2022
1,591 posts
2022 1,591
December 2022
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Houses are the least “affordable” since 1982
- Schedule for Week of January 1, 2023
- COVID Dec 30, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 63% YoY; New Listings Down 6% YoY
- Question #10 for 2023: Will inventory increase further in 2023?
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Las Vegas November 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 7.0% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 3.4%
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 30 States in November
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 225,000
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in November
- Ten Economic Questions for 2023
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 4.0% in November, Year-over-year Down 37.8%
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in November
- Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
- SF Fed: Recession Prediction on the Clock
- Comments on October Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline" to 9.2% year-over-year increase in October
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2022
- Housing December 26th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.7% Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- A Very Nerdy Christmas
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.09 million SAAR in November
- Schedule for Week of December 25, 2022
- COVID Dec 23, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 9.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q4 GDP Tracking
- New Home Sales Increased in November; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply
- New Home Sales Increase to 640,000 Annual Rate in November
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in November; Spending increased 0.1%
- Friday: Durable Goods, Personal Income & Outlays, New Home Sales
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate unchanged in November
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 58% YoY; New Listings Down 17% YoY
- Vehicle Sales Forecast: "Sales to Weaken Again in December"
- Lawler: Update on Rent Trends
- Q3 GDP Growth Revised Up to 3.2% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 216,000
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in November; Prepayments at Record Low
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 GDP (Third Estimate)
- The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
- Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.09 million SAAR in November; Median Prices Down 10.4% from Peak in June 2022
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.09 million SAAR in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
- CoreLogic: "Annual Single-Family Rent Price Growth Falls to Single Digits in October"
- November Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.427 million Annual Rate in November
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Remains Flat at 0.70% in November"
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in November; California Sales off 48% YoY
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Further in December
- Housing December 19th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.5% Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Another Step Down for Sales in November
- Schedule for Week of December 18, 2022
- COVID Dec 16, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- California November Existing Home Sales Down Almost 50% YoY, Prices Down YoY
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply in November
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 55% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 16%
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in November, Another significant step down in sales!
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in November
- Retail Sales Decreased 0.6% in November
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 211,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 50 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
- Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index Declines Further in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement and Press Conference
- CoreLogic: 1.1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q3 2022
- Housing, Inflation and Why the Fed Should Consider a Pause
- BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in November; Core CPI increased 0.2%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in November
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in November; Another step down in sales in November
- Housing December 12th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.5% Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: 50bp Hike, Increase "Terminal Rate"
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Solid in Q3
- Schedule for Week of December 11, 2022
- COVID Dec 9, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Q4 GDP Tracking
- Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Solid in Q3; Homeowners now relying on Home Equity lines to extract equity
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $0.4 Trillion in Q3
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in November
- Friday: PPI, Flow of Funds
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 53% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 8%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- 2023 Housing Forecasts
- AAR: November Rail Carloads Down Slightly Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 230,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Recession Watch
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in November
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined Slightly in November; Prices Down 14.2% Year-over-year
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- FDIC: Problem Banks Increased to 42 in Q3 2022
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Close to Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Trade Deficit increased to $78.2 Billion in October
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 10.1% YoY in October; Declined 0.1% MoM in October NSA
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in October; Down 3.2% since June
- ISM® Services Index Increased to 56.5% in November
- Housing December 5th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.6% Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Heavy Truck Sales Up 11% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.3% Below Peak
- Schedule for Week of December 4, 2022
- COVID Dec 2, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 0.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 53% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 17%
- Comments on November Employment Report
- November Employment Report: 263 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Vehicles Sales Declined to 14.14 million SAAR in November
- November Employment Preview
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in October
- Rents Falling Faster than "Seasonality Alone"
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.3% in October
- ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 49.0% in November
- Personal Income increased 0.7% in October; Spending increased 0.8%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 225,000
- Thursday: Personal Income & Outlays, Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
November 2022
- Fed's Beige Book: "Apartment leasing started to slow"
- Fed Chair Powell: "The time for moderating the pace of rate increases may come as soon as the December meeting"
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.3% Below Peak
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 4.6% in October, Year-over-year Down 37%
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.3 million in October
- Q3 GDP Growth Revised Up to 2.9% Annual Rate
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 127,000 in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: GDP, ADP Employment, Job Openings, Pending Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell and More
- Las Vegas October 2022: Visitor Traffic Down Just 0.8% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic UP
- FHFA Announces Baseline Conforming Loan Limit Will Increase to $726,200
- Comments on September Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline" to 10.6% year-over-year increase in September
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Join the CalculatedRisk Newsletter subscriber chat
- Housing November 28th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 49% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 17%
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "With rising cancellations, the Census Bureau overestimates New Home sales"
- Schedule for Week of November 27, 2022
- COVID Nov 25, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Case-Shiller, FHFA House Prices Indexes and Conforming Loan Limits will be released on Tuesday
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 20 States in October
- Five Economic Reasons to be Thankful
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in October
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Moving on up
- New Home Sales Increased in October; Completed Inventory Increased
- New Home Sales Increase to 632,000 Annual Rate in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 240,000
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, New Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
- November Vehicle Sales Forecast: Down slightly from October; Up 11% Year-over-year
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in October, Impacted by Hurricane
- Lawler: Likely "Dramatic shift" in Household Formation has "Major implications" for 2023
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases Slightly to 0.70% in October"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- Housing November 21st Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.9% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of November 20, 2022
- COVID Nov 18, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Early Q4 GDP Tracking
- More Analysis on October Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.43 million SAAR in October
- LA Port Traffic Down Sharply in October
- Friday: Existing Home Sales
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 45% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 18%
- October Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.425 million Annual Rate in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 222,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in October; California Sales off 37% YoY, Prices Fall; Early Read on October Sales
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index "decreases considerably" in October
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Further in November
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.1 Percent in October
- Retail Sales Increased 1.3% in October
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- Inflation: Comparing to 1980, and Core CPI ex-Shelter
- NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increases, Delinquencies "very low"
- Lawler: Are US Rents Falling?
- CoreLogic: Annual Single-Family Rent Growth Decelerates
- Tuesday: PPI, NY Fed Mfg, Q3 Household Debt and Credit
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- Housing November 14th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Heavy Truck Sales Up 13% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
- Schedule for Week of November 13, 2022
- COVID Nov 11, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Early Q4 GDP Tracking
- Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 9.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 42% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 20%
- Housing and Inflation
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease to New Survey Low in the Third Quarter of 2022"
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 225,000
- BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in October; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in October
- New Home Cancellations increased Sharply in Q3
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- CPI Preview and Owners' equivalent rent
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in October
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Close to Pre-Pandemic Levels
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- Tuesday: Small Business Survey
- Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for Most Loan Types; Stronger Demand for HELOCs
- Housing November 7th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in September; Down 2.6% since June
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in October; Prices Down 10.6% Year-over-year
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Solid Holiday Retail Sales Forecasts
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: “Interest rates have put the brakes on the market.”
- Schedule for Week of November 6, 2022
- COVID Nov 4, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- AAR: October Rail Carloads Up Slightly Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
- Realtor.com Weekly Inventory Up 40% Year-over-year; Now Above Same Week in 2020
- Early Q4 GDP Tracking and Upward Revisions to Q3 GDP
- Comments on October Employment Report
- October Employment Report: 261 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman October Payrolls Preview
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 40% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 13%
- October Employment Preview
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 54.4% in October
- “Interest rates have put the brakes on the market.”
- Trade Deficit increased to $73.3 Billion in September
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 217,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
- Fed's Powell: "Ultimate level of interest rates will be higher than previously expected"
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
- First Look at 2023 Housing Forecasts
- HVS: Q3 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 239,000 in October
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, ADP Employment
- Vehicles Sales "Surge" to 14.90 million SAAR in October
- How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Increase for 2023?
- BLS: Job Openings Increased to 10.7 million in September
- Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in September
- ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 50.2% in October
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 11.4% YoY in September; Declined 0.5% MoM in September NSA
- Tuesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
October 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in September
- Q3 2022 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
- Year-over-year Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow
- Housing October 31st Weekly Update: Inventory Increased, New High for 2022
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index "Continued to Decelerate"
- Schedule for Week of October 30, 2022
- COVID Oct 28, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 0.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Lawler: Selected Operating Results, Large Home Builders; Cancellation Rates Increasing Sharply
- NMHC: Survey shows "Apartment Market Softens" in October
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 10.2% in September, Year-over-year Down 31%
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in September; Spending increased 0.6%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
- Las Vegas September 2022: Visitor Traffic Down Just 3.5% Compared to 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 36% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 13%
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.3% Below Peak
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 217,000
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.6% Annualized Rate in Q3
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 38 States in September
- New Home Sales Decreased in September; Completed Inventory Increased
- New Home Sales Decrease to 603,000 Annual Rate in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Lowest Level Since 1997
- Wednesday: New Home Sales
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in September
- Lawler: Update on the Household “Conundrum”
- Comments on August Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decelerate" to 13.0% year-over-year increase in August
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
- October Vehicle Sales Forecast: "Signs of Life"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Housing October 24th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased, New High for 2022
- Sunday Night Futures
- Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of October 23, 2022
- COVID Oct 21, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Total Housing Completions Will Increase About 6% in 2022
- Q3 GDP Tracking: In 2% Range
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate decreased in September
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 34% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%
- More Analysis on September Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.71 million SAAR in September
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 214,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- LA Port Traffic Declined in September
- Fed's Beige Book: "Rising mortgage rates and elevated house prices further weakened single-family starts and sales"
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index "Moderates but remains healthy" in September
- September Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.439 million Annual Rate in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Lowest Level Since 1997
- Wednesday: Housing Starts, Beige Book
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in September, California Sales off 30% YoY
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased Sharply in October
- Industrial Production Increased 0.4 Percent in September
- Tuesday: Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.69% in September"
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September; CAR Predicts Home Prices to Decline 8.8% in 2023!
- Some "Good News" for Homebuilders
- Housing October 17th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased, New High for 2022
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Monthly Mortgage Payments Up Record Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of October 16, 2022
- COVID Oct 14, 2022: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving on Up
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Retail Sales Unchanged in September
- Friday: Retail Sales
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 31% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%
- House Prices to National Average Wage Index
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in September
- Cost of Living Adjustment increases 8.7% in 2023, Contribution Base increased to $160,200
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 228,000
- BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in September; Core CPI increased 0.6%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Minutes "Purposefully moving to a restrictive policy stance in the near term"
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Purchase Activity 7% Below Pandemic Low
- Wednesday: PPI, FOMC Minutes
- MBA: Mortgage Credit Availability was Never Excessive During the Recent Housing Boom
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in September
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Rises" in September
- Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October
- Housing October 10th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased Slightly; Now Above Same Week in 2020
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Housing Discussion with Fortune's Lance Lambert
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in September; Prices Down Slightly Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: 7 Years in Purgatory
- Schedule for Week of October 9, 2022
- COVID Oct 7 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- AAR: September Rail Carloads Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 30% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 17%
- Q3 GDP Tracking Close to 2%
- Comments on September Employment Report
- September Employment Report: 263 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman September Payrolls Preview
- September Employment Preview
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- "For many [home] sellers, it likely feels like the rug has been pulled out from underneath them"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 219,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q3, Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
- Apartments: Net Absorption Very Low in Q3, New Construction Deliveries Even Lower
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 56.7% in September
- Trade Deficit decreased to $67.4 Billion in August
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 208,000 in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey; Purchase Activity Below Pandemic Low
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
- Heavy Truck Sales Up 20% Year-over-year
- House Prices: 7 Years in Purgatory
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.1 million in August
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 13.5% YoY in August; Declined 0.7% MoM in August
- Tuesday: Job Openings, CoreLogic House Prices
- Vehicles Sales Increased to 13.49 million SAAR in September
- Q3 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 51 Institutions; Search for "Whale" Continues
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Home Prices Down Again in August ... Now 2% Off June Peak"
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.7% in August
- ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 50.9% in September
- Housing October 3rd Update: Inventory Increased 0.8% Last Week; Hits New Peak for 2022
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Close to Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of October 2, 2022
- COVID Sept 30, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
September 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in August
- Goldman Sees US House Prices Falling 5% to 10%
- Q3 GDP Tracking: 1% to 2% Range
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 29% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 10%
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in August; Spending increased 0.4%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, Chicago PMI
- Las Vegas August 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 10.9% Compared to 2019
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices Declined Further in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 193,000
- Q2 GDP Growth Unrevised at minus 0.6% Annual Rate
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, GDP
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 2.0% in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
- New Home Sales Increased in August; Completed Inventory Increased
- New Home Sales Increase to 685,000 Annual Rate in August
- Comments on July Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Decreases
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued its Deceleration" to 15.8% year-over-year increase in July
- Tuesday: Durable Goods, Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices, New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in August
- New Home Sales and Cancellations: Net vs Gross Sales
- Housing September 26th Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Last Week; Hits New Peak for 2022
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Monthly Mortgage Payments Up Record Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of September 25, 2022
- COVID Sept 23, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- September Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 13.7 million SAAR
- Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate decreased in August
- LA Port Traffic: Inbound Declined in August
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 28% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 10%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 213,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
- More Analysis on August Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.80 million SAAR in August
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows "Demand for design services accelerates" in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Statement
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- August Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.575 million Annual Rate in August
- Bloomberg: Home-Flipper Opendoor Hit With Losses in Echo of Zillow Collapse
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Declined in September
- Housing September 19th Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Last Week
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of September 18, 2022
- COVID Sept 16, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- California Home Sales off 24% YoY in August, Prices Up Only 1.4% YoY; August Existing Home Sales Forecast
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
- Predicting the Next Recession
- Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.2 Percent in August
- Retail Sales Increase 0.3% in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 213,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Philly Fed Mfg, NY Fed Mfg
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates at 6.30%; 14 Year High
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: PPI
- Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in August
- Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in August; Core CPI increased 0.6%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in August
- Mortgage Equity Withdrawal Still Strong in Q2; Homeowners now relying on Home Equity lines to extract equity
- Housing September 12th Update: Inventory Decreased 1.0% Last Week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate UP 3.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of September 11, 2022
- COVID Sept 9, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- AAR: August Rail Carloads Up Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Just Over 1%
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $6.1 Trillion in Q2
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August, Sales and New Listings Down Sharpy Year-over-year
- Friday: Q2 Flow of Funds
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Dips" in August
- FDIC: Problem Banks Unchanged, Residential REO Decreased Slightly in Q2 2022
- "Wholesale Used-Vehicle Prices Decline Substantially in August"
- Homebuilder Comments in August: Increased Incentives Helping Sales, "Construction cycle time has improved"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 222,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Fed Chair Powell
- Fed's Beige Book: "Residential real estate conditions weakened noticeably as home sales fell in all twelve Districts"
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Total market leverage was just 42% of mortgaged homes’ values, the lowest on record"
- Trade Deficit decreased to $70.6 Billion in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Trade Deficit, Beige Book
- Lawler: Are “National” Home Prices Already Falling?
- The Sharp Slowdown in Year-over-year House Price Growth
- ISM® Services Index Increased to 56.9% in August
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 15.8% YoY in July
- Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices, ISM Services
- Summer Teen Employment
- Housing September 5th Update: Inventory Dips Slightly
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of September 4, 2022
- COVID Sept 2, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Will House Prices Decline Nationally?
- Q3 GDP Forecasts: Just Over 1%
- Heavy Truck Sales Decline Slightly in August; Still Solid
- Comments on August Employment Report
- August Employment Report: 315 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Vehicles Sales Decreased to 13.18 million SAAR in August
- Goldman August Payrolls Preview
- August Employment Preview
- Active vs Total Existing Home Inventory
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.4% in July
- ISM® Manufacturing index Unchanged at 52.8% in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 232,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
August 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in July
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices Declined in June
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 132,000 in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, Chicago PMI
- Las Vegas July 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 5.3% Compared to 2019
- Comments on June Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 11.2 million in July
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Decelerated" to 18.0% year-over-year increase in June
- Pace of Rent Increases Continues to Slow
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates Pushing 6% Again
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up Slightly Year-over-year
- Housing Inventory August 29th Update
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of August 28, 2022
- COVID August 26, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Black Knight: Median House Prices Declined in July; First Decline in 32 Months
- Q3 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
- Fed Chair Powell: "Higher interest rates ... will also bring some pain to households and businesses"
- Personal Income increased 0.2% in July; Spending increased 0.1%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, Fed Chair Powell
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in July
- The Sellers Strike and Housing Inventory
- August Vehicle Sales Forecast: Unchanged at 13.3 million SAAR
- Q2 GDP Growth Revised Up to minus 0.6% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 243,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
- Update: Housing Completions will Increase Sharply in Late 2022 and Early 2023
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index "slows but remains healthy" in July
- Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows upward adjustment of 462,000 jobs
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 1.0% in July
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales, Preliminary Employment Benchmark Revision
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Decreased year-over-year in June
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply, Record Months of Unsold Inventory Under Construction
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 511,000 Annual Rate in July
- Tuesday: New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- Housing Inventory August 22nd Update: Growth has Slowed
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 3.6% in First Half of August; Goldman Sees Sharp Decline in User Car PCE Inflation
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of August 21, 2022
- COVID August 19, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 27% Year-over-year; New Listings Down 15%
- Slowdown in Showings Suggests a Further Decline in Existing Home Sales in August
- Q3 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
- LA Port Traffic: Mostly Steady in July
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.6% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- More Analysis on July Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.81 million SAAR in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 250,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
- FOMC Minutes "Participants anticipated that this slowdown in housing activity would continue"
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in July, California Sales off 31%, July Forecast
- Retail Sales "Unchanged" in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, FOMC Minutes
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
- July Housing Starts: Units Under Construction Declined Slightly
- Industrial Production Increased 0.6 Percent in July
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.446 million Annual Rate in July
- Tuesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.74% in July"
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in July, Sales Down Sharply
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Turns Slightly Negative in August
- Housing Inventory August 15th Update: Up 30.3% Year-over-year
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
- Summer Teen Employment
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of August 14, 2022
- COVID August 12, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Lawler: American Homes 4 Rent Slashing MLS Purchases of Single Family Homes
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 28% Year-over-year; Inventory growth is slowing
- Early Q3 GDP Forecasts
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in July
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Current State of the Housing Market
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2022"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 262,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Homebuyers Hit Brakes in July, Sellers Hold Back
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in July
- Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- BLS: CPI Unchanged in July; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- Vehicle Sales: Fleet Turnover Ratio and the Inflation Impact
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate increases in July
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- Housing Inventory Growth Has Slowed in Recent Weeks
- August 8th Update: Housing Inventory Increases Slow
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- AAR: July Rail Carloads Up Slightly Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of August 7, 2022
- COVID August 5, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- New Home Cancellations increased Sharply in Q2
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 0.1% in July
- Comments on July Employment Report
- July Employment Report: 528 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman July Payrolls Preview
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Denver Real Estate in July: Sales Off 31.6% YoY, Inventory Up 81.5%
- July Employment Preview
- Trade Deficit decreased to $79.6 Billion in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 260,000
- Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
- Heavy Truck Sales Solid in July
- How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Increase for 2023?
- ISM® Services Index Increased to 56.7% in July, Employment Contracted
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ISM Services
- Vehicles Sales Increased to 13.35 million SAAR in July
- Will 5% Mortgage Rates Cushion the Housing Market?
- NY Fed Q2 Report: Total Household Debt Surpasses $16 trillion
- HVS: Q2 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.7 million in June
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 18.3% YoY in June
- Tuesday: Job Openings, Q2 Household Debt and Credit, Vehicle Sales
- Construction Spending Decreased 1.1% in June
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 52.8% in July
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Record-Setting Slowdown in Home Price Growth"
- Housing Inventory August 1st Update: Up 32.3% Year-over-year
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
July 2022
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates Decrease to 5.13%
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of July 31, 2022
- COVID July 29, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in June
- Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace Continues to Slow
- Q2 2022 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.0% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Personal Income increased 0.6% in June; Spending increased 1.1%
- Friday: June Personal Income and Outlays
- Las Vegas June 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 7.8% Compared to 2019
- Median vs Repeat Sales Index House Prices
- A Few Comments on Q2 GDP and Investment
- BEA: Real GDP decreased at 0.9% Annualized Rate in Q2
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 256,000
- Thursday: Q2 GDP, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
- Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in May
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 8.6% in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
- July Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 13.3 million SAAR
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in June
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply, Record Months of Unsold Inventory Under Construction
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 590,000 Annual Rate in June
- Comments on May Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 19.7% year-over-year in May
- Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
- Will Housing Inventory Follow the Normal Seasonal Pattern?
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate increased in June; Remains Well below Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Housing Inventory July 25th Update: Up 30.5% Year-over-year
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: 75bp Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of July 24, 2022
- COVID July 22, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- BLS: Eight States Set New Record Series Low Unemployment rates in June
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Negative
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 29% Year-over-year
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Inventory Up, Sales Down Sharply, New Listings Picking Up
- NMHC: July Apartment Market Survey shows "Barely" Tighter Conditions
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 251,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- AIA: Architecture Billings Index shows "increasing demand" in June
- More Analysis on June Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.12 million SAAR in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
- Slowdown in Showings Suggests Further Declines in Existing Home Sales in Coming Months
- June Housing Starts: All-Time Record Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.559 million Annual Rate in June
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases Slightly to 0.81% in June"
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Sales Down Sharply, Inventory "Surged"
- NAHB: Builder Confidence "Plunges" to 55 in July
- Housing Inventory July 18th Update: Up 30% Year-over-year
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: Homebuilder Survey
- Record Single Family Investor Buying in Q1, Possible evidence of Slowdown in Q2
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of July 17, 2022
- COVID July 15, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Negative
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.2 Percent in June
- Retail Sales Increased 1.0% in June
- Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg
- Current State of the Housing Market
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 14.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- LA Port Traffic: Mostly Steady in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 244,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Fed's Beige Book: "Housing demand weakened noticeably"
- Lawler on Demographics: Observations and Updated Population Projections
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.8% in June
- Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- BLS: CPI increased 1.3% in June; Core CPI increased 0.7%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, Beige Book
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Slight Gain In June"
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Sales Down Sharply Year-over-year
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q2, Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
- Key Week for Inflation and Mortgage Rates
- Q2 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 52 Institutions; Search for "Whale" Continues
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in June
- Homebuilder Comments in June: “Someone turned out the lights on our sales in June!"
- Housing Inventory July 11th Update: Up 32% Year-over-year
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 2.9% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- AAR: June Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of July 10, 2022
- COVID July 8, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decreased 1.3% in June
- Apartment Vacancy Rate Declined in Q2
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Negative
- Comments on June Employment Report
- June Employment Report: 372 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman June Payrolls Preview
- June Employment Preview
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in June, Sales Down Sharply
- Trade Deficit decreased to $85.5 Billion in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 235,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 55.3% in June, Employment Contracted
- FOMC Minutes "Near-term inflation outlook had deteriorated"
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Early signs of cooling in the housing market"
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 11.3 million in May
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Services, FOMC Minutes
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates Decrease to 5.50%
- Heavy Truck Sales Solid in June
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 20.2% YoY in May
- Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices
- House Price Declines: How Long for Real Prices to Recover?
- Housing Inventory July 4th Update: Inventory Almost Double from March Low
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Recession Measures and NBER
- Zillow Case-Shiller Forecast for May: Slowing House Price Growth
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Vehicles Sales Increased to 13.00 million SAAR in June
- Schedule for Week of July 3, 2022
- COVID July 1, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Close to Zero
- Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace is slowing
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in May
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 53.0% in June
- Friday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
June 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in May
- Las Vegas May 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 6.6% Compared to 2019
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 25% Year-over-year
- Personal Income increased 0.5% in May; Spending increased 0.2%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 231,000
- Thursday: Personal Income & Outlays, Unemployment Claims, Chicago PMI
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 21% Year-over-year; Still up Sharply from Pre-pandemic Levels
- Worst Housing Affordability" since 1991 excluding Bubble; Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in April
- Q1 GDP Growth Revised down to minus 1.6% Annual Rate
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: GDP
- Predicting the Next Recession
- Comments on April Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Increased 20.4% Year-over-year in April
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in May
- Housing: Inventory will Tell the Tale; Altos Research Reports Inventory Above Peak in 2021
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 0.7% in May
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales, Dallas Fed Mfg
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of June 26, 2022
- COVID June 24, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Fairly Wide Range
- May New Home Sales Increase, Over 5 Months of Inventory Under Construction
- New Home Sales Increase to 696,000 Annual Rate in May
- Black Knight: "Past-Due Mortgages Fall to Third Consecutive Record Low in May"
- Friday: New Home Sales
- Fed: Banks Pass Annual Stress Test
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 21% Year-over-year
- New Home Sales and Cancellations
- June Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 13.3 million SAAR
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Bank Stress Tests
- AIA: "Architecture Billings Index slows but remains strong" in May
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May, Inventory Up, Sales Down, New Listings Picking Up
- Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.85% in May"
- More Analysis on May Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.41 million SAAR in May
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased Slightly year-over-year in April
- Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
- Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
- Housing Completions will Increase Sharply in 2022
- Housing Inventory June 20th Update: Inventory up 18.5% Year-over-year
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in May; Inventory Up, Sales Down, New Listings Picking Up
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of June 19, 2022
- COVID June 17, 2022, Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 17% Year-over-year
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down
- Slowdown in Showings, Sharp Decline in California Pending Sales, Inventory Surges
- Industrial Production Increased 0.2 Percent in May
- Friday: Industrial Production
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- May Housing Starts: All-Time Record Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.549 million Annual Rate in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- Fed Chair Powell: "Homebuyers need a bit of a reset"
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 75 bp
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 67 in June; "Traffic of prospective buyers" Falls below Breakeven
- Retail Sales Decreased 0.3% in May
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, Homebuilder Confidence, FOMC Statement
- LA Port Traffic: Steady in May
- Comparing the Current Housing Market to the 1978 to 1982 period
- A Very Early Look at 2023 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- BLS: PPI increased 0.8% in May; Core PPI increased 0.5%
- Goldman Expects 75bp Rate Hike
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates Increase to 6.13%
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in May, New Listings picking up
- Housing Inventory June 13th Update: Inventory up 15.9% Year-over-year
- Five High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: 50bp Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of June 12, 2022
- COVID June 10, 2022: Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths Increasing
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates increase to 5.85%
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Close to 3.0%
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.6% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.8% in May
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 13% Year-over-year
- BLS: CPI increased 1.0% in May; Core CPI increased 0.6%
- Friday: CPI
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 12.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- The Home ATM Still Open in Q1 2022; Closing Soon
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $0.55 Trillion in Q1
- CoreLogic: 1.1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q1 2022
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 229,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q1 Flow of Funds
- Homebuilder Comments in May: “Builder metrics quickly deteriorating"
- Current State of the Housing Market
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Purchase Index
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Shows Gains in May"
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in May, Inventory up Sharply
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in May
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Increased Slightly in May
- Trade Deficit decreased to $87.1 Billion in April
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit
- AAR: May Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: "Housing costs to current income levels within a whisper of all time high in 2006"
- Housing Inventory June 6th Update: Inventory UP 13.9% Year-over-year
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Vehicle Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of June 5, 2022
- COVID June 3, 2022: Hospitalizations Increasing
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 11% Year-over-year
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 3.0%
- When will House Price Growth Slow?
- Comments on May Employment Report
- May Employment Report: 390 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman May Payrolls Preview
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 3.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- May Employment Preview
- Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace is slowing
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 200,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 128,000 in May
- Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims
- Vehicles Sales Decreased to 12.68 million SAAR in May
- Fed's Beige Book: "Residential real estate contacts observed weakness"
- Worst Housing Affordability" since 1991 excluding Bubble; Real House Prices and Price-to-Rent Ratio in March
- Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in April
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 11.4 million in April
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 56.1% in May
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Beige Book, Vehicle Sales
May 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 50% Year-over-year; Still up Sharply from Pre-pandemic Levels
- Comments on March Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases; New Record Monthly Increase
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 20.6% year-over-year in March
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed Mfg
- Lawler: Large Builders Acquired Lots of Lots over the Last Year
- Housing Inventory May 30th Update: Inventory UP 5.7% Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of May 29, 2022
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: Around 3.0%
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in April
- Las Vegas April 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 4.5% Compared to 2019
- Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in April; Spending increased 0.9%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 9% Year-over-year
- May Vehicle Sales Forecast: Decrease to 13.4 million SAAR
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 3.9% in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 210,000
- Q1 GDP Growth Revised down to minus 1.5% Annual Rate
- MBA: "Mortgage Application Payments Jumped 8.8 Percent to $1,889 in April"
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 50 States in April
- FOMC Minutes: "Risks to inflation were skewed to the upside"; 50bp increases likely appropriate at next couple of meetings
- The Household Mystery: Part II
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Durable Goods, FOMC Minutes
- FDIC: Problem Banks Declined, Residential REO Increased Slightly in Q1 2022
- U.S. Births increased Slightly in 2021, First increase since 2014
- April New Home Sales Decline Sharply, almost 6 Months of Inventory Under Construction
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 591,000 Annual Rate in April
- Tuesday: New Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
- BofA: "High hurdles to rebalance the existing home market"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- Housing Inventory May 23rd Update: Inventory UP 8.2% Week-over-week
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Quarterly Starts by Purpose and Design: "Built for rent" Increasing
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of May 22, 2022
- Q2 GDP Forecasts: 2.5% to 3.0%
- Lawler: The Sharp increase in Monthly Payments in Selected Metro Areas
- Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Yet Another Record Low in April"
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up 5% Year-over-year
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.9% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- More Analysis on April Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.61 million SAAR in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April
- AIA: "Architecture Billings Index moderates slightly, remains strong" in April
- April Housing Starts: All-Time Record Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.724 million Annual Rate in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets; California Inventory up More Than 20% Year-over-year
- LA Port Traffic: Imports Steady in April
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 69 in May, "Housing market is now slowing"
- Industrial Production Increased 1.1 Percent in April
- Retail Sales Increased 0.9% in April
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, Fed Chair Powell
- A Slowdown in Showings
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.94% in April"
- Lawler: Mortgage/Treasury Spreads Part II: “Decomposing” the Widening This Year
- Housing Inventory May 16th Update: Inventory UP 1.5% Year-over-Year
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Q2 GDP Forecasts
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of May 15, 2022
- COVID May 13, 2022: New Cases and Hospitalizations Increasing
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.1% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- What will Happen with House Prices?
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Rises in April"
- Mortgage Rates Move Lower
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory Up Slightly Year-over-year; First Year-over-year Increase Since 2019
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 203,000
- Thursday: PPI, Unemployment Claims
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in April; Inventory increasing, No Surge in New Listings
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in April
- BLS: CPI increased 0.3% in April; Core CPI increased 0.6%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- Mortgage Originations by Credit Score and Age
- NY Fed Q1 Report: Total Household Debt Increases to $15.8 trillion
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in April
- Tuesday: Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
- Homebuilder Comments in April: “Demand is slowing", "Investors pulling back"
- Fed Survey: Banks reported Eased Standards, Weaker Demand for Residential Real Estate Loans
- Housing Market: Where it's at. Where it's going. May 2022 Update
- Housing Inventory May 9th Update: Inventory Down 1.6% Year-over-Year
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Vehicle Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of May 8, 2022
- COVID May 6, 2022: New Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths Increasing
- AAR: April Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in April; Realtor.com shows active inventory down only 3% year-over-year
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decline Seasonally Adjusted in April
- Comments on April Employment Report
- April Employment Report: 428 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman April Payrolls Preview
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Lawler: Mortgage/Treasury Spreads, Part I
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the First Quarter of 2022"
- April Employment Preview
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 200,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 50bp; Runoff Starts June 1st
- Denver Real Estate in April: Active Inventory up Sharply
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 57.1% in April, Employment Contracted
- Trade Deficit increased to $109.8 Billion in March
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 247,000 in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, ISM Services
- April Vehicles Sales increased to 14.29 million SAAR
- Fannie REO inventory increased in Q1 year-over-year; Expected to increase further in 2022
- Rent Increases Up Sharply Year-over-year, Pace may be slowing
- BLS: Job Openings at Series High 11.5 million in March
- CoreLogic: House Prices up Record 20.9% YoY in March
- Tuesday: Job Openings, Corelogic House Prices, Vehicle Sales
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices: Down from Recent Peak, but increasing Recently
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Record Low Delinquencies, "Home Affordability Nears All-Time Low"
- Construction Spending Increased 0.1% in March
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 55.4% in April
- Housing Inventory May 2nd Update: Inventory Down 4.9% Year-over-Year
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
- Housing: "What Killed the Home ATM in 2006?"
- FOMC Preview: 50bp Rate Hike, Announce "commencement of balance sheet runoff"
April 2022
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of May 1, 2022
- COVID Update: Hospitalizations and New Cases Increasing
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in March
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Inventory down only 6% Year-over-year
- Personal Income increased 0.5% in March; Spending increased 1.1%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI
- NMHC: April Apartment Market Survey shows Tighter Conditions
- Las Vegas March 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 10% Compared to 2019
- A Few Comments on Q1 GDP and Investment
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 180,000
- BEA: Real GDP decreased at 1.4% Annualized Rate in Q1
- MBA: Median Mortgage Application Payment Up 5.0% in March compared to February
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
- Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: 20% YoY in March
- Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in February; Worst "Affordability" since Housing Bubble
- HVS: Q1 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 1.2% in March
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Pending Home Sales, Q1 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
- Lawler: More on Demographics
- March New Home Sales: Little Completed Inventory, High Number of Homes Under Construction
- Comments on February Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases; New Record Monthly Increase
- New Home Sales decrease to 763,000 Annual Rate in March
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 19.8% year-over-year in February
- Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, Richmond Fed Mfg
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in March
- Housing and Demographics
- Housing Inventory April 25th Update: Inventory up 1.7% Week-over-week; Up 14.2% from Seasonal Bottom
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Low in March"
- Sunday Night Futures
- U.S. Demographics: Largest 5-year cohorts, and Ten most Common Ages in 2021
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of April 24, 2022
- COVID Update: Hospitalizations Starting to Increase
- April Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 14.5 million SAAR
- Yellen: Inflation May have Peaked
- "Examining Resolution of Mortgage Forbearances and Delinquencies"
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
- Fed's Powell: "50 basis points will be on the table for the May meeting"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in March and Housing Inventory Milestones to Watch
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.6% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 184,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Fed Chair Powell on Global Economy
- AIA: "Pace of demand for design services rapidly accelerates" in March
- Fed's Beige Book: "Strong demand for residential real estate but limited supply"
- More Analysis on March Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 5.77 million SAAR in March
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, Beige Book
- Lawler: CoreLogic Home Purchases by Non-Investors and Investors
- March Existing Home Sales Forecast and 4th Look at Local Housing Markets
- March Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.793 million Annual Rate in March
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.05% in March"
- Goldman Sachs "Will Higher Rates Put Out the Housing Fire?"
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 77 in April, "Housing Market at Inflection Point"
- Four High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Housing Inventory April 18th Update: Inventory up 3.7% Week-over-week; Up 12.3% from Seasonal Bottom
- Monday: Homebuilder Suvery
- BLS: 12 States Set New Record Series Low Unemployment rates in March
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of April 17, 2022
- Twin Cities: No Slowdown in Showings
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
- Industrial Production Increased 0.9 Percent in March
- Friday: NY Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
- LA Area Port Traffic: Record March Inbound Traffic
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Retail Sales Increased 0.5% in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 185,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
- Office Vacancy Rates for Two SoCal Counties
- How High will Mortgage Rates Rise?
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: PPI
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in March
- BLS: CPI increased 1.2% in March; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Apartment Vacancy Rate Declined in Q1
- Housing Inventory April 11th Update: Inventory up 2.3% Week-over-week; Up 8.3% from Seasonal Bottom
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Second Home Markets and FHFA Changes as of April 1st
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of April 10, 2022
- COVID Update: Deaths Under 500 per day, Lowest since August 2021
- Reis: Regional Mall Vacancy Rate Decreased in Q1
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rates Unchanged in Q1
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
- "Unpacking builders’ market sentiment with Rick Palacios"
- AAR: March Rail Carloads Up Year-over-year, Intermodal Down
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March: A Sea Change in Active Inventory
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decline Seasonally Adjusted in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 166,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Minutes: Plans for Reducing the Size of the Balance Sheet
- Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications, FOMC Minutes
- Q1 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 54 Institutions
- Denver Real Estate: Active Inventory up Sharply in March
- ISM® Services Index Increased to 58.3% in March
- Trade Deficit Mostly Unchanged at $89.2 Billion in February
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 20% YoY in February
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit, CoreLogic House Prices, ISM Services
- Lawler: What is the Yield Curve Signaling?
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices: Down from Recent Peak, Up Triple from 2 Years Ago
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for February: "Tightest affordability in 15 years"
- Housing Inventory April 4th Update: Inventory up 0.7% Week-over-week; Up 5.9% from Seasonal Bottom
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: February similar to January Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of April 3, 2022
- March Vehicles Sales decreased to 13.33 million SAAR
- It is the Change in Monthly Payment that Matters
- Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in February
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Barely Positive
- Comments on March Employment Report
- March Employment Report: 431 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
March 2022
- Housing: Don't Compare the Current Housing Boom to the Bubble and Bust
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in February
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- March Employment Preview
- Personal Income increased 0.5% in February; Spending increased 0.2%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 202,000
- Thursday: Personal Income and Outlays, Unemployment Claims
- Las Vegas February 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 18% Compared to 2019
- Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in January and a look at "Affordability"
- Q4 GDP Growth Revised down to 6.9% Annual Rate
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 455,000 in March
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: GDP, ADP Employment
- Mortgage Rates Ease Slightly
- Comments on January Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
- BLS: Job Openings "little changed" at 11.3 million in February
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 19.2% year-over-year in January
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller, Job Openings
- Housing Inventory Has Bottomed
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Census: Record 37.9% of adult population in the United States has a bachelor’s degree or higher
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of March 27, 2022
- COVID Update: March 25, 2022; Deaths at 732 per Day, Lowest Since August 2021
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in February
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Under 1%
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 4.1% in February
- Friday: Pending Home Sales
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 4% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- New Home Sales and Cancellations
- Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 187,000; Lowest Since 1969
- MBA: Median Mortgage Application Payment Up 8.3% from January
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
- AIA: "Demand for design service continues to grow" in February
- February New Home Sales: Few Completed Inventory, High Number of Homes Under Construction
- New Home Sales decrease to 772,000 Annual Rate in February
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales
- March Vehicle Sales Forecast: Decrease to 13.4 million SAAR
- Distressing Gap: Existing and New Home Sales
- Mortgage Rates Moving Closer to 5%
- Goldman: Expecting Fed to hike 50bps in May and Start Balance Sheet Reduction
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.18% in February"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Fed Chair Powell: FOMC "Not assuming significant near-term supply-side relief" on inflation
- Housing Inventory March 21st Update: Inventory down slightly Week-over-week; Up 3% from 2 weeks Ago
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Monday: Fed Chair Powell "Economic Outlook"
- LA Area Port Traffic: Record February Inbound Traffic
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of March 20, 2022
- COVID Update: March 18, 2022; Deaths at 1,000 per Day, Lowest Since December 2021
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 1%
- More Analysis on February Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 6.02 million SAAR in February
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 10% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Friday: Existing Home Sales
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
- February Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
- Industrial Production Increased 0.5 Percent in February
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.769 million Annual Rate in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 214,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
- Housing, the Fed, Interest Rates and Inflation
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25bps
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 79 in March
- Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in February
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Retail Sales, Homebuilder Survey
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Predicting the Next Recession
- Tuesday: PPI, NY Fed Mfg
- "Mortgage Rates Explode Higher"
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in February
- Housing Inventory May Have Bottomed Seasonally
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Liftoff
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of March 13, 2022
- COVID Update: March 11, 2022; New Cases at 35,000, Lowest Since July 2021
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Close to Zero
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates Highest in almost 3 Years
- The Home ATM Open in Q4 2021; Closing in 2022, aka Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW)
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $5.3 Trillion in Q4
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in February
- CoreLogic: Homeowners with Negative Equity Lowest in Over 12 Years
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 227,000
- BLS: CPI increased 0.8% in February; Core CPI increased 0.5%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims, Q4 Flow of Funds
- Vehicle Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
- BLS: Job Openings "little changed" at 11.3 million in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Job Openings
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Recovers in February"
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Trade Deficit Increased to $89.7 Billion in January
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit
- Homebuilder Comments in February: “Demand is still high"
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for January: "$275 billion in equity withdrawn" in 2021
- Housing Inventory March 7th Update: Inventory Down 1.4% Week-over-week; New Record Low; Possible Bottom
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices Decline in February
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Weather Adjusted Employment Gains in February
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of March 6, 2022
- COVID Update: March 4, 2022; Under 50,000 New Cases First Time Since July 2021
- AAR: February Rail Carloads and Intermodal Up Year-over-year; Still Soft
- Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down
- Comments on February Employment Report
- February Employment Report: 678 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: February Employment Report
- Goldman February Payrolls Preview
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- February Employment Preview
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 56.5% in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 215,000
- Thursday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
- Fed's Beige Book: "Supply chain issues and low inventories continued to restrain growth"
- The War and Mortgage Rates
- Fed Chair Powell: Raise Rates in March, Effects of Invasion "highly uncertain"
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 475,000 in February
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony, ADP Employment, Beige Book
- February Vehicles Sales decreased to 14.07 million SAAR
- Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
- Construction Spending Increased 1.3% in January
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 58.6% in February
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 19.1% YoY in January; "Highest Level in at Least 45 Years"
- Tuesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
February 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in January
- Median vs Repeat Sales Index House Prices
- Housing Inventory February 28th Update: Inventory Down 1.3% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Las Vegas Visitor Authority for January 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 27.5% Compared to 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of February 27, 2022
- COVID Update: February 25, 2022: Hoping to Stop Daily COVID Posts in March!
- Zillow Case-Shiller House Price Forecast: "Reaccelerating" in January
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Around 2%
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 5.7% in January
- Personal Income increased slightly in January; Spending increased 2.1%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in January
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 8% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- January New Home Sales: Record 106 thousand Homes Have Not been Started
- New Home Sales decrease to 801,000 Annual Rate in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 232,000
- Q4 GDP Growth Revised up to 7.0% Annual Rate
- Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in January; "Foreclosure Starts Surge"
- Thursday: New Home Sales, GDP, Unemployment Claims
- "Mortgage Rates Hit New Multi-Year Highs"; Highest Since 2019
- Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in December and a look at "Affordability"
- AIA: "Architecture billings continue growth" in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- "Mortgage Rates Edging Back Up Toward Long-Term Highs"
- February Vehicle Sales Forecast: Decrease to 14.2 million SAAR
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.30% in January"
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 18.8% year-over-year in December
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- Housing Inventory February 21st Update: Inventory Down Slightly Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Quarterly Starts by Purpose and Design: "Built for rent" Increasing
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of February 20, 2022
- COVID Update: February 18, 2022: Falling Cases, Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 14% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Moving Up to Around 2%
- More Analysis on January Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 6.50 million SAAR in January
- LA Area Port Traffic: Record Inbound Traffic for January
- Friday: Existing Home Sales
- January Forecast and 4th Look at Local Housing Markets
- January Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 248,000
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.638 million Annual Rate in January
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- Fannie and Freddie: REO inventory declined in Q4 year-over-year; Expected to increase in 2022
- FOMC Minutes: "Faster" is the Word
- Thoughts on Housing Supply and Demand With 30-year mortgage rates above 4%
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 82 in February
- Industrial Production Increased 1.4 Percent in January
- Retail Sales Increased 3.8% in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, FOMC Minutes
- Boston: "Soft" Housing Sales in January due to Lack of Inventory
- The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP
- Tuesday: PPI, NY Fed Mfg
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in January
- A Few Comments on Inflation
- Housing Inventory February 14th Update: Inventory Down 2.5% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of February 13, 2022
- COVID Update: February 11, 2022: Falling Cases, Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Lawler: Deaths by Age
- Missing Workers by Age Group
- Q1 GDP Forecasts: Slightly Positive
- Lawler: Update on US Demographic Drivers in 2021
- "Mortgage Rates Hit 4.0% For First Time Since May 2019"
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 16% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- The Impact on Housing of Higher Mortgage Rates
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.6% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in January
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Fourth Quarter of 2021"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 223,000
- BLS: CPI increased 0.6% in January; Core CPI increased 0.6%
- Thursday: CPI, Initial Unemployment Claims
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- COVID February 8, 2022: New Cases and Hospitalizations Declining
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Falls in January"
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- NY Fed Q4 Report: Total Household Debt Increases to $15.6 trillion
- Trade Deficit Increased to $80.7 Billion in December
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit, NY Fed Household Debt and Credit
- U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Decline 24 Percent in 2021
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor for December: "Worst affordability levels since 2008"
- Housing Inventory February 7th Update: Inventory Down 5.9% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of February 6, 2022
- COVID Update: February 4, 2022: Falling Cases and Hospitalizations; 2,400 Deaths per Day
- "Mortgage Rates Leap Toward 4.0%, Highest Since October 2019"
- AAR: January Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 12% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Comments on January Employment Report
- January Employment Report: 467 thousand Jobs, 4.0% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman January Payrolls Preview
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices
- January Employment Preview
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 59.9% in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 238,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
- Mike Simonsen of Altos Research and I Discuss Housing
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up More Than Double from Two Years Ago
- HVS: Q4 2021 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- ADP: Private Employment Decreased 301,000 in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, Q4 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
- January Vehicles Sales increased to 15.04 million SAAR
- Las Vegas Visitor Authority for December: Visitor Traffic Down 13.3% Compared to 2019
- Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
- Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in December
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 57.6% in January
- BLS: Job Openings "little changed" at 10.9 million in December
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 18.5% YoY in December
- Tuesday: Construction Spending, Job Openings, ISM Mfg
January 2022
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in December
- Median vs Repeat Sales Index House Prices
- Housing Inventory January 31st Update: Inventory Down 1.9% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Q4 2021 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of January 30, 2022
- COVID Update: January 28, 2022: Falling Cases and Hospitalizations; 2,300 Deaths per Day
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 16% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- NMHC: January Apartment Market Survey shows "Strong Demand, Record-High Occupancy, Double Digit Rent Growth"
- LA Area Port Traffic: Disappointing Traffic in December
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in December; Spending decreased 0.6%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- A Few Comments on Q4 GDP and Investment
- Real House Prices, Price-to-Rent Ratio and Price-to-Median Income in November
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 3.8% in December
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 6.9% Annualized Rate in Q4
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 260,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
- FOMC Statement: End Asset Purchases in Early March, "Soon appropriate" to Raise Rates
- December New Home Sales: Inventory of homes under construction highest since 2007
- New Home Sales increase to 811,000 Annual Rate in December; Sales down 7.3% in 2021
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales, FOMC Statement
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate decreased in December
- January Vehicle Sales Forecast: Increase to 15.1 million SAAR
- Comments on Case-Shiller and FHFA House Price Increases
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 18.8% year-over-year in November
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Housing Inventory January 24th Update: Inventory Down 2.4% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Final Asset Purchase Announcement Expected; Hints at "Liftoff" in March
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of January 23, 2022
- COVID Update January 21, 2022: New Cases Declining
- 1.44 million Total Housing Completions in 2021 including Manufactured Homes; Most since 2007
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 16% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q4 GDP Forecasts: 5% to 6%
- Black Knight: National Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in December; Foreclosures at Record Low
- COVID Update, January 20, 2022
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in December
- More Analysis on December Existing Home Sales
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 6.18 million in December
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 286,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- AIA: "Architecture firms end 2021 on a strong note" in December
- December Housing Starts: Most Housing Units Under Construction Since 1973
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.702 million Annual Rate in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 1.41% in December 2021"
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 83 in January
- Tuesday: NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
- Housing Inventory January 17th Update: Inventory Down 2.9% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Used Vehicle Wholesale Prices
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of January 16, 2022
- COVID January 14, 2022: Record Cases and Hospitalizations
- Q4 GDP Forecasts: Around 6%
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.1 Percent in December
- Retail Sales Decreased 1.9% in December
- Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 15% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 230,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Fed's Beige Book: "A sudden pull back in leisure travel, hotel occupancy and patronage at restaurants"
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in December
- Mortgage Rates: Moving on Up; Refinance Activity Will Slow Sharply
- BLS: CPI increased 0.5% in December; Core CPI increased 0.6%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- Update: The Inland Empire
- Homebuilder Comments in December: “Still a ton of demand for new homes"
- Missing Workers by Age Group
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate "Declines in December"; Up Sharply Year-over-year
- Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell Nomination Hearing
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Up 75% Year-over-year
- Q4 2021 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 57 Institutions
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Housing Inventory January 10th Update: Inventory Down 0.5% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Six High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Lawler: More on Investor Purchases of Single-Family Homes
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of January 9, 2022
- COVID Update Jan 7, 2022
- AAR: December Rail Carloads Down Compared to 2019; Intermodal Up
- Q4 GDP Forecasts: Moving Down
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down "Slightly" Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Rents Still Increasing Sharply Year-over-year
- Comments on December Employment Report
- December Employment Report: 199 thousand Jobs, 3.9% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman December Payrolls Preview
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- December Employment Preview
- ISM® Services Index Decreased to 62.0% in December
- Trade Deficit Increased to $80.2 Billion in November
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 207,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
- Apartment Vacancy Rate Declined in Q4
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rates Decreased Slightly in Q4
- Annual Vehicle Sales increase 3% in 2021; Sales Mix and Heavy Trucks
- ADP: Private Employment increased 807,000 in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease over Two-Week Period
- December Vehicles Sales decreased to 12.44 million SAAR
- Wednesday: ADP Employment
- Will the unprecedented surge in investor purchases of SF homes continue?
- Question #1 for 2022: How much will the economy grow in 2022?
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 58.7% in December
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.6 million in November
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 18.1% YoY in November
- Tuesday: Corelogic House Prices, Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Vehicle Sales
- Question #2 for 2022: Will the remaining jobs lost in 2020 return in 2022, or will job growth be sluggish?
- Question #3 for 2022: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2022?
- Question #4 for 2022: Will the overall participation rate increase to pre-pandemic levels (63.4% in February 2020)?
- Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in November
- Housing Inventory January 3rd Update: Inventory Down 5.4% Week-over-week; New Record Low
- Seven High Frequency Indicators for the Economy
- Sunday Night Futures
- Question #5 for 2022: Will the core inflation rate increase or decrease by December 2022?
- Question #6 for 2022: Will the Fed raise rates in 2022? If so, how many times?
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week
- Schedule for Week of January 2, 2022