The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2014

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2014 1,617

December 2014

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined slightly in November, Lowest since October 2008
  2. Question #2 for 2015: How many payroll jobs will be added in 2015?
  3. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.8% in November, up 4.1% year-over-year
  4. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 298,000
  5. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index year-over-year change expected to slow further in November
  6. Question #3 for 2015: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2015?
  7. Question #4 for 2015: Will too much inflation be a concern in 2015?
  8. Question #5 for 2015: Will the Fed raise rates in 2015? If so, when?
  9. House Prices: Better Seasonal Adjustment; Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in October
  10. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.6% year-over-year in October
  11. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies increased in November
  12. Question #6 for 2015: Will real wages increase in 2015?
  13. Oil Prices Fall, Rig Count Drops, Oil Companies Employment to decline
  14. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing "Picks up Pace" in December
  15. Black Knight: House Price Index up slightly in October, Up 4.5% year-over-year
  16. Sunday Night Futures
  17. Question #7 for 2015: What about oil prices in 2015?
  18. CNBC and the "Job Surge of 2015" and Demographics
  19. Question #8 for 2015: How much will Residential Investment increase?
  20. Schedule for Week of December 28th
  21. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 401 Institutions, Q4 2014 Transition Matrix
  22. Question #9 for 2015: What will happen with house prices in 2015?
  23. Question #10 for 2015: How much will housing inventory increase in 2015?
  24. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate unchanged in November
  25. Happy Holidays!
  26. "Mortgage Rates Match December Highs"
  27. Ten Economic Questions for 2015
  28. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: "Strongest December in 10 Years", 17 Million in 2015
  29. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 280,000
  30. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  31. Wednesday: Unemployment Claims
  32. Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2014
  33. Comments on New Home Sales
  34. Personal Income increased 0.4% in November, Spending increased 0.6%
  35. New Home Sales at 438,000 Annual Rate in November
  36. Q3 GDP Revised Up to 5.0%
  37. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Personal Income and Outlays, GDP, and much more
  38. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 44 states in November
  39. A Few Comments on November Existing Home Sales
  40. Existing Home Sales in November: 4.93 million SAAR, Inventory up 2.0% Year-over-year
  41. Chicago Fed: Index shows "Economic Growth Accelerated" in November
  42. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  43. Katie Couric and the Net Petroleum Exporter Myth
  44. Existing Home Sales: A Likely "Miss"
  45. Schedule for Week of December 21st
  46. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 401 Institutions
  47. ATA Trucking Index increased 3.5% in November
  48. Lawler Update: Read on November Existing Home Sales, Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities
  49. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.6% year-over-year in October
  50. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Expanded at a Moderate Pace" in December
  51. BLS: Forty-one States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in November
  52. Freddie Mac: "Mortgage Rates Find New Lows for 2014"
  53. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in October
  54. LA area Port Traffic in November
  55. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey declines to 24.5 in December
  56. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 289,000
  57. Comments on Fed Chair Yellen's Press Conference
  58. Zillow: Negative Equity declines further in Q3 2014, "Down by Almost Half Since 2012 Peak"
  59. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  60. FOMC Statement: "Considerable Time" replaced with "patient", "consistent with previous statement"
  61. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in November
  62. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows slower expansion in November
  63. BLS: CPI decreased 0.3% in November, Core CPI increased 0.1%
  64. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  65. Wednesday: FOMC, CPI
  66. "Mortgage Rates Back to Pre-Taper-Tantrum Levels"
  67. DataQuick: "Bay Area Home Sales Slowest in Six Years" in November
  68. DataQuick: "Southern California November Home Sales Fall Sharply"
  69. Comments on November Housing Starts
  70. Housing Starts decrease to 1.028 Million Annual Rate in November
  71. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  72. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in November
  73. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November (look for big dip)
  74. A Comment on Oil Prices
  75. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased to 57 in December
  76. Fed: Industrial Production increased 1.3% in November
  77. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "activity declined for New York manufacturers" in December
  78. Monday: Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg Survey, Homebuilder Survey
  79. FOMC Preview: Focus on Press Conference, Probably Remove "Considerable Time", Shorter Statement
  80. Schedule for Week of December 14th
  81. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 406 Institutions
  82. Goldman: FOMC Preview
  83. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Finishing 2014 Strong
  84. Merrill and Nomura: FOMC Preview
  85. Preliminary December Consumer Sentiment increases to 93.8
  86. Sacramento Housing in November: Total Sales down 6% Year-over-year, Active Inventory increased 37%
  87. Would you loan money to this guy?
  88. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Negative in Q3 2014
  89. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth "dipped slightly" in Q3
  90. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 294,000
  91. Retail Sales increased 0.7% in November
  92. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Q3 Flow of Funds
  93. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in November
  94. Quarterly Services Survey suggests upward revision to Q3 GDP close to 4.4%
  95. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.7% year-over-year in October
  96. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  97. Wednesday: Q3 Quarterly Services Report
  98. Las Vegas Real Estate in November: YoY Non-contingent Inventory up 20%, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down YoY
  99. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 7.4% year-over-year in November
  100. BLS: Jobs Openings at 4.8 million in October, Up 21% Year-over-year
  101. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Increases in November
  102. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism
  103. FNC: More Long Term Home Owners selling in 2014
  104. Phoenix Real Estate in November: Sales down 4%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up only 3%
  105. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  106. Sunday Night Futures
  107. Decline in the Labor Force Participation Rate: Mostly Demographics and Long Term Trends
  108. Schedule for Week of December 7th
  109. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 407 Institutions
  110. The Future's so Bright ...
  111. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  112. Trade Deficit mostly unchanged in October at $43.4 Billion
  113. Employment Report Comments: Best Year for Employment since the '90s
  114. November Employment Report: 321,000 Jobs, 5.8% Unemployment Rate
  115. Friday: Employment, Trade Deficit
  116. Mortgage Rates decline to 3.89%, No Significant Increase in Refinance Activity Expected
  117. Black Knight October Mortgage Monitor: "8% of mortgages, 4 million borrowers in negative equity"
  118. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 297,000
  119. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  120. Preview: Employment Report for November
  121. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity "continued to expand"
  122. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 59.3% in November
  123. ADP: Private Employment increased 208,000 in November
  124. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  125. Wednesday: ISM Non-Mfg Index, ADP Employment, Beige Book
  126. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 17.1 million annual rate in November
  127. Update: More 2015 Housing Forecasts
  128. Construction Spending increased 1.1% in October
  129. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.1% Year-over-year in October
  130. Tuesday: Auto Sales, Construction Spending
  131. Restaurant Performance Index increased in October
  132. Housing: Demographics for Renting and Buying
  133. ISM Manufacturing index at 58.7 in November
  134. Monday: ISM Manufacturing

November 2014

  1. WSJ: "Mortgage Lenders Set to Relax Standards"
  2. Schedule for Week of November 30th
  3. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 408 Institutions
  4. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  5. Possible Headline for Next Friday: "Best Year for Employment since the '90s"
  6. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Finishing 2014 Strong, Best Year since 2000
  7. Vehicle Sales Forecast: "Strongest November since 2001"
  8. WTI Crude Oil Falls Below $70
  9. Word of the Year
  10. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in October, Lowest since October 2008
  11. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index year-over-year change expected to slow further in October
  12. Comments on October New Home Sales
  13. New Home Sales at 458,000 Annual Rate in October
  14. Personal Income increased 0.2% in October, Spending increased 0.2%
  15. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 313,000
  16. Wednesday: New Home Sales, Personal Income, Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home sales
  17. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in October, Lowest since December 2008
  18. House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in September
  19. NY Fed: Household Debt increased in Q3 2014, "Deleveraging process has ended"
  20. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.8% year-over-year in September
  21. Q3 GDP Revised Up to 3.9% Annual Rate
  22. Tuesday: GDP, Case-Shiller House Prices, Q3 Household Debt and Credit Report and much more
  23. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates below 4%, Lowest in 1-Month
  24. Black Knight: House Price Index down slightly in September, Up 4.6% year-over-year
  25. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing "Posts Slower Growth" in November
  26. Chicago Fed: Index shows "economic activity was near its historical trend" in October
  27. Sunday Night Futures
  28. Update: Business Cycles and Markets
  29. Update: More 2015 Housing Forecasts
  30. Schedule for Week of November 23rd
  31. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 411 Institutions
  32. Vehicle Sales Forecast: "Could Reach 17 Million" SAAR in November
  33. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.3% year-over-year in September
  34. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Expanded Further" in November
  35. BLS: Thirty-four States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in October
  36. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies decreased in October, Lowest in Seven Years
  37. Friday: State Employment, October Mortgage Delinquencies
  38. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent
  39. A Few Comments on October Existing Home Sales
  40. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in October
  41. Existing Home Sales in October: 5.26 million SAAR, Inventory up 5.2% Year-over-year
  42. CPI unchanged in October; Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 291,000
  43. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Inflation, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  44. Lawler: Updated Read on Existing Home Sales, Table of Distressed Sales in October
  45. Comments on October Housing Starts
  46. FOMC Minutes: "a few expressed concern that inflation might persist below the Committee's objective for quite some time"
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows slower expansion in October
  48. Housing Starts decrease to 1.009 Million Annual Rate in October
  49. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  50. Wednesday: Housing Starts, FOMC Minutes
  51. Builder Confidence and Housing Starts
  52. ATA Trucking Index increased 0.5% in October
  53. LA area Port Traffic in October: Strong Imports, Soft Exports
  54. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 58 in November
  55. Tuesday: Homebuilder survey, PPI
  56. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in September
  57. WSJ: Audit shows FHA Back in Black
  58. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.1% in October
  59. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "pace of growth somewhat faster than last month’s" in November
  60. Monday: Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg Survey
  61. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 415 Institutions
  62. Schedule for Week of November 16th
  63. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in October
  64. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October
  65. MBA National Delinquency Survey: Judicial vs. Non-Judicial Foreclosure States in Q3 2014
  66. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decrease in Q3, Lowest since 2007
  67. Preliminary November Consumer Sentiment increases to 89.4
  68. Retail Sales increased 0.3% in October
  69. Friday: Retail Sales, Consumer Sentiment, Q3 National Mortgage Delinquency Survey
  70. Freddie Mac: "Fixed Mortgage Rates Hovering Near 2014 Lows"
  71. DataQuick on California Bay Area: Home Sales increased slightly in October, Few Distressed Sales
  72. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Finishing 2014 Strong
  73. BLS: Jobs Openings at 4.7 million in September, Up 20% Year-over-year
  74. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 290,000
  75. Thursday: Job Openings, Unemployment Claims
  76. Lawler: Beazer Results and Q3 Builder Summary Table
  77. DataQuick: October Southern California Home Sales Dip To Three-Year Low
  78. EIA Forecast: Gasoline Prices expected to average $2.94/gal in 2015
  79. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Increases in October
  80. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  81. Wednesday: Small Business Optimism
  82. Lawler on D.R. Horton: Net Orders Jump as Increased Incentives Continued; Expects Big Increase in Unit Sales, Flat Home Prices Next Year
  83. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  84. Housing Update: It Appears Inventory build is Slowing in Previous Distressed Markets
  85. Sacramento Housing in October: Total Sales down 1% Year-over-year, Equity Sales up 5%, Active Inventory increased 29%
  86. Lawler on Toll Brothers: Net Orders Up, Orders Per Community Down Last Quarter
  87. Update: The California Budget Surplus
  88. Another Recession Caller
  89. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 6.3% year-over-year in September
  90. Sunday Night Futures
  91. Employment: Party Like It's 1999!
  92. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  93. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 419 Institutions
  94. Schedule for Week of November 9th
  95. Update: 2015 Housing Forecasts
  96. Bank Failure #17 in 2014: El Paseo Bank, Palm Desert, California
  97. Phoenix Real Estate in October: Sales up 2%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up only 6%
  98. Commentary: Politics and Jobs
  99. Comments: Solid Employment Report, Seasonal Retail Hiring at Record Level
  100. October Employment Report: 214,000 Jobs, 5.8% Unemployment Rate
  101. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  102. Lawler: Fannie, Freddie in Q3
  103. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves for the 55+ Housing Market in Q3
  104. Las Vegas Real Estate in October: YoY Non-contingent Inventory up 26%, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down YoY
  105. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 6.4% year-over-year in October
  106. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 278,000, 4-Week Average lowest since April 2000
  107. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  108. Preview: Employment Report for October
  109. Bankruptcy Filings declined 13% in Fiscal 2014, Lowest Filings in Seven Years
  110. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreased to 57.1% in October
  111. ADP: Private Employment increased 230,000 in October
  112. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  113. Wednesday: ISM Non-Mfg Index, ADP Employment
  114. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Year-over-year
  115. Lawler on NAR 2014 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers
  116. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.6% Year-over-year in September
  117. Trade Deficit increased in September to $43.0 Billion
  118. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  119. Fed Survey: Banks "eased standards for construction and land development loans"
  120. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales unchanged at 16.35 million annual rate in October
  121. Construction Spending decreased 0.4% in September
  122. ISM Manufacturing index increases to 59.0 in October
  123. Black Knight releases Mortgage Monitor for September
  124. Monday: ISM Mfg, Auto Sales, Construction Spending
  125. Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
  126. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since October 2008
  127. Schedule for Week of November 2nd
  128. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 422 Institutions
  129. Friday Night: Kudlow makes me laugh ... again!

October 2014

  1. Q3 GDP: Investment Contributions
  2. Q3 2014 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  3. Preliminary: 2015 Housing Forecasts
  4. Final October Consumer Sentiment at 86.9, Chicago PMI increases to 66.2
  5. BEA: Personal Income increased 0.2% in September, Core PCE prices up 1.5% year-over-year
  6. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  7. Hotels: Occupancy up 5.4%, RevPAR up 10.8% Year-over-Year
  8. Lawler: MDC Results and Homebuilder Summary Table
  9. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 287,000, 4-Week Average lowest since May 2000
  10. BEA: Real GDP increased at 3.5% Annualized Rate in Q3
  11. Thursday: Q3 GDP, Unemployment Claims
  12. Lawler on Housing Vacancy Survey for Q3: Reported Household Growth Remained Muted; “True” Homeownership Rate Probably Lowest Since the 1960’s
  13. FOMC Statement: QE3 Ends, "Considerable Time" before rate increase
  14. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since 2008
  15. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index year-over-year change expected to slow further in September
  16. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  17. Wednesday: FOMC Statement
  18. NMHC Survey: Apartment Market Conditions Slightly Tighter in Q3 2014
  19. House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in August
  20. HVS: Q3 2014 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  21. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.1% year-over-year in August
  22. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, and much more
  23. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Over 16 Million SAAR again in October
  24. ATA Trucking Index Unchanged in September
  25. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.3% in September, up 1.0% year-over-year
  26. Black Knight: House Price Index up 0.1% in August, Up 4.9% year-over-year
  27. Sunday Night Futures
  28. FOMC: End of QE3, Shorter Statement
  29. Schedule for Week of October 26th
  30. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 423 Institutions
  31. Goldman Sachs: FOMC Preview
  32. Merrill Lynch: FOMC Preview
  33. Bank Failure #16 in 2014: National Republic Bank of Chicago
  34. Lawler on New Home Sales: Silly-Looking August Guess Revised Down Sharply in the West – As Expected
  35. Comments on September New Home Sales
  36. New Home Sales increased slightly to 467,000 Annual Rate in September
  37. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies decreased in September
  38. Friday: New Home Sales
  39. FDIC Releases Economic Scenarios for 2015 Stress Testing
  40. A Few Comments on QE
  41. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 43 states in September
  42. FHFA: House Prices increased 0.5% in August, Up 4.8% Year-over-year
  43. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 283,000, 4-Week Average lowest since May 2000
  44. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, FHFA House Price Index
  45. QE Timeline Update
  46. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in September
  47. Cost of Living Adjustment: 1.7%, Contribution Base for 2015: $118,500
  48. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases in September, "Robust Construction Conditions Ahead"
  49. BLS: CPI increases 0.1% in September, Core CPI 0.1%, Cost-Of-Living Adjustment 1.7%
  50. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  51. Wednesday: Consumer Price Index
  52. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Starts Lowest Since 2005
  53. LA area Port Traffic in September: Imports Highest since 2006, Exports Soft
  54. BLS: Thirty-one States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in September
  55. A Few Comments on September Existing Home Sales
  56. Existing Home Sales in September: 5.17 million SAAR, Inventory up 6.0% Year-over-year
  57. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
  58. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed and All-Cash Share for September
  59. FHFA Director Watt: Reps and Warrants to be Clarified in Coming Weeks, "sensible and responsible guidelines" for Lower Downpayments
  60. Is Mortgage Credit too Tight?
  61. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.4% year-over-year in August
  62. Sunday Night Futures
  63. Hamilton: "How will Saudi Arabia respond to lower oil prices?"
  64. Schedule for Week of October 19th
  65. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 426 Institutions
  66. Bank Failure Friday: NBRS Financial, Rising Sun, Maryland,15th Failure of 2014
  67. WSJ: "Fannie, Freddie Near Deal That Promises to Boost Mortgage Lending"
  68. A few comments on September Housing Starts
  69. Preliminary October Consumer Sentiment increases to 86.4
  70. Housing Starts increase to 1.017 Million Annual Rate in September
  71. Friday: Housing Starts, Yellen
  72. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in August
  73. Earlier: Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey declines to 20.7 in October
  74. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased to 54 in October
  75. Fed: Industrial Production increased 1.0% in September
  76. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 264,000, 4-Week Average lowest since 2000
  77. Thursday: Industrial Production, Unemployment Claims, Homebuilder Survey, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  78. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded "modest to moderate" pace
  79. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "business activity grew modestly" in October
  80. Retail Sales decreased 0.3% in September
  81. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  82. Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, NY Fed Mfg Survey, Beige Book and More
  83. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates below 4%, Lowest since June 2013
  84. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September, Table of Distressed and All-Cash Share
  85. DataQuick on California Bay Area: Strongest September for Home Sales in Five Years, Distressed Sales and Investor Buying declines
  86. Mortgage Rates: Close to 4%, No Significant Increase in Refinance Activity Expected
  87. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Declines in September
  88. DataQuick on SoCal: September Home Sales up 1% Year-over-year, Distressed Sales and Investor Buying Declines Further
  89. From 5 Years Ago: The History of the World wouldn't be complete without ...
  90. Update: Real Estate Agent Boom and Bust
  91. "Disinflation, Here We Come"
  92. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 429 Institutions
  93. Sunday Night Futures
  94. Goldman on 2015: "Potential Renewed Uncertainty around Fiscal Deadlines"
  95. Fed Vice Chairman Fischer: "The Federal Reserve and the Global Economy"
  96. Schedule for Week of October 12th
  97. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in September
  98. Moody's Zandi: "Have We Underestimated U.S. Wage Growth?"
  99. Sacramento Housing in September: Total Sales down 1% Year-over-year, Equity Sales up 5%, Active Inventory increased 51%
  100. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 7.5% year-over-year in August
  101. Lawler: Comments on Pending Home Sales and All Cash Purchases
  102. Hotels: Occupancy up 3.7%, RevPAR up 6.6% Year-over-Year
  103. Housing: Appears Inventory build is Slowing in Previous Distressed Markets
  104. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 6.4% year-over-year in September
  105. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 287,000, 4-Week Average lowest since 2006
  106. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  107. Las Vegas Real Estate in September: YoY Non-contingent Inventory up 29%, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down YoY
  108. FOMC Minutes: "Costs of downside shocks to the economy would be larger than those of upside shocks"
  109. CBO Estimate: Budget Deficit declines to 2.8% of GDP
  110. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  111. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  112. Phoenix Real Estate in September: Sales down 1%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up 13%
  113. Fed: Q2 Household Debt Service Ratio near Record Low
  114. Goldman: The Housing Recovery Resumes
  115. BLS: Jobs Openings at 4.8 million in August, Up 23% Year-over-year
  116. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.4% Year-over-year in August
  117. Tuesday: Job Openings
  118. Fun: News IQ Quiz
  119. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  120. Fed's Labor Market Conditions Index
  121. Black Knight releases Mortgage Monitor for August
  122. Monday: Fed Labor Market Conditions Index
  123. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  124. Schedule for Week of October 5th
  125. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 430 Institutions, Q3 2014 Transition Matrix
  126. Goldman: "Fed likely still holds $1 trillion MBS by the end of 2020"
  127. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q3
  128. Trade Deficit decreased in August to $40.1 Billion
  129. Comments on Employment Report: Party Like it's 1999!
  130. September Employment Report: 248,000 Jobs, 5.9% Unemployment Rate
  131. Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit, Q3 Mall Vacancies, ISM non-Manufacturing
  132. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate below 2% in August, Lowest since January 2009
  133. Preview: Employment Report for September
  134. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate increased in Q3 to 4.2%, First quarterly increase since 2009
  135. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 287,000
  136. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 Apartment Vacancy Rate
  137. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to slow further year-over-year in August
  138. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 16.34 million annual rate in September
  139. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q3 at 16.8%
  140. Construction Spending decreased 0.8% in August
  141. ISM Manufacturing index declines to 56.6 in September
  142. ADP: Private Employment increased 213,000 in September
  143. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  144. Wednesday: Vehicle Sales, ISM Manufacturing, ADP Employment, Q3 Office Vacancies, Construction Spending

September 2014

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate below 2% in August, Lowest since October 2008
  2. House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio decline in July
  3. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  4. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.6% year-over-year in July
  5. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI
  6. Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index up 0.2% in July, Up 5.1% year-over-year
  7. Personal Income increased 0.3% in August, Spending increased 0.5%
  8. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Strengthens" in September
  9. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 1.0% in August, down 2.2% year-over-year
  10. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
  11. Q3 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2014
  12. Schedule for Week of September 28th
  13. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 432 Institutions
  14. Trivial: Bill Gross and Yoga in 2007
  15. Merrill and Nomura Forecasts for September Non-Farm Payrolls
  16. Final September Consumer Sentiment at 84.6
  17. Q2 GDP Revised Up to 4.6% Annual Rate
  18. Friday: Revised Q2 GDP, Consumer Sentiment
  19. Lawler on ACS: Sharp Slowdown in Household Growth in 2013 Mainly Attributable to Fewer Folks Living Alone, Big Increases in “Doubling (and more) Up
  20. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Over 16 Million SAAR again in September
  21. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Edged Higher" in September
  22. CoreLogic: "Nearly 950,000 homes returned to positive equity in the second quarter of 2014"
  23. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 293,000
  24. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies increased in August
  25. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
  26. Lawler on Homebuilder KB Home and New Home Sales Report
  27. Comments on New Home Sales
  28. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index Exhibits Continued Strength" in August
  29. New Home Sales increase to 504,000 Annual Rate in August, Highest Sales Rate since May 2008
  30. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  31. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  32. ATA Trucking Index increased 1.6% in August
  33. Chemical Activity Barometer "Pace of Growth Slows for Leading Economic Indicator"
  34. Richmond Fed: "Manufacturing conditions strengthened in September"
  35. FHFA: House Prices increase 0.1% in July, Up 4.4% Year-over-year
  36. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates at 4.22%, Down from 4.45% Last September
  37. Lawler: Existing Home Sales Eased in August; NAR Bogusly Blames Monthly Dip on “Retreat” by “All Cash” Investors
  38. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.5% year-over-year in July
  39. A Few Comments on August Existing Home Sales
  40. Existing Home Sales in August: 5.05 million SAAR, Inventory up 4.5% Year-over-year
  41. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth decelerated in August"
  42. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  43. Hotels: Occupancy up 4.5%, RevPAR up 11.8% Year-over-Year
  44. Schedule for Week of September 21st
  45. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 435 Institutions
  46. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased 11.9% year-over-year in July
  47. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Negative in Q2 2014
  48. BLS: State unemployment rates little changed in August
  49. Fed's Q2 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth at Record High
  50. Lawler on 2013 ACS: Headship Rates, Homeownership Rates Fell Last Year
  51. A few comments on August Housing Starts
  52. Earlier: Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey at 22.5 in September
  53. Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows upward adjustment of 7,000 jobs
  54. Earlier: Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 280,000
  55. Housing Starts decrease to 956 Thousand Annual Rate in August
  56. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Preliminary Employment Benchmark Revision, Scotland and More
  57. Sacramento Housing in August: Total Sales down 13% Year-over-year, Equity Sales down 5%, Active Inventory increased 61%
  58. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  59. FOMC Statement: More Tapering, "Considerable Time" before rate increase
  60. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in August
  61. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 59 in September, Highest since 2005
  62. Early Look at 2015 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  63. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  64. Wednesday: FOMC Statement and Press Conference, CPI, Home Builder Confidence
  65. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in August
  66. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August
  67. Census: Poverty Rate declined in 2013, Real Median Income increased slightly
  68. BLS: Producer Price Index unchanged in August
  69. LA area Port Traffic: Soft in August
  70. Las Vegas: Visitor Traffic on pace for record in 2014, Convention Attendance Returning
  71. Goldman's Hatzius: Expect "Considerable time" to remain in FOMC Statement this Meeting
  72. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.1% in August
  73. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "business activity expanded at a robust pace" in September
  74. Sunday Night Futures
  75. FOMC Preview: More Tapering
  76. Schedule for Week of September 14th
  77. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 435 Institutions
  78. Housing: "Price cuts are back"
  79. A few Analysts comments on FOMC meeting next week
  80. Preliminary September Consumer Sentiment increases to 84.6
  81. Retail Sales increased 0.6% in August
  82. Friday: Retail Sales
  83. DataQuick: Home Sales slow in SoCal and Bay Area
  84. Hotels: Occupancy up 4.5%, RevPAR up 10.6% Year-over-Year
  85. Goldman Sachs Revises Q2 GDP estimate to 4.7%
  86. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 315,000
  87. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Quarterly Services Report
  88. Vehicle Sales: Fleet Turnover Ratio
  89. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 7.4% year-over-year in July
  90. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Refinance Activity Lowest since 2008
  91. Update: Framing Lumber Prices
  92. Las Vegas Real Estate in August: YoY Non-contingent Inventory up 39%, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down YoY
  93. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 7.8% year-over-year in August
  94. BLS: Jobs Openings at 4.7 million in July, Up 22% Year-over-year
  95. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in August
  96. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Survey
  97. Duy on Fed's "considerable time" phrase
  98. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  99. Phoenix Real Estate in August: Sales down 9%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up 22%
  100. Sunday Night Futures
  101. Research: Much of Recent Decline in Labor Force Participation Rate due to "ongoing structural influences"
  102. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  103. Schedule for Week of September 7th
  104. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 437 Institutions
  105. Lawler: Latest Release Shows Sizable Revisions in S&P/Case-Shiller “National” Home Price Index
  106. Payroll Employment: Best Years, Worst Month
  107. Comments on Employment Report
  108. August Employment Report: 142,000 Jobs, 6.1% Unemployment Rate
  109. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  110. Preview: Employment Report for August
  111. Trade Deficit decreased in July to $40.5 Billion
  112. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 59.6% in August
  113. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 302,000
  114. ADP: Private Employment increased 204,000 in August
  115. Thursday: ECB's Draghi, ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Non-Manufacturing
  116. Lawler on Toll Brothers: Net Home Orders Down, Price Gains Slow; Some “Lessening” in Pricing Power
  117. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 17.45 million annual rate in August, Highest since Jan 2006
  118. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded, No "distinct shift in the overall pace of growth"
  119. Early: August Vehicle Sales may be over 17 Million SAAR, Highest Sales Rate since July 2006
  120. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  121. Wednesday: Auto Sales, Fed's Beige Book
  122. CoreLogic: House Prices up 7.4% Year-over-year in July
  123. Construction Spending increased 1.8% in July
  124. ISM Manufacturing index increases to 59.0 in August
  125. Black Knight releases Mortgage Monitor for July
  126. State and Local Governments: Contributions to GDP and Employment
  127. Mortgage Rates: A Long Way to Fall for a Significant Increase in Refinance Activity

August 2014

  1. Restaurant Performance Index declined in July
  2. Schedule for Week of August 31st
  3. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 439 Institutions
  4. Merrill and Goldman Forecasts for August Non-Farm Payrolls
  5. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined to 2.0% in July, Lowest since October 2008
  6. Hotels: Occupancy up 5%, RevPAR up 11.0% Year-over-Year
  7. August Consumer Sentiment increases to 82.5
  8. Personal Income increased 0.2% in July, Spending decreased 0.1%
  9. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  10. Regional Manufacturing Surveys suggest Solid August ISM index
  11. FDIC: Earnings increased for insured institutions, Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q2
  12. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 3.3% in July, down 2.1% year-over-year
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 298,000
  14. A comment from Tom Lawler on Household Estimates; Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q2 GDP (2nd estimate), Pending Home Sales
  15. Average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates decline to 4.11%, No "Refi Boom" in Sight
  16. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in July, Lowest since January 2009
  17. CBO Projection: Budget Deficits in Future Years to be Smaller than Previous Forecast
  18. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  19. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to slow further year-over-year in July
  20. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  21. Zillow: Negative Equity declines further in Q2 2014
  22. House Prices: Better Seasonal Adjustment; Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio Decline in June
  23. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 8.1% year-over-year in June
  24. Black Knight: Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure Process Lowest since March 2008
  25. Tuesday: Durable Goods, Case-Shiller & FHFA House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  26. New Home Prices: 43% of Home over $300K, 8% under $150K
  27. Comments on New Home Sales
  28. New Home Sales at 412,000 Annual Rate in July
  29. Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index up 0.8% in June, Up 5.5% year-over-year
  30. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth picked up in July"
  31. Sunday: No Futures for You!
  32. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Over 16 Million SAAR again in August
  33. The recovery in U.S. Heavy Truck Sales
  34. Schedule for Week of August 24th
  35. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 445 Institutions
  36. ECB's Draghi: Unemployment in the euro area
  37. ATA Trucking Index increased 1.3% in July
  38. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.9% year-over-year in May
  39. Fed Chair Yellen: Unemployment Rate "somewhat overstates" Improvement in Labor Market
  40. Lawler: Fannie Survey on How Lenders “Adapt” to ATR/QM
  41. A Few Comments on Existing Home Sales
  42. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey increases to 28 in August, Highest since March 2011
  43. Existing Home Sales in July: 5.15 million SAAR, Inventory up 5.8% Year-over-year
  44. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 298,000
  45. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Philly Fed Mfg Survey, Unemployment Claims
  46. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in July
  47. FOMC Minutes: Most Participants will wait for more data
  48. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in July, "Highest Mark Since 2007"
  49. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  50. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  51. Early Look at 2015 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  52. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in July
  53. A few comments on July Housing Starts
  54. Housing Starts increase to 1.093 million Annual Rate in July
  55. Tuesday: Housing Starts, CPI
  56. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased 10% year-over-year in June
  57. LA area Port Traffic: A little soft due to strike in July
  58. BLS: State unemployment rates little changed in July
  59. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 55 in August, Highest since January
  60. Sunday Night Futures
  61. Demolition as Stimulus
  62. Schedule for Week of August 17th
  63. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 447 Institutions
  64. Lawler: Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in July
  65. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
  66. Preliminary August Consumer Sentiment decreases to 79.2
  67. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.4% in July
  68. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "business conditions continued to improve" in August
  69. Friday: Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg Survey, PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  70. Repeat: U.S. Population by Age and Distribution, 1900 through 2060
  71. DataQuick on California Bay Area: July Home Sales down 9% Year-over-year, Distressed Sales and Investor Buying declines
  72. NY Fed: Household Debt decreased Slightly in Q2 2014, Delinquency Rates Lowest Since Q3 2007
  73. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 311,000
  74. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, NY Fed Q2 Household Debt and Credit Report
  75. DataQuick on SoCal: July Home Sales down 12% Year-over-year, Distressed Sales and Investor Buying Declines Further
  76. Flashback to August 2011 and 2013 (And a hint for 2015)
  77. Retail Sales unchanged in July
  78. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  79. Wednesday: Retail Sales
  80. EIA Forecast: Gasoline Prices expected to decline to $3.30 per gallon in December
  81. Treasury: Budget Deficit declined in July 2014 compared to July 2013
  82. BLS: Jobs Openings increased to 4.7 million in June, Highest since 2001
  83. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in July
  84. Tuesday: Job Openings
  85. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 13.3% YoY on Aug 11th
  86. Kolko: "Let’s Improve, Not Ignore, Seasonal Adjustment of Housing Data"
  87. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 8.0% year-over-year in June
  88. Fed's Fischer: "The Great Recession--Moving Ahead"
  89. Sunday Night Futures
  90. Update: Framing Lumber Prices
  91. Schedule for Week of August 10th
  92. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 449 Institutions
  93. Sacramento Housing in July: Total Sales down 4.5% Year-over-year, Equity Sales up 9%, Active Inventory increased 68%
  94. Lawler: Fannie, Freddie in Q2
  95. Fannie and Freddie Results in Q2: REO inventory declines, "modest increase in REO prices"
  96. Las Vegas Real Estate in July: YoY Non-contingent Inventory up 55%, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down YoY
  97. Comments on Q2 National Delinquency Survey: About 2 Years until Normal Levels
  98. Hotels: Occupancy up 4.5%, RevPAR up 11.0% Year-over-Year
  99. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves for the 55+ Housing Market in Q2
  100. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 7.8% year-over-year in July
  101. MBA: Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decrease in Second Quarter
  102. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 289,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since February 2006
  103. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  104. Payroll Employment and Seasonal Factors
  105. U.S. Births increased in 2013 after Declining for Five Consecutive Years
  106. Trade Deficit decreased in June to $41.5 Billion
  107. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  108. Wednesday: Trade Deficit
  109. Phoenix Real Estate in July: Sales down 17%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up 35%
  110. Q2 2014 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  111. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 58.7%
  112. CoreLogic: House Prices up 7.5% Year-over-year in June
  113. Tuesday: ISM non-Manufacturing
  114. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 13.6% YoY on Aug 4th
  115. Fed Survey: Banks eased lending standards, "broad-based pickup in loan demand"
  116. Goldman Sachs' Hui on House Price Seasonal Adjustments
  117. Black Knight releases Mortgage Monitor for June
  118. Sunday Night Futures
  119. Demographics: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  120. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  121. Schedule for Week of August 3rd
  122. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 451 Institutions
  123. Lawler: More Builder Results and Summary Table
  124. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decline to 16.4 million annual rate in July
  125. Construction Spending decreased in June
  126. Comments on Employment Report
  127. ISM Manufacturing index increased in July to 57.1
  128. Final July Consumer Sentiment at 81.8
  129. July Employment Report: 209,000 Jobs, 6.2% Unemployment Rate
  130. Friday: Jobs, Autos, ISM Manufacturing and More

July 2014

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since October 2008
  2. Preview: Employment Report for July
  3. Restaurant Performance Index declined in June
  4. Chicago PMI declines to 52.6
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 302,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since April 2006
  6. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Chicago PMI
  7. Q2 GDP: Investment Contributions
  8. FOMC Statement: More Tapering
  9. GDP: A Few Graphs
  10. BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.0% Annualized Rate in Q2
  11. ADP: Private Employment increased 218,000 in July
  12. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase Slightly in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  13. Wednesday: Q2 GDP, FOMC Statement, ADP Employment
  14. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to slow further year-over-year in June
  15. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  16. House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio decline in May
  17. HVS: Q2 2014 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  18. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 9.3% year-over-year in May
  19. Tuesday: Case-Shiller
  20. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 15.6% YoY on July 28th
  21. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since January 2009
  22. Dallas Fed: Manufacturing "Activity Picks up Pace Again" in July
  23. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 1.1% in June, down 7.3% year-over-year
  24. Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index up 0.9% in May, Up 5.9% year-over-year
  25. Monday: Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
  26. FOMC Preview: More Tapering
  27. Schedule for Week of July 27th
  28. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 452 Institutions
  29. Bank Failure Friday: Greenchoice Bank, Chicago, Illinois,14th Failure of 2014
  30. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Over 16 Million SAAR again in July
  31. Hotels: Record High Occupancy Rate for Week Ending July 19th
  32. Chemical Activity Barometer "retains strong year-over-year growth; shows short-term tightening"
  33. Lawler: Various Builder Results: Horton Home Orders, Market Share Jumps on Increased Sales Incentives; Orders “Lackluster” at Other Builders
  34. NMHC Survey: Apartment Market Conditions Tighter in Q2 2014
  35. Comments on the New Home Sales report
  36. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Edged Higher" in July
  37. New Home Sales decrease to 406,000 Annual Rate in June
  38. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 284,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since May 2007
  39. Thursday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims and More
  40. Inflation: Another "False Alarm"?
  41. Housing Inventory: NAR and Housing Tracker
  42. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in June
  43. Black Knight: Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure Process Lowest since May 2008
  44. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  45. Wednesday: Architecture Billings Index, Mortgage Applications
  46. First Look at 2015 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  47. A Few Comments on Existing Home Sales
  48. Key Measures Show Inflation mostly at or below Fed's Target in June
  49. Existing Home Sales in June: 5.04 million SAAR, Inventory up 6.5% Year-over-year
  50. CPI increases 0.3% in June, Core CPI 0.1%
  51. Tuesday: CPI, Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  52. Lawler: NVR: Net Home Orders Up Slightly in Q2, Little Changed YTD; Sales Per Community Down; Prices Flat on Quarter
  53. Tanta: What Is "Subprime"?
  54. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 15.0% YoY on July 21st
  55. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth decelerated slightly in June"
  56. Sunday Night Futures
  57. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased more than 11% year-over-year in May
  58. Schedule for Week of July 20th
  59. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 463 Institutions
  60. Bank Failure #13 in 2014: Eastside Commercial Bank, Conyers, Georgia
  61. The Recovery for U.S. Heavy Truck Sales
  62. BLS: No State with Unemployment Rate at or above 8% in June, First Time since mid-2008
  63. Preliminary July Consumer Sentiment decreases to 81.3
  64. DataQuick: "California Foreclosure Starts Lowest Since 2005"
  65. LA area Port Traffic: Imports increasing
  66. A few comments on June Housing Starts
  67. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey highest since March 2011
  68. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 302,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since June 2007
  69. Housing Starts decline to 893 thousand Annual Rate in June
  70. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  71. DataQuick on California Bay Area: June Home Sales up 0.2% Year-over-year
  72. Fed's Beige Book: Residential construction activity "generally increased"
  73. DataQuick on SoCal: June Home Sales down 4% Year-over-year, Non-Distressed sales up Year-over-year
  74. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 53 in July, Highest in Six Months
  75. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.2% in June
  76. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  77. Wednesday: Yellen, Industrial Production, PPI, Beige Book, Homebuilder Survey
  78. Earlier: Empire State Manufacturing Survey at 4 Year High in July
  79. Yellen: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  80. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in June
  81. Tuesday: Yellen, Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg Survey
  82. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 13.1% YoY on July 14th
  83. CNBC's Liesman to Santelli: "It is impossible for you to have been more wrong"
  84. Update: The California Budget Surplus
  85. Sunday Night Futures
  86. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  87. Schedule for Week of July 13th
  88. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 465 Institutions
  89. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in June
  90. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
  91. House Prices to National Average Wage Index
  92. Update: Framing Lumber Prices
  93. New Tool from Atlanta Fed: GDPNow
  94. Hotels: Occupancy Rate up 4.4%, RevPAR up 9.0% in Latest Survey
  95. Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer: Financial Sector Reform: How Far Are We?
  96. Sacramento Housing in June: Total Sales down 4% Year-over-year, Equity Sales up 13%, Active Inventory increases 91%
  97. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 8.2% year-over-year in May
  98. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 8.1% year-over-year in June
  99. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 304,000
  100. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  101. Phoenix Real Estate in June: Sales down 11%, Cash Sales down Sharply, Inventory up 43%
  102. FOMC Minutes: QE3 Expected to End in October
  103. Goldman Sachs: Funding for Highway Construction Appears Likely
  104. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  105. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  106. Kolko: "Basement-Dwelling Millennials Are For Real"
  107. Las Vegas Real Estate in June: YoY Non-contingent Inventory up 86%, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down YoY
  108. BLS: Jobs Openings increase to 4.6 million in May
  109. NFIB; Small business optimism declines in June
  110. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Survey
  111. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 13.6% YoY on July 7th
  112. Duy: "Inflation Hysteria Redux"
  113. Demographics and Behavior
  114. Dorms as "Parents' Home": The long term trends for higher enrollment
  115. Sunday Night Futures
  116. Is Inflation Coming?
  117. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  118. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 465 Institutions
  119. Schedule for Week of July 6th
  120. The Kids are Alright: Living in Dorms counted as Living in Parents' Home
  121. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  122. Mid-Year Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2014
  123. Correcting WSJ Graph Error on Wages
  124. Black Knight releases Mortgage Monitor for May
  125. Trade Deficit decreased in May to $44.4 Billion
  126. Reis: Strip Mall Vacancy Rate declined slightly in Q2, Regional Malls Unchanged
  127. Comments on Employment Report
  128. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index declines to 56.0%
  129. June Employment Report: 288,000 Jobs, 6.1% Unemployment Rate
  130. Thursday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, ISM Service
  131. Preview: Employment Report for June
  132. Fed Chair Yellen: "Pockets of increased risk-taking"
  133. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2 2014 at 4.1%
  134. ADP: Private Employment increased 281,000 in June
  135. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  136. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Yellen
  137. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 16.9 million annual rate in June, Highest since July 2006
  138. The Slow Down in the House Price Indexes
  139. Construction Spending increased slightly in May
  140. ISM Manufacturing index declined slightly in June to 55.3
  141. CoreLogic: House Prices up 8.8% Year-over-year in May
  142. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2 at 16.8%
  143. Tuesday: ISM Mfg Survey, Vehicle Sales, Construction Spending

June 2014

  1. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 14.0% YoY on June 30th, Above June 30, 2012 Level
  2. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in May, Lowest since October 2008
  3. Schedule Update: Reis Office, Aparment and Mall Surveys to be released this week
  4. Dallas Fed: Manufacturing Activty Increases "Picks Up Pace" in June
  5. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 6.1% in May, down 5.2% year-over-year
  6. Monday: Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales
  7. Demographics: Prime and Near-Prime Population and Labor Force
  8. Schedule for Week of June 29th
  9. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 468 Institutions, Q2 2014 Transition Matrix
  10. Bank Failure #12 in 2014: The Freedom State Bank, Freedom, Oklahoma
  11. Lawler on Homebuilders Lennar and KB Home
  12. Chemical Activity Barometer for June Suggests "continued growth"
  13. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Over 16 Million SAAR again in June
  14. Final June Consumer Sentiment increases to 82.5
  15. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to slow further year-over-year in May
  16. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in May, Lowest since January 2009
  17. Census Bureau: Largest 5-year Population Cohort is now the "20 to 24" Age Group
  18. The Future is still Bright!
  19. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Slowed Somewhat" in June
  20. Personal Income increased 0.4% in May, Spending increased 0.2%
  21. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 312,000
  22. Thursday: May Personal Income and Outlays, Weekly Unemployment Claims
  23. Merrill Lynch on Q1 GDP Revision
  24. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.8% year-over-year in April
  25. Q1 GDP Revised Down to -2.9% Annual Rate
  26. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  27. Wednesday: Ugly 3rd Estimate of Q1 GDP, Durable Goods
  28. House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio decline slightly in April
  29. Comments on Housing and the New Home Sales report
  30. New Home Sales increase sharply to 504,000 Annual Rate in May
  31. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 10.8% year-over-year in April
  32. Black Knight: Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure Process Lowest since July 2008
  33. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices
  34. Fed's Mike Bryan: "Torturing CPI Data until They Confess"
  35. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 13.6% year-over-year on June 23rd
  36. Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index up 0.9% in April, Up 6.4% year-over-year
  37. Comments on Existing Home Sales
  38. Existing Home Sales in May: 4.89 million SAAR, Inventory up 6.0% Year-over-year
  39. Chicago Fed: "Economic growth picked up in May"
  40. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  41. "3 reasons Iraq conflict isn't driving up gas prices (yet)"
  42. Schedule for Week of June 22nd
  43. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 488 Institutions
  44. Bank Failures #10 & 11 in 2014: Two Valley Banks
  45. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Down Year-over-year on June 20th
  46. Fed: Q1 Household Debt Service Ratio at Record Low
  47. BLS: Rhode Island only State with Unemployment Rate above 8% in May
  48. Merrill Lynch: Inflation: bump up or bust out?
  49. Freddie Mac: "Fixed Mortgage Rates Down Slightly"
  50. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey suggests Solid Expansion in June
  51. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 312,000
  52. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  53. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in May
  54. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in May
  55. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  56. FOMC Statement: More Tapering
  57. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in May
  58. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  59. Wednesday: Fed Day
  60. LA area Port Traffic: Imports increasing
  61. A few comments on Housing Starts
  62. Key Inflation Measures Show Increase, Year-over-year still mostly below the Fed Target in May
  63. Housing Starts at 1.001 Million Annual Rate in May
  64. Tuesday: Housing Starts, CPI
  65. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 13.7% year-over-year on June 16th
  66. Wall Street and A Dirty Little Secret
  67. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 49 in June
  68. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.6% in May
  69. Monday: Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg Survey
  70. FOMC Preview: More Tapering
  71. Schedule for Week of June 15th
  72. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 494 Institutions
  73. Las Vegas: Visitor Traffic on pace for record in 2014, Convention Attendance still Low
  74. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in May
  75. Analysts on FOMC meeting next week
  76. Preliminary June Consumer Sentiment decreases to 81.2
  77. Sacramento Housing in May: Total Sales down 11% Year-over-year, Equity Sales up 8%, Active Inventory increases 84%
  78. DataQuick on California Bay Area: May Home Sales down 7.5% Year-over-year, Non-Distressed sales up slightly Year-over-year
  79. Hotels: Occupancy Rate up 3.1%, RevPAR up 7.4% in Latest Survey
  80. Retail Sales increased 0.3% in May
  81. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 317,000
  82. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  83. DataQuick on SoCal: May Home Sales down 15% Year-over-year, Non-Distressed sales up Year-over-year
  84. Treasury: Budget Deficit declined in May 2014 compared to May 2013
  85. Will Congress "Pay the Bills" in 2015?
  86. MBA:"Strong Growth in Mortgage Application Volume Following Memorial Day Holiday"
  87. Update: Will Mortgage Rates be down year-over-year in late June?
  88. Las Vegas Real Estate in May: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory Doubles, Distressed Sales and Cash Buying down sharply
  89. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 8.4% year-over-year in April
  90. BLS: Jobs Openings increase sharply to 4.5 million in April
  91. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in May, Highest since 2007
  92. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism
  93. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 10.9% year-over-year on June 9th
  94. Lawler on Hovnanian: Home Sales Soft without “Big Deals”
  95. Phoenix Real Estate in May: Sales down 21%, Cash Sales down 40%, Inventory up 47%
  96. Update: 41-Year-Olds and the Labor Force Participation Rate
  97. Sunday Night Futures
  98. 41-Year-Olds and the Labor Force Participation Rate
  99. Schedule for Week of June 8th
  100. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 495 Institutions
  101. Larry Summers on "House of Debt"
  102. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  103. Employment Recovery: Great Recession, Great Depression, and other Financial Crises
  104. Comment: U.S. Employment at All Time High
  105. May Employment Report: 217,000 Jobs, 6.3% Unemployment Rate
  106. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  107. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Negative in Q1 2014
  108. Employment Report Preview for May
  109. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 8.0% year-over-year in May, "slowest rate in 13 months"
  110. Fed's Q1 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth at Record High
  111. CoreLogic: Year Over Year, the Negative Equity Share Has Declined by 3.5 Million Properties
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 312,000
  113. Thursday: ECB, Unemployment Claims, Flow of Funds
  114. Fed's Beige Book: Non-residential construction activity picking up, Residential is Mixed
  115. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased in May to 56.3
  116. Trade Deficit increased in April to $47.2 Billion
  117. ADP: Private Employment increased 179,000 in May
  118. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Survey, Mortgage Rates "lowest levels in close to a year"
  119. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, ISM Service, Beige Book
  120. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 16.7 million annual rate in May, Highest Rate since 2007
  121. Vehicle Sales in May: Solid Early Reports
  122. CoreLogic: House Prices up 10.5% Year-over-year in April
  123. Tuesday: Vehicle Sales
  124. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 10.5% year-over-year on June 2nd
  125. ISM Correction: ISM Manufacturing index increased in May to 55.4
  126. Construction Spending increased 0.2% in April
  127. ISM Manufacturing index (ISM Correction)
  128. Mortgage Monitor: "Nearly 2 million modified mortgages face interest rate resets"
  129. Monday: ISM Manufacturing Survey, Construction Spending
  130. Restaurant Performance Index increases in April, Strongest since May 2013

May 2014

  1. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 496 Institutions
  2. Schedule for Week of June 1st
  3. Bank Failure #9 in 2014: Slavie Federal Savings Bank, Bel Air, Maryland
  4. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in April
  5. Lawler on Toll Brothers: Net Signed Contracts “Flat” vs. Year Ago; Prices Up But Gains Slow; Demand over Past Year “Relatively Flat”
  6. Headline for Next Friday: "U.S. Employment at All Time High"
  7. Final May Consumer Sentiment at 81.9, Chicago PMI increases to 65.5
  8. Personal Income increased 0.3% in April, Spending decreased 0.1%
  9. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  10. A comment on GDP Revisions: No Worries
  11. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increases 0.4% in April, down 9.2% year-over-year
  12. Q1 GDP Revised Down to -1.0% Annual Rate, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 300,000
  13. Thursday: Q1 GDP Revision, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  14. Average 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates decline to 4.08%
  15. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to slow slightly year-over-year in April
  16. MBA: "Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly in Latest MBA Weekly Survey"
  17. ATA Trucking Index increased in April
  18. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 8.3% year-over-year on May 26th
  19. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio
  20. Richmond and Dallas Fed: Manufacturing Actiivty Increases "Mildly"
  21. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.4% year-over-year in March
  22. Tuesday: Durable Goods, Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond and Dallas Fed Mfg Surveys
  23. Employment Graph Fail!
  24. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Over 16 Million SAAR in May
  25. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 499 Institutions
  26. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 0.2% year-over-year in March
  27. Schedule for Week of May 25th
  28. Goldman's Hatzius: Rationale for Economic Acceleration Is Intact
  29. Bank Failure #8 of 2014: Columbia Savings Bank, Cincinnati, Ohio
  30. New Home Prices: Almost 45% of Home over $300K, Less than 5% under $150K
  31. Comments on the New Home Sales report
  32. New Home Sales increase to 433,000 Annual Rate in April
  33. Friday: New Home Sales
  34. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  35. Hotels: Occupancy Rate up 4.6%, RevPAR up 9.6% in Latest Survey
  36. "Employment Scars of the Housing Bust"
  37. Freddie Mac: "Fixed Mortgage Rates Near Seven Month Low"
  38. Existing Home Sales in April: 4.65 million SAAR, Inventory up 6.5% Year-over-year
  39. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 326,000
  40. Black Knight: Mortgage Loans in Foreclosure Process Lowest since September 2008
  41. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
  42. Lawler: Negative Equity Quiz
  43. FOMC Minutes: Monetary Policy Normalization Discussion
  44. AIA: "Contraction in Architecture Billings Index Continues"
  45. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Activity increases as Mortgage Rates Decline
  46. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes, Architecture Billings Index
  47. Apartments: Supply and Demand
  48. Fed's Dudley: Expect Long Run Fed Funds Rate to be well below the 4¼ percent average level with 2 percent inflation
  49. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 47 states in April
  50. Zillow: Negative Equity declines further in Q1 2014
  51. Amusing: A False Story on Auto Inventory
  52. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 6.8% year-over-year on May 19th
  53. CoreLogic on Housing: "Cash Sales Share Shows Clear Downward Year-Over-Year Trend"
  54. LA area Port Traffic: Up year-over-year in April
  55. Congratulations to Breanna Grow, the 2014 recipient of the Doris "Tanta" Dungey scholarship!
  56. Sunday Night Futures
  57. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent, and compared to New Home Sales
  58. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in Q1, Distress Sales just 10% of all sales
  59. Schedule for Week of May 18th
  60. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 502 Institutions
  61. Bank Failure #7 in 2014: AztecAmerica Bank, Berwyn, Illinois
  62. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  63. Lawler: Early look at Existing Home Sales in April
  64. Sacramento Housing in April: Total Sales down 5% Year-over-year, Equity (Conventional) Sales up 17%, Active Inventory increases 46%
  65. A few comments on Housing Starts
  66. BLS: "State unemployment rates were generally lower in April"
  67. Preliminary May Consumer Sentiment decreases to 81.8
  68. Housing Starts at 1.072 Million Annual Rate in April
  69. Friday: Housing Starts, Consumer Sentiment
  70. Key Inflation Measures Show Increase, but still Low year-over-year in April
  71. Earlier: Philly and NY Fed Manufacturing Surveys suggest Solid Expansion in May
  72. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased slightly in May to 45
  73. MBA: "Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Continue to Improve" in Q1
  74. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.6% in April
  75. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 297,000, CPI increases 0.3%
  76. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Yellen and Much More; Plus San Diego Fire Photo
  77. Lawler on RealtyTrac and Cash Buyers
  78. DataQuick on California Bay Area: April Home Sales down slightly Year-over-year, Non-Distressed sales up 15% Year-over-year
  79. Flashback to March 2009
  80. Closing a Loophole in California's Prop 13 (Property Taxes)
  81. MBA: Refinance Applications Increase in Latest Survey, Mortgage Rates lowest since last November
  82. A Few links on FHFA Watt's Speech
  83. DataQuick on SoCal: April Home Sales down 6.6% Year-over-year, Non-Distressed sales up 17% Year-over-year
  84. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in April, Highest since 2007
  85. NY Fed: Household Debt increased in Q1 2014, Delinquency Rates Lowest Since Q3 2007
  86. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in April
  87. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Q1 Household Debt and Credit
  88. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 9.4% year-over-year on May 12th
  89. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  90. Update: Framing Lumber Prices
  91. MBA: Applications for New Home Purchases Increased in April 2014
  92. Sunday Night Futures
  93. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 9.1% year-over-year in March
  94. Schedule for Week of May 11th
  95. Unofficial Problem Bank list unchanged at 509 Institutions
  96. The Projected Improvement in Life Expectancy
  97. Hotels: On track for Strongest Year since 2000
  98. BLS: Jobs Openings at 4.0 million in March
  99. Friday: Job Openings
  100. Will Mortgage Rates be down year-over-year in late June?
  101. Las Vegas Real Estate in April: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory Doubles, Median Price declines
  102. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 9.0% year-over-year in April, "smallest year-over-year increase in 11 months"
  103. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves year-over-year in the 55+ Housing Market in Q1
  104. Fannie and Freddie Results in Q1: REO inventory declines, "Lower demand for foreclosed properties"
  105. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 319,000
  106. Thursday: More Yellen, Unemployment Claims
  107. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Starts Hover Near 8-Year Low
  108. Phoenix Real Estate in April: Sales down 12%, Cash Sales down 33%, Inventory up 49%
  109. Fed Chair Janet Yellen: Expects Growth Rate to Increase, "A high degree of monetary accommodation remains warranted"
  110. MBA: Refinance Share of Mortgage Applications under 50% for first time since 2009
  111. Wednesday: Yellen on the Economic Outlook
  112. What's Right with Housing?
  113. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to slow to 11.9% year-over-year increase in March
  114. CoreLogic: House Prices up 11.1% Year-over-year in March
  115. Trade Deficit decreased in March to $40.4 Billion
  116. Q1 2014 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  117. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 8.6% year-over-year on May 5th
  118. Construction Employment: Pace of Hiring Increasing
  119. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased in April to 55.2
  120. Mortgage Monitor: Mortgage delinquency rate in March lowest since October 2007, "Only One in 10 American Borrowers Underwater"
  121. Sunday Night Futures
  122. Participation Rate: Trends and Cohorts
  123. Goldman Sachs on the Labor Force Participation Rate
  124. Schedule for Week of May 4th
  125. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 509 Institutions
  126. Merrill: Q1 GDP now tracking negative 0.4%
  127. Lawler on New Homes: Sales will probably move higher over the course of 2014, Prices will not
  128. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  129. Comments on Employment Report
  130. April Employment Report: 288,000 Jobs, 6.3% Unemployment Rate
  131. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  132. Employment Report Preview for April
  133. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 16.0 million annual rate in April
  134. Lawler: Large home builders net orders last quarter "vitually flat" from year ago
  135. Construction Spending increased 0.2% in March, Public Construction Spending Lowest since 2006
  136. ISM Manufacturing index increased in April to 54.9
  137. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 344,000
  138. Thursday: ISM Mfg Survey, Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Construction Spending, and Yellen

April 2014

  1. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in March
  2. FOMC Statement: More Taper, Economic Growth "picked up recently"
  3. Q1 GDP: Investment Contributions
  4. BEA: Real GDP increased at 0.1% Annualized Rate in Q1
  5. ADP: Private Employment increased 220,000 in April
  6. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Survey, Refinance Activity Lowest Since 2008
  7. Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, Q1 GDP and more
  8. An exciting time for the Data Tribe
  9. NMHC Survey: Apartment Market Conditions Tighter in April 2014
  10. HVS: Q1 2014 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  11. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 12.9% year-over-year in February
  12. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  13. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 8.2% year-over-year on April 28th
  14. A comment on the New Home Sales report
  15. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Picks Up and Outlook Improves Notably"
  16. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increases 3.4% in March, down 7.9% year-over-year
  17. Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index up 0.7% in February, Up 7.6% year-over-year
  18. Monday: Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
  19. Ranking Economic Data
  20. Schedule for Week of April 27th
  21. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 513 Institutions
  22. Bank Failure #6 in 2014: Allendale County Bank, Fairfax, South Carolina
  23. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Solid in April
  24. A Few Q1 GDP Forecasts
  25. Final April Consumer Sentiment at 84.1
  26. Friday: Consumer Sentiment
  27. Lawler: More Builder Results, Summary of Q1 Results so far
  28. Hotels: Occupancy Rate, RevPAR decrease in latest weekly survey
  29. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Moderated Slightly" in April
  30. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 329,000
  31. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Kansas City Mfg Survey
  32. Lawler on Meritage Homes: Net Home Orders Down despite Higher Community Count, “Less Pricing Power” Suggests Relatively Flat Home Prices for Rest of Year
  33. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicated contraction in March
  34. New Home Sales decline to 384,000 Annual Rate in March
  35. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  36. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  37. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March
  38. Comments on Housing and Existing Home Sales
  39. Existing Home Sales in March: 4.59 million SAAR, Inventory up 3.1% Year-over-year
  40. Black Knight: Mortgage delinquency rate in March lowest since October 2007
  41. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  42. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 6.1% year-over-year on April 21st
  43. Chicago Fed: "Economic Growth Moderated in March"
  44. Report: Property Tax Collections above Pre-Recession Peak
  45. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 0.8% year-over-year in February
  46. Sunday Night Futures
  47. WSJ: Slight Easing of Mortgage Credit Standards
  48. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 521 Institutions
  49. Schedule for Week of April 20th
  50. By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  51. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  52. The Sluggish Recovery for U.S. Heavy Truck Sales
  53. BLS: No State had 9% Unemployment Rate in March, First time since September 2008
  54. Merrill Lynch Reduces Housing Forecast for 2014
  55. LA area Port Traffic: Up year-over-year in March, Exports at New High
  56. Hotels: Strongest Year since 2000
  57. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicated Faster Expansion in April
  58. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 304,000; 4-Week average lowest since 2007
  59. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  60. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March
  61. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased in most regions"
  62. Yellen: Three Big Questions for the FOMC
  63. A comment on Housing Starts
  64. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.7% in March
  65. Housing Starts at 946 Thousand Annual Rate in March
  66. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase
  67. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, Yellen Speech, Beige Book
  68. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March
  69. DataQuick on SoCal: March Home Sales down 14% Year-over-year, Conventional (Equity) Sales increase
  70. Key Inflation Measures Shows Slight Increase, but still Low in March
  71. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased slightly in April to 47
  72. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "business activity was flat" in April
  73. Tuesday: CPI, NY Fed Mfg Survey, NAHB Homebuilder Confidence
  74. Sacramento Housing in March: Total Sales down 12% Year-over-year, Equity (Conventional) Sales up 16%, Active Inventory increases 71%
  75. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 7.8% year-over-year on April 14th
  76. CBO Projection: Budget Deficit to be Smaller than Previous Forecast
  77. Retail Sales increased 1.1% in March
  78. Monday: Retail Sales, CBO Budget Projections
  79. Q1 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2014
  80. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 530 Institutions
  81. Schedule for Week of April 13th
  82. Update: The Mortgage Debt Forgiveness Tax Break
  83. WSJ: Zelman still Bullish on New Home Sales, Cuts forecast for Existing Home Sales
  84. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 9.0% year-over-year in February
  85. Preliminary April Consumer Sentiment increases to 82.6
  86. Friday: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  87. NY Times on the Smaller Budget Deficit
  88. "Reasons for the Decline in Prime-Age Labor Force Participation"
  89. Freddie Mac: "Fixed Mortgage Rates Tick Down"
  90. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 10.0% year-over-year in March
  91. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 300,000
  92. Thursday: Weekly Unemployment Claims
  93. Lawler: Number of Home Owners Lower than 2006!
  94. FOMC Minutes: SEP changes need "not be viewed as signifying a less accommodative reaction function"
  95. Goldman's Hatzius: "Rays of Light"
  96. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase, Refinance Applications Decrease
  97. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  98. "A Closer Look at Post-2007 Labor Force Participation Trends"
  99. When will total payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  100. Las Vegas Real Estate in March: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 128%
  101. BLS: Jobs Openings increase to 4.2 million in February
  102. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in March
  103. Tuesday: Small Business Confidence, Job Openings
  104. CBO: Federal Deficit through March $187 billion less this year than it was in fiscal year 2013
  105. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 7.7% year-over-year on April 7th
  106. Lawler: Phoenix "listings are way up and sales are way down"
  107. Employment Diffusion Indexes
  108. Mortgage Monitor: Delinquencies are below 6% for the first time since 2008, "Little Sign of Easing" in Credit Standards
  109. Sunday Night Futures
  110. Possible Reasons for the Decline in Prime-Working Age Men Labor Force Participation
  111. Labor Force Participation Rate Update
  112. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 533 Institutions
  113. Research: Labor Force Participation Rate
  114. WSJ Employment Graph ignores Demographics, Needs Correction
  115. Schedule for Week of April 6th
  116. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  117. Comment on Jobs Recovery and Policy
  118. Construction and Government Payrolls
  119. Comments on Employment Report
  120. March Employment Report: 192,000 Jobs, 6.7% Unemployment Rate
  121. Friday: Employment Report
  122. Employment Preview for March
  123. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rates unchanged in Q1
  124. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases to 53.1 in March
  125. Trade Deficit increased in February to $42.3 Billion
  126. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 326,000
  127. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, ISM Non-Manufacturing, Q1 Mall Vacancy Survey
  128. Survey: Small Businesses add more Jobs in March
  129. Research: "The Overhang of Structures before and since the Great Recession"
  130. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate declined to 4.0% in Q1 2014
  131. ADP: Private Employment increased 191,000 in March
  132. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase, Refinance Applications Decrease
  133. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Q1 Apartment Vacancy Survey
  134. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12.2% Year-over-year in February
  135. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 16.4 million annual rate in March, Highest since 2007
  136. Construction Spending increased slightly in February
  137. ISM Manufacturing index increased in March to 53.7
  138. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declined slightly in Q1 to 16.8%
  139. Tuesday: Auto Sales, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending, Q1 Office Vacancy Survey

March 2014

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in February, Lowest since November 2008
  2. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 6.7% year-over-year on March 31st
  3. Restaurant Performance Index indicates expansion in February
  4. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Strengthens Further
  5. Chicago PMI declines to 55.9
  6. Monday: Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed Mfg Survey, Yellen
  7. Merrill and Nomura on March Employment Report
  8. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 538 Institutions, Q1 2014 Transition Matrix
  9. Schedule for Week of March 30th
  10. Headline for Next Friday: "U.S. Private Employment at All Time High"
  11. Housing: The increase in inventory in the West
  12. BLS: State unemployment rates were "little changed" in February
  13. Final March Consumer Sentiment at 80.0
  14. Personal Income increased 0.3% in February, Spending increased 0.3%
  15. Friday: February Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment
  16. House Prices and Lagged Data
  17. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing increased in March
  18. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index down 10.5% year-over-year in February
  19. Q4 GDP Revised up to 2.6%, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 311,000
  20. Thursday: Q4 GDP (3rd Estimate), Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  21. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: March Rebound
  22. Chemical Activity Barometer for March Suggests "continued modest growth"
  23. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in February, Lowest since February 2009
  24. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase, Refinance Applications Decrease
  25. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 12.8% year-over-year increase in February
  26. Comment on House Prices: Graphs, Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  27. A comment on the New Home Sales report
  28. New Home Sales at 440,000 Annual Rate in February
  29. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 13.2% year-over-year in January
  30. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices
  31. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 6.2% year-over-year on March 24th
  32. Black Knight (formerly LPS): House Price Index unchanged in January, Up 8.0% year-over-year
  33. Black Knight on Mortgages: "Nearly 1 million fewer loans in U.S. non-current population since last February"
  34. Chicago Fed: "Economic activity increased in February"
  35. Sunday Night Futures
  36. The Favorable Demographics for Apartments
  37. Hamilton: Graphs of key economic trends
  38. Schedule for Week of March 23rd
  39. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 552 Institutions
  40. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 1.3% year-over-year in January
  41. Lawler on Lennar: Orders up 10.1% YoY; Prices, Margins Up Sharply; Saw “Volumes Returning,” But Not from First-Time Buyers
  42. Update: Predicting the Next Recession
  43. ATA Trucking Index increased in February
  44. Fed: Large Banks "collectively better positioned" to cope with "an extremely severe economic downturn"
  45. Fed: Q4 Household Debt Service Ratio near 30 year low
  46. Earlier: Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicated Expansion in March
  47. Comments on Existing Home Sales
  48. Existing Home Sales in February: 4.60 million SAAR, Inventory up 5.3% Year-over-year
  49. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 320,000
  50. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  51. What does Yellen's "around six months" mean?
  52. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  53. FOMC Statement: More Taper, Forward Guidance Changed
  54. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 48 states in January
  55. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased slightly in February
  56. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  57. Wednesday: FOMC
  58. LA area Port Traffic: Down year-over-year in February
  59. A comment on Housing Starts
  60. Key Measures Shows Low Inflation in February
  61. Housing Starts at 907 Thousand Annual Rate in February
  62. Tuesday: Housing Starts, CPI
  63. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in February
  64. Research: Tight Credit significantly impacting Purchase Mortgage Lending
  65. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 5.5% year-over-year on March 17th
  66. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased slightly in March to 47
  67. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.6% in February
  68. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Activity indicates "business conditions improved" in March
  69. Monday: Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg Survey, Builder Confidence
  70. FOMC Preview: More Tapering, Change to Guidance
  71. Schedule for Week of March 16th
  72. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 559 Institutions
  73. Kolko: Where Do Housing “Leading Indicators” Lead Us?
  74. Report: "Blackstone’s Home Buying Binge Ends"
  75. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in January, Distress Sales Declining Rapidly
  76. Hotel Occupancy Rate increased 2.1% year-over-year in latest Survey
  77. Preliminary March Consumer Sentiment declines to 79.9
  78. Friday: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  79. FNC: House prices increased 9.0% year-over-year in January
  80. DataQuick: February Bay Area Home Sales Slowest Since 2008
  81. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in February
  82. Retail Sales increased 0.3% in February
  83. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 315,000
  84. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  85. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
  86. Sacramento Housing in February: Total Sales down 17% Year-over-year, Equity (Conventional) Sales up 18%, Active Inventory increases 88%
  87. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 5.8% year-over-year on March 10th
  88. Las Vegas Real Estate in February: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory Doubles
  89. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  90. Phoenix ARMLS: Total Sales down 17.4% year-over-year in February, Distressed Sales down 61%, Inventory up 37%
  91. CBO: Federal Deficit through February $148 billion less this year than it was in fiscal year 2013 (adjusted for timing)
  92. BLS: 4 Million Jobs Openings in January
  93. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declines in February
  94. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism Index
  95. Update on California Budget: Revenue Almost $1 Billion above Forecast in February
  96. Update: Framing Lumber Prices
  97. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  98. Sunday Night Futures
  99. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Negative in Q4
  100. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  101. Schedule for Week of March 9th
  102. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 564 Institutions
  103. Fannie, Freddie and FHA REO Inventory
  104. When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  105. Trade Deficit increased in January to $39.1 Billion
  106. Comments on Employment Report
  107. February Employment Report: 175,000 Jobs, 6.7% Unemployment Rate
  108. Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit
  109. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 10.4% year-over-year in February, Price increases "Slowdown"
  110. Fed's Q4 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth at Record High
  111. CoreLogic: 4 Million Residential Properties Returned to Positive Equity in 2013
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 323,000
  113. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q4 Flow of Funds
  114. Employment Preview for February: Another Weak Report
  115. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased at "modest to moderate" pace in Most Districts
  116. Lawler on Hovnanian: Net Home Orders Far Short of Expectations; Sales Incentives Coming
  117. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreases to 51.6 in February
  118. ADP: Private Employment increased 139,000 in February
  119. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  120. Wednesday: ISM Service Index, ADP Employment, Fed's Beige Book
  121. Fannie, Freddie, FHA REO inventory increased in Q4
  122. CoreLogic: House Prices up 12% Year-over-year in January
  123. Mortgage Monitor: Mortgage Loan originations declined to the lowest point since Nov. 2008
  124. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 5.9% year-over-year on March 3rd
  125. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 15.3 million annual rate in February
  126. Construction Spending increased in January
  127. ISM Manufacturing index increased in February to 53.2
  128. Personal Income increased 0.3% in January, Spending increased 0.4%
  129. Monday: Auto Sales, Personal Income and Outlays, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending
  130. LA Times: New Home construction still near record lows
  131. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in January
  132. Schedule for Week of March 2nd
  133. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 566 Institutions

February 2014

  1. Bank Failure #5 in 2014: Vantage Point Bank, Horsham, Pennsylvania
  2. Bank Failure #4 in 2014: Millennium Bank, National Association, Sterling, Virginia
  3. Lawler: If New Home Sales report Accurate, Suggests Large Builder Share Down
  4. Zillow: Negative Equity declines further in Q4 2013
  5. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index down 9% year-over-year
  6. Final February Consumer Sentiment at 81.6, Chicago PMI at 59.8
  7. BEA: Q4 GDP Revised down to 2.4%
  8. Friday: 2nd Estimate Q4 GDP, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment, Pending Home Sales
  9. Freddie Mac Results, REO Inventory increases in Q4
  10. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing increased "slightly" in February
  11. Black Knight: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate lowest in over five years, Foreclosures Lowest since November 2008
  12. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 348,000
  13. Thursday: Yellen Testimony, Weekly Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods Orders
  14. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Decent sales in February; Some weather impact
  15. New Home Sales: Don't read too much into January Sales Rate
  16. FDIC: Earnings increased for insured institutions, Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q4
  17. New Home Sales at 468,000 Annual Rate in January, Highest since 2008
  18. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Index lowest since 1995
  19. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  20. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 13.0% year-over-year increase in January
  21. Lawler on Toll Brothers: Net Home Orders Down in Latest Quarter; Weather Only Partly to Blame
  22. Update: Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  23. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  24. Richmond Fed: "Manufacturing Sector Softened" in February
  25. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 13.4% year-over-year in December
  26. Tuesday: Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices, Richmond Fed
  27. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 5.7% year-over-year on Feb 24th
  28. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.1% year-over-year in December
  29. Dallas Fed Manufacturing: General Business Index Flat, Production Increases, Employment Increases
  30. Chicago Fed: "Economic growth slowed in January"
  31. Sunday Night Futures
  32. Housing Weakness: Temporary or Enduring?
  33. Schedule for Week of Feb 23rd
  34. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 578 Institutions
  35. Weekend Reading: 2008 FOMC Transcripts
  36. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in January
  37. Fannie Results, REO Inventory increases in Q4
  38. Existing Home Sales in January: 4.62 million SAAR, Inventory up 7.3% Year-over-year
  39. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  40. MBA National Delinquency Survey: Judicial vs. Non-Judicial Foreclosure States in Q4 2013
  41. Key Measures Shows Low Inflation in January
  42. MBA: Mortgage "Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decline to Lowest Level in Six Years" in Q4
  43. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey indicates Contraction in February
  44. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 336,000
  45. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, CPI, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  46. LA area Port Traffic: Imports up year-over-year in January
  47. FOMC Minutes: "A clear presumption in favor" of Additional Tapering
  48. Housing Starts: Weakness, Weather, Fundamentals
  49. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases slightly in January
  50. Housing Starts decline to 880 Thousand Annual Rate in January
  51. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Index lowest Since September 2011
  52. Wednesday: Housing Starts, PPI, Architecture Billings Index, FOMC Minutes
  53. Real Household Debt down 17% from Peak, Real Mortgage Debt down 21%
  54. NY Fed: Household Debt increased in Q4, Delinquency Rates Improve
  55. NAHB: Builder Confidence declines sharply in February to 46
  56. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates slower expansion in February
  57. Tuesday: NY Fed Mfg Survey, Homebuilder Survey, Q4 Household Debt and Credit
  58. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 6.6% year-over-year on Feb 17th
  59. Las Vegas: Visitor Traffic declines slightly in 2013, Convention Attendance still 18% below Pre-Recession Peak
  60. The Stimulus Success
  61. Update: The Inland Empire Bust and Recovery
  62. Update: Household Debt Service Ratio at lowest level in 30+ years
  63. Energy expenditures as a percentage of consumer spending
  64. By Request: Repeat U.S. Population by Age and Distribution, 1900 through 2060
  65. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 586 Institutions
  66. Schedule for Week of Feb 16th
  67. The New LA Skyline
  68. Hotel Occupancy Rate increased 0.3% year-over-year in latest Survey
  69. Preliminary February Consumer Sentiment unchanged at 81.2
  70. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.3% in January
  71. Friday: Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment
  72. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in January
  73. MBA: New Home Purchases Up Sharply in January 2014
  74. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January
  75. Retail Sales decreased 0.4% in January
  76. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 339,000
  77. Thursday: Yellen, Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  78. DataQuick on SoCal: January Home Sales down 9.9% Year-over-year, Conventional Sales up Sharply
  79. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 8.7% year-over-year in December
  80. Update: It Never Rains in California
  81. MBA: Mortgage Applications decrease in Latest Survey
  82. Wednesday: Monthly Treasury Budget Statement for January
  83. Phoenix ARMLS: Total Sales down 17.1% in January, Distressed Sales down 59.6%, Inventory up 29%
  84. Zillow: 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates increase slightly to 4.14%
  85. BLS: 4 Million Jobs Openings in December
  86. Yellen: "expect a great deal of continuity in the FOMC's approach to monetary policy"
  87. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in January
  88. Tuesday: Yellen, JOLTS
  89. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 4.7% year-over-year on Feb 10th
  90. The California Budget Surplus: Stock and Flow
  91. Las Vegas Real Estate in January: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 96.2%
  92. Home Sales Reports: What Matters
  93. Sunday Night Futures
  94. When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  95. Schedule for Week of Feb 9th
  96. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 588 Institutions
  97. CBO: Federal Deficit at $10 Billion in January
  98. Reasons for a 2014 Pickup in Economic Growth Intact
  99. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  100. Comments on Employment Report: Disappointing Payroll Number
  101. January Employment Report: 113,000 Jobs, 6.6% Unemployment Rate
  102. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  103. Lawler: Expect Downward Revisions to Census Q4 New Home Sales, Broad-Based Builder Optimism for 2014
  104. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 11.4% year-over-year in January
  105. Trade Deficit increased in December to $38.7 Billion
  106. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 331,000
  107. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
  108. Fed Survey: Banks eased lending standards, Experienced increased demand
  109. Employment Preview for January: Taking the Over
  110. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increases to 54.0 in January
  111. ADP: Private Employment increased 175,000 in January
  112. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase Slightly
  113. Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Service Index
  114. Q4 2013 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  115. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.7% year-over-year on Feb 3rd
  116. CBO Projection: Budget Deficit to be below 3% of GDP for next four years
  117. CoreLogic: House Prices up 11% Year-over-year in December
  118. Tuesday: CBO Annual Budget and Economic Outlook
  119. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 15.1 million annual rate in January
  120. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves year-over-year in the 55+ Housing Market in Q4
  121. Construction Spending increased slightly in December
  122. ISM Manufacturing index declines sharply in January to 51.3 due to "adverse weather conditions"
  123. Mortgage Monitor: Foreclosure Starts Lowest Since April 2007
  124. Monday: Auto Sales, ISM Mfg Survey, Construction Spending
  125. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in December, Lowest since November 2008
  126. Goldman and Merrill on January Employment Report
  127. Schedule for Week of Feb 2nd
  128. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 590 Institutions
  129. Bank Failure #3 in 2014: Syringa Bank, Boise Idaho

January 2014

  1. Reinhart and Rogoff: Great Recession may "surpass in severity" the Great Depression in many Countries
  2. Hotel Occupancy Rate increased 2.4% year-over-year in latest Survey
  3. HVS: Q4 2013 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  4. Final January Consumer Sentiment at 81.2, Chicago PMI at 59.6
  5. BEA: Personal Income increased less than 0.1% in December, Core PCE prices up 1.2% year-over-year
  6. Friday: Personal Income, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment,
  7. Lawler on Homebuilders: Weak Net Orders, "Considerable optimism about the prospects for home sales in 2014"
  8. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Decent Sales Expected for January
  9. A Comment on the Pending Home Sales Index
  10. Q4 GDP: Solid Report, Positives Looking Forward
  11. Q4 GDP 3.2%, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 348,000
  12. Thursday: Q4 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  13. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in December, Lowest since February 2009
  14. FOMC Statement: More Taper
  15. CoreLogic: Completed Foreclosures Down 24% in 2013
  16. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increase Slightly
  17. Wednesday: Fed Day
  18. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 13.5% year-over-year increase in December
  19. Lawler: D.R. Horton sales up slightly year-over-year
  20. Comment on House Prices: Real Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio, Cities
  21. BLS: State unemployment rates were "generally lower" in December
  22. Case-Shiller: Comp 20 House Prices increased 13.7% year-over-year in November
  23. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in December, Down almost 10% year-over-year
  24. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey and More
  25. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 1.8% year-over-year on Jan 27th
  26. New Home Prices: New Record for Average and Median in 2013
  27. New Home Sales: Weak Finish, Solid Growth in 2013
  28. New Home Sales at 414,000 Annual Rate in December
  29. Monday: New Home Sales
  30. Commentary on "Debt Limit": Senator McConnell Announces Intention to Fold Losing Hand Again
  31. GDP: Annual and Q4-over-Q4
  32. FOMC Preview: More Tapering
  33. Schedule for Week of January 26th
  34. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 600 Institutions
  35. Bank Failure #2 in 2014: The Bank of Union, El Reno, Oklahoma
  36. Unemployment Rate falling in "Sand" States
  37. Mortgage Rates compared to Ten Year Treasury Yield and Refinance Activity
  38. Q4 GDP Seen at 3.8%
  39. Framing Lumber Prices: Moving on Up
  40. Kansas City Fed: Manufacturing Survey shows "Activity rebounded moderately in January"
  41. Comments on Existing Home Sales: Watch Inventory
  42. Existing Home Sales in December: 4.87 million SAAR, Inventory up 1.6% Year-over-year
  43. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 326,000
  44. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
  45. ATA Trucking Index increased in December
  46. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven decreased 0.1% in November
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings Index declines in December
  48. MBA: Refinance Mortgage Applications Increase
  49. Wednesday: Architecture Billings Index
  50. DataQuick: California Foreclosure Starts Dip to Eight-Year Low
  51. Private Investment and the Business Cycle
  52. Housing Starts and the Unemployment Rate
  53. WSJ: Fed "on track" to Cut QE at Next Meeting
  54. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.6% year-over-year on Jan 20th
  55. Research: The impact of 2014 FHA Loan Limit Changes
  56. LA area Port Traffic up solidly year-over-year in December
  57. It Never Rains in California
  58. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in December
  59. Recovery Measures: Three out of Four Ain't Bad
  60. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 605 Institutions
  61. Schedule for Week of January 19th
  62. Bank Failure #1 in 2014: DuPage National Bank, West Chicago, Illinois
  63. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
  64. Housing Starts in 2013: 18% Annual Increase, Still Sixth Lowest Level on Record
  65. BLS: 4.0 Million Job Openings in November
  66. Preliminary January Consumer Sentiment declines to 80.4
  67. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.3% in December
  68. Housing Starts at 999 Thousand Annual Rate in December
  69. Friday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment, JOLTS
  70. NMHC Survey: Apartment Market Conditions Softer in Q4
  71. Key Measures Shows Low Inflation in December
  72. NAHB: Builder Confidence declines to 56 in January
  73. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 326,000
  74. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, CPI, Philly Fed Mfg Survey, Homebuilder Confidence
  75. Sacramento Housing: Total Sales down 20% Year-over-year in December, Conventional Sales up 33%, Active Inventory increases 44%
  76. Fed's Beige Book: Economic activity increased "at a moderate pace" in Most Districts
  77. DataQuick: Bay Area Home Sales Drop to Six-Year Low in December
  78. FNC: House prices increased 6.7% year-over-year in November
  79. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Activity indicates faster expansion in January
  80. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  81. Wednesday: NY Fed Mfg Survey, PPI, Beige Book
  82. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in December
  83. DataQuick on SoCal: December Home Sales at Six-Year Low, Foreclosure Resales lowest since May 2007
  84. Mortgage Monitor: 2013 Vintage "best-performing on record", Purchase Mortgages over 50% of originations
  85. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increases in December
  86. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in December
  87. Tuesday: Retail Sales
  88. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.0% year-over-year on Jan 13th
  89. Treasury: $53 Billion Budget Surplus in December
  90. Update: The California Budget Surplus
  91. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in December
  92. Sunday Night Futures
  93. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  94. Update: When will payroll employment exceed the pre-recession peak?
  95. Schedule for Week of January 12th
  96. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 613 Institutions
  97. Lawler on Builder "supply-chain" Issues in 2013
  98. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  99. Comments on the Disappointing Employment Report
  100. December Employment Report: 74,000 Jobs, 6.7% Unemployment Rate
  101. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  102. Employment Report: Some Positive Outlooks
  103. AAR: Record Intermodal Rail Traffic in 2013, Carloads down slightly
  104. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 11.9% year-over-year in December, Price "Rebound effect fading"
  105. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decline to 330,000
  106. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  107. Las Vegas Real Estate in December: Year-over-year Non-contingent Inventory up 78.6%
  108. FOMC Minutes: "Proceed cautiously" with QE3 Tapering
  109. Employment Preview for December: Taking the "Under"
  110. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rates decline in Q4
  111. ADP: Private Employment increased 238,000 in December
  112. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  113. Wednesday: ADP Employment, FOMC Minutes, Q4 Mall Vacancy Survey
  114. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index expected to show 13.7% year-over-year increase in November
  115. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate declined to 4.1% in Q4 2013, Expected to increase slightly in 2014
  116. CoreLogic: House Prices up 11.8% Year-over-year in November
  117. Trade Deficit decreased in November to $34.3 Billion
  118. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Q4 Apartment Vacancy Survey
  119. Weekly Update: Housing Tracker Existing Home Inventory up 2.0% year-over-year on Jan 6h
  120. ISM Indexes and BLS Employment Report
  121. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index at 53.0 indicates slower expansion in December
  122. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q4 at 16.9%
  123. Monday: ISM Service Index, Q4 Office Vacancy Survey
  124. Update: Extended unemployment benefits
  125. Housing Demolitions: The Return of the Bulldozers
  126. Schedule for Week of January 5th
  127. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 618 Institutions
  128. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 15.5 million annual rate in December, Annual Sales up 7.5%
  129. Bernanke: The Federal Reserve: Looking Back, Looking Forward
  130. Fed's Lacker: Projecting 2% GDP Growth in 2014
  131. Question #1 for 2014: How much will the economy grow in 2014?
  132. Merrill Ups Q4 GDP Forecast to 3.0%
  133. Friday: Bernanke, December Vehicle Sales
  134. Question #2 for 2014: How many payroll jobs will be added in 2014?
  135. Construction Spending increased in November, Highest since March 2009
  136. ISM Manufacturing index declines slightly in December to 57.0
  137. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 339,000
  138. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending
  139. Question #3 for 2014: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2014?
  140. Question #4 for 2014: Will too much inflation be a concern in 2014?
  141. Market Update: Happy New Year!

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