The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2015

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2015 1,490

December 2015

  1. Hotel Occupancy: 2015 is Best Year on Record
  2. Goldman Forecast: "Questions for 2016"
  3. Question #7 for 2016: What about oil prices in 2016?
  4. Chicago PMI declines to 42.9
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 287,000
  6. Vehicle Sales Forecast: Record Production in 2016
  7. Zillow Forecast: Expect November Year-over-year Change for Case-Shiller Index slightly higher than in October
  8. Question #8 for 2016: How much will Residential Investment increase?
  9. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 0.9% in November, up 2.7% year-over-year
  10. From CNBC: "Luxury home prices finally getting too high?"
  11. Question #9 for 2016: What will happen with house prices in 2016?
  12. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in October
  13. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 5.2% year-over-year in October
  14. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  15. Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in November, Fannie Mae Rate Unchanged
  16. Question #10 for 2016: How much will housing inventory increase in 2016?
  17. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Activity Rises Again, but Outlook Worsens" in December
  18. Sunday Night Futures
  19. Ten Economic Questions for 2016
  20. Schedule for Week of December 27th
  21. Happy Holidays!
  22. Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2015
  23. Black Knight's First Look at November Mortgage Data, "Fewer than 700,000 Active Foreclosures Remain"
  24. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 267,000
  25. Quintessential Tanta: Reflections on Alt-A (with a Donald Trump mention)
  26. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 40 states in November
  27. Comments on November New Home Sales
  28. New Home Sales increased to 490,000 Annual Rate in November
  29. Personal Income increased 0.3% in November, Spending increased 0.3%
  30. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 37% YoY
  31. Wednesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Personal Income and Outlays and More
  32. Chemical Activity Barometer "Chemical Activity Barometer Ends Year with Modest Uptick"
  33. A Few Random Comments on November Existing Home Sales
  34. Existing Home Sales declined in November to 4.76 million SAAR
  35. Q3 GDP Revised Down to 2.0% Annual Rate
  36. Tuesday: GDP, Existing Home Sales, and More
  37. Bloomberg: "How One Woman Tried To Warn Everyone About The Housing Crash"
  38. Existing Home Sales: Take the Under Tomorrow
  39. An update on oil prices
  40. Chicago Fed: "Index shows Economic Growth Slowed in November"
  41. Sunday Night Futures
  42. Lawler: "Yes, Houston will have a problem next year"
  43. Existing Home Sales: Expect a Miss
  44. Schedule for Week of December 20th
  45. Goldman Sachs on Fed Funds rate: "Fairly easy path to a second hike in March"
  46. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Slightly Positive in Q3, First Time since Q1 2008
  47. What I like to see: Agencies Issue Statement on CRE Loans
  48. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "declined moderately" in December
  49. BLS: Unemployment Rate decreased in 27 States in November
  50. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.9% year-over-year in October
  51. LA area Port Traffic increased YoY in November
  52. Comments on November Housing Starts
  53. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 271,000
  54. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  55. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  56. FOMC Statement: Fed Funds Rate target range increased to 1/4 to 1/2 percent
  57. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index Hits another Bump " in November
  58. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.6% in November
  59. Housing Starts increased to 1.173 Million Annual Rate in November
  60. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 34% YoY
  61. Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, Housing Starts, Industrial Production
  62. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November: Big Drop
  63. Earlier: NY Fed: Manufacturing Contracts Again in Region, Outlook Improves
  64. Key Measures Show Inflation close to 2% in November
  65. NAHB: Builder Confidence declines to 61 in December
  66. CoreLogic: "Number of Mortgaged Properties with Negative Equity Down 20.7% Year Over Year"
  67. CPI unchanged in November, Core CPI up 2.0% YoY
  68. Tuesday: CPI, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
  69. Hotel Occupancy: Heading for a Record Year
  70. Merrill Lynch: "Home Sweet Home"
  71. Duy: "Makes You Wonder What The Fed Is Thinking"
  72. Sunday Night Futures
  73. FOMC Preview and Review of Projections
  74. Goldman: FOMC Preview
  75. Schedule for Week of December 13th
  76. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Move Lower
  77. Nomura on FOMC: "Life after lift-off"
  78. Merrill on FOMC: "The not-so-dovish hike"
  79. Preliminary December Consumer Sentiment increases to 91.8
  80. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in November
  81. Sacramento Housing in November: Sales up 11.5%, Inventory down 28% YoY
  82. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Declined in Q3
  83. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 282,000
  84. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 Quarterly Services, Q3 Flow of Funds
  85. Hilsenrath: "Fed Plans to Signal Gradual, Cautious Path on Rate Hikes"
  86. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Sharply Year-over-year
  87. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 29% YoY
  88. EIA: Gasoline Prices expected to average $2.36/gal in 2016
  89. The Future's so Bright ...
  90. BLS: Jobs Openings "little changed" in October
  91. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index declined in November
  92. Tuesday: Job Openings
  93. Duy's Fed Watch: "And That's A Wrap"
  94. Phoenix Real Estate in November: Sales up 6%, Inventory down 9%
  95. Las Vegas Real Estate in November: Sales Decreased Slightly, Inventory Down YoY
  96. Black Knight October Mortgage Monitor
  97. Sunday Night Futures
  98. The Endless Parade of Recession Calls
  99. Schedule for Week of December 6th
  100. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  101. Comments: Solid November Employment Report
  102. Trade Deficit increased in October to $43.9 Billion
  103. November Employment Report: 211,000 Jobs, 5.0% Unemployment Rate
  104. Friday: Employment Report, Trade Deficit
  105. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in October, Lowest since October 2008
  106. Preview: Employment Report for November
  107. Goldman: November Employment Preview
  108. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Decreased to 55.9% in November
  109. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 269,000
  110. Thursday: Yellen, ISM Non-Mfg, Unemployment Claims
  111. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased at a modest pace"
  112. Yellen: Expect Continued Growth, Further Reductions in Labor Slack, Inflation to Rise to 2 Percent
  113. ADP: Private Employment increased 217,000 in November
  114. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 30% YoY
  115. Wednesday: Yellen Speech, ADP Employment, Beige Book
  116. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 18.2 million annual rate in November
  117. Construction Spending increased 1.0% in October, Up 13% YoY
  118. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.8% Year-over-year in October
  119. ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 48.6 in November
  120. Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Auto Sales

November 2015

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined slightly in October
  2. Restaurant Performance Index indicates faster expansion in October
  3. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.2% in October, up 3.9% year-over-year
  4. Chicago PMI declines to 48.7
  5. Monday: Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales
  6. Hotels: Finishing Year Strong
  7. Schedule for Week of November 29th
  8. November 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 255 Institutions
  9. Zillow Forecast: Expect October Year-over-year Change for Case-Shiller Index Similar to September
  10. Vehicle Sales Forecast for November: Over 18 Million Annual Rate Again?
  11. Something I'm very thankful for ...
  12. 2016: Updated Housing Forecasts
  13. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 43 states in October
  14. Comments on October New Home Sales
  15. New Home Sales increased to 495,000 Annual Rate in October
  16. Personal Income increased 0.4% in October, Spending increased 0.1%
  17. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declined to 260,000
  18. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 24% YoY
  19. Wednesday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, and more
  20. Chemical Activity Barometer "Chemical Activity Barometer Stabilizes"
  21. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in September
  22. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.9% year-over-year in September
  23. Q3 GDP Revised Up to 2.1% Annual Rate
  24. Tuesday: GDP, Case-Shiller House Prices
  25. Kolko: "Why Millennials Still Live With Their Parents"
  26. A Few Random Comments on October Existing Home Sales
  27. Existing Home Sales in October: 5.36 million SAAR
  28. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth improved in October"
  29. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  30. Analysts: Q3 GDP to be Revised Up
  31. Schedule for Week of November 22nd
  32. Goldman Sachs: Expect FOMC to Raise Fed Funds Rate 100bp in 2016
  33. NY Fed: Household Debt increased $212 billion Q3 2015
  34. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity expanded slightly in October, First Time since February
  35. BLS on State Unemployment Rates: No State at or above 7%, First Time since early 2007
  36. Merrill Lynch on economic impact of El Niño: Q1 "Risk" to Upside
  37. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.3% year-over-year in August, Rolling 12 Months at All Time High
  38. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and All Cash Sales for Selected Cities in October
  39. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey showed slight expansion in November
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims declined to 271,000
  41. Sacramento Housing in October: Sales up 11%, Inventory down 22% YoY
  42. Lawler: Early Look at Existing Home Sales in October
  43. FOMC Minutes: "Most participants anticipated conditions could be met by next meeting"
  44. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index on Solid Footing" in October
  45. Housing Starts decreased to 1.060 Million Annual Rate in October
  46. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 19% YoY
  47. Wednesday: Housing Starts, FOMC Minutes
  48. El Niño Update: Possibly "most powerful on record"
  49. Key Measures Show Inflation somewhat higher in October
  50. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decrease in Q3
  51. NAHB: Builder Confidence declines to 62 in November
  52. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.2% in October
  53. CPI increased 0.2% in October
  54. Tuesday: CPI, Industrial Production, MBA Q3 National Delinquency Survey
  55. Fed Economic Letter: "What’s Different about the Latest Housing Boom?"
  56. Phoenix Real Estate in October: Sales up 2%, Inventory down 11%
  57. HUD: FHA'S 2015 Annual Report Shows Capital Reserves Now Exceed 2%, First Time Since 2008
  58. NY Fed: Manufacturing Activity Declined in November
  59. Sunday Night Futures
  60. LA area Port Traffic declined in October
  61. Schedule for Week of November 15th
  62. Goldman: Decline in Oil Prices boosted GDP by 0.2% in 2015
  63. Hotels: RevPAR up 35% over the last 6 years
  64. Flashback to 2006: "Housing prices have got a long way to fall"
  65. Preliminary November Consumer Sentiment increases to 93.1
  66. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in October
  67. Friday: Retail Sales, PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  68. Fed's Fischer: "The Transmission of Exchange Rate Changes to Output and Inflation"
  69. Rosenberg on Labor Force Participation Rate
  70. Fed's Dudley and Evans
  71. BLS: Jobs Openings increased to 5.5 million in September
  72. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims unchanged at 276,000
  73. Lawler: Post Mortem on Existing Home Sales in September
  74. Lawler: Large Home Builder Results, Q3/2015
  75. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 6.1% year-over-year in September
  76. Goldman: "Health Inflation Should Soon Begin to Rise"
  77. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 18% YoY
  78. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  79. Las Vegas: On Pace for Record Visitor Traffic in 2015, Conventions Returning
  80. Duy's Fed Watch: "Onto The Next Question"
  81. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index unchanged in October
  82. Employment: October Diffusion Indexes
  83. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Sharply Year-over-year
  84. Housing: Inventory Build is Over in some Former Distressed Markets
  85. Las Vegas Real Estate in October: Sales Increased 6% YoY, Inventory Down YoY
  86. Sunday Night Futures
  87. 2016: Preliminary Housing Forecasts
  88. Schedule for Week of November 8th
  89. NAHB: Builder Confidence increases for the 55+ Housing Market in Q3
  90. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  91. Comments: Strong October Employment Report, Seasonal Retail Hiring at Record Level
  92. October Employment Report: 271,000 Jobs, 5.0% Unemployment Rate
  93. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  94. Fannie: REO inventory declined in Q3, Down 34% Year-over-year
  95. Hotels: The modest impact of Airbnb
  96. NFP: Goldman Employment Preview
  97. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 276,000
  98. FOMC's Yellen, Dudley: December Meeting is "Live"
  99. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates up to 4%
  100. Preview: Employment Report for October
  101. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 59.1% in October
  102. Trade Deficit decreased in September to $40.8 Billion
  103. ADP: Private Employment increased 182,000 in October
  104. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease Slightly in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 20% YoY
  105. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Non-Mfg Index
  106. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales at 18.1 million annual rate in October
  107. Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q3, Down 31% Year-over-year
  108. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.4% Year-over-year in September
  109. Tuesday: Auto Sales
  110. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since August 2008
  111. Fed Survey: Banks reports stronger demand for CRE loans
  112. Construction Spending increased 0.6% in September, Up 14.1% YoY
  113. ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 50.1 in October
  114. Black Knight September Mortgage Monitor
  115. Monday: ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending
  116. Hotel Occupancy: 2015 on pace for Best Year Ever

October 2015

  1. Schedule for Week of November 1st
  2. October 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 264 Institutions
  3. Q3 2015 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  4. Restaurant Performance Index indicates slower expansion in September
  5. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in September, Lowest since October 2008
  6. Chicago PMI increases Sharply, Final October Consumer Sentiment at 90.0
  7. BEA: Personal Income increased 0.1% in September, Core PCE prices up 1.3% year-over-year
  8. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Employment Cost Index, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  9. Zillow Forecast: Expect September Year-over-year Change for Case-Shiller Index Similar to August
  10. Lawler: Builders say Labor Shortages Delaying Closings, Pushing Up Costs; and Some Other Observations
  11. Q3 GDP: Investment
  12. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 2.3% in September, up 3% year-over-year
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 260,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since 1973
  14. BEA: Real GDP increased at 1.5% Annualized Rate in Q3
  15. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  16. FOMC Statement: No Rate Hike
  17. Bankruptcy Filings declined 11% in Fiscal 2015, Lowest Filings since 2007
  18. Merrill on FOMC: Expect No "major changes in policy or language"
  19. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 23% YoY
  20. Regional Fed Manufacturing Surveys Weak Again in October
  21. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in August
  22. HVS: Q3 2015 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  23. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.7% year-over-year in August
  24. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods
  25. Vehicle Sales Forecast for October: Over 17 Million Annual Rate Again
  26. Comments on September New Home Sales
  27. New Home Sales decreased to 468,000 Annual Rate in September
  28. Black Knight: House Price Index up 0.3% in August, Up 5.5% year-over-year
  29. Monday: New Home Sales
  30. Goldman: FOMC Preview
  31. Schedule for Week of October 25th
  32. Merrill on Q3 GDP and Headwinds
  33. Off topic: Hurricane Patricia
  34. A Few Random Comments on September Existing Home Sales
  35. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 41 states in September
  36. Black Knight's First Look at September Mortgage Data
  37. Apartments: Q&A with NMHC Chief Economist Mark Obrinsky
  38. NMHC: Apartment Market Conditions Slightly Tighter in October Survey
  39. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity "Steadied" in October
  40. Existing Home Sales in September: 5.55 million SAAR
  41. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 259,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since 1973
  42. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Apartment Tightness Index and More
  43. Payroll Employment and Unemployment Claims
  44. AIA: Strong Rebound for Architecture Billings Index in September
  45. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 9% YoY
  46. Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
  47. Comments on September Housing Starts
  48. BLS: Thirty-seven States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in September
  49. Housing Starts increased to 1.206 Million Annual Rate in September
  50. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  51. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in September
  52. Ornithology: What is a "deficit hawk"?
  53. NAHB: Builder Confidence at 64 in October, Highest in 10 Years
  54. Sunday Night Futures
  55. Goldman Sachs Expects "Fed Liftoff" in December
  56. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  57. Schedule for Week of October 18th
  58. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September
  59. Treasury: "There is Only One Solution to the Debt Limit"
  60. Earlier: Preliminary October Consumer Sentiment increases to 92.1
  61. BLS: Jobs Openings decreased to 5.4 million in August
  62. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.2% in September
  63. Friday: Industrial Production, Jobs Openings, Consumer Sentiment
  64. LA area Port Traffic declined in September
  65. Earlier: Philly and NY Fed Manufacturing Surveys showed contraction in October
  66. Key Measures Show Inflation slightly higher in September
  67. Cost of Living Adjustment Unchanged in 2016, Contribution Base also Unchanged
  68. CPI decreased 0.2% in September, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 255,000
  69. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims, NY and Philly Fed Mfg Surveys
  70. Fed's Beige Book: "Modest Expansion in Economic Activity"
  71. Altanta Fed GDPNow tracking 0.9% for Q3
  72. Retail Sales increased 0.1% in September
  73. MBA: Mortgage Applications Down Sharply due to TILA-RESPA regulatory change
  74. NBER Paper: "Strategic default rarely occurs"
  75. Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo: "I wouldn't expect it to be appropriate to raise rates this year"
  76. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.5% year-over-year in August
  77. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increased in September, Solid Improvement in Hiring
  78. Angus Deaton, Nobel in Economics
  79. CBO: Fiscal 2015 Budget deficit decline to 2.4% of GDP
  80. Lehner: "Is 2015 Peak Renter?"
  81. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Sharply Year-over-year
  82. Headlines from Columbus Day 2008
  83. Sunday Night Futures
  84. Goldman: Expects Participation Rate to decline 0.25% per year, Unemployment Rate to below 4.5%
  85. Schedule for Week of October 11, 2015
  86. Sacramento Housing in September: Sales up 13%, Inventory down 19% YoY
  87. Nomura on September CPI
  88. "Is 2015 Peak Renter?" @TheStalwart @adsteel
  89. Hotel Occupancy: 2015 on pace for Best Year Ever
  90. Q3 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2015
  91. Merrill on September CPI
  92. Demographic Impacts: Renting vs. Owning, Labor Force Participation, GDP
  93. FOMC Minutes: Waiting on Inflation
  94. Las Vegas Real Estate in September: Sales Increased 10% YoY, Inventory Down YoY
  95. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 263,000
  96. Thursday: FOMC Minutes, Unemployment Claims
  97. Defeatists Policies #NothingCanBeDone
  98. Phoenix Real Estate in September: Sales up 12%, Inventory down 12%
  99. "Labor Market Gains Not Sparking a Single-Family Housing Recovery"
  100. MBA: Mortgage Applications "Up Sharply", Purchase Applications up 49% YoY
  101. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates holding 3 7/8%
  102. Fed: Q2 Household Debt Service Ratio Very Low
  103. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.9% Year-over-year in August
  104. Trade Deficit increased in August to $48.3 Billion
  105. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  106. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  107. Black Knight August Mortgage Monitor
  108. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q3
  109. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreased to 56.9% in September
  110. Sunday Night Futures
  111. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  112. Schedule for Week of October 4, 2015
  113. Bank Failures by Year
  114. Bank Failure #7 in 2015: Bank of Georgia, Peachtree City, Georgia
  115. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  116. September Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  117. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate increased in Q3 to 4.3%
  118. September Employment Report: 142,000 Jobs, 5.1% Unemployment Rate
  119. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  120. Preview: Employment Report for September
  121. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increased to 18 million annual rate in September
  122. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declined in Q3 to 16.5%
  123. Construction Spending increased 0.7% in August, Up 13.7% YoY
  124. ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 50.2 in September
  125. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 277,000
  126. Thursday: Vehicle Sales, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Unemployment Claims

September 2015

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined slightly in August, Lowest since August 2008
  2. Restaurant Performance Index declines, Indicates slower expansion in August
  3. Chicago PMI declined sharply in September
  4. ADP: Private Employment increased 200,000 in September
  5. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 20% YoY
  6. Wednesday: Unlikely Government Shutdown, ADP Employment, Chicago PMI
  7. Zillow Forecast: Expect August Year-over-year Change for Case-Shiller Index Similar to July
  8. Shutdown Update
  9. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in July
  10. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.7% year-over-year in July
  11. Today in Fed Speak
  12. ATA Trucking Index decreased 0.9% in August
  13. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in August, Lowest since October 2008
  14. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Activity Remains Steady" in September
  15. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 1.4% in August, up 6% year-over-year
  16. Personal Income increased 0.3% in August, Spending increased 0.4%
  17. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
  18. A few comments on Possible Government Shutdown
  19. September 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 276 Institutions, Q3 2015 Transition Matrix
  20. Schedule for Week of September 27, 2015
  21. Vehicle Sales Forecast for September: Over 17 Million Annual Rate Again
  22. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 4.2% year-over-year in July, Rolling 12 Months at All Time High
  23. Black Knight's First Look at August: Mortgage "Delinquency Rate Sees Largest 12-Month Decline in Four Years"
  24. Final September Consumer Sentiment at 87.2
  25. Q2 GDP Revised Up to 3.9% Annual Rate
  26. Friday: Q2 GDP (3rd estimate), Consumer Sentiment
  27. Yellen: Anticipates Raising Fed Funds Rate this Year
  28. Comments on August New Home Sales
  29. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity Declined Again in September
  30. New Home Sales increased to 552,000 Annual Rate in August
  31. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 267,000
  32. Thursday: Yellen Speech, New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods and More
  33. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 41 states in August
  34. China: Buiter and Krugman Views
  35. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicated slight contraction in August
  36. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Applications up 27% YoY
  37. "Mortgage Rates Back Into High 3's"
  38. Using Nomimal GDP to Mislead: A Bogus Reagan Wikipedia Sentence
  39. Chemical Activity Barometer "Signals Slowdown of Economic Activity"
  40. Richmond Fed: "Manufacturing Sector Activity Generally Softened" in September
  41. FHFA House Price Index Up 0.6 Percent in July, Up 5.8 Percent YoY
  42. Lawler on Lennar: Net Home Orders Up by “Decent” Amount Last Quarter, Houston Weak
  43. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in August
  44. Lawler on Existing Home Sales
  45. A Few Random Comments on August Existing Home Sales
  46. Existing Home Sales in August: 5.31 million SAAR
  47. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  48. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices "indices post moderate gains" in July, up 12% year-over-year
  49. Fed's Williams and Bullard on Rate Hikes
  50. Schedule for Week of September 20, 2015
  51. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Slightly Negative in Q2 2015
  52. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth at Record High at end of Q2
  53. BLS: Twenty-Nine States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in August
  54. Mortgage Rates Decline after FOMC Annoucement
  55. Earlier: Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey decreased to -6.0 in September
  56. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  57. FOMC Statement: No Rate Hike
  58. Comments on August Housing Starts
  59. Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows downward adjustment of 208,000 jobs
  60. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 264,000
  61. Housing Starts decreased to 1.126 Million Annual Rate in August
  62. Thursday: FOMC Announcement, Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims and More
  63. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in August
  64. August Update: Early Look at Cost-Of-Living Adjustments indicates NO increase in 2016
  65. NAHB: Builder Confidence at 62 in September, Highest in almost 10 Years
  66. CPI decreased 0.1% in August
  67. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  68. Wednesday: CPI, Homebuilder Survey
  69. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August
  70. WSJ: "For the Fed, Markets May Be Flashing a Wait Sign"
  71. CoreLogic: "CoreLogic Reports 759,000 US Properties Regained Equity in the Second Quarter of 2015"
  72. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.4% in August
  73. Retail Sales increased 0.2% in August
  74. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg
  75. The Consensus is No Rate Hike this Week
  76. Las Vegas: On Pace for Record Visitor Traffic in 2015
  77. LA area Port Traffic: Record Inbound Traffic in August
  78. Sunday Night Futures
  79. FOMC Preview and Review of Projections
  80. Goldman Sachs FOMC Preview: December
  81. Schedule for Week of September 13, 2015
  82. Sacramento Housing in August: Sales up 16%, Inventory down 15% YoY
  83. Nomura FOMC Preview: December
  84. Hotels: On Pace for Record Occupancy in 2015
  85. Preliminary September Consumer Sentiment decreases to 85.7
  86. Friday: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  87. Goldman on Possible Government Shutdown
  88. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.5% year-over-year in July
  89. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 275,000
  90. WSJ Articles on the FOMC Meeting next week
  91. QE Timeline Update
  92. Las Vegas Real Estate in August: Sales Increased 11% YoY
  93. BLS: Jobs Openings increased to 5.8 million in July, New Series High
  94. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up Sharply YoY
  95. Wednesday: Job Openings
  96. CBO: Fiscal 2015 Federal Deficit through August more than 10% below Last Year
  97. Phoenix Real Estate in August: Sales up 9%, Inventory down 14%
  98. Black Knight July Mortgage Monitor
  99. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increased in August
  100. Monday Night Futures
  101. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  102. August Employment Revisions
  103. Schedule for Week of September 6, 2015
  104. Will the Fed raise rates in September?
  105. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  106. August Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  107. August Employment Report: 173,000 Jobs, 5.1% Unemployment Rate
  108. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  109. Goldman Employment Forecast: 190K Jobs
  110. Preview: Employment Report for August
  111. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreased to 59.0% in August
  112. Trade Deficit decreased in July to $41.8 Billion
  113. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 282,000
  114. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, ISM non-mfg
  115. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded
  116. FDIC: Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q2
  117. ADP: Private Employment increased 190,000 in August
  118. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 25% YoY
  119. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Beige Book
  120. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increased to 17.7 million annual rate in August
  121. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.9% Year-over-year in July
  122. Construction Spending increased 0.7% in July
  123. ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 51.1 in August

August 2015

  1. Tuesday: ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending, Auto Sales
  2. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in July, Lowest since August 2008
  3. Restaurant Performance Index increased in July
  4. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Activity Holds Steady, but Outlooks Deteriorate"
  5. Chicago PMI decreases slightly in August
  6. Sunday Night Futures
  7. Vehicle Sales Forecast for August: Over 17 Million Annual Rate Again
  8. August 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 282 Institutions
  9. Schedule for Week of August 30, 2015
  10. Fed's Vice Chair Fischer: “When the case is overwhelming, if you wait that long, then you’ve waited too long.”
  11. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in July, Lowest since October 2008
  12. Vehicle Sales Forecasts for August: Over 17 Million Annual Rate Again
  13. Final August Consumer Sentiment at 91.9
  14. Personal Income increased 0.4% in July, Spending increased 0.3%
  15. Friday: July Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment
  16. MBA on Housing Demand from 2014 to 2024
  17. Early Look at 2016 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  18. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.5% in July, up 7% year-over-year
  19. Q2 GDP Revised up to 3.7%, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 271,000
  20. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Penidng Home Sales, Jackson Hole Symposium
  21. Last Week: Key Measures Show Low Inflation in July
  22. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in July
  23. Zillow Forecast: Expect Case-Shiller to show "Uptick in Appreciation" year-over-year change in July
  24. AIA: Architecture Billings Index indicated expansion in July
  25. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase Slightly in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 18% YoY
  26. Wednesday: Durable Goods
  27. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in June
  28. Comments on July New Home Sales
  29. New Home Sales increased to 507,000 Annual Rate in July
  30. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.5% year-over-year in June
  31. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
  32. Catching Up: Existing Home Sales in July: 5.59 million SAAR, Highest Pace in Eight Years
  33. Catching Up: Housing Starts increased to 1.206 Million Annual Rate in July
  34. Black Knight: House Price Index up 0.9% in June, 5.1% year-over-year
  35. Chicago Fed: Index shows "Economic growth picked up in July"
  36. Black Knight's First Look at July: Foreclosure Inventory at Lowest Level Since 2007
  37. Sunday Night Futures
  38. Schedule for Week of August 23, 2015
  39. On Recession Calls
  40. 2012: Calling the House Price Bottom
  41. 2009: Calling the Bottom for the Economy
  42. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  43. 2007: The Trillion Dollar Bear
  44. Wednesday: CPI, FOMC Minutes
  45. 2007: Tanta Changed the Blogging World
  46. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  47. From 2007 and 2008: The Compleat UberNerd
  48. Monday: Empire State Mfg, Homebuilder Confidence
  49. December 2006: Tanta joined CR!
  50. Schedule for Week of August 16, 2015
  51. CR on Housing in 2005
  52. Friday: PPI, Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment
  53. CR takes a Vacation!
  54. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
  55. NY Fed: Household Debt "Flat" in Q2 2015
  56. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decrease in Q2
  57. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 274,000, 4-Week Average Lowest since 2000
  58. Retail Sales increased 0.6% in July
  59. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, NY Fed Q2 Household Debt and Credit Report
  60. Sacramento Housing in July: Sales up 12%, Inventory down 11% YoY
  61. The Shrinking Deficit
  62. BLS: Jobs Openings decreased to 5.2 million in June
  63. MBA: Mortgage Applications "Flat" in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 20% YoY
  64. Wednesday: Job Openings
  65. U.S. Population Distribution by Age, 1900 through 2060
  66. U.S. Births increased in 2014
  67. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increased in July
  68. Fannie and Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q2, Down 33% Year-over-year
  69. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  70. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.7% year-over-year in June
  71. Las Vegas Real Estate in July: Sales Increased 15% YoY
  72. Sunday Night Futures
  73. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Year-over-year
  74. Schedule for Week of August 9, 2015
  75. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates at 4%
  76. Merrill: Employment Report and a September Fed Rate Hike
  77. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  78. July Employment Report Comments and more Graphs
  79. July Employment Report: 215,000 Jobs, 5.3% Unemployment Rate
  80. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  81. Payroll Employment and Seasonal Factors
  82. Preview: Employment Report for July
  83. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 270,000
  84. Q2 2015 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  85. Phoenix Real Estate in July: Sales Up 17%, Inventory DOWN 15% Year-over-year
  86. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in June
  87. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 60.3% in July
  88. Trade Deficit increased in June to $43.8 Billion
  89. ADP: Private Employment increased 185,000 in July
  90. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 23% YoY
  91. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM non-Mfg Survey
  92. Lawler: Large Home Builder Results, Q2/2015
  93. Goldman: "What's Keeping the Kids at Their Parents' Homes?"
  94. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.5% Year-over-year in June
  95. Fed Survey: Banks reports stronger demand for Home-purchase loans and CRE Loans
  96. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increased to 17.5 million annual rate in July
  97. Construction Spending increased 0.1% in June
  98. ISM Manufacturing index decreased to 52.7 in July
  99. BEA: Personal Income increased 0.4% in June, Core PCE prices up 1.3% year-over-year
  100. Monday: Auto Sales, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending, Personal Income and Outlays
  101. Hotels: Best Week Ever, On Pace for Record Occupancy in 2015
  102. Schedule for Week of August 2, 2015
  103. July 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 290 Institutions

July 2015

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since August 2008
  2. Restaurant Performance Index declined in June
  3. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in June, Lowest since November 2008
  4. Chicago PMI increases, Final July Consumer Sentiment at 93.1
  5. Friday: Employment Cost Index, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  6. Zillow Forecast: Expect Case-Shiller National House Price Index up 4.3% year-over-year change in June
  7. Q2 GDP: Investment
  8. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 267,000
  9. BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.3% Annualized Rate in Q2
  10. Thursday: Q2 GDP and Revisions, Unemployment Claims
  11. Duy on FOMC: "Somewhat more hawkish as the Fed gears up to hike rates later this year"
  12. FOMC Statement: No Change in Policy, No Clues for September
  13. How large will the first Fed Funds Rate increase be?
  14. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 1.8% in June, up 8% year-over-year
  15. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 18% YoY
  16. Wednesday: FOMC, Pending Home Sales
  17. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in May
  18. HVS: Q2 2015 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  19. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.4% year-over-year in May
  20. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg Survey
  21. Vehicle Sales Forecasts for July: Over 17 Million Annual Rate Again, Best July in a Decade
  22. ATA Trucking Index decreased 0.5% in June
  23. Dallas Fed: "Texas Manufacturing Slump Moderates"
  24. Black Knight: House Price Index up 1.1% in May, 5.1% year-over-year
  25. Sunday Night Futures
  26. WSJ: More Oil Industry Layoffs Coming
  27. Schedule for Week of July 26, 2015
  28. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 40 states in June
  29. Nomura on Q2 GDP and Annual Revision
  30. Comments on New Home Sales
  31. New Home Sales decreased to 482,000 Annual Rate in June
  32. Goldman FOMC Preview
  33. Merrill on the Annual GDP Revision and Q2 GDP
  34. Black Knight's First Look at June: Foreclosure Inventory at Lowest Level Since 2007
  35. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity Declined Again in July
  36. Chicago Fed: Index shows "Economic Growth Picked Up Slightly in June"
  37. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 255,000
  38. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  39. A Few Random Comments on June Existing Home Sales
  40. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in June, "Multi-family housing design showing signs of slowing"
  41. Existing Home Sales in June: 5.49 million SAAR, Highest Pace in Eight Years
  42. MBA: Mortgage Applications Unchanged in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 18% YoY
  43. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, Architecture Billings Index
  44. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  45. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.7% year-over-year in May, Rolling 12 Months at All Time High
  46. BLS: Twenty-One States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in June
  47. WSJ: "Bidding Wars Return to Home Market"
  48. A comment on Interest Only Mortgage Loans
  49. CoreLogic: Southern California June Home Sales up 18% Year-over-year
  50. LA area Port Traffic: Weakness in June
  51. Sunday Night Futures
  52. EIA: West Coast Gasoline Prices "likely to remain elevated until later this summer"
  53. Schedule for Week of July 19, 2015
  54. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Near July Lows
  55. Comments on June Housing Starts
  56. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in June
  57. Preliminary July Consumer Sentiment decreases to 93.3
  58. Housing Starts increased to 1.174 Million Annual Rate in June
  59. Friday: Housing Starts, CPI, Consumer Sentiment
  60. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in June
  61. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
  62. Earlier: Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey decreased to 5.7 in July
  63. NAHB: Builder Confidence at 60 in July, Highest Level Since November 2005
  64. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 281,000
  65. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey, Yellen
  66. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in May
  67. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded, Respondents "optimistic about future growth"
  68. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.3% in June
  69. Yellen: "Prospects are favorable for further improvement in the U.S. labor market and the economy more broadly"
  70. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 17% YoY
  71. Wednesday: Yellen, Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg Survey, Beige Book and more
  72. Update: The California Budget Surplus
  73. CoreLogic: "Foreclosure Rate of 1.3 Percent is Back to December 2007 Levels"
  74. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreased in June
  75. Retail Sales decreased 0.3% in June
  76. Tuesday: Retail Sales
  77. The Shrinking Deficit
  78. Zillow Forecast: Expect Case-Shiller National House Price Index up 4.0% year-over-year change in May
  79. Greek Deal
  80. Sunday Night Futures: Uncertainty in Europe
  81. Greece Update: No Deal ... Yet
  82. Schedule for Week of July 12, 2015
  83. Hotels: On Pace for Record Occupancy in 2015
  84. Sacramento Housing in June: Sales up 22%, Inventory down 10% YoY
  85. Fed Chair Yellen: Expect to raise the federal funds rate later this year
  86. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.4% year-over-year in May
  87. Greece: Agreement seems Possible
  88. Friday: Yellen Speech on the U.S. Economic Outlook
  89. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates decrease to 4.04% in Latest Weekly Survey
  90. FHFA Paper: "The Marginal Effect of First-Time Homebuyer Status on Mortgage Default and Prepayment"
  91. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 297,000
  92. Greece Update
  93. U.S. Heavy Truck Sales in June: Highest since February 2007
  94. FOMC Minutes: Global Concerns
  95. Las Vegas Real Estate in June: Sales Increased 12.8% YoY
  96. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up Sharply YoY
  97. Phoenix Real Estate in June: Sales Up 20.5%, Inventory DOWN 16% Year-over-year
  98. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2
  99. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.3% Year-over-year in May
  100. BLS: Jobs Openings increased to 5.4 million in May, Highest on Record
  101. Trade Deficit increased in May to $41.9 Billion
  102. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Job Openings
  103. Q2 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2015
  104. Black Knight May Mortgage Monitor
  105. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 56.0% in June
  106. Sunday Night Futures: Greece says No!
  107. No!
  108. Shanghai Cliff Diving
  109. Greece Sunday: δίλημμα
  110. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  111. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  112. Schedule for Week of July 5, 2015
  113. Earlier: Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 281,000
  114. Hotels: On Pace for Record Occupancy in 2015, RevPAR up almost 50% from 2009
  115. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2 at 4.2%
  116. June Employment Report Comments and Graphs
  117. June Employment Report: 223,000 Jobs, 5.3% Unemployment Rate
  118. Thursday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  119. Preview: Employment Report for June
  120. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decreased to 17.1 million annual rate in June
  121. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q2 to 16.6%
  122. Construction Spending increased 0.8% in May
  123. ISM Manufacturing index increased to 53.5 in June
  124. ADP: Private Employment increased 237,000 in June
  125. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 14% YoY

June 2015

  1. Wednesday: ISM Mfg, ADP Employment, Auto Sales, Construction Spending
  2. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in May, Lowest since August 2008
  3. Restaurant Performance Index indicates expansion in May
  4. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in April
  5. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.2% year-over-year in April
  6. Duy: "Events Continue to Conspire Against the Fed"
  7. Forecast: Auto Sales above 17 Million SAAR in June
  8. Black Knight: House Price Index up 1.0% in April, 4.9% year-over-year
  9. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Still Contracting
  10. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 0.9% in May, up 10% year-over-year
  11. Sunday Night Futures: Greece and Puerto Rico
  12. Greece: ECB Freezes Level of Emergency Loans
  13. June 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 309 Institutions, Q2 2015 Transition Matrix
  14. Schedule for Week of June 28, 2015
  15. June NFP: Merrill and Nomura Forecasts
  16. Vehicle Sales Forecasts for June: Over 17 Million Annual Rate Again, Best June in a Decade
  17. Are Multi-Family Housing Starts near a peak?
  18. Final June Consumer Sentiment increases to 96.1
  19. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 3.9% year-over-year in April, Rolling 12 Months at All Time High
  20. Update: "Scariest jobs chart ever"
  21. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in May
  22. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity Declined in June
  23. Personal Income increased 0.5% in May, Spending increased 0.9%
  24. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 271,000
  25. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in May
  26. ATA Trucking Index increased 1.1% in May
  27. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies increased in May
  28. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in May
  29. Q1 GDP Revised Up to -0.2% Annual Rate
  30. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 18% YoY
  31. Wednesday: GDP
  32. Sacramento Housing in May: Less than 10% Distressed Sales, Inventory down YoY
  33. Chemical Activity Barometer "Leading Economic Indicator Heats Up"
  34. Comments on New Home Sales and Prices
  35. New Home Sales increased to 546,000 Annual Rate in May
  36. FHFA: House Prices increased 0.3% in April, Up 5.3% Year-over-year
  37. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Durable Goods and More
  38. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 35 states in May
  39. A Few Random Comments on May Existing Home Sales
  40. Existing Home Sales in May: 5.35 million SAAR, Inventory up 1.8% Year-over-year
  41. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth slightly below average in May"
  42. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  43. Update: The Inland Empire Bust and Recovery
  44. Schedule for Week of June 21, 2015
  45. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Near June Lows
  46. STR on Hotels: "The Best Fundamentals (Maybe in Our Lifetime)"
  47. BLS: Twenty-Five States had Unemployment Rate Increases in May
  48. Fed: Q1 Household Debt Service Ratio Very Low
  49. Greece Update
  50. Looking at Payroll Employment and Unemployment Claims
  51. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in May
  52. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey increased to 15.2 in June
  53. CPI increased 0.4% in May, Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 267,000
  54. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, CPI, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  55. Report: Socal Home Sales up 5% year-over-year
  56. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  57. FOMC Statement: No Change in Policy, Economy Expands Moderately
  58. LA area Port Traffic: Imports Up, Exports Down in May
  59. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal More Negative in Q1 2015
  60. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 15% YoY
  61. Wednesday: FOMC Day
  62. Duy: FOMC Preview
  63. Comments on May Housing Starts
  64. CoreLogic: "CoreLogic Reports 254,000 US Properties Regained Equity in the First Quarter of 2015"
  65. Housing Starts decreased to 1.036 Million Annual Rate in May
  66. 4% Sustained GDP Growth?
  67. ECRI Admits Incorrect Recession Call
  68. Update: Real Estate Agent Boom and Bust
  69. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 59 in June
  70. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.2% in May
  71. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "conditions worsened slightly" in June
  72. Monday: Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg Survey, Homebuilder Survey
  73. Reports on Greek Tragedy: Meeting Fails
  74. Update: Predicting the Next Recession
  75. Schedule for Week of June 14, 2015
  76. Goldman Sachs: FOMC Preview
  77. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in May
  78. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Homes Sales in May: Big Bounce from “Strangely-Low” April
  79. FOMC Preview: No Rate Hike
  80. Preliminary June Consumer Sentiment increases to 94.6
  81. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices declined in April, Up Solidly YoY
  82. Lawler on NAR: The “Curious Case” of Existing Home Sales in the South in April
  83. Fed's Q1 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth at Record High
  84. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 279,000
  85. Retail Sales increased 1.2% in May
  86. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Q1 Flow of Funds
  87. The Shrinking Deficit
  88. Quarterly Services Survey suggests upward revision to Q1 GDP
  89. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.3% year-over-year in April
  90. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 15% YoY
  91. Wednesday: Q1 Quarterly Services Report
  92. CoreLogic: "Number of Loans in Foreclosure Lowest Since 2007"
  93. Las Vegas Real Estate in May: Sales Decreased 2.5% YoY
  94. BLS: Jobs Openings increased to 5.4 million in April, Highest on Record
  95. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increased in May
  96. Tuesday: Job Openings
  97. Tenth Anniversary of Greenspan's "Froth" Testimony
  98. Labor Force Participation Rate: There are few "Missing 41-Year-Olds"
  99. Merrill and Goldman Expect GDP to Rebound in Q2
  100. Black Knight April Mortgage Monitor
  101. Sunday Night Futures
  102. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  103. Phoenix Real Estate in May: Sales Up 11.4%, Inventory DOWN 15% Year-over-year
  104. Schedule for Week of June 7, 2015
  105. CBO: Fiscal 2015 Federal Deficit through May about 10% below Last Year
  106. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  107. Hotels: On Pace for Record Occupancy in 2015, New Construction Increasing
  108. May Employment Report Comments and Graphs
  109. May Employment Report: 280,000 Jobs, 5.5% Unemployment Rate
  110. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  111. Lawler: Characteristics Homes Built in 2014; Construction of “Moderately-Sized” SF Homes Remained Low in 2014.
  112. Public and Private Employment Data
  113. NFP: Goldman Sachs, Nomura May Employment Previews
  114. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 276,000
  115. Mortgage Rates increase to 4.1%
  116. Preview: Employment Report for May
  117. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded, Respondents "generally optimistic"
  118. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreased to 55.7% in May
  119. Trade Deficit declined in April to $40.9 Billion
  120. ADP: Private Employment increased 201,000 in May
  121. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 14% YoY
  122. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Non-Mfg Index, Beige Book
  123. Hatzius: September rate hike "sensible in the base case ", "but less than optimal on risk management grounds"
  124. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increased to 17.8 million annual rate in May
  125. Preliminary May Vehicle Sales at 17.7 million SAAR: Best sales rate since 2005, On pace for Best Year since 2001
  126. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.8% Year-over-year in April
  127. Financial Times: Greek Discussion Ends, Not "Take it or leave it" Deal
  128. Greece Update: "Take it or leave it" offer?
  129. Construction Spending increased 2.2% in April
  130. ISM Manufacturing index increased to 52.8 in May
  131. Personal Income increased 0.4% in April, Spending decreased slightly
  132. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, ISM Mfg Index, Construction Spending

May 2015

  1. Hotels: Best April Ever
  2. May 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 324 Institutions
  3. Schedule for Week of May 31, 2015
  4. Restaurant Performance Index increased in April
  5. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in April, Lowest since September 2008
  6. Business Executives are NOT experts in Economics
  7. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 40 states in April
  8. Final May Consumer Sentiment at 90.7, Chicago PMI declines Sharply
  9. Q1 GDP Revised Down to -0.7% Annual Rate
  10. Friday: Ugly GDP, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  11. Vehicle Sales Forecasts for May: Over 17 Million Annual Rate
  12. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in April
  13. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 3.4% in April, up 14% year-over-year
  14. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 282,000
  15. Thursday: Pending Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
  16. Zillow Forecast: Expect Case-Shiller National House Price Index up 4.0% year-over-year change in April
  17. FDIC: Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q1
  18. BLS: Twenty-Three States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in April
  19. MBA: Mortgage Refinance Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Index up 14% YoY
  20. Regional Fed Manufacturing Surveys for May and the ISM Index
  21. Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in March
  22. Comments on New Home Sales
  23. New Home Sales increased to 517,000 Annual Rate in April
  24. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.1% year-over-year in March
  25. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods and More
  26. Gasoline Prices: Down a Dollar from last year on Memorial Day
  27. Hotels: RevPAR up almost 50% since 2009
  28. Report: Greece will not make June IMF Payment
  29. Schedule for Week of May 24, 2015
  30. ATA Trucking Index decreased 3% in April
  31. Yellen: Expect Rate Hike in 2015, Several Years before Fed Funds Rate "back to normal" level
  32. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in April
  33. BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in April, Core CPI increased 0.3%
  34. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies increased slightly in April
  35. Friday: CPI, Yellen
  36. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  37. Lawler: Existing Home Sales Dipped in April; Sales in South Seem Low
  38. A Few Comments on April Existing Home Sales
  39. Existing Home Sales in April: 5.04 million SAAR, Inventory down 0.9% Year-over-year
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 274,000, Lowest 4-Week average in 15 years
  41. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims and More
  42. CoreLogic: Southern California April Home Sales up 8.5% Year-over-year
  43. FOMC Minutes: June Rate Hike Unlikely
  44. AIA: Architecture Billings Index declined in April
  45. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  46. Wednesday: FOMC Minuites, Architecture Billings Index
  47. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent
  48. Sacramento Housing in April: Total Sales up 9% Year-over-year
  49. Comments on April Housing Starts
  50. Housing Starts increased to 1.135 Million Annual Rate in April, Highest since 2007
  51. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  52. LA area Port Traffic Decreased in April
  53. Apartments: Supply and Demand
  54. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased to 54 in May
  55. Sunday Night Futures
  56. Goldman's Hatzius: "The Employment Gap Is Much Bigger than the FOMC's Current Estimate"
  57. An update on oil prices
  58. Schedule for Week of May 17, 2015
  59. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in April
  60. Hotels: On Pace for Record Occupancy in 2015
  61. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April
  62. Preliminary May Consumer Sentiment declines to 88.6
  63. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.3% in April
  64. Friday: Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg, Consumer Sentiment
  65. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims as a Percent of Labor Force
  66. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in March
  67. Research: "How Low Can House Prices Go?"
  68. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 264,000, Lowest 4-Week average in 15 years
  69. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  70. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  71. Las Vegas: Record Visitor Traffic in 2014, Same pace in 2015
  72. Retail Sales unchanged in April
  73. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  74. Wednesday: Retail Sales
  75. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates at 2015 Highs, Average Lender at 4%
  76. NY Fed: Household Debt increased slightly in Q1 2015
  77. BLS: Jobs Openings at 5.0 million in March, Up 19% Year-over-year
  78. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index increased in April
  79. Tuesday: Job Openings, Q1 Household Debt and Credit Report
  80. Research: Natural Rate of Unemployment under 5% and Falling
  81. Demographics, Unemployment Rate and Inflation
  82. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  83. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 4.6% year-over-year in March
  84. Sunday Night Futures
  85. The Projected Improvement in Life Expectancy
  86. Lawler: Analyzing/Projecting Household Formations: It’s Not Just “Demographics”
  87. Schedule for Week of May 10, 2015
  88. Bank Failure Friday Returns: 5th Failure in 2015
  89. Lawler: More Builder Results (updated table)
  90. Fannie and Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q1, Down 30% Year-over-year
  91. Employment Report Comments and Graphs
  92. April Employment Report: 223,000 Jobs, 5.4% Unemployment Rate
  93. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  94. Phoenix Real Estate in April: Sales Up 9.3%, Inventory DOWN 13% Year-over-year
  95. Goldman Sachs April Employment Preview
  96. Part II: Demographics are Now Improving, Projections
  97. Las Vegas Real Estate in April: Sales Increased 5.1% YoY
  98. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 265,000, Lowest 4-Week average in 15 years
  99. Demographics are Now Improving
  100. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decrease in Q1, Lowest since Q2 2007
  101. Preview: Employment Report for April
  102. ADP: Private Employment increased 169,000 in April
  103. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications increase, Refinance Applications in Latest Weekly Survey
  104. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Near 2015 Highs, Several major Lenders at 4%
  105. Final Update: Recovery Measures
  106. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.9% Year-over-year in March
  107. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 57.8% in April
  108. Trade Deficit increased in March to $51.4 Billion
  109. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, ISM non-Manufacturing Index
  110. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Year-over-year
  111. Fed Survey: Banks ease Standards for Residential Mortgages, CRE Loans
  112. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves Year-over-year for the 55+ Housing Market in Q1
  113. Black Knight March Mortgage Monitor: "Negative Equity Population Shrinks to Just Over 4 Million"
  114. Sunday Night Futures
  115. Hotels at Record Occupancy Pace in 2015
  116. Lawler on Housing Vacancy Survey: More “Stunning” Results, But Tough to Interpret
  117. Schedule for Week of May 3, 2015
  118. Restaurant Performance Index shows Expansion in March
  119. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales declined to 16.5 million annual rate in April
  120. Construction Spending decreased 0.6% in March
  121. ISM Manufacturing index unchanged at 51.5 in April
  122. Zillow Forecast: Expect Case-Shiller National House Price Index up 4.2% year-over-year change in March
  123. Friday: ISM Manufacturing, Auto Sales, Construction Spending

April 2015

  1. Q1 2015 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  2. Lawler: More Builder Results (updated table)
  3. Earlier from the BEA: Personal Income increased slightly in March, Core PCE prices up 1.3% year-over-year
  4. Employment Cost Index increases 0.7% in Q1, Up 2.6% YoY
  5. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 262,000, Lowest since April 2000
  6. Brief comments on the FOMC Statement and ECI
  7. FOMC Statement: Slowdown "in part reflecting transitory factors"
  8. Q1 GDP: Investment
  9. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 1.1% in March, up 11% year-over-year
  10. BEA: Real GDP increased at 0.2% Annualized Rate in Q1
  11. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey, Purchase Apps up 21% YoY
  12. Wednesday: GDP, FOMC
  13. A Comment on House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in February
  14. HVS: Q1 2015 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  15. Richmond Fed: "Manufacturing Sector Activity Remained Soft"
  16. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.2% year-over-year in February
  17. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  18. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in March
  19. Merrill Lynch: FOMC Preview
  20. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Best April in "13 Years"
  21. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Weakens Again
  22. Black Knight: House Price Index up 0.7% in February, 4.6% year-over-year
  23. Sunday Night Futures
  24. ATA Trucking Index increased in March
  25. Schedule for Week of April 26, 2015
  26. April 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 342 Institutions
  27. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 2.8% year-over-year in February, Rolling 12 Months at All Time High
  28. Nomura Forecast: Q1 GDP at 1.0%
  29. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 41 states in March
  30. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Declined in March, First time below 5% since August 2007
  31. Merrill Lynch forecasting 1.5% GDP in Q1
  32. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates decrease to 3.65% in Latest Weekly Survey
  33. Lawler: More Builder Results
  34. Comments on New Home Sales
  35. New Home Sales decline to 481,000 Annual Rate in March
  36. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 295,000
  37. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March
  38. Lawler: D.R. Horton: Net Home Orders Up, Prices “Flattish;” Says If Prices are Low Enough, There is “Demand” from First-Time Buyers
  39. A Few Comments on March Existing Home Sales
  40. Existing Home Sales in March: 5.19 million SAAR, Inventory up 2.0% Year-over-year
  41. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases in March, Multi-Family Negative
  42. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Purchase Apps up 16% YoY
  43. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
  44. Chemical Activity Barometer "Leading Economic Indicator Rises for Fourth Consecutive Month"
  45. Lawler: NVR: Home Orders Jump, Prices “Stable” in Latest Quarter
  46. BLS: Twenty-Three States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in March
  47. Goldman on Inflation: Pass-Through Disinflation: Not Over Yet
  48. CoreLogic (formerly DataQuick data): SoCal sales up 5.0% Year-over-year
  49. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates Slide Sideways Again
  50. LA area Port Traffic Increased Sharply in March following resolution of Labor Issues
  51. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth slowed in March"
  52. Sunday Night Futures
  53. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  54. Schedule for Week of April 19, 2015
  55. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 46 states in February
  56. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in March
  57. Goldman Sachs: "An Update on Student Loans: A Bigger Headwind but Still Not a Deal Breaker"
  58. Lawler: Texas Employment Declines (Housing Impact)
  59. Preliminary April Consumer Sentiment increases to 95.9
  60. BLS: CPI increased 0.2% in March, Core CPI increased 0.2%
  61. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March
  62. NMHC: Apartment Market Conditions Tighter in April Survey
  63. Comments on March Housing Starts
  64. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey increased to 7.5 in April
  65. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 294,000
  66. Housing Starts at 926 thousand Annual Rate in March
  67. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  68. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded mostly at Modest to Moderate pace
  69. Sacramento Housing in March: Total Sales up 11% Year-over-year
  70. NAHB: Builder Confidence increased to 56 in April
  71. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.6% in March
  72. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  73. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March
  74. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March; Look for a Big Jump
  75. CoreLogic: "Foreclosure inventory declined by 27.3 percent" Year-over-year
  76. EIA Projects "U.S. energy imports and exports come into balance, First time since the 1950s"
  77. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index decreased in March
  78. Retail Sales increased 0.9% in March
  79. Tuesday: Retail Sales, PPI, Small Business Index
  80. Lehner: "Economic Drags and the Outlook"
  81. Q1 Report on Commercial Real Estate
  82. Update on Year 4: It Never Rains in California
  83. Sunday Night Futures
  84. An update on oil prices
  85. Schedule for Week of April 12, 2015
  86. LA Times: Office Vacancy Rate Declines
  87. Lawler: Very Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March, "sizable monthly gain"
  88. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 4.3% year-over-year in February
  89. BofA: "Farewell winter blues"
  90. Hotels near Record Occupancy Pace
  91. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates decrease to 3.66% in Latest Weekly Survey
  92. Lawler: Good Start to Spring home-selling Season
  93. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 281,000, 4-Week Average Lowest Since 2000
  94. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  95. Goldman: "The Effect of Slowing Energy Sector Activity on Non-Energy Payrolls"
  96. FOMC Minutes: Different Views on Timing
  97. Las Vegas Real Estate in March: Sales Increased 8.5% YoY
  98. MBA: Purchase Mortgage Applications Increased, Highest level since July 2013
  99. Phoenix Real Estate in March: Sales Up 17.5%, Inventory DOWN 12% Year-over-year
  100. Q1 Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2015
  101. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Negative in Q4 2014
  102. BLS: Jobs Openings at 5.1 million in February, Up 23% Year-over-year
  103. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.6% Year-over-year in February
  104. Tuesday: Job Openings
  105. Update: U.S. Heavy Truck Sales
  106. Zillow: February Case-Shiller House Price Index year-over-year change expected to be about the same as in January
  107. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreased to 56.5% in March
  108. Black Knight February Mortgage Monitor: Foreclosure Rate still "175 percent above pre-crisis norms"
  109. Monday: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
  110. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  111. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Year-over-year
  112. Schedule for Week of April 5, 2015
  113. Update: Private Job Creation during Presidential Terms
  114. Reis: Mall Vacancy Rate declined in Q1
  115. Employment Report Comments and Graphs
  116. March Employment Report: 126,000 Jobs, 5.5% Unemployment Rate
  117. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  118. Preview for March Employment Report
  119. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate decreased in Q1 to 4.1%
  120. Trade Deficit decreased in February to $35.4 Billion
  121. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 268,000
  122. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
  123. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales increase to 17.05 million annual rate in March
  124. Construction Spending decreased 0.1% in February
  125. ISM Manufacturing index declined to 51.5 in March
  126. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declined in Q1 to 16.6%
  127. ADP: Private Employment increased 189,000 in March
  128. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase, Purchase Applications Up 8% YoY

March 2015

  1. Wednesday: Auto Sales, ADP Employment, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending and more
  2. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in February, Lowest since September 2008
  3. Restaurant Performance Index shows Expansion in February
  4. A Comment on House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in January
  5. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.5% year-over-year in January
  6. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI
  7. Demographics and GDP: 2% is the new 4%
  8. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 3.1% in February, up 12% year-over-year
  9. Personal Income increased 0.4% in February, Spending increased 0.1%
  10. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg
  11. Lawler: Possible Upside Surprise for Pending Home Sales Index
  12. Merrill and Nomura Forecasts for March Employment Report
  13. Schedule for Week of March 29, 2015
  14. Unofficial Problem Bank list decline to 349 Institutions in March, Q1 2015 Transition Matrix
  15. Hotels: On Pace for Best Year on Record
  16. Yellen: Normalizing Monetary Policy: Prospects and Perspectives
  17. BLS: Twenty-Six States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in February
  18. Final March Consumer Sentiment at 93.0
  19. Q4 GDP unrevised at 2.2% Annual Rate
  20. Friday: Yellen, GDP, Consumer Sentiment
  21. Mortgage News Daily: Mortgage Rates increased Today
  22. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates decrease to 3.69% in Latest Weekly Survey
  23. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity Declined in March
  24. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 282,000
  25. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Kansas City Mfg Survey
  26. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Best March since 2005
  27. New Home Prices: More homes priced in the $200K to $300K range
  28. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in February
  29. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  30. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 4.9% year-over-year in January, Rolling 12 Months at All Time High
  31. ATA Trucking Index declined in February
  32. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in February
  33. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in February
  34. Comments on New Home Sales
  35. New Home Sales at 539,000 Annual Rate in February
  36. BLS: CPI increased 0.2% in February, Core CPI increased 0.2%
  37. Tuesday: New Home Sales, CPI, Richmond Fed Mfg
  38. Lawler: Net Home Orders for Three Large Builders in Latest Quarter
  39. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 46 states in January
  40. A Few Comments on February Existing Home Sales
  41. Existing Home Sales in February: 4.88 million SAAR, Inventory down slightly Year-over-year
  42. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth slightly below average in February"
  43. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Declined in February, Lowest since August 2007
  44. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  45. Fed: Q4 Household Debt Service Ratio near Record Low
  46. Schedule for Week of March 22, 2015
  47. Goldman: "The Path to Exit"
  48. 30 Year Mortgage Rates decline to March Lows
  49. Zillow: Negative Equity Rate unchanged in Q4 2014
  50. Campbell Survey: "Strong spring home buying season"
  51. DataQuick: California Bay Area February Home Sales Decline
  52. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates decrease to 3.78% in Latest Weekly Survey
  53. Lawler on Lennar: Orders Up Despite Weather; Margins Down a Bit on Diminished Pricing Power; and Confusion on Houston
  54. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in February
  55. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey declines to 5.0 in March
  56. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 291,000
  57. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  58. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
  59. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  60. FOMC Statement: No "Patient", "Growth has moderated"
  61. LA area Port Traffic Declined Sharply in February due to Labor Issues
  62. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increases slightly in February
  63. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  64. Wednesday: Fed Day!
  65. DataQuick: Southern California February Home Sales down 3% Year-over-year
  66. Comments on February Housing Starts
  67. BLS: Twenty-four States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in January
  68. CoreLogic: "1.2 Million US Borrowers Regained Equity in 2014, 5.4 Million Properties Remain in Negative Equity"
  69. Housing Starts decreased sharply to 897 thousand Annual Rate in February
  70. Sacramento Housing in February: Total Sales up 12% Year-over-year
  71. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  72. WTI Crude Oil Falls Close to $43 per Barrel
  73. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased to 53 in March
  74. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.1% in February
  75. Monday: Industrial Production, Empire State Mfg, Homebuilder Confidence
  76. FOMC Preview: Remove "Patient"
  77. Schedule for Week of March 15, 2015
  78. Year 4: It Never Rains in California
  79. Energy expenditures as a percentage of consumer spending
  80. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in January
  81. Preliminary March Consumer Sentiment decreases to 91.2
  82. Friday: PPI, Consumer Sentiment
  83. Hotels: Solid Start for 2015
  84. Fed's Q4 Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth at Record High
  85. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 289,000
  86. Retail Sales decreased 0.6% in February
  87. Thursday: Retail Sales, Flow of Funds, Unemployment Claims
  88. Fed Fails Deutsche Bank and Santander Capital Plans, BofA required to Submit New Plan by Q3
  89. Quarterly Services Survey suggests upward revision to Q4 GDP to 2.5%
  90. Real Estate Data Resource for Local Area Sales and Inventory
  91. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  92. Wednesday: Q4 Quarterly Services Report, Banks Comprehensive Capital Analysis
  93. Phoenix Real Estate in February: Sales Up 9%, Inventory DOWN 8% Year-over-year
  94. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 4.3% year-over-year in January
  95. Las Vegas Real Estate in February: Sales Decline 2.6%, Non-contingent Inventory up 16% YoY
  96. BLS: Jobs Openings at 5.0 million in January, Up 28% Year-over-year
  97. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Increased slightly in February
  98. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Survey
  99. Why the Prime Labor Force Participation Rate has Declined
  100. CBO Projection: Budget Deficit to be lower than previous forecast
  101. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Foreclosure Starts increase in January
  102. Sunday Night Futures
  103. Update: Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  104. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  105. Schedule for Week of March 8, 2015
  106. Duy: "Patient" is History
  107. Update: Best Private Sector Job Creation "Ever"?
  108. Trade Deficit decreased in January to $41.8 Billion
  109. Employment Report Comments and Graphs
  110. February Employment Report: 295,000 Jobs, 5.5% Unemployment Rate
  111. Friday: Jobs, Trade Deficit
  112. Hints of real Wage Increases
  113. Goldman February Payrolls Preview
  114. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 320,000
  115. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Stress Test Results
  116. Preview for February Employment Report
  117. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded "across most regions", Oil "declined"
  118. Yellen in June 2009: Sluggish Recovery, Low inflation for "few years"
  119. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 56.9% in February
  120. ADP: Private Employment increased 212,000 in February
  121. MBA: Mortgage Applications Little Changed in Latest Weekly Survey
  122. Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM non-Manufacturing, Beige Book
  123. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 16.2 million annual rate in February
  124. The Long and Short Views
  125. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.7% Year-over-year in January
  126. Tuesday: February Auto Sales
  127. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in January, Lowest since September 2008
  128. Zillow: January Case-Shiller House Price Index year-over-year change expected to be about the same as in December
  129. Construction Spending decreased 1.1% in January
  130. ISM Manufacturing index declined to 52.9 in February
  131. Personal Income increased 0.3% in January, Spending decreased 0.2%
  132. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
  133. Restaurant Performance Index shows solid Expansion in January

February 2015

  1. Schedule for Week of March 1, 2015
  2. February 2015: Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 357 Institutions
  3. Bank Failure #4 in 2015: Doral Bank, San Juan, Puerto Rico
  4. Lawler on Pending Home Sales: NAR “Fixes’ Bad Data for West Region
  5. Fed's Fischer: "Conducting Monetary Policy with a Large Balance Sheet"
  6. Catching Up: Final February Consumer Sentiment at 95.4, Chicago PMI declines Sharply
  7. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index increased 1.7% in January, up 8.4% year-over-year
  8. Q4 GDP Revised Down to 2.2% Annual Rate
  9. Friday: GDP, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment, Pending Home Sales
  10. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined slightly in January
  11. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: Best February since 2002
  12. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in January
  13. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing Activity Expanded "Slightly" in February, Weaker Energy Sector
  14. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 313,000
  15. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
  16. MBA: Mortgage Delinquency and Foreclosure Rates Decrease in Q4, Lowest since 2007
  17. Comments on New Home Sales
  18. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Declined in January
  19. New Home Sales at 481,000 Annual Rate in January, Highest January since 2008
  20. MBA: Purchase Mortgage Applications Increase, Refinance Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  21. Wednesday: New Home Sales, Yellen
  22. Lawler on Toll Brothers and Other Builders: Maybe Points to Strong New Home Sales in January
  23. FDIC: Fewer Problem banks, Residential REO Declines in Q4
  24. A Comment on House Prices: Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in December
  25. Yellen: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  26. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.6% year-over-year in December
  27. Tuesday: Yellen Testimony, Case-Shiller House Prices
  28. A Few Comments on January Existing Home Sales
  29. Black Knight: House Price Index down slightly in December, Up 4.5% year-over-year
  30. Existing Home Sales in January: 4.82 million SAAR, Inventory down slightly Year-over-year
  31. Chicago Fed: "Index shows economic growth picked up slightly in January"
  32. Monday: Existing Home Sales
  33. Long Beach Port Traffic Declined Sharply in January
  34. Schedule for Week of February 22, 2015
  35. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 378 Institutions
  36. West Coast Port Deal Reached
  37. A Comment on Greece
  38. Lawler: Homebuilder Summary Table
  39. Greece: Tentative Deal, 4 Month Extension, Possible 2 PM ET Press Conference
  40. Lawler: Regional Home Price Declines Used to be Quite Common; Just Not All at the Same Time
  41. Fannie and Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q4, Down 25% Year-over-year
  42. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in January
  43. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January
  44. Quarterly Housing Starts by Intent
  45. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey declines to 5.2 in February
  46. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 283,000
  47. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg Survey
  48. Phoenix Real Estate in January: Sales Unchanged, Inventory DOWN 5% Year-over-year
  49. Sacramento Housing in December: Total Sales down 5% Year-over-year
  50. FOMC Minutes: "Many participants ... inclined toward keeping the federal funds rate at its effective lower bound for a longer time"
  51. AIA: Architecture Billings Index "softens" in January
  52. Fed: Industrial Production increased 0.2% in January
  53. Housing Starts decreased to 1.065 Million Annual Rate in January
  54. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  55. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, PPI, FOMC Minutes
  56. DataQuick: Southern California January Home Sales down 6% Year-over-year
  57. NY Fed: Household Debt increased in Q4 2014
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased to 55 in February
  59. NY Fed: Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates "business activity continued to expand at a modest pace" in February
  60. Tuesday: Empire State Mfg, Homebuilder Confidence
  61. Ships, Ships, Everywhere Ships
  62. Report: "Eurozone's Greek talks collapse early"
  63. Year 4: It Never Rains in California
  64. March 1st Deadline for Greece Deal
  65. Update: The Inland Empire Bust and Recovery
  66. Schedule for Week of February 15, 2015
  67. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 386 Institutions
  68. Bank Failure #3 in 2015: Capitol City Bank & Trust Company, Atlanta, Georgia
  69. By Request: Repeat U.S. Population by Age and Distribution, 1900 through 2060
  70. Energy expenditures as a percentage of consumer spending
  71. Preliminary February Consumer Sentiment decreases to 93.6
  72. Report: Foreclosures Increase in January, "Clearing the deck"
  73. Freddie Mac: 30 Year Mortgage Rates increase to 3.69% in Latest Weekly Survey
  74. Hotels: Solid Start to 2015
  75. Retail Sales decreased 0.8% in January
  76. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 304,000
  77. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  78. CNBC: EU and Greece Reach "Agreement in Principle"
  79. EIA: Record Oil Inventories, Gasoline Prices expected to average $2.33/gal in 2015
  80. Opinion: Did Germany Fulfill their Promises? Did Austerity in Greece Deliver?
  81. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  82. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.0% year-over-year in December
  83. Las Vegas Real Estate in January: Sales Decline, Non-contingent Inventory up 13% YoY
  84. Trulia: Asking House Prices up 7.5% year-over-year in January
  85. BLS: Jobs Openings at 5.0 million in December, Up 28% Year-over-year
  86. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Decreased in January
  87. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Optimism
  88. West Coast Port Slowdown Ongoing
  89. Prime Working-Age Population Growing Again
  90. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Construction Employment and Diffusion Indexes
  91. Sunday Night Futures
  92. Best Private Sector Job Creation "Ever"?
  93. Schedule for Week of February 8, 2015
  94. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 387 Institutions
  95. Duy on the Fed and Jobs Report
  96. Lawler: Updated Estimates on the Size of the SF Rental Market
  97. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  98. Employment Report Comments and Graphs
  99. January Employment Report: 257,000 Jobs, 5.7% Unemployment Rate
  100. Friday: Jobs, Jobs, Jobs
  101. Duy: Fed Updates
  102. NAHB: Builder Confidence improves Year-over-year for the 55+ Housing Market in Q4
  103. Goldman Sachs Employment Forecast: 210,000 jobs added, Unemployment Rate decline to 5.5%
  104. Trade Deficit increases in December to $46.6 Billion
  105. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 278,000
  106. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
  107. Greece and the ECB
  108. Preview for January Employment Report: Taking the Under
  109. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index increased to 56.7% in January
  110. ADP: Private Employment increased 213,000 in January
  111. MBA: Mortgage Applications increase, FHA Refinance Applications up 76%
  112. Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM non-Manufacturing
  113. Lawler: Historical New Housing Put in Place (Completions/Placements)
  114. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 16.6 million annual rate in January
  115. A few comments on Inflation, the Unemployment Rate and Demographics
  116. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.0% Year-over-year in December
  117. Tuesday: Vehicle Sales
  118. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined slightly in December, Lowest since October 2008
  119. Q4 2014 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  120. Construction Spending increased 0.4% in December
  121. ISM Manufacturing index declined to 53.5 in January
  122. BEA: Personal Income increased 0.3% in December, Core PCE prices up 1.3% year-over-year
  123. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor
  124. Monday: Personal Income and Outlays, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
  125. Demographics and GDP: 2% is the new 4%

January 2015

  1. Schedule for Week of February 1, 2015
  2. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 388 Institutions
  3. Restaurant Performance Index shows Expansion in December
  4. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency rate declined in December
  5. Comment on Q4 GDP and Investment: R-E-L-A-X
  6. Final January Consumer Sentiment at 98.1
  7. BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.6% Annualized Rate in Q4
  8. Friday: GDP, Chicago PMI, Consumer Sentiment
  9. Zillow: Case-Shiller House Price Index year-over-year change expected to slow further in December
  10. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 46 states in December
  11. HVS: Q4 2014 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  12. NAR: Pending Home Sales Index decreased 3.7% in December, up 6.1% year-over-year
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 265,000
  14. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  15. EIA: Record Oil Inventories, Imports at 7.4 million barrels per day
  16. FOMC Statement: "Economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace", "Patient" on Policy
  17. Duy: "While We Wait For Yet Another FOMC Statement..."
  18. MBA: "Mortgage Applications decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey"
  19. Wednesday: FOMC Statement
  20. BLS: Forty-two States had Unemployment Rate Decreases in December
  21. House Prices: Better Seasonal Adjustment; Real Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in November
  22. Comments on New Home Sales
  23. New Home Sales at 481,000 Annual Rate in December, Highest December since 2007
  24. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 4.7% year-over-year in November
  25. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods and More
  26. Lawler: Updated Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in December
  27. Lawler: D.R. Horton reports Home Sales Soared Last Quarter
  28. Vehicle Sales Forecasts: "Best January in 8 Years"
  29. Dallas Fed: Texas Manufacturing Activity Stalls and Outlook Worsens
  30. Black Knight: House Price Index up slightly in November, Up 4.5% year-over-year
  31. Sunday Night Futures: All Greek to me!
  32. GDP: Annual and Q4-over-Q4
  33. Schedule for Week of January 25, 2015
  34. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 390 Institutions
  35. Bank Failure #2 in 2015: Highland Community Bank, Chicago, Illinois
  36. Q4 GDP Forecasts: 3%+
  37. A Few Comments on December Existing Home Sales
  38. Existing Home Sales in December: 5.04 million SAAR, Inventory down slightly Year-over-year
  39. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Declined in December
  40. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  41. Draghi: "There must be a statute of limitations for those who say there will be inflation"
  42. Kansas City Fed: Regional Manufacturing "Activity Expanded at a Slower Pace" in January, Weaker Energy Sector
  43. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 307,000
  44. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  45. LA area Port Traffic in December
  46. Comments on December Housing Starts
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in December
  48. Housing Starts increased to 1.089 Million Annual Rate in December
  49. MBA: "Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest MBA Weekly Survey"
  50. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  51. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven increased 1.1% year-over-year in November, Nearing All Time High
  52. ATA Trucking Index unchanged in December, Up Solidly Year-over-year
  53. NAHB: Builder Confidence decreased to 57 in January
  54. Tuesday: Homebuilder Confidence
  55. Las Vegas: On Pace for Record Visitor Traffic in 2014, Convention Attendance Slowly Returning
  56. Year 4: It Never Rains in California
  57. Duy: "Will The Fed Take a Dovish Turn Next Week?"
  58. Update: Predicting the Next Recession
  59. Lawler on Builder Pricing and Incentives
  60. Schedule for Week of January 18, 2015
  61. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 392 Institutions
  62. 1st Bank Failure of 2015: First National Bank of Crestview, Crestview, Florida
  63. Lawler: “Surprise” Warnings on Margins/Effective Prices Whacks Home Builder Stocks
  64. Key Measures Show Low Inflation in December
  65. Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in December
  66. Preliminary January Consumer Sentiment increases to 98.2
  67. Fed: Industrial Production decreased 0.1% in December
  68. BLS: CPI decreased 0.4% in December, Core CPI Unchanged
  69. Friday: CPI, Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment
  70. NMHC: Apartment Market Conditions Slightly Tighter in January Survey
  71. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
  72. DataQuick: California Bay Area "Home buying picked up steam" in December
  73. CoStar: Commercial Real Estate prices increased in November
  74. Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey declines to 6.3 in January
  75. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 316,000
  76. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI, NY and Philly Fed Mfg Surveys
  77. DataQuick: Southern California December Home Sales up 4% Year-over-year
  78. Fed's Beige Book: Economic Activity Expanded at "modest" or "moderate" Pace
  79. Sacramento Housing in December: Total Sales up 1.5% Year-over-year, First YoY increase since Oct 2012
  80. CoreLogic: "Foreclosure inventory down 35.5 percent nationally from a year ago"
  81. Retail Sales decreased 0.9% in December
  82. MBA: "Mortgage Applications Increase by 49 Percent"
  83. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Beige Book
  84. Fed: Q3 Household Debt Service Ratio near Record Low
  85. Is Oil "Cheap"?
  86. BLS: Jobs Openings at 5.0 million in November, Up 21% Year-over-year
  87. NFIB: Small Business Optimism Index Increased in December, Highest since 2006
  88. Tuesday: Job Openings, Small Business Index
  89. Phoenix Real Estate in December: Sales UP 9%, Inventory DOWN 2% Year-over-year
  90. Update: The recovery in U.S. Heavy Truck Sales
  91. FNC: Residential Property Values increased 5.2% year-over-year in November
  92. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Delinquencies "Spike" in November
  93. Sunday Night Futures
  94. WSJ: Banks Stress Test for Grexit
  95. Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs: Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, Obama
  96. Schedule for Week of January 11, 2015
  97. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 399 Institutions
  98. Demographics, Unemployment Rate and Inflation
  99. Update on FHA Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP) Reduction
  100. Employment Report Comments: First come the jobs, then comes the real wage growth
  101. December Employment Report: 252,000 Jobs, 5.6% Unemployment Rate
  102. Friday: Jobs
  103. Clarification: Current FHA-insured borrowers WILL need to Refinance to obtain lower MIP
  104. FHA Insured Loans: HUD Corrects wording on lower Mortgage Insurance Premium (MIP)
  105. Trulia: "What Falling Oil Prices Mean for Home Prices"
  106. Las Vegas Real Estate in December: Lowest Sales in Years, Non-contingent Inventory up 18% YoY
  107. CoreLogic: "273,000 Residential Properties Regained Equity in Q3 2014"
  108. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decreased to 294,000
  109. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  110. Preview: Employment Report for December
  111. FOMC Minutes: "Participants would want to be reasonably confident that inflation will move back toward 2 percent over time"
  112. Reis: Strip Mall Vacancy Rate declined in Q4, Regional Mall Vacancy Rate Increased
  113. Trade Deficit declines in November to $39.0 Billion
  114. ADP: Private Employment increased 241,000 in December
  115. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over Two Week Period in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
  116. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, FOMC Minutes
  117. 30 Year Mortgage Rates fall to 3.68%, Down almost 100bps year-over-year
  118. Office Vacancy Rate and Office Investment
  119. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index decreased to 56.2% in December
  120. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.5% Year-over-year in November
  121. Reis: Apartment Vacancy Rate unchanged in Q4 at 4.2%
  122. Tuesday: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
  123. U.S. Light Vehicle Sales decrease to 16.8 million annual rate in December
  124. WTI Crude Oil Falls Close to $50 per Barrel
  125. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate declined in Q4 to 16.7%
  126. Monday: Vehicle Sales
  127. Update: Framing Lumber Prices down Year-over-year
  128. Schedule for Week of January 4, 2015
  129. Unofficial Problem Bank list declines to 400 Institutions
  130. Rosenberg and the "Lunatic Fringe"
  131. Hotels: Strong Finish to 2014, Best Year since 2000
  132. Construction Spending decreased 0.3% in November
  133. ISM Manufacturing index declined to 55.5 in December
  134. Friday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending
  135. Restaurant Performance Index shows Expansion in November
  136. Question #1 for 2015: How much will the economy grow in 2015?

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