The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2022

1,591 posts

← 2021 2023 →

2022 1,591

December 2022

  1. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Houses are the least “affordable” since 1982
  2. Schedule for Week of January 1, 2023
  3. COVID Dec 30, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  4. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 63% YoY; New Listings Down 6% YoY
  5. Question #10 for 2023: Will inventory increase further in 2023?
  6. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  7. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  8. Las Vegas November 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 7.0% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 3.4%
  9. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 30 States in November
  10. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak
  11. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 225,000
  12. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in November
  13. Ten Economic Questions for 2023
  14. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 4.0% in November, Year-over-year Down 37.8%
  15. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in November
  16. Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
  17. SF Fed: Recession Prediction on the Clock
  18. Comments on October Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  19. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline" to 9.2% year-over-year increase in October
  20. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  21. Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2022
  22. Housing December 26th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.7% Week-over-week
  23. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  24. A Very Nerdy Christmas
  25. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.09 million SAAR in November
  26. Schedule for Week of December 25, 2022
  27. COVID Dec 23, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  28. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 9.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  29. Q4 GDP Tracking
  30. New Home Sales Increased in November; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply
  31. New Home Sales Increase to 640,000 Annual Rate in November
  32. Personal Income increased 0.4% in November; Spending increased 0.1%
  33. Friday: Durable Goods, Personal Income & Outlays, New Home Sales
  34. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate unchanged in November
  35. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 58% YoY; New Listings Down 17% YoY
  36. Vehicle Sales Forecast: "Sales to Weaken Again in December"
  37. Lawler: Update on Rent Trends
  38. Q3 GDP Growth Revised Up to 3.2% Annual Rate
  39. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 216,000
  40. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in November; Prepayments at Record Low
  41. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 GDP (Third Estimate)
  42. The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
  43. Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.09 million SAAR in November; Median Prices Down 10.4% from Peak in June 2022
  44. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.09 million SAAR in November
  45. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  46. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
  47. CoreLogic: "Annual Single-Family Rent Price Growth Falls to Single Digits in October"
  48. November Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  49. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.427 million Annual Rate in November
  50. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  51. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Remains Flat at 0.70% in November"
  52. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in November; California Sales off 48% YoY
  53. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Further in December
  54. Housing December 19th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.5% Week-over-week
  55. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  56. Sunday Night Futures
  57. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  58. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Another Step Down for Sales in November
  59. Schedule for Week of December 18, 2022
  60. COVID Dec 16, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  61. California November Existing Home Sales Down Almost 50% YoY, Prices Down YoY
  62. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply in November
  63. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November
  64. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  65. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 55% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 16%
  66. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in November, Another significant step down in sales!
  67. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in November
  68. Retail Sales Decreased 0.6% in November
  69. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 211,000
  70. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production
  71. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  72. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 50 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
  73. Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December
  74. AIA: Architecture Billings Index Declines Further in November
  75. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  76. Wednesday: FOMC Statement and Press Conference
  77. CoreLogic: 1.1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q3 2022
  78. Housing, Inflation and Why the Fed Should Consider a Pause
  79. BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in November; Core CPI increased 0.2%
  80. Tuesday: CPI
  81. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in November
  82. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in November; Another step down in sales in November
  83. Housing December 12th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.5% Week-over-week
  84. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  85. Sunday Night Futures
  86. FOMC Preview: 50bp Hike, Increase "Terminal Rate"
  87. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Solid in Q3
  88. Schedule for Week of December 11, 2022
  89. COVID Dec 9, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  90. Q4 GDP Tracking
  91. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Solid in Q3; Homeowners now relying on Home Equity lines to extract equity
  92. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $0.4 Trillion in Q3
  93. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in November
  94. Friday: PPI, Flow of Funds
  95. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 53% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 8%
  96. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  97. 2023 Housing Forecasts
  98. AAR: November Rail Carloads Down Slightly Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
  99. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 230,000
  100. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  101. Recession Watch
  102. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in November
  103. Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined Slightly in November; Prices Down 14.2% Year-over-year
  104. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  105. FDIC: Problem Banks Increased to 42 in Q3 2022
  106. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Close to Pre-Pandemic Levels
  107. Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  108. Trade Deficit increased to $78.2 Billion in October
  109. CoreLogic: House Prices up 10.1% YoY in October; Declined 0.1% MoM in October NSA
  110. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  111. Q4 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
  112. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in October; Down 3.2% since June
  113. ISM® Services Index Increased to 56.5% in November
  114. Housing December 5th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.6% Week-over-week
  115. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  116. Sunday Night Futures
  117. Heavy Truck Sales Up 11% Year-over-year
  118. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.3% Below Peak
  119. Schedule for Week of December 4, 2022
  120. COVID Dec 2, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  121. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 0.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  122. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 53% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 17%
  123. Comments on November Employment Report
  124. November Employment Report: 263 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
  125. Friday: Employment Report
  126. Vehicles Sales Declined to 14.14 million SAAR in November
  127. November Employment Preview
  128. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in October
  129. Rents Falling Faster than "Seasonality Alone"
  130. Construction Spending Decreased 0.3% in October
  131. ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 49.0% in November
  132. Personal Income increased 0.7% in October; Spending increased 0.8%
  133. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 225,000
  134. Thursday: Personal Income & Outlays, Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

November 2022

  1. Fed's Beige Book: "Apartment leasing started to slow"
  2. Fed Chair Powell: "The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting"
  3. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.3% Below Peak
  4. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 4.6% in October, Year-over-year Down 37%
  5. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.3 million in October
  6. Q3 GDP Growth Revised Up to 2.9% Annual Rate
  7. ADP: Private Employment Increased 127,000 in November
  8. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  9. Wednesday: GDP, ADP Employment, Job Openings, Pending Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell and More
  10. Las Vegas October 2022: Visitor Traffic Down Just 0.8% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic UP
  11. FHFA Announces Baseline Conforming Loan Limit Will Increase to $726,200
  12. Comments on September Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  13. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline" to 10.6% year-over-year increase in September
  14. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  15. Join the CalculatedRisk Newsletter subscriber chat
  16. Housing November 28th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
  17. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  18. Sunday Night Futures
  19. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 49% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 17%
  20. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "With rising cancellations, the Census Bureau overestimates New Home sales"
  21. Schedule for Week of November 27, 2022
  22. COVID Nov 25, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  23. Case-Shiller, FHFA House Prices Indexes and Conforming Loan Limits will be released on Tuesday
  24. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 20 States in October
  25. Five Economic Reasons to be Thankful
  26. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in October
  27. Q4 GDP Tracking: Moving on up
  28. New Home Sales Increased in October; Completed Inventory Increased
  29. New Home Sales Increase to 632,000 Annual Rate in October
  30. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 240,000
  31. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  32. Wednesday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, New Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  33. November Vehicle Sales Forecast: Down slightly from October; Up 11% Year-over-year
  34. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in October, Impacted by Hurricane
  35. Lawler: Likely "Dramatic shift" in Household Formation has "Major implications" for 2023
  36. Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
  37. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases Slightly to 0.70% in October"
  38. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  39. Housing November 21st Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
  40. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  41. Sunday Night Futures
  42. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.9% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  43. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  44. Schedule for Week of November 20, 2022
  45. COVID Nov 18, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  46. Early Q4 GDP Tracking
  47. More Analysis on October Existing Home Sales
  48. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.43 million SAAR in October
  49. LA Port Traffic Down Sharply in October
  50. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  51. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 45% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 18%
  52. October Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  53. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.425 million Annual Rate in October
  54. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 222,000
  55. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  56. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in October; California Sales off 37% YoY, Prices Fall; Early Read on October Sales
  57. AIA: Architecture Billings Index "decreases considerably" in October
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Further in November
  59. Industrial Production Decreased 0.1 Percent in October
  60. Retail Sales Increased 1.3% in October
  61. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  62. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
  63. Inflation: Comparing to 1980, and Core CPI ex-Shelter
  64. NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increases, Delinquencies "very low"
  65. Lawler: Are US Rents Falling?
  66. CoreLogic: Annual Single-Family Rent Growth Decelerates
  67. Tuesday: PPI, NY Fed Mfg, Q3 Household Debt and Credit
  68. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  69. Housing November 14th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
  70. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  71. Sunday Night Futures
  72. Heavy Truck Sales Up 13% Year-over-year
  73. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
  74. Schedule for Week of November 13, 2022
  75. COVID Nov 11, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  76. Early Q4 GDP Tracking
  77. Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
  78. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  79. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 42% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 20%
  80. Housing and Inflation
  81. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease to New Survey Low in the Third Quarter of 2022"
  82. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in October
  83. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 225,000
  84. BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in October; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  85. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
  86. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in October
  87. New Home Cancellations increased Sharply in Q3
  88. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  89. CPI Preview and Owners' equivalent rent
  90. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in October
  91. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Close to Pre-Pandemic Levels
  92. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  93. Tuesday: Small Business Survey
  94. Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for Most Loan Types; Stronger Demand for HELOCs
  95. Housing November 7th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
  96. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in September; Down 2.6% since June
  97. Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in October; Prices Down 10.6% Year-over-year
  98. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  99. Sunday Night Futures
  100. Solid Holiday Retail Sales Forecasts
  101. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: “Interest rates have put the brakes on the market.”
  102. Schedule for Week of November 6, 2022
  103. COVID Nov 4, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  104. AAR: October Rail Carloads Up Slightly Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
  105. Realtor.com Weekly Inventory Up 40% Year-over-year; Now Above Same Week in 2020
  106. Early Q4 GDP Tracking and Upward Revisions to Q3 GDP
  107. Comments on October Employment Report
  108. October Employment Report: 261 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
  109. Friday: Employment Report
  110. Goldman October Payrolls Preview
  111. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 40% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 13%
  112. October Employment Preview
  113. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 54.4% in October
  114. “Interest rates have put the brakes on the market.”
  115. Trade Deficit increased to $73.3 Billion in September
  116. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 217,000
  117. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
  118. Fed's Powell: "Ultimate level of interest rates will be higher than previously expected"
  119. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
  120. First Look at 2023 Housing Forecasts
  121. HVS: Q3 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  122. ADP: Private Employment Increased 239,000 in October
  123. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  124. Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, ADP Employment
  125. Vehicles Sales "Surge" to 14.90 million SAAR in October
  126. How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Increase for 2023?
  127. BLS: Job Openings Increased to 10.7 million in September
  128. Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in September
  129. ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 50.2% in October
  130. CoreLogic: House Prices up 11.4% YoY in September; Declined 0.5% MoM in September NSA
  131. Tuesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

October 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in September
  2. Q3 2022 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  3. Year-over-year Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow
  4. Housing October 31st Weekly Update: Inventory Increased, New High for 2022
  5. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  6. Sunday Night Futures
  7. FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike
  8. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index "Continued to Decelerate"
  9. Schedule for Week of October 30, 2022
  10. COVID Oct 28, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  11. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 0.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  12. Lawler: Selected Operating Results, Large Home Builders; Cancellation Rates Increasing Sharply
  13. NMHC: Survey shows "Apartment Market Softens" in October
  14. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 10.2% in September, Year-over-year Down 31%
  15. Personal Income increased 0.4% in September; Spending increased 0.6%
  16. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
  17. Las Vegas September 2022: Visitor Traffic Down Just 3.5% Compared to 2019
  18. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 36% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 13%
  19. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.3% Below Peak
  20. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 217,000
  21. BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.6% Annualized Rate in Q3
  22. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
  23. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 38 States in September
  24. New Home Sales Decreased in September; Completed Inventory Increased
  25. New Home Sales Decrease to 603,000 Annual Rate in September
  26. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Lowest Level Since 1997
  27. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  28. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in September
  29. Lawler: Update on the Household “Conundrum”
  30. Comments on August Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  31. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decelerate" to 13.0% year-over-year increase in August
  32. Tuesday: Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
  33. October Vehicle Sales Forecast: "Signs of Life"
  34. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in September
  35. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  36. Housing October 24th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased, New High for 2022
  37. Sunday Night Futures
  38. Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
  39. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  40. Schedule for Week of October 23, 2022
  41. COVID Oct 21, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  42. Total Housing Completions Will Increase About 6% in 2022
  43. Q3 GDP Tracking: In 2% Range
  44. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate decreased in September
  45. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  46. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 34% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%
  47. More Analysis on September Existing Home Sales
  48. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.71 million SAAR in September
  49. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 214,000
  50. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  51. LA Port Traffic Declined in September
  52. Fed's Beige Book: "Rising mortgage rates and elevated house prices further weakened single-family starts and sales"
  53. AIA: Architecture Billings Index "Moderates but remains healthy" in September
  54. September Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  55. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.439 million Annual Rate in September
  56. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Lowest Level Since 1997
  57. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Beige Book
  58. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in September, California Sales off 30% YoY
  59. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Sharply in October
  60. Industrial Production Increased 0.4 Percent in September
  61. Tuesday: Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence
  62. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.69% in September"
  63. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September; CAR Predicts Home Prices to Decline 8.8% in 2023!
  64. Some "Good News" for Homebuilders
  65. Housing October 17th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased, New High for 2022
  66. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  67. Sunday Night Futures
  68. Monthly Mortgage Payments Up Record Year-over-year
  69. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
  70. Schedule for Week of October 16, 2022
  71. COVID Oct 14, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  72. Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving on Up
  73. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  74. Retail Sales Unchanged in September
  75. Friday: Retail Sales
  76. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 31% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%
  77. House Prices to National Average Wage Index
  78. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in September
  79. Cost of Living Adjustment increases 8.7% in 2023, Contribution Base increased to $160,200
  80. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 228,000
  81. BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in September; Core CPI increased 0.6%
  82. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
  83. FOMC Minutes "Purposefully moving to a restrictive policy stance in the near term"
  84. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
  85. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Purchase Activity 7% Below Pandemic Low
  86. Wednesday: PPI, FOMC Minutes
  87. MBA: Mortgage Credit Availability was Never Excessive During the Recent Housing Boom
  88. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in September
  89. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Rises" in September
  90. Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October
  91. Housing October 10th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased Slightly; Now Above Same Week in 2020
  92. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  93. Sunday Night Futures
  94. Housing Discussion with Fortune's Lance Lambert
  95. Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in September; Prices Down Slightly Year-over-year
  96. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: 7 Years in Purgatory
  97. Schedule for Week of October 9, 2022
  98. COVID Oct 7 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  99. AAR: September Rail Carloads Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
  100. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 30% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 17%
  101. Q3 GDP Tracking Close to 2%
  102. Comments on September Employment Report
  103. September Employment Report: 263 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
  104. Friday: Employment Report
  105. Goldman September Payrolls Preview
  106. September Employment Preview
  107. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  108. "For many [home] sellers, it likely feels like the rug has been pulled out from underneath them"
  109. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 219,000
  110. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  111. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q3, Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
  112. Apartments: Net Absorption Very Low in Q3, New Construction Deliveries Even Lower
  113. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 56.7% in September
  114. Trade Deficit decreased to $67.4 Billion in August
  115. ADP: Private Employment Increased 208,000 in September
  116. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Purchase Activity Below Pandemic Low
  117. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
  118. Heavy Truck Sales Up 20% Year-over-year
  119. House Prices: 7 Years in Purgatory
  120. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.1 million in August
  121. CoreLogic: House Prices up 13.5% YoY in August; Declined 0.7% MoM in August
  122. Tuesday: Job Openings, CoreLogic House Prices
  123. Vehicles Sales Increased to 13.49 million SAAR in September
  124. Q3 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 51 Institutions; Search for "Whale" Continues
  125. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Home Prices Down Again in August ... Now 2% Off June Peak"
  126. Construction Spending Decreased 0.7% in August
  127. ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 50.9% in September
  128. Housing October 3rd Update: Inventory Increased 0.8% Last Week; Hits New Peak for 2022
  129. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  130. Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
  131. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Close to Pre-Pandemic Levels
  132. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  133. Schedule for Week of October 2, 2022
  134. COVID Sept 30, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths

September 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in August
  2. Goldman Sees US House Prices Falling 5% to 10%
  3. Q3 GDP Tracking: 1% to 2% Range
  4. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 29% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 10%
  5. Personal Income increased 0.3% in August; Spending increased 0.4%
  6. Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, Chicago PMI
  7. Las Vegas August 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 10.9% Compared to 2019
  8. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  9. Inflation Adjusted House Prices Declined Further in July
  10. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 193,000
  11. Q2 GDP Growth Unrevised at minus 0.6% Annual Rate
  12. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, GDP
  13. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  14. Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow
  15. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 2.0% in August
  16. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  17. Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
  18. New Home Sales Increased in August; Completed Inventory Increased
  19. New Home Sales Increase to 685,000 Annual Rate in August
  20. Comments on July Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Decreases
  21. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued its Deceleration" to 15.8% year-over-year increase in July
  22. Tuesday: Durable Goods, Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices, New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
  23. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in August
  24. New Home Sales and Cancellations: Net vs Gross Sales
  25. Housing September 26th Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Last Week; Hits New Peak for 2022
  26. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  27. Sunday Night Futures
  28. Monthly Mortgage Payments Up Record Year-over-year
  29. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  30. Schedule for Week of September 25, 2022
  31. COVID Sept 23, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  32. September Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 13.7 million SAAR
  33. Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different
  34. Q3 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
  35. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate decreased in August
  36. LA Port Traffic: Inbound Declined in August
  37. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 28% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 10%
  38. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  39. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 213,000
  41. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  42. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  43. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
  44. More Analysis on August Existing Home Sales
  45. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.80 million SAAR in August
  46. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows "Demand for design services accelerates" in August
  47. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  48. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Statement
  49. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  50. August Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  51. Housing Starts Increased to 1.575 million Annual Rate in August
  52. Bloomberg: Home-Flipper Opendoor Hit With Losses in Echo of Zillow Collapse
  53. NAHB: Builder Confidence Declined in September
  54. Housing September 19th Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Last Week
  55. Sunday Night Futures
  56. FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike
  57. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  58. Schedule for Week of September 18, 2022
  59. COVID Sept 16, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  60. California Home Sales off 24% YoY in August, Prices Up Only 1.4% YoY; August Existing Home Sales Forecast
  61. Q3 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
  62. Predicting the Next Recession
  63. Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  64. Industrial Production Decreased 0.2 Percent in August
  65. Retail Sales Increase 0.3% in August
  66. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 213,000
  67. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Philly Fed Mfg, NY Fed Mfg
  68. 30-Year Mortgage Rates at 6.30%; 14 Year High
  69. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  70. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  71. Wednesday: PPI
  72. Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September
  73. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in August
  74. Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  75. BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in August; Core CPI increased 0.6%
  76. Tuesday: CPI
  77. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in August
  78. Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Strong in Q2; Homeowners now relying on Home Equity lines to extract equity
  79. Housing September 12th Update: Inventory Decreased 1.0% Last Week
  80. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  81. Sunday Night Futures
  82. Hotels: Occupancy Rate UP 3.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  83. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  84. Schedule for Week of September 11, 2022
  85. COVID Sept 9, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  86. AAR: August Rail Carloads Up Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
  87. Q3 GDP Tracking: Just Over 1%
  88. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $6.1 Trillion in Q2
  89. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August, Sales and New Listings Down Sharpy Year-over-year
  90. Friday: Q2 Flow of Funds
  91. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Dips" in August
  92. FDIC: Problem Banks Unchanged, Residential REO Decreased Slightly in Q2 2022
  93. "Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Decline Substantially in August"
  94. Homebuilder Comments in August: Increased Incentives Helping Sales, "Construction cycle time has improved"
  95. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 222,000
  96. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Fed Chair Powell
  97. Fed's Beige Book: "Residential real estate conditions weakened noticeably as home sales fell in all twelve Districts"
  98. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Total market leverage was just 42% of mortgaged homes’ values, the lowest on record"
  99. Trade Deficit decreased to $70.6 Billion in July
  100. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  101. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, Beige Book
  102. Lawler: Are “National” Home Prices Already Falling?
  103. The Sharp Slowdown in Year-over-year House Price Growth
  104. ISM® Services Index Increased to 56.9% in August
  105. CoreLogic: House Prices up 15.8% YoY in July
  106. Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices, ISM Services
  107. Summer Teen Employment
  108. Housing September 5th Update: Inventory Dips Slightly
  109. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  110. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  111. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  112. Schedule for Week of September 4, 2022
  113. COVID Sept 2, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  114. Will House Prices Decline Nationally?
  115. Q3 GDP Forecasts: Just Over 1%
  116. Heavy Truck Sales Decline Slightly in August; Still Solid
  117. Comments on August Employment Report
  118. August Employment Report: 315 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
  119. Friday: Employment Report
  120. Vehicles Sales Decreased to 13.18 million SAAR in August
  121. Goldman August Payrolls Preview
  122. August Employment Preview
  123. Active vs Total Existing Home Inventory
  124. Construction Spending Decreased 0.4% in July
  125. ISM® Manufacturing index Unchanged at 52.8% in August
  126. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 232,000
  127. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

August 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in July
  2. Inflation Adjusted House Prices Declined in June
  3. ADP: Private Employment Increased 132,000 in August
  4. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  5. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Chicago PMI
  6. Las Vegas July 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 5.3% Compared to 2019
  7. Comments on June Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
  8. BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 11.2 million in July
  9. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Decelerated" to 18.0% year-over-year increase in June
  10. Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow
  11. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings
  12. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Pushing 6% Again
  13. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up Slightly Year-over-year
  14. Housing Inventory August 29th Update
  15. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  16. Sunday Night Futures
  17. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  18. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  19. Schedule for Week of August 28, 2022
  20. COVID August 26, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  21. Black Knight: Median House Prices Declined in July; First Decline in 32 Months
  22. Q3 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
  23. Fed Chair Powell: "Higher interest rates ... will also bring some pain to households and businesses"
  24. Personal Income increased 0.2% in July; Spending increased 0.1%
  25. Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, Fed Chair Powell
  26. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in July
  27. The Sellers Strike and Housing Inventory
  28. August Vehicle Sales Forecast: Unchanged at 13.3 million SAAR
  29. Q2 GDP Growth Revised Up to minus 0.6% Annual Rate
  30. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 243,000
  31. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
  32. Update: Housing Completions will Increase Sharply in Late 2022 and Early 2023
  33. AIA: Architecture Billings Index "slows but remains healthy" in July
  34. Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows upward adjustment of 462,000 jobs
  35. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 1.0% in July
  36. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in July
  37. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  38. Wednesday: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales, Preliminary Employment Benchmark Revision
  39. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Decreased year-over-year in June
  40. New Home Sales Decrease Sharply, Record Months of Unsold Inventory Under Construction
  41. New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 511,000 Annual Rate in July
  42. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
  43. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in July
  44. Housing Inventory August 22nd Update: Growth has Slowed
  45. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  46. Sunday Night Futures
  47. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 3.6% in First Half of August; Goldman Sees Sharp Decline in User Car PCE Inflation
  48. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  49. Schedule for Week of August 21, 2022
  50. COVID August 19, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  51. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 27% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%
  52. Slowdown in Showings Suggests a Further Decline in Existing Home Sales in August
  53. Q3 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
  54. LA Port Traffic: Mostly Steady in July
  55. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.6% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  56. More Analysis on July Existing Home Sales
  57. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.81 million SAAR in July
  58. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 250,000
  59. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
  60. FOMC Minutes "Participants anticipated that this slowdown in housing activity would continue"
  61. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in July, California Sales off 31%, July Forecast
  62. Retail Sales "Unchanged" in July
  63. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  64. Wednesday: Retail Sales, FOMC Minutes
  65. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
  66. July Housing Starts: Units Under Construction Declined Slightly
  67. Industrial Production Increased 0.6 Percent in July
  68. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.446 million Annual Rate in July
  69. Tuesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production
  70. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.74% in July"
  71. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in July, Sales Down Sharply
  72. NAHB: Builder Confidence Turns Slightly Negative in August
  73. Housing Inventory August 15th Update: Up 30.3% Year-over-year
  74. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  75. Monday: NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
  76. Summer Teen Employment
  77. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  78. Schedule for Week of August 14, 2022
  79. COVID August 12, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  80. Lawler: American Homes 4 Rent Slashing MLS Purchases of Single Family Homes
  81. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 28% Year-over-year; Inventory growth is slowing
  82. Early Q3 GDP Forecasts
  83. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in July
  84. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  85. Current State of the Housing Market
  86. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2022"
  87. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 262,000
  88. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  89. Homebuyers Hit Brakes in July, Sellers Hold Back
  90. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in July
  91. Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  92. BLS: CPI Unchanged in July; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  93. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  94. Wednesday: CPI
  95. Vehicle Sales: Fleet Turnover Ratio and the Inflation Impact
  96. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate increases in July
  97. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in July
  98. Housing Inventory Growth Has Slowed in Recent Weeks
  99. August 8th Update: Housing Inventory Increases Slow
  100. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  101. Sunday Night Futures
  102. AAR: July Rail Carloads Up Slightly Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
  103. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  104. Schedule for Week of August 7, 2022
  105. COVID August 5, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  106. New Home Cancellations increased Sharply in Q2
  107. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 0.1% in July
  108. Comments on July Employment Report
  109. July Employment Report: 528 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
  110. Friday: Employment Report
  111. Goldman July Payrolls Preview
  112. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  113. Denver Real Estate in July: Sales Off 31.6% YoY, Inventory Up 81.5%
  114. July Employment Preview
  115. Trade Deficit decreased to $79.6 Billion in June
  116. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 260,000
  117. Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
  118. Heavy Truck Sales Solid in July
  119. How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Increase for 2023?
  120. ISM® Services Index Increased to 56.7% in July, Employment Contracted
  121. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  122. Wednesday: ISM Services
  123. Vehicles Sales Increased to 13.35 million SAAR in July
  124. Will 5% Mortgage Rates Cushion the Housing Market?
  125. NY Fed Q2 Report: Total Household Debt Surpasses $16 trillion
  126. HVS: Q2 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  127. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.7 million in June
  128. CoreLogic: House Prices up 18.3% YoY in June
  129. Tuesday: Job Openings, Q2 Household Debt and Credit, Vehicle Sales
  130. Construction Spending Decreased 1.1% in June
  131. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 52.8% in July
  132. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Record-Setting Slowdown in Home Price Growth"
  133. Housing Inventory August 1st Update: Up 32.3% Year-over-year
  134. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  135. Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending

July 2022

  1. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Decrease to 5.13%
  2. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  3. Schedule for Week of July 31, 2022
  4. COVID July 29, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  5. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in June
  6. Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace Continues to Slow
  7. Q2 2022 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  8. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.0% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  9. Personal Income increased 0.6% in June; Spending increased 1.1%
  10. Friday: June Personal Income and Outlays
  11. Las Vegas June 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 7.8% Compared to 2019
  12. Median vs Repeat Sales Index House Prices
  13. A Few Comments on Q2 GDP and Investment
  14. BEA: Real GDP decreased at 0.9% Annualized Rate in Q2
  15. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 256,000
  16. Thursday: Q2 GDP, Unemployment Claims
  17. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
  18. Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in May
  19. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 8.6% in June
  20. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  21. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  22. July Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 13.3 million SAAR
  23. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in June
  24. New Home Sales Decrease Sharply, Record Months of Unsold Inventory Under Construction
  25. New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 590,000 Annual Rate in June
  26. Comments on May Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
  27. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 19.7% year-over-year in May
  28. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
  29. Will Housing Inventory Follow the Normal Seasonal Pattern?
  30. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in June; Remains Well below Pre-Pandemic Levels
  31. Housing Inventory July 25th Update: Up 30.5% Year-over-year
  32. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  33. Sunday Night Futures
  34. FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike
  35. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  36. Schedule for Week of July 24, 2022
  37. COVID July 22, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  38. BLS: Eight States Set New Record Series Low Unemployment rates in June
  39. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Negative
  40. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  41. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 29% Year-over-year
  42. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Inventory Up, Sales Down Sharply, New Listings Picking Up
  43. NMHC: July Apartment Market Survey shows "Barely" Tighter Conditions
  44. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 251,000
  45. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  46. AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows "increasing demand" in June
  47. More Analysis on June Existing Home Sales
  48. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.12 million SAAR in June
  49. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  50. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
  51. Slowdown in Showings Suggests Further Declines in Existing Home Sales in Coming Months
  52. June Housing Starts: All-Time Record Housing Units Under Construction
  53. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.559 million Annual Rate in June
  54. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  55. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases Slightly to 0.81% in June"
  56. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Sales Down Sharply, Inventory "Surged"
  57. NAHB: Builder Confidence "Plunges" to 55 in July
  58. Housing Inventory July 18th Update: Up 30% Year-over-year
  59. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  60. Monday: Homebuilder Survey
  61. Record Single Family Investor Buying in Q1, Possible evidence of Slowdown in Q2
  62. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  63. Schedule for Week of July 17, 2022
  64. COVID July 15, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  65. Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
  66. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Negative
  67. Industrial Production Decreased 0.2 Percent in June
  68. Retail Sales Increased 1.0% in June
  69. Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg
  70. Current State of the Housing Market
  71. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 14.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  72. LA Port Traffic: Mostly Steady in June
  73. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 244,000
  74. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  75. Fed's Beige Book: "Housing demand weakened noticeably"
  76. Lawler on Demographics: Observations and Updated Population Projections
  77. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.8% in June
  78. Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  79. BLS: CPI increased 1.3% in June; Core CPI increased 0.7%
  80. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  81. Wednesday: CPI, Beige Book
  82. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Slight Gain In June"
  83. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Sales Down Sharply Year-over-year
  84. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q2, Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
  85. Key Week for Inflation and Mortgage Rates
  86. Q2 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 52 Institutions; Search for "Whale" Continues
  87. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in June
  88. Homebuilder Comments in June: “Someone turned out the lights on our sales in June!"
  89. Housing Inventory July 11th Update: Up 32% Year-over-year
  90. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  91. Sunday Night Futures
  92. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 2.9% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  93. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  94. AAR: June Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
  95. Schedule for Week of July 10, 2022
  96. COVID July 8, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  97. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 1.3% in June
  98. Apartment Vacancy Rate Declined in Q2
  99. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Negative
  100. Comments on June Employment Report
  101. June Employment Report: 372 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
  102. Friday: Employment Report
  103. Goldman June Payrolls Preview
  104. June Employment Preview
  105. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Sales Down Sharply
  106. Trade Deficit decreased to $85.5 Billion in May
  107. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 235,000
  108. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
  109. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 55.3% in June, Employment Contracted
  110. FOMC Minutes "Near-term inflation outlook had deteriorated"
  111. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Early signs of cooling in the housing market"
  112. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 11.3 million in May
  113. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  114. Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Services, FOMC Minutes
  115. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Decrease to 5.50%
  116. Heavy Truck Sales Solid in June
  117. CoreLogic: House Prices up 20.2% YoY in May
  118. Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices
  119. House Price Declines: How Long for Real Prices to Recover?
  120. Housing Inventory July 4th Update: Inventory Almost Double from March Low
  121. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  122. Recession Measures and NBER
  123. Zillow Case-Shiller Forecast for May: Slowing House Price Growth
  124. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  125. Vehicles Sales Increased to 13.00 million SAAR in June
  126. Schedule for Week of July 3, 2022
  127. COVID July 1, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  128. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Close to Zero
  129. Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace is slowing
  130. Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in May
  131. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 53.0% in June
  132. Friday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

June 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in May
  2. Las Vegas May 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 6.6% Compared to 2019
  3. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  4. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 25% Year-over-year
  5. Personal Income increased 0.5% in May; Spending increased 0.2%
  6. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 231,000
  7. Thursday: Personal Income & Outlays, Unemployment Claims, Chicago PMI
  8. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 21% Year-over-year; Still up Sharply from Pre-pandemic Levels
  9. Worst Housing Affordability" since 1991 excluding Bubble; Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in April
  10. Q1 GDP Growth Revised down to minus 1.6% Annual Rate
  11. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  12. Wednesday: GDP
  13. Predicting the Next Recession
  14. Comments on April Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
  15. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Increased 20.4% Year-over-year in April
  16. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  17. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in May
  18. Housing: Inventory will Tell the Tale; Altos Research Reports Inventory Above Peak in 2021
  19. NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 0.7% in May
  20. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  21. Monday: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg
  22. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  23. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  24. Schedule for Week of June 26, 2022
  25. COVID June 24, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  26. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Fairly Wide Range
  27. May New Home Sales Increase, Over 5 Months of Inventory Under Construction
  28. New Home Sales Increase to 696,000 Annual Rate in May
  29. Black Knight: "Past-Due Mortgages Fall to Third Consecutive Record Low in May"
  30. Friday: New Home Sales
  31. Fed: Banks Pass Annual Stress Test
  32. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 21% Year-over-year
  33. New Home Sales and Cancellations
  34. June Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 13.3 million SAAR
  35. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
  36. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Bank Stress Tests
  37. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index slows but remains strong" in May
  38. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May, Inventory Up, Sales Down, New Listings Picking Up
  39. Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  40. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  41. Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony
  42. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.85% in May"
  43. More Analysis on May Existing Home Sales
  44. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.41 million SAAR in May
  45. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased Slightly year-over-year in April
  46. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
  47. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  48. Housing Completions will Increase Sharply in 2022
  49. Housing Inventory June 20th Update: Inventory up 18.5% Year-over-year
  50. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  51. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in May; Inventory Up, Sales Down, New Listings Picking Up
  52. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  53. Schedule for Week of June 19, 2022
  54. COVID June 17, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  55. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 17% Year-over-year
  56. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down
  57. Slowdown in Showings, Sharp Decline in California Pending Sales, Inventory Surges
  58. Industrial Production Increased 0.2 Percent in May
  59. Friday: Industrial Production
  60. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
  61. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  62. May Housing Starts: All-Time Record Housing Units Under Construction
  63. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.549 million Annual Rate in May
  64. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
  65. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  66. Fed Chair Powell: "Homebuyers need a bit of a reset"
  67. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  68. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp
  69. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 67 in June; "Traffic of prospective buyers" Falls below Breakeven
  70. Retail Sales Decreased 0.3% in May
  71. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  72. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Homebuilder Confidence, FOMC Statement
  73. LA Port Traffic: Steady in May
  74. Comparing the Current Housing Market to the 1978 to 1982 period
  75. A Very Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  76. BLS: PPI increased 0.8% in May; Core PPI increased 0.5%
  77. Goldman Expects 75bp Rate Hike
  78. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Increase to 6.13%
  79. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in May, New Listings picking up
  80. Housing Inventory June 13th Update: Inventory up 15.9% Year-over-year
  81. Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  82. Sunday Night Futures
  83. FOMC Preview: 50bp Hike
  84. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  85. Schedule for Week of June 12, 2022
  86. COVID June 10, 2022: Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths Increasing
  87. 30-Year Mortgage Rates increase to 5.85%
  88. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Close to 3.0%
  89. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.6% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.8% in May
  90. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 13% Year-over-year
  91. BLS: CPI increased 1.0% in May; Core CPI increased 0.6%
  92. Friday: CPI
  93. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 12.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  94. The Home ATM Still Open in Q1 2022; Closing Soon
  95. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $0.55 Trillion in Q1
  96. CoreLogic: 1.1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q1 2022
  97. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 229,000
  98. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q1 Flow of Funds
  99. Homebuilder Comments in May: “Builder metrics quickly deteriorating"
  100. Current State of the Housing Market
  101. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  102. Wednesday: Mortgage Purchase Index
  103. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Shows Gains in May"
  104. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in May, Inventory up Sharply
  105. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in May
  106. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Increased Slightly in May
  107. Trade Deficit decreased to $87.1 Billion in April
  108. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  109. AAR: May Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
  110. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Housing costs to current income levels within a whisper of all time high in 2006"
  111. Housing Inventory June 6th Update: Inventory UP 13.9% Year-over-year
  112. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  113. Sunday Night Futures
  114. Vehicle Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
  115. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  116. Schedule for Week of June 5, 2022
  117. COVID June 3, 2022: Hospitalizations Increasing
  118. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 11% Year-over-year
  119. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 3.0%
  120. When will House Price Growth Slow?
  121. Comments on May Employment Report
  122. May Employment Report: 390 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
  123. Friday: Employment Report
  124. Goldman May Payrolls Preview
  125. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 3.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  126. May Employment Preview
  127. Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace is slowing
  128. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 200,000
  129. ADP: Private Employment Increased 128,000 in May
  130. Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims
  131. Vehicles Sales Decreased to 12.68 million SAAR in May
  132. Fed's Beige Book: "Residential real estate contacts observed weakness"
  133. Worst Housing Affordability" since 1991 excluding Bubble; Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in March
  134. Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in April
  135. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 11.4 million in April
  136. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 56.1% in May
  137. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  138. Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Beige Book, Vehicle Sales

May 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April
  2. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 50% Year-over-year; Still up Sharply from Pre-pandemic Levels
  3. Comments on March Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases; New Record Monthly Increase
  4. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 20.6% year-over-year in March
  5. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed Mfg
  6. Lawler: Large Builders Acquired Lots of Lots over the Last Year
  7. Housing Inventory May 30th Update: Inventory UP 5.7% Week-over-week
  8. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  9. Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
  10. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  11. Schedule for Week of May 29, 2022
  12. Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 3.0%
  13. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in April
  14. Las Vegas April 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 4.5% Compared to 2019
  15. Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  16. Personal Income increased 0.4% in April; Spending increased 0.9%
  17. Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
  18. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  19. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 9% Year-over-year
  20. May Vehicle Sales Forecast: Decrease to 13.4 million SAAR
  21. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 3.9% in April
  22. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 210,000
  23. Q1 GDP Growth Revised down to minus 1.5% Annual Rate
  24. MBA: "Mortgage Application Payments Jumped 8.8 Percent to $1,889 in April"
  25. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  26. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 50 States in April
  27. FOMC Minutes: "Risks to inflation were skewed to the upside"; 50bp increases likely appropriate at next couple of meetings
  28. The Household Mystery: Part II
  29. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  30. Wednesday: Durable Goods, FOMC Minutes
  31. FDIC: Problem Banks Declined, Residential REO Increased Slightly in Q1 2022
  32. U.S. Births increased Slightly in 2021, First increase since 2014
  33. April New Home Sales Decline Sharply, almost 6 Months of Inventory Under Construction
  34. New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 591,000 Annual Rate in April
  35. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
  36. BofA: "High hurdles to rebalance the existing home market"
  37. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April
  38. Housing Inventory May 23rd Update: Inventory UP 8.2% Week-over-week
  39. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  40. Sunday Night Futures
  41. Quarterly Starts by Purpose and Design: "Built for rent" Increasing
  42. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  43. Schedule for Week of May 22, 2022
  44. Q2 GDP Forecasts: 2.5% to 3.0%
  45. Lawler: The Sharp increase in Monthly Payments in Selected Metro Areas
  46. Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Yet Another Record Low in April"
  47. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 5% Year-over-year
  48. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.9% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  49. More Analysis on April Existing Home Sales
  50. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.61 million SAAR in April
  51. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000
  52. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
  53. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April
  54. AIA: "Architecture Billings Index moderates slightly, remains strong" in April
  55. April Housing Starts: All-Time Record Housing Units Under Construction
  56. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.724 million Annual Rate in April
  57. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  58. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  59. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets; California Inventory up More Than 20% Year-over-year
  60. LA Port Traffic: Imports Steady in April
  61. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 69 in May, "Housing market is now slowing"
  62. Industrial Production Increased 1.1 Percent in April
  63. Retail Sales Increased 0.9% in April
  64. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, Fed Chair Powell
  65. A Slowdown in Showings
  66. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.94% in April"
  67. Lawler: Mortgage/Treasury Spreads Part II: “Decomposing” the Widening This Year
  68. Housing Inventory May 16th Update: Inventory UP 1.5% Year-over-Year
  69. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  70. Sunday Night Futures
  71. Q2 GDP Forecasts
  72. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  73. Schedule for Week of May 15, 2022
  74. COVID May 13, 2022: New Cases and Hospitalizations Increasing
  75. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  76. What will Happen with House Prices?
  77. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Rises in April"
  78. Mortgage Rates Move Lower
  79. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up Slightly Year-over-year; First Year-over-year Increase Since 2019
  80. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 203,000
  81. Thursday: PPI, Unemployment Claims
  82. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in April; Inventory increasing, No Surge in New Listings
  83. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in April
  84. BLS: CPI increased 0.3% in April; Core CPI increased 0.6%
  85. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  86. Wednesday: CPI
  87. Mortgage Originations by Credit Score and Age
  88. NY Fed Q1 Report: Total Household Debt Increases to $15.8 trillion
  89. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in April
  90. Tuesday: Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
  91. Homebuilder Comments in April: “Demand is slowing", "Investors pulling back"
  92. Fed Survey: Banks reported Eased Standards, Weaker Demand for Residential Real Estate Loans
  93. Housing Market: Where it's at. Where it's going. May 2022 Update
  94. Housing Inventory May 9th Update: Inventory Down 1.6% Year-over-Year
  95. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  96. Sunday Night Futures
  97. Vehicle Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
  98. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  99. Schedule for Week of May 8, 2022
  100. COVID May 6, 2022: New Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths Increasing
  101. AAR: April Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
  102. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in April; Realtor.com shows active inventory down only 3% year-over-year
  103. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decline Seasonally Adjusted in April
  104. Comments on April Employment Report
  105. April Employment Report: 428 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
  106. Friday: Employment Report
  107. Goldman April Payrolls Preview
  108. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  109. Lawler: Mortgage/Treasury Spreads, Part I
  110. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the First Quarter of 2022"
  111. April Employment Preview
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 200,000
  113. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  114. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 50bp; Runoff Starts June 1st
  115. Denver Real Estate in April: Active Inventory up Sharply
  116. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 57.1% in April, Employment Contracted
  117. Trade Deficit increased to $109.8 Billion in March
  118. ADP: Private Employment Increased 247,000 in April
  119. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  120. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Services
  121. April Vehicles Sales increased to 14.29 million SAAR
  122. Fannie REO inventory increased in Q1 year-over-year; Expected to increase further in 2022
  123. Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace may be slowing
  124. BLS: Job Openings at Series High 11.5 million in March
  125. CoreLogic: House Prices up Record 20.9% YoY in March
  126. Tuesday: Job Openings, Corelogic House Prices, Vehicle Sales
  127. Update: Framing Lumber Prices: Down from Recent Peak, but increasing Recently
  128. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Record Low Delinquencies, "Home Affordability Nears All-Time Low"
  129. Construction Spending Increased 0.1% in March
  130. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 55.4% in April
  131. Housing Inventory May 2nd Update: Inventory Down 4.9% Year-over-Year
  132. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  133. Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
  134. Housing: "What Killed the Home ATM in 2006?"
  135. FOMC Preview: 50bp Rate Hike, Announce "commencement of balance sheet runoff"

April 2022

  1. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  2. Schedule for Week of May 1, 2022
  3. COVID Update: Hospitalizations and New Cases Increasing
  4. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in March
  5. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  6. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory down only 6% Year-over-year
  7. Personal Income increased 0.5% in March; Spending increased 1.1%
  8. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI
  9. NMHC: April Apartment Market Survey shows Tighter Conditions
  10. Las Vegas March 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 10% Compared to 2019
  11. A Few Comments on Q1 GDP and Investment
  12. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 180,000
  13. BEA: Real GDP decreased at 1.4% Annualized Rate in Q1
  14. MBA: Median Mortgage Application Payment Up 5.0% in March compared to February
  15. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
  16. Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: 20% YoY in March
  17. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in February; Worst "Affordability" since Housing Bubble
  18. HVS: Q1 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  19. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 1.2% in March
  20. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  21. Wednesday: Pending Home Sales, Q1 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
  22. Lawler: More on Demographics
  23. March New Home Sales: Little Completed Inventory, High Number of Homes Under Construction
  24. Comments on February Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases; New Record Monthly Increase
  25. New Home Sales decrease to 763,000 Annual Rate in March
  26. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 19.8% year-over-year in February
  27. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, Richmond Fed Mfg
  28. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in March
  29. Housing and Demographics
  30. Housing Inventory April 25th Update: Inventory up 1.7% Week-over-week; Up 14.2% from Seasonal Bottom
  31. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  32. Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Low in March"
  33. Sunday Night Futures
  34. U.S. Demographics: Largest 5-year cohorts, and Ten most Common Ages in 2021
  35. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  36. Schedule for Week of April 24, 2022
  37. COVID Update: Hospitalizations Starting to Increase
  38. April Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 14.5 million SAAR
  39. Yellen: Inflation May have Peaked
  40. "Examining Resolution of Mortgage Forbearances and Delinquencies"
  41. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
  42. Fed's Powell: "50 basis points will be on the table for the May meeting"
  43. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in March and Housing Inventory Milestones to Watch
  44. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.6% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  45. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 184,000
  46. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Fed Chair Powell on Global Economy
  47. AIA: "Pace of demand for design services rapidly accelerates" in March
  48. Fed's Beige Book: "Strong demand for residential real estate but limited supply"
  49. More Analysis on March Existing Home Sales
  50. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.77 million SAAR in March
  51. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  52. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, Beige Book
  53. Lawler: CoreLogic Home Purchases by Non-Investors and Investors
  54. March Existing Home Sales Forecast and 4th Look at Local Housing Markets
  55. March Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
  56. Housing Starts Increased to 1.793 million Annual Rate in March
  57. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  58. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March
  59. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.05% in March"
  60. Goldman Sachs "Will Higher Rates Put Out the Housing Fire?"
  61. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 77 in April, "Housing Market at Inflection Point"
  62. Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  63. Housing Inventory April 18th Update: Inventory up 3.7% Week-over-week; Up 12.3% from Seasonal Bottom
  64. Monday: Homebuilder Suvery
  65. BLS: 12 States Set New Record Series Low Unemployment rates in March
  66. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  67. Schedule for Week of April 17, 2022
  68. Twin Cities: No Slowdown in Showings
  69. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  70. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
  71. Industrial Production Increased 0.9 Percent in March
  72. Friday: NY Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
  73. LA Area Port Traffic: Record March Inbound Traffic
  74. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
  75. Retail Sales Increased 0.5% in March
  76. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 185,000
  77. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  78. Office Vacancy Rates for Two SoCal Counties
  79. How High will Mortgage Rates Rise?
  80. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  81. Wednesday: PPI
  82. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
  83. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in March
  84. BLS: CPI increased 1.2% in March; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  85. Tuesday: CPI
  86. Apartment Vacancy Rate Declined in Q1
  87. Housing Inventory April 11th Update: Inventory up 2.3% Week-over-week; Up 8.3% from Seasonal Bottom
  88. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  89. Sunday Night Futures
  90. Second Home Markets and FHFA Changes as of April 1st
  91. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  92. Schedule for Week of April 10, 2022
  93. COVID Update: Deaths Under 500 per day, Lowest since August 2021
  94. Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rate Decreased in Q1
  95. Reis: Office Vacancy Rates Unchanged in Q1
  96. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
  97. "Unpacking builders’ market sentiment with Rick Palacios"
  98. AAR: March Rail Carloads Up Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
  99. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March: A Sea Change in Active Inventory
  100. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  101. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decline Seasonally Adjusted in March
  102. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 166,000
  103. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  104. FOMC Minutes: Plans for Reducing the Size of the Balance Sheet
  105. Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
  106. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  107. Wednesday: Mortgage Applications, FOMC Minutes
  108. Q1 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 54 Institutions
  109. Denver Real Estate: Active Inventory up Sharply in March
  110. ISM® Services Index Increased to 58.3% in March
  111. Trade Deficit Mostly Unchanged at $89.2 Billion in February
  112. CoreLogic: House Prices up 20% YoY in February
  113. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, CoreLogic House Prices, ISM Services
  114. Lawler: What is the Yield Curve Signaling?
  115. Update: Framing Lumber Prices: Down from Recent Peak, Up Triple from 2 Years Ago
  116. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for February: "Tightest affordability in 15 years"
  117. Housing Inventory April 4th Update: Inventory up 0.7% Week-over-week; Up 5.9% from Seasonal Bottom
  118. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  119. Sunday Night Futures
  120. Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: February similar to January Year-over-year
  121. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  122. Schedule for Week of April 3, 2022
  123. March Vehicles Sales decreased to 13.33 million SAAR
  124. It is the Change in Monthly Payment that Matters
  125. Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in February
  126. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Barely Positive
  127. Comments on March Employment Report
  128. March Employment Report: 431 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
  129. Friday: Employment Report, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

March 2022

  1. Housing: Don't Compare the Current Housing Boom to the Bubble and Bust
  2. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in February
  3. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  4. March Employment Preview
  5. Personal Income increased 0.5% in February; Spending increased 0.2%
  6. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 202,000
  7. Thursday: Personal Income and Outlays, Unemployment Claims
  8. Las Vegas February 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 18% Compared to 2019
  9. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in January and a look at "Affordability"
  10. Q4 GDP Growth Revised down to 6.9% Annual Rate
  11. ADP: Private Employment Increased 455,000 in March
  12. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  13. Wednesday: GDP, ADP Employment
  14. Mortgage Rates Ease Slightly
  15. Comments on January Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
  16. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" at 11.3 million in February
  17. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 19.2% year-over-year in January
  18. Tuesday: Case-Shiller, Job Openings
  19. Housing Inventory Has Bottomed
  20. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  21. Sunday Night Futures
  22. Census: Record 37.9% of adult population in the United States has a bachelor’s degree or higher
  23. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  24. Schedule for Week of March 27, 2022
  25. COVID Update: March 25, 2022; Deaths at 732 per Day, Lowest Since August 2021
  26. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in February
  27. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Under 1%
  28. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 4.1% in February
  29. Friday: Pending Home Sales
  30. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  31. New Home Sales and Cancellations
  32. Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in February
  33. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 187,000; Lowest Since 1969
  34. MBA: Median Mortgage Application Payment Up 8.3% from January
  35. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
  36. AIA: "Demand for design service continues to grow" in February
  37. February New Home Sales: Few Completed Inventory, High Number of Homes Under Construction
  38. New Home Sales decrease to 772,000 Annual Rate in February
  39. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  40. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  41. March Vehicle Sales Forecast: Decrease to 13.4 million SAAR
  42. Distressing Gap: Existing and New Home Sales
  43. Mortgage Rates Moving Closer to 5%
  44. Goldman: Expecting Fed to hike 50bps in May and Start Balance Sheet Reduction
  45. Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
  46. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.18% in February"
  47. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  48. Fed Chair Powell: FOMC "Not assuming significant near-term supply-side relief" on inflation
  49. Housing Inventory March 21st Update: Inventory down slightly Week-over-week; Up 3% from 2 weeks Ago
  50. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  51. Monday: Fed Chair Powell "Economic Outlook"
  52. LA Area Port Traffic: Record February Inbound Traffic
  53. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  54. Schedule for Week of March 20, 2022
  55. COVID Update: March 18, 2022; Deaths at 1,000 per Day, Lowest Since December 2021
  56. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
  57. More Analysis on February Existing Home Sales
  58. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 6.02 million SAAR in February
  59. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 10% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  60. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  61. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
  62. February Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
  63. Industrial Production Increased 0.5 Percent in February
  64. Housing Starts Increased to 1.769 million Annual Rate in February
  65. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 214,000
  66. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
  67. Housing, the Fed, Interest Rates and Inflation
  68. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  69. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25bps
  70. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 79 in March
  71. Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in February
  72. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  73. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Retail Sales, Homebuilder Survey
  74. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  75. Predicting the Next Recession
  76. Tuesday: PPI, NY Fed Mfg
  77. "Mortgage Rates Explode Higher"
  78. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in February
  79. Housing Inventory May Have Bottomed Seasonally
  80. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  81. Sunday Night Futures
  82. FOMC Preview: Liftoff
  83. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  84. Schedule for Week of March 13, 2022
  85. COVID Update: March 11, 2022; New Cases at 35,000, Lowest Since July 2021
  86. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Close to Zero
  87. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  88. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  89. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Highest in almost 3 Years
  90. The Home ATM Open in Q4 2021; Closing in 2022, aka Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW)
  91. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $5.3 Trillion in Q4
  92. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in February
  93. CoreLogic: Homeowners with Negative Equity Lowest in Over 12 Years
  94. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 227,000
  95. BLS: CPI increased 0.8% in February; Core CPI increased 0.5%
  96. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims, Q4 Flow of Funds
  97. Vehicle Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
  98. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" at 11.3 million in January
  99. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  100. Wednesday: Job Openings
  101. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Recovers in February"
  102. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  103. Trade Deficit Increased to $89.7 Billion in January
  104. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  105. Homebuilder Comments in February: “Demand is still high"
  106. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for January: "$275 billion in equity withdrawn" in 2021
  107. Housing Inventory March 7th Update: Inventory Down 1.4% Week-over-week; New Record Low; Possible Bottom
  108. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decline in February
  109. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  110. Sunday Night Futures
  111. Weather Adjusted Employment Gains in February
  112. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  113. Schedule for Week of March 6, 2022
  114. COVID Update: March 4, 2022; Under 50,000 New Cases First Time Since July 2021
  115. AAR: February Rail Carloads and Intermodal Up Year-over-year; Still Soft
  116. Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  117. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down
  118. Comments on February Employment Report
  119. February Employment Report: 678 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
  120. Friday: February Employment Report
  121. Goldman February Payrolls Preview
  122. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  123. February Employment Preview
  124. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 56.5% in February
  125. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 215,000
  126. Thursday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
  127. Fed's Beige Book: "Supply chain issues and low inventories continued to restrain growth"
  128. The War and Mortgage Rates
  129. Fed Chair Powell: Raise Rates in March, Effects of Invasion "highly uncertain"
  130. ADP: Private Employment Increased 475,000 in February
  131. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  132. Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony, ADP Employment, Beige Book
  133. February Vehicles Sales decreased to 14.07 million SAAR
  134. Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
  135. Construction Spending Increased 1.3% in January
  136. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 58.6% in February
  137. CoreLogic: House Prices up 19.1% YoY in January; "Highest Level in at Least 45 Years"
  138. Tuesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

February 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in January
  2. Median vs Repeat Sales Index House Prices
  3. Housing Inventory February 28th Update: Inventory Down 1.3% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  4. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  5. Sunday Night Futures
  6. Las Vegas Visitor Authority for January 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 27.5% Compared to 2019
  7. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  8. Schedule for Week of February 27, 2022
  9. COVID Update: February 25, 2022: Hoping to Stop Daily COVID Posts in March!
  10. Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: "Reaccelerating" in January
  11. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 2%
  12. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 5.7% in January
  13. Personal Income increased slightly in January; Spending increased 2.1%
  14. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  15. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in January
  16. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  17. January New Home Sales: Record 106 thousand Homes Have Not been Started
  18. New Home Sales decrease to 801,000 Annual Rate in January
  19. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 232,000
  20. Q4 GDP Growth Revised up to 7.0% Annual Rate
  21. Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in January; "Foreclosure Starts Surge"
  22. Thursday: New Home Sales, GDP, Unemployment Claims
  23. "Mortgage Rates Hit New Multi-Year Highs"; Highest Since 2019
  24. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in December and a look at "Affordability"
  25. AIA: "Architecture billings continue growth" in January
  26. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  27. "Mortgage Rates Edging Back Up Toward Long-Term Highs"
  28. February Vehicle Sales Forecast: Decrease to 14.2 million SAAR
  29. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.30% in January"
  30. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  31. Comments on Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
  32. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 18.8% year-over-year in December
  33. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
  34. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  35. Housing Inventory February 21st Update: Inventory Down Slightly Week-over-week; New Record Low
  36. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  37. Quarterly Starts by Purpose and Design: "Built for rent" Increasing
  38. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  39. Schedule for Week of February 20, 2022
  40. COVID Update: February 18, 2022: Falling Cases, Deaths and Hospitalizations
  41. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 14% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  42. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Moving Up to Around 2%
  43. More Analysis on January Existing Home Sales
  44. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 6.50 million SAAR in January
  45. LA Area Port Traffic: Record Inbound Traffic for January
  46. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  47. January Forecast and 4th Look at Local Housing Markets
  48. January Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
  49. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 248,000
  50. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.638 million Annual Rate in January
  51. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  52. Fannie and Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q4 year-over-year; Expected to increase in 2022
  53. FOMC Minutes: "Faster" is the Word
  54. Thoughts on Housing Supply and Demand With 30-year mortgage rates above 4%
  55. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 82 in February
  56. Industrial Production Increased 1.4 Percent in January
  57. Retail Sales Increased 3.8% in January
  58. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  59. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, FOMC Minutes
  60. Boston: "Soft" Housing Sales in January due to Lack of Inventory
  61. The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP
  62. Tuesday: PPI, NY Fed Mfg
  63. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in January
  64. A Few Comments on Inflation
  65. Housing Inventory February 14th Update: Inventory Down 2.5% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  66. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  67. Sunday Night Futures
  68. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  69. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  70. Schedule for Week of February 13, 2022
  71. COVID Update: February 11, 2022: Falling Cases, Deaths and Hospitalizations
  72. Lawler: Deaths by Age
  73. Missing Workers by Age Group
  74. Q1 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Positive
  75. Lawler: Update on US Demographic Drivers in 2021
  76. "Mortgage Rates Hit 4.0% For First Time Since May 2019"
  77. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 16% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  78. The Impact on Housing of Higher Mortgage Rates
  79. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.6% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in January
  80. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Fourth Quarter of 2021"
  81. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 223,000
  82. BLS: CPI increased 0.6% in January; Core CPI increased 0.6%
  83. Thursday: CPI, Initial Unemployment Claims
  84. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  85. Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
  86. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  87. COVID February 8, 2022: New Cases and Hospitalizations Declining
  88. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Falls in January"
  89. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  90. NY Fed Q4 Report: Total Household Debt Increases to $15.6 trillion
  91. Trade Deficit Increased to $80.7 Billion in December
  92. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, NY Fed Household Debt and Credit
  93. U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Decline 24 Percent in 2021
  94. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for December: "Worst affordability levels since 2008"
  95. Housing Inventory February 7th Update: Inventory Down 5.9% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  96. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  97. Sunday Night Futures
  98. Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force
  99. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  100. Schedule for Week of February 6, 2022
  101. COVID Update: February 4, 2022: Falling Cases and Hospitalizations; 2,400 Deaths per Day
  102. "Mortgage Rates Leap Toward 4.0%, Highest Since October 2019"
  103. AAR: January Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
  104. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 12% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  105. Comments on January Employment Report
  106. January Employment Report: 467 thousand Jobs, 4.0% Unemployment Rate
  107. Friday: Employment Report
  108. Goldman January Payrolls Preview
  109. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices
  110. January Employment Preview
  111. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 59.9% in January
  112. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 238,000
  113. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
  114. Mike Simonsen of Altos Research and I Discuss Housing
  115. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up More Than Double from Two Years Ago
  116. HVS: Q4 2021 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  117. ADP: Private Employment Decreased 301,000 in January
  118. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  119. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Q4 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
  120. January Vehicles Sales increased to 15.04 million SAAR
  121. Las Vegas Visitor Authority for December: Visitor Traffic Down 13.3% Compared to 2019
  122. Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
  123. Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in December
  124. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 57.6% in January
  125. BLS: Job Openings "little changed" at 10.9 million in December
  126. CoreLogic: House Prices up 18.5% YoY in December
  127. Tuesday: Construction Spending, Job Openings, ISM Mfg

January 2022

  1. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in December
  2. Median vs Repeat Sales Index House Prices
  3. Housing Inventory January 31st Update: Inventory Down 1.9% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  4. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  5. Sunday Night Futures
  6. Q4 2021 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
  7. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  8. Schedule for Week of January 30, 2022
  9. COVID Update: January 28, 2022: Falling Cases and Hospitalizations; 2,300 Deaths per Day
  10. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 16% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  11. NMHC: January Apartment Market Survey shows "Strong Demand, Record-High Occupancy, Double Digit Rent Growth"
  12. LA Area Port Traffic: Disappointing Traffic in December
  13. Personal Income increased 0.3% in December; Spending decreased 0.6%
  14. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
  15. A Few Comments on Q4 GDP and Investment
  16. Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in November
  17. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 3.8% in December
  18. BEA: Real GDP increased at 6.9% Annualized Rate in Q4
  19. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 260,000
  20. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  21. FOMC Statement: End Asset Purchases in Early March, "Soon appropriate" to Raise Rates
  22. December New Home Sales: Inventory of homes under construction highest since 2007
  23. New Home Sales increase to 811,000 Annual Rate in December; Sales down 7.3% in 2021
  24. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
  25. Wednesday: New Home Sales, FOMC Statement
  26. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in December
  27. January Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 15.1 million SAAR
  28. Comments on Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
  29. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 18.8% year-over-year in November
  30. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  31. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  32. Housing Inventory January 24th Update: Inventory Down 2.4% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  33. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  34. Sunday Night Futures
  35. FOMC Preview: Final Asset Purchase Announcement Expected; Hints at "Liftoff" in March
  36. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  37. Schedule for Week of January 23, 2022
  38. COVID Update January 21, 2022: New Cases Declining
  39. 1.44 million Total Housing Completions in 2021 including Manufactured Homes; Most since 2007
  40. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 16% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  41. Q4 GDP Forecasts: 5% to 6%
  42. Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in December; Foreclosures at Record Low
  43. COVID Update, January 20, 2022
  44. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in December
  45. More Analysis on December Existing Home Sales
  46. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 6.18 million in December
  47. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 286,000
  48. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  49. AIA: "Architecture firms end 2021 on a strong note" in December
  50. December Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
  51. Housing Starts Increased to 1.702 million Annual Rate in December
  52. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  53. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  54. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
  55. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.41% in December 2021"
  56. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  57. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 83 in January
  58. Tuesday: NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
  59. Housing Inventory January 17th Update: Inventory Down 2.9% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  60. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  61. Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices
  62. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  63. Schedule for Week of January 16, 2022
  64. COVID January 14, 2022: Record Cases and Hospitalizations
  65. Q4 GDP Forecasts: Around 6%
  66. Industrial Production Decreased 0.1 Percent in December
  67. Retail Sales Decreased 1.9% in December
  68. Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production
  69. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 15% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  70. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  71. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 230,000
  72. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  73. Fed's Beige Book: "A sudden pull back in leisure travel, hotel occupancy and patronage at restaurants"
  74. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in December
  75. Mortgage Rates: Moving on Up; Refinance Activity Will Slow Sharply
  76. BLS: CPI increased 0.5% in December; Core CPI increased 0.6%
  77. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  78. Wednesday: CPI
  79. Update: The Inland Empire
  80. Homebuilder Comments in December: “Still a ton of demand for new homes"
  81. Missing Workers by Age Group
  82. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Declines in December"; Up Sharply Year-over-year
  83. Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell Nomination Hearing
  84. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up 75% Year-over-year
  85. Q4 2021 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 57 Institutions
  86. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  87. Housing Inventory January 10th Update: Inventory Down 0.5% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  88. Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  89. Sunday Night Futures
  90. Lawler: More on Investor Purchases of Single-Family Homes
  91. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  92. Schedule for Week of January 9, 2022
  93. COVID Update Jan 7, 2022
  94. AAR: December Rail Carloads Down Compared to 2019; Intermodal Up
  95. Q4 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down
  96. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down "Slightly" Compared to Same Week in 2019
  97. Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
  98. Comments on December Employment Report
  99. December Employment Report: 199 thousand Jobs, 3.9% Unemployment Rate
  100. Friday: Employment Report
  101. Goldman December Payrolls Preview
  102. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  103. December Employment Preview
  104. ISM® Services Index Decreased to 62.0% in December
  105. Trade Deficit Increased to $80.2 Billion in November
  106. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 207,000
  107. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
  108. Apartment Vacancy Rate Declined in Q4
  109. Reis: Office Vacancy Rates Decreased Slightly in Q4
  110. Annual Vehicle Sales increase 3% in 2021; Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
  111. ADP: Private Employment increased 807,000 in December
  112. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease over Two-Week Period
  113. December Vehicles Sales decreased to 12.44 million SAAR
  114. Wednesday: ADP Employment
  115. Will the unprecedented surge in investor purchases of SF homes continue?
  116. Question #1 for 2022: How much will the economy grow in 2022?
  117. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 58.7% in December
  118. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.6 million in November
  119. CoreLogic: House Prices up 18.1% YoY in November
  120. Tuesday: Corelogic House Prices, Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Vehicle Sales
  121. Question #2 for 2022: Will the remaining jobs lost in 2020 return in 2022, or will job growth be sluggish?
  122. Question #3 for 2022: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2022?
  123. Question #4 for 2022: Will the overall participation rate increase to pre-pandemic levels (63.4% in February 2020)?
  124. Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in November
  125. Housing Inventory January 3rd Update: Inventory Down 5.4% Week-over-week; New Record Low
  126. Seven High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
  127. Sunday Night Futures
  128. Question #5 for 2022: Will the core inflation rate increase or decrease by December 2022?
  129. Question #6 for 2022: Will the Fed raise rates in 2022? If so, how many times?
  130. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
  131. Schedule for Week of January 2, 2022

← 2021 2023 →