The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2011

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2011 2,030

December 2011

  1. Schedule for Week of Jan 1, 2012
  2. Summary for Week Ending December 30th
  3. Merkel: "Will do everything to strengthen the euro"
  4. Question #9 for 2012: Inflation
  5. Hotels: Occupancy Rate back to pre-recession levels
  6. Restaurant Performance Index increased in November
  7. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates: Slight increase for Freddie in November
  8. Gasoline Prices and Brent WTI Spread
  9. Labor Force Participation: The Kids are Alright Part 2
  10. Kansas City Fed manufacturing index "eased slightly" in December
  11. Misc: Chicago PMI at 62.5, Pending Home Sales increase
  12. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 381,000
  13. A Pickup for Housing in 2012?
  14. Existing Home Inventory declines 18% year-over-year in December
  15. Question #10 for 2012: Monetary Policy
  16. Italian bond yields decline
  17. Lawler: Completed Foreclosure Sales in 2011 to Fall Well Below 2010 Levels
  18. Treasury: China not a currency manipulator, however "movement of the RMB is insufficient"
  19. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 2.3% in October
  20. Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
  21. Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in October (seasonally adjusted)
  22. Case-Shiller: House Prices decline in October
  23. WSJ: "Slowing Inflation Cheers Fed"
  24. Private Investment and the Business Cycle
  25. WaPo: "Falling home values mean budget crunches for cities"
  26. Germany's Schaeuble pushes for Financial Transaction Tax
  27. Happy Holidays!
  28. Interview with Stand Up economist Yoram Bauman
  29. Schedule for Week of Dec 25th
  30. Summary for Week Ending December 23rd
  31. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 973 institutions
  32. Mortgage Settlement Update: Some details, Deal to be announced in January "at the earliest"
  33. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  34. New Home Sales increase in November to 315,000 SAAR
  35. Personal Income increased 0.1% in November, Spending increased 0.1%
  36. Reports: Fed could signal near zero rates into 2014, House ready to pass payroll tax cut extension
  37. More House Price Indexes show price declines in October
  38. Chicago Fed: Economic activity index declined in November
  39. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increase in November
  40. Final December Consumer Sentiment at 69.9
  41. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 364,000
  42. ATA Trucking Index increased 0.3% in November
  43. Lawler: The NAR “benchmark revision story” is not over!
  44. Impact of NAR Revisions on GDP
  45. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in November
  46. Existing Home Sales Revisions
  47. Existing Home Sales in November: 4.42 million SAAR, 7.0 months of supply
  48. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory remains at 1.6 million units
  49. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index decreases, Mortgage rates at low for year
  50. Europe Update
  51. Housing Analysis: Bull and Bear
  52. A comment on Existing Home Sales revisions
  53. State Unemployment Rates "generally lower" in November
  54. Multi-family Starts and Completions, Record Low Total Completions in 2011
  55. Housing Starts increase in November
  56. Credit Stress Indicators
  57. ECB Warns on Risks
  58. Q3 2011: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
  59. NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in December
  60. Residential Remodeling Index at new high in October
  61. Sunday Night Futures
  62. Financial Times interview with ECB president Mario Draghi
  63. Ten Economic Questions for 2012
  64. State Budget Cuts: Nearing the End?
  65. Inland Empire: Unemployment Rate now declining
  66. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 974 institutions
  67. Schedule for Week of Dec 18th
  68. Summary for Week ending Dec 16th
  69. Report: Deal reached on two month extension of Payroll Tax Cut
  70. Bank Failure #92 in 2011: Western National Bank, Phoenix, Arizona
  71. Bank Failure #91 in 2011: Premier Community Bank of the Emerald Coast
  72. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales: Given the Benchmark Revision, a “Challenge”
  73. Europe Update
  74. Key Measures of Inflation mostly slow in November
  75. LA area Port Traffic declines year-over-year in November
  76. BLS: CPI Unchanged in November
  77. Report: Deal near on spending bill, payroll tax cut extension
  78. Lawler on FHA: Slow Pace of Conveyances, Solid Sales Pushes SF Inventory to Lowest Level since mid-2008
  79. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 3.2% year-over-year
  80. Empire State and Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes show improvement in December
  81. Industrial Production decreased 0.2% in November, Capacity Utilization decreased
  82. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 366,000
  83. The American Community Survey and Total Housing Units
  84. Reports: Iowa AG says Mortgage Settlement by Christmas, Final issue is selection of monitor
  85. Europe: More Bad News
  86. Fed: Household Debt Service Ratio back to 1994 levels, Mortgage financial obligations remain elevated
  87. The Excess Vacant Housing Supply
  88. MBA: "Refinance Applications Increase as Rates Drop to 2011 Lows"
  89. DataQuick on SoCal: November Home Sales Rise
  90. Update: MF Global
  91. Lawler on NAR Revisions for 2007 through 2011
  92. FOMC Statement:: Economy expanding "moderately", Global growth slowing
  93. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 0.1% in November
  94. BLS: Job Openings "essentially unchanged" in October
  95. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in November
  96. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in November
  97. A little better GDP Growth in Q4
  98. NAR: Downward Revisions for 2007 to 2011 Home Sales and Inventory to be released on Dec 21st
  99. Jobs needed to reach 8% unemployment rate by November 2012
  100. MF Global and Rehypothecation
  101. European Bond Yields rising
  102. Sunday Night Futures
  103. Wolfgang Münchau: "The crisis goes on"
  104. Hamilton: "More on those secret Federal Reserve loans to banks"
  105. FOMC Preview: No Changes Expected
  106. Music: Econoparody Holiday Sampler
  107. Schedule for Week of Dec 11th
  108. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 977 institutions
  109. Summary for Week ending Dec 9th
  110. Bank Donates foreclosed home to homeless agency
  111. Europe Friday
  112. AAR: Rail Traffic increased in November
  113. Consumer Sentiment increases in December
  114. Trade Deficit declines in October
  115. Europe Friday: Over promise, Under Deliver Again?
  116. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for November
  117. Labor Force Participation Rate: The Kids are Alright
  118. Q3 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth declines $2.4 Trillion in Q3
  119. Europe: ECB cuts rates, Adopts further "non-standard measures"
  120. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 381,000
  121. FT: "We cannot afford another half-baked solution"
  122. Labor Force Participation Rate by Age Group
  123. Europe Update
  124. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
  125. Mortgage Settlement Update: California and Nevada join forces
  126. Lawler on "Real Estate Investors, the Leverage Cycle, and the Housing Crisis"
  127. Financial Times: EU negotiators prepare "Bazooka"
  128. Fed Chairman responds to "inaccurate" Bloomberg article
  129. CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.3% in October
  130. Existing Home Inventory declines 17.5% year-over-year in early December
  131. FT Alphaville: Post-euro currency values
  132. Research: New paper on the role of investors in the housing bubble
  133. LPS: House Price Index Shows 1.2 Percent decline in September
  134. Fed's Evans on "Forward Guidance"
  135. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in November
  136. Europe: More Austerity, Planning for "fiscal union"
  137. WSJ: New Fed Communication Strategy
  138. Another Key Week for Europe
  139. Comments on the Employment-Population Ratio
  140. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 3.4% year-over-year, "full recovery still far away"
  141. Rare Sighting: A New Mall
  142. Schedule for Week of Dec 4th
  143. Summary for Week ending Dec 2nd
  144. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 980 institutions
  145. Homebuilder understatement of the day
  146. Survey: Small Business hiring picking up
  147. Seasonal Retail Hiring, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  148. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  149. November Employment Report: 120,000 Jobs, 8.6% Unemployment Rate
  150. Europe: Hints of a Deal
  151. Employment Situation Preview: Better, but still Weak
  152. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.6 million SAAR in November, Highest since Aug 2009
  153. Construction Spending increased in October
  154. LPS: Mortgages In Foreclosure Process at an All-Time High
  155. ISM Manufacturing index indicates slightly faster expansion in November
  156. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 402,000
  157. China's stop-and-go measures

November 2011

  1. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates mostly unchanged in October
  2. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased at a slow to moderate pace"
  3. Restaurant Performance Index "essentially unchanged" in October
  4. Misc: Chicago PMI increases to 62.6, Pending Home Sales increase
  5. ADP: Private Employment increased 206,000 in November
  6. Report: Payroll Tax Cut extension is likely
  7. Preparing for the end of the Euro
  8. Europe: EFSF viewed as insufficient, Greece to receive aid payment
  9. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increase in October
  10. Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
  11. CoreLogic: 10.7 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q3
  12. Case Shiller: Home Prices decline in September
  13. NY Times: "Crisis in Europe Tightens Credit Across the Globe"
  14. Visible Existing Home Inventory declines 17% year-over-year in November
  15. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey shows contraction in November
  16. New Home Prices: Average Lowest since 2003
  17. NY Fed Q3 Report on Household Debt and Credit
  18. New Home Sales in October: 307,000 SAAR
  19. OECD: Euro zone in recession
  20. Sunday Night Futures
  21. Wolfgang Münchau: "Only days to avoid collapse" of eurozone, Currency Market prepares for breakup
  22. Report: Payroll tax cut extension is likely
  23. Tim Duy: "Europe Scrambles for Solutions"
  24. Report: Black Friday sales up 7%
  25. Report:: Euro-zone considering bilateral agreements for fiscal integration
  26. Schedule for Week of Nov 27th
  27. Summary for Week Ending Nov 25th
  28. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 980 institutions
  29. Gasoline Prices and Brent WTI Spread
  30. S&P cuts Belgium's credit rating to AA
  31. Italian two-year Bond Yields above 7.8%
  32. More Europe
  33. Happy Thanksgiving!
  34. Europe: On the Strasbourg meeting today
  35. Thanksgiving morning reading: Mostly Europe
  36. Zillow Forecast for Case-Shiller House Price Index
  37. Real House Prices using Fed Reserve Stress Test Scenario
  38. Europe: Italian 2 year yields above 7%, Belgian yields up sharply
  39. Misc: Kansas City Fed manufacturing index shows sluggish growth, Auto sales expected to increase
  40. Final November Consumer Sentiment at 64.1
  41. Personal Income increased 0.4% in October, Spending increased 0.1%
  42. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 393,000
  43. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
  44. Mortgage Servicer Settlement Update
  45. FDIC-insured institutions’ 1-4 Family Real Estate Owned (REO) decreased in Q3
  46. Fed outlines new bank supervisory stress test
  47. ATA Trucking Index increased 0.5% in October
  48. FOMC Minutes: Discussion of providing "likely future path of the target federal funds rate"
  49. State Unemployment Rates "little changed or slightly lower" in October
  50. Richmond Fed: Manufacturing activity stabilized in November
  51. Q3 real GDP growth revised down to 2.0% annualized rate
  52. WSJ: BofA warned by regulators
  53. Housekeeping: New CR iPad Layout
  54. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 1.4% in September
  55. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 1.5% in September
  56. Existing Home Sales: More on Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  57. Existing Home Sales in October: 4.97 million SAAR, 8.0 months of supply
  58. Chicago Fed: Economic activity up slightly in October
  59. Europe Update
  60. A few comments on the expected NAR existing home sales revisions
  61. Report: Not so Super committee to admit defeat as soon as Monday
  62. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 977 Institutions
  63. Lawler: Household Growth by Age Group: 2010 – 2015 “Conservative” Forecasts
  64. Schedule for Week of Nov 20th
  65. Summary for Week Ending Nov 18th
  66. Europe Update
  67. Bank Failures #89 & 90: Iowa and Louisiana
  68. Lawler: Early Read on October Existing Home Sales
  69. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
  70. The recovery in U.S. Heavy Truck Sales, and a forecast for November Auto Sales
  71. Credit Stress Indicators
  72. LA Port Traffic in October: Exports increase year-over-year, Imports down
  73. Multi-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
  74. Q3 MBA National Delinquency Survey: Comments and State Data
  75. Philly Fed: "Regional manufacturing is expanding, but at a slow pace"
  76. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies decline slightly in Q3
  77. Housing Starts decline slightly in October
  78. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: Four Week average falls under 400,000
  79. Research: How Household Debt Contributes to Unemployment
  80. Europe: European Bond Yields and more Debate on ECB
  81. Rate of increase slows for Key Measures of Inflation in October
  82. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in October
  83. NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in November
  84. Industrial Production increased 0.7% in October, Capacity Utilization increased
  85. Residential Remodeling Index at new high in September
  86. HARP Updates
  87. DataQuick: SoCal October Home Sales decline
  88. Lawler on FHA MMIF Actuarial Review for FY 2011
  89. Misc: Empire Manufacturing survey improves, Farmland Prices "surge"
  90. European Bond Yields Rising as Euro zone economy slows
  91. HUD report on FHA Financial Status
  92. Retail Sales increased 0.5% in October
  93. State by state exports to Europe
  94. Schedule Update: MBA's 3rd Quarter 2011 National Delinquency Survey will be released Thursday
  95. SF Fed: Recession odds in 2012 are greater than 50% due to European Crisis
  96. Europe: Italian and Spanish bond yields rising
  97. LPS: House Price Index Shows 3.8 Percent Year-Over-Year Decline in August
  98. Europe: Italian bond auction, Merkel calls for "New Europe"
  99. "Animal McMansion": Another use for vacant homes
  100. Italy: Mario Monti premier-designate
  101. Downside Risks
  102. Vegas goes to Pot
  103. Greece: New Boss, same as the Old Boss?
  104. Berlusconi Resigns
  105. Schedule for Week of Nov 13th
  106. Summary for Week Ending Nov 11th
  107. Update on NAR revisions
  108. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 981 Institutions
  109. Lawler: D.R. Horton: Orders Up Modestly, Margins Down a Bit on Rising Costs
  110. If Europe is in a recession, how about the U.S.?
  111. Consumer Sentiment increases in November
  112. European Bond Yields: Italian yields decline, Spanish yields rise
  113. Europe Update
  114. Bank Failure #88: Community Bank of Rockmart, Rockmart, Georgia
  115. Mortgage Rates and Refinance Index
  116. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Hits 7-Month High in October
  117. Trade Deficit declines in September as Exports increase
  118. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 390,000
  119. Italian Update: Bond yields decline
  120. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for October
  121. Lawler: SF REO Inventories at Fannie, Freddie, PLS, and a “Guess” at FHA
  122. Europe
  123. Housing: REO and Mortgage Delinquencies
  124. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 1.1% in October
  125. Italian Bond Yields hit 7.4%
  126. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
  127. Greek Politics
  128. Fannie, Freddie and FHA REO Inventory declines in Q3
  129. Las Vegas: 100,000 foreclosures and counting
  130. Europe Update
  131. BLS: Job Openings increase in September
  132. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in October
  133. Foreclosure Filings Slow Sharply in Nevada after new Law takes Effect
  134. Econoparody: "In the Greek Midwinter"
  135. Visible Existing Home Inventory declines 16% year-over-year in early November
  136. Fed: Banks Tighten Lending Standards to Banks and Firms with European Exposures
  137. Italy: 10 Year bond yields continue to increase
  138. CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.1% in September
  139. Sluggish Growth and Payroll Employment
  140. Sunday Night Futures
  141. MERS Update: Multidistrict litigation decision
  142. Report: Greek Government Agrees to Coalition Deal
  143. Retail: Seasonal Hiring vs. Retail Sales
  144. Greece Update
  145. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 985 Institutions
  146. AAR: Rail Traffic increases in October
  147. Schedule for Week of Nov 6th
  148. Summary for Week Ending Nov 4th
  149. A Recent Rarity: Forecast upgrades
  150. Bank Failures #86 & 87: Utah and Nebraska
  151. Report on Greece: Papandreou to Stand Down, Venizelos to Form Government, Elections in February
  152. Greek Confidence Vote Resources
  153. Construction Employment: Down in October, up slightly in 2011
  154. Seasonal Retail Hiring, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  155. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  156. October Employment Report: 80,000 Jobs, 9.0% Unemployment Rate
  157. Thursday Night Futures: Jobs, jobs, jobs ... and Greece
  158. Survey: Small Business Owners report small reduction in employment, hiring plans slightly positive
  159. Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
  160. Freddie Mac REO and Mortgage Rates
  161. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in October
  162. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline below 400,000
  163. Bernanke on Income inequality
  164. Greek Referendum will be on staying in the Euro
  165. A few comments on the Bernanke Press Briefing
  166. Bernanke Press Briefing 2:15 PM ET
  167. FOMC Statement: No change, "economic growth strengthened somewhat"
  168. HVS: Q3 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  169. ADP: Private Employment increased 110,000 in October
  170. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased slightly
  171. Greece: Who knows?
  172. LPS: Foreclosure timelines increase, Mortgage delinquency rate declines slightly in September
  173. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.26 million SAAR in October, Highest since Aug 2009
  174. Preliminary Vehicle Sales for October
  175. Construction Spending increased slightly in September
  176. ISM Manufacturing index indicates slower expansion in October
  177. Greece Update
  178. Gasoline Price Update

October 2011

  1. Europe: Greece to Hold Referendum on Debt Deal in December or January
  2. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates mixed in September
  3. Restaurant Performance Index increased in September
  4. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey shows sluggish expansion
  5. Chicago PMI at 58.4, down from 60.4 in September
  6. Mario Draghi takes over at ECB tomorrow, FT Cartoon
  7. Sunday Night Futures: Japan Intervenes in foreign-exchange
  8. Recovery Measures
  9. FOMC Meeting Preview
  10. Visible Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year in October
  11. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 985 Institutions
  12. Lawler to Census on Housing Data: "Splainin" Needed Not Just on Vacancy Rate
  13. Schedule for Week of Oct 30th
  14. Summary for Week ending Oct 28th
  15. Friday Evening Reading on Europe
  16. Bank Failure #85: All American Bank, Des Plaines, Illinois
  17. Report: Mortgage Settlement deal could be reached within a month
  18. Q3 2011 Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
  19. Consumer Sentiment increases in October, still very weak
  20. Personal Income increased 0.1% in September, Spending increased 0.6%
  21. California Gov. Jerry Brown proposes State Pension Changes
  22. Strong Auto Sales growth seen in October
  23. Misc: Fannie/Freddie Investor REO Buying, Pending Home Sales down, Kansas City Manufacturing edges higher
  24. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten Slightly in Recent Survey
  25. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 4% year-over-year
  26. GDP slightly above pre-recession peak, Investment Contributions
  27. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly
  28. Advance Estimate: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 2.5% in Q3
  29. Euro Summit Statement
  30. Pres. Van Rompuy: Agreement on a comprehensive package reached
  31. Europe: After Midnight
  32. Misc: COLA and Graphs
  33. Euro Watch
  34. House Sales: Distressing Gap and New Graph Gallery
  35. New Home Sales increase in September to 313,000
  36. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased slightly
  37. Europe: Confusion and Uncertainty
  38. ATA Trucking Index increased 1.6% in September
  39. Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
  40. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increase in September
  41. Misc: Richmond Fed, FHFA House Prices decline, Consumer Confidence down
  42. Case Shiller: Home Prices increased Seasonally in August
  43. Report: Negotiators ask Greek debt holders to take 60% cut in face value of bonds
  44. More on HARP and Housing
  45. A few comments on the HARP Refinance Program changes
  46. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.7% in August compared to August 2010
  47. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased 2.4% in August
  48. NY Fed President Dudley: More action needed to stabilize the housing sector
  49. Chicago Fed: Economic activity improved in September
  50. WSJ: Details on New FHFA Refinance Program, No LTV Limit, Eliminate appraisals
  51. Housing: Zillow forecast for Case-Shiller, FHFA Refinance Plan and a Rumor
  52. Merkel: No Decisions Today, Announcement expected Wednesday
  53. Report: European Banks need to raise €108bn in new capital
  54. Europe Update
  55. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 976 Institutions
  56. Schedule for Week of Oct 23rd
  57. Summary for Week ending Oct 21st
  58. Report: Analysts not optimistic about new FHFA Refinance Plan
  59. Bank Failure #84: Community Banks of Colorado, Greenwood Village, CO
  60. Bank Failures #81 - 83: Georgia and Florida
  61. Financial Times: Possible 60% haircuts for Greek debt
  62. Misc: Solid Auto Sales seen in October, Merrill Lynch ups GDP Forecast
  63. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in September
  64. Europe: Finance Ministers expected to approve aid for Greece, Most Major Decisions Delayed
  65. Fed Officials discuss buying more MBS, Bernanke talks with Senators
  66. House Price Indexes show price declines in August
  67. Builders to deliver record low number of housing units in 2011
  68. Sarkozy: 2nd European Leader Summit to Adopt Plan
  69. Philly Fed Survey shows Expansion, Existing Home Sales NSA Graph
  70. Existing Home Sales in September: 4.91 million SAAR, 8.5 months of supply
  71. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 4-Week average lowest since April
  72. Europe Update: Prepare to be underwhelmed
  73. LA Port Traffic in September: Exports increase year-over-year, Imports Down
  74. Merle Hazard: "Diamond Jim"
  75. Fed's Beige Book: Pace of economic growth "modest" or "slight""
  76. Rate of increase slows for Key Measures of Inflation in September
  77. AIA: Architecture Billings Index declined in September
  78. 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment approximately 3.6% increase
  79. Housing Starts increased in September
  80. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index at Lowest Level Since 1996
  81. Countdown to Euroday Oct 23rd: Another wild day
  82. Housing: A comment on Shadow Inventory
  83. Housing: A comment on Builder Confidence
  84. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Activity Back Up
  85. Bernanke: Effects of the Great Recession on Central Bank Doctrine and Practice
  86. NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in October
  87. Report: Lenders Approving more Short Sales
  88. Mortgage Settlement Update: A Refinance Plan for Certain borrowers with Negative Equity
  89. Fed's Evans suggests raising inflation target until unemployment falls below 7%
  90. SoCal: LA Office Vacancy Rates increase, Rents Fall
  91. Countdown to Euroday Oct 23rd: Lowering Expectations
  92. Residential Remodeling Index at new high in August
  93. Industrial Production increased 0.2% in September, Capacity Utilization increased slightly
  94. NY Fed: Empire State general business conditions index "little changed" in October
  95. Report: Homes for sale inventory at lowest level since at least 2007
  96. Europe: Clock is ticking, Officials try to ratchet back expectations
  97. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 979 Institutions
  98. Lawler: For Seriously-Troubled Loans: A Call to ARMs
  99. Europe Update: Eight Days to Save Europe
  100. Schedule for Week of Oct 16th
  101. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September
  102. Summary for Week Ending Oct 14th
  103. Stand-up economist Yoram Bauman on Chinese Housing
  104. Bank Failure #80: Country Bank, Aledo, Illinois
  105. Bank Failures #77 through 79: In Georgia, North Carolina and New Jersey
  106. Misc: Market and Foreclosure Auction
  107. See-Saw Economy or a Series of Shocks?
  108. Consumer Sentiment declines in October
  109. Retail Sales increased 1.1% in September
  110. Europe: Spain debt downgraded, Deadline for European Banks to raise capital
  111. DataQuick: SoCal Home sales increase slightly year-over-year in Sept
  112. European Bond Spreads and Interbank Lending
  113. Hotels: Occupancy Rate shows slight year-over-year increase
  114. Misc: Mortgage Rates increase, Foreclosure Activity declines in September
  115. Trade Deficit unchanged at $45.6 billion in August
  116. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 404,000
  117. Ireland: “mortgage to rent” scheme proposed
  118. Europe Update: Slovakia clears hurdle on EFSF, More Capital for Banks, Leverage for EFSF?
  119. Lawler: Existing Home Foreclosures and Short Sale percentages for a few areas
  120. FOMC Minutes: "Considerable uncertainty surrounding the outlook for a gradual pickup in economic growth"
  121. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in August
  122. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declined in September
  123. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increases in Latest Survey
  124. Jim the Realtor: "Market is a buzz"
  125. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data
  126. Report: Foreclosure starts declined in September
  127. Las Vegas Home Sales stay strong in September due to investor buying
  128. Europe: EC, IMF, ECB says aid likely for Greece, Slovakia votes on EFSF
  129. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in September
  130. Tim Duy: Too Early to Sound the All Clear?
  131. Misc: Market and more on Household Income
  132. EU Leaders delay summit until Sunday Oct 23rd
  133. Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year in October
  134. Study: Real Median Household Income kept falling even after the recession ended
  135. Sunday Night Futures
  136. Report: Merkel, Sarkozy Reach General Agreement on Bank Recapitalization
  137. Europe Update: Merkel and Sarkozy are meeting today
  138. Construction Employment
  139. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 983 Institutions
  140. Schedule for Week of Oct 9th
  141. Summary for Week Ending Oct 7th
  142. Friday Night Europe
  143. Bank Failures #75 & 76 in 2011
  144. AAR: Rail Traffic increases in September
  145. Europe, again ...
  146. Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  147. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  148. September Employment Report: 103,000 Jobs, 9.1% Unemployment Rate
  149. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rates increased in Q3
  150. Survey: Small Business Owners report reduction in employment, hiring plans slightly positive
  151. Misc: Solid Retail Sales, Rail Traffic increases, ECB, Protests
  152. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates below 4%
  153. CoreLogic: Home Price Index declined 0.4% in August
  154. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 401,000
  155. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 5.6% in Q3
  156. Open Thread
  157. Europe Update: New Stress Tests and Bank Recapitalisation
  158. Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
  159. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in September
  160. ADP: Private Employment increased 91,000 in September
  161. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index Decreased in Latest Survey
  162. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q3 to 17.4%
  163. Consumer Bankruptcy filings down 10 percent through Q3
  164. Market Update: Almost a new bear
  165. Goldman puts U.S. recession probability at 40% in 2012
  166. Bernanke Testimony: "Economic Outlook and Recent Monetary Policy Actions"
  167. Europe: Aid to Greece Delayed
  168. Unofficial Problem Bank List Quarterly Transition Matrix
  169. LPS: Foreclosure Starts increased in August, Seriously Delinquent Mortgage Loans fall to 2008 levels
  170. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.1 million SAAR in September
  171. Europe Update
  172. Construction Spending increased in August
  173. ISM Manufacturing index increases in September
  174. Chrysler: U.S. September sales increase 27% year-over-year
  175. Sunday Night: Europe and Futures
  176. Greece to cut 30,000 public sector jobs, miss deficit targets
  177. A few preliminary comments on the September Employment Report
  178. Update on Gasoline Prices
  179. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 986 Institutions
  180. Schedule for Week of Oct 2nd
  181. Summary for Week Ending Sept 30th
  182. Real Estate Agent Tracker Tool

September 2011

  1. Bank Failure #74 in 2011: First International Bank, Plano, TX
  2. Mortgage Settlement Update: California Drops Out of Talks
  3. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline in August
  4. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 4.1 percent compared to same week in 2010
  5. Restaurant Performance Index declined in August
  6. September Consumer Sentiment increases to 59.4, Chicago PMI fairly strong
  7. Personal Income decreased 0.1% in August, Spending increased 0.2%
  8. Misc: Foreclosure "Closer", One in Five Modifications Redefault and More
  9. Freddie Mac: Record Low Mortgage Rates
  10. Employment: Comment on preliminary annual benchmark revision
  11. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity expands "modestly" in September
  12. Misc: GDP revised up, Employment to be revised up, Germany approves EFSF changes, Pending Home sales decline
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline sharply to 391,000
  14. Treasury: Mortgage loan fraud suspicious activity reports increased in Q2, Most occurred during bubble
  15. Lawler: Best Guess for August Pending Home Sales
  16. Europe Update
  17. Fed's Rosengren: Housing and Economic Recovery
  18. Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year in September
  19. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increases
  20. Europe Update: Nothing Settled Yet
  21. ATA Trucking Index decreased slightly in August
  22. Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
  23. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory Declines to 1.6 million units
  24. Case Shiller: Home Prices increased Seasonally in July
  25. Merkel: Germany will help stabilize Greece
  26. Europe: A few key dates
  27. On Pace for Record Low New Home Sales in 2011
  28. Report: Plan to increase European Bank Capital
  29. Misc: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey picks up, Home Sales Distressing Gap
  30. New Home Sales decline slightly in August
  31. Chicago Fed: Economic activity weakened in August
  32. Europe Update: Merkel says "Barrier" around Greece Needed
  33. Update on Gasoline Prices
  34. Bank Failures per Week in 2011
  35. Report: Six Week deadline to Prepare New European Plan
  36. Report: Germany and France Open to New Proposal
  37. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 986 Institutions
  38. Schedule for Week of Sept 25th
  39. Summary for Week Ending Sept 23rd
  40. Mortgage Refinancing increasing as Mortgage Rates Fall
  41. Bank Failure #73: Citizens Bank of Northern California, Nevada City, CA
  42. Bank Failure #72: Bank of the Commonwealth, Norfolk, VA
  43. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 2.5% in July compared to July 2010
  44. Misc: Europe, Auto Sales
  45. NY Fed's Dudley: Financial Stability and Economic Growth
  46. Mortgage Settlement Update
  47. Morning Greece: Bank Downgrades, Default Rumor Denied, G20 Statement
  48. Fed Study: Lack of Home equity and underwriting changes limited Refinancing in 2010
  49. House Price Indexes show smaller price increases in July
  50. Europe Update: Greek Austerity, EU to recapitalise 16 banks
  51. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased in July
  52. Misc: Low Mortgage Rates, Leading Indicators indicate weak growth, FHFA reports house prices increase in July
  53. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 423,000
  54. Misc: Possible Refinance Boom, Update to Reinhart and Rogoff paper
  55. Will there be another Refinance Boom?
  56. FOMC Statement: Extend Maturities, Reinvest in agency mortgage-backed securities
  57. Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
  58. Existing Home Sales in August: 5.0 million SAAR, 8.5 months of supply
  59. AIA: Architecture Billings Index Turns Positive
  60. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index declines, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  61. Report on Greece: European Commission said “good progress” was made
  62. Europe Update
  63. Multi-family Starts and Completions, Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  64. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes Decline in August
  65. Housing Starts decline in August
  66. Europe: Greece Officials Optimistic, Italy's Credit Rating Downgraded
  67. Lawler on August Existing Home Sales: Regional Reports Point to Above-Consensus Gain
  68. Greece: Conference Call with EU and IMF has started
  69. "The bigger the loan, the longer to foreclose"
  70. NAHB Builder Confidence index declines slightly in September
  71. Residential Remodeling Index at new high in July
  72. Greece, again
  73. FOMC Preview
  74. Bank Deposits increase Sharply
  75. Repeat: Sovereign Debt Series
  76. Europe Update: Little Progress
  77. Schedule for Week of Sept 18th
  78. Summary for Week ending Sept 16th
  79. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 984 Institutions
  80. Poll: Debt Ceiling impacted confidence similar to 9/11 and Katrina
  81. Q2 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate assets off $6.6 trillion from peak
  82. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in August
  83. Preliminary September Consumer Sentiment increases slightly to 57.8
  84. Update on EU Finance Ministers Meeting
  85. Misc: Record Low Mortgage Rates, Foreclosure Activity Up Sharply
  86. Report: Geithner to Propose using EFSF like TALF
  87. Early Look: 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment on track for 3.5% increase
  88. Key Measures of Inflation increase in August
  89. Philly Fed Survey: "Manufacturing activity is continuing to contract, but declines are less widespread"
  90. Industrial Production increased 0.2% in August, Capacity Utilization increases slightly
  91. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 428,000
  92. First September Surveys
  93. Europe Update: German and France back Greece and much more
  94. DataQuick: SoCal August Home Sales Climb
  95. Households Doubling Up and Housing
  96. LA Port Traffic in August: Imports decline
  97. Retail Sales flat in August
  98. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increases, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  99. Misc: Household Income declines, Poverty increases, Austerity leads to contraction
  100. Europe Update
  101. Olick: "Huge Surge in Bank of America Foreclosures"
  102. CoreLogic: 10.9 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q2
  103. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declined in August
  104. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in August
  105. Greece Update
  106. U.S. motorists on pace to spend record amount on gasoline this year
  107. Market Update
  108. Vehicle Sales: Fleet Turnover Ratio
  109. Europe: Greek 2 Year Yield hits 64%
  110. Sunday Night: Europe and Futures
  111. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data
  112. Greece Government announces new property tax
  113. A Day of Remembrance
  114. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 986 Institutions
  115. Greece Update
  116. Schedule for Week of Sept 11th
  117. Summary for Week ending Sept 9th
  118. Greece: Articles on financial crisis
  119. Bank Failure #71 in 2011: The First National Bank of Florida, Milton, Florida
  120. G7 communique: "Central Banks stand ready to provide liquidity as required"
  121. Misc: Market, Existing Home Sales forecast, ECB's Stark resigns, MERS
  122. AAR: Rail Traffic mixed in August
  123. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 6.6% compared to same week in 2010
  124. Europe: Greece Update
  125. The American Jobs Act
  126. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August
  127. President Obama's Job Speech: 7:00 PM ET
  128. WSJ: Greece's Recession Deepens
  129. Bernanke: Inflation not "ingrained in the economy"
  130. Mortgage Rates fall to Record Low
  131. Trade Deficit decreased sharply in July
  132. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 414,000
  133. WSJ: Fed Prepares to Act
  134. CBO: An Evaluation of Large-Scale Mortgage Refinancing Programs
  135. Fed's Williams: Downside Risks and Temporary Factors
  136. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity continued to expand at a modest pace"
  137. Fed's Evans on the Fed's Dual Mandate
  138. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in July
  139. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index near 15 Year Low
  140. Mansori: Swiss FAQs
  141. Market Snapshot
  142. Existing Home Inventory continues to decline year-over-year
  143. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in August
  144. Swiss National Bank sets minimum exchange rate
  145. Monday Night Futures and Europe
  146. Labor Day: Few Labor Stories
  147. Construction Employment Update
  148. Europe: Service Sector Slows, Stocks Fall, Bond Yields move higher
  149. Europe Update
  150. Weekly Schedule and Graph Galleries
  151. Survey: Small Business Hiring Plans increased in August
  152. Mansori: The Transatlantic Cash Flow
  153. Update: Labor Force Participation Rate by Age
  154. Schedule for Week of September 4th
  155. Summary for Week Ending September 2nd
  156. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 987 Institutions
  157. Bank Failures #69 & 70: Two more Georgia Banks
  158. FHFA Sues 17 Firms to Recover Losses to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
  159. Europe Update: Greek Bond Yields move Sharply Higher
  160. Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  161. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  162. August Employment Report: 0 Jobs (unchanged), 9.1% Unemployment Rate
  163. Misc: Jobs, Greek Bailout, REO and More
  164. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 12.12 million SAAR in August
  165. Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
  166. Construction Spending declined in July
  167. ISM Manufacturing index declines slightly to 50.6
  168. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 409,000
  169. Misc: Germany economy "resilient", GDP per capita

August 2011

  1. Lawler: Census 2010: Homeownership Rates by Selected Age Groups
  2. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates mostly unchanged in July
  3. Restaurant Performance Index declined in July
  4. CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.8% in July
  5. ADP: Private Employment increased 91,000 in August
  6. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Activity "near 15-year lows"
  7. LPS: Average Loan in Foreclosure Is Delinquent for Record 599 Days
  8. Recession Measures
  9. FOMC Minutes: Discussed Options for additional monetary accommodation
  10. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
  11. Case Shiller: Home Prices increased in June
  12. House Price Preview
  13. HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 14.1% Year-over-year in August
  14. Europe Update: Finland and Germany discussing Bailout for Greece
  15. Texas Manufacturing Activity "Flat" in August
  16. Pending Home Sales decreased in July
  17. Personal Income increased 0.3% in July, Spending increased 0.8%
  18. NY Times: Headwinds for the Big Banks
  19. FDIC-insured institutions’ Real Estate Owned (REO) decreased in Q2
  20. Report: Major Exchanges Expect to Open Monday
  21. IMF's Lagarde: European banks need "urgent recapitalization"
  22. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 988 Institutions
  23. Schedule for Week of Aug 28th
  24. Summary for Week Ending August 26th
  25. A few articles on Bernanke's Speech
  26. Real Gross Domestic Income above Pre-Recession Peak
  27. Hurricane Tracking Resources
  28. Analysis: Bernanke highlights September FOMC meeting, Suggests more Fiscal Stimulus
  29. Bernanke: The Near- and Longer-Term Prospects for the U.S. Economy
  30. Final August Consumer Sentiment at 55.7, Down Sharply from July
  31. Q2 real GDP growth revised down to 1.0% annualized rate
  32. Misc: Friday and Greece
  33. Update on Q2 REO Inventory
  34. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.1 Percent compared to same week in 2010
  35. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity expands "modestly" in August
  36. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 417,000
  37. Possible Housing Proposals: New Refinance Plan and Rental Program
  38. More Europe: Banks increase ECB borrowing, France Austerity
  39. FHFA Introduces Expanded House Price Index
  40. Europe Update: Greek Bond Yields Surge
  41. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Activity at Lowest Level Since 1996
  42. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased -1.4% in June compared to June 2010
  43. ATA Trucking index decreased 1.3% in July
  44. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes for July
  45. Misc: Richmond Fed, FDIC Problem Banks, Home Sales Distressing Gap
  46. New Home Sales in July at 298,000 Annual Rate
  47. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
  48. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased in June
  49. Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Range and Current
  50. Research: Aging Population will probably lower Stock Market P/E Ratio
  51. MBA Delinquency Survey: Comments and State Data
  52. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies increased slightly in Q2
  53. Chicago Fed: Economic growth below trend in July
  54. Libya Updates
  55. New Song: Split-Rated
  56. Some preliminary thoughts on Bernanke's 2011 Jackson Hole Speech
  57. Update on Gasoline Prices
  58. The New Retirement Plan: No Retirement
  59. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 984 Institutions
  60. Schedule for Week of Aug 21st
  61. Summary for Week ending August 19th
  62. More downward revisions to economic forecasts
  63. Bank Failure #68: First Choice Bank, Geneva, Illinois
  64. Bank Failure #67: First Southern National Bank, Statesboro, Georgia
  65. Bank Failure #66: Lydian Private Bank, Palm Beach, Florida
  66. On Track for Record Low Housing Completions in 2011
  67. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in July
  68. Europe Update: More Bank Funding Concerns
  69. Key Measures of Inflation in July
  70. Bank Failure #65: On a Thursday?
  71. Early Read: 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment on track for 3%+ increase
  72. Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
  73. Philly Fed Survey: "Regional manufacturing activity has dipped significantly"
  74. Existing Home Sales in July: 4.67 million SAAR, 9.4 months of supply
  75. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 408,000
  76. Report: U.S. Investigating S&P Ratings of Mortgages
  77. Chicago Fed: Midwest Farmland Values Soar
  78. New Resource for Tracking Home Sales
  79. Mortgage Refinance Activity Graph
  80. AIA: Architecture Billings Index Drops for Fifth Straight Month
  81. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity Increases, Purchase Activity Declines "Sharply"
  82. Europe Update
  83. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
  84. Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  85. Multi-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
  86. Industrial Production increased 0.9% in July, Capacity Utilization increases
  87. Housing Starts decline slightly in July
  88. Misc: Europe and Summary
  89. Lawler Forecast: Existing Home Sales may "dip" in July
  90. LA Port Traffic in July
  91. DataQuick on SoCal: Lowest July Home Sales in Four Years
  92. NY Fed Q2 Report on Household Debt and Credit
  93. NAHB Builder Confidence index unchanged in August, Still Depressed
  94. Residential Remodeling Index at new high in June
  95. Empire State Survey indicates contraction
  96. Sunday Night Misc: Europe, Japan, Futures
  97. Event Driven Declines in Consumer Sentiment
  98. Hamilton: Economic consequences of recent oil price changes
  99. Quote of the Day: "If you don't have the demand, you don't hire the people"
  100. White House Debates Doing Little or Nothing
  101. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 988 Institutions
  102. Schedule for Week of August 14th
  103. Summary for Week Ending August 12th
  104. Comparisons to Japan
  105. Bank Failure #64 in 2011: First National Bank of Olathe, Olathe, Kansas
  106. Misc: Market and Italy
  107. Appeals Court Rules failure to properly disclose teaser rate for Option ARM might constitute Fraud
  108. Consumer Sentiment declines sharply in August
  109. Retail Sales increased 0.5% in July
  110. Gasoline Prices expected to decline sharply
  111. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
  112. Misc: Dow up 400+, S&P 500 up 4.6%
  113. U.S. Births Decline in 2010
  114. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 1.4 Percent compared to same week in 2010
  115. Trade Deficit increased in June
  116. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 395,000
  117. Misc: France, Futures and More
  118. FHFA, Treasury, HUD Seek Input on Disposition of REOs
  119. Dow Down 500+, S&P 500 down 4.4%
  120. HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 13.3% Year-over-year in mid-August
  121. The QE3 Watch
  122. BLS: Job Openings "essentially unchanged" in June
  123. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index decreased slightly in July
  124. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase Significantly
  125. Update: ECB Bond Buying
  126. Dow up 420+, S&P up 4.7%
  127. FOMC Statement: "exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through mid-2013"
  128. FOMC Meeting Thoughts
  129. Freddie Mac Seriously Delinquent Loans and REO by Selected States
  130. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in July
  131. Monday Night Futures
  132. Q2 REO Inventory Estimate
  133. Dow Down 600+, S&P 500 down 6.66%
  134. FOMC Preview
  135. Misc: Market Sell-Off, Obama to Speak at 1 PM, S&P announces more downgrades
  136. ECB Italian and Spanish Bond Buying Begins
  137. Sunday Night Futures
  138. G7 Statement
  139. ECB Considering "Massive" Bond Purchase, G7 Statement Later Today
  140. Mortgage Delinquencies and REOs
  141. Construction Employment Update
  142. Fannie Mae sells record number of REO in Q2
  143. Schedule for Week of August 7th
  144. Summary for Week ending August 5th
  145. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 988 Institutions
  146. AAR: Rail Traffic soft in July
  147. Bank Failure #63: Bank of Whitman, Colfax, Washington
  148. Bank Failure #62: Illinois
  149. Misc: S&P Plans U.S. Downgrade, makes math error, ECB to Buy Italian Bonds
  150. Q2 2011 Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
  151. More Employment
  152. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  153. July Employment Report: 117,000 Jobs, 9.1% Unemployment Rate
  154. Employment Situation Preview: Another Weak Report
  155. LPS: Foreclosure Starts Increased in June
  156. Dow Down 500+, S&P off 4.8%
  157. European Commission President: Crisis no longer contained to periphery
  158. NMHC Quarterly Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten
  159. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 400,000
  160. Europe Update
  161. Using Graphs and Ranking Economic Data
  162. States cutting Unemployment Insurance benefits
  163. CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.7% in June
  164. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in July
  165. ADP: Private Employment increased 114,000 in July
  166. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, But Still Low
  167. Misc: Europe is a Mess, House For Sale Listings Decline
  168. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 12.23 million Annual Rate in July
  169. FHA sells record number of REO in June
  170. Recession Measures
  171. Personal Income less Transfer Payments Revised Down Sharply
  172. Personal Income increased 0.1% in June, PCE decreased 0.2%
  173. A "Run to the Bank"
  174. Misc: Fiscal Drag, House Vote, Stall Speed?
  175. The Economic Drag
  176. Construction Spending increased in June
  177. ISM Manufacturing index declines in July
  178. Housing: The Missing Move-up Buyer
  179. Sunday Night Futures

July 2011

  1. Another Debt Ceiling Update
  2. Problem Banks: Comparing Official and Unofficial Counts
  3. Debt Ceiling Update
  4. Restaurant Performance Index increases in June
  5. Next Senate Vote at 1 PM ET Sunday
  6. Random Thoughts
  7. Schedule for Week of July 31st
  8. Summary for Week ending July 29th
  9. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 995 Institutions
  10. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline in June
  11. Bank Failure #61: Integra Bank, National Association, Evansville, Indiana
  12. Bank Failures #59 & 60 in 2011: Virginia and South Carolina
  13. HVS: Q2 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  14. GDP: Investment Contributions
  15. Real GDP still below Pre-Recession Peak, Chicago PMI declines, Consumer Sentiment Weak
  16. Advance Estimate: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 1.3% in Q2
  17. Debt Ceiling Charade impacting Short-Term Credit Markets
  18. Housing Starts: Impact of Changes in Household Size
  19. Fed's Williams: The Economic Outlook
  20. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity slows in July
  21. Pending Home Sales increase in June
  22. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 398,000
  23. HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 11.1% Year-over-year in July
  24. Rumor: NAR Considering Introducing Repeat Sales Index
  25. Fed's Beige Book: "Pace of economic growth has moderated"
  26. Europe Update
  27. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index Lowest Since February
  28. Mortgage Servicer Settlement Update
  29. ATA Trucking index increased 2.8% in June
  30. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  31. Update: Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
  32. New Home Sales in June at 312,000 Annual Rate
  33. Case Shiller: Home Prices increase in May
  34. Busy Day Tomorrow: Case-Shiller and New Home Sales
  35. Update on Europe
  36. Be careful with the Housing Vacancies and Homeownership report
  37. Surowiecki: Smash the Ceiling
  38. Texas Manufacturing Activity Picks Up in July
  39. Chicago Fed: Economic growth below average in June
  40. Subprime America?
  41. Labor Force Participation Rate Update
  42. Q2 GDP Forecasts and Revisions
  43. Debt Ceiling Charade: The Smart Options
  44. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased -1.9% in May compared to May 2010
  45. Schedule for Week of July 24th
  46. Summary for Week Ending July 22nd
  47. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 993 Institutions
  48. Reports: Government considering renting REOs, Extending Conforming Loan Limits
  49. Bank Failure #58: Bank of Choice, Greeley, Colorado
  50. Bank Failures #56 & 57 in 2011: Two banks in Florida
  51. Goldman Sachs Lowers estimate of Excess Vacant Housing Supply
  52. Mortgage Rates and Refinance Activity
  53. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in June
  54. Greece: Fitch warns of ‘selective default’
  55. Greek Default and more
  56. Other House Price Indexes
  57. European Summit Statement Approved
  58. Europe Update: Some Details, More Later
  59. Philly Fed Survey: "Regional manufacturing remained weak in July"
  60. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 418,000
  61. Report: Germany and France Agree on Greek Bailout
  62. NY Fed's Brian Sack: The SOMA Portfolio at $2.654 Trillion
  63. European Commission president: Now is the Time to Act
  64. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased in May
  65. Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
  66. Existing Home Sales in June: 4.77 million SAAR, 9.5 months of supply
  67. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates declining demand in June
  68. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity "Surges", Purchase activity flat
  69. On Track for Record Low Housing Completions in 2011
  70. DataQuick: California Mortgage Defaults lowest since 2007
  71. Report: No Plans for another Large Housing Program
  72. Multi-family Starts and Completions
  73. Housing Starts increase in June
  74. More Bidders at Foreclosure Auctions
  75. Lawler: Existing Home Sales Down in June
  76. Europe Update: Next Key Meeting on Thursday
  77. NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in July, Still Depressed
  78. Residential Remodeling Index at new high in May
  79. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
  80. U.S. Government Receipts as Percent of GDP
  81. Apartment Construction increases in Los Angeles
  82. Leonhardt: "We're Spent"
  83. HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 10.9% Year-over-year in mid-July
  84. Schedule for Week of July 17th
  85. Summary for Week Ending July 15th
  86. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 995 Institutions
  87. Debt Ceiling Charade: Almost Over
  88. Bank Failure #55: Summit Bank, Prescott, AZ
  89. Stand-up Economist Yoram Bauman on Politics and the Federal Budget
  90. Bank Failure #54: First Peoples Bank, Port Saint Lucie, FL
  91. Bank Failure #52 & 53 in 2011: Two More in Georgia
  92. Key Measures of Inflation ease in June
  93. Eight Banks Fail European Stress Tests
  94. Consumer Sentiment declines sharply in July
  95. Industrial Production increased 0.2% in June, Capacity Utilization unchanged
  96. Empire State Survey indicates contraction, Core CPI increases 0.3 percent
  97. European Stress Tests results at 12 PM ET
  98. Debt Ceiling Charade: S&P places U.S. on Credit Watch Negative, Possible Debt Deal taking shape
  99. DataQuick: Bay Area Home Sales "Surge" in June
  100. LA Area Port Traffic in June: Imports Decline
  101. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 2 Percent compared to same week in 2010
  102. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in June
  103. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 405,000
  104. Europe Update
  105. Moody's Places US Government Bond Rating on Review for Possible Downgrade
  106. Misc: Greece Downgraded, Did Bernanke shift on QE3?
  107. Bernanke Testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  108. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased in June
  109. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  110. Debt Ceiling Charade Update
  111. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales increase in June, Record Low New Home Sales
  112. Moody’s downgrades Ireland to Junk with negative outlook
  113. Seattle: The Downtown Apartment Boom
  114. BLS: Job Openings unchanged in May
  115. Trade Deficit increased sharply in May to $50.2 billion
  116. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index "basically unchanged" in June
  117. Misc: New Policy Ideas for housing being discussed, Realtor group overstates house prices
  118. Statement by the Eurogroup
  119. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
  120. More Europe
  121. AAR: Rail Traffic soft in June
  122. Europe: Bond Yields up Sharply for Italy, Greece, Ireland and Portugal
  123. Report: EU to consider Greek Default
  124. How many jobs are needed over the next year to keep the unemployment rate steady?
  125. Report: EU Calls Emergency Meeting on Monday
  126. Home Sales "Surge" in Las Vegas
  127. Schedule for Week of July 10th
  128. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 1,004 Institutions
  129. Summary for Week Ending July 8th
  130. Greece: More Discussions about Debt Reduction
  131. Bank Failure #51: Signature Bank, Windsor, Colorado
  132. Bank Failures #49 & 50 in 2011
  133. European Financial Crisis: Italy
  134. More Employment: Return of the Teen! and Unemployment by Duration and Education
  135. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  136. June Employment Report: 18,000 Jobs, 9.2% Unemployment Rate
  137. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rates increase in Q2
  138. Cost of Living and CPI-Chained
  139. European Financial Crisis: Portugal Update
  140. Employment Situation Preview: More Payroll Jobs Added, Still Weak Overall
  141. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 418,000
  142. ADP: Private Employment increased by 157,000 in June
  143. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 6% in Q2
  144. Goldman's Hatzius forecasts 125,000 payroll jobs added in June
  145. Report: $60 Billion Mortgage Servicer Settlement being Discussed
  146. Survey: Small Business Hiring in June a "Bust", but hiring plans turn positive
  147. Conforming Loan Limit Data
  148. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in June
  149. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
  150. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate flat in Q2 at 17.5 Percent
  151. Changes to Conforming Loan Limit
  152. Gasoline Prices down almost 40 cents per gallon Nationally from May Peak
  153. Orange County: Construction Employment up Year-over-year
  154. Moody’s downgrades Portugal to Junk with negative outlook
  155. Consumer Bankruptcy filings Decrease 8 Percent in First Half of 2011
  156. Greece Update: Will ECB accept temporary default?
  157. Some Employment Statistics
  158. Happy Independence Day!
  159. Greece Update: S&P says proposed Greece Debt Plan is "likely a Default"
  160. Next Deadline for Greece: Mid-September
  161. The Detroit Youth Movement
  162. NY Times: Principal Reductions for some Option ARMs
  163. Schedule for Week of July 3rd
  164. Greece Update: Loan Approved
  165. Summary for Week Ending July 1st
  166. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 1,003 Institutions and State Stress Level
  167. Lawler: Do Housing “Experts” Actually Look At All Available Data?
  168. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 11.45 million Annual Rate in June
  169. Goldman Sachs: Five Hopeful Signs for the Second Half
  170. Construction Spending declined in May
  171. ISM Manufacturing index increases in June
  172. Consumer Sentiment declines in June
  173. Greece: Next Tranche of Aid expected to be approved tomorrow
  174. Ford on Car Sales: May and June "slowest sales rates of the year"

June 2011

  1. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 2.8 percent compared to same week in 2010
  2. Restaurant Performance Index decreases in May
  3. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline in May
  4. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Manufacturing activity rebounded solidly in June
  5. CoreLogic: May Home Price Index increased 0.8%
  6. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 428,000
  7. NY Times Poll: 89% of Americans view homeownership as important part of the American dream
  8. After Foreclosure: The Bounce Back Buyers
  9. Debt Ceiling Charade Update: S&P Warns on Default
  10. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates decreased slightly in May
  11. Misc: Pending Home Sales increase, Greek Parliament Votes for Austerity
  12. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  13. BofA Settlement
  14. HousingTracker: Homes For Sale inventory down 8.5% Year-over-year in June
  15. Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Activity Stabilized in June
  16. Update: Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
  17. Case Shiller: Home Prices increase in April
  18. Greece: 48-hour general strike begins
  19. Greece Update
  20. ATA Trucking index decreased 2.3% in May
  21. Texas Manufacturing survey shows slower expansion in June
  22. Personal Income increased 0.3% in May, PCE increased less than 0.1%
  23. Sunday Night Futures
  24. Week Ahead: Better or Worse News?
  25. Greece Update: Banks to Propose Rolling over 50% of Debt
  26. Falling Gasoline Prices
  27. Schedule for Week of June 26th
  28. Summary for Week Ending June 24th
  29. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 1,001 Institutions and Transition Matrix
  30. Las Vegas: Bubble Monuments
  31. Bank Failure #48 in 2011: Mountain Heritage Bank, Clayton, Georgia
  32. NY Times: Overbuilding in Spain
  33. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.7 percent compared to same week in 2010
  34. FHA sells record number of REO in May, Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rate declines
  35. Q1 real GDP growth revised up to 1.9%, Durable-goods orders up 1.9%
  36. Greece Update and European Bond and CDS Spreads
  37. Misc: Release of Oil Reserves, Greek Agreement, another House Price index shows increase
  38. Chicago Fed: Economic growth remained below average in May
  39. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  40. New Home Sales in May at 319 Thousand SAAR
  41. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 429,000
  42. Greece: Cabinet approves Austerity, European Banks pressured to accept losses
  43. If the slowdown is temporary, when will the news flow change?
  44. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 3.7% in April, Prices at new Post-Bubble Low
  45. Bernanke Press Briefing 2:15 PM ET
  46. FOMC Statement: No Change, "Economic recovery is continuing at a moderate pace"
  47. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory Continues to Decline
  48. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  49. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates declining demand in May
  50. Irvine: Luxury Condos become Rental Apartments
  51. Misc: ARMs Comeback, Greek TV, and More
  52. Existing Home Sales: Comments and NSA Graph
  53. May Existing Home Sales: 4.81 million SAAR, 9.3 months of supply
  54. Miami Condos: Foreign Cash Buyers
  55. Greek Prime Minister Faces a confidence vote today
  56. Lawler: Closed Home Sales Down, Pending Sales Up in May
  57. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased -2.4% in April compared to April 2010
  58. Morning Greece: Deal Postponed
  59. Housing Bust Winners: Some Farmers in Illinois
  60. FOMC Meeting Preview
  61. NY Times on Backlog of Foreclosures
  62. Some Stats on Income Inequality
  63. Schedule for Week of June 19th
  64. Summary for Week Ending June 17th
  65. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 996 Institutions
  66. Here come the downgrades for Q2 GDP Growth
  67. Bank Failures #46 & 47 in 2011: Georgia and Florida
  68. Lawler: CAR vs. “Reality,” and the NAR Benchmarking
  69. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased 3.0 percent compared to same week in 2010
  70. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in May
  71. Consumer Sentiment declines in June
  72. Morning Greece: Merkel Agrees to "voluntary participation of private creditors"
  73. ECB's Trichet: Greek Default Should Be Avoided
  74. Another House Price Index shows a small gain in April
  75. Building Home Equity the Old-fashioned Way
  76. Residential Investment: Mutli-family Starts and Completions
  77. Philly Fed Survey: "Regional manufacturing activity weakened in June"
  78. Housing Starts increase in May
  79. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 414,000
  80. Misc: Q2 GDP Downgrades, Oil Prices decline, FHA REO Sales Surge
  81. May Update: 2012 Social Security Cost-Of-Living Adjustment
  82. Greece Update
  83. Core Measures of Inflation increased in May
  84. NAHB Builder Confidence index declines in June
  85. Industrial Production edged up in May, Capacity Utilization unchanged
  86. Misc: Empire State Survey indicates contraction, Inflation rate lower, French Bank Rating Reviewed
  87. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
  88. Residential Remodeling Index increases in April
  89. LA Port Traffic in May: Both Imports and Exports increased
  90. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
  91. Bernanke: "Failing to raise the debt ceiling would be self-defeating"
  92. Key Question: Is the slowdown temporary?
  93. Retail Sales declined 0.2% in May
  94. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreases in May
  95. Q1 2011: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
  96. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales Slow in May, Record Low New Home Sales
  97. Greece Downgraded Again
  98. Misc: Flippers in Sacramento, and more "Hate" for Housing
  99. Greece Update
  100. Existing Home Inventory: Data for 54 Metro Areas
  101. Freddie Mac: Very low Cash-Out Refinance Activity
  102. Hotels: Occupancy Rate increases 2.5 percent compared to same week in 2010
  103. Schedule for Week of June 12th
  104. Summary for Week Ending June 10th
  105. Unofficial Problem Bank list over 1,000 Institutions
  106. Updated List: Ranking Economic Data
  107. Saudi Arabia promises more oil production
  108. Housing: Sacramento Distressed Sales at high level in May
  109. NY Fed's Dudley expects "Economic growth will pick up in the second half of 2011"
  110. Signs of financial distress?
  111. Las Vegas Lands sells for 15 percent of 2007 price
  112. Census Bureau on Homeownership Rate: We've got “Some 'Splainin' to Do”
  113. Q1 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate assets off $6.6 trillion from peak
  114. Trade Deficit decreased to $43.7 billion in April
  115. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 427,000
  116. China: Another Year, Another Prediction of a Housing Bust
  117. Hamilton on the OPEC Announcement
  118. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity continued to expand, "some deceleration"
  119. CoreLogic House Price Graph, Real Prices, and Prices and Month-of-Supply
  120. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declines in May
  121. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  122. CoreLogic: Negative Equity by State and more
  123. Bernanke: Growth "likely to pick up" in second half
  124. AAR: Rail Traffic mixed in May
  125. BLS: Job Openings decline in April
  126. Report: 10.9 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q1
  127. Unemployment Rate and Residential Construction Growth, by State
  128. Mansori: Betting On the PIGs
  129. Lawler: Existing Home Active Listings show Big Declines in Wide Range of Metro Areas
  130. Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  131. Survey: Small Business Hiring plans turn negative
  132. More details on Greek Debt Restructuring
  133. Comparing Payroll Job Growth in 2011 to 2010
  134. Hotels: Occupancy Rate continues to recover after weak April and early May
  135. Schedule for Week of June 5th
  136. Greece Update: Creditors asked to accept longer maturities
  137. Summary for Week Ending June 3rd
  138. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 997 Institutions
  139. Bank Failure #45 in 2011: Atlantic Bank and Trust, Charleston, South Carolina
  140. Birth/Death Model and Unemployment by Duration and Education
  141. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slightly faster expansion in May
  142. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  143. May Employment Report: 54,000 Jobs, 9.1% Unemployment Rate
  144. HUD Secretary Donovan: Foreclosure Settlement in a "matter of weeks"
  145. Labor Mobility: Starting to Increase
  146. Greece Report: Agreement on New Bailout, Some Investor Participation, No "intrusive" Supervision
  147. Employment Situation Preview: Fewer Payroll Jobs Added, Grim Overall
  148. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 422,000
  149. Restaurant Performance Index indicates expansion in April
  150. Construction Spending increased 0.4% in April
  151. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 11.8 million SAAR in May
  152. CoreLogic: Home Price Index increased 0.7% between March and April
  153. General Motors: U.S. May sales decrease 1.2% year-over-year
  154. ISM Manufacturing index declines to 53.5 in May
  155. ADP: Private Employment increased by 38,000 in May
  156. MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity flat, Refinance activity declines

May 2011

  1. Lawler: Census 2010 and the US Homeownership Rate
  2. Renters and the Mini-Boom in Miami
  3. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent: Back to 1999
  4. Chicago PMI shows sharply slower growth, Manufacturing Activity Expands in Texas
  5. Case Shiller: National Home Prices Hit New Low in 2011 Q1
  6. The Excess Vacant Housing Supply
  7. Even more Negative Sentiment for Homeownership
  8. Oil and Gasoline Price Update
  9. Reports: Next Greek bailout to include external supervision
  10. ECB Official: "Orderly" Greek restructuring is a "fairy tale"
  11. San Diego: Home Builders opening more communities for sale
  12. House Prices: Will the March Case-Shiller indexes be at new post bubble lows?
  13. Arizona Lands sells for 8 percent of peak price
  14. Hotels: Occupancy Rate continues to improve after soft patch
  15. Schedule for Week of May 29th
  16. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 997 Institutions
  17. Summary for Week Ending May 27th
  18. Bank Failure #44 in 2011: First Heritage Bank, Snohomish, Washington
  19. European Bond and CDS Spreads
  20. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency Rates decline
  21. Real GDI and Personal Income less Transfer Payments still below pre-recession levels
  22. Consumer Sentiment increases in May, Pending Home Sales decline sharply
  23. Personal Income and Outlays increased 0.4% in April
  24. Economic Slowdown: Temporary or Something Worse?
  25. Lawler: Census 2010 Demographic Profile: Highlights, Excess Housing Supply Estimate, and Comparison to HVS
  26. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates increased slightly in April, Foreclosure pipeline "Bloated"
  27. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Activity was largely unchanged in May
  28. Q1 real GDP growth unrevised at 1.8% annualized rate
  29. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 424,000
  30. Misc: State Revenues increases, Gas Prices fall, GDP and Weekly Claims tomorrow
  31. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.4% in March compared to March 2010
  32. ATA Trucking index decreased 0.7% in April
  33. Debt Ceiling Charade: Vote to Fail Next Week
  34. More Negative Sentiment for Homeownership
  35. MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity increases slightly
  36. WSJ: State AGs Warn Banks of Suits if Foreclosure Settlement isn't Reached
  37. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 4.2% in March, Hit new Post-Bubble Low
  38. Lawler: FDIC-insured institutions’ Real Estate Owned (REO) decrease in Q1
  39. Misc: Home Sales Distressing Gap, Richmond Fed shows contraction, FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile
  40. New Home Sales in April at 323 Thousand SAAR, Ties Record low for April
  41. Fed Governor Duke: Recession impact on Financial Decisions
  42. Fannie, Freddie, FHA and PLS Real Estate Owned
  43. The Foreclosure Pipeline
  44. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
  45. European Woes
  46. Chicago Fed: Economic activity weakened in April
  47. NY Times: The Glut of Foreclosed Homes
  48. Survey: Gasoline prices down 9 cents over last two weeks
  49. "Dismal Start" for Auto Sales in May
  50. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 988 Institutions
  51. Walking Away in Chicago
  52. Greece Soft Restructuring Talk, and Italy Outlook Downgraded
  53. Schedule for Week of May 22nd
  54. Summary for Week Ending May 20th
  55. Bank Failure #43: Summit Bank, Burlington, Washington
  56. Bank Failures #41 & 42 in 2011: Two more in Georgia
  57. Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Before Crisis, Peak and Current (40 states)
  58. Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Before Crisis, Peak and Current
  59. State Unemployment Rates "little changed or slightly lower": in April
  60. Greece Bond Yields increase as Policymakers Disagree on Restructuring
  61. Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Percent and Number
  62. Existing Home Sales: Investors, Distressed Sales and First Time Buyers
  63. Philly Fed Survey shows "regional manufacturing activity grew slightly in May"
  64. MBA: Total Delinquencies essentially unchanged in Q1 Seasonally Adjusted
  65. April Existing Home Sales: 5.05 million SAAR, 9.2 months of supply
  66. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declines to 409,000, 4-Week average highest since November
  67. Tough Job Market for recent College Graduates
  68. Three Releases Tomorrow: Mortgage Delinquencies, Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
  69. FOMC Minutes: Exit Strategy Discussion
  70. Is REW the new MEW? (Retirement Equity Withdrawal)
  71. MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity decreases, Refinance activity increases
  72. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates declining demand in April
  73. LPS: Delinquencies edge up in April, FNC: Non-Distressed House Prices stable in March
  74. High Gasoline Prices impacting consumers
  75. Lawler: The “Excess Supply of Housing” War
  76. Mutli-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
  77. Industrial Production unchanged in April, Capacity Utilization declines slightly
  78. Housing Starts decline in April
  79. Gasoline, Oil prices decline
  80. Housing Data: Making foreclosure and default data publicly available
  81. Misc: Existing Home Sales forecast, California Revenue increase, MBA Quarterly Delinquency report
  82. Debt Ceiling: False Comparisons to 1995 / 1996
  83. NAHB Builder Confidence index unchanged at low level in May
  84. Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates slower growth in May
  85. Residential Remodeling Index increases in March
  86. The upward slope of Real House Prices
  87. Schedule for Week of May 15th
  88. Another Mortgage Refinance Wave?
  89. Final Portugal bailout terms expected Monday, maybe Greece update too
  90. More on Debt Ceiling Charade
  91. Summary for Week Ending May 13th
  92. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 983 Institutions
  93. April Update: 2012 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  94. LA Port Traffic in April: Imports increase, Exports decrease
  95. Core Measures of Inflation increased in April
  96. Consumer Sentiment increases in May
  97. Sorry for the Service Disruption
  98. More "Hate" for Homeownership
  99. Reis on Apartment, Office and Mall Trends
  100. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declines in April
  101. BLS: Job Openings increased in March, Highest since 2008
  102. Trade Deficit increased to $48.2 billion in March
  103. MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity increases, Mortgage Rates lowest in 2011
  104. Leonhardt: Rent or Buy, a Matter of Lifestyle
  105. Report: $5 Billion Mortgage Servicer Settlement being Discussed
  106. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
  107. Real CoreLogic House Price Index, and Price-to-Rent Ratio, back to 1999 Levels
  108. CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.5% in March, Prices now 4.6% below 2009 Lows
  109. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreases in April
  110. Misc: Higher Margin requirements for Oil, Sheila leaving FDIC and Greece
  111. Construction Employment Update
  112. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in April
  113. Zillow on Negative Equity: 28.4% of all single-family homes with mortgages are "underwater"
  114. NY Fed Q1 Report on Household Debt and Credit
  115. Another Downgrade for Greece
  116. WSJ: Home Market Takes a Tumble
  117. Updates on Greece and Ireland
  118. Employment: A comment on the Birth/Death Model
  119. Schedule for Week of May 8th
  120. Greece Update: "Further adjustment programme" needed, Next meeting May 16th
  121. No Surprise: Gasoline prices expected to fall sharply
  122. Summary for Week ending May 6th
  123. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 983 Institutions
  124. Total Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory declined in Q1, Fannie and Freddie REO Sales at Record Levels
  125. Bank Failure #40 in 2011: Coastal Bank, Cocoa Beach, Florida
  126. Misc: Greece, Consumer Credit, Housing Inventory
  127. Employment: A dirty little secret and more graphs
  128. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  129. April Employment Report: 244,000 Jobs, 9.0% Unemployment Rate
  130. Japan: Fukushima Daiichi Reactor Update
  131. Survey: Small Business Hiring in April "Disappointing"
  132. Lawler: Census Releases Demographic Profile of 12 States and DC: Confirms Bias of HVS
  133. NMHC Quarterly Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten
  134. Clear Capital Home Price Index shows Double Dip
  135. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims sharply higher
  136. Update on Debt Ceiling Charade
  137. Martin Marietta Materials: Residential end-use market volume grew 15% YoY
  138. Fed's Williams expects inflation to peak mid-year, "then edge back downward"
  139. ISM Indexes and BLS Payroll Employment
  140. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates sharply slower expansion in April
  141. ADP: Private Employment increased by 179,000 in April
  142. MBA: Mortgage Purchase application activity increases slightly, Mortgage Rates lowest in 2011
  143. Portugal Bailout Agreement: €78 Billion
  144. Housing: Another Price Reduction for Rhode Island Governor's Home
  145. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 13.2 million SAAR in April
  146. Lawler: Monthly Report to Commissioner Suggests Serious REO Inventory Problem at FHA
  147. General Motors: April U.S. April sales increase 26.4% year-over-year
  148. The Debt Ceiling Farce
  149. ECB Official: Extension of Greek debt maturities possible
  150. Household Formation and the "Big L"
  151. Fed: Banks more willing to make consumer loans
  152. Construction Spending increased in March
  153. ISM Manufacturing at 60.4 in April
  154. Survey: Small-Business Lending Is Increasing
  155. Late Night Thread
  156. Lower Commodity Prices?
  157. Chicago Fed: Economic Activity Improved in March
  158. Schedule for Week of May 1st

April 2011

  1. Goldman estimates 3.5 million Excess Vacant Housing Units
  2. Summary for Week ending April 29th
  3. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 984 Institutions
  4. Jim the Realtor: A Stinker REO
  5. Bank Failures #35 through #39 in 2011
  6. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates declined in March, Foreclosure pipeline "Bloated"
  7. Q1 2011 Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
  8. Restaurant Performance Index increases in March
  9. Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in April compared to March
  10. Personal Income and Outlays Report for March
  11. European Bond and CDS Spreads
  12. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline
  13. Multifamily: Rents Rising, Record low completions, Starts increasing rapidly, more "hate" for owning
  14. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey: Slower expansion in April
  15. Residential Investment and Non-Residential investment in Structures at Record Lows as Percent of GDP
  16. Advance Report: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 1.8% in Q1
  17. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase, 4-Week average over 400,000
  18. Tim Duy: Very High Bar for QE3
  19. A few takeaways from Bernanke Press Briefing
  20. Bernanke Press Briefing 2:15 PM ET
  21. FOMC Statement: No Change, "Economic recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace"
  22. Q1 2011: Homeownership Rate at 1998 Levels
  23. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  24. Bernanke Wednesday
  25. Misc: More "Hate" for Housing, Record number of homes in foreclosure process
  26. Misc: Richmond Fed shows slower expansion, ATA Trucking index increases in March
  27. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
  28. Case Shiller: Home Prices near post-bubble lows in February
  29. Greece Budget Deficit worse than forecast
  30. Study: 26 percent of renters spend over half their income on housing
  31. Timing: New Home Sales and Home Builder Reports
  32. Texas Manufacturing survey shows slower expansion in April
  33. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  34. New Home Sales in March at 300 Thousand SAAR, Record low for March
  35. March Survey: Almost half of housing market is now distressed properties
  36. Wells Fargo Forecast for New Home Sales
  37. Misc: Summary, Schedule, Residential Investment Analysis and Graphs
  38. Schedule for Week of April 24th
  39. FOMC Preview
  40. Summary for Week ending April 22nd
  41. Home Builders still see no recovery
  42. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 976 Institutions
  43. Budget Deficit: Gang of Six
  44. Another Boom in Silicon Valley
  45. Supply Chain Disruption Update
  46. Greece Update
  47. Correct Reporting and the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
  48. Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
  49. Other House Price Indexes
  50. Philly Fed Survey shows slower expansion in April
  51. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease, 4-Week average increases to 399,000
  52. More than a Lost Decade
  53. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased in February
  54. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 3.3% in February
  55. Existing Home Inventory decreases 2.1% Year over Year
  56. March Existing Home Sales: 5.10 million SAAR, 8.4 months of supply
  57. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
  58. AIA: Architecture Billings Index little changed in March
  59. Thoughts on Residential Investment Recovery
  60. Housing: On pace for Record Low Completions in 2011
  61. Housing: Feeling the Hate
  62. State Unemployment Rates little changed in March
  63. Housing Starts increase in March
  64. Jim the Realtor: Predict the Price of REO
  65. Extend and Pretend Greek Style
  66. Las Vegas adds jobs in March, first time in over 3 years
  67. A Comment on the Deficit
  68. NAHB Builder Confidence index declines slightly in April
  69. Greece Bond Yields at Record High following Default Comments
  70. Residential Remodeling Index shows strong increase year-over-year in February
  71. Quote of the Day: 15 years of house price appreciation "It's gone"
  72. Q4 2010: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
  73. Schedule for Week of April 17th
  74. Jim the Realtor: More REOs hitting Market, Half Off Sale
  75. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased slightly in February
  76. IMF: Greek Debt Unsustainable
  77. Summary for Week ending April 15th
  78. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 978 Institutions
  79. Report: Protests in Syria Gaining Momentum
  80. Bank Failure #34: Heritage Banking Group, Carthage, Mississippi
  81. Bank Failures #29 through #33 in 2011
  82. First Look at 2012 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  83. Europe Update: Ireland Downgraded, Greece to default?
  84. Core Measures show low inflation in March
  85. Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in April
  86. Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization increased in March
  87. Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates faster growth in April
  88. Office Vacancy Rates and New Deliveries for three SoCal Cities
  89. Study: Suicide Rates Rise and Fall with Economy
  90. Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
  91. LA Port Traffic: Exports increased sharply in March
  92. Renting vs. Buying at the High End
  93. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Increases in March, Down in Q1
  94. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 412,000
  95. Senate Panel on Crisis and Summary
  96. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales Still Slow, Record Low New Home Sales
  97. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales and Inventory for March
  98. Two Stories: Fed sees economic improvement, Fed releases mortgage lender enforcement actions
  99. President Obama on the Fiscal Policy: 1:35 PM ET
  100. BLS: Job Openings increase in February, Highest since 2008
  101. Retail Sales increased 0.4% in March
  102. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  103. Misc: Goldman says Q1 finished strong, Rail Car Woes
  104. Existing Home Inventory is confusing too
  105. Here come the downgrades for Q1 GDP Growth: Part III
  106. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increases in March
  107. Trade Deficit decreased in February to $45.8 billion
  108. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreases in March
  109. $4 Gasoline, Again
  110. Shameless Puff Piece
  111. Housing Starts: Vacant Units and Unemployment Rate
  112. Fed's Yellen: Inflation Transitory, will not "impede the economic recovery"
  113. Fed's Dudley: Not "enthusiastic about tightening policy too early"
  114. Softer Commodity Prices?
  115. Economic Outlook and Downside Risks
  116. Schedule for Week of April 10th
  117. Home Improvement Rebounds
  118. Fed's Yellen: Too soon to exit QE2
  119. Summary for Week ending April 8th
  120. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 982 Institutions
  121. Articles on "Budget Deal"
  122. Bank Failure #28: Nevada Commerce Bank, Las Vegas, NV
  123. Bank Failure #27 in 2011: Western Springs National Bank and Trust, Western Springs, Illinois
  124. Five Hours until possible Government Shutdown
  125. AAR: Rail Traffic increases in March
  126. Refinance Activity and Mortgage Rates
  127. CNBC: McConnell says Budget Deal Near
  128. Europe Update: Austerity in Portugal, Bank Stress Test concerns in Germany
  129. Mortgage Lenders lay off workers as refinance activity declines rapidly
  130. House Prices: Nominal, Real, Price-to-Rent
  131. Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
  132. Reis: Mall Vacancy rates increase in Q1
  133. CoreLogic: House Prices declined 2.7% in February, Prices now 4.1% below 2009 Lows
  134. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 382,000
  135. Forecast: Rising Rents to slow House Price Declines
  136. Portugal to ask for Bailout
  137. Budgets and Political Grandstanding
  138. Construction Employment Outlook Update
  139. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rates fell sharply in Q1, Lowest in almost three years
  140. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases ahead of FHA fee increase
  141. A QE Timeline
  142. When will Office Investment increase?
  143. FOMC Minutes: Some Disagreement, Worry about Oil Prices, No Tapering of QE2
  144. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in March
  145. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q1
  146. Bernanke in Q&A: "Inflation will be transitory"
  147. Bernanke: Clearinghouses, Financial Stability, and Financial Reform
  148. Consumer Bankruptcy filings decrease in Q1 2011
  149. Homebuilder to Buy Distressed Homes and Rent Them
  150. Follow-up: Governors not immune to the housing bust
  151. Las Vegas: Commercial Property Vacancy Rates Increase in Q1
  152. 60 Minutes on ForeclosureGate
  153. Labor Force Participation Rate Update
  154. Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Employment Diffusion Indexes
  155. Schedule for Week of April 3rd
  156. Catching up: Construction Spending declined in February
  157. Survey: Small Businesses add Jobs for Second Consecutive Month
  158. Summary for Week ending April 1st
  159. Unofficial Problem Bank List at 985 Institutions, Correction for Capitol Bancorp
  160. FHFA: Where the Conforming Loan Limit Might Fall on October 1
  161. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 13.1 million SAAR in March
  162. Misc: Autos, ISM Manufacturing, NY Fed's Dudley
  163. Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  164. March Employment Report: 216,000 Jobs, 8.8% Unemployment Rate
  165. Restaurant Performance Index increases in February

March 2011

  1. Irish Bank Stress Tests and European Bond Spreads
  2. Employment Situation Preview: More Jobs, but still Grim
  3. Kansas City Manufacturing Survey at Record High, Chicago PMI Strong in March
  4. Ireland: Stress Test Results to be released at 11:30 AM ET
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 388,000
  6. Irish Finance Minister: Bank stress test results of "major significance"
  7. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline slightly
  8. Lawler: The “Shrill Cry” from Lobbyists on QRM
  9. A comment on Regional Fed Talk
  10. CoreLogic: Shadow Inventory Declines Slightly
  11. ADP: Private Employment increased by 201,000 in March
  12. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases slightly
  13. Here come the downgrades for Q1 GDP Growth: Part II
  14. State and Local tax revenue increases in 2010
  15. Proposed New Mortgage Lending Rules
  16. Philly Fed February State Coincident Indexes
  17. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent
  18. Case Shiller: Home Prices Off to a Dismal Start in 2011
  19. Sports Stadium bonds in trouble?
  20. Neutron Loans hit California City
  21. Personal Saving Rate and Income less Transfer Payments
  22. Here come the downgrades for Q1 GDP Growth
  23. Texas Manufacturing Activity Strengthens Further, Pending Home sales increase in February
  24. Personal Income and Outlays Report for February
  25. Ireland Update: Stress Tests, New ECB Liquidity Facility, and ... bondholder haircuts?
  26. Japan Nuclear Update
  27. Schedule for Week of March 27th
  28. LPS: Overall mortgage delinquencies declined slightly in February
  29. Lawler: Census 2010 and Excess Vacant Housing Units
  30. Summary for Week ending March 25th
  31. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 985 Institutions
  32. Liar Loan Prosecution
  33. Bank Failure #26 in 2011: The Bank of Commerce, Wood Dale, Illinois
  34. State Unemployment Rates generally unchanged in February
  35. Real Gross Domestic Income still below pre-recession peak
  36. Consumer Sentiment declines in March
  37. Q4 Real GDP Growth revised up to 3.1%
  38. Hotels: Occupancy Rate improves in Latest Survey
  39. S&P Cuts Sovereign Credit Rating of Portugal
  40. Census 2010: Housing Occupancy State data released
  41. Fed to Hold Quarterly Press Conferences
  42. Freddie Mac eliminates option to foreclosure in the name of MERS
  43. Report: Portugal Bailout may be between 50 billion and 70 billion euros
  44. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 382,000
  45. Misc: Portugal, Participation Rate, Japan and More
  46. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased slightly in January
  47. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  48. New Home Sales Fall to Record Low in February
  49. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases slightly
  50. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased slightly in February
  51. Ireland and Portugal
  52. Lawler: On Census Housing Stock/Household Data
  53. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined 1.2% in January
  54. ATA Truck Tonnage Index declined in February
  55. Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey shows Expansion in March
  56. Europe Update
  57. Here comes $4 Gasoline
  58. Two Stories: Treasury to Begin Selling MBS Portfolio, Federal Reserve to Release Discount Window Borrowing
  59. Census 2010 Housing Occupancy and Vacancy Data
  60. Existing Home Inventory decreases 1.2% Year over Year
  61. February Existing Home Sales: 4.88 million SAAR, 8.6 months of supply
  62. Chicago Fed: Economic Growth Near Average in February
  63. Japan Nuclear Update
  64. Supply Chain Stress Test
  65. Schedule for Week of March 20th
  66. Birthday Houses
  67. Census 2010 Housing Vacancy Data
  68. Summary for Week ending March 18th
  69. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 982 Institutions
  70. Japan Update
  71. Document: FDIC Sues WaMu Execs
  72. Florida: 18 Percent of Homes are Vacant
  73. DataQuick: California Home Sales down in February
  74. Federal Reserve completes Analysis of 19 Largest Banks, Allows some Dividends
  75. Japan Nuclear Update and Libya Ceasefire
  76. Hotels: RevPAR up 9.2% compared to same week in 2010
  77. Libya Update: U.N. Approves "No Fly Zone", Strikes expected soon
  78. Japan Nuclear Update
  79. Core Measures show increase in Inflation
  80. Philly Fed Survey highest since January 1984
  81. Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization decline in February
  82. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 385,000
  83. Japan Nuclear Update: Helicopter Water drop has started, Police water cannon on site
  84. Japan Nuclear Update
  85. Multi-Family Housing Starts and Completions
  86. Japan Nuclear Update
  87. Housing Starts decrease sharply in February
  88. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  89. Lawler: Early Read on February Existing Home Sales
  90. Japan Nuclear Update: New Fire Earlier, Flames no longer visible
  91. February LA Port Traffic: Exports weak year-over-year
  92. FOMC Statement: No Change, "Economic recovery is on a firmer footing"
  93. Residential Remodeling Index shows strong increase year-over-year
  94. NAHB Builder Confidence increases slightly in March, Still depressed
  95. Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates faster growth in March
  96. Japan: Unable to Cool Reactor, High risk of elevated levels of radiation
  97. Japan Update: Another Explosion
  98. "Another missed opportunity for Europe?"
  99. Crisis Fatigue? Make a list
  100. Misc Morning Update
  101. Japan Update
  102. FOMC Preview
  103. Schedule for Week of March 13th
  104. Japan Update
  105. Summary for Week ending March 11th
  106. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 964 Institutions
  107. Report: "Eurozone debt deal struck"
  108. Bank Failure #24 in 2011: The First National Bank of Davis, Davis, Oklahoma
  109. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento data
  110. Portugal Bailout Speculation
  111. BLS: Job Openings decline in January, Low Labor Turnover
  112. Consumer Sentiment declines sharply in March
  113. Retail Sales increased 1.0% in February
  114. Misc: Libya, Europe and Summary
  115. State Unemployment Rates generally unchanged in January
  116. Q4 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate assets off $6.3 trillion from peak
  117. CoreLogic: House Prices declined 2.5% in January, Prices at New Post-bubble low
  118. Trade Deficit increased in January to $46.3 billion
  119. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 397,000
  120. California Realtors: Only three out of five short sale transactions close
  121. Research: "The flawed logic of principal reduction"
  122. Libya Update
  123. Europe Update: Ireland and Greece
  124. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index decreases in February
  125. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
  126. Misc: Negative Equity, Europe, Libya
  127. Business Cycles and Markets
  128. Europe: More Record Yields, S&P sees more Downgrades coming
  129. CoreLogic: 11.1 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q4
  130. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in February
  131. Time: Top Financial Blogs
  132. 27 Page Mortgage Settlement Terms Document
  133. AAR: Rail Traffic increases in February compared to February 2010
  134. Downside Risks
  135. Greece Debt Rating Downgrade
  136. Update on QE2: Likely to end in June as Scheduled
  137. Misc: Libya, Oil and more
  138. Survey: Small Business hiring plans increased in February
  139. Schedule for Week of March 6th
  140. Update on Possible Mortgage Servicer Settlement
  141. More on Labor Force Participation Rate
  142. Summary for Week ending March 4th
  143. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 962 Institutions
  144. Misc: Oil, Gasoline, Libya
  145. Participation Rate Update
  146. Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
  147. Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  148. February Employment Report: 192,000 Jobs, 8.9% Unemployment Rate
  149. Misc: Fed Watch, Merle Hazard, Employment and more
  150. Hotels: RevPAR up 12.1% compared to same week in 2010
  151. Update on European Financial Crisis and Bond Yields
  152. Employment Situation Preview: Some Improvement, but Still Grim
  153. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in February
  154. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline sharply, 4-Week average below 400,000
  155. Update on Possible Mortgage Servicer Settlement
  156. Bernanke: Challenges for State and Local Governments
  157. Oil Prices and PCE
  158. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity continued to expand at a modest to moderate pace
  159. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased in December
  160. Fed Testimony: Surpluses Forever!
  161. ADP: Private Employment increased by 217,000 in February
  162. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  163. ISM Manufacturing Index and Employment
  164. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline slightly
  165. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 13.44 million SAAR in February
  166. A few comments on the ISM Manufacturing Report
  167. Private Construction Spending decreases in January
  168. General Motors: February U.S. sales increase 22% year-over-year
  169. ISM Manufacturing Index increases in February
  170. Bernanke Senate Testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report
  171. Housing: Governors are not immune to the housing bust
  172. Home Sales: Record Percentage of Cash Buyers in California

February 2011

  1. Libya Updates
  2. Restaurant Performance Index declines in January
  3. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Picks Up
  4. Chicago PMI Strong in February, Pending Home Sales decline in January
  5. Personal Income and Outlays Report for January
  6. Ireland to try to renegotiate bail-out terms
  7. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  8. Schedule for Week of February 27th
  9. Libya Updates: Obama calls for Gaddafi to step down, U.N. meets tomorrow
  10. Summary for Week ending February 25th
  11. Buffett on Housing
  12. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 960 Institutions
  13. Big Banks Warn of Mortgage Servicer Settlement Costs
  14. Bank Failure #23 in 2011: Valley Community Bank, St. Charles, Illinois
  15. Total REO: Private Label, Banks, and "Fs"
  16. Fed's Yellen on Unconventional Monetary Policy and Communications
  17. Europe Update
  18. Consumer Sentiment increases in February
  19. Q4 real GDP growth revised down to 2.8% annualized rate
  20. Hotels: RevPAR up 10.2% compared to same week in 2010
  21. Fannie, Freddie, FHA combined REO Inventory at Record Level
  22. Freddie Mac reports smaller loss, Expects falling house prices, Requests $500 Million from Treasury
  23. Misc: Another Solid Manufacturing Survey, Mortgage Rates Fall, Libya Updates
  24. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  25. New Home Sales decrease in January
  26. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 391,000
  27. Report: $20 Billion Mortgage Servicer Settlement being Discussed
  28. ATA Truck Tonnage Index increased in January
  29. Real House Prices and the Unemployment Rate
  30. Fed's Hoenig: Financial Reform: Post Crisis?
  31. Existing Home Inventory increases 3.1% Year over Year
  32. January Existing Home Sales: 5.36 million SAAR, 7.6 months of supply
  33. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
  34. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows no change in January
  35. House Prices: Price-to-rent, Price-to-median Household Income
  36. FHA: REO inventory up 47% over last year
  37. Misc: Shiller says house prices could fall 15% to 25%, Solid Manufacturing Survey, Libya Updates
  38. Real House Prices fall to 2000 Levels, Update on NAR Overstating Sales
  39. Case-Shiller: National Home Prices Are Close to the 2009Q1 Trough
  40. Survey: Sales of Distressed Homes increased in January
  41. $100 Oil
  42. When will the Fed raise rates?
  43. Libya Update
  44. Europe: ECB Lending Spike due to Irish Banks and other topics
  45. Libya Update
  46. The "Curse of Negative Equity"
  47. Summary for Week ending February 19th
  48. Middle East Update
  49. Report: FDIC plans to sue former WaMu execs for over $1 Billion
  50. Schedule for Week of February 20th
  51. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 951 Institutions
  52. Bank Failure #22 for 2011: San Luis Trust Bank, FSB, San Luis Obispo, California
  53. Bank Failure #21 for 2011: Charter Oak Bank, Napa, California
  54. Bank Failure #20 in 2011: Effingham, Springfield, Georgia
  55. Bank Failure #19 in 2011: Habersham Bank, Clarkesville, Georgia
  56. Residential Remodeling Index
  57. Europe Update
  58. LA Port Traffic in January
  59. Bernanke on Global Imbalances
  60. OCC's Walsh on Foreclosure Issues and MERS
  61. The NAR Reponds to Questions of Overstating Sales
  62. Hotel Occupancy Rate: Hotels Struggling in 2011
  63. MBA: Loans in Foreclosure Tie All-Time Record, fewer Short-term Delinquencies
  64. Core Measures show increase in Inflation
  65. Philly Fed Survey highest since January 2004
  66. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 410,000
  67. Two more stories on Mortgage Servicer Enforcement Action
  68. Report: Mortgage Servicers to receive Enforcement Orders in March, Fines Likely
  69. Lawler: Early Read on January Existing Home Sales
  70. FOMC Minutes: GDP Forecast Revised Up
  71. Multi-family Housing Starts and Completions
  72. Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization decrease slightly in January
  73. Housing Starts increase in January
  74. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases
  75. Bernanke: Hoocoodanode?
  76. Home Buying: A Return to 20% Down Payments?
  77. CoreLogic: NAR’s 2010 existing home sales are overstated by 15% to 20%
  78. SoCal: Weak Home Sales, Record Low New Home Sales
  79. Update on Option ARMs
  80. NAHB Builder Confidence unchanged in February
  81. Retail Sales increased 0.3% in January
  82. Middle East Update
  83. Distressed House Sales: Highest since early 2009 using Sacramento data
  84. SF Fed: What Is the New Normal Unemployment Rate?
  85. NY Fed Q4 Report on Household Debt and Credit
  86. Leonhardt: Seattle’s Foreseeable Housing Bust
  87. Housing: For many cities "another season of pain"
  88. FOMC Minutes Preview
  89. Summary for Week ending February 12th
  90. Commentary for the Week
  91. Schedule for Week of February 13th
  92. Participation Rate Update
  93. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 944 Institutions
  94. Fed's Raskin: No improvement in Mortgage Servicer operational performance
  95. Bank Failure #18 in 2011: Canyon National Bank, Palm Springs, California
  96. Bank Failure #17: Badger State Bank, Cassville, WI
  97. Bank Failures #15 & 16 in 2011: Florida and Michigan
  98. Options for the Long-Term Structure of Housing Finance
  99. Mubarak Resigns
  100. Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in February
  101. Trade Deficit increased in December
  102. Comments on Ranking Economic Data
  103. Mubarak Staying, Will delegate power to VP
  104. Lists: Ranking Economic Data
  105. Reports: Mubarak to Step Down
  106. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Increases slightly in January
  107. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declined to 383,000
  108. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased slightly in December
  109. NY Fed's Brian Sack: Implementing the Federal Reserve’s Asset Purchase Program
  110. Reuters: WikiLeaks BofA Documents a "Dud"?
  111. I come to praise Bernanke
  112. Bernanke Testimony before House Budget Committee at 10 AM
  113. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index decreases slightly in January
  114. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease as Rates Jump
  115. Fannie Freddie Report may be released by Friday
  116. A Dab of Color: Transportation
  117. AAR: Rail Traffic increases in January
  118. Fed's Lockhart on Inflation
  119. CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.8% in December
  120. BLS: Job Openings decline in December, Labor Turnover still Low
  121. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in January
  122. Housing: Increase in Cash Buyers
  123. Daily Color: Years to Absorb Excess Housing Units
  124. Consumer Credit increases in December
  125. LPS: Overall mortgage delinquencies declined in 2010
  126. Lawler: Housing Vacancy Survey appears to massively overstate number of vacant housing units
  127. Repeat: Color Commentary
  128. Recession Measures
  129. Summary for Week ending February 5th
  130. Jim the Realtor is assigned a "premium" REO
  131. Schedule for Week of Feb 6th
  132. NMHC Quarterly Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten
  133. Color Commentary for the Week
  134. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 946 Institutions
  135. Bank Failure #14 for 2011: Community First Bank – Chicago
  136. Bank Failures #12 & 13 for 2011
  137. Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
  138. Daily Color: Two Employment Surveys, Different Results
  139. Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  140. January Employment Report: 36,000 Jobs, 9.0% Unemployment Rate
  141. Norris: From 1983, Hope for Jobs in 2011
  142. Report on Egypt: A Plan for Mubarak’s Exit
  143. European Bond Spreads Update
  144. Employment Situation: A Lighter Shade of Gray
  145. Fed Chairman Bernanke: The Economic Outlook and Macroeconomic Policies
  146. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index showed expansion in January
  147. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 415,000
  148. Misc: Egypt, Europe and More
  149. Lawler: How Many Folks Have “Lost Their Homes” to Foreclosure/Short Sales/DILs?
  150. Daily Color: D-List Data
  151. Egypt Update
  152. ADP: Private Employment increased by 187,000 in January
  153. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity increases
  154. Report: 46% of Mortgage Refis are 'Cash in'
  155. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Delinquency Rates decline slightly
  156. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 12.62 million SAAR in January
  157. Economic Outlook and Daily Summary
  158. Private Construction Spending decreases in December
  159. General Motors: January U.S. sales increase 22% year-over-year
  160. ISM Manufacturing Index increases in January
  161. Q4 Investment: Office, Mall, Lodging and Residential Components
  162. Restaurant Performance Index Shows Expansion in December
  163. Auto Sales to Disappoint?

January 2011

  1. QE2 Speculation and Summary
  2. Fed: Little Change in Lending Standards in January Loan Officer Survey, Outlook "more upbeat"
  3. Chicago PMI Strong, Dallas Fed Index Weak
  4. Q4 2010: Homeownership Rate Falls to 1998 Levels
  5. Personal Income and Outlays Report for December
  6. Inflation in China
  7. Egypt Updates
  8. BLS Employment Revisions on Feb 4th
  9. Summary for Week ending January 29th
  10. Some misc links: Egypt, Oil, China GDP
  11. Update: Revisions to Existing Home Sales
  12. Schedule for Week of January 30th
  13. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 949 Institutions
  14. ATA Truck Tonnage Index increased in December
  15. Late Night: Egypt
  16. Bank Failure #11 for 2011: First Community Bank, Taos, New Mexico
  17. Bank Failure #10 for 2011: FirsTier Bank, Louisville, Colorado
  18. Report: Mubarak announces he is dismissing the government
  19. Lawler: Downward Revisions Coming to Existing Home Sales?
  20. Egypt Update
  21. Residential Investment near record low as Percent of GDP
  22. Advance Report: Real Annualized GDP Grew at 3.2% in Q4
  23. Update: Coming Existing Home Sales Revisions
  24. Update on Egypt, Yemen
  25. Merle Hazard on Germany
  26. Hotels: RevPAR up 9.3% compared to same week in 2010
  27. Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission report
  28. Misc: Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Foreclosures Spread, Japan Downgrade and more
  29. Pending Home Sales index increases 2% in December
  30. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase sharply to 454,000
  31. Merle Hazard on Italy
  32. New Home Inventory by Stage of Construction
  33. FOMC Statement: No change
  34. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  35. New Home Sales increase in December
  36. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications lowest since last October
  37. Preview: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Report
  38. SOTU 2011 9 PM ET
  39. Housing: What Generation Y Wants
  40. State Unemployment Rates: The Decline from Recession Maximum
  41. House Prices and Months-of-Supply, and Real House Prices
  42. Misc: State Unemployment Rates, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey, Consumer Confidence
  43. Case-Shiller: U.S. Home Prices Keep Weakening as Eight Cities Reach New Lows in November
  44. Report: Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission has referred multiple cases for possible prosecution
  45. Political Grandstanding
  46. Regarding the FOMC: How long is an "Extended Period"?
  47. Moody's: Commercial Real Estate Prices increased 0.6% in November
  48. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased in November
  49. Survey: Sales of Distressed Homes increased in December
  50. Housing Bust and Mobility
  51. FOMC Preview
  52. Summary for Week ending January 22nd
  53. Schedule for Week of January 23rd
  54. EU's Juncker: Not Taboo for Greece and others to buy-back debt
  55. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 937 Institutions
  56. Report: Fannie-Freddie Report to be released mid-February
  57. Bank Failure #7 for 2011: United Western Bank, Denver, Colorado
  58. Bank Failure #4 to #6 in 2011
  59. Europe: Merle Hazard on PBS Next Week
  60. Hotels: RevPAR up 7.6% compared to same week in 2010
  61. A hint of good employment news?
  62. BofA: $1.2 Billion Q4 Loss
  63. Leonhardt: The Deficit We Want
  64. Market Update
  65. Comments on the Philly Fed Survey
  66. Existing Home Inventory increases 8.4% Year-over-Year in December
  67. December Existing Home Sales: 5.28 million SAAR, 8.1 months of supply
  68. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 404,000
  69. Europe Update
  70. DataQuick: SoCal Homes Sales increase in December
  71. Summary on Multi-Family Theme
  72. Record Low Housing Completions in 2010
  73. Housing Starts Decline in December
  74. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application decline in latest survey
  75. AIA: Architecture Billings Index highest since December 2007
  76. LA Port Traffic in December
  77. NAHB Builder Confidence Graph
  78. Apartments: "Consensus has a high price"
  79. NMHC: Is the recovery real for apartments?
  80. NAHB Builder Confidence Remains Unchanged In January
  81. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Index shows "conditions improved" in January
  82. Update: NMHC Apartment Conference
  83. EU finance ministers call for increase in EFSF
  84. Hotels: RevPAR up 7.8% compared to same week in 2010
  85. Another State Budget Update
  86. Spain: "I Live Here Alone"
  87. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate Prices declined in November
  88. Summary for Week ending January 15th
  89. State and Local Budget Update
  90. Hamilton: Historical Oil Shocks
  91. Schedule for Week of January 16th
  92. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 933 Institutions
  93. FOMC 2005 Transcripts: 'Flip That House' as Bubble Sign
  94. Bank Failure #3 for 2011: Oglethorpe Bank, Brunswick, Georgia
  95. The FOMC Debates the Housing Bubble in 2005
  96. Fed's Rosengren: Two Key Questions about the Economic Recovery
  97. Core measures of inflation increase in December
  98. Consumer Sentiment declines in January
  99. Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization increased in December
  100. Retail Sales increased 0.6% in December
  101. Report: Near Failure of Citigroup in 2008
  102. Banks Walking Away from Houses in Chicago
  103. Europe: More "Successful" Auctions, Trichet comments on inflation
  104. Fed Chairman Bernanke and FDIC Chair Bair on CNBC
  105. Record Foreclosure activity in 2010
  106. Trade Deficit declined slightly in November
  107. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 445,000
  108. Jim the Realtor: REO Tour
  109. NAHB Forecast: Single Family Starts to increase 21% in 2011
  110. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity continued to expand moderately"
  111. State and Local Update: Illinois
  112. Update on Portugal Bond Auction
  113. MBA: Mortgage Refinance activity increases, Purchase Application activity declines
  114. Another Busy Day
  115. Europe Update: Portugal Bond Auction Wednesday
  116. BLS: Job Openings steady in November, Labor Turnover still Low
  117. AAR: Rail Traffic increases in December
  118. CoreLogic: House Prices declined 1.6% in November
  119. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increases in December
  120. NFIB: Small Business Optimism index declines slightly in December
  121. Lower Wages for workers who lost jobs
  122. More Europe: Portugal, Belgium and Spain
  123. Lawler: Early Read on December Existing Home Sales
  124. Fed's Lockhart: Sustainable Growth despite Headwinds
  125. A comment on the Baltic Dry Index
  126. Europe Update
  127. China Reports Smaller Trade Surplus for December
  128. Europe Update: Portugal
  129. California Governor calls for tax extensions, spending cuts
  130. Summary for Week ending January 8th
  131. Two stories: Europe and Foreclosures
  132. Commercial Real Estate Delinquencies Rising
  133. Schedule for Week of January 9th
  134. Seasonal Retail Hiring: Rebound in 2010
  135. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 932 Institutions
  136. Oil Prices Update
  137. Bank Failure #2 for 2011: Legacy Bank, Scottsdale, Arizona
  138. Bank Failure #1 for 2011: First Commercial Bank of Florida, Orlando, Florida
  139. Employment: The Declining Participation Rate
  140. Massachusetts court voids Foreclosures
  141. Employment Summary and Part Time Workers, Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  142. December Employment Report: 103,000 Jobs, 9.4% Unemployment Rate
  143. Housing Bust: The New Declining Cities
  144. Survey: Small Business Hiring Likely to Improve in 2011
  145. Employment Report Preview
  146. EU Proposes Bank Failure Plan, European Bond Spreads Increase
  147. Hotels: RevPAR up 6.6% compared to same week in 2010
  148. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims: 4-Week Average declines
  149. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rates decline in Q4
  150. Some background on Gene Sperling
  151. The Brighter Outlook
  152. European Bond Yields
  153. Reis: Strip Mall Vacancy rates steady in Q4
  154. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index showed expansion in December
  155. ADP: Private Employment increased by 297,000 in December
  156. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity still low
  157. Largest Condo Project in Northwest goes back to Lenders
  158. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales 12.55 million SAAR in December
  159. FOMC Minutes: Economic improvement "not sufficient" for QE2 changes
  160. General Motors: December U.S. sales increase 7.5% year-over-year
  161. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate steady in Q4
  162. House Prices: More Pessimistic Views
  163. Consumer Bankruptcy Filings increase 9% in 2010
  164. Restaurant Performance Index slips in November
  165. Question #2 for 2011: Residential Investment
  166. Private Construction Spending increases in November
  167. ISM Manufacturing Index increases in December
  168. State and Local Government budget cuts: A 2011 Theme
  169. Krugman: Deep Hole Economics
  170. WSJ: Key to Real-Estate Rebound
  171. Question #3 for 2011: Delinquencies and Distressed house sales
  172. Summary for Week ending January 1st
  173. 2007: Tanta breaks down the MSM Barrier
  174. What about those Option ARMs?
  175. Schedule for Week of January 2, 2011
  176. Happy New Year!
  177. Evening Reading

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