholder haircuts?
- Japan Nuclear Update
- Schedule for Week of March 27th
- LPS: Overall mortgage delinquencies declined slightly in February
- Lawler: Census 2010 and Excess Vacant Housing Units
- Summary for Week ending March 25th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 985 Institutions
- Liar Loan Prosecution
- Bank Failure #26 in 2011: The Bank of Commerce, Wood Dale, Illinois
- State Unemployment Rates generally unchanged in February
- Real Gross Domestic Income still below pre-recession peak
- Consumer Sentiment declines in March
- Q4 Real GDP Growth revised up to 3.1%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
- S&P Cuts Sovereign Credit Rating of Portugal
- Census 2010: Housing Occupancy State data released
- Fed to Hold Quarterly Press Conferences
- Freddie Mac eliminates option to foreclosure in the name of MERS
- Report: Portugal Bailout may be between 50 billion and 70 billion euros
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 382,000
- Misc: Portugal, Participation Rate, Japan and More
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased slightly in January
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales Fall to Record Low in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases slightly
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased slightly in February
- Ireland and Portugal
- Lawler: On Census Housing Stock/Household Data
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 1.2% in January
- ATA Truck Tonnage Index declined in February
- Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey shows Expansion in March
- Europe Update
- Here comes $4 Gasoline
- Two Stories: Treasury to Begin Selling MBS Portfolio, Federal Reserve to Release Discount Window Borrowing
- Census 2010 Housing Occupancy and Vacancy Data
- Existing Home Inventory decreases 1.2% Year over Year
- February Existing Home Sales: 4.88 million SAAR, 8.6 months of supply
- Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Near Average in February
- Japan Nuclear Update
- Supply Chain Stress Test
- Schedule for Week of March 20th
- Birthday Houses
- Census 2010 Housing Vacancy Data
- Summary for Week ending March 18th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 982 Institutions
- Japan Update
- Document: FDIC Sues WaMu Execs
- Florida: 18 Percent of Homes are Vacant
- DataQuick: California Home Sales down in February
- Federal Reserve completes Analysis of 19 Largest Banks, Allows some Dividends
- Japan Nuclear Update and Libya Ceasefire
- Hotels: RevPAR up 9.2% compared to same week in 2010
- Libya Update: U.N. Approves "No Fly Zone", Strikes expected soon
- Japan Nuclear Update
- Core Measures show increase in Inflation
- Philly Fed Survey highest since January 1984
- Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization decline in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 385,000
- Japan Nuclear Update: Helicopter Water drop has started, Police water cannon on site
- Japan Nuclear Update
- Multi-Family Housing Starts and Completions
- Japan Nuclear Update
- Housing Starts decrease sharply in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- Lawler: Early Read on February Existing Home Sales
- Japan Nuclear Update: New Fire Earlier, Flames no longer visible
- February LA Port Traffic: Exports weak year-over-year
- FOMC Statement: No Change, "Economic recovery is on a firmer footing"
- Residential Remodeling Index shows strong increase year-over-year
- NAHB Builder Confidence increases slightly in March, Still depressed
- Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates faster growth in March
- Japan: Unable to Cool Reactor, High risk of elevated levels of radiation
- Japan Update: Another Explosion
- "Another missed opportunity for Europe?"
- Crisis Fatigue? Make a list
- Misc Morning Update
- Japan Update
- FOMC Preview
- Schedule for Week of March 13th
- Japan Update
- Summary for Week ending March 11th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 964 Institutions
- Report: "Eurozone debt deal struck"
- Bank Failure #24 in 2011: The First National Bank of Davis, Davis, Oklahoma
- Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
- Portugal Bailout Speculation
- BLS: Job Openings decline in January, Low Labor Turnover
- Consumer Sentiment declines sharply in March
- Retail Sales increased 1.0% in February
- Misc: Libya, Europe and Summary
- State Unemployment Rates generally unchanged in January
- Q4 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate assets off $6.3 trillion from peak
- CoreLogic: House Prices declined 2.5% in January, Prices at New Post-bubble low
- Trade Deficit increased in January to $46.3 billion
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 397,000
- California Realtors: Only three out of five short sale transactions close
- Research: "The flawed logic of principal reduction"
- Libya Update
- Europe Update: Ireland and Greece
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index decreases in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
- Misc: Negative Equity, Europe, Libya
- Business Cycles and Markets
- Europe: More Record Yields, S&P sees more Downgrades coming
- CoreLogic: 11.1 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q4
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in February
- Time: Top Financial Blogs
- 27 Page Mortgage Settlement Terms Document
- AAR: Rail Traffic increases in February compared to February 2010
- Downside Risks
- Greece Debt Rating Downgrade
- Update on QE2: Likely to end in June as Scheduled
- Misc: Libya, Oil and more
- Survey: Small Business hiring plans increased in February
- Schedule for Week of March 6th
- Update on Possible Mortgage Servicer Settlement
- More on Labor Force Participation Rate
- Summary for Week ending March 4th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 962 Institutions
- Misc: Oil, Gasoline, Libya
- Participation Rate Update
- Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
- Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- February Employment Report: 192,000 Jobs, 8.9% Unemployment Rate
- Misc: Fed Watch, Merle Hazard, Employment and more
- Hotels: RevPAR up 12.1% compared to same week in 2010
- Update on European Financial Crisis and Bond Yields
- Employment Situation Preview: Some Improvement, but Still Grim
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline sharply, 4-Week average below 400,000
- Update on Possible Mortgage Servicer Settlement
- Bernanke: Challenges for State and Local Governments
- Oil Prices and PCE
- Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased in December
- Fed Testimony: Surpluses Forever!
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 217,000 in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- ISM Manufacturing Index and Employment
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline slightly
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 13.44 million SAAR in February
- A few comments on the ISM Manufacturing Report
- Private Construction Spending decreases in January
- General Motors: February U.S. sales increase 22% year-over-year
- ISM Manufacturing Index increases in February
- Bernanke Senate Testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report
- Housing: Governors are not immune to the housing bust
- Home Sales: Record Percentage of Cash Buyers in California
February 2011
- Libya Updates
- Restaurant Performance Index declines in January
- Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Picks Up
- Chicago PMI Strong in February, Pending Home Sales decline in January
- Personal Income and Outlays Report for January
- Ireland to try to renegotiate bail-out terms
- Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
- Schedule for Week of February 27th
- Libya Updates: Obama calls for Gaddafi to step down, U.N. meets tomorrow
- Summary for Week ending February 25th
- Buffett on Housing
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 960 Institutions
- Big Banks Warn of Mortgage Servicer Settlement Costs
- Bank Failure #23 in 2011: Valley Community Bank, St. Charles, Illinois
- Total REO: Private Label, Banks, and "Fs"
- Fed's Yellen on Unconventional Monetary Policy and Communications
- Europe Update
- Consumer Sentiment increases in February
- Q4 real GDP growth revised down to 2.8% annualized rate
- Hotels: RevPAR up 10.2% compared to same week in 2010
- Fannie, Freddie, FHA combined REO Inventory at Record Level
- Freddie Mac reports smaller loss, Expects falling house prices, Requests $500 Million from Treasury
- Misc: Another Solid Manufacturing Survey, Mortgage Rates Fall, Libya Updates
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales decrease in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 391,000
- Report: $20 Billion Mortgage Servicer Settlement being Discussed
- ATA Truck Tonnage Index increased in January
- Real House Prices and the Unemployment Rate
- Fed's Hoenig: Financial Reform: Post Crisis?
- Existing Home Inventory increases 3.1% Year over Year
- January Existing Home Sales: 5.36 million SAAR, 7.6 months of supply
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows no change in January
- House Prices: Price-to-rent, Price-to-median Household Income
- FHA: REO inventory up 47% over last year
- Misc: Shiller says house prices could fall 15% to 25%, Solid Manufacturing Survey, Libya Updates
- Real House Prices fall to 2000 Levels, Update on NAR Overstating Sales
- Case-Shiller: National Home Prices Are Close to the 2009Q1 Trough
- Survey: Sales of Distressed Homes increased in January
- $100 Oil
- When will the Fed raise rates?
- Libya Update
- Europe: ECB Lending Spike due to Irish Banks and other topics
- Libya Update
- The "Curse of Negative Equity"
- Summary for Week ending February 19th
- Middle East Update
- Report: FDIC plans to sue former WaMu execs for over $1 Billion
- Schedule for Week of February 20th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 951 Institutions
- Bank Failure #22 for 2011: San Luis Trust Bank, FSB, San Luis Obispo, California
- Bank Failure #21 for 2011: Charter Oak Bank, Napa, California
- Bank Failure #20 in 2011: Effingham, Springfield, Georgia
- Bank Failure #19 in 2011: Habersham Bank, Clarkesville, Georgia
- Residential Remodeling Index
- Europe Update
- LA Port Traffic in January
- Bernanke on Global Imbalances
- OCC's Walsh on Foreclosure Issues and MERS
- The NAR Reponds to Questions of Overstating Sales
- Hotel Occupancy Rate: Hotels Struggling in 2011
- MBA: Loans in Foreclosure Tie All-Time Record, fewer Short-term Delinquencies
- Core Measures show increase in Inflation
- Philly Fed Survey highest since January 2004
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 410,000
- Two more stories on Mortgage Servicer Enforcement Action
- Report: Mortgage Servicers to receive Enforcement Orders in March, Fines Likely
- Lawler: Early Read on January Existing Home Sales
- FOMC Minutes: GDP Forecast Revised Up
- Multi-family Housing Starts and Completions
- Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization decrease slightly in January
- Housing Starts increase in January
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
- Bernanke: Hoocoodanode?
- Home Buying: A Return to 20% Down Payments?
- CoreLogic: NAR’s 2010 existing home sales are overstated by 15% to 20%
- SoCal: Weak Home Sales, Record Low New Home Sales
- Update on Option ARMs
- NAHB Builder Confidence unchanged in February
- Retail Sales increased 0.3% in January
- Middle East Update
- Distressed House Sales: Highest since early 2009 using Sacramento data
- SF Fed: What Is the New Normal Unemployment Rate?
- NY Fed Q4 Report on Household Debt and Credit
- Leonhardt: Seattle’s Foreseeable Housing Bust
- Housing: For many cities "another season of pain"
- FOMC Minutes Preview
- Summary for Week ending February 12th
- Commentary for the Week
- Schedule for Week of February 13th
- Participation Rate Update
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 944 Institutions
- Fed's Raskin: No improvement in Mortgage Servicer operational performance
- Bank Failure #18 in 2011: Canyon National Bank, Palm Springs, California
- Bank Failure #17: Badger State Bank, Cassville, WI
- Bank Failures #15 & 16 in 2011: Florida and Michigan
- Options for the Long-Term Structure of Housing Finance
- Mubarak Resigns
- Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in February
- Trade Deficit increased in December
- Comments on Ranking Economic Data
- Mubarak Staying, Will delegate power to VP
- Lists: Ranking Economic Data
- Reports: Mubarak to Step Down
- RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Increases slightly in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declined to 383,000
- CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased slightly in December
- NY Fed's Brian Sack: Implementing the Federal Reserve’s Asset Purchase Program
- Reuters: WikiLeaks BofA Documents a "Dud"?
- I come to praise Bernanke
- Bernanke Testimony before House Budget Committee at 10 AM
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index decreases slightly in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease as Rates Jump
- Fannie Freddie Report may be released by Friday
- A Dab of Color: Transportation
- AAR: Rail Traffic increases in January
- Fed's Lockhart on Inflation
- CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.8% in December
- BLS: Job Openings decline in December, Labor Turnover still Low
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in January
- Housing: Increase in Cash Buyers
- Daily Color: Years to Absorb Excess Housing Units
- Consumer Credit increases in December
- LPS: Overall mortgage delinquencies declined in 2010
- Lawler: Housing Vacancy Survey appears to massively overstate number of vacant housing units
- Repeat: Color Commentary
- Recession Measures
- Summary for Week ending February 5th
- Jim the Realtor is assigned a "premium" REO
- Schedule for Week of Feb 6th
- NMHC Quarterly Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten
- Color Commentary for the Week
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 946 Institutions
- Bank Failure #14 for 2011: Community First Bank – Chicago
- Bank Failures #12 & 13 for 2011
- Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
- Daily Color: Two Employment Surveys, Different Results
- Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- January Employment Report: 36,000 Jobs, 9.0% Unemployment Rate
- Norris: From 1983, Hope for Jobs in 2011
- Report on Egypt: A Plan for Mubarak’s Exit
- European Bond Spreads Update
- Employment Situation: A Lighter Shade of Gray
- Fed Chairman Bernanke: The Economic Outlook and Macroeconomic Policies
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index showed expansion in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 415,000
- Misc: Egypt, Europe and More
- Lawler: How Many Folks Have “Lost Their Homes” to Foreclosure/Short Sales/DILs?
- Daily Color: D-List Data
- Egypt Update
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 187,000 in January
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
- Report: 46% of Mortgage Refis are 'Cash in'
- Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline slightly
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 12.62 million SAAR in January
- Economic Outlook and Daily Summary
- Private Construction Spending decreases in December
- General Motors: January U.S. sales increase 22% year-over-year
- ISM Manufacturing Index increases in January
- Q4 Investment: Office, Mall, Lodging and Residential Components
- Restaurant Performance Index Shows Expansion in December
- Auto Sales to Disappoint?
January 2011
- QE2 Speculation and Summary
- Fed: Little Change in Lending Standards in January Loan Officer Survey, Outlook "more upbeat"
- Chicago PMI Strong, Dallas Fed Index Weak
- Q4 2010: Homeownership Rate Falls to 1998 Levels
- Personal Income and Outlays Report for December
- Inflation in China
- Egypt Updates
- BLS Employment Revisions on Feb 4th
- Summary for Week ending January 29th
- Some misc links: Egypt, Oil, China GDP
- Update: Revisions to Existing Home Sales
- Schedule for Week of January 30th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 949 Institutions
- ATA Truck Tonnage Index increased in December
- Late Night: Egypt
- Bank Failure #11 for 2011: First Community Bank, Taos, New Mexico
- Bank Failure #10 for 2011: FirsTier Bank, Louisville, Colorado
- Report: Mubarak announces he is dismissing the government
- Lawler: Downward Revisions Coming to Existing Home Sales?
- Egypt Update
- Residential Investment near record low as Percent of GDP
- Advance Report: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 3.2% in Q4
- Update: Coming Existing Home Sales Revisions
- Update on Egypt, Yemen
- Merle Hazard on Germany
- Hotels: RevPAR up 9.3% compared to same week in 2010
- Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission report
- Misc: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Foreclosures Spread, Japan Downgrade and more
- Pending Home Sales index increases 2% in December
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase sharply to 454,000
- Merle Hazard on Italy
- New Home Inventory by Stage of Construction
- FOMC Statement: No change
- Home Sales: Distressing Gap
- New Home Sales increase in December
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications lowest since last October
- Preview: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Report
- SOTU 2011 9 PM ET
- Housing: What Generation Y Wants
- State Unemployment Rates: The Decline from Recession Maximum
- House Prices and Months-of-Supply, and Real House Prices
- Misc: State Unemployment Rates, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey, Consumer Confidence
- Case-Shiller: U.S. Home Prices Keep Weakening as Eight Cities Reach New Lows in November
- Report: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission has referred multiple cases for possible prosecution
- Political Grandstanding
- Regarding the FOMC: How long is an "Extended Period"?
- Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased 0.6% in November
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased in November
- Survey: Sales of Distressed Homes increased in December
- Housing Bust and Mobility
- FOMC Preview
- Summary for Week ending January 22nd
- Schedule for Week of January 23rd
- EU's Juncker: Not Taboo for Greece and others to buy-back debt
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 937 Institutions
- Report: Fannie-Freddie Report to be released mid-February
- Bank Failure #7 for 2011: United Western Bank, Denver, Colorado
- Bank Failure #4 to #6 in 2011
- Europe: Merle Hazard on PBS Next Week
- Hotels: RevPAR up 7.6% compared to same week in 2010
- A hint of good employment news?
- BofA: $1.2 Billion Q4 Loss
- Leonhardt: The Deficit We Want
- Market Update
- Comments on the Philly Fed Survey
- Existing Home Inventory increases 8.4% Year-over-Year in December
- December Existing Home Sales: 5.28 million SAAR, 8.1 months of supply
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 404,000
- Europe Update
- DataQuick: SoCal Homes Sales increase in December
- Summary on Multi-Family Theme
- Record Low Housing Completions in 2010
- Housing Starts Decline in December
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application decline in latest survey
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index highest since December 2007
- LA Port Traffic in December
- NAHB Builder Confidence Graph
- Apartments: "Consensus has a high price"
- NMHC: Is the recovery real for apartments?
- NAHB Builder Confidence Remains Unchanged In January
- NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Index shows "conditions improved" in January
- Update: NMHC Apartment Conference
- EU finance ministers call for increase in EFSF
- Hotels: RevPAR up 7.8% compared to same week in 2010
- Another State Budget Update
- Spain: "I Live Here Alone"
- CoStar: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined in November
- Summary for Week ending January 15th
- State and Local Budget Update
- Hamilton: Historical Oil Shocks
- Schedule for Week of January 16th
- Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 933 Institutions
- FOMC 2005 Transcripts: 'Flip That House' as Bubble Sign
- Bank Failure #3 for 2011: Oglethorpe Bank, Brunswick, Georgia
- The FOMC Debates the Housing Bubble in 2005
- Fed's Rosengren: Two Key Questions about the Economic Recovery
- Core measures of inflation increase in December
- Consumer Sentiment declines in January
- Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization increased in December
- Retail Sales increased 0.6% in December
- Report: Near Failure of Citigroup in 2008
- Banks Walking Away from Houses in Chicago
- Europe: More "Successful" Auctions, Trichet comments on inflation
- Fed Chairman Bernanke and FDIC Chair Bair on CNBC
- Record Foreclosure activity in 2010
- Trade Deficit declined slightly in November
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 445,000
- Jim the Realtor: REO Tour
- NAHB Forecast: Single Family Starts to increase 21% in 2011
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity continued to expand moderately"
- State and Local Update: Illinois
- Update on Portugal Bond Auction
- MBA: Mortgage Refinance activity increases, Purchase Application activity declines
- Another Busy Day
- Europe Update: Portugal Bond Auction Wednesday
- BLS: Job Openings steady in November, Labor Turnover still Low
- AAR: Rail Traffic increases in December
- CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.6% in November
- Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increases in December
- NFIB: Small Business Optimism index declines slightly in December
- Lower Wages for workers who lost jobs
- More Europe: Portugal, Belgium and Spain
- Lawler: Early Read on December Existing Home Sales
- Fed's Lockhart: Sustainable Growth despite Headwinds
- A comment on the Baltic Dry Index
- Europe Update
- China Reports Smaller Trade Surplus for December
- Europe Update: Portugal
- California Governor calls for tax extensions, spending cuts
- Summary for Week ending January 8th
- Two stories: Europe and Foreclosures
- Commercial Real Estate Delinquencies Rising
- Schedule for Week of January 9th
- Seasonal Retail Hiring: Rebound in 2010
- Unofficial Problem Bank list at 932 Institutions
- Oil Prices Update
- Bank Failure #2 for 2011: Legacy Bank, Scottsdale, Arizona
- Bank Failure #1 for 2011: First Commercial Bank of Florida, Orlando, Florida
- Employment: The Declining Participation Rate
- Massachusetts court voids Foreclosures
- Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
- December Employment Report: 103,000 Jobs, 9.4% Unemployment Rate
- Housing Bust: The New Declining Cities
- Survey: Small Business Hiring Likely to Improve in 2011
- Employment Report Preview
- EU Proposes Bank Failure Plan, European Bond Spreads Increase
- Hotels: RevPAR up 6.6% compared to same week in 2010
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 4-Week Average declines
- Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rates decline in Q4
- Some background on Gene Sperling
- The Brighter Outlook
- European Bond Yields
- Reis: Strip Mall Vacancy rates steady in Q4
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Index showed expansion in December
- ADP: Private Employment increased by 297,000 in December
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity still low
- Largest Condo Project in Northwest goes back to Lenders
- U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 12.55 million SAAR in December
- FOMC Minutes: Economic improvement "not sufficient" for QE2 changes
- General Motors: December U.S. sales increase 7.5% year-over-year
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate steady in Q4
- House Prices: More Pessimistic Views
- Consumer Bankruptcy Filings increase 9% in 2010
- Restaurant Performance Index slips in November
- Question #2 for 2011: Residential Investment
- Private Construction Spending increases in November
- ISM Manufacturing Index increases in December
- State and Local Government budget cuts: A 2011 Theme
- Krugman: Deep Hole Economics
- WSJ: Key to Real-Estate Rebound
- Question #3 for 2011: Delinquencies and Distressed house sales
- Summary for Week ending January 1st
- 2007: Tanta breaks down the MSM Barrier
- What about those Option ARMs?
- Schedule for Week of January 2, 2011
- Happy New Year!
- Evening Reading