The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2013

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2013 1,749

December 2013

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in November, Lowest since December 2008
  2. Restaurant Performance Index increases in November
  3. Question #5 for 2014: Monetary Policy: Will the Fed end QE3 in 2014?
  4. Case-Shiller: Press Release and Graphs
  5. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 13.6% year-over-year in October
  6. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI
  7. Question #6 for 2014: How much will Residential Investment increase?
  8. Question #7 for 2014: What will happen with house prices in 2014?
  9. Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.2% in November
  10. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.1% in October, Up 8.8% year-over-year
  11. Monday: Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
  12. Question #8 for 2014: Housing Credit: Will we see easier mortgage lending in 2014?
  13. Schedule for Week of December 29th, Happy New Year!
  14. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 619 Institutions, Q4 Transition Matrix
  15. Goldman Sachs: 10 Questions for 2014
  16. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in November, Lowest since March 2009
  17. Preliminary: 2014 Housing Forecasts
  18. Unemployment and Profits: A dirty little secret
  19. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.3% in October
  20. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Solid Sales Expected in December and in 2014
  21. Question #9 for 2014: How much will housing inventory increase in 2014?
  22. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 338,000
  23. Question #10 for 2014: Downside Risks
  24. Q4 GDP: Here come the Upgrades
  25. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 46 states in November
  26. Comments on New Home Sales
  27. New Home Sales at 464,000 Annual Rate in November
  28. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Refinance Activity Lowest since Nov 2008
  29. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey and More
  30. Ten Economic Questions for 2014
  31. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.3% year-over-year on Dec 23rd
  32. Chicago Fed: "Economic growth picked up in November"
  33. Final December Consumer Sentiment at 82.5
  34. Personal Income increased 0.2% in November, Spending increased 0.5%
  35. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in November, Down almost 10% year-over-year
  36. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment
  37. Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2013
  38. ATA Trucking Index increased 2.7% in November
  39. Schedule for Week of December 22nd
  40. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 633 Institutions
  41. Update: FHFA to Delay increase in Mortgage Fees
  42. "Will Mel Watt begin to reverse DeMarco's damage?"
  43. Lawler: A Few More Home Builder Results, and Comments on the Increase in Lots Owned/Controlled by Large Home Builders
  44. Research: The Long-Term Outlook for Residential Construction
  45. BLS: State unemployment rates were "generally lower" in November
  46. Q3 GDP Revised up to 4.1%
  47. Friday: Q3 GDP, State Employment, Kansas City Fed Mfg
  48. LA area Port Traffic up solidly year-over-year in November
  49. Comments on Existing Home Sales
  50. Existing Home Sales in November: 4.90 million SAAR, Inventory up 5.0% Year-over-year
  51. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 379,000
  52. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  53. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent compared to New Home Sales
  54. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  55. FOMC Statement: Taper!
  56. Comments: Housing Starts and Mortgage Index
  57. AIA: "Slight Contraction for Architecture Billings Index" in November
  58. Housing Starts at 1.09 million Annual Rate in November
  59. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Survey
  60. Wednesday: Fed Day, Housing Starts
  61. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in November
  62. Sacramento Housing: Total Sales down 29% Year-over-year in November, Conventional Sales up 14%, Active Inventory increases 57%
  63. Key Measures Shows Low Inflation in November
  64. NAHB: Builder Confidence increases to 58 in December
  65. CoreLogic: Almost 800,000 Properties returned to positive Equity during Q3 2013
  66. CPI unchanged in November, Core CPI increases 0.2%
  67. FNC: House prices increased 6.5% year-over-year in October
  68. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November
  69. DataQuick on SoCal: November Home Sales Down 10.4% year-over-year, Foreclosure Resales lowest since May 2007
  70. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 1.9% year-over-year on Dec 16th
  71. Fed: Industrial Production increased 1.1% in November, Above Pre-recession Peak
  72. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Activity "flat" in December
  73. Sunday Night Futures: Time for Taper?
  74. FOMC Projections Preview: To Taper, or Not to Taper
  75. Schedule for Week of December 15th
  76. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 641 Institutions
  77. Bank Failure #24 in 2013: Texas Community Bank, National Association, The Woodlands, Texas
  78. Lawler: Update Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in November
  79. Hotel Occupancy Rate increases 0.2% year-over-year in latest Survey
  80. FHA Audit shows smaller projected shortfall in 2013
  81. BLS: Producer Price Index declines 0.1 percent in November
  82. Friday: PPI
  83. Lawler on Hovnanian: Net Home Orders Slowed Significantly in Summer; Rebounded Modestly as Year-End Approached
  84. Update: When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  85. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increase in October, Distress Sales Lowest Level in Five Years
  86. Retail Sales increased 0.7% in November
  87. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 368,000
  88. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  89. Lawler on Fed Note: “Business Investor Activity in the Single-Family-Housing Market”
  90. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Slightly Negative in Q3
  91. Update: Looking for Stronger Economic Growth in 2014
  92. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Survey
  93. Update: Budget Deal is Reached
  94. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in November
  95. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  96. Las Vegas Real Estate in November: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 77.4%
  97. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in October
  98. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in November
  99. Tuesday: Small Business Survey, Job Openings
  100. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 1.8% year-over-year on Dec 9th
  101. Fed's Q3 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt increased slightly, First Mortgage Debt increase since Q1 2008
  102. Update on "Small Ball" Budget Agreement
  103. Sunday Night Futures: Taper Talk and "Small Ball" Budget Agreement
  104. Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  105. Update: Four Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering
  106. Schedule for Week of December 8th
  107. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 643 Institutions
  108. AAR: Rail Traffic increased in November
  109. CBO: Federal Deficit declined Sharply in October and November compared to last year
  110. Personal Income decreased 0.1% in October, Spending increased 0.3%
  111. Preliminary December Consumer Sentiment increased to 82.5
  112. Employment Report: Decent Report, Solid Seasonal Retail Hiring
  113. November Employment Report: 203,000 Jobs, 7.0% Unemployment Rate
  114. Friday: Employment Report, Personal Income and Outlays
  115. Comments on Q3 GDP and Investment
  116. Employment Preview for November
  117. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 298,000, Q3 GDP Revised up to 3.6%
  118. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 GDP
  119. Trulia: Asking House Price increases Slow in Hot Markets
  120. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased "at a modest to moderate pace"
  121. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 53.9 indicates slower expansion in November
  122. New Home Sales increased to 444,000 Annual Rate in October
  123. Trade Deficit decreased in October to $40.6 Billion
  124. ADP: Private Employment increased 215,000 in November
  125. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Survey
  126. Wednesday: New Home Sales, Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Service, Beige Book and More
  127. Lawler: Single Family Inventory Down Again, But Pace of Decline Slowed in Q3
  128. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 16.4 million annual rate in November, Highest since Feb 2007
  129. Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory declined slightly in Q3
  130. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.5% Year-over-year in October
  131. Tuesday: Vehicle Sales
  132. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 1.7% year-over-year on Nov Dec 2nd
  133. Restaurant Performance Index increases in October
  134. Construction Spending increased in October
  135. ISM Manufacturing index increases in November to 57.3
  136. Markit PMI shows stronger expansion for manufacturing in November
  137. Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending
  138. Will Google Kill my Blog on December 6th?
  139. House Prices: CoreLogic to turn negative month-to-month seasonally in October

November 2013

  1. Schedule for Week of December 1st
  2. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 645 Institutions
  3. Will the Fed "Taper" in December? Inflation is the Key
  4. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in October, Lowest since December 2008
  5. Europe: Euro Zone Unemployment Rate dips slightly
  6. Budget Negotiations Update: Playing "Small Ball"
  7. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 44 states in October
  8. Irwin: "Five economic trends to be thankful for"
  9. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 13.9% year-over-year increase in October
  10. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in October, Lowest since March 2009
  11. Merrill Lynch: Economy "Out of Rehab"
  12. Final November Consumer Sentiment increases to 75.1, Chicago PMI at 63.0
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 316,000
  14. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly
  15. Wednesday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  16. FDIC reports Earnings Decline for insured institutions, Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q3
  17. FHFA: Most Conforming Limits Unchanged in 2014, Increased in Several High-Cost Areas
  18. Comment on House Prices and Graphs
  19. Richmond Fed: Manufacturing improved in November
  20. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 13.3% year-over-year in September
  21. Housing Permits increase to 1.03 million SAAR in October
  22. Tuesday: Housing Permits, Case-Shiller House Prices
  23. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 3.2% year-over-year on Nov 25th
  24. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Stronger Sales Expected in November
  25. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.2% in September, Up 9.0% year-over-year
  26. Pending Home Sales Index declines 0.6% in October
  27. Sunday Night Futures: Oil Prices Decline
  28. Housing Starts and Permits
  29. Housing Starts for September and October Delayed Again until December 18th
  30. Schedule for Week of November 24th
  31. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 654 Institutions
  32. WSJ: Survey Indicates Weak New Home Sales in October
  33. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.5% in September
  34. BLS: State unemployment rates were "little changed" in October
  35. Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Survey shows Activity Growing at "Moderate Rate"
  36. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in September
  37. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate declined in October, In-Foreclosure Rate lowest since 2008
  38. Friday: JOLTS, Kansas City Mfg Survey
  39. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in October (including Florida)
  40. Zillow: Negative Equity declines sharply in Q3
  41. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates Slower Expansion in November
  42. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 323,000
  43. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  44. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index Slows Down" in October
  45. FOMC Minutes: Discussion of how to communicate that rates will be low for a long long time
  46. Key Measures Shows Low Inflation in October
  47. Existing Home Sales in October: 5.12 million SAAR, Inventory up 0.9% Year-over-year
  48. Retail Sales increased 0.4% in October
  49. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications decrease, Purchase Applications Increase
  50. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes, CPI
  51. Bernanke: Communication and Monetary Policy
  52. Real Estate Agents: First Increase in California licensees since 2007
  53. ATA Trucking Index declines in October, Up 8% Year-over-year
  54. LA area Port Traffic in October
  55. Tuesday: Bernanke
  56. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up slightly year-over-year on Nov 18th
  57. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices mostly unchanged in September, Up 8.4% Year-over-year
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence at 54 in November
  59. Sunday Night Futures
  60. Update: Recovery Measures
  61. Housing: Short Sales, Non-Recourse Loans and Tax Forgiveness
  62. Schedule for Week of November 17th
  63. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 655 Institutions
  64. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in October
  65. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October
  66. Hotel Occupancy Rate increases 2.5% year-over-year in latest Survey
  67. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.1% in October
  68. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Activity declines in November
  69. Friday: Tanta's Birthday, Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg Survey
  70. Freddie Mac: Fixed Mortgage Rates Climbing
  71. FNC: House prices increased 6.2% year-over-year in September
  72. NY Fed: Household Debt increased in Q3, Delinquency Rates Improve
  73. Trade Deficit increased in September to $41.8 Billion
  74. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 339,000
  75. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, Yellen Confirmation Hearing
  76. DataQuick on California Bay Area: Home Sales decline year-over-year in October, Conventional Sales up 26%
  77. EIA Forecast: Gasoline Prices expected to average $3.39 per gallon in 2014
  78. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in October
  79. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease 1.8% in Latest Weekly Survey
  80. The Cranes of Miami
  81. Lawler on Homebuilders: Net Orders Last Quarter Down From Year Ago
  82. Sacramento Housing: Total Sales down 25% Year-over-year in October, Conventional Sales up 19%, Active Inventory increases 93%
  83. The Return of the Cranes
  84. Chicago Fed: "Economic activity slightly improved in September"
  85. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Declines in October
  86. Tuesday: Small Business Optimism Index (or more likely Pessimism)
  87. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.2% year-over-year on Nov 11th
  88. Update: Looking for Stronger Economic Growth in 2014
  89. Update: When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  90. Sunday Night Futures: Gasoline Prices declines to $3.20 per Gallon
  91. Q3 2013 GDP Details: Residential Investment increases, Commercial Investment very Low
  92. State and local government austerity is over
  93. Update: Four Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering
  94. Schedule for Week of November 10th
  95. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 661 Institutions
  96. State and Local Finances Improving, California Controller says: "Great Recession is becoming a faint image in the rear view mirror"
  97. Bernanke: The Crisis as a Classic Financial Panic
  98. Las Vegas Real Estate in October: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 73%
  99. Employment Report: Solid Report ex-Government Shutdown, Seasonal Retail Hiring highest since 1999
  100. Preliminary November Consumer Sentiment declines to 72.0
  101. October Employment Report: 204,000 Jobs, 7.3% Unemployment Rate
  102. Friday: Employment Report, Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment
  103. MBA National Delinquency Survey: Judicial vs. Non-Judicial Foreclosure States in Q3 2013
  104. Lawler on Fannie and Freddie Results, REO Inventory Increases in Q3
  105. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves year-over-year in the 55+ Housing Market in Q3
  106. MBA: Mortgage "Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Continue to Plummet" in Q3
  107. Q3 GDP: Growth slightly above Expectations, but Weak Personal consumption expenditures
  108. GDP increased at 2.8% Annual Rate in Q3, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 336,000
  109. Thursday: Q3 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Q3 Mortgage Delinquency Survey
  110. California and Weekly Unemployment Claims
  111. Fed's Pianalto: Tight Mortgage Credit holding back Economy
  112. Framing Lumber Prices up 15% year-over-year
  113. Will the Fed "Taper" QE and Change "Thresholds" at the same time?
  114. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease 7% in Latest Weekly Survey
  115. Lawler: Household Estimate, If True, Disturbing; Fortunately, Probably Isn’t
  116. HVS: Q3 2013 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  117. Employment Preview: Upside Payroll Surprise?
  118. Trulia: Asking House Price Increases "Slowing Down"
  119. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 55.4 indicates faster expansion in October
  120. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.0% Year-over-year in September
  121. Tuesday: ISM Service Index
  122. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.1% year-over-year on Nov 4th
  123. Fed Survey: Banks eased lending standards, "little change in loan demand"
  124. Fed's Bullard: Need to see "tangible evidence" inflation moving back towards 2% before Taper
  125. LPS on Mortgages: New Problem Loan Rates Close to Pre-crisis Levels
  126. Monday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
  127. Retail: Seasonal Hiring vs. Retail Sales
  128. Will the Fed "Taper" in December?
  129. Schedule for Week of November 3rd
  130. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 662 Institutions
  131. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  132. Lawler on Homebuilders: Home Orders Off Significantly Last Quarter
  133. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decline to 15.17 million annual rate in October
  134. Comment: Looking for Stronger Economic Growth in 2014
  135. ISM Manufacturing index increases in October to 56.4
  136. Markit PMI shows "modest" manufacturing expansion in October
  137. Friday: Vehicle Sales, ISM Manufacturing Index

October 2013

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since December 2008
  2. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 13.2% year-over-year increase in September
  3. Goldman's Hatzius: How Much Risk to Homebuilding?
  4. Chicago PMI increases sharply to 65.9
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 340,000
  6. Report: Budget Deficit Declines Sharply in Fiscal 2013
  7. Bank Failure #23 in 2013: Bank of Jackson County, Graceville, Florida
  8. Cost of Living Adjustment: 1.5%, Contribution Base for 2014: $117,000
  9. FOMC Statement: No Taper
  10. Key Measures Shows Low Inflation in September
  11. ADP: Private Employment increased 130,000 in October
  12. MBA: Mortgage Applications increase 6% in Latest Weekly Survey
  13. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, ADP Employment, CPI
  14. Fed: Household Debt Service Ratio near lowest level in 30+ years
  15. FOMC Preview: Flying Blind
  16. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  17. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.8% year-over-year in August
  18. Retail Sales declined 0.1% in September
  19. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, PPI
  20. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 0.3% year-over-year on Oct 28th
  21. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since April 2009
  22. Q2 2013: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Strongly Negative
  23. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Strengthens in October
  24. Pending Home Sales Index declines 5.6% in September
  25. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.6% in September
  26. Monday: Industrial Production, Pending Home Sales
  27. DataQuick: Q3 California Foreclosure Starts Decline, Down 58.6% from Q3 2012
  28. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 670 Institutions
  29. Schedule for Week of October 27th
  30. Survey: "Small business owners appear poised to flip the switch to growth mode"
  31. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.3% in August
  32. ATA Trucking Index Up Sharply in September, Up 8.4% Year-over-year
  33. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Stronger Sales in October Despite Government Shutdown
  34. Final October Consumer Sentiment declines to 73.2
  35. Friday: Durable Goods, Consumer Sentiment
  36. FHFA: No Change in Conforming Loan Limits for at least Six Months
  37. Lawler on Homebuilders: Rising mortgage rates, Higher home prices, Resulted in a material slowdown in net home orders last quarter
  38. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in August
  39. Trade Deficit in August at $38.8 Billion
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 350,000
  41. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Job Openings
  42. LA area Port Traffic in September
  43. AIA: Architecture Billings Index Increases in September
  44. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in September, In-Foreclosure Rate lowest since February 2009
  45. MBA: Mortgage Applications Unchanged in Latest Survey
  46. Wednesday: FHFA House Price Index, Architecture Billings Index
  47. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up year-over-year on Oct 21st
  48. Employment Report Comments
  49. Chemical Activity Barometer for October Suggests Economic Activity Increasing
  50. Construction Spending increased in August
  51. September Employment Report: 148,000 Jobs, 7.2% Unemployment Rate
  52. Tuesday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  53. NMHC Survey: Apartment Market Conditions Loosen in Q3
  54. Comments on Existing Home Sales
  55. Existing Home Sales in September: 5.29 million SAAR, Inventory up 1.8% Year-over-year
  56. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  57. Builder Confidence and Single Family Starts
  58. EIA Forecast: Gasoline Prices down sharply Year-over-year, Expected to Decline Further in 2014
  59. Schedule for Week of October 20th
  60. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 677 Institutions
  61. Data Schedule Update: CBO Will Release Budgetary Results for Fiscal Year 2013 in Early November
  62. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices mostly flat in August, Up 9% Year-over-year
  63. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in September
  64. Zillow: Home Value Appreciation slows in Q3
  65. WSJ: "Shutdown Upends Timing" of Taper
  66. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in September
  67. BLS: September Employment Report to be released Tuesday, October 22nd
  68. Sacramento: Conventional Sales up Sharply Year-over-year in September, Active Inventory increases 77% year-over-year
  69. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates Solid Expansion in October
  70. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 358,000
  71. Senate Approves Deal 81 to 18, House to Vote Later
  72. DataQuick on SoCal: September Home Sales Up 7.0% year-over-year, Foreclosure Resales lowest since May 2007
  73. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased "at a modest to moderate pace"
  74. Report: BofA Employee Arrested for Short Sale Fraud
  75. NAHB: Builder Confidence declines in October to 55
  76. MBA: Shutdown impacting Purchase Mortgage Application Activity
  77. Wednesday: Beige Book, Homebuilder Confidence, Tar and Feathers
  78. Shiller on 401K Plan Investing
  79. Zillow: 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates increase slightly to 4.16%
  80. FNC: House prices increased 5.3% year-over-year in August
  81. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Activity "held steady" in October
  82. Tuesday: NY Fed Manufacturing Survey
  83. WSJ: More Homes for Sales, Fewer Sales, Slowing Price Increases in Certain Areas
  84. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory down only 1.0% year-over-year on Oct 14th
  85. The Agreement: What I'd like to see
  86. Update: Real Estate Agent Boom and Bust
  87. Sunday Night Futures: The Shutdown and the Damage Done
  88. Reports: Some Progress on Deal to Open Government, Still discussing Length of Agreement, Senate Adjourned until Monday
  89. Report: Office Vacancy Rate falling, "nowhere near the low vacancy that will result in new construction of office space"
  90. California State Controller: Revenue and Spending Tracking Budget, Warns on impact from Shutdown
  91. Schedule for Week of October 13th
  92. Shutdown End Guess: Congress doesn't want to miss Recess!
  93. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in September
  94. WSJ: Shutdown starting to Hit Private Businesses
  95. Zandi Testimony: Economy Poised for Growth, Congress must Fund the Government and Pay the Bills
  96. Preliminary October Consumer Sentiment decreases to 75.2
  97. Friday: Consumer Sentiment, DELAYED: Retail Sales, PPI
  98. Report: No Agreement on Paying the Bills or Government Shutdown
  99. Freddie Mac: Fixed Mortgage Rates Little Changed
  100. Report: Hotel Occupancy Rate declines due to Government Shutdown
  101. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase sharply
  102. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  103. Lawler: Declining all-cash share in Vegas and Phoenix suggests slowdown in investor buying
  104. FOMC Minutes: "Considerable risks surrounding fiscal policy"
  105. Comment: Politics, Policy, Deadbeats and Default
  106. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Mortgage Rates Lowest since mid-June
  107. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes, Janet Yellen
  108. Las Vegas Real Estate in September: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 60%
  109. Gallup: Sharp decline in Confidence
  110. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory down only 1.3% year-over-year on Oct 7th
  111. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index "Dips" in September
  112. Tuesday: Small Business Optimism, DELAYED: Trade Deficit, Job Openings
  113. Lawler: Fannie Mae on Government Shutdown and Government Verifications
  114. CBO Report on Fiscal 2013 Deficit
  115. Framing Lumber Prices increased recently
  116. LPS: Mortgage Delinquencies Decline in August, Prepayment Activity Declines Sharply
  117. Sunday Night Futures
  118. Shutdown Update and Schedule
  119. Hotels: Occupancy Rate tracking pre-recession levels
  120. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 685 Institutions, Q3 Transition Matrix
  121. Schedule for Week of October 6th
  122. Goldman Sachs: When will Shutdown End?
  123. Merrill Lynch: Downward Revision to Forecast "Breaking Bad"
  124. Shutdown: Impact on Mortgage Lending
  125. AAR: Rail Traffic increased in September
  126. Treasury Secretary Lew: "U.S. failure to pay bills hurts everyone"
  127. Fed's Lockhart: No Jobs Report, Fed "more cautious"
  128. Friday: Jobs, Jobs ... uh, No Jobs Report
  129. Employment Situation
  130. Trulia: Asking House Prices suggest "Slowdown" in Sales Price Increases
  131. Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rates decline slightly in Q3
  132. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 54.4 indicates slower expansion in September
  133. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase slightly, Four Week Average lowest since May 2007
  134. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Service Index
  135. Update: Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  136. Flying Blind: Data Held Hostage
  137. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q3 to 16.9%
  138. ADP: Private Employment increased 166,000 in September
  139. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Mortgage Rates Decline
  140. Wednesday: Office Vacancy Survey, ADP Employment Report
  141. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decline to 15.2 million annual rate in September
  142. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.4% Year-over-year in August
  143. ISM Manufacturing index increases in September to 56.2
  144. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate declined to 4.2% in Q3 2013
  145. Calculated Risk is Open on Tuesday: Vehicle Sales, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending

September 2013

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in August, Lowest since December 2008
  2. Preparing for the Partial Shutdown
  3. Restaurant Performance Index declines in August
  4. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Activity Picks Up"
  5. Chicago PMI increases to 55.7
  6. Sunday Night Futures: Government Shutdown Very Possible
  7. Gasoline Prices down 35 cents per gallon year-over-year
  8. Q3 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2013
  9. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 690 Institutions
  10. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in August, Lowest since April 2009
  11. Schedule for Week of September 29th
  12. Report: Employment Report to be delayed if Government Shutdown
  13. Vehicle Sales: Likely Weaker Sales in September
  14. Chemical Activity Barometer for September Suggests Economic Activity Increasing
  15. Final September Consumer Sentiment at 77.5
  16. Personal Income increased 0.4% in August, Spending increased 0.3%
  17. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays for August, Consumer Sentiment
  18. Commentary: Congress will "Pay the Bills"
  19. Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Survey "Moderated Somewhat"
  20. Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows upward adjustment of 345,000 jobs
  21. Pending Home Sales Index declines 1.6% in August
  22. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 305,000, Four Week Average lowest since June 2007
  23. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate declined further in August, In-Foreclosure Rate lowest in 4 1/2 Years
  24. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q2 GDP Revision, Pending Home Sales, Prelim Annual Employment Benchmark
  25. Comments on New Home Sales
  26. Fed's Q2 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt down $1.3 Trillion from Peak, Record Household Net Worth
  27. New Home Sales increased to 421,000 Annual Rate in August
  28. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, HARP Refinance Share Increases
  29. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 12.4% year-over-year increase in August
  30. Lawler on Home Builder Results: Rising Rates, Aggressive Price Increases Dampened Sales
  31. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 40 states in August
  32. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  33. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.4% year-over-year in July
  34. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  35. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 21.8% year-to-date on Sept 23rd
  36. Lawler: Video of How CoreLogic and Zillow House Price Indexes are Constructed
  37. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.6% in July
  38. NY Fed's Dudley: Two Tests Before Taper
  39. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.6% in July, Up 8.7% year-over-year
  40. Chicago Fed: "Economic Growth Picked Up in August"
  41. Sunday Night Futures
  42. Preliminary annual Employment benchmark revision to be released Thursday
  43. Mortgages, Eminent domain and Richmond
  44. Schedule for Week of September 22nd
  45. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 692 Institutions
  46. Yellen Speech Next Week Canceled, Nomination as Fed Chair Expected Very Soon
  47. LA area Port Traffic: Import and Export Traffic Increases in August
  48. BLS: State unemployment rates were "little changed" in August
  49. Will the BLS release an employment report for September?
  50. AAR: Rail Traffic increased in August
  51. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in August
  52. Comments on Existing Home Sales
  53. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates Solid Expansion in September
  54. Existing Home Sales in August: 5.48 million SAAR, 4.9 months of supply
  55. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 309,000, Four Week Average lowest since October 2007
  56. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  57. A Few Comments on Bernanke Press Conference and Fed Policy
  58. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  59. FOMC Statement: No Taper
  60. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases in August
  61. Housing Starts increased in August to 891,000 SAAR
  62. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  63. Wednesday: Housing Starts, FOMC Announcement, Bernanke Press Conference
  64. August Update: Early Look at 2014 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments suggests 1.5% increase
  65. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in August
  66. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in August
  67. NAHB: Builder Confidence unchanged in September at 58
  68. CPI increases 0.1% in August, Core CPI 0.1%
  69. Tuesday: CPI, Homebuilder Confidence
  70. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 21.1% year-to-date on Sept 16th
  71. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in August
  72. FNC: House prices increased 3.9% year-over-year in July
  73. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.4% in August
  74. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Activity expands at slower pace in September
  75. Monday: Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg Survey
  76. FOMC Projections Preview: Some Modest Tapering is Possible
  77. Goldman and Merrill economists on "Tapering"
  78. Sacramento: Conventional Sales up Sharply Year-over-year in August, Active Inventory increases 47% year-over-year
  79. Hedge Fund Risk and Andy Lo's "Capital Decimation Partners"
  80. Schedule for Week of September 15th
  81. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 700 Institutions
  82. Bank Failure #22 in 2013: First National Bank, Edinburg, Texas
  83. Bank Failure #21 in 2013: The Community's Bank, Bridgeport, Connecticut
  84. DataQuick on California Bay Area: Sales "Dip" in August, Distressed Sales Down
  85. Hotels: Occupancy Rate tracking pre-recession levels
  86. Preliminary September Consumer Sentiment decreases to 76.8
  87. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in August
  88. Friday: Retail Sales, PPI, Consumer sentiment
  89. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates Hold Steady near Highs for Year
  90. DataQuick: August SoCal Home Sales down slightly from July, Up 2.8% year-over-year, Distressed Sales down
  91. Report: Homes Listed For Sales increased in August, Down only 2.5% year-over-year
  92. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 292,000
  93. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Treasury Statement for August
  94. Jim the Realtor: "The 2008 Collection"
  95. Report: New Home Sales soft in August
  96. Repeating myself on the "Debt Ceiling"
  97. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity at Lowest Level since 2009
  98. Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
  99. Lawler: Consistent with Other US Housing Reports, Negative Equity Estimates Vary Widely!
  100. Las Vegas Real Estate in August: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 41%
  101. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in July
  102. CoreLogic: 2.5 Million Fewer Properties with Negative Equity in Q2 2013
  103. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index "flat" in August
  104. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Confidence
  105. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 20.6% year-to-date on Sept 9th
  106. Hovnanian: Higher Home Prices, Rising Mortgage Rates Dampened Home Sales in July and August
  107. CBO: Monthly Budget Review for August 2013
  108. Update: When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  109. Conforming Loan Limits and House Prices
  110. WSJ Report: Fannie, Freddie to lower Conforming Loan Limits in January
  111. Update on "eminent domain" for mortgages: North Las Vegas rejects "hair-brained scheme"
  112. NY Times on Shortage of Buildable Lots
  113. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  114. Schedule for Week of September 8th
  115. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 704 Institutions
  116. Housing Watch: Inventory
  117. WSJ's Hilsenrath: September FOMC Meeting "Cliffhanger"
  118. Update: Four Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering
  119. Employment Report Comments (more graphs)
  120. August Employment Report: 169,000 Jobs, 7.3% Unemployment Rate (graphs)
  121. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  122. The Deregulators, Smarts and Judgment
  123. Employment Situation Preview
  124. Trulia: "Asking home prices rose 11.0 percent year-over-year (Y-o-Y) and 1.2 percent month-over-month (M-o-M) in August"
  125. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 58.6 indicates faster expansion in August
  126. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 323,000
  127. ADP: Private Employment increased 176,000 in August
  128. Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, ISM Service Index
  129. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 16.0 million annual rate in August
  130. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased "at a modest to moderate pace"
  131. Survey: "Shortage of Lots Slows Housing Recovery"
  132. Trade Deficit increased in July to $39.1 Billion
  133. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  134. Wednesday: Auto Sales, Fed's Beige Book, Trade Deficit
  135. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 19.5% year-to-date on Sept 2nd
  136. Lawler: The Fed, FHA, FHFA, and “Guv’ment” Policies on Mortgage Rates: Out of Whack or Just Plain “Wack?”
  137. Construction Spending in July: Private Spending increased, Public Spending Declined
  138. ISM Manufacturing index increases in August to 55.7
  139. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.4% Year-over-year in July
  140. LPS: Mortgage Delinquencies Decline in June, Distressed Sales down Sharply
  141. Tuesday: ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending
  142. WSJ: "FHA Cuts Waiting Period to 1 Year for Buyers Who Earlier Faced Foreclosure"
  143. GDP drag from State and Local Governments
  144. Population Distribution 1900-2060
  145. Update: Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering

August 2013

  1. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 707 Institutions
  2. Schedule for Week of September 1st
  3. Vehicle Sales: Another strong month in August
  4. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in July, Lowest since December 2008
  5. Chemical Activity Barometer for August shows "Economy on the Upswing"
  6. Final August Consumer Sentiment at 82.1
  7. Personal Income increased 0.1% in July, Spending increased 0.1%
  8. Friday: July Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  9. Lawler: Regulators “Caving” on QRM
  10. FDIC reports $42.2 Billion Earnings for Insured Institutions, Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q2
  11. Zillow: Negative Equity declines in Q2
  12. Q2 GDP Revised up to 2.5%, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 331,000
  13. Thursday: Q2 GDP (second estimate), Unemployment Claims
  14. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in July, Lowest since April 2009
  15. Dean Baker: "Rising Mortgage Rates Did Not Affect June Case-Shiller Data"
  16. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 12.5% year-over-year increase in July
  17. NAR: Pending Home Sales index declined 1.3% in July
  18. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications down, Purchase Applications Up in Recent Survey
  19. Wednesday: Mortgage Applications, Pending Home Sales Index
  20. Lawler: Measuring Changes in Home Prices is Difficult!
  21. Richmond Fed: "Manufacturing Sector Strengthened, Hiring Remained Modest" in August
  22. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  23. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.1% year-over-year in June
  24. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Consumer Confidence, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  25. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 21.4% year-to-date on Aug 26th
  26. NY Times: "For Laid-Off Older Workers, Age Bias Is Pervasive"
  27. LPS: House Price Index increased 1.2% in June, Up 8.4% year-over-year
  28. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Posts Slower Growth" in August
  29. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate decreases in July
  30. Monday: Durable Goods, Mortgage Delinquencies, Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
  31. The Future is still Bright!
  32. New Home Prices
  33. Schedule for Week of August 25th
  34. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 714 Institutions
  35. Bank Failure #20: Sunrise Bank of Arizona, Phoenix, Arizona
  36. Bank Failure #19 in 2013: Community South Bank, Parsons, Tennessee
  37. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 0.4% in June
  38. 5% 30 Year Mortgage Rates?
  39. Comments on New Home Sales
  40. New Home Sales decline sharply to 394,000 Annual Rate in July
  41. Jackson Hole Economic Symposium Agenda
  42. Friday: New Home Sales
  43. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates at highest level since 2011
  44. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 34 states in July
  45. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Improved Further" in August
  46. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 336,000, Four Week Average Lowest since November 2007
  47. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  48. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in July
  49. AIA: "Positive Trend Continues for Architecture Billings Index" in July
  50. FOMC Minutes: "Almost all Committee members agreed that a change in the purchase program was not yet appropriate"
  51. Comments on Existing Home Sales: Too early to see impact of higher mortgage rates, Inventory has Bottomed
  52. Existing Home Sales in July: 5.39 million SAAR, 5.1 months of supply
  53. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications down 62% from Recent Peak
  54. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  55. Lawler: The Washington Post (and Reuters) get it wrong again on the GSEs
  56. ATA Trucking Index declined in July, Up 4.7% Year-over-year
  57. Zillow: House Prices up 6% year-over-year in July, Case-Shiller expected to show 12.1% YoY increase for June
  58. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth in July again below average"
  59. Inventory, Inventory, Inventory
  60. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 21.7% year-to-date on Aug 19th
  61. Research: Drop in Jobless Claims suggests pickup in Wage Growth
  62. BLS: State unemployment rates were "little changed" in July
  63. San Francisco: Apartments converting back to condos
  64. Hotels: Occupancy Rate tracking pre-recession levels
  65. Percent of Population in Prime Working Age
  66. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 717 Institutions
  67. Schedule for Week of August 18th
  68. LA area Port Traffic: Import Traffic Increases in July
  69. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in July
  70. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent compared to New Home Sales
  71. Preliminary August Consumer Sentiment decreases to 80.0
  72. Housing Starts increased in July to 896,000 SAAR
  73. Friday: Housing Starts
  74. First Look at 2014 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  75. FNC: House prices increased 3.7% year-over-year in June
  76. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in July
  77. NAHB: Builder Confidence increases in August to 59, Highest in almost 8 Years
  78. Fed: Industrial Production unchanged in July
  79. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 320,000, Four Week Average Lowest since 2007
  80. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, CPI, Philly & NY Fed Mfg Surveys, Industrial Production, Builder Confidence
  81. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales "Jump" in July, Fewest Foreclosures since 2007
  82. By Request: U.S. Population by Age (earlier was by distribution), 1900 through 2060
  83. NY Fed: Household Debt declined in Q2 as Deleveraging Continues
  84. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  85. Wednesday: Q2 Household Debt and Credit Report, PPI, MBA Purchase Index
  86. Lawler: July Existing Home Sales "up significantly" from June; Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers
  87. Report: Homes Listed For Sales up 1.4% in July from June, Down 5.2% year-over-year
  88. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increased in July
  89. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in July
  90. Tuesday: Retail Sales
  91. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 18.1% year-to-date on Aug 12th
  92. Sacramento: Conventional Sales up Sharply Year-over-year in July, Active Inventory increases 54% year-over-year!
  93. Comment: The Key Downside Economic Risk
  94. Greece: A Primary Budget Surplus, Depression Continues
  95. Sunday Night Futures
  96. U.S. Population Distribution by Age, 1900 through 2060
  97. U.S. Births "essentially unchanged" in 2012 after Declining for Four Consecutive Years
  98. Forecasts: Oil and Gasoline Prices expected to decline
  99. Schedule for Week of August 11th
  100. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 723 Institutions
  101. Merle Hazard: "Great Unwind" with commentary from several economists
  102. Bank Failure #18 in 2013: Bank of Wausau, Wausau, Wisconsin
  103. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in July
  104. Update: The Shrinking Deficit
  105. Update: When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  106. LA Times: The Return of Condo Conversions
  107. MBA National Delinquency Survey: Judicial vs. Non-Judicial Foreclosure States
  108. Las Vegas Real Estate in July: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 9%
  109. Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory declines in Q2 2013
  110. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves in the 55+ Housing Market in Q2
  111. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency Rates declined in Q2
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 333,000, Four Week Average Lowest since 2007
  113. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q2 National Mortgage Delinquency Survey
  114. Q2 2013 GDP Details: Single Family investment increases, Commercial Investment very Low
  115. Another Dumb Idea: "Eminent domain" for Underwater Mortgages
  116. Event at 1 PM ET: President Obama answers questions on housing
  117. Freddie Mac on Q2: $5.0 Billion Net Income, No Treasury Draw, REO Declines
  118. MBA: Mortgage Applications mostly unchanged in Latest Weekly Survey
  119. Wednesday: Mortgage Applications Index, Consumer Credit
  120. Tract Houses: "From the low $1 Millions"
  121. Trulia: "Asking Home Price Slowdown Amid Rising Mortgage Rates, Expanding Inventory, and Declining Investor Interest"
  122. BLS: Job Openings little changed in June
  123. CoreLogic: House Prices up 11.9% Year-over-year in June
  124. Trade Deficit decreased in June to $34.2 Billion
  125. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Job Openings
  126. Lawler: Builder Buying of Land/Lots Over Last Year to Boost SF Production “Soon”
  127. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 17.2% year-to-date on Aug 5th
  128. Fed Survey: Banks eased lending standards, "experienced stronger demand in most loan categories"
  129. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 56.0 indicates faster expansion in July
  130. LPS: Seasonal Increase in Mortgage Delinquencies in June
  131. Monday: ISM Service Index, Senior Loan Officer Survey
  132. Update: Recovery Measures
  133. Update: Four Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering
  134. Percent Job Losses: Great Recession and Great Depression
  135. Schedule for Week of August 4th
  136. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 726 Institutions
  137. Bank Failure #17 in 2013: First Community Bank of Southwest Florida
  138. Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  139. Personal Income increased 0.3% in June, Spending increased 0.5%
  140. Employment Report: Steady, but Slow Improvement
  141. July Employment Report: 162,000 Jobs, 7.4% Unemployment Rate
  142. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  143. Employment Situation Preview
  144. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decline to 15.6 million annual rate in July, Best July since 2006
  145. Construction Spending declined in June, Public Construction Spending at Lowest Level since 2006
  146. ISM Manufacturing index increases in July to 55.4
  147. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 326,000
  148. Thursday: Vehicle Sales, Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending

July 2013

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since December 2008
  2. FOMC Statement: Downgrade from "moderate" to "modest"
  3. Q2 GDP: More Weakness, Data below FOMC June Projections
  4. Real GDP increased 1.7% Annualized in Q2
  5. ADP: Private Employment increased 200,000 in July
  6. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  7. Wednesday: GDP, FOMC Statement, ADP Employment and more
  8. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 12% year-over-year increase in June
  9. Housing: "Drought of properly priced homes"
  10. HVS: Q2 2013 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  11. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  12. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.2% year-over-year in May
  13. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Price Index
  14. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 17.6% year-to-date on July 29th
  15. A comment on Fed Forecasting Records
  16. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Activity Increases but at a Slower Pace" in July
  17. NAR: Pending Home Sales index declined 0.4% in June
  18. LPS: House Price Index increased 1.3% in May, Up 7.9% year-over-year
  19. Sunday Night Futures
  20. They're Back! Congress threatens to Default Again
  21. FOMC Preview: Economic Slowdown
  22. Schedule for Week of July 28th
  23. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 729 Institutions
  24. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in June, Lowest since early 2009
  25. Lawler on Publicly-Traded Home Builder Results, "Good Chance for Downward Revision in New Home Sales"
  26. Vehicle Sales: Another strong month in July
  27. Final July Consumer Sentiment increase to 85.1, Highest since 2007
  28. Friday: Consumer Sentiment
  29. Larry Summers and the Pivot to Austerity
  30. Freddie Mac: 30 Mortgage Rate declines to 4.31% in Latest Survey
  31. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing expanded in July
  32. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increases in June
  33. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 343,000
  34. Comments on Janet Yellen; Thursday: Durable Goods, Initial Unemployment Claims
  35. NMHC Survey: Apartment Market Conditions Tighten slightly in July
  36. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index Stays in Growth Mode" in June
  37. A Few Comments on New Home Sales
  38. New Home Sales at 497,000 Annual Rate in June
  39. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease slightly in Latest Weekly Survey
  40. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  41. DataQuick: Q2 California Foreclosure Starts up from Q1, Down 52.9% from Q2 2012
  42. ATA Trucking Index increases slightly in June
  43. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 29 States in June
  44. Richmond Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity Weakens
  45. House Price Indexes: FHFA up 7.3% YoY, Zillow up 5.8% YoY
  46. Tuesday: FHFA House Price Index, Richmod Fed Mfg Survey
  47. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 18.4% year-to-date on July 22nd
  48. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in June
  49. Comments on Existing Home Sales: Solid Report, Inventory near Bottom
  50. Existing Home Sales in June: 5.08 million SAAR, 5.2 months of supply
  51. Chicago Fed: "Economic Activity Slightly Improved in June"
  52. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  53. DataQuick on California Home Sales: Total Sales Down, Conventional Sales up Sharply, Foreclosures lowest since August 2007
  54. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 734 Institutions
  55. Existing Home Sales: Expect Below Consensus Sales
  56. Schedule for Week of July 21st
  57. Krugman: How Much Should We Worry About A China Shock?
  58. Two more Q2 GDP Downgrades
  59. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.9% in May
  60. Brent and WTI Oil Futures: "The Spread is Dead"
  61. BLS: State unemployment rates were "little changed" in June
  62. Janet Yellen for Fed Chair
  63. Research: Labor force participation rate expected to stay flat through 2015
  64. Detroit Files for Bankruptcy
  65. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates Decline to 4.37% in Latest Weekly Survey
  66. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates Solid Expansion in July
  67. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 334,000
  68. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey, Bernanke
  69. Lawler: Update on June existing Home Sales and Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities
  70. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased "at a modest to moderate pace"
  71. Housing Starts: A few comments
  72. Bernanke: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  73. Housing Starts declined in June to 836,000 SAAR
  74. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications increase slightly, Refinance Applications Decline in Latest Weekly Survey
  75. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Bernanke
  76. LA area Port Traffic: More Export Weakness in June
  77. Key Measures show low inflation in June
  78. NAHB: Builder Confidence increases in July to 57, Highest in 7 Years
  79. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.3% in June
  80. CPI increases 0.5% in June, Core CPI 0.2%
  81. Tuesday: CPI, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence
  82. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 18.1% year-to-date on July 15th
  83. Report: Home Listed For Sales up 4.3% in June from May, Down 7.3% year-over-year
  84. FNC: House prices increased 4.0% year-over-year in May
  85. Retail Sales increased 0.4% in June
  86. Monday: Retail Sales, Empire State Mfg Survey
  87. Oil and Gasoline Prices Increase, Spread between Brent and WTI Narrows
  88. Q2 GDP tracking 1.0%
  89. LA Times: The Housing Rebound in Orange County
  90. Schedule for Week of July 14th
  91. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 742 Institutions
  92. "US housing’s resilience"
  93. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in June
  94. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in June
  95. Preliminary July Consumer Sentiment decreases to 83.9
  96. JPMorgan: At or above current mortgage rates "refinance volumes and margins will be under pressure"
  97. Friday: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  98. Sacramento: Conventional Sales in June highest in Years, Inventory increases 18% year-over-year
  99. RealtyTrac: Foreclosure Activity Drops to Lowest Level since 2006
  100. Will the Fed "Taper" in September if the August unemployment rate is 7.6%?
  101. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 360,000
  102. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims
  103. Bernanke: "A Century of U.S. Central Banking: Goals, Frameworks, Accountability"
  104. FOMC Minutes: "Many members indicated that further improvement in the outlook for the labor market would be required before it would be appropriate to slow the pace of asset purchases"
  105. Timiraos: Foreclosure Squeeze Crimps Las Vegas Real-Estate Market
  106. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Decline as Mortgage Rates Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  107. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes, Bernanke
  108. Fed's Williams: "A Defense of Moderation in Monetary Policy"
  109. Zillow: 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Surge to Highest Level in 2 Years
  110. BLS: Job Openings little changed in May
  111. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate unchanged at 4.3% in Q2 2013
  112. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in June
  113. Tuesday: Apartment Vacancy Survey, Job Openings
  114. Duy on Tapering in September
  115. Weekly Update: Existing Home Inventory is up 16.3% year-to-date on July 8th
  116. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2 at 17.0%
  117. LPS: Large Decline in Mortgage Delinquencies, U.S. Negative Equity Share Falls Below 15 Percent
  118. Sunday Night Futures
  119. House Prices and Mortgage Rates
  120. Lumber Prices off 25% from recent peak
  121. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  122. Schedule for Week of July 7th
  123. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 743 Institutions
  124. Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  125. Merrill Lynch on Taper Timing
  126. Update: Four Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering
  127. Employment Report: More Hiring, Wages Up, Still Weak Labor Market
  128. June Employment Report: 195,000 Jobs, 7.6% Unemployment Rate
  129. Friday: Jobs
  130. Some Employment Statistics
  131. ECB's Draghi: "ECB interest rates to remain at present or lower levels for an extended period of time"
  132. Trulia: Asking Home Prices increased in June
  133. Employment Situation Preview
  134. Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rates unchanged in Q2
  135. Trade Deficit increased in May to $45.0 Billion
  136. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in June
  137. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 343,000
  138. ADP: Private Employment increased 188,000 in June
  139. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Decline as Mortgage Rates Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  140. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Service, Q2 Mall Vacancy Rates
  141. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increased to 15.9 million annual rate in June, Highest since November 2007
  142. June Vehicle Sales: Preliminary Reports suggests highest sales rate since 2007
  143. Existing Home Inventory is up 16.7% year-to-date on July 1st
  144. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.2% Year-over-year in May
  145. Tuesday: June Auto Sales
  146. Deutsche Bank: Pace of Construction Hiring to increase in 2nd Half of 2013
  147. Update: Recovery Measures
  148. Construction Spending increased in May
  149. ISM Manufacturing index increases in June to 50.9
  150. Markit PMI shows "modest manufacturing expansion" in June, New export orders decline sharply
  151. Monday: ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending

June 2013

  1. How many Jobs are Needed to Reach Fed's December Unemployment Rate Target for QE3 Tapering?
  2. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 749 Institutions, Q2 Transition Matrix
  3. Oil: The Disappearing Brent / WTI Spread
  4. Schedule for Week of June 30th
  5. Goldman on The Impact on GDP of Higher Mortgage Rates
  6. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in May, Lowest since early 2009
  7. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show over 12% year-over-year increase in May
  8. Restaurant Performance Index at 14 month high in May
  9. Final June Consumer Sentiment at 84.1, Chicago PMI declines to 51.6
  10. Friday: Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  11. Hotels: Occupancy Rate tracking pre-recession levels
  12. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates highest since July 2011
  13. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing contracted in June
  14. Personal Income increase 0.5% in May, Spending increased 0.3%
  15. NAR: Pending Home Sales index increased in May
  16. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 346,000
  17. Thursday: Personal Income and Outlays for May, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  18. House Prices and Mortgage Rates
  19. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 33 States in May
  20. Vehicle Sales in June forecast to be at highest level since 2007
  21. Q1 GDP Revised down to 1.8% Annualized Real Growth Rate
  22. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Decline as Mortgage Rates Increase
  23. Wednesday: Q1 GDP (3rd estimate), MBA Mortgage Purchase Index
  24. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, City Prices relative to 2000
  25. A few comments on House Prices and New Home Sales
  26. New Home Sales at 476,000 SAAR in May
  27. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.1% year-over-year in April
  28. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate lowest since May 2008, Foreclosure inventories lowest since March 2009
  29. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, Consumer Confidence and more
  30. Existing Home Inventory is up 16.9% year-to-date on June 24th
  31. Market Update
  32. LPS: House Price Index increased 1.5% in April, Up 8.1% year-over-year
  33. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "surges" in June
  34. Chicago Fed: "Economic Activity slightly improved in May"
  35. Monday: Dallas Fed Mfg Survey, Chicago Fed National Activity Index
  36. Real Estate: Pocket Listings in a Tight Market
  37. A few comments on dumb policy
  38. Gasoline Prices down slightly Nationally, Higher in California due to Refinery Issues
  39. Schedule for Week of June 23rd
  40. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 751 Institutions
  41. Martin Wolf writes "Austerity has failed ... Not too late to change course"
  42. Is Bernanke pulling a Trichet?
  43. BLS: State unemployment rates were "little changed" in May
  44. More Thoughts on QE3 Taper Timing
  45. Two more articles on QE3
  46. Four Charts to Track Timing for QE3 Tapering
  47. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates Expansion in June
  48. Comment on Existing Home Sales: Inventory near Bottom
  49. Existing Home Sales in May: 5.18 million SAAR, 5.1 months of supply
  50. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 354,000
  51. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  52. Analysis on Tapering QE3
  53. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  54. FOMC Statement: "Downside risks have diminished", Inflation outlook revised down, No Taper
  55. AIA: "Strong Rebound for Architecture Billings Index" in May
  56. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease, Mortgage Rates Increase
  57. Wednesday: Fed Day
  58. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in May
  59. Housing Starts: A few comments
  60. Key Measures show low and falling inflation in May
  61. Fed: Household Debt Service Ratio near lowest level in 30+ years
  62. Housing Starts increase in May to 914,000 SAAR
  63. Tuesday: Housing Starts, CPI
  64. FNC: House prices increased 4.6% year-over-year in April
  65. Existing Home Inventory is up 14.9% year-to-date on June 17th
  66. Redfin: "Here Comes the Inventory"
  67. NAHB: Builder Confidence increases in June, Over 50 for first time since April 2006
  68. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing index increases in June
  69. Monday: Empire State Manufacturing, NAHB Homebuilder Confidence
  70. Mid-year Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2013
  71. WaPo on Deficiency Judgments
  72. FOMC Projections Preview: Disinflation Watch
  73. Schedule for Week of June 16th
  74. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 757 Institutions
  75. Goldman FOMC Preview: "Calming the Market"
  76. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in May
  77. Housing bubble: The "Wealth" is Gone, but the Debt Remains
  78. Preliminary June Consumer Sentiment decreases to 82.7
  79. Fed: Industrial Production unchanged in May
  80. Friday: Industrial Production, PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  81. WSJ: "Fed Likely to Push Back on Market Expectations of Rate Increase"
  82. Freddie Mac: "Mortgage Rates on Six Week Streak Higher"
  83. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 334,000
  84. Retail Sales increased 0.6% in May
  85. Thursday: Retail Sales, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  86. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in May
  87. Sacramento: Conventional Sales in May highest in Years, Inventory increases year-over-year
  88. CoreLogic: Negative Equity Decreases in Q1 2013, 9.7 Million Properties still with Negative Equity
  89. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Mortgage Rates highest since March 2012
  90. Update: Real Estate Agent Boom and Bust
  91. Comment: Senator Elizabeth Warren and Short Sale Fraud
  92. DataQuick: SoCal May Home Sales Highest in 7 Years
  93. BLS: Job Openings decreased slightly in April
  94. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in May
  95. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism
  96. Existing Home Inventory is up 15.5% year-to-date on June 10th
  97. Las Vegas Real Estate in May: Year-over-year Inventory decline slows sharply
  98. Quick Comment: Recession Calls and Markets
  99. Q1 2013: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Strongly Negative
  100. Sunday Night Futures
  101. Gasoline Prices down slightly Nationally, Higher in Midwest due to Refinery Issues
  102. Housing: Watch Inventory
  103. Graphs for Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  104. Schedule for Week of June 9th
  105. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 760 Institutions
  106. Bank Failure #16 in 2013: Mountain National Bank, Sevierville, Tennessee
  107. AAR: Rail Traffic increased in May
  108. WSJ: Fed could slow QE later this year
  109. Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  110. May Employment Report: 175,000 Jobs, 7.6% Unemployment Rate
  111. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  112. Bank Failure #15 in 2013: 1st Commerce Bank, North Las Vegas, Nevada
  113. Europe: Been down so long ...
  114. Employment Situation Preview: Expect Disappointment
  115. Fed's Q1 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt down $1.3 Trillion from Peak, Record Household Net Worth
  116. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in May
  117. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 346,000
  118. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Flow of Funds Report
  119. Report: Personal Bankruptcy Filings decline 11% year-over-year in May
  120. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity "increased at a modest to moderate pace"
  121. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slightly faster expansion in May
  122. ADP: Private Employment increased 135,000 in May
  123. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications decline sharply as Mortgage Rates Increase above 4%
  124. Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Service Index, Fed's Beige Book
  125. Lawler: Single Family Homes Built/Sold in 2012: “Back to Bigger,” But on Very Low Volumes
  126. Existing Home Inventory is up 15.2% year-to-date on June 4th
  127. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.1% Year-over-year in April
  128. Trade Deficit increased in April to $40.3 Billion
  129. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  130. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in April, Lowest since early 2009
  131. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increased to 15.3 million annual rate in May
  132. Construction Spending increased in April
  133. ISM Manufacturing index declines in May to 49.0, Lowest since June 2009
  134. MarkIt PMI shows "only a modest rate of growth" in May
  135. Monday: ISM Manufacturing Index, Auto Sales, Construction Spending
  136. Bernanke: The Ten Suggestions
  137. Brent, Cushing and $3.50 per gallon Gasoline
  138. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show over 12% year-over-year increase in April
  139. Schedule for Week of June 2nd
  140. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 761 Institutions
  141. Friday Rock Blogging

May 2013

  1. Bank Failure #14 in 2013: Banks of Wisconsin, Kenosha, Wisconsin
  2. Restaurant Performance Index increases in April
  3. Social Security and Medicare Trustees Report Released
  4. Final May Consumer Sentiment increases to 84.5, Chicago PMI increases sharply to 58.7
  5. Personal Income declined slightly in April, Spending declined 0.2%
  6. Friday: April Personal Income and Outlays, 2013 Social Security Trustees Report
  7. Fake Prosperity in Ireland for the G8 Summit
  8. A few comments on 2nd Estimate of GDP
  9. Freddie Mac: "Fixed Mortgage Rates Highest in a Year"
  10. NAR: Pending Home Sales index increases slightly in April
  11. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 354,000
  12. Thursday: Q1 GDP, Initial Unemployment Claims
  13. Lawler: Single Family REO Inventory Continued to Decline in Q1; Down 24% from Year Ago, 39% from Two Years Ago
  14. Housing Report: Institutional Investor Stops Buying, blames "stupid money"
  15. Reports: Small Business Credit Improving
  16. FDIC reports Record Earnings for insured institutions, Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q1
  17. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications increase, Refinance Applications decline sharply in latest survey
  18. Wednesday: FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile
  19. 4% 30 Year Mortgage Rates?
  20. Existing Home Inventory is up 16.4% year-to-date on May 27th
  21. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, City Prices relative to 2000
  22. Dallas and Richmond Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity mixed in May
  23. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 10.9% year-over-year in March
  24. LPS: House Price Index increased 1.4% in March, Up 7.6% year-over-year
  25. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  26. May Vehicle Sales forecast to be at or above 15 million SAAR
  27. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  28. Gasoline Prices: Down slightly from last year on Memorial Day
  29. States: Mo Money Mo Problems
  30. How to Calculate Q2 Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Growth
  31. Schedule for Week of May 26th
  32. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 767 Institutions
  33. Labor Force Participation Rate Sensitivity
  34. Lawler: Vegas Housing Market: “Sizzlin’ Hot,” and Yet So Cold
  35. Update: The Two Bottoms for Housing
  36. Merrill Lynch on Labor Force Participation Rate
  37. Durable Goods Orders increased 3.3% in April
  38. Friday: Durable Goods (and a comment on housing driving the recovery)
  39. Freddie Mac: "Mortgage Rates Continue Upward Trend"
  40. A few comments on New Home Sales
  41. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing expanded in May
  42. New Home Sales at 454,000 SAAR in April
  43. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 340,000
  44. Thursday: New Home Sales, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  45. Existing Home Sales: A few comments
  46. FOMC Minutes: Exit Strategy Discussion
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates decreased demand for design services in April
  48. Existing Home Sales in April: 4.97 million SAAR, 5.2 months of supply
  49. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rate falls below 6.5% in April, Lowest since July 2008
  50. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Weekly Survey
  51. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, Bernanke Testimony and more
  52. Fed's Dudley: "Lessons at the Zero Bound: The Japanese and U.S. Experience"
  53. ATA Trucking Index decreases slightly in April
  54. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 45 States in April
  55. Zillow: House Prices up over 5% year-over-year in March, Case-Shiller expected to show 9.8% YoY increase
  56. Discussion on Inequality and Economic Growth
  57. Existing Home Inventory is up 17.7% year-to-date on May 20th
  58. Lumber Prices decline Sharply over last month
  59. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.5% in March
  60. Chicago Fed: "Economic Activity Slower in April"
  61. Sunday Night Futures
  62. Report: Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup "nearly halt foreclosure sales"
  63. Research Notes: Fiscal Drag and Upward Revisions to Q2 GDP
  64. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 770 Institutions
  65. Bernanke: "Economic Prospects for the Long Run"
  66. Schedule for Week of May 19th
  67. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices declined seasonally in March
  68. LA area Port Traffic: Exports down slightly in April
  69. BLS: Unemployment Rate declined in 40 States in April
  70. Preliminary May Consumer Sentiment increases to 83.7
  71. Friday: Consumer Sentiment
  72. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  73. Housing Starts: A few Comments and Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent
  74. Key Measures show low and falling inflation in April
  75. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Shows Contraction in May
  76. Housing Starts decline sharply in April to 853,000 SAAR
  77. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 360,000
  78. Thursday: Housing Starts, CPI, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  79. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in April
  80. DataQuick: SoCal homes sales highest for month of April since 2006, Distressed Sales down in California
  81. FNC: House prices increased 5.5% year-over-year in March
  82. Builder Confidence increases in May
  83. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.5% in April
  84. Misc: Euro-zone Recession Continues, NY Fed Mfg Survey shows contraction, PPI Declines Sharply
  85. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Weekly Survey
  86. Wednesday: Industrial Production, Builder Confidence, PPI, Empire State Mfg Survey
  87. CBO Update: Deficit Shrinking Rapdily
  88. Sacramento: Conventional Sales over 68% of Housing Market in April, Highest percentage in Years
  89. Existing Home Inventory is up 13.5% year-to-date on May 13th
  90. NY Fed: Consumer Debt declines in Q1, Deleveraging Continues
  91. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in April
  92. Tuesday: Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
  93. Labor Force Participation Rate Research
  94. Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory declines in Q1 2013
  95. When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  96. Retail Sales increase 0.1% in April
  97. Monday: Retail Sales
  98. EIA: Gasoline Prices expected to average $3.53 per gallon this summer
  99. Mortgage Delinquencies by Loan Type in Q1
  100. Schedule for Week of May 12th
  101. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 771 Institutions
  102. Bank Failures #11 & 12 in 2013: North Carolina and Georgia
  103. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  104. Report: Advanced Bookings suggest Strong Summer Season
  105. Bernanke: "Monitoring the Financial System"
  106. Friday: Bernanke "Monitoring Finance"
  107. NAHB: Builder Confidence in the 55+ Housing Market increases sharply in Q1
  108. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency Rates increase in Q1, Foreclosure Inventory Down Sharply
  109. Fannie Mae Reports Pre-Tax Income of $8.1 Billion for First Quarter 2013
  110. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 323,000
  111. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims
  112. Las Vegas Real Estate in April: Year-over-year Inventory decline slows
  113. Update: California Revenues $4.6 Billion ahead of Projections through April
  114. Freddie Mac on Q1: $4.6 Billion Net Income, No Treasury Draw, REO Declines
  115. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Purchase index at highest level since May 2010
  116. Temporary Help Services and Employment
  117. Existing Home Inventory is up 12.2% year-to-date on May 6th
  118. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in April, "Rent growth has slowed"
  119. BLS: Job Openings decreased slightly in March
  120. CoreLogic: House Prices up 10.5% Year-over-year in March
  121. Tuesday: JOLTS
  122. Fed Survey: Banks eased lending standards, "experienced stronger demand"
  123. Update: Recovery Measures
  124. LPS: New Problem Loans at Lowest Rate in 6 Years; Negative Equity Drops
  125. Monday: April Senior Loan Officer Survey
  126. The End of Austerity in Europe?
  127. Lawler: Las Vegas Absentee Buyer Share Up Despite Plunge in “Distressed” Sales
  128. Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  129. Schedule for Week of May 5th
  130. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 773 Institutions
  131. Graphs for Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  132. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in April
  133. Update: The Future's so Bright ...
  134. Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  135. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in April
  136. April Employment Report: 165,000 Jobs, 7.5% Unemployment Rate
  137. Friday: Employment Report
  138. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates decrease in latest Survey, 15-Year at All-Time Low
  139. Employment Situation Preview
  140. Trade Deficit declined in March to $38.8 Billion
  141. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 324,000
  142. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
  143. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates declined in March
  144. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decreased to 14.9 million annual rate in April
  145. FOMC Statement: "fiscal policy is restraining economic growth", "prepared to increase or reduce the pace of its purchases"
  146. Residential Construction Spending increased in March, Non-Residential and Public Spending Decreased
  147. ISM Manufacturing index declines in April to 50.7
  148. ADP: Private Employment increased 119,000 in April
  149. MBA: Refinance Mortgage Applications Increase, Purchase Applications Decrease

April 2013

  1. Wednesday: FOMC Meeting, Auto Sales, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending, ADP Employment and more
  2. Restaurant Index increased in March
  3. HVS: Q1 2013 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  4. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, City Prices relative to 2000
  5. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 9.3% year-over-year in February
  6. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Consumer Confidence
  7. Q1 2013 GDP Details: Single Family investment increases, Commercial Investment very Low
  8. Existing Home Inventory is up 12.1% year-to-date on April 29th
  9. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "stalls" in April
  10. Pending Home Sales index increases in March
  11. Personal Income increased 0.2% in March, Core PCE prices up 1.1% year-over-year
  12. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
  13. FOMC Preview: Inflation Watch
  14. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Bush and Obama
  15. Schedule for Week of April 28th
  16. Summary for Week ending April 26th
  17. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 775 Institutions
  18. The HARP Success Story
  19. Bank Failures #9 & 10 in 2013: North Carolina and Georgia
  20. Lawler: Selected Results (and Comments) from Large Publicly-Traded Builders for Last Quarter
  21. Q1 GDP and Investment
  22. Final April Consumer Sentiment increases to 76.4
  23. Real GDP increased 2.5% Annualized in Q1
  24. Friday: Q1 GDP
  25. WSJ: "Unemployment Hits New Highs in Spain, France"
  26. Zillow: Rate of Home Value Appreciation Slows Nationwide in Q1
  27. Update: CoreLogic acquires Case-Shiller
  28. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing contracted "modestly" in April
  29. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 339,000
  30. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims
  31. Lawler: How Much Has the Single Family Housing Market Shifted to Rentals (in numbers)?
  32. April Vehicle Sales forecast to be above 15 million SAAR for Sixth Consecutive Month
  33. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicates increasing demand for design services in March
  34. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Purchase Index highest since May 2010
  35. Wednesday: Durable Goods, Architecture Billings Index
  36. ATA Trucking Index increases in March
  37. DataQuick: Q1 California Foreclosure Starts Lowest Since Late 2005
  38. A few comments on New Home Sales
  39. New Home Sales at 417,000 SAAR in March
  40. LPS: Total Non-current Mortgages falls below 5 Million for the first time since 2008
  41. Tuesday: New Home Sales
  42. Lawler on Housing: Table of Cash Buyers in March, Updated Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities
  43. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.4% in February
  44. Existing Home Sales: Conventional Sales up Sharply
  45. Existing Home Sales in March: 4.92 million SAAR, 4.7 months of supply
  46. Chicago Fed: "Economic Activity Slower in March"
  47. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  48. Housing: Some thoughts on Investor Buying, Inventory and recent Price Increases
  49. Shiller on Housing: "Could be an auspicious time to buy"
  50. Schedule for Week of April 21st
  51. Summary for Week ending April 19th
  52. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 781 Institutions
  53. Update: Federal and State improving Fiscal Situation
  54. Bank Failures #7 & 8 in 2013: Both in Florida
  55. Bank Failure #6 in 2013: First Federal Bank, Lexington, Kentucky
  56. DataQuick on California Home Sales: Foreclosures lowest since September 2007
  57. BLS: Unemployment Rate declined in 26 States in March
  58. Hotels: Occupancy Rate tracking pre-recession levels
  59. Friday: State Employment, Snoxx Socks!
  60. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Tighten in April
  61. Fed's Raskin: Low- and middle-income households hit hardest by Great Recession
  62. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices up 5.1% Year-over-year in February
  63. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Shows Slower Expansion in April
  64. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 352,000
  65. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  66. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in March
  67. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity expanded at "moderate" pace
  68. LA area Port Traffic decreases year-over-year in March
  69. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Purchase Index highest since May 2010
  70. Wednesday: Beige Book, Mortgage Applications
  71. Lawler: Updated Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in March
  72. A few comments on Housing Starts
  73. Key Measures show low inflation in March
  74. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.4% in March
  75. Housing Starts increase to 1.036 million SAAR in March
  76. Tuesday: Housing Starts, CPI, Industrial Production
  77. Gasoline Prices Continue Decline
  78. Existing Home Inventory is up 9.6% year-to-date on April 15th
  79. FNC: House prices increased 6.1% year-over-year in February, At 28 Month High
  80. Builder Confidence declines in April due to higher costs
  81. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing index declines, Shows slight expansion in April
  82. Monday: Empire State Mfg Survey, Homebuilder Confidence
  83. Shiller and the Upward Slope of Real House Prices
  84. LA Times: The Industrial Boom in the Inland Empire
  85. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 786 Institutions
  86. Schedule for Week of April 14th
  87. Summary for Week ending April 12th
  88. NY Times: "Fewer Home Loans Start to Affect Banks"
  89. Lawler: "Why Active Listings Excluding All Pending Contracts Aren’t a Good Measure of Inventory"
  90. Report: Housing Inventory declines 15% year-over-year in March
  91. Preliminary April Consumer Sentiment declines to 72.3
  92. Retail Sales decline 0.4% in March
  93. Friday: Retail Sales, PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  94. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates decrease slightly in latest Survey
  95. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to increase 8.9% Year-over-year for February
  96. "The Rapidly Shrinking Federal Deficit"
  97. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 346,000
  98. Thursday: Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims
  99. LPS: Mortgage Delinquencies decline in February
  100. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in March
  101. Sacramento: Conventional Sales over 62% of Housing Market in March, Highest percentage in Years
  102. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Conventional Purchase Applications highest since October 2009
  103. FOMC Minutes: Benefits of QE "outweigh the likely costs and risks"
  104. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  105. Job Openings and Nonfarm Payrolls
  106. Las Vegas Real Estate: Conventional Sales up 40% year-over-year in March
  107. Lumber Prices near Housing Bubble High
  108. BLS: Job Openings increased in February, Most since May 2008
  109. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in March
  110. Tuesday: Small Business Confidence, Job Openings
  111. Existing Home Inventory is up 8.5% year-to-date on April 8th
  112. Lawler: Goldman's Pretty Weak Argument that “National” Home Prices Last Year “Really” Increased by 3-4%
  113. Labor Force Participation Rate Update
  114. Over There: Portugal
  115. Sunday Night Futures
  116. Graphs for Construction Employment, Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  117. Business Week on Jim the Realtor
  118. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 790 Institutions, Q1 Transition Matrix
  119. Summary for Week ending April 5th
  120. Schedule for Week of April 7th
  121. Bank Failure #5 in 2013: Gold Canyon Bank, Gold Canyon, Arizona
  122. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in March
  123. Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  124. Trade Deficit declined in February to $43 Billion
  125. March Employment Report: 88,000 Jobs, 7.6% Unemployment Rate
  126. Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit
  127. Fed's Yellen: Communication in Monetary Policy
  128. Employment Situation Preview
  129. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate declines in Q1
  130. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in March, Rents "flatten"
  131. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 385,000
  132. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Mall Vacancy Survey
  133. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in February, Lowest since February 2009
  134. Fed's Williams: Expects to Meet "test for substantial improvement in the outlook for the labor market by this summer"
  135. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate declined to 4.3% in Q1 2013
  136. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates slower expansion in March
  137. CoreLogic: House Prices up 10.2% Year-over-year in February
  138. ADP: Private Employment increased 158,000 in March
  139. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications increase, Refinance Applications decrease
  140. Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Service, Apartment Vacancy Survey
  141. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decreased to 15.3 million annual rate in March
  142. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 45 States in February
  143. Fannie Mae reports record profit in 2012
  144. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q1 to 17.0%
  145. Tuesday: Auto Sales, Office Vacancy Rate
  146. Update: Recovery Measures
  147. Existing Home Inventory is up 6.5% year-to-date on April 1st
  148. Construction Spending increased in February
  149. ISM Manufacturing index declines in March to 51.3
  150. Sunday Night Futures

March 2013

  1. NY Times: Following Cyprus bank closings, Other Tax Havens step in
  2. Gasoline Prices down 12 cents over last month
  3. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 791 Institutions
  4. Schedule for Week of March 31st
  5. Summary for Week ending March 29th
  6. Report: Slow to Foreclose in Ireland
  7. Restaurant Index declines in February
  8. BLS: Unemployment Rate declined in 22 States in February
  9. March Consumer Sentiment increases to 78.6
  10. Personal Income increased 1.1% in February, Spending increased 0.7%
  11. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment
  12. Comments on Q4 GDP and Investment
  13. A comment on Jobs, Household Formation and New Residential Construction
  14. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing contracted slightly in March
  15. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 357,000
  16. Thursday: Initial Weekly Unemployment Claims, GDP, Chicago PMI
  17. Analysts increase 2013 house price forecasts
  18. Lawler: Single Family REO inventories down 23.4% in 2012
  19. Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in February, Lowest since mid-2009
  20. Pending Home Sales index declines in February
  21. MBA: Mortgage Applications increase in latest survey
  22. Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
  23. Forecasts: Solid Vehicle Sales in March
  24. A few comments on New Home Sales
  25. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, City Prices relative to 2000
  26. New Home Sales at 411,000 SAAR in February
  27. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 8.1% year-over-year in January
  28. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies decreased in February
  29. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods
  30. Existing Home Inventory is up 7.5% year-to-date on March 25th
  31. Bernanke: Central Banker policies are not "beggar-thy-neighbor"
  32. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity increased in March
  33. Chicago Fed: "Economic Activity Improved in February"
  34. Sunday Night Futures
  35. Reports: Cyprus Draft Deal Reached, No Details Yet
  36. Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  37. Cyprus Sunday
  38. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 797 Institutions
  39. Schedule for Week of March 24th
  40. Summary for Week ending March 22nd
  41. Cyprus: Bank Resolution Bills Passed, Vote Saturday on Tax on uninsured deposits
  42. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.5% in January
  43. Lawler: The “Strange Case” of the NAR’s Regional Existing Condo/Co-op Sales
  44. Cyprus Update
  45. Hotels: Occupancy Rate near pre-recession levels
  46. Cyprus Parliament expected to vote on new plan Friday
  47. Lumber Prices up Sharply, Suppliers Scramble to Keep Up
  48. Cyprus Update
  49. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Shows Expansion in March
  50. Existing Home Sales: Conventional Sales up Sharply
  51. Existing Home Sales in February: 4.98 million SAAR, 4.7 months of supply
  52. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 336,000
  53. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Index
  54. NY Times: "Surprise Demand for Housing Catches Industry Off-Guard"
  55. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  56. FOMC Statement: "Labor market conditions have shown signs of improvement"
  57. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases, Strongest Growth since 2007
  58. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease
  59. Wednesday: FOMC Announcement and Press Conference
  60. ATA Trucking Index increases in February
  61. Report: Cyprus's Parliament Rejects Bank Deposit Tax
  62. A few comments on Housing Starts
  63. CoreLogic: Negative Equity Decreases in Q4 2012
  64. Housing Starts increase to 917 thousand SAAR in February
  65. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  66. Existing Home Inventory is up 6.0% year-to-date on March 18th
  67. LA area Port Traffic increases year-over-year in February
  68. BLS: No State had double digit unemployment in January 2013
  69. Builder Confidence declines in March to 44
  70. Cyprus Update: Delay
  71. Sunday Night Futures
  72. Cyprus Update
  73. FOMC Projections Preview
  74. Updated Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in February
  75. Schedule for Week of March 17th
  76. Summary for Week ending March 15th
  77. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 801 Institutions
  78. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in February
  79. Fannie Mae Delays Annual SEC Filing due to improved results
  80. Key Measures of inflation in February
  81. Preliminary March Consumer Sentiment declines to 71.8
  82. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.7% in February
  83. CPI increases 0.7% in February, Core CPI 0.2%, NY Fed Manufacturing indicates expansion
  84. Friday: Industrial Production, CPI, Consumer Sentiment
  85. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates increase in latest Survey
  86. Report: Housing Inventory declines 16% year-over-year in February
  87. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.7% year-over-year in January
  88. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 332,000
  89. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  90. DataQuick: February Home Sales in SoCal highest in Six Years, Strong Investor Buying
  91. FHFA: Over 1 Million HARP Refinances in 2012
  92. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to increase 8.0% Year-over-year for January
  93. Retail Sales increased 1.1% in February
  94. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease, Mortgage Rates highest since August 2012
  95. Wednesday: Retail Sales
  96. Jim the Realtor: Here is what it looks like at an open house
  97. Q4 2012: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal less negative
  98. Existing Home Inventory is up 5.0% year-to-date on March 11th
  99. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in January
  100. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in February, Still Low
  101. Tuesday: JOLTS, Small Business Confidence
  102. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in February
  103. Update: The Recession Probability Chart
  104. Sacramento February House Sales: Conventional Sales up 41.4% year-over-year
  105. Sunday Night Futures
  106. Business Cycles and Markets
  107. Graphs for Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  108. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 805 Institutions
  109. Schedule for Week of March 10th
  110. Summary for Week ending March 8th
  111. Bank Failure #4 in 2013: Frontier Bank, LaGrange, Georgia
  112. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in February
  113. Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in January, Lowest since mid-2009
  114. Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  115. February Employment Report: 236,000 Jobs, 7.7% Unemployment Rate
  116. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  117. Employment Situation Preview
  118. Zelman: "Nirvana for housing"
  119. Fed's Q4 Flow of Funds: Household Mortgage Debt down $1.2 Trillion from Peak
  120. LPS: Mortgage Delinquencies decline in January, "Non-Judicial States’ Pipeline Ratios Extending Due to Legislative, Legal Actions"
  121. Trade Deficit increased in January to $44.4 Billion
  122. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 340,000
  123. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, Q4 Flow of Funds
  124. No Government Shutdown on March 27th?
  125. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity expanded at "modest to moderate" pace
  126. Report: Personal Bankruptcy Filings decline 21% year-over-year in February
  127. ADP: Private Employment increased 198,000 in February
  128. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase Sharply in Latest Weekly Survey
  129. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Beige Book
  130. Market Update
  131. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in February, Inventory not expected to bottom in 2013
  132. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates faster expansion in February
  133. CoreLogic: House Prices up 9.7% Year-over-year in January
  134. Tuesday: ISM Service Index
  135. Existing Home Inventory is only up 3.4% year-to-date in early March
  136. Fannie Mae Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in January, Lowest since early 2009
  137. Update: Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  138. Fed's Yellen: Challenges Confronting Monetary Policy
  139. Sunday Night Futures
  140. Q4 2012 GDP Details: Commercial Real Estate investment very low, Single Family investment increases
  141. Housing: The Two Bottoms
  142. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 808 Institutions
  143. Schedule for Week of March 3rd
  144. Summary for Week ending March 1st
  145. Bernanke: How are long-term rates likely to evolve over coming years?
  146. Goldman Sachs on Sequestration Cuts
  147. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 15.4 million annual rate in February
  148. Construction Spending declined in January
  149. ISM Manufacturing index increases in February to 54.2, Consumer Sentiment improves
  150. Personal Income declined 3.6% in January, Spending increased 0.2%
  151. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending, Auto Sales, Consumer sentiment

February 2013

  1. Freddie Mac: $4.5 Billion Net Income, No Treasury Draw, REO Declines
  2. Restaurant Performance Index: Expansion in January
  3. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing contracted in February
  4. Fed: Consumer Debt increased slightly in Q4, "Deleveraging Process Decelerates"
  5. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies decreased in January
  6. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 344,000
  7. Thursday: Q4 GDP, Unemployment Claims
  8. Lawler: A few highlights from the Q4 FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile
  9. Bernanke: Sequester could lead to "less deficit reduction"
  10. Pending Home Sales index increased in January
  11. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease
  12. Wednesday: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales, Bernanke
  13. Misc: Sales Ratio Existing to New Home Sales, FHFA House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  14. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio
  15. A few Comments on New Home Sales
  16. New Home Sales at 437,000 SAAR in January
  17. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 6.8% year-over-year in December
  18. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Bernanke
  19. Existing Home Inventory up 3.6% year-to-date in late February
  20. Market Update
  21. LPS: House Price Index increased 0.1% in December, Up 5.8% year-over-year
  22. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity increases in February but at a Slower Pace
  23. Chicago Fed: "Economic Growth Moderated in January"
  24. Sunday Night Futures
  25. Gasoline Prices up over 50 Cents per Gallon since December
  26. Forecast: Solid Auto Sales in February
  27. Housing: Some Details on the Business Model for Institutional Buyers
  28. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven declined 2.9% in December
  29. Schedule for Week of Feb 24th
  30. Summary for Week ending February 22nd
  31. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 809 Institutions
  32. ATA Trucking Index "Best Ever January"
  33. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to increase 6.7% Year-over-year for December, Strong Price increases in January
  34. Housing: What if inventory keeps falling?
  35. A Brief Comment on Lumber Prices
  36. Correction: MBA National Delinquency Survey Graph
  37. Existing Home Sales: Conventional Sales up Sharply
  38. Key Measures show low inflation in January
  39. Q4 MBA National Delinquency Survey Comments
  40. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Finished 2012 Down Sharply"
  41. Existing Home Sales in January: 4.92 million SAAR, 4.2 months of supply
  42. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 362,000
  43. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, MBA's Mortgage Delinquency Survey, Unemployment Claims, CPI and more
  44. FOMC Minutes: "Several participants" support varying QE asset purchases
  45. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent compared to New Home Sales
  46. AIA: "Strong Surge for Architecture Billings Index"
  47. Housing Starts decrease to 890 thousand SAAR in January, Single Family Starts Increase
  48. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease, Mortgage Rates increase
  49. Wednesday: Housing Starts, FOMC Minutes, PPI and more
  50. Housing: No "Troubling Divergence" between Completions and Sales
  51. Update: Real Estate Agent Boom and Bust
  52. Builder Confidence declines slightly in February to 46
  53. Residential Remodeling Index declines 6% in December
  54. Tuesday: Homebuilder Confidence Survey
  55. Lawler: Early Look At January Existing Home Sales
  56. Existing Home Inventory up 2.3% year-to-date in mid-February
  57. FNC: "Foreclosure price discounts drop to pre-crisis levels"
  58. LA area Port Traffic in January
  59. Update: Recovery Measures
  60. Inland Empire: Starting to Recover
  61. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 812 Institutions
  62. Summary for Week ending February 16th
  63. Schedule for Week of Feb 17th
  64. Bank Failure #3 in 2013: Covenant Bank, Chicago, Illinois
  65. Update: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in January
  66. Lawler: Publicly-Traded Home Builder Results and Comparison to Census New Home Sales
  67. Mortgage Rates Unchanged in Latest Survey, Up slightly over last few months
  68. Preliminary February Consumer Sentiment increases to 76.3
  69. Fed: Industrial Production declined 0.1% in January
  70. Friday: Industrial Production, Consumer sentiment, Empire State Mfg Survey
  71. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 4.9% year-over-year in December
  72. Report: Housing Inventory declines 16% year-over-year in January
  73. Report: U.S. Foreclosure Starts Decline in January due to new California Law
  74. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 341,000
  75. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims
  76. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices up 4.3% Year-over-year
  77. DataQuick: January Home Sales in SoCal highest in Six Years
  78. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  79. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in January
  80. Wednesday: Retail Sales
  81. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in January
  82. More Research on Construction Employment
  83. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" in December
  84. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases slightly in January, Still very low
  85. Nikkei Opens Up Sharply following Finance Ministers Price Target
  86. Las Vegas Real Estate: Sales and Inventory decreased year-over-year in January
  87. Fed's Yellen: "A Painfully Slow Recovery for America's Workers"
  88. Sacramento January House Sales: Conventional Sales up 51% year-over-year
  89. A Compendium of Tanta's Posts
  90. Sunday Night Futures
  91. Timiraos: "FHA Gets Scrutiny"
  92. Gasoline Prices increase to $4 per gallon in California
  93. "Sequester" Budget Cuts appear more likely
  94. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 820 Institutions
  95. Schedule for Week of Feb 10th
  96. Summary for Week ending February 9th
  97. Hotels: Occupancy Rate near pre-recession levels
  98. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in January
  99. Las Vegas: Visitor Traffic at Record High in 2012, Convention Attendance Lags
  100. Meyer on Construction Jobs
  101. Trade Deficit declined in December to $38.5 Billion
  102. Friday: Trade Deficit
  103. Lawler on Housing: More Data on Cash Buyers
  104. Fed: Consumer Credit increased $14.6 Billion in December
  105. NAHB: Builder Confidence in the 55+ Housing Market dips in Q4, Up year-over-year
  106. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 366,000
  107. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims, Consumer Credit
  108. California Housing Report: Record Cash Buying in 2012
  109. Redfin: "Homebuyer Demand Takes Off in January"
  110. MBA: Purchase Mortgage Applications Increase, Highest Since May 2010
  111. Update: Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  112. CBO: Deficit to decline to 2.4% of GDP in Fiscal 2015
  113. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in January
  114. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index indicates expansion in January
  115. CoreLogic: House Prices up 8.3% Year-over-year in December
  116. Tuesday: ISM Service Index
  117. Fed: Some domestic banks "eased lending standards", Demand for some Loans "strengthened"
  118. Housing: Inventory down 22% year-over-year in early February
  119. Irwin: No Bond Bubble
  120. Lawler: More Home Builder Results for Last Quarter
  121. Sunday Night Futures
  122. Restaurant Performance Index: "Softer Sales, Traffic" in December
  123. Graphs for Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  124. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 822 Institutions
  125. Schedule for Week of Feb 3rd
  126. Summary for Week ending February 2nd
  127. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency rates mostly unchanged in December
  128. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 15.3 million annual rate in January
  129. Construction Spending increased in December, Public spending lowest since 2006
  130. Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  131. ISM Manufacturing index increases in January to 53.1, Consumer Sentiment improves
  132. January Employment Report: 157,000 Jobs, 7.9% Unemployment Rate
  133. Friday: Jobs, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Auto Sales and more

January 2013

  1. LPS: Fewer Delinquencies in 2012, Highest level of Mortgage Originations since 2007
  2. Kolko: Here are the “Missing” Construction Jobs
  3. Employment Situation Preview
  4. Personal Income increased 2.6% in December, Spending increased 0.2%
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 368,000
  6. Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI
  7. Lawler: Some Home Builder Results
  8. FOMC Statement: "Economic activity paused because of transitory factors"
  9. Comments on Q4 GDP and Investment
  10. Real GDP decreased 0.1% Annualized in Q4
  11. ADP: Private Employment increased 192,000 in January
  12. Wednesday: Q4 GDP, FOMC Announcement, ADP Employment
  13. Lawler on Housing Vacancy Survey
  14. HVS: Q4 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  15. Comment on House Prices, Real House Prices, and Price-to-Rent Ratio
  16. Case-Shiller: House Prices increased 5.5% year-over-year in November
  17. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  18. Existing Home Inventory up 3.7% in late January
  19. Dallas Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Strengthens" in January
  20. Pending Home Sales index declines in December
  21. Housing Spillover Effects
  22. Monday: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  23. Does this mark the top for bond prices?
  24. Thresholds for QE
  25. Me, Me, Me
  26. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 825 Institutions
  27. Schedule for Week of Jan 27th
  28. Summary for Week ending January 25th
  29. Zillow forecasts Case-Shiller House Price index to increase 5.3% Year-over-year for November
  30. WSJ: "Six Housing Forecasters Who Got Things Right in 2012"
  31. Hotels: RevPAR increases 12% compared to same week in 2012
  32. New Home Sales and Distressing Gap
  33. New Home Sales at 369,000 SAAR in December
  34. U.K. Economy Shrinks Again
  35. Friday: New Home Sales
  36. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.8% in November
  37. Forecast: Solid Auto Sales in January
  38. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Contracted Modestly in January
  39. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 330,000
  40. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  41. Lawler: Table of Short Sales and Foreclosures for Selected Cities in December
  42. Understanding the Existing Home Sales Report
  43. AIA: "Fifth Consecutive Month of Gains in Architecture Billings Index"
  44. FHFA: House Prices increase 0.6% in November, Up 5.6% Year-over-year
  45. LPS: Mortgage delinquencies increased slightly in December, "In Foreclosure" Declines
  46. Suspending the Debt Ceiling
  47. ATA Trucking Index increases 2.8% in December
  48. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 36 States in December
  49. NMHC Apartment Survey: Market Conditions Loosen Slightly
  50. Existing Home Sales: Another Solid Report
  51. Existing Home Sales in December: 4.94 million SAAR, 4.4 months of supply
  52. Chicago Fed "Economic Growth Moderated in December"
  53. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
  54. Existing Home Inventory up 2% in mid-January
  55. 2012 Preliminary Existing Homes: Sales up about 9%, Inventory down 19%
  56. 2012 New Home sales will be up about 20% from 2011
  57. LA area Port Traffic: Little impact from strike in December
  58. Flashback to 2007: Tanta on "Sound bankers"
  59. Predicting the Next Recession
  60. "The case for deficit optimism"
  61. "Financial Collapse: A 10-Step Recovery Plan"
  62. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 826 Institutions
  63. Summary for Week ending January 18th
  64. Schedule for Week of Jan 20th
  65. Bank Failure #2 in 2013: 1st Regents Bank, Andover, Minnesota
  66. Lawler: Early Look At Existing Home Sales in December
  67. The Future's so Bright ...
  68. 2007 Fed Transcripts
  69. State Unemployment Rates "little changed" in December
  70. Preliminary January Consumer Sentiment declines to 71.3
  71. Friday: Consumer Sentiment, State Employment
  72. Lawler: 2012 "Surprises" in Housing and 2013 Forecast
  73. Some Comments on Housing Starts
  74. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey Shows Contraction in January
  75. CoreLogic: Negative Equity Decreases in Q3 2012
  76. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 335,000
  77. Housing Starts increase sharply to 954 thousand SAAR in December
  78. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  79. Report: Housing Inventory declines 17% year-over-year in December
  80. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity expanded at "modest or moderate" pace
  81. Key Measures show low inflation in December
  82. Builder Confidence unchanged in January
  83. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.3% in December
  84. BLS: CPI unchanged in December, Core CPI increases 0.1%
  85. Wednesday: CPI, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence, Beige Book
  86. Sacramento December House Sales: Conventional Sales up 22% year-over-year
  87. DataQuick: SoCal Home Sales highest for December in Three Years
  88. After the Debt Ceiling is increased ...
  89. CoreLogic: House Prices up 7.4% Year-over-year in November, Largest increase since 2006
  90. Retail Sales increased 0.5% in December
  91. Tuesday: Retail Sales, PPI, Empire State Mfg Survey
  92. Bernanke to Congress: Do your job, Pay the Bills
  93. At 4 PM, Bernanke on "Monetary policy, recovery from the global financial crisis, and long-term challenges facing the U.S. economy
  94. Fed's Williams expects growth to pickup, Concerned about policy "uncertainty"
  95. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 4.2% year-over-year in November
  96. LPS: Mortgage Delinquency Rates increased slightly in November
  97. Sunday Night Futures
  98. Gasoline Prices up Recently, Expected to be lower than in 2012
  99. Jim the Realtor: "Price Pushing"
  100. No Trillion Dollar Platinum Coin
  101. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 832 Institutions
  102. Schedule for Week of Jan 13th
  103. Summary for Week Ending January 11th
  104. Goldman's Hatzius: 10 Questions for 2013
  105. Lawmakers urge the President to consider "any lawful steps" to pay the bills
  106. Nomura on China: Expect 8% Year-over-year growth in Q4
  107. Question #1 for 2013: US Fiscal Policy
  108. Trade Deficit increased in November to $48.7 Billion
  109. Friday: Trade Deficit
  110. The California Budget Surplus
  111. Question #2 for 2013: Will the U.S. economy grow in 2013?
  112. BLS: Job Openings "unchanged" in November
  113. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 371,000
  114. Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Job Openings
  115. Question #3 for 2013: How many payroll jobs will be added in 2013?
  116. Question #4 for 2013: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2013?
  117. Question #5 for 2013: Will the inflation rate rise or fall in 2013?
  118. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate declines in Q4
  119. Wednesday: Mall Vacancy Rate
  120. Las Vegas Real Estate: Sales and Inventory decreased year-over-year in December
  121. Question #6 for 2013: What will happen with Monetary Policy and QE3?
  122. Question #7 for 2013: What will happen with house prices in 2013?
  123. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate declined to 4.5% in Q4
  124. Tuesday: Apartment Vacancy Rate
  125. Housing: Inventory down 24% year-over-year in early January
  126. Question #8 for 2013: Will Housing inventory bottom in 2013?
  127. Thoughts on the Budget Deficit
  128. Office Vacancy Rate and Office Investment
  129. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declines slightly in Q4 to 17.1%
  130. Sunday Night Futures
  131. Question #9 for 2013: How much will Residential Investment increase?
  132. Question #10 for 2013: Europe and the Euro
  133. Labor Force Participation Rate Update
  134. Default Ceiling: Bluffing into the Nuts
  135. Summary for Week Ending January 4th
  136. Schedule for Week of Jan 6th
  137. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 834 Institutions
  138. AAR: Rail Traffic "mixed" in December
  139. Graphs for Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education and Diffusion Indexes
  140. Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  141. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases in December
  142. December Employment Report: 155,000 Jobs, 7.8% Unemployment Rate
  143. Friday: Employment Report
  144. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 15.3 million annual rate in December
  145. FOMC Minutes: "Several" members expect QE3 to end in 2013
  146. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates Near Record Lows
  147. Trulia: Asking House Prices increased in December
  148. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 372,000
  149. ADP: Private Employment increased 215,000 in December
  150. Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, FOMC Minutes, Auto Sales
  151. Fiscal Deal: A few things to like
  152. CoreLogic: Existing Home Shadow Inventory declines 12% year-over-year
  153. Construction Spending declined in November
  154. ISM Manufacturing index increases in December to 50.7
  155. MarkIt PMI shows "solid expansion of manufacturing sector" in December
  156. "Fiscal Cliff": House Passes Bill, Obama says he will not debate default ceiling
  157. Wednesday: ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending
  158. Tax Bill: Cancelled Mortgage Debt Relief extended for one year in Senate Bill
  159. "Fiscal Cliff": House could vote as early as 1 PM ET
  160. Happy New Year!

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