The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2012

1,932 posts

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2012 1,932

December 2012

  1. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in November
  2. Restaurant Performance Index indicates slight contraction in November
  3. "Fiscal Cliff" Deal
  4. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Slow Growth and Improved Company Outlook" in December
  5. Update on "Fiscal Cliff" Negotiations
  6. Sunday Night Futures
  7. Housing: 2.5% Year over Year change in Asking Prices
  8. "Fiscal Cliff": 3PM ET "deadline" for Reid and McConnell
  9. "Fiscal Cliff" Update
  10. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 838 Institutions
  11. Schedule for Week of Dec 30th
  12. Summary for Week ending Dec 28th
  13. Update on Fiscal Cliff
  14. The Bubble in "Cliffs"
  15. Hotels: Record Demand in 2012, Near 2008 Room Rates, Little New Supply
  16. Forecasts: Strong December for Vehicle Sales, Slowing growth in 2013
  17. Chicago PMI increases to 51.6, Pending Home Sales index increases
  18. Friday: Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales
  19. Sales Ratio: Existing to New Homes
  20. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 45 States in November
  21. "Fiscal Cliff": There is no Drop Dead Date and more thoughts
  22. New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  23. New Home Sales at 377,000 SAAR in November
  24. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 350,000, 4-Week average at low for 2012
  25. Thursday: New Home Sales, Initial Unemployment Claims
  26. Lawler: An “Update” to the “Excess” Supply of Housing
  27. Comment on House Prices, Real House Prices, and Price-to-Rent Ratio
  28. Case-Shiller: House Prices increased 4.3% year-over-year in October
  29. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.3% in October, Up 4.3% year-over-year
  30. Wednesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey
  31. Private Investment and the Business Cycle
  32. Happy Holidays!
  33. Ten Economic Questions for 2013
  34. Review of My 2012 Forecasts
  35. "Fiscal Cliff": Weary eyes turn toward the Senate
  36. Sunday Night Futures
  37. Gasoline Prices near Low for Year, Expected to Increase
  38. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.3% in October
  39. Fiscal Agreement Update
  40. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 841 Institutions
  41. Schedule for Week of Dec 23rd
  42. Summary for Week ending Dec 21st
  43. Earlier: Chicago Fed National Activity Index improves, Kansas City Fed Mfg Survey shows contraction
  44. ATA Trucking Index rebounds in November
  45. State Unemployment Rates decreased in 45 States in November
  46. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies increased in November, "In Foreclosure" Declines
  47. Final December Consumer Sentiment declines to 72.9
  48. Personal Income increased 0.6% in November, Spending increased 0.4%
  49. Friday: November Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, Consumer Sentiment
  50. Existing Home Sales: The Increase in Conventional Sales
  51. Misc: Philly Fed Mfg Shows Expansion, Q3 GDP Revised Up, FHFA House Prices increase
  52. Existing Home Sales: Another Solid Report
  53. Existing Home Sales in November: 5.04 million SAAR, 4.8 months of supply
  54. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 361,000
  55. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Q3 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  56. 2013 Housing Forecasts
  57. Lawler: Updated Outlook on November Existing Home Sales: Expect 5.1 Million (SAAR)
  58. Comments on Housing Starts
  59. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to increase 4.1% Year-over-year for October
  60. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases in November, "Strongest conditions since end of 2007"
  61. Housing Starts at 861 thousand SAAR in November
  62. MBA: Mortgage Applications decline sharply
  63. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  64. Report: Housing Inventory declines 17% year-over-year in November
  65. Update on Fiscal Cliff
  66. Builder Confidence increases in December, Highest since April 2006
  67. Housing: Inventory down 24% year-over-year in mid-December
  68. Tuesday: NAHB Home Builder Confidence
  69. Fiscal Cliff: Chained CPI
  70. Lawler: Foreclosure Share Way Down, But Not All-Cash Share; Suggests Investor Purchases of Non-REO Properties Up Sharply
  71. Early: Housing Forecasts for 2013
  72. LA area Port Traffic: Down in November due to Strike
  73. Empire State Manufacturing index indicates further contraction
  74. Sunday Night Futures
  75. NY Times: Sunnier Forecast, D.C. Shadow
  76. Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in November
  77. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 3.7% year-over-year in October
  78. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 845 Institutions
  79. Schedule for Week of Dec 16th
  80. Summary for Week ending Dec 14th
  81. Some Bullish 2013 House Price Forecasts
  82. Bank Failure #51: Community Bank of the Ozarks, Sunrise Beach, Missouri
  83. Lawler: Very Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November
  84. Economic Outlook: Where are we?
  85. Key Measures show low inflation in November
  86. Industrial Production increased 1.1% in November, Bounces back following Hurricane Sandy
  87. BLS: CPI declines 0.3% in November, Core CPI increases 0.1%
  88. Friday: CPI, Industrial Production
  89. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices decrease slightly in October, Up 6% Year-over-year
  90. Sacramento November House Sales: Conventional Sales up 46% year-over-year
  91. Will Housing Inventory Bottom in 2013?
  92. Retail Sales increased 0.3% in November
  93. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 343,000
  94. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, PPI
  95. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales highest for November in Six Years
  96. Lawler: Delinquency/Foreclosure Rates by State for Five Servicers
  97. FOMC Projections and Bernanke Press Conference
  98. FOMC Statement: Expand QE3, Sets Thresholds of 6.5% Unemployment Rate, 2 1/2 Inflation
  99. Irwin: Five Things to Watch for on Fed Day
  100. MBA: Mortgage Applications increase, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  101. Wednesday: FOMC Meeting
  102. Merrill Lynch on Housing and Construction Employment
  103. Lawler: Update to Distressed Sales Table, Reno Correction
  104. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in October
  105. Trade Deficit increased in October to $42.2 Billion
  106. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, JOLTS
  107. Weisenthal interview with Goldman's Jan Hatzius
  108. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in November
  109. Las Vegas Real Estate: Sales and Inventory decreased in November
  110. Q3 2012: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
  111. The Italian Job
  112. Sunday Night Futures
  113. Labor Force Participation Rate Update
  114. FOMC Projections Preview
  115. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 849 Institutions
  116. Hotel Occupancy Rate above pre-recession levels at end of November
  117. Schedule for Week of Dec 9th
  118. Summary for Week Ending Dec 7th
  119. "Oil to the World"
  120. November Employment Diffusion Indexes
  121. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in November
  122. Employment Report: More Positives than Negatives
  123. Preliminary December Consumer Sentiment declines sharply to 74.5
  124. November Employment Report: 146,000 Jobs, 7.7% Unemployment Rate
  125. Friday: Employment Report, Consumer Sentiment
  126. Employment Situation Preview
  127. Fed's Q3 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt down $1.15 Trillion from Peak
  128. Update: Mortgage Debt Relief Act
  129. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 370,000
  130. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Flow of Funds Report
  131. Lawler: On the upward trend in Real House Prices
  132. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates decreased in October
  133. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases in November
  134. ADP: Private Employment increased 118,000 in November
  135. MBA: Mortgage Applications increase, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  136. Wednesday: ISM Service, ADP Employment
  137. Manufacturing: ISM PMI vs. Markit
  138. Lawler: Single Family REO inventories down 21.7% in Q3
  139. FDIC reports Fewer Problem banks, Total REO Declines in Q3
  140. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in November
  141. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.3% Year-over-year in October, Largest increase since 2006
  142. Housing: Inventory down 22% year-over-year in early December
  143. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 15.5 million annual rate in November, Highest Since 2007
  144. CoreLogic: 58,000 Completed Foreclosures in October
  145. Construction Spending increased in October
  146. ISM Manufacturing index declines in November to 49.5, Lowest since July 2009
  147. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 856 Institutions
  148. Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Auto Sales, Construction Spending
  149. Report: Germany to eventually consider Greek Losses
  150. Impact of Sandy on Employment, November Contest Winners
  151. House Prices: Case-Shiller to turn negative month-to-month seasonally in October
  152. Summary for Week Ending Nov 30th
  153. Schedule for Week of Dec 2nd
  154. Goldman Sachs: "Moving Over the Hump"

November 2012

  1. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in October
  2. Restaurant Performance Index indicates contraction in October
  3. The impact of Sandy on PCE, Chicago PMI at 50.4
  4. Personal Income unchanged in October, Spending decreased 0.2%
  5. Friday: October Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI
  6. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates Near Record Lows
  7. A few comments on GDP Revision and Unemployment Claims
  8. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Eased Further" in November
  9. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increases in October
  10. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 393,000
  11. Thursday: Q3 GDP, Unemployment claims, Pending Home Sales
  12. FHFA: HARP Refinance Boom Continued in September
  13. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity expanded at a measured pace"
  14. New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  15. New Home Sales at 368,000 SAAR in October
  16. MBA: Purchase Mortgage Applications increase, Refinance Applications decrease
  17. Wednesday: New Home Sales, Beige Book
  18. Update: The Recession Probability Chart
  19. Fed: Consumer Deleveraging Continued in Q3, Student Debt increases
  20. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio
  21. Case-Shiller House Price Comments and Graphs
  22. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 3.0% year-over-year in September
  23. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods Orders
  24. Greek Debt Deal Reached
  25. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.1% in September, Up 3.6% year-over-year
  26. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies decreased in October, Percent in foreclosure process lowest since August 2009
  27. Timiraos: "The FHA’s Biggest Loser"
  28. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Growth Stalls" in November
  29. Chicago Fed: Economic Activity Slower in October
  30. Sunday Night Futures
  31. Greece Update: Eurozone finance ministers meet Monday
  32. Update: Case-Shiller House Prices will probably decline month-to-month Seasonally starting in October
  33. Jim the Realtor: Upcoming REO listings
  34. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 857 Institutions
  35. Schedule for Week of Nov 25th
  36. Summary for Week Ending Nov 23rd
  37. Las Vegas: Visitor Traffic on pace for Record High, Convention Attendance Lags
  38. ATA Trucking Index declines sharply in October, Impacted by Hurricane Sandy
  39. Q3 GDP: Here come the upward revisions
  40. LA area Port Traffic: Inbound Traffic up in October
  41. Irwin: "Five economic trends to be thankful for"
  42. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to increase 3.0% Year-over-year for September
  43. Europe Summit Update
  44. Thursday: Happy Thanksgiving!
  45. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.5% in September
  46. Business Insider Interview
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases in October, Highest in Two Years
  48. Final November Consumer Sentiment at 82.7, MarkIt Flash PMI shows Improvement in Manufacturing
  49. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 410,000
  50. MBA: Purchase Mortgage Applications increase, Refinance Applications decrease
  51. Zillow: House Prices increased 4.7% Year-over-year in October
  52. Wednesday: Unemployment claims, Consumer sentiment
  53. WaPo: Price-to-rent ratio for Certain Cities
  54. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent compared to New Home Sales
  55. Bernanke: "The Economic Recovery and Economic Policy"
  56. State Unemployment Rates decreased in 37 States in October
  57. Starts and Completions: Multi-family and Single Family
  58. Housing Starts increased to 894 thousand SAAR in October
  59. Tuesday: Housing Starts, Bernanke on Economy and Policy
  60. Existing Home Sales: The Increase in Conventional Sales
  61. Early: Housing Forecasts for 2013
  62. Existing Home Sales: A Solid Report
  63. NAHB Builder Confidence increases in November, Highest since May 2006
  64. Existing Home Sales in October: 4.79 million SAAR, 5.4 months of supply
  65. LA Times: "Most aid from mortgage settlement in California going to short sales"
  66. Monday: Existing Home Sales, Homebuilder Confidence
  67. Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in October
  68. Percent of Mortgage Seriously Delinquent over time, Selected States
  69. Serious Mortgage Delinquencies and In-Foreclosure by State
  70. California: Unemployment Rate falls to 10.1% in October, Payroll jobs increase 45,800
  71. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 857 Institutions
  72. Schedule for Week of Nov 18th
  73. Summary for Week Ending Nov 16th
  74. Lawler: Early Read on October Existing Home Sales
  75. Bank Failure #50 in 2012: Hometown Community Bank, Braselton, Georgia
  76. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 2.3% year-over-year in September
  77. 2012 FHA Actuarial Review Press Release and Report
  78. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type in Q3
  79. Industrial Production decreased 0.4% in October due to Hurricane Sandy, Capacity Utilization decreased
  80. Friday: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
  81. 2012 FHA Actuarial Review Released: Negative $13.5 Billion economic value
  82. Key Measures show low inflation in October
  83. Bernanke suggests Mortgage Lending Standards are "Overly Tight", "Pendulum has swung too far"
  84. Q3 MBA National Delinquency Survey Graph and Comments
  85. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies decreased in Q3
  86. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased sharply to 439,000
  87. Zillow: 1.3 million fewer U.S. homeowners were in negative equity in Q3
  88. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, CPI, MBA Mortgage Delinquency Survey, Bernanke and much more
  89. WSJ: FHA Close to Exhausting Reserves
  90. FOMC Minutes: "Participants generally favored" Thresholds
  91. Report: Housing Inventory declines 17% year-over-year in October
  92. Retail Sales declined 0.3% in October
  93. MBA: Mortgage Applications rebound after Hurricane Sandy, Mortgage Rates fall to Record Low
  94. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Producer Price Index, FOMC Minutes
  95. Fiscal Slope: Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT)
  96. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales increase in October
  97. Fiscal Slope: 2 Million to Lose Emergency Unemployment Benefits
  98. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in October
  99. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in October
  100. Lawler on Builder Results
  101. A few more thoughts on Fiscal Agreement
  102. Merrill Lynch Revises up 2012 House Price Forecast to 5% increase
  103. Homebuilders D.R. Horton and Beazer Report Sales Increase
  104. Monday: Veterans Day
  105. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in October
  106. Sacramento October House Sales: Conventional Sales up 55% year-over-year
  107. Chicago Fed Letter: "Detecting early signs of financial instability"
  108. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 860 Institutions
  109. Schedule for Week of Nov 11th
  110. Summary for Week Ending Nov 9th
  111. Las Vegas Real Estate: Sales increase slightly in October
  112. The Recession Probability Chart
  113. A few thoughts on Fiscal Agreement
  114. Preliminary November Consumer Sentiment increases to 84.9
  115. Friday: Consumer sentiment
  116. New CBO report on "Fiscal Cliff"
  117. Lawler: REO inventory of "the F's" and PLS
  118. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates increased in September
  119. NAHB: Builder Confidence in the 55+ Housing Market Increases in Q3
  120. Trade Deficit declined in September to $41.5 Billion
  121. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 355,000
  122. Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
  123. Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory declines in Q3
  124. Lawler on Freddie Mac Results
  125. Bankruptcy Filings declined 14% in Fiscal 2012
  126. Hurricane Sandy: Impact on "Near-Term Economic Activity"
  127. MBA: Hurricane Sandy Leads to Decrease in Mortgage Applications
  128. Election Day
  129. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in September
  130. CoreLogic: House Price Index declined seasonally in September, Up 5.0% Year-over-year
  131. BLS: Job Openings "essentially unchanged" in September, Up year-over-year
  132. Greece Update
  133. Tuesday: Presidential Election
  134. Retailers expect solid Holiday Season
  135. Housing: Inventory down sharply in early November, Impacted by Hurricane Sandy
  136. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in October
  137. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreases in October
  138. Gasoline Prices down 30 cents over last month
  139. Monday: ISM Service Index
  140. Update: Further Discussion on Labor Force Participation Rate
  141. Retail: Seasonal Hiring vs. Retail Sales
  142. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 861 Institutions
  143. Summary for Week Ending Nov 2nd
  144. Schedule for Week of Nov 4th
  145. Bank Failures #48 and 49 in 2012
  146. Solid Seasonal Retail Hiring, Graphs for Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  147. Employment: An encouraging report (also more graphs)
  148. October Employment Report: 171,000 Jobs, 7.9% Unemployment Rate
  149. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  150. Fannie Mae Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Freddie Mac rate increases
  151. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.3 million annual rate in October
  152. Q3 2012 GDP Details: Office and Mall Investment very low, Single Family investment increases
  153. Construction Spending increased in September
  154. ISM Manufacturing index increased slightly in October to 51.7
  155. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 363,000
  156. ADP: Private Employment increased 158,000 in October
  157. Thursday: ADP Employment, Weekly Unemployment Claims, Auto Sales, ISM Mfg

October 2012

  1. Restaurant Performance Index declined in September
  2. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten, Growth Rate Moderates
  3. Fed: Some domestic banks "reported easing standards", Many banks seeing "strengthening of demand"
  4. CoreLogic: 57,000 Completed Foreclosures in September
  5. Chicago PMI: Activity "Idled"
  6. MBA:Refinance Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  7. Wednesday: Markets Open, Chicago PMI, Delayed Surveys
  8. HVS: Q3 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  9. Update: House Price Seasonality
  10. House Price Comments, Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio
  11. Case-Shiller: House Prices increased 2.0% year-over-year in August
  12. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  13. Wells Fargo raises Housing Forecasts for 2013 and 2014
  14. Update: Employment Report expected on Friday
  15. No Decision yet on delaying October Jobs Report
  16. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity expands slowly in October
  17. Personal Income increased 0.4% in September, Spending increased 0.8%
  18. Monday: Personal Income and Spending, Senior Loan Officer Survey
  19. Sandy: D.C. Government Offices closed to Public, NYSE Trading Floor Closed
  20. The S&P 500 change following Presidential Elections
  21. Some "Principal Relief" on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Loans
  22. Schedule for Week of Oct 28th
  23. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 864 Institutions
  24. Summary for Week Ending Oct 26th
  25. Report: Bailout Costs for Fannie and Freddie expected to decline
  26. Bank Failure #47: NOVA Bank, Berwyn, Pennsylvania
  27. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to show 1.7% Year-over-year increase for August
  28. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.2% in August
  29. Comments on Q3 GDP and Investment
  30. Final October Consumer Sentiment at 82.6
  31. Real GDP increased 2.0% annual rate in Q3
  32. Friday: Q3 GDP
  33. Lawler: Home Builders: On Balance, Strong Results
  34. Housing: What Numbers Matter (Part 2)
  35. Misc: Pending Home Sales index increases slightly, KC Mfg Index contracts, Remodeling increases
  36. Chicago Fed: Economic Activity Improved in September
  37. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 369,000
  38. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods Orders, Pending Home Sales
  39. Updates to the ADP Employment Report
  40. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases in September
  41. FOMC Statement: "Economic activity has continued to expand at a moderate pace"
  42. New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  43. New Home Sales at 389,000 SAAR in September
  44. MBA:Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  45. Wednesday: New Home Sales, FOMC Announcement
  46. Update: REO by State and Owner Occupied Units by State
  47. Lawler: Estimated REO Inventories by State
  48. ATA Trucking Index increases in September
  49. Fed: State Coincident Indexes in September show improvement
  50. Richmod Fed Mfg Survey indicates contraction in October
  51. Bank of Spain: Recession Continues, Deficit to Increase
  52. Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  53. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies increased sharply in September, Percent in foreclosure process lowest in 2 years
  54. FOMC Preview
  55. "The US bright spot"
  56. Sunday Night Futures
  57. Gasoline Prices down 8 cents over last 2 weeks
  58. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.2% in August
  59. On Greece: More Austerity, More Recession, More Extremism
  60. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 865 Institutions
  61. Schedule for Week of Oct 21st
  62. Summary for Week Ending Oct 19th
  63. Bank Failure #46 in 2012: Excel Bank, Sedalia, Missouri
  64. Bank Failure #45: First East Side Savings Bank, Tamarac, Florida
  65. Bank Failure #44 in 2012: GulfSouth Private Bank, Destin, Florida
  66. Lawler: Comments on the Existing Home Sales Report
  67. State Unemployment Rates decreased in 41 States in September
  68. Existing Home Sales: A few comments and NSA Sales Graph
  69. Existing Home Sales in September: 4.75 million SAAR, 5.9 months
  70. Report: Seasonal Retail Hiring to be about the same as in 2011
  71. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  72. Low Mortgage Rates and Refinance Activity
  73. Downside Risks
  74. Philly Fed: "modest improvement" in Region’s manufacturing sector
  75. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase sharply to 388,000
  76. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  77. LA area Port Traffic: Moving Sideways
  78. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Activity Lowest Since Early 2007
  79. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in September
  80. Starts and Completions: Multi-family and Single Family
  81. Housing Starts increased sharply to 872 thousand SAAR in September
  82. MBA: Mortgage Purchase activity highest since June
  83. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  84. The HARP Refinance Boom Continued in August
  85. Lawler: Early Read on September Existing Home Sales
  86. Key Measures show low inflation in September
  87. Report: Housing Inventory declines 17.8% year-over-year in September
  88. NAHB Builder Confidence increases in October, Highest since June 2006
  89. Industrial Production increased 0.4% in September, Capacity Utilization increased
  90. BLS: CPI increases 0.6% in September, Core CPI 0.1%, Cost-Of-Living Adjustment about 1.66%
  91. Tuesday: CPI, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence
  92. Sacramento September House Sales: Percentage of distressed sales lowest in years
  93. The Housing Bottom and the Unemployment Rate
  94. Correction on Mortgage Modifications
  95. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 0.3% in August
  96. Retail Sales increased 1.1% in September
  97. Monday: Retail Sales, Empire State Mfg Survey
  98. The recovery in U.S. Heavy Truck Sales
  99. Zillow Housing Forum and The Bearish View
  100. Bernanke: On the international impact of US accommodative Monetary Policy
  101. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 872 Institutions
  102. Schedule for Week of Oct 14th
  103. Summary for Week Ending Oct 12th
  104. Consumer Sentiment Graph
  105. Alphaville: A Grexit Delayed
  106. Misc: Consumer Sentiment increases to 83.1, JPMorgan on Housing
  107. BLS: Producer Prices increased 1.1% in September
  108. Friday: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  109. Redfin: House prices up 5% Year-over-year in September
  110. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Drops to 5-Year Low in September
  111. Trade Deficit increased in August to $44.2 Billion
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declined sharply to 339,000
  113. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
  114. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increase in August
  115. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity "expanded modestly", Residential real estate showed "widespread improvement"
  116. Further Discussion on Labor Force Participation Rate
  117. BLS: Job Openings "essentially unchanged" in August, Up year-over-year
  118. MBA: Mortgage Purchase activity highest since June
  119. Wednesday: Beige Book, JOLTS
  120. Lawler: "Distressed" home sales shares in Reno, Vegas, and Phoenix
  121. Las Vegas September Real Estate: Sales decline, Inventory down year-over-year
  122. Fannie Mae: Consumer Attitudes on Housing continues to gradually Improve
  123. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory declines 10% year-over-year
  124. Get the Lead Out Update
  125. Lawler: Discussion of recent jump in House Listings in Phoenix
  126. Understanding the Decline in the Participation Rate
  127. Q2 2012: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
  128. Greece, Troika talks to resume later
  129. Sunday Night Futures
  130. More Europe
  131. Employment: A decline in the participation rate was expected due to the aging population
  132. Europe: Merkel Visits Greece on Tuesday and a few key dates
  133. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 873 Institutions
  134. Schedule for Week of Oct 7th
  135. Summary for Week Ending Oct 5th
  136. Gasoline Prices surge in California due to Refinery Problems
  137. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in September
  138. Employment: Somewhat Better (also more graphs)
  139. September Employment Report: 114,000 Jobs, 7.8% Unemployment Rate
  140. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  141. Employment Situation Preview
  142. FOMC Minutes: "Most participants agreed numerical thresholds could be useful"
  143. Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rate declines in Q3, Strip Mall vacancy rate unchanged
  144. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in September
  145. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 367,000
  146. Thursday: Mall Vacancy Rate, Unemployment Claims, FOMC Minutes
  147. U.S. Births Decline for the fourth consecutive year in 2011
  148. LPS: Mortgage prepayment rates highest since 2005
  149. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate declined slightly to 4.6% in Q3, More Supply coming in 2013
  150. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases in September
  151. ADP: Private Employment increased 162,000 in September
  152. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications increases sharply, Highest Since 2009
  153. Wednesday: Apartment Vacancy Rate, ISM Service Index, ADP Employment
  154. Housing: Inventory down 21% year-over-year in early October
  155. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.96 million annual rate in September, Highest since Feb 2008
  156. Auto Sales: Small Car Sales Strong
  157. Sam Zell's Poor Forecasting Record
  158. CoreLogic: House Price Index increased in August, Up 4.6% Year-over-year
  159. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q3 to 17.1%
  160. Tuesday: Office Vacancy Rate, Auto Sales
  161. Lawler: Some Home Builder Results
  162. Bernanke: "Five Questions about the Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy"
  163. Construction Spending decreased in August
  164. ISM Manufacturing index increases in September to 51.5
  165. Sunday Night Futures: ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending, Bernanke Speech

September 2012

  1. Analysis: Mark Zandi wrong about housing tax credit
  2. Gasoline Prices down 8 cents over last 2 weeks
  3. Unofficial Problem Bank List and Quarterly Transition Matrix
  4. Schedule for Week of Sept 30th
  5. Summary for Week Ending Sept 28th
  6. Bank Failure #43 in 2012: First United Bank, Crete, Illinois
  7. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency rates declined in August
  8. Restaurant Performance Index increases in August
  9. Misc: Chicago PMI declines, Consumer Sentiment in September at 78.3
  10. Personal Income increased 0.1% in August, Spending increased 0.5%
  11. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment, Chicago PMI
  12. Freddie Mac: Record Low Mortgage Rates
  13. Two Reasons to expect Economic Growth to Increase
  14. Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows 386,000 additional jobs
  15. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "slowed somewhat" in September
  16. NAR: Pending home sales index declined 2.6% in August
  17. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 359,000
  18. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, GDP
  19. New Home Prices: Average Highest since 2008
  20. New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  21. New Home Sales at 373,000 SAAR in August
  22. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity increases as mortgage rates fall to new survey lows
  23. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  24. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 0.3% in July
  25. Misc: Richmod Fed Mfg Survey Improves, Consumer Confidence increases
  26. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes in August show weakness
  27. House Price Comments, Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio
  28. Case-Shiller: House Prices increased 1.2% year-over-year in July
  29. Tuesday: House Prices
  30. Tim Duy: "Policy is effective even in the aftermath of a financial crisis"
  31. Fed's Williams: Economic Outlook
  32. Employment Losses: Comparing Financial Crises
  33. Dallas Fed: Texas factory activity increased in September
  34. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies decreased in August
  35. Chicago Fed: Economic Activity Weakened in August
  36. Sunday Night Futures
  37. Update: House Prices will decline month-to-month Seasonally later in 2012
  38. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 878 Institutions
  39. Goldman Estimate: QE3 could be $1.2 to $2.0 Trillion
  40. Summary for Week Ending Sept 21st
  41. Schedule for Week of Sept 23rd
  42. Sheila Bair: Former BofA CEO considered a "country bumpkin"
  43. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to show 1.6% Year-over-year increase for July
  44. State Unemployment Rates increased in 26 States in August
  45. Over There: Greek and Spanish Aid
  46. Friday: State Employment Report
  47. Lawler: ACS 2011: Big Shift to Rental Market
  48. The Trillion Dollar Bear
  49. Fed's Q2 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt down $1 Trillion from Peak
  50. Philly Fed "Region’s manufacturing sector has steadied"
  51. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 382,000
  52. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  53. Starts and Completions: Multi-family and Single Family
  54. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows slight expansion in August
  55. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  56. Existing Home Sales in August: 4.82 million SAAR, 6.1 months of supply
  57. Housing Starts increased to 750 thousand in August
  58. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease, Mortgage Rates decline to Survey Lows
  59. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Existing Home Sales
  60. Report: Saudi offers more oil, Gasoline prices still near highs
  61. Update: The Mortgage Debt Forgiveness Tax Break
  62. Mortgage Lending Declined in 2011, FHA share declined to 31%
  63. NAHB Builder Confidence increases in September, Highest since June 2006
  64. Report: Housing Inventory declines 18.7% year-over-year in August
  65. Tuesday: Homebuilder Confidence Survey
  66. Lawler: Early Read: Decent Bounce in Existing Home Sales in August
  67. LA area Port Traffic: Imports and Exports down YoY in August
  68. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 0.8% in July
  69. NY Fed Empire State Mfg Index declines in September
  70. Sunday Night Futures
  71. QE3 and the Residential Investment Transmission Mechanism
  72. Housing: Year over Year change in Asking Prices
  73. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 886 Institutions
  74. Schedule for Week of Sept 16th
  75. Summary for Week Ending Sept 14th
  76. Fiscal Cliff: Goldman note and Merle Hazard
  77. Bank Failure #42 in 2012: Truman Bank, Saint Louis, Missouri
  78. August Update: Early Look at 2013 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments indicates 1.4% increase
  79. Key Measures show slowing inflation in August
  80. Consumer Sentiment increases in September to 79.2
  81. Industrial Production declined 1.2% in August, Capacity Utilization decreased
  82. Retail Sales increased 0.9% in August
  83. Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, CPI
  84. Analysis: Bernanke Delivered
  85. FOMC Projections and Bernanke Press Conference
  86. FOMC Statement: QE3 $40 Billion per Month, Extend Guidance to mid-2015
  87. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 382,000
  88. Thursday: FOMC Meeting, Unemployment Claims
  89. FOMC Projections Preview
  90. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in August
  91. Shiller on House Prices
  92. CoreLogic: Negative Equity Decreases in Q2 2012
  93. MBA: Mortgage Applications increase, might be distorted by Holiday adjustment
  94. Wednesday: iPhone 5
  95. Sacramento August House Sales: Percentage of distressed sales lowest in years
  96. Lawler: Where has the increase in the number of renters of Single Family homes come from?
  97. QE Timeline Update
  98. Las Vegas August Real Estate: Sales decline, Inventory down sharply year-over-year
  99. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in July
  100. Trade Deficit at $42.0 Billion in July
  101. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Job Openings
  102. Employment Graphs: Construction Employment, Unemployment by Education
  103. WSJ: UBS expects the Fed to announce QE3 this week
  104. Alphaville: 'German domino theory and book-cooking'
  105. LPS: Mortgage Delinquencies decreased slightly in July
  106. Sunday Night Futures
  107. Employment Report Graphs: Participation Rate, Duration of Unemployment and Diffusion Indexes
  108. LA Times: Boom Time in Bakersfield
  109. Analysis: I expect QE3 on Sept 13th
  110. Schedule for Week of Sept 9th
  111. Summary for Week Ending Sept 7th
  112. Bank Failure #41 in 2012: First Commercial Bank, Bloomington, Minnesota
  113. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in August, Building related commodities were up
  114. Market Update
  115. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.7% in June
  116. Employment: Another Weak Report (more graphs)
  117. August Employment Report: 96,000 Jobs, 8.1% Unemployment Rate
  118. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  119. A Draghi Kind of Day
  120. Employment Situation Preview
  121. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases in August
  122. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 365,000
  123. ADP: Private Employment increased 201,000 in August
  124. Thursday: Draghi, Unemployment Claims, ADP, ISM Services
  125. Lawler: Single Family Rental Market: Surging, But by How Much?
  126. Bloomberg: Merkel Said to Tell Lawmakers She Supports Draghi and Weidmann
  127. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in August, Rent increases slow
  128. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  129. Wednesday Preview
  130. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.5 million annual rate in August
  131. Housing: Inventory down 23% year-over-year in early September
  132. Construction Spending decreased in July
  133. ISM Manufacturing index decreases slightly in August to 49.6
  134. CoreLogic: House Price Index increases in July, Up 3.8% Year-over-year
  135. Tuesday: ISM Mfg Index, Auto Sales, Construction Spending
  136. WSJ: ECB's Draghi hints at Short Term Bond Buying
  137. ECB Meeting on Thursday: Expectations are for a Rate Cut, no Bond buying yet
  138. Winners: August Economic Prediction Contest
  139. GDP and Employment drag from State and Local Governments
  140. Hotel Occupancy Rate above pre-recession levels
  141. Restaurant Performance Index declines in July
  142. WSJ interview with Fed's Lockhart: Next Fed action could be a "package" of easing
  143. Schedule for Week of Sept 2nd
  144. Summary for Week Ending August 31st
  145. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 891 Institutions

August 2012

  1. Two more reviews of Bernanke's Speech: Weak Labor Market "a grave concern"
  2. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies decreased in July
  3. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency rates declined in July
  4. Analysis: Bernanke Clears the way for QE3 in September
  5. Bernanke: Monetary Policy since the Onset of the Crisis
  6. Chicago PMI declines to 53.0
  7. Friday: Bernanke, Bernanke, Bernanke
  8. Lawler: On the relationship between pending home sales and closed sales
  9. WSJ: Bernanke Jackson Hole Speech Preview
  10. Forecasts: Light Vehicle Sales expected to increase in August
  11. Kansas City Fed: "Moderate" growth in Regional Manufacturing Activity in August
  12. Personal Income increased 0.3% in July, Spending increased 0.4%
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 374,000
  14. Thursday: Personal Income for July, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  15. ATA Trucking index unchanged in July
  16. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased "gradually", Residential real estate shows "signs of improvement"
  17. Fed: Consumer Deleveraging Continued in Q2
  18. NAR: Pending home sales index increased 2.4% in July
  19. Q2 GDP Growth Revised up to 1.7% Annualized
  20. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity declines
  21. Wednesday: Q2 GDP update, Pending Home Sales, Beige Book
  22. Housing: Two Bearish Views on House Prices and Foreclosures
  23. FDIC reports Fewer Problem banks, REO Declines; Total REO Declines in Q2
  24. House Price Comments, Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio
  25. Case-Shiller: House Prices increased 0.5% year-over-year in June
  26. Report: ECB President Draghi to Skip Jackson Hole
  27. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Price index
  28. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.4% in June
  29. Fed's Pianalto discusses Benefits and Costs of QE3
  30. Dallas Fed: "Growth Slows" in August Regional Manufacturing Activity
  31. Fed's Evans supports Open-Ended QE
  32. Sunday Night Futures:Isaac, ECB and Fed
  33. "Serial Refinancers" and Percent of Refinance Loans with Cash Out
  34. Zillow: House Prices increased 1.2% Year-over-year in July
  35. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 898 Institutions
  36. Schedule for Week of Aug 26th
  37. Summary for Week ending August 24th
  38. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to show small Year-over-year increase for June
  39. Lawler: Updated Distressed Home Sales Share Table
  40. Merkel and Samaras Press Conference
  41. BLS: Displaced Workers Summary
  42. Durable Goods orders increase 4.2% in July
  43. Friday: Durable Goods, Europe, and requesting a favor
  44. Misc: Negative Equity declines, FHFA house prices increase, Flash PMI
  45. New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  46. New Home Sales increase in July to 372,000 Annual Rate
  47. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 372,000
  48. Thursday: New Home Sales, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  49. AIA: Architecture Billings Index Downturn Moderates as Negative Conditions Continue in July
  50. FOMC Minutes: Discussion of policy tools the FOMC "might employ"
  51. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  52. Existing Home Sales in July: 4.47 million SAAR, 6.4 months of supply
  53. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity declines as Rates Increase
  54. Wednesday: July Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  55. FHFA: New Short Sale Guidelines for Fannie and Freddie
  56. Mortgage Delinquencies by State: Range and Current
  57. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes in July show weakness
  58. German Official: "Small concessions are feasible" for Greece
  59. Research: Loan-to-income guidelines could have "forestalled much of the housing boom"
  60. Leonhardt: Possible Causes of the Income Slump
  61. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 1.1% in June
  62. Mortgage Cramdowns: A Missed Opportunity
  63. Chicago Fed: Growth in Economic Activity below trend in July
  64. Sunday Night Futures
  65. Gasoline Prices up 30 cents over last 7 weeks
  66. Report: ECB Considering setting limits on Sovereign Debt Yields
  67. San Diego: "Fears recede of second crash from 'shadow inventory'"
  68. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 899 Institutions
  69. Schedule for Week of August 19th
  70. Summary for Week Ending August 17th
  71. Preliminary: Fed manufacturing surveys and ISM index for August
  72. Lawler: Early Look At Existing Home Sales in July
  73. LA area Port Traffic: Imports and Exports down YoY in July
  74. State Unemployment Rates increased in 44 States in July
  75. Consumer Sentiment increases in August to 73.6
  76. Friday: Consumer sentiment, State Employment and Unemployment
  77. Comment on Housing, and Starts and Completions
  78. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent compared to New Home Sales
  79. Timiraos on Absorption of Excess Vacant Supply of Housing Inventory
  80. Housing Starts declined to 746 thousand in July
  81. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 366,000
  82. Thursday: Housing Starts, Weekly Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Index
  83. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium 2012 Dates
  84. July Update: Early Look at 2013 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments indicates 1% increase
  85. WSJ: Articles on Shadow Inventory
  86. Key Measures show slowing inflation in July
  87. NAHB Builder Confidence increases in August, Highest since February 2007
  88. Industrial Production increased 0.6% in July, Capacity Utilization increased
  89. NY Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates contraction, CPI unchanged in July
  90. Report: Housing Inventory declines 19.3% year-over-year in July
  91. Wednesday: CPI, Industrial Production, NY Fed Manufacturing Survey, Homebuilder Confidence
  92. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales increase year-over-year in July
  93. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Markets
  94. House Prices and a Foreclosure Supply Shock
  95. Retail Sales increased 0.8% in July
  96. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in July
  97. Tuesday: July Retail Sales, PPI
  98. Sacramento: Percentage of REOs lowest in years in July
  99. Serious Mortgage Delinquencies and In-Foreclosure by State
  100. Europe Update: More Contraction
  101. Sunday Night Futures
  102. Europe and US: A few misc dates in September and October
  103. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
  104. Update: Real GDP Percent Change Graph, 1980-Q2 2012
  105. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 900 Institutions
  106. Schedule for Week of August 12th
  107. Summary for Week ending Aug 10th
  108. WSJ: More Pain for Cities
  109. Comparing Housing Recoveries
  110. The Housing Bottom and the Unemployment Rate
  111. Import Price declined 0.6 percent in July
  112. NAHB: Builder Confidence in the 55+ Housing Market Increases in Q2
  113. LPS: Mortgage Delinquencies increased slightly in June, HARP refinance activity increased
  114. Q2 MBA National Delinquency Survey Graph and Comments
  115. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies increased in Q2
  116. Trade Deficit declined in June to $42.9 Billion
  117. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 361,000
  118. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, Mortgage Delinquency Survey
  119. House Prices will decline month-to-month Seasonally later in 2012
  120. Las Vegas Real Estate: Sales decline, Inventory down sharply year-over-year
  121. Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO declined 18% Year-over-year
  122. Fannie Mae reports $5.1 Billion Net Income, Improvement due to increase in house prices, REO sales prices
  123. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  124. Monthly Economic Contest: New Login Added
  125. The economic impact of a slight increase in house prices
  126. Freddie Mac: Increase in Home Prices contributes to Lower Credit Losses
  127. Fed's Bernanke: Teacher Town Hall Meeting
  128. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in July
  129. BLS: Job Openings increased in June
  130. CoreLogic: House Price Index increases in June, Up 2.5% Year-over-year
  131. WSJ: "Momentum building" for QE3
  132. Tuesday: JOLTs, Bernanke
  133. Housing: Inventory down 23% year-over-year in early August
  134. Fed: Some domestic banks "eased lending standards", seeing "stronger demand"
  135. Weekly Hotel Occupancy Rate above 75% for the first time since 2007
  136. Gasoline Prices up 20 cents over last 5 weeks
  137. Monday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
  138. Payroll Employment and Seasonal Factors
  139. Update: Recovery Measures
  140. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 899 Institutions
  141. Schedule for Week of August 5th
  142. Summary for Week ending Aug 3rd
  143. Bank Failure #40 in 2012: Waukegan Savings Bank, Waukegan, Illinois
  144. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in July, Intermodal at Record Level
  145. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases slightly, Employment index declines in July
  146. Employment: Another Fairly Weak Report (more graphs)
  147. July Employment Report: 163,000 Jobs, 8.3% Unemployment Rate
  148. Friday: July Employment Report, ISM Services
  149. The Gold Audit
  150. Employment Situation Preview
  151. Another measure of household formation and vacancy rates
  152. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 365,000
  153. Thursday: ECB Meeting, Weekly Unemployment Claims, Factory Orders
  154. Q2 2012 GDP Details: Office and Mall Investment increases slightly, Single Family investment increases
  155. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.1 million annual rate in July
  156. FOMC Statement: "Economic activity decelerated", Takes no action
  157. Construction Spending in June: Private spending increases, Public Spending flat
  158. ISM Manufacturing index increases slightly in July to 49.8
  159. ADP: Private Employment increased 163,000 in July
  160. MBA: Refinance Activity Highest in Three Years
  161. Wednesday: FOMC announcement, ISM Mfg, Auto Sales and much more

July 2012

  1. Prediction Contest: July Winners, August Questions
  2. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency rates declined in June
  3. Fannie, Freddie will not Participate in Principal Reduction Program
  4. Misc: Chicago PMI increases slightly, Consumer Confidence up, CoreLogic 60,000 Foreclosures in June
  5. House Price Comments, Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio
  6. Case Shiller: House Prices increased 2.2% in May
  7. Personal Income increased 0.5% in June, Spending decreased slightly
  8. FHFA Nears Decision on Debt Forgiveness, and Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  9. More FOMC Preview
  10. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten in Q2 2012
  11. Lawler on Manufactured Housing
  12. Dallas Fed: "Slower Growth" in July Regional Manufacturing Activity
  13. Europe Update
  14. Monday: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
  15. FOMC Preview: QE3 now or later?
  16. When will the Case-Shiller house price index turn positive Year-over-year?
  17. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 900 Institutions
  18. Lawler: Expect "significant" upward revisions for Q2 New Home Sales
  19. Schedule for Week of July 29th
  20. Summary for Week ending July 27th
  21. Zillow forecasts 1% Year-over-year decline for May Case-Shiller House Price index
  22. Bank Failure #39 in 2012: Jasper Banking Company, Jasper, Georgia
  23. HVS: Q2 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  24. Bloomberg: Draghi to hold talks with Bundesbank on ECB Bond Purchases
  25. Q2 GDP: Comments and Investment
  26. Final July Consumer Sentiment at 72.3
  27. Real GDP increased 1.5% annual rate in Q2
  28. Friday: GDP, Consumer Sentiment
  29. Record Low Mortgage Rates and Increasing Refinance Activity
  30. Tim Duy: Draghi finds the panic button. Maybe.
  31. Lawler on Builder Results
  32. Kansas City Fed: "Modest" Growth in Regional Manufacturing Activity in July
  33. NAR: Pending home sales index decreased 1.4% in June
  34. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 353,000
  35. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales, KC Manufacturing Index
  36. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies increased in June
  37. ATA Trucking index increased in June
  38. Lawler on New Home Sales and Revisions
  39. Some comments on New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  40. New Home Sales declined in June to 350,000 Annual Rate
  41. MBA: Refinance Activity Highest since 2009
  42. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  43. WSJ: Fed Moving Closer to more Accommodation
  44. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes show weakness
  45. Misc: FHFA house prices increase 0.8%, Richmond Fed index declines sharply, UPS Comments
  46. Markit Flash PMI falls to 51.8
  47. Zillow: "Housing Market Turns Corner"
  48. Tuesday: Flash PMI, Richmond Fed Survey, FHFA House Prices
  49. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Activity Lowest in Five Years
  50. Leonhardt: "A Closer Look at Middle-Class Decline"
  51. Spain, Italy ban some short selling
  52. Chicago Fed: Growth in Economic Activity below trend in June
  53. Monday: Chicago Fed National Activity Index
  54. WSJ: "As Homes Go, So Do Pickups"
  55. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.3% in May
  56. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 905 Institutions
  57. Bank makes $1 Million on Foreclosure
  58. Schedule for Week of July 22nd
  59. Summary for Week ending July 20th
  60. Bank Failure #38: Second Federal Savings and Loan Association of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
  61. Bank Failure #37 in 2012: Heartland Bank, Leawood, Kansas
  62. Bank Failures #34 - 36 in 2012: Florida and Georgia
  63. Report: Mortgage originations at large banks increased sharply in Q2
  64. State Unemployment Rates little changed in June
  65. Eurozone approves Spanish Bank Bailout, Bond Yields increase
  66. LA Times: "Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach building at furious pace"
  67. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 0.6% in May
  68. Misc: Philly Fed, Leading Indicators
  69. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  70. Existing Home Sales in June: 4.37 million SAAR, 6.6 months of supply
  71. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 386,000
  72. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Philly Fed, Unemployment Claims
  73. Starts and Completions: Multi-family and Single Family
  74. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased at "modest to moderate" pace, Residential real estate "largely positive"
  75. August 1st QE3 Departure Date?
  76. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows "drop in design activity" in June
  77. Housing Starts increased to 760 thousand in June, Highest since October 2008
  78. MBA: "Record Low Mortgage Rates Lead to Jump in Refinance Activity"
  79. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Beige Book, more Bernanke
  80. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
  81. First Look at 2013 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  82. Key Measures show slowing inflation in June
  83. NAHB Builder Confidence increases strongly in July, Highest since March 2007
  84. Bernanke: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  85. Industrial Production increased 0.4% in June, Capacity Utilization increased
  86. BLS: CPI unchanged in June
  87. Report: Housing Inventory declines 19.4% year-over-year in June
  88. Tuesday: Bernanke, CPI, Industrial Production, Builder Confidence
  89. LA area Port Traffic: Imports and Exports up YoY in June
  90. Report: HARP Refis increase signficantly
  91. Downward Revisions: Q2 GDP Tracking around 1.1%
  92. Earlier: Empire State Survey shows modest expansion in July
  93. Retail Sales decline 0.5% in June
  94. Monday: Retail Sales, Empire State Manufacturing Survey
  95. Gasoline Prices: "Comparative stability"
  96. Fed's Lockhart on Monetary Policy
  97. NY Times: Possible Criminal Charges in LIBOR Scandal
  98. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 912 Institutions
  99. Schedule for Week of July 15th
  100. Summary for Week ending July 13th
  101. Libor Scandal: Old Articles
  102. Bank Failure #33 in 2012: Glasgow Savings Bank, Glasgow, Missouri
  103. Market Update: More than a Lost Decade
  104. Hotels: Occupancy Rate declines in latest weekly survey
  105. Consumer Sentiment declines in July to 72.0
  106. PPI increases 0.1%, JPMorgan reports $4.4 billion CIO Loss
  107. Friday: JPMorgan Results, PPI, Consumer sentiment
  108. Foreclosure Report: California "Homebuyers should brace themselves for significantly less inventory next year"
  109. CoreLogic: Negative Equity Decreases in Q1 2012
  110. Redfin: House prices increased in June, Inventory declined
  111. Buffett: US Housing Picking Up, Rest of economy slowing down
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 350,000 due to onetime factors
  113. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Import and Export Prices
  114. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in June
  115. FOMC Minutes: Several Members noted "additional policy action could be warranted" if economy loses "momentum"
  116. WSJ: The U.S. Housing Bust Is Over
  117. Trade Deficit declines in May to $48.7 Billion
  118. MBA: Record low mortgage rates, Mortgage Purchase activity increases slightly
  119. Wednesday: Trade Balance, FOMC Minutes
  120. Sacramento: Percentage of Distressed House Sales lowest in years in June
  121. Foreclosure Supply and the Housing Market
  122. Las Vegas Real Estate: Inventory down sharply
  123. BLS: Job Openings increased in May
  124. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in June
  125. Tuesday: Small Business Confidence, JOLTS
  126. Phoenix Housing: Sharp decline in Foreclosure Sales
  127. Q1 2012: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal strongly negative
  128. Fed's Williams: Unemployment above Target, Inflation below Target, QE3 "most effective tool"
  129. LPS: Mortgages in Foreclosure still near record high, Much higher in Judicial States
  130. Monday: LPS Mortgage Delinquency Report, Consumer Credit
  131. Fed Speak and a few Key Fed Dates
  132. Employment Report Graphs: Participation Rate, Duration of Unemployment and Diffusion Indexes
  133. Percent Job Losses: Great Recession and Great Depression
  134. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 913 Institutions
  135. Schedule for Week of July 8th
  136. Summary for Week ending July 6th
  137. Bank Failure #32 in 2012: Montgomery Bank & Trust, Ailey, Georgia
  138. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in June, Intermodal at Record Level
  139. Where are the construction jobs?
  140. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q2
  141. Employment: Another Weak Report (more graphs)
  142. June Employment Report: 80,000 Jobs, 8.2% Unemployment Rate
  143. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  144. Consumer Bankruptcy filings Decrease 13 Percent in First Half of 2012
  145. Employment Situation Preview
  146. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index declines, indicates slower expansion in June
  147. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 374,000
  148. ADP: Private Employment increased 176,000 in June
  149. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  150. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 4.7% in Q2
  151. Thursday: ISM Service, ADP Employment, ECB, Unemployment Claims
  152. "The Handoff – Manufacuturing to Housing"
  153. Housing: Seriously Dude, Where's my inventory?
  154. Martin Wolf on Europe: A Step in the Right Direction
  155. House Prices: Goldman sort of Calls the Bottom
  156. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.1 million annual rate in June
  157. Manufacturing vs. Housing
  158. FHFA: "Robust" Market Reponse to Bulk REO Pilot Program
  159. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in June
  160. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2 at 17.2%
  161. Tuesday: Auto Sales, Factory Orders
  162. CoreLogic: House Price Index increases in May, Up 2.0% Year-over-year
  163. Construction Spending in May: Private spending increases, Public Spending declines
  164. ISM Manufacturing index declines in June to 49.7
  165. Eurozone Recession: Record Unemployment, Manufacturing Shrinks
  166. Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending
  167. Housing: Investor Buying in Oakland
  168. Update: Recovery Measures
  169. June Contest Winners: A Tie!

June 2012

  1. On Europe
  2. Schedule for Week of July 1st
  3. Summary for Week ending June 29th
  4. Unofficial Problem Bank List declines to 917 Institutions, Quarterly Transition Matrix
  5. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency rates declined in May
  6. Restaurant Performance Index declines in May, Still shows expansion
  7. CoreLogic: 63,000 completed foreclosures in May
  8. Consumer Sentiment declines in June to 73.2
  9. Personal Income increased 0.2% in May, Spending decreased slightly
  10. Tomorrow: Personal Income and Outlays for May, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  11. Europe: Growth Pact Update
  12. A QE Timeline
  13. Kansas City Fed: Growth in Regional Manufacturing Activity Slowed in June
  14. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims mostly unchanged
  15. Tomorrow: Unemployment Claims, Q1 GDP (third estimate)
  16. Number of Cities with Increasing House Prices
  17. Lawler on Lennar: Net Home Orders Jump, Pricing Improves in “Most” Markets
  18. Merle Hazard: "Fiscal Cliff"
  19. Housing: Inventory and Negative Equity
  20. NAR: Pending home sales index increased 5.9% in May
  21. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  22. Look Ahead: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  23. Misc: Richmond Fed Survey shows contraction, Consumer confidence declines
  24. House Prices to increase 10%?
  25. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio
  26. Case Shiller: House Prices increased in April
  27. Look Ahead: Case-Shiller House Prices
  28. When will the Case-Shiller house price index turn positive Year-over-year?
  29. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Surges" in June
  30. Home Sales Reports: What Matters
  31. New Home Sales increase in May to 369,000 Annual Rate
  32. Chicago Fed: Economic growth slower in May
  33. Look Ahead: New Home Sales
  34. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 0.4% in April
  35. Housing: Jumbo Borrowers Trapped Underwater
  36. Gasoline Prices: $3 per gallon?
  37. Summary for Week ending June 22nd
  38. Schedule for Week of June 24th
  39. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 921 Institutions
  40. Zillow's forecast for Case-Shiller House Price index in April
  41. Reports: European Leaders to Push for €130 billion Stimulus
  42. Europe: Spain to make Official Aid Request Monday, ECB releases new Collateral Rules
  43. A Different Look at Inflation: MIT's Billion Price Project
  44. Residential Remodeling Index increases 2 percent in April
  45. Different Views on QE3 Timing
  46. Mortgage Rates: Another Week, Another Record Low
  47. Misc: Philly Fed, Leading Indicators, FHFA House Price index increases 0.8%
  48. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  49. Existing Home Sales in May: 4.55 million SAAR, 6.6 months of supply
  50. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims mostly unchanged, Four week average highest this year
  51. Look Ahead: Existing Home Sales
  52. Bernanke Paves the Way for QE3 on August 1st
  53. Census: Number of Shared Households increased 2.25 million from 2007 to 2010
  54. FOMC Projections and Bernanke Press Conference
  55. FOMC Statement: Continue Twist through end of Year
  56. AIA: Architecture Billings Index declines sharply in May
  57. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies increased in May
  58. MBA: FHA Mortgage Refinance Applications increase sharply
  59. Look Ahead: Fed Day
  60. ATA Trucking index declined 0.7% in May
  61. Comments on Housing and Article on Yahoo
  62. BLS: Job Openings declined in April
  63. Housing Starts at 708 thousand in May, Single Family starts increase to 516 thousand
  64. Look Ahead: Housing Starts
  65. Report: Fed concerned about "Credit divide"
  66. Lawler: Fannie, Freddie Delinquency Rates and REO by State for March
  67. FNC: Residential Property Values increase 0.6% in April
  68. NAHB Builder Confidence increases slightly in June, Highest since May 2007
  69. Spanish Bond Yields above 7.25%
  70. Sunday Night: Asian Stocks and US Futures Up
  71. FOMC Preview: QE3 now or later?
  72. Report: Greece's New Democracy projected to win, Expected to form government
  73. Greece: Exit Polls show close voting
  74. Greece Election: Voting now, Polls close at Noon ET
  75. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 919 Institutions
  76. Schedule for Week of June 17th
  77. Summary for Week ending June 15th
  78. David Rosenberg cracks me up!
  79. Bank Failures #29 - #31 in 2012
  80. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
  81. LA area Port Traffic: Imports down YoY, Exports mostly unchanged in May
  82. State Unemployment Rates little changed in May
  83. Consumer Sentiment declines in June to 74.1
  84. Industrial Production down in May, Capacity Utilization declined
  85. NY Fed: Regional manufacturing activity "expanded slightly" in June Survey
  86. Look Ahead: Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment and more
  87. Greece: Election results expected at 2:30 PM ET Sunday, Unemployment Rate hits Record 22.6%
  88. Hotels: Occupancy Rate close to Pre-Recession Levels
  89. Key Measures show slowing inflation in May
  90. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory declines 15% year-over-year
  91. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 386,000
  92. Look Ahead: CPI, Weekly Unemployment Claims, Greece
  93. DataQuick: SoCal home sales up in May
  94. Tim Duy: "Is Anyone Answering the Phones at the ECB?"
  95. Report: Housing Inventory declines 20.1% year-over-year in May
  96. Redfin: House prices increased 2.2% Year-over-year in May
  97. Retail Sales decline 0.2% in May
  98. MBA: Mortgage Applications Reach Highest Level Since 2009
  99. Look Ahead: Retail Sales
  100. JPMorgan Provides example of "Orderly Liquidation" after a catastrophic loss
  101. European Crisis Commentary
  102. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities
  103. Report: HARP 2 Refinancing activity increases
  104. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index "Stagnates" in May
  105. Look Ahead: Small Business Optimism Index, Import and Export Prices
  106. Sacramento: Percentage of Distressed House Sales lowest in years in May
  107. Fed Survey: From 2007 to 2010, Median Family income declined 7.7%, Median Net Worth declined 38.8%
  108. Gasoline Prices decline 16 cent over the past three weeks
  109. CoreLogic: Impact of negative equity on the Supply of Unsold Homes
  110. Sunday Night: Asian Stocks and US Futures Up
  111. LA Times: "Shortage of homes for sale creates fierce competition"
  112. China economic data "mixed"
  113. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 923 Institutions
  114. Spain to ask EU for Bank Bailout
  115. Schedule for Week of June 10th
  116. Report: Euro zone discussing €100 billion aid for Spanish Banks
  117. Summary for Week Ending June 8th
  118. IMF reports Spanish Banks need €37 billion; China CPI up 3.0%
  119. Bank Failures #26 to #28 in 2012
  120. Bank Failure #25 in 2012: First Capital Bank, Kingfisher, Oklahoma
  121. Las Vegas House sales up YoY in May, Inventory down sharply
  122. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in May
  123. Trade Deficit declines in April to $50.1 Billion
  124. Look Ahead: Trade Deficit, China data on Saturday
  125. Lower Costs on FHA's Streamline Refinance Program are effective on June 11th
  126. Record Low Mortgage Rates and Increasing Refinance Activity
  127. Fed's Q1 Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate Value increased in Q1
  128. Bernanke Senate Testimony: "Prepared to take action as needed"
  129. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 377,000
  130. Look Ahead: Bernanke, Weekly unemployment claims, Q1 Flow of Funds
  131. Fed's Yellen: "Scope remains for further policy accommodation"
  132. Housing Inventory and Price Expectations
  133. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased at "moderate" pace, Residential real estate "activity improved"
  134. WSJ: ECB's Draghi see "heightened risks", Takes no action
  135. MBA: Refinance Activity increases as Mortgage Rates fall to New Record Low
  136. Look Ahead
  137. Comparing Housing Recoveries
  138. Housing: Dude, Where's my inventory?
  139. Trulia: Asking House Prices Unchanged in May
  140. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slightly faster expansion in May
  141. CoreLogic: House Price Index increases in April, Up 1.1% Year-over-year
  142. WSJ: Spain Warns of Losing Access to Markets for Borrowing
  143. Look Ahead: ISM non-manufacturing index
  144. The Misfiring Engine of Recovery
  145. G7 Emergency Talks on Tuesday
  146. BIS Quarterly Review: Global Banks Cut Lending
  147. Gasoline prices declining
  148. Sunday Night Futures
  149. Sluggish Growth and Payroll Employment: An Update
  150. Europe: A few Key Dates this Month
  151. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 927 Institutions
  152. Schedule for Week of June 3rd
  153. Summary for Week Ending June 1st
  154. Employment Report Graphs: Construction, Duration of Unemployment and Diffusion Indexes
  155. Update: State and Local Government Job Losses
  156. Fannie Mae Serious Delinquency rate declined in April, Freddie Mac unchanged
  157. Personal Income increased 0.2% in April, Spending 0.3%
  158. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.8 million annual rate in May
  159. Construction Spending in April: Private spending increases, Public Spending declines
  160. May Employment Summary and Discussion
  161. ISM Manufacturing index declines in May to 53.5
  162. May Employment Report: 69,000 Jobs, 8.2% Unemployment Rate
  163. May Contest Winners and Look Ahead

May 2012

  1. LPS: Foreclosures Sales declined in April, FHA foreclosure starts increased sharply
  2. Employment Situation Preview
  3. NY Fed: Consumer Deleveraging Continued in Q1, but Student Loan Debt Continued to Grow
  4. Chicago PMI declines to 52.7
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 383,000
  6. ADP: Private Employment increased 133,000 in May
  7. Look Ahead: GDP, ADP Employment, Weekly Unemployment Claims, Chicago PMI
  8. Lawler: Pending Home Sales and updated Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities
  9. House Prices: The Turning Point
  10. CoreLogic: 66,000 completed foreclosures in April
  11. NAR: Pending home sales index declined 5.5% in April
  12. MBA: Mortgage Rates Drop to New Survey Lows
  13. Case-Shiller Seasonal Factors
  14. House Prices: From "bold call" to consensus in four months
  15. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Expands but New Orders Remain Flat
  16. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio at late '90s Levels
  17. Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in March NSA
  18. Extended Unemployment Benefits ending for many long term unemployed
  19. Monday Night Futures
  20. Number of Cities with Increasing House Prices
  21. Borrowing costs increase for Spain and Italy
  22. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 931 Institutions
  23. A few Employment Report Forecasts
  24. New home construction picks up in Las Vegas
  25. Conviction: Fraud for Housing
  26. Schedule for Week of May 27th
  27. Summary for Week of May 25th
  28. Friday Night Humor: Ivy League Hustle
  29. Lawler: Q1 REO inventory of "the F's", PLS, and FDIC-insured institutions combined down about 20% from a year ago
  30. More Pain in Spain
  31. Zillow's forecast for Case-Shiller House Price index in March, Zillow index shows prices increased in April
  32. Consumer Sentiment increases in May to 79.3
  33. Tim Duy: "Is QE3 Just Around the Corner?"
  34. European Gloom and Look Ahead: Consumer sentiment
  35. Record Low Mortgage Rates and Refinance Activity
  36. Lawler: Post-Census Study of Census 2010
  37. Misc: Kansas City Fed manufacturing index "Rebounds", "Flash PMI" shows slower expansion, Mortgage Rates at record low
  38. FDIC-insured institutions’ 1-4 Family Real Estate Owned (REO) decreased in Q1
  39. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims essentially unchanged at 370,000
  40. Grexit Update and Look Ahead: Durable Goods, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  41. Kolko: Dissecting the House Price Indices
  42. FHFA: Quarterly House Price Index shows first year-over-year gain since 2007
  43. New Home Sales Comments
  44. New Home Sales increase in April to 343,000 Annual Rate
  45. MBA: Mortgage Refinance activity increases, Mortgage Rates at Record Low
  46. Look Ahead: New Home Sales
  47. ATA Trucking index declined 1.1% in April
  48. Lawler: Comments on Existing home sales and FHA REO
  49. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  50. Existing Home Sales in April: 4.62 million SAAR, 6.6 months of supply
  51. New Push for Eurozone Bonds
  52. Look Ahead: Existing Home Sales
  53. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies increased slightly in April
  54. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.9% in March
  55. FNC: Residential Property Values increase 0.5% in March
  56. Chicago Fed: Economic growth near historical trend in April
  57. Sunday Night Futures
  58. Comment: We need more and better data, not less
  59. The Real Estate Agent Bust
  60. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 928 Institutions
  61. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent compared to New Home Sales
  62. Schedule for Week of May 20th
  63. Summary for Week of May 18th
  64. Van Rompuy Statement: "Stay the course" in Europe, "Pro-growth agenda" in June
  65. Bank Failure #24 in 2012: Alabama Trust Bank
  66. Grexit Update
  67. State Unemployment Rates decline in 37 states in April
  68. Hotels: RevPAR increases 4.5% compared to same week in 2011
  69. Misc: Record Low Mortgage Rates, Spanish Banks downgraded, and more
  70. Greece: Election is June 17th
  71. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April
  72. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure activity declined in April
  73. Philly Fed: Regional manufacturing activity contracted in May Survey
  74. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 370,000
  75. Look Ahead: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey
  76. Some thoughts on Apartments and Rents
  77. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates contraction in April
  78. Report: Housing Inventory declines 18.9% year-over-year
  79. FOMC Minutes: "Several members indicated that additional monetary policy accommodation could be necessary" if economy slows
  80. Q1 MBA National Delinquency Survey Comments
  81. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies decline in Q1
  82. Industrial Production up in April, Capacity Utilization increases
  83. Housing Starts increase to 717,000 in April
  84. Look Ahead: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, Mortgage Delinquencies, FOMC Minutes
  85. Misc: NY Fed Manufacturing Survey, Remodeling Index
  86. Lawler: Update Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities
  87. Key Measures of Inflation in April
  88. NAHB Builder Confidence increases in May, Highest since May 2007
  89. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in April
  90. Look Ahead: Retail sales, CPI, Home Builder Confidence, NY Fed Manufacturing Survey
  91. Update on Gasoline Prices: West Coast Refinery Problems
  92. Housing: The Return of Multiple Offers
  93. Oil and Gasoline Prices, and the Reversal of Seaway Pipeline
  94. Spanish and Italian Bond Yields Increase
  95. Look Ahead: Sunday Night Futures
  96. Greek Exit: Looking more likely
  97. Europe Update: Next Greek Election, Euro-area GDP expected to show recession
  98. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 924 Institutions
  99. Gov. Brown: California Deficit increases to $16 Billion
  100. Schedule for Week of May 13th
  101. Summary for Week of May 11th
  102. Bookies stop taking bets on Greece leaving the euro
  103. Lawler: Fannie SF REO Inventory: Total vs. “Listed/Available for Sale”
  104. Las Vegas: Visitor Traffic at New High, Convention Attendance Lags
  105. Consumer Sentiment increases in May to 77.8
  106. PPI declines 0.2% in April, Core PPI increased 0.2%
  107. Look Ahead: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  108. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.2% in February
  109. JPM: $2 billion trading loss on synthetic credit position
  110. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities
  111. Sacramento: Percentage of Distressed House Sales increases slightly in April
  112. NAHB: Builder Confidence in the 55+ Housing Market Increases
  113. Trade Deficit increased in March to $51.8 Billion
  114. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 367,000
  115. Look Ahead: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
  116. Greece Updates: Policy Failure
  117. Lawler: REO inventory of "the F's" and PLS
  118. Fannie Mae reports $2.7 billion in income, REO inventory declines in Q1 2012
  119. MBA: Mortgage Purchase activity increased, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  120. Look Ahead: Light Economic Day, Articles on Government Employment
  121. Las Vegas House sales up slightly YoY in April, Inventory down sharply
  122. Greece: New Elections Likely, Odds increase for Eurozone Exit
  123. The economic impact of stabilizing house prices?
  124. BLS: Job Openings increased in March
  125. CoreLogic: House Price Index increases in March, Down 0.6% Year-over-year
  126. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in April
  127. BofA Starts Settlement related Principal Reduction Program
  128. Look Ahead: Small Business Optimism Index, Job Openings
  129. The Declining Participation Rate
  130. Freddie Mac: Lower REO Expense in Q1 due to "stabilizing home prices in certain geographical areas"
  131. Housing: Inventory declines 21% year-over-year in early May
  132. Former Housing Bear Lewis Ranieri calls housing bottom
  133. Update: Gasoline Prices down 15 cents year-over-year
  134. Look Ahead: Futures Down
  135. "Rents soar"
  136. Exit Polls: Hollande Wins French Runoff, Greek vote split
  137. Mish on "Rentership" and House Prices
  138. Elections: France and Greece
  139. France and Greece Election Times
  140. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in April
  141. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 925 Institutions
  142. Schedule for Week of May 6th
  143. Summary for Week ending May 4th
  144. Bank Failure #23 in 2012: Security Bank, National Association, North Lauderdale, Florida
  145. More Graphs: Construction Employment, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  146. Another Housing Bear leaves the Woods
  147. Graph: U.S. Housing Market Summary
  148. April Employment Summary and Discussion
  149. April Employment Report: 115,000 Jobs, 8.1% Unemployment Rate
  150. Look Ahead: April Employment Report, European Elections
  151. Freddie Mac: Fixed Mortgage Rates Average New All-Time Record Lows
  152. NFIB: Small Business hiring was weak in April, "Outlook improves"
  153. Employment Situation Preview
  154. Trulia on Houses: Asking Prices increase slightly Year-over-year in April
  155. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in April
  156. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 365,000
  157. Look Ahead: Unemployment Claims, ISM Services, and ECB
  158. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal update
  159. Lawler: Update on Home Builder Sales
  160. Over There: Euro zone unemployment rate rises to 10.9%
  161. LPS: March Foreclosure Starts increase, Foreclosure Sales lowest since December 2010
  162. ADP: Private Employment increased 119,000 in April
  163. New Short Sales Guidelines from Fannie and Freddie
  164. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.42 million annual rate in April
  165. Construction Spending increases slightly in March
  166. ISM Manufacturing index indicates faster expansion in April
  167. CoreLogic: 69,000 completed foreclosures in March 2012
  168. Chrysler: U.S. April sales increased 20% year-over-year
  169. Contest Questions and April Winner

April 2012

  1. Restaurant Performance Index increases in March
  2. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency rates declined in March
  3. Fed: On net, Domestic Banks eased their lending standards and experienced stronger demand over the last 3 months
  4. Q1 2012 GDP Details: Office and Mall Investment falls to record low, Single Family investment increases
  5. HVS: Q1 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  6. Chicago PMI declines to 56.2
  7. Personal Income increased 0.4% in March, Spending 0.3%
  8. Housing: The "Long Bottom"
  9. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 930 Institutions
  10. Recovery Measures
  11. The upward slope of Real House Prices
  12. Schedule for Week of April 29th
  13. Summary for Week ending April 27th
  14. Lack of Demand
  15. Bank Failure #22: Palm Desert National Bank, Palm Desert, California
  16. Bank Failures #18 through #21 in 2012
  17. WSJ on Housing: "Bidding wars are back"
  18. Q1 GDP: Comments and Investment
  19. Consumer Sentiment increases slightly in April to 76.4
  20. Real GDP increased 2.2% annual rate in Q1
  21. "Private money coming back into the housing finance market"
  22. Contest Question: Will real GDP be above or below consensus?
  23. Lawler: Builder Reports Exceed Expectations
  24. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten in Q1 2012
  25. Misc: Kansas City Fed index weakens, Mortgage Rates near record low, Radar Logic house prices
  26. NAR: Pending home sales index increased in March
  27. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 388,000
  28. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure activity mixed in Q1
  29. San Francisco Rents "On a tear"
  30. Housing Bottom Callers: Zelman, Thornberg
  31. FOMC Forecasts and Bernanke Press Conference
  32. FOMC Statement: Economy "expanding moderately"
  33. The Bottom for House Prices
  34. ATA Trucking index Increased 0.2% in March
  35. MBA: Mortgage Purchase activity increased slightly, Refinance activity declined, Record Low Mortgage Rates
  36. Misc: California 99ers Lose 20 Weeks, Richmond Fed index increases, FHFA House Prices increase year-over-year
  37. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increased in March
  38. LPS: Percent of delinquent mortgage loans declined in March
  39. Comments on Housing and "Distressing Gap" Graph
  40. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio at late '90s Levels
  41. New Home Sales in March at 328,000 Annual Rate
  42. Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in February NSA
  43. Two Convicted of Mortgage Fraud in San Diego
  44. Lawler: Early Builder Reports Point to “Pretty Decent” Spring Selling Season, Contest Questions
  45. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.8% in February
  46. FNC: February Residential Property Values Down 0.8%
  47. Eurozone Worries Again
  48. Sunday Night Futures
  49. From the WSJ: Hilsenrath's FOMC Preview
  50. Housing Survey: Fewer "low ball" Offers in 2012
  51. FOMC Meeting Preview
  52. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 939 Institutions
  53. Schedule for Week of April 22nd
  54. Summary for Week ending April 20th
  55. FT Alphaville: FOMC pre-preview
  56. Bank Failure #17 in 2012: Fort Lee Federal Savings Bank, FSB, Fort Lee, NJ
  57. Zillow's forecast for Case-Shiller House Price index in February
  58. Residential Investment and the Housing Industry Recovery
  59. State Unemployment Rates decline in 30 states in March
  60. Spanish 10 year bond yields near 6%
  61. State and Local Government Payroll Employment Stabilizing?
  62. Homeowner Financial Obligation Ratio near normal, Mortgage obligations still high
  63. Philly Fed: "Regional manufacturing activity expanded modestly" in April Survey
  64. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  65. Existing Home Sales in March: 4.48 million SAAR, 6.3 months of supply
  66. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 386,000
  67. Some thoughts on housing and foreclosures
  68. Lawler: Evaluation of Gross Vacancy Rates From the 2010 Census Versus Current Surveys
  69. Local Home Builder: "Spring selling season is off to a great start"
  70. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates expansion in March
  71. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease, Refinance activity increases
  72. New Short Sale timelines and HARP Updates
  73. DataQuick: Socal Home Sales increased slightly in March year-over-year
  74. Comments on the Housing Recovery and Starts and Completions
  75. Housing Misc: Short Sales surpass Foreclosures, Asking prices up, Inventory down year-over-year
  76. Industrial Production unchanged in March, Capacity Utilization declines
  77. Housing Starts decline in March
  78. LA area Port Traffic increases in March, Exports hit new record
  79. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March
  80. NY Fed: Manufacturing Activity "improved modestly" in April
  81. Residential Remodeling Index increases 3% in February
  82. NAHB Builder Confidence declines in April
  83. Retail Sales increased 0.8% in March
  84. Europe: Sarkozy calls on ECB to support growth
  85. Krugman: "Insane in Spain"
  86. Lou Barnes on Boulder, Colorado Housing
  87. Percent Job Losses: Great Recession and Great Depression
  88. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 944 Institutions
  89. Schedule for Week of April 15th
  90. Summary for Week ending April 13th
  91. More foreclosure thoughts: What's in a name?
  92. Lawler: Expect NAR to report a 3% Year-over-year increase in the Median Price for March
  93. BofA sues BofA in Foreclosure Filing: More "Robo foreclosure"?
  94. Bernanke: "Some Reflections on the Crisis and the Policy Response"
  95. Key Measures of Inflation in March
  96. Consumer Sentiment declines slightly in April to 75.7
  97. BLS: CPI increases 0.3% in March
  98. Freddie Mac: 15-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage Hits New All-Time Record
  99. Analyst: Rising Rents "could tip the cost of housing in favor of ownership"
  100. Sacramento: Lowest percentage of Distressed House Sales in years
  101. Strategic Defaulters vs. Strategic Modifiers
  102. Trade Deficit declined in February to $46 Billion
  103. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 380,000
  104. RealtyTrac: Q1 2012 Foreclosure Activity Lowest Since Q4 2007
  105. Fed's Yellen: Discusses "keeping the funds rate close to zero until late 2015"
  106. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased at "modest to moderate" pace, Residential real estate "activity improved"
  107. Labor Force Participation Rate Projection Update
  108. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease, Rates decline slightly
  109. "US mortgage and foreclosure law"
  110. Las Vegas House sales up slightly YoY in March, Inventory down sharply
  111. San Francisco Commercial Real Estate: First Spec Office Building since Recession
  112. BLS: Job Openings increased slightly in February
  113. Webcast: Speech by FHFA acting director Edward DeMarco
  114. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declined in March
  115. Bernanke: Fostering Financial Stability
  116. Update: Gasoline Prices
  117. Hamilton: Current economic conditions
  118. LPS: House Price Index declined 0.9% in January
  119. Sunday Night Futures and FHFA Speech on Tuesday
  120. More: Mall Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q1
  121. Housing Story: Owning vs. Renting
  122. HUD Secretary on Principal Reductions
  123. Unofficial Problem Bank List and Quarterly Transition Matrix
  124. Schedule for Week of April 8th
  125. Summary for Week ending April 6th
  126. Stand-up economist Yoram Bauman: S*** happens: the economics version
  127. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in March
  128. Construction Employment, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  129. Employment Summary and Discussion
  130. March Employment Report: 120,000 Jobs, 8.2% Unemployment Rate
  131. Reis: Strip Mall Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q1
  132. Existing Home Inventory declines 20% year-over-year in early April
  133. Federal Reserve Issues Statement on Rental of REOs
  134. Employment Situation Preview
  135. More: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly to 17.2% in Q1
  136. Trulia announces new "mix adjusted" House Asking Price Monitor, Prices up 1.4% from Q4
  137. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 357,000
  138. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q1 to 17.2%
  139. Jamie Dimon's "Brain Freeze" and Comments on Housing
  140. FHFA's DeMarco: FHFA to make decision on GSE Principal Reductions this month
  141. More: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 4.9% in Q1
  142. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 0.3% in March
  143. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in March
  144. CoreLogic: House Price Index falls to new post-bubble low in February, Rate of decline slows
  145. ADP: Private Employment increased 209,000 in March
  146. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 4.9% in Q1
  147. Lawler comments on FHA Single-Family Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund Quarterly Report to Congress
  148. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.4 million annual rate in March
  149. FOMC Minutes: No Push for QE3
  150. Update on Possible GSE Principal Reductions
  151. LPS: February Foreclosure Starts and Sales Reversed Prior Month’s Increases
  152. Bloomberg article on House Prices
  153. Jim the Realtor: Multiple Offers at the low-to-mid end
  154. WaPo: Student Debt and Senior Citizens
  155. Wells Fargo on Housing: Better Days Ahead, Prices to bottom mid-year
  156. Construction Spending declines in February
  157. ISM Manufacturing index indicates slightly faster expansion in March
  158. Over There: Unemployment rate at new high in Euro Zone
  159. WaPo on Investors buying Foreclosures to Rent
  160. And the winner is ... me!
  161. McCulley: Monetary and Fiscal policy must be "irresponsible" in a liquidity trap

March 2012

  1. Personal Saving Rate and Real Personal Income less Transfer Payments
  2. Schedule for Week of April 1st
  3. Summary for Week ending March 30th
  4. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 948 Institutions
  5. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Serious Delinquency rates declined in February
  6. Bank Failure #16 in 2012: Fidelity Bank, Dearborn, Michigan
  7. Restaurant Performance Index increases in February
  8. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in February
  9. Misc: Chicago PMI declines to 62.2, Consumer Sentiment improves
  10. Personal Income increased 0.2% in February, Spending 0.8%
  11. Los Angeles Mayor to "lay off a large number of employees"
  12. Q4 GDP and GDI
  13. Bernanke: "The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis" Part 4
  14. CoreLogic: Almost 65,000 completed foreclosures in February 2012
  15. Kansas City Fed: Growth in Manufacturing Activity Moderated Slightly in March
  16. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 359,000
  17. Update: Gasoline Prices
  18. JPMorgan CEO on Housing
  19. The long term impact of unemployment
  20. Report: US, UK and France considering releasing Oil
  21. MBA: Refinance Applications Drop for Sixth Consecutive Week
  22. Update: Greek Election in late April or May
  23. Housing: Toll Brothers "Orders up significantly", "Best Spring season in five years"
  24. Bernanke Interview on ABC at 6:30 PM
  25. ATA Trucking index Increased 0.5% in February
  26. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio decline to late '90s Levels
  27. Misc: Lennar reports 33% increase in orders, Richmond Fed survey shows slower Expansion, Consumer confidence declines
  28. Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in January
  29. House Prices and Lagged Data
  30. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Expansion Continues in March
  31. Lawler on possible Fannie and Freddie Principal Reductions
  32. Comment: QE3 Remains Likely
  33. NAR: Pending home sales index decreases in February
  34. Chicago Fed: Economic Growth in February "near average"
  35. Bernanke: Labor Market "remain far from normal"
  36. Report: Germany to allow increase to "Firewall"
  37. Update on HARP 2
  38. ProPublica: Fannie and Freddie Principal Writedowns
  39. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 949 Institutions
  40. Schedule for Week of March 25th
  41. Summary for Week ending March 23rd
  42. Bank Failure #15 in 2012: Premier Bank, Wilmette, Illinois
  43. Bank Failure #14 in 2012: Covenant Bank & Trust, Rock Spring, Georgia
  44. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.6% in January
  45. Zillow's forecast for Case-Shiller House Price index in January
  46. Home Sales: Distressing Gap
  47. New Home Sales decline in February to 313,000 Annual Rate
  48. KB Home: Deliveries Up, Net Orders down year-over-year
  49. WSJ: BofA to try Deed-in-lieu to Rental Program
  50. Bernanke: "The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis" Part 2
  51. Other House Price Indexes: FNC and RadarLogic
  52. Manufactured Home Shipments up 33% year-over-year in January
  53. Misc: Merrill House prices"bottoming now", FHFA House price index unchanged in January
  54. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 348,000
  55. Housing: "Signs of Life"
  56. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory remains at 1.6 million units
  57. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  58. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicated expansion in February
  59. Existing Home Sales in February: 4.59 million SAAR, 6.4 months of supply
  60. LPS: Percent of delinquent mortgage loans declined in February
  61. MBA: Mortgage Refinance activity slows as rates rise, "Sand States" now "HARP states"
  62. Greece: Parliament Approves Bailout
  63. Bernanke: "The Federal Reserve and the Financial Crisis" Part 1
  64. LPS: 91,086 completed foreclosures in January 2012
  65. Philly Fed State Coincident Indexes increased in January
  66. Starts and Completions: Multi-family and Single Family
  67. Housing Starts decline slightly in February
  68. Market Update: Still a Lost Decade
  69. Lawler on FHA: Number of Seriously Delinquent SF Loans Down Slightly in February, Way Up from Year Ago
  70. Desktop Underwriter® Refi Plus and Wells Fargo
  71. NAHB Builder Confidence index unchanged in March
  72. Residential Remodeling Index increases 11% year-over-year in January
  73. HARP Update: Fannie Mae updates Desktop Underwriter® (DU)
  74. Oil and Gasoline Prices
  75. Some humor from Jim the Realtor
  76. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Bush and Obama
  77. Year-over-year Change in Public and Private Payroll Employment
  78. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 952 Institutions
  79. Schedule for Week of March 18th
  80. Summary for Week ending March 16th
  81. Norris: Full Service Restaurants and Okun's Law
  82. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
  83. Key Measures of Inflation in February
  84. Consumer Sentiment declines in March to 74.3
  85. Industrial Production unchanged in February, Capacity Utilization declines
  86. BLS: CPI increases 0.4% in February
  87. Housing: Seasonality for Searches, Starts, Sales and Prices
  88. DataQuick: Bay Area California Home Sales increased in February
  89. CoreLogic: 69,000 completed foreclosures in January 2012
  90. Philly Fed and Empire State Manufacturing Surveys indicate slightly stronger expansion in March
  91. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 351,000
  92. LA area Port Traffic declines in February
  93. Lawler: Updated “Distressed Sales” Shares Table, Select Areas
  94. DataQuick: Socal Home Sales increased in February
  95. Las Vegas House sales up 13% YoY in February, Inventory off sharply
  96. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications increase
  97. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 0.7% in February
  98. Fed: 15 of 19 Banks passed adverse stress test scenario
  99. Fed to Release Stress Test Results Today at 4:30PM ET
  100. FOMC Statement: No changes, economy "expanding moderately"
  101. State Unemployment Rates "generally lower" in January
  102. BLS: Job Openings unchanged in January
  103. Retail Sales increased 1.1% in February
  104. NFIB: Small Business Optimism increases slightly in February
  105. Housing: Short Sales increase, Foreclosure Sales down Year-over-year
  106. Mortgage Settlement filed with Court
  107. Report: New Bank Stress Test results expected by Thursday
  108. Report: Public transportation ridership increases 2.3% in 2011
  109. Report: Mortgage Settlement might be filed in court Monday
  110. Lawler: REO inventory of "the F's", PLS, and FDIC-insured institutions combined down about 21% last year
  111. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for February
  112. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in February
  113. Construction Employment, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  114. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 956 Institutions
  115. Schedule for Week of March 11th
  116. Summary for Week Ending March 9th
  117. Lawler: Hovnanian says Spring Selling Season “Off to a Good Start”
  118. Bank Failure #13 in 2012: New City Bank, Chicago, Illinois
  119. Freddie Mac: REO inventory declines 16% in 2011
  120. Trade Deficit increased in January to $52.6 Billion
  121. Employment Summary and Discussion
  122. February Employment Report: 227,000 Jobs, 8.3% Unemployment Rate
  123. A few Greek Debt Deal Details
  124. PIMCO's Taj Mahal
  125. Employment Situation Preview
  126. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Real Estate Value declined $213 billion in Q4
  127. Report on Greek Debt Deal: "more than 75 percent and heading for 80 percent" participation
  128. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 362,000
  129. Thursday: Another Key Day for Greece
  130. Lawler: 31% of FHA loans in negative equity
  131. CFO Survey: U.S. Employment Growth to Accelerate
  132. LPS: House Price Index declined 1.0% in December
  133. CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.0% in January to new post-bubble low
  134. ADP: Private Employment increased 216,000 in February
  135. Some more comments on Housing Inventory
  136. Hamilton: The impact of oil prices on the U.S. economy
  137. FHA Reduces Fees to Encourage Refinancing
  138. Greek Update: Collective action clause
  139. LPS: Foreclosure Starts and Sales increase Sharply in January
  140. Housing: Year over Year change in Asking Prices
  141. Lawler: Maryland and Foreclosures: Living for Free in the Free State?
  142. Existing Home Inventory declines 21% year-over-year in early March
  143. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates faster expansion in February
  144. HAMP for Investors
  145. The Fed and QE3
  146. Report: Small Businesses added 45,000 jobs in February
  147. Personal Saving Rate and Income less Transfer Payments
  148. Unofficial Problem Bank list at 959 Institutions
  149. Schedule for Week of March 4th
  150. Summary for Week Ending March 2nd
  151. The Dentist Indicator
  152. Bank Failure #12 in 2012: Georgia again
  153. House Prices and Future Contracts
  154. Hotels: RevPAR increases 6.9% compared to same week in 2011
  155. Europe Update
  156. Greece Update
  157. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 15.1 million annual rate in February
  158. CoreLogic: 11.1 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q4
  159. Construction Spending declines slightly in January
  160. ISM Manufacturing index indicates slower expansion in February
  161. Personal Income increased 0.3% in January, Spending 0.2%
  162. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline slightly to 351,000
  163. Restaurant Performance Index declines in January, Still "solidly positive"

February 2012

  1. Fannie Mae Serious Delinquency rate declines, Freddie Mac rate increases
  2. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased at "modest to moderate" pace
  3. Fannie Mae: REO inventory declines 27% in 2011
  4. Bernanke Testimony: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  5. Misc: Purchase Mortgage Applications increase, ECB LTRO €530bn
  6. Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo receive Wells notices from SEC
  7. FDIC-insured institutions’ 1-4 Family Real Estate Owned (REO) decreased in Q4
  8. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent fall to late '90s Levels
  9. Misc: Richmond Fed shows expansion, Consumer confidence increases, FDIC problem banks decline
  10. Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in December
  11. Durable Goods orders decline 4% in January
  12. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Expansion Strengthens in February
  13. FHFA: "Tremendous" interest in new HARP Refinance Program
  14. FHFA announces Pilot REO Bulk Sales Offer
  15. Germany's Bundestag votes for Greek Bailout
  16. NY Fed: Delinquent Debt Shrinks while Real Estate Debt Continues to Fall
  17. NAR: Pending home sales increase in January
  18. Consensus Housing Forecast for 2012: 700,000 starts
  19. Question Contest, iPad Update, RSS and Twitter
  20. Europe: A few key dates
  21. 2011: Record Low Placements of Manufactured Homes, and Record low Total Completions
  22. Unofficial Problem Bank list increases to 960 Institutions
  23. Buffett's Views on Housing
  24. Schedule for Week of February 26th
  25. Summary for Week ending February 24th
  26. Oil Prices and the Economy
  27. Bank Failure #11 in 2012: Home Savings of America, Little Falls, Minnesota
  28. Bank Failure #10 in 2012: Central Bank of Georgia, Ellaville, Georgia
  29. Lawler: Declining Inventory of Existing Homes for Sale: Don’t Forget Conversion to Rentals
  30. New Home Sales: 2011 Still the Worst Year, "Distressing Gap" remains very wide
  31. New Home Sales in January at 321,000 Annual Rate
  32. An "Upbeat" report on the Phoenix Housing Market
  33. BofA to Stop Selling Mortgages to Fannie Mae
  34. Hotels: RevPAR increases 4.4% compared to same week in 2011
  35. Comments on Existing Home Inventory
  36. Misc: Tenth District manufacturing increases, FHFA House Prices decline slightly in Q4
  37. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims unchanged at 351,000
  38. Policy Status Update
  39. FNC House Prices, Zillow's forecast for Case-Shiller
  40. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicated expansion in January
  41. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  42. Existing Home Sales in January: 4.57 million SAAR, 6.1 months of supply
  43. MBA: Purchase Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  44. Home Depot on Housing
  45. LPS: Number of delinquent mortgage loans declined in January, In foreclosure increases slightly
  46. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.3% in December
  47. Lawler: Number of Seriously-Delinquent FHA-Insured SF Loans Jumped Again in January
  48. Chicago Fed: Economic Growth in January above Average
  49. Report: Greek Debt Deal Reached
  50. Lawler: Update on Expectations for Existing Home Sales Report
  51. Eurogroup - press conference at 5 PM ET
  52. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type
  53. Morning Greece: Eurozone finance ministers meet at 9 AM ET
  54. WSJ: IMF report shows Greek Debt situation worse than expected
  55. How can builder confidence improve, single family starts increase sharply, and new home sales be unchanged?
  56. Percent Job Losses: Great Recession and Great Depression
  57. A few key dates for the Greek Debt Deal
  58. Gasoline Prices: $4.50 per gallon by Memorial Day?
  59. Schedule for Week of February 19th
  60. Summary for Week ending February 17th
  61. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 956 Institutions
  62. Report: Existing Home inventory down 23.3% year-over-year
  63. Lawler: Early Read on January Existing Home Sales
  64. Key Measures of Inflation in January
  65. Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  66. BLS: CPI increases 0.2% in January
  67. Earlier: Philly Fed "Regional manufacturing activity continued to expand in February"
  68. Percent of mortgage loans In-Foreclosure by State
  69. Multi-family Starts and Completions, and Quarterly Starts by Intent
  70. Q4 MBA National Delinquency Survey Comments
  71. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies decline in Q4
  72. Housing Starts increase in January
  73. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 348,000
  74. DataQuick: Southland Home Sales Flat, Record Investor Buying
  75. LA area Port Traffic mostly unchanged year-over-year in January
  76. Lawler: Short Sales increased significantly in Q4
  77. FOMC Minutes: A few members argued current conditions "could warrant" QE3 "before long"
  78. NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in February; Highest in over four years
  79. Industrial Production unchanged in January, Capacity Utilization declines
  80. NY Fed Survey: Manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in February
  81. MBA: Purchase Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  82. Policy Update: Extension of payroll tax cut and extended unemployment benefits
  83. FHA REO Inventory declines to four-year low in December
  84. Report: Wednesday euro zone finance minister meeting cancelled
  85. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index declined 1.7% in January
  86. Retail Sales increased 0.4% in January
  87. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in January
  88. SF Fed President Williams: "Vital that we keep the monetary policy throttle wide open"
  89. Europe Update: Downgrades, Greek Aid may be conditional
  90. Housing: Short Sales increase, Foreclosure Sales down Year-over-year
  91. Residential Remodeling Index increases 22.8% year-over-year in December
  92. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for January
  93. Mortgage Servicer Settlement by State
  94. Sunday Night Futures
  95. Greece: NY Times reports Austerity has Passed
  96. Economic Analysis and Inaccurate Numbers
  97. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 958 Institutions
  98. Greek Parliament to vote Sunday at Midnight (5 PM ET)
  99. Schedule for Week of February 12th
  100. Summary for Week ending February 10th
  101. Late Night Reading: Greek Agreement with Troika
  102. Bank Failures #8 &9 in 2012: Illinois and Indiana
  103. Greece Update: More Delays and Demonstrations
  104. Bernanke: "Housing Markets in Transition"
  105. Consumer Sentiment declines in February to 72.5
  106. Trade Deficit increased in December to $48.8 Billion
  107. NAHB: Bernanke speaks on Friday, Multifamily and Remodeling expected to increase in 2012
  108. Mortgage Settlement and Negative Equity
  109. Hotels: RevPAR increases 8.7% compared to same week in 2011
  110. Policy Updates: Mortgage Settlement Reached, Greek politicians agree on Debt Deal
  111. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 358,000
  112. Zillow: House prices declined 4.7% in 2011, Forecasts 3.7% decline in 2012
  113. WSJ: Mortgage Settlement could be announced Thursday, to include Florida, California, New York
  114. Las Vegas House sales up 12% YoY in January, Inventory off sharply
  115. The impact of changes in the participation rate on the unemployment rate
  116. MBA: Refinance activity increases as mortgage rates fall to record low
  117. Greece Update: ECB to make a contribution
  118. NY AG cancels statement on Mortgage Settlement
  119. Mortgage Settlement: NY AG to make statement at 6 PM ET
  120. Goldman: No Labor Force Participation Rebound in Sight
  121. BLS: Job Openings increased in December
  122. Short Sales: $35 Thousand Cash-for-keys
  123. Mortgage Settlement: More than 40 states have agreed
  124. Existing Home Inventory declines 21% year-over-year in early February
  125. Housing: The Two Bottoms
  126. The Housing Bottom is Here
  127. CRE: Another Half Off Sale
  128. NY Times: California might join mortgage settlement
  129. Greek talks end without agreement, will meet again on Monday
  130. Recovery Measures
  131. Greece: Key meeting on Sunday
  132. AAR: Rail Traffic increased 0.1 percent YoY in January
  133. Schedule for Week of February 5th
  134. Summary for Week ending February 3rd
  135. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 958 Institutions
  136. Employment: The "Not in Labor Force" actually declined in January
  137. Construction Employment, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  138. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates faster expansion in January
  139. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  140. Graphs: Unemployment Rate, Participation Rate, Jobs added
  141. January Employment Report: 243,000 Jobs, 8.3% Unemployment Rate
  142. Mortgage Rates fall to record low
  143. Lawler: Home Builder Results for Last Quarter
  144. January Employment Report Revisions and Issues
  145. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten in Recent Survey
  146. CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.4% in December to new post-bubble low
  147. Bernanke Testimony: "The Economic Outlook and the Federal Budget Situation"
  148. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 367,000
  149. Q4 2011 GDP Details: Investment in Office, Mall, and Lodging, Residential Components
  150. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 14.18 million annual rate in January
  151. Misc: REO to Rental Program, New Refinance Plan and Auto Sales
  152. Construction Spending increased 1.5% in December
  153. ISM Manufacturing index indicates faster expansion in January
  154. ADP: Private Employment increased 170,000 in January
  155. ISM Seasonality
  156. Mortgage Settlement: Ally Takes $270 million charge for "foreclosure related matters"

January 2012

  1. Fannie Mae Serious Delinquency rate declines, Freddie Mac rate increases
  2. Restaurant Performance Index highest in almost six years in December
  3. Real House Prices and House Price-to-Rent
  4. HVS: Q4 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  5. Case Shiller: House Prices fall to new post-bubble lows in November (seasonally adjusted)
  6. A few policies I expect soon
  7. Research: Weak labor demand explains increase in unemployment duration
  8. Mortgage Settlement: States face "end-of-the-week deadline"
  9. Fed Senior Loan Officer Survey: Lending standards "little changed", "somewhat stronger loan demand"
  10. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey shows expansion in January
  11. Personal Income increased 0.5% in December, Spending decreased slightly
  12. European Leaders: Austerity alone not answer
  13. Existing Home Inventory declines 17% year-over-year in January
  14. Mortgage Settlement and New Investigation
  15. Europe Update: Greece nears debt deal
  16. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 958 Institutions
  17. Schedule for Week of Jan 29th
  18. Summary for Week ending January 27th
  19. Government to triple HAMP payments for principal reductions
  20. Bank Failure #6 & 7: Tennessee and Minnesota
  21. Bank Failures #4 and 5 in 2012: Florida and Tennessee
  22. LPS: 2010, 2011 Mortgage Originations have record low default rates
  23. Q4 GDP: Residential Investment now making a positive contribution
  24. Consumer Sentiment increases in January
  25. Real GDP increased 2.8% annual rate in Q4
  26. GDP Report expected to show 3% annualized growth
  27. Case Shiller House Price Forecasts: New Post-bubble lows Seasonally Adjusted
  28. Misc: Tenth District manufacturing increases, Chicago Fed National Activity Index, State Coincident indexes
  29. 2011: Record Low New Home Sales and 'Distressing Gap'
  30. New Home Sales decline in December to 307,000 Annual Rate
  31. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 377,000
  32. California AG: Mortgage settlement 'inadequate'
  33. Analysis: Bernanke paves the way for QE3
  34. FOMC: Sets 2% Inflation Target, January Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) and Press Briefing
  35. FOMC Statement: Rates likely exceptionally low through late 2014
  36. Pending Home Sales Decline in December
  37. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index declined in Latest Survey
  38. Comparing Ceridian Diesel Fuel Index and ATA Trucking Index
  39. SOTU Video: 9 PM ET
  40. Housing Initiatives Tonight
  41. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Activity declines in Q4
  42. ATA Trucking Index increased sharply in December
  43. State Unemployment Rates "slightly lower" in December
  44. Richmond Fed: Manufacturing Activity Picks Up the Pace in January
  45. Greece: Eurozone finance ministers push for lower rates on private sector involvement
  46. FHFA Analysis on Principal Forgiveness
  47. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 0.9% in November
  48. Hotels: STR on 2011 results, 2012 forecast
  49. AP reports $25B Mortgage Settlement goes to states for review
  50. Morning Greece: Euro Zone Finance Ministers discuss possible debt deal
  51. Greece: Still no deal on debt
  52. FOMC Meeting Preview
  53. Q4 GDP Forecasts: Sluggish Growth
  54. Greek Debt Deal Update: Talks Continue
  55. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 963 Institutions
  56. Schedule for Week of Jan 22nd
  57. Summary for Week ending January 20th
  58. Fed releases templates for FOMC Fed Funds rate projections
  59. Bank Failure #3 in 2012: American Eagle Savings Bank, Boothwyn, PA
  60. Bank Failures #1 & 2 in 2012: Florida and Georgia
  61. Hotels: Occupancy Rate back to pre-recession levels
  62. Existing Home Sales: Inventory and NSA Sales Graph
  63. Existing Home Sales in December: 4.61 million SAAR, 6.2 months of supply
  64. More on Greek Debt Deal
  65. Europe Update: Greek Debt Deal Talks continue Friday
  66. Lawler: Housing Forecast for 2012
  67. Key Measures of Inflation moderate in December
  68. Housing: Record Low Total Completions in 2011
  69. Philly Fed: "Regional manufacturing activity continued to expand at a moderate pace in January"
  70. Housing Starts decline in December
  71. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 352,000
  72. Summary of Busy Day
  73. FNC and Zillow House Price Indexes for November
  74. HUD Secretary Donovan : Mortgage Settlement "Very Close"
  75. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicated expansion in December
  76. NAHB Builder Confidence index increases in January
  77. Industrial Production increased 0.4% in December, Capacity Utilization increased
  78. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications increase sharply
  79. Residential Remodeling Index declines seasonally in November
  80. QOTD: Housing "markets get healthy from the bottom up"
  81. LA area Port Traffic increases slightly year-over-year in December
  82. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales decline year-over-year, Record investor buying
  83. Credit Stress Indicators: Little Spillover to US from Europe
  84. NY Fed Survey: Manufacturing activity expanded at a faster pace in January
  85. Monday Night Futures: China GDP increases 8.9% year-over-year
  86. Comparing New Home Sales and Housing Starts
  87. Some Bullish Housing Forecasts for 2012
  88. Herman Van Rompuy: Europe urgently needs an "anti-recession strategy"
  89. Growing Doubts about Greece
  90. Oil Prices and Economic Growth
  91. Hamilton: Implications of Iranian oil embargo
  92. Europe: Greek Debt talks will resume next week
  93. Unofficial Problem Bank List and Quarterly Transition Matrix
  94. Schedule for Week of Jan 15th
  95. Summary for Week ending January 13th
  96. Record Home Sales in Las Vegas in 2011
  97. Mortgage Settlement Update
  98. Europe Update
  99. Ceridian-UCLA: Diesel Fuel index increased 0.2% in December
  100. Financial Times: France and Austria face Downgrades, Greek Debt talks "collapse"
  101. Consumer Sentiment increases in January
  102. Trade Deficit increased in November to $47.8 Billion
  103. Foreclosures and Short Sale percentages for a few areas
  104. Lawler: Early Read on December Existing Home Sales
  105. Record Low Mortgage Rates compared to Refinance Index
  106. The FOMC 2006 Transcripts
  107. Remittances to Mexico Rebound
  108. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in December
  109. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 399,000
  110. RealtyTrac: Bank seizures of homes fell to four year low in 2011 due to process issues
  111. More Housing Forecasts
  112. Pettis on Europe and China
  113. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased at "modest to moderate" pace
  114. Herman Van Rompuy: Eurozone needs a fiscal strategy that is "growth friendly"
  115. LPS: House Price Index Shows 0.8 Percent decline in October
  116. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index increased
  117. Offices: The Rent Rollover Problem
  118. Jim the Realtor: Online Radio
  119. Fiscal Policy: Kind of a Drag
  120. NFIB: Poor Sales remains top business problem for small business owners
  121. BLS: Job Openings "unchanged" in November
  122. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in December
  123. Germany and France warn Greece on Debt Deal
  124. Distressed House Sales using Sacramento Data for December
  125. Question #3 for 2012: Will foreclosure activity increase in 2012?
  126. CoreLogic: House Price Index declined 1.4% in November
  127. Herman Van Rompuy: Europe needs "job-friendly growth"
  128. Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rate declines slightly
  129. Question #4 for 2012: U.S. Economic Growth
  130. Question #5 for 2012: Employment
  131. Housing Policy Changes
  132. Residential Construction Employment: First increase since 2005
  133. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 970 institutions
  134. Schedule for Week of Jan 8th
  135. Summary for Week ending January 6th
  136. More Housing Policy
  137. AAR: Rail Traffic increased 7.3 percent YoY in December
  138. LPS on Mortgages: "Trend toward fewer loans becoming delinquent has halted"
  139. Seasonal Retail Hiring, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  140. Employment Summary, Part Time Workers, and Unemployed over 26 Weeks
  141. December Employment Report: 200,000 Jobs, 8.5% Unemployment Rate
  142. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q4 to 17.3%
  143. Report: Greek Debt Deal Near
  144. Survey: Small Business Owners report small decline in employment, hiring plans positive
  145. Employment Situation Preview: Improved, but still not strong
  146. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slightly faster expansion in December
  147. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 372,000
  148. ADP: Private Employment increased 325,000 in December
  149. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate falls to 5.2% in Q4, Lowest since 2001
  150. Misc: ISM Seasonality, Economic predictions with Search Engines and more
  151. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 13.56 million SAAR in December
  152. Fed White Paper: "The U.S. Housing Market: Current Conditions and Policy Considerations"
  153. Question #6 for 2012: Unemployment Rate
  154. Chrysler, Ford and General Motors report December vehicle sales
  155. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application Index decreased over Holidays
  156. Court Ruling: MBIA wins vs. BofA
  157. Question #7 for 2012: State and Local Governments
  158. FOMC Minutes: Agreement to provide "projections of appropriate monetary policy" in January
  159. Construction Spending increased in November
  160. ISM Manufacturing index indicates faster expansion in December
  161. A few key dates for Europe
  162. Question #8 for 2012: Europe and the Euro
  163. Misc: Only one office building under construction in Inland Empire, Vegas sees an increase in visitors
  164. Comments on the Housing Vacancies and Homeownership Survey
  165. Europe Update
  166. Merkel: 2012 "more difficult than 2011"
  167. Some Housing Forecasts
  168. Vehicle Miles Driven Decline: A possible contributing factor
  169. Happy New Year!

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