2023
1,547 posts
2023 1,547
December 2023
- Update: Lumber Prices Up 9.6% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.8% year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of December 31, 2023
- Dec 29th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 25 States in November (3-Month Basis)
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in November; Up 6.3% Year-over-year
- Question #10 for 2024: Will inventory increase further in 2024?
- Friday: Chicago PMI
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.5% Year-over-year
- Las Vegas November 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 3%
- Update on FirstAm Cyber Attack
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Unchanged in November; Down 5.2% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 6.7% below recent peak
- Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in November: Single Family Mostly Unchanged, Multi-Family Increased
- Wednesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on October Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.8% year-over-year in October
- FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Housing December 25th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.9% Week-over-week, Up 3.9% Year-over-year
- Happy Holidays!
- Ten Economic Questions for 2024
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November
- Schedule for Week of December 24, 2023
- Dec 22nd COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
- AIA: "Architecture firm billings continue to decline in November"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 16th Consecutive Month
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in November
- New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November; Average New Home Price is Down 14% from the Peak
- New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.7% YoY in November
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in November; Spending increased 0.2%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, New Home Sales
- December Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.7 million SAAR, Up 16% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 1.1% Year-over-year
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in November
- Q3 GDP Growth Revised down to 4.9% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 205,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2023
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.82 million SAAR in November; Months-of-Supply Close to 2019 Levels
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.82 million SAAR in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in November, California Home Sales Down 6% YoY in October
- Single Family Starts Increase Sharply in November, Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.560 million Annual Rate in November
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.26% in November"
- Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November; Treasury and MBS Yields: There and Back Again
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in December
- Housing December 18th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.4% Week-over-week, Up 3.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.1% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The Coming Fed Rate Cuts and the Impact on Mortgage Rates
- Schedule for Week of December 17, 2023
- Dec 15th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
- Q4 GDP Tracking: 1.5% to 2.6% Range
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Increased in November
- Industrial Production Increased 0.2% in November
- Friday: NY Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
- The Coming Fed Rate Cuts and the Impact on Mortgage Rates
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 4.0% YoY; New Listings up 6.8% YoY
- Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in November
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 202,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, PPI
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in November
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.1% in November; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Tuesday: CPI
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in November with Comparison to 2019
- Why 25 to 54 is the Prime Working Age group for the Participation Rate
- Housing December 11th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.7% Week-over-week, Up 1.9% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 3.1% YoY; New Listings up 5.6% YoY
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3
- Schedule for Week of December 10, 2023
- Dec 8th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
- AAR: November Carloads Down Slightly YoY; Intermodal Up
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
- Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Comments on November Employment Report
- November Employment Report: 199 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- November Employment Preview
- The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $1.3 Trillion in Q3
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 2.1% in November; Down 5.8% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 220,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 Flow of Funds
- Heavy Truck Sales Increased in November, up 5% YoY
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in November with Comparison to 2019
- Trade Deficit increased to $64.3 Billion in October
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 103,000 in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 52.7% in November
- Asking Rents Down 1.1% Year-over-year
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.7 million in October
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 4.7% Year-over-year in October
- Tuesday: Job Openings, ISM Services
- Update: Lumber Prices Up Slightly YoY
- ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "Home prices continued sending mixed signals in October"
- Housing December 4th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.8% Week-over-week, Up 1.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.4% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October
- Schedule for Week of December 3, 2023
- Dec 1st COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- Vehicles Sales decrease to 15.32 million SAAR in November; Up 7% YoY
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
- CES Strike Report: Ending Strikes will Boost November Employment
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.0% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 6.9% below recent peak
- Construction Spending Increased 0.6% in October
- ISM® Manufacturing index Unchanged at 46.7% in November
- Friday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Fed Chair Powell, Vehicle Sales
November 2023
- Las Vegas October 2023: Visitor Traffic Down Slightly YoY; Convention Traffic Up 2%
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 1.8% YoY; New Listings up 8.9% YoY
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in October to New High; Up 6.0% Year-over-year
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 1.5% in October; Down 8.5% Year-over-year; Lowest Number of Record
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.9% YoY in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000
- Personal Income increased 0.2% in October; Spending increased 0.2%
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
- Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in October: Single Family Declined, Multi-Family Increased
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity slowed since the previous report"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- Q3 GDP Growth Revised up to 5.2% Annual Rate
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: GDP, Beige Book
- FHFA Announces Baseline Conforming Loan Limit Will Increase to $766,550
- Comments on September Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.9% year-over-year in September; New all-time High
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- TSA: Airline Travel Above 2019 Levels
- New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October; Median New Home Price is Down 18% from the Peak
- New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October
- Housing November 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Down Week-over-week, Up Slightly Year-over-year
- Monday: New Home Sales
- 2024 Conforming Loan Limits Will be Released on Tuesday
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.79 million SAAR in October; New Cycle Low
- Schedule for Week of November 26, 2023
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.6% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 1.5% YoY; New Listings up 5.0% YoY
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Five Economic Reasons to be Thankful
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in October
- November Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up 11% YoY
- Lawler on Existing Home Sales, Population Projections and Household Slowdown
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 209,000
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
- FOMC Minutes: "All participants agreed that the Committee was in a position to proceed carefully"
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.79 million SAAR in October; New Cycle Low, Months-of-Supply Close to 2019 Levels
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.79 million SAAR in October
- Tuesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.29% in October"
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Increases in October
- Housing November 20th Weekly Update: Inventory Up Slightly Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.8% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Census Long-Term Population Projections Are MASSIVELY Lower Than Previous Projections
- Schedule for Week of November 19, 2023
- Nov 17th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Close to 2%
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October
- October Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.372 million Annual Rate in October
- Friday: Housing Starts
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP YoY
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in November
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.6% in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 231,000
- Thursday: Industrial Production, Unemployment Claims, Homebuilder Survey
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- AIA: "Continuing Decline in Architecture Billings"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 15th Consecutive Month
- Retail Sales Decreased 0.1% in October
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, NY Fed Mfg
- Lawler: New Census Long-Term Population Projections Are MASSIVELY Lower Than Previous Projections
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in October
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Unchanged in October; Core CPI increased 0.2%
- Tuesday: CPI
- A Few Comments on a Possible Government Shutdown
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
- Housing November 13th Weekly Update: Inventory Mostly Flat Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- When will the Fed Cut Rates?
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Inventory will Tell the Tale
- Schedule for Week of November 12, 2023
- Nov 10th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Third Quarter of 2023
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in October
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Starting Close to 2%
- Friday: Veterans Day
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
- Census: U.S. Population Projected to Begin Declining in Second Half of Century
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 4.0% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly New Listings UP 0.6% YoY; Active Inventory Down Only 0.2% YoY
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 217,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Update: Lumber Prices Down Slightly YoY
- Housing: Inventory will Tell the Tale
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased in October, Down 8% YoY
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in October; Early Reporting Markets suggest some month-to-month increase in Sales in October, SAAR
- NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 2.3% in October; Down 4.0% Year-over-year
- Trade Deficit increased to $61.5 Billion in September
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit
- Fed SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
- ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "It’s fair to expect prices to weaken later in 2023"
- Housing November 6th Weekly Update: Inventory Still Increasing, Up 0.8% Week-over-week
- Monday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.7% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index Up 2.6% year-over-year in August
- Schedule for Week of November 5, 2023
- Nov 3rd COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
- AAR: October Rail Combined Carloads and Intermodal Highest Since June 2021
- Lawler: Single-Family Rent Results
- Heavy Truck Sales Decline in October, Unchanged YoY
- Comments on October Employment Report
- October Employment Report: 150 thousand Jobs, 3.9% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- October Employment Preview
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly New Listings UP 5.6% YoY; Active Inventory Down 1.0% YoY
- Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 217,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Vehicles Sales decrease to 15.5 million SAAR in October; Up 6% YoY
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Rates
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.1% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.0% below recent peak
- Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in September
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.7% in October
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 9.6 million in September
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 113,000 in October
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Job Openings, Vehicle Sales, ISM Manufacturing and More
October 2023
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in September to New High; Up 5.2% Year-over-year
- Las Vegas September 2023: Visitor Traffic Down Slightly YoY; Convention Traffic Up 9%
- HVS: Q3 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates; Rental Vacancy Rates Increased
- Comments on August Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 2.6% year-over-year in August; New all-time High
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
- Goldman: 2024 Inflation Outlook
- Housing October 30th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.5% Week-over-week; Down 2.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.8% Year-over-year
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales increase to 759,000 Annual Rate in September
- Schedule for Week of October 29, 2023
- Oct 27th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
- October CES Strike Report
- Fannie and Freddie: Single-Family Mortgage Delinquency Rate Mostly Unchanged in September
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 7.2% YoY in September
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in September; Spending increased 0.7%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.0% YoY; New Listings Down 1.0% YoY
- CoreLogic: "US Serious Mortgage Delinquency Rate Drops to All-Time Low in August"
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 1.1% in September; Down 11% Year-over-year
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.9% Annualized Rate in Q3
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 210,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
- October Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.0 million SAAR, Up 9% YoY
- New Home Sales increase to 759,000 Annual Rate in September; Median New Home Price is Down 16% from the Peak
- New Home Sales increase to 759,000 Annual Rate in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales
- Goldman: 2024 Housing Outlook
- Total Housing Completions Will Likely Increase Slightly in 2023; The Mix will Change
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- LA Port Traffic Increases in September
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in September
- Housing October 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.4% Week-over-week; Down 3.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to New Cycle Low
- Schedule for Week of October 22, 2023
- Oct 20th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 4%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.3% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.7% YoY; New Listings Down 4.4% YoY
- Fed Chair Powell: "Inflation is still too high", expects "a period of below-trend growth"
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.96 million SAAR in September; New Cycle Low, First Sign of House Price Weakness
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.96 million SAAR in September
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 198,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell
- 30-Year Mortgage Rates Hit 8.0%; California Home Sales Down 21.5% YoY in September
- Fed's Beige Book: "Little to no change in economic activity"
- AIA: Architecture Billings "New Decline in Business Condition"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 14th Consecutive Month
- September Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.358 million Annual Rate in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts, Beige Book
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in October
- Industrial Production Increased 0.3% in September
- Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in September
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.31% in September"
- Preliminary 2024 Housing Forecasts
- Housing October 16th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.8% Week-over-week; Down 3.5% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of October 15, 2023
- Oct 13th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
- Q3 GDP Tracking: High 3s
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate decreased 0.2% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.4% YoY; New Listings Down 3.2% YoY
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in September
- Cost of Living Adjustment increases 3.2% in 2024, Contribution Base increased to $168,600
- BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in September; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Unchanged at 209,000
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Minutes: "Majority of participants judged that one more increase in the target federal funds rate ... would likely be appropriate"
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: PPI, FOMC Minutes
- More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October
- Moody's: Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q3
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October
- Housing October 9th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.4% Week-over-week; Down 4.3% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.8% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- Schedule for Week of October 8, 2023
- Oct 6th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- AAR: September Rail Carloads and Intermodal Increased Year-over-year
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in September; Early Reporting Markets suggest Sales at New Cycle Low in September
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving on up!
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased 1.0% in September; Down 3.9% Year-over-year
- Comments on September Employment Report
- September Employment Report: 336 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- September Employment Preview
- Moody's: "Apartment Market Softens, Office Evolution Continues, and Retail On Shaky Ground"
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.6% YoY; New Listings Down 1.2% YoY
- Trade Deficit decreased to $58.3 Billion in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 207,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
- Las Vegas August 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 4.0% YoY; Convention Traffic Up Sharply YoY
- Lawler: The Second Half “Bear Steepener”: Higher for Longer, a Higher R*, and A Rising Term Premium
- Strikes and the Impact on the Employment Report
- Heavy Truck Sales Solid in September, Up 5% YoY
- ISM® Services Index Decreases to 53.6% in September
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 89,000 in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Apps Lowest Since 1995
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Services
- Vehicles Sales increase to 15.67 million SAAR in September; Up 15% YoY
- Update: Lumber Prices Down 11% YoY
- FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- BLS: Job Openings Increased to 9.6 million in August
- CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Rate Increased in August
- Tuesday: Job Openings, Vehicle Sales
- Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
- ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "Home Prices Set Yet Another Record in August"
- Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in August
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 49.0% in September
- Housing October 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down 4.7% Year-over-year
- Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August to New High; Up 4.0% Year-over-year
September 2023
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: House Price Index Up 1.0% year-over-year in July; New all-time High
- Schedule for Week of October 1, 2023
- Sept 29th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.6% Year-over-year
- Fannie and Freddie: Single-Family Mortgage Delinquency Rate Declined, Multi-Family Increased in August
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 7.4% YoY in August
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in August; Spending increased 0.4%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 3.7% YoY; New Listings Down 7.5% YoY
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 7.1% in August; Down 18.7% Year-over-year
- Q2 GDP Growth at 2.1% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 204,000
- Thursday: Q2 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- A Few Comments on the Likely Government Shutdown
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.4% below recent peak
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Durable Goods
- New Home Sales decrease to 675,000 Annual Rate in August; Median New Home Price is Down 13% from the Peak
- New Home Sales decrease to 675,000 Annual Rate in August
- Comments on July Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.0% year-over-year in July; New all-time High
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, New Home Sales
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- Update on Four High Frequency Indicators
- Housing September 25th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.8% Week-over-week; Down 5.2% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- The Top Ten Job Streaks: Current Streak is in 8th Place
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of September 24, 2023
- Sept 22nd COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased Slightly in August
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 40 States in August (3-Month Basis)
- September Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.4 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
- "Mortgage Rates Jump up to 23-Year Highs"
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.2% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 4.4% YoY; New Listings Down 6.0% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.04 million SAAR in August; Median Prices Increased 3.9% YoY in August
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.04 million SAAR in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 201,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Rates
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Softening Business Conditions in August"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 13th Consecutive Month
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in August; California Home Sales Down 18.9% YoY in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down YoY in August
- August Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.283 million Annual Rate in August
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.33% in August"
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August and Some New Household/Housing Stock Data
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in August
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in September
- Housing September 18th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.9% Week-over-week; Down 6.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of September 17, 2023
- Sept 15th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
- Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in August
- Friday: Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 5.1% YoY; New Listings Down 7.1% YoY
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September
- Retail Sales Increased 0.6% in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 220,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI increased 0.6% in August; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- CPI Preview and Owners' equivalent rent
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Rate Increased in July
- Tuesday: Corelogic House Price index
- Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in August
- Housing September 11th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.1% Week-over-week; Down 6.9% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.2% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" Stays Mostly Closed in Q2
- Schedule for Week of September 10, 2023
- Sept 8th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- AAR: August Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- The "Home ATM" Stays Mostly Closed in Q2
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $5.5 Trillion in Q2
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Over 3%
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased 0.2% in August; Down 7.7% Year-over-year
- CoreLogic: 1.11 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q2 2023
- Friday: Q2 Flow of Funds
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 5% YoY; New Listings Down 8.5% YoY
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Unchanged in Q2 2023
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 216,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Fed's Beige Book: "Growth was modest during July and August"
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Purchase Rate Locks "are now running 39% below pre-pandemic levels"
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 54.5% in August
- Trade Deficit at $65.0 Billion in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Applications Lowest in 28 Years
- Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ISM Services, Beige Book
- The Changing Mix of Light Vehicle Sales
- Heavy Truck Sales Solid in August, Up 2% YoY
- Lawler: Single Family Rent Trends at AMH and Invitation Homes
- Monday Night Futures
- Update: Lumber Prices Down 14% YoY
- Housing September 4th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.1% Week-over-week; Down 7.9% Year-over-year
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.4% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Unchanged year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of September 3, 2023
- Sept 1st COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- Vehicles Sales at 15.04 million SAAR in August; Up 14% YoY
- Q3 GDP Tracking
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in July to New High; Black Knight Index Hits New High, but "Mixed signals"
- Construction Spending Increased 0.7% in July
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.6% in August
- Comments on August Employment Report
- August Employment Report: 187 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
August 2023
- Goldman August Payrolls Preview
- Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 6% YoY; New Listings Down 8% YoY
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 7.8% YoY in July
- Personal Income increased 0.2% in July; Spending increased 0.8%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 228,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI
- Las Vegas July 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1.0% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 16.8% YoY
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Up 0.9% in July; Down 14.0% Year-over-year
- Q2 GDP Growth Revised down to 2.1% Annual Rate
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 177,000 in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, GDP, Pending Home Sales
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on June Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.8 million in July
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Unchanged year-over-year in June
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings
- Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate vs Unemployment Rate
- Fannie Mae Single-Family Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Lowest since 2002
- Housing August 28th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down 9.3% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- An Early Look at the September FOMC Projections
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales increase to 714,000 Annual Rate in July
- Schedule for Week of August 27, 2023
- Aug 25th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- Forecast: Multifamily Starts will Decline Sharply
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving Up
- Fed Chair Powell: Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased Slightly Year-over-year
- Friday: Fed Chair Powell Speaks at Jackson Hole Symposium
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 7% YoY; New Listings Down 6% YoY
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 230,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
- August Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.3 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Stable" in July; Multi-family Billings Decline for 12th Consecutive Month
- New Home Sales increase to 714,000 Annual Rate in July; Median New Home Price is Down 12% from the Peak
- Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows downward adjustment of 306,000 jobs
- New Home Sales increase to 714,000 Annual Rate in July
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Applications "lowest level since April 1995"
- Wednesday: New Home Sales
- Lawler: More on “R-Star”
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.07 million SAAR in July; Median Prices Increased 1.9% YoY in July
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.07 million SAAR in July
- Tuesday: Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.39% in July"
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 2.8% year-over-year in June
- Housing August 21st Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.9% Week-over-week; Down 10.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of August 20, 2023
- Aug 18th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Deaths
- Lawler: Is The “Natural” Rate of Interest Back to Pre-Financial Crisis Levels?
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving Up
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Unchanged Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 8% YoY; New Listings Down 8% YoY
- CoreLogic: US Home Investor Share Remained High in Early Summer 2023
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 239,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- FOMC Minutes: Staff No Longer Predicts Recession; "Upside Risks to Inflation"
- July Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Industrial Production Increased 1.0% in July
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.452 million Annual Rate in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, FOMC Minutes
- The "New Normal" Mortgage Rate Range
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in August "on Rising Mortgage Rates"
- Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in July
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- Housing August 14th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.9% Week-over-week; Down 10.5% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Update: Lumber Prices Down 29% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The Long-Term Housing and Population Shift
- Schedule for Week of August 13, 2023
- Aug 11th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Deaths
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 9% YoY; New Listings Down 14% YoY
- Early Q3 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.0% Year-over-year
- Friday: PPI
- The Long-Term Housing and Population Shift
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in July
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2023"; Lowest Level on Record
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 248,000
- BLS: CPI increased 0.2% in July; Core CPI increased 0.2%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- Oops. Wrong Graph Last Friday for 25- to 54-Years-Old Participation Rate
- Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased in Q2
- Atlanta Fed: Home Ownership Affordability Monitor
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in July
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- NY Fed Q2 Report: Household Debt Increased Slightly, Mortgage Balances "Unchanged"
- Trade Deficit Decreased to $65.5 Billion in June
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Q2 Household Debt and Credit
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in July; Prices Down 6.3% YoY
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Month-to-month to New Record High in June
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 1.6% in July; Down 11.6% Year-over-year
- Housing August 7th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.7% Week-over-week; Down 10.3% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Summer Teen Employment
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Asking Rents Negative Year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of August 6, 2023
- Aug 4th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Deaths
- The impact of 7% Mortgage Rates
- AAR: July Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- Comments on July Employment Report
- July Employment Report: 187 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 9% YoY; New Listings Down 17% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.6% Year-over-year
- July Employment Preview
- ISM® Services Index Decreases to 52.7% in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 227,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
- HVS: Q2 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates; Rental Vacancy Rates Increased YoY
- Heavy Truck Sales Hit New Record High; Up 18% Year-over-year in July
- How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Change for 2024?
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 324,000 in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, Q2 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
- Vehicles Sales at 15.74 million SAAR in July; Up 18% YoY
- Asking Rents Negative Year-over-year
- Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in June
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased Slightly to 9.6 million in June
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 46.4% in July
- CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Inches Up in June
- Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices, Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
July 2023
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in June to New High; Up 1.7% Year-over-year
- Fed SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
- Housing July 31st Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.1% Week-over-week; Down 10.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Q2 2023 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Increased to 47 Institutions
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller House Prices Decreased 0.5% year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of July 30, 2023
- July 28th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths
- Las Vegas June 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1.5% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 2.9% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.5% Year-over-year
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.9% below recent peak
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 8.0% YoY in June
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in June; Spending increased 0.5%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 8% YoY; New Listings Down 18% YoY
- Fannie and Freddie: Single-Family Mortgage Delinquency Rate Declined, Multi-Family Increased in June
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Up 0.3% in June; Down 15.6% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 221,000
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.4% Annualized Rate in Q2
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp
- New Home Sales decrease to 697,000 Annual Rate in June; Median New Home Price is Down 16.4% from the Peak
- New Home Sales decrease to 697,000 Annual Rate in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales, FOMC Statement
- July Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
- Comments on May Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Decreased 0.5% year-over-year in May
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Update on Four High Frequency Indicators
- Housing July 24th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.9% Week-over-week; Down 8.8% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Likely 25bp Rate Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of July 23, 2023
- July 21st COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Black Knight: "Seriously Delinquent Mortgages Hit Lowest Level Since 2006" in June
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 6% YoY; New Listings Down 19% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.1% Year-over-year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.16 million SAAR in June; Median Prices Declined 0.9% YoY in June
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.16 million SAAR in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 228,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June & 4th Look at Local Markets
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Stable" in June; Multi-family Billings Decline for 11th Consecutive Month
- June Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased Sharply to 1.434 million Annual Rate in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in July
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.5% in June
- Retail Sales Increased 0.2% in June
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.44% in June"
- Will house prices decline further later this year?
- Housing July 17th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.2% Week-over-week; Down 7.5% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in June
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Currently 23.3% of mortgage loans are under 3%, 61.3% are under 4%
- Schedule for Week of July 16, 2023
- July 14th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 5% YoY; New Listings Down 27% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.3% Year-over-year
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 237,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July
- Fed's Beige Book: "Overall economic activity increased slightly"
- Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.1% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.1% in June
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI increased 0.2% in June; Core CPI increased 0.2%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, Beige Book
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in June
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Drops to the Lowest Rate in 11 Years in May
- Tuesday: Corelogic House Price index
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in June; Prices Down 6.8% YoY
- Lawler: Update on Demographic Trends, and Population and Household Projections Through 2025
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Month-to-month to New Record High in May
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 4.2% in June; Down 10.3% Year-over-year
- Housing July 10th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.2% Week-over-week; Down 4.6% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 4.1% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2% YoY; New Listings Down 21% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Asking Rent Growth Flat Year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of July 9, 2023
- July 7th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- AAR: June Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- Heavy Truck Sales Up 15% Year-over-year in June
- Comments on June Employment Report
- June Employment Report: 209 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- June Employment Preview
- Early Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.8 million in May
- Trade Deficit Decreased to $69.0 Billion in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 248,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 497,000 in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, Job Openings and More
- Vehicles Sales at 15.68 million SAAR in June; Up 20% YoY
- FOMC Minutes: Staff Predicts Mild Recession; Additional Increases in Fed Funds Rate "Appropriate"
- Asking Rent Growth Flat Year-over-year
- Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
- Housing Inventory and Demographics: The Next Big Shift
- Construction Spending Increased 0.9% in May
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.0% in June
- Housing July 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Update: Lumber Prices Down About 35% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Increase in May
- Schedule for Week of July 2, 2023
June 2023
- June 30th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in May; Up 0.4% Year-over-year
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- PCE Measure of Shelter Finally Slowing YoY
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in May; Spending increased 0.1%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.0% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down Slightly YoY; New Listings Down 29% YoY
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Down 2.7% in May; Down 22.2% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 239,000
- Q1 GDP Growth Revised Up to 2.0% Annual Rate
- Thursday: Fed Chair Powell, Unemployment Claims, GDP, Pending Home Sales
- Las Vegas May 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1.5% YoY; Convention Traffic up 16% YoY
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.4% below recent peak
- CNBC: Fed Chair "Powell says more ‘restriction’ is coming"
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell, Stress Test Results
- New Home Sales increase to 763,000 Annual Rate in May; Median New Home Price is Down 16.2% from the Peak
- New Home Sales increase to 763,000 Annual Rate in May
- Comments on April Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Decreased 0.2% year-over-year in April
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, New Home Sales, Durable Goods
- Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in May: Single Family Declined, Multi-Family Increased
- Update on Four High Frequency Indicators
- Housing June 26th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.0% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- A Very Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of June 25, 2023
- June 23rd COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in all 50 States in May (3-Month Basis)
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- Black Knight: "Past-Due Mortgages Approach Recent Record Lows" in May
- June Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.9 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 5% YoY; New Listings Down 26% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.1% Year-over-year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.30 million SAAR in May; Median Prices Declined 3.1% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.30 million SAAR in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 264,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Existing Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Rebound" in May; Multi-family Billings Decline for 11th Consecutive Month
- California Home Sales Down 23.6% YoY in May, Median Prices Decline 6.4% YoY
- Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.49% in May"
- May Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Increased Sharply to 1.631 million Annual Rate in May
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- Some More Good News for Homebuilders
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in June
- Housing June 19th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.8% Week-over-week
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in May
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of June 18, 2023
- June 16th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- Update: Lumber Prices Down About 25% YoY
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.6% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 10% YoY; New Listings Down 22% YoY
- Lawler: Update on Mortgage/Treasury Spreads
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.2% in May
- Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 262,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, NY and Philly Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: Pause
- Update: "Why Year-over-year Headline Inflation will Decline Sharply in May and June"
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, PPI
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in May
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in May; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- Tuesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- AAR: May Rail Carloads Increased, Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- Why Year-over-year Headline Inflation will Decline Sharply in May and June
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- Housing June 12th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.5% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: A Likely "Pause"
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" was Closed in Q1
- Schedule for Week of June 11, 2023
- June 9th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1% to 2%
- Lawler: Census 2020, Population Estimates, and Population Projections: Challenges for Demographers
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.3% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 13% YoY; New Listings Down 25% YoY
- The "Home ATM" was Closed in Q1; Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) turns negative in Q1 2023
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $3.0 Trillion in Q1
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 261,000
- CoreLogic: 1.2 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q1 2023
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Flow of Funds
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in May
- Could 6% to 7% 30-Year Mortgage Rates be the "New Normal"?
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in May; Down 7.6% Year-over-year
- Trade Deficit Increased to $74.6 Billion in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Trade Deficit
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in May
- Early Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 2.0% YoY in April
- Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices
- ISM® Services Index Decreases to 50.3% in May
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Month-to-month in April; Prices Unchanged YoY
- Housing June 5th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.7% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.6% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 18% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller National House Price Index Increased 0.7% year-over-year in March
- Schedule for Week of June 4, 2023
- June 2nd COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Heavy Truck Sales Up Sharply Year-over-year in May
- Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate; Asking Rents Likely to be Down year-over-year in June or July
- Vehicles Sales at 15.05 million SAAR in May; Up 19.6% YoY
- Comments on May Employment Report
- May Employment Report: 339 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- U.S. Births decreased Slightly in 2022
- May Employment Preview
- Construction Spending Increased 1.2% in April
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.9% in May
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.2% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.3% below recent peak
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 232,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 278,000 in May
- Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
May 2023
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in April; Up 0.3% Year-over-year
- Las Vegas April 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 4% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 30%
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity was little changed ... Residential real estate activity picked up"
- BLS: Job Openings Increased to 10.1 million in April
- Lawler: Census Finally Releases 2020 Census Demographic Profile and Demographic and Housing Characteristics File
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Job Openings, Chicago PMI, Fed's Beige Book
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on March Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 0.7% year-over-year in March
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Recession Watch Update
- Housing May 29th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.1% Week-over-week
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Multi-Family Delinquencies Increased"
- Schedule for Week of May 28, 2023
- May 26th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in April: Single Family Declined, Multi-Family Increased
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1% to 2%
- PCE Measure of Shelter Still Accelerating YoY
- Personal Income increased 0.4% in April; Spending increased 0.8%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 20% YoY; New Listings Down 26% YoY
- May Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.3 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
- Total Housing Completions will Likely Decrease Slightly in 2023; The Mix will Change
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Unchanged in April; Down 20.3% Year-over-year
- Q1 GDP Growth Revised up to 1.3% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
- Thursday: 2nd Estimate Q1 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Rise on Calendar Effect" in April
- FOMC Minutes: Staff Predicts Recession Starting in Q4; Future Monetary Policy "less certain"
- AIA: Architecture Billings Decreased in April
- Two Key Housing Themes: Low Inventory and Few Distressed Sales
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
- "Mortgage Rates Move Back Above 7%"
- New Home Sales at 683,000 Annual Rate in April; Median New Home Price is Down 15.3% from the Peak
- New Home Sales at 683,000 Annual Rate in April
- Tuesday: New Home Sales
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- What Happened to "Paying off the National Debt"?
- Housing May 22nd Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- The Changing Mix of Light Vehicle Sales
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Near Record Multi-Family Under Construction"
- Schedule for Week of May 21, 2023
- May 19th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in April
- Similar Number of Housing Units started in Q1 as 'Built-for-Rent' as 'Built-for-Sale'
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Friday: Discussion, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Ben Bernanke
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.0% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 23% YoY; New Listings Down 25% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.28 million SAAR in April; Median Prices Declined 1.7% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.28 million SAAR in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 242,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- April Housing Starts: Near Record Multi-Family Under Construction
- Housing Starts at 1.401 million Annual Rate in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in May
- Industrial Production Increased 0.5% in April
- Retail Sales Increased 0.4% in April
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.51% in April"
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- NY Fed Q1 Report: Household Debt Increases, Mortgage Loan Growth Slows
- Housing May 15th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.2% Week-over-week
- Monday: NY Fed Mfg, Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 0.6% year-over-year in March
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability"
- Schedule for Week of May 14, 2023
- May 12th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Hospitalizations
- Early Q2 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 2.0% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 31% YoY; New Listings Down 16% YoY
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquency Rate in First-Quarter 2023 Declines to Second-Lowest Level in MBA’s Survey"
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 264,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Misery Index
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in April
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in April; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in April
- House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in April
- "Mortgage Rates Jump to Highest Levels Since Last Monday"
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 57% YoY, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
- Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory essentially unchanged in Q1
- Lawler: American Homes 4 Rent Net Seller of Single-Family Homes Last Quarter
- Housing May 8th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.6% Week-over-week
- Monday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 35% YoY; New Listings Down 22% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
- Schedule for Week of May 7, 2023
- COVID May 5, 2023, Update: New Pandemic Low for Hospitalizations
- AAR: April Rail Carloads Increased, Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in April; Down 4.4% Year-over-year
- Early Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- Comments on April Employment Report
- April Employment Report: 253 thousand Jobs, 3.4% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: April Employment Report
- Goldman April Payrolls Preview
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.1% Year-over-year
- April Employment Preview
- Trade Deficit decreased to $64.2 Billion in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 242,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Balance
- Heavy Truck Sales Up Sharply Year-over-year in April
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp; Pause in June Likely
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased in March; Prices Up 1.0% YoY
- HVS: Q1 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates; Rental Vacancy Rates Increased Sharply
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 51.9% in April
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 296,000 in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, ISM Services, ADP Employment, HVS Vacancies and Homeownership
- Vehicles Sales at 15.91 million SAAR in April; Up 11.4% YoY
- Lawler: Invitation Homes Net Seller of Single-Family Properties for Second Straight Quarter
- A Policy Proposal to Increase the Utilization of the Current Housing Stock
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.6 million in March
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 3.1% YoY in March, Lowest Annual Growth Rate since early 2012
- Tuesday: Job Openings, Vehicle Sales
- Secretary Yellen to Speaker McCarthy: "unable to continue to satisfy all of the government’s obligations by early June"
- Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
- Construction Spending Increased 0.3% in March
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.1% in April
- Housing May 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.0% Week-over-week
April 2023
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
- FOMC Preview: Likely 25bp Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller House Prices up 2.0% YoY
- Schedule for Week of April 30, 2023
- COVID Apr 28, 2023, Update: New Pandemic Low for Weekly Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 2.3% Year-over-year
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in March
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in March; Up 1.0% Year-over-year
- PCE Measure of Shelter Still Accelerating YoY
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in March; Spending increased Slightly
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 39% YoY; New Listings Down 21% YoY
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 5.2% in March; Down 23.2% Year-over-year
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 1.1% Annualized Rate in Q1
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 230,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in March
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.6% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.4% below recent peak
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Durable Goods
- Las Vegas March 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 1.1% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Up 39.6%
- New Home Sales Increase to 683,000 Annual Rate in March; Likely New Home Sales will be up YoY in Mid-2023
- New Home Sales Increase to 683,000 Annual Rate in March
- Comments on February Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Declines Moderated" to 2.0% year-over-year increase in February
- Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices
- Vehicle Sales Forecast: "April U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales to Post Strong Growth"
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Housing April 24th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.1% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Most Multi-family Under Construction Since 1973"
- Schedule for Week of April 23, 2023
- COVID Apr 21, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different
- Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Low in March"
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 3.7% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 49% YoY; New Listings Down 5% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.44 million SAAR in March; Median Prices Declined 0.9% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.44 million SAAR in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 245,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in March
- Fed's Beige Book: "The labor market becoming less tight ... increases to the labor supply"
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets: California Home Sales down 34% YoY in March; Prices Down 7.0% YoY
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Slightly Improved" in March
- The Fed on "Possible Macroeconomic Effects of a Temporary Federal Debt Default"
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Architecture Billings Index, Beige Book
- Misery Index
- March Housing Starts: Most Multi-family Under Construction Since 1973
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.420 million Annual Rate in March
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.55% in March"
- Lawler on Demographics: New Population Estimates Incorporate Unprecedented Methodological Changes
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased Slightly in April
- Housing April 17th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.3% Week-over-week
- Monday: NAHB Homebuilder Survey, NY Fed Mfg
- By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March"
- Schedule for Week of April 16, 2023
- COVID Apr 14, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March; 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in March
- Retail Sales Decreased 1.0% in March
- Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production
- U.S. Demographics: Largest 5-year cohorts, and Ten most Common Ages in 2022
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 44% YoY; New Listings Down 32% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.4% Year-over-year
- Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 239,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- FOMC Minutes: "some additional policy firming may be appropriate"; Staff Predicts Recession
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in March
- Remote Work and Household Formation
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in March; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, FOMC Minutes
- The Top Ten Job Streaks: Current Streak is in 9th Place
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
- "Mortgage Rates Have Quickly Erased Last Week's Drop"
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in March
- A Few Comments on Commercial Real Estate
- Housing April 10th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.2% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in March
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Comparing the Current Housing Cycle to the 1980 Period"
- Schedule for Week of April 9, 2023
- COVID Apr 7, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- AAR: March Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in March, Down 2.4% Year-over-year
- Comments on March Employment Report
- March Employment Report: 236 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- March Employment Preview
- Mortgage Rate Update
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 53% YoY; New Listings Down 22% YoY
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 228,000; Major Revisions to Seasonal Factors
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Update: Comparing the Current Housing Cycle to the 1980 Period
- ISM® Services Index Decreases to 51.2% in March
- Trade Deficit increased to $70.5 Billion in February
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 145,000 in March
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ISM Services, ADP Employment
- Moody's: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q1, Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
- Heavy Truck Sales Up 7% Year-over-year in March
- Moody's: Multifamily Demand "Softened notably over the past few quarters"
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.9 million in February
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 4.4% YoY in February; Increased 0.8% MoM in February NSA
- Tuesday: Job Openings
- Vehicles Sales at 14.82 million SAAR in March; Up 9.3% YoY
- Q1 2023 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 46 Institutions
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Slightly in February; Prices Up 1.9% YoY
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in February
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.3% in March
- Housing April 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.8% Week-over-week
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 63% YoY, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Price-to-rent index is 7.9% below recent peak"
- Schedule for Week of April 2, 2023
- COVID Mar 31, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
March 2023
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Declines for 8th Consecutive Month in February
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in February; Spending increased 0.2%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.3% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 57% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.6% Below Peak
- Q4 GDP Growth Revised Down to 2.6% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 198,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in all 50 States in January (3-Month Basis)
- Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 0.8% in February; Down 21.1% Year-over-year
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
- Las Vegas February 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 3.4% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 11.4%
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate declined in February
- Comments on January Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Declining Trend Continued" to 3.8% year-over-year increase in January
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in February
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 5.6% year-over-year in January
- Housing March 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.3% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Off-Topic: This is Personal
- Fed: Q4 2022 Household Debt Service Ratio Still Low
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Median Existing Home Prices Declined YoY"
- Schedule for Week of March 26, 2023
- COVID Mar 24, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 59% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY
- Friday: Durable Goods
- Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to be up Year-over-year in March
- More Good News for Homebuilders
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in February
- New Home Sales at 640,000 Annual Rate in February; New Home Average Prices Down 4.5% Year-over-year
- New Home Sales at 640,000 Annual Rate in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 191,000
- Thursday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp; "some additional policy firming may be appropriate"
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Slowdown Continues" in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Announcement
- Goldman: Seasonally Adjusted Median Prices Down 4.2% from Peak
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.58 million SAAR in February; Median Prices Declined YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.58 million SAAR in February
- Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.60% in February"
- First House Price Index goes Negative Year-over-year
- House Prices: Rust or Bust?
- Goldman Expects the FOMC to Pause
- Housing March 20th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.4% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Uncertainty, Likely 25bp Hike, Maybe Pause
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Average Length of Time from Start to Completion increased Sharply in 2022"
- Schedule for Week of March 19, 2023
- COVID Mar 17, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in February
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
- Industrial Production Unchanged in February
- Friday: Industrial Production
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 61% YoY; New Listings Down 16% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- February Housing Starts: Average Length of Time from Start to Completion increased Sharply in 2022
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.450 million Annual Rate in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 192,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- Weather Boosted Employment by About 65,000 in February
- Current State of the Housing Market: Overview for mid-March
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in March
- Retail Sales Decreased 0.4% in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
- Q4 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.6% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in February
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in February; Core CPI increased 0.5%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Bank Failure #2 in 2023: Silicon Valley Bank
- Pandemic Economics, Housing and Monetary Policy: Part II
- Housing March 13th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.5% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in February
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Pandemic Economics and Housing"
- Schedule for Week of March 12, 2023
- COVID Mar 10, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.6% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q1 GDP Tracking
- Bank Failure #1 in 2023: Silicon Valley Bank
- Comments on February Employment Report
- February Employment Report: 311 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- "Home ATM" is Closing; Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) Declines in Q4
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $2.9 Trillion in Q4
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 61% YoY; New Listings Down 26% YoY
- February Employment Preview
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 211,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q4 Flow of Funds
- Fed's Beige Book: "Leasing rates for multifamily were starting to decrease"
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- Trade Deficit increased to $68.3 Billion in January
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.8 million in January
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 242,000 in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell, Job Openings, ADP Employment, Beige Book
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in February
- Pandemic Economics, Housing and Monetary Policy: Part I; The Economic Fireworks have been in Housing!
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in February, Down 7.0% Year-over-year
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.5% YoY in January; Declined 0.2% MoM in January NSA
- Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in January, "on pace to fall below 0% by March/April"
- Housing March 6th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.6% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 72% YoY, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Price-to-rent index is 7.1% below recent peak"
- Schedule for Week of March 5, 2023
- COVID Mar 3, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- AAR: February Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- Q1 GDP Tracking
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak
- ISM® Services Index at 55.1% in February
- Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged Year-over-year
- "Mortgage Rates Now Back Above 7%"
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 67% YoY; New Listings Down 16% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 190,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Vehicles Sales at 14.89 million SAAR in February
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Declines for 7th Consecutive Month in January
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in January
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.7% in February
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased, Lowest Level Since 1995
- Wednesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
February 2023
- Las Vegas January 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 4.0% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 24.9%
- FDIC: Problem Banks Decreased to Record Low 39 in Q4 2022
- Comments on December Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Decline Continued" to 5.8% year-over-year increase in December
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Lawler: AMH Net Seller of Existing Single-Family Homes, “Investor” Home Purchases Plunged
- Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate unchanged in January; Fannie Mae Decreased Slightly
- Measures of Shelter in the CPI and PCE price indexes Still Increasing
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 8.1% in January; Down 24.1% Year-over-year
- Housing February 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.6% Week-over-week
- Monday: Pending Home Sales, Durable Goods
- High Frequency Indicators: Airlines Back to Pre-Pandemic Levels, Movie Tickets Still Down
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "New Home Average Prices Down 5.3% Year-over-year"
- Schedule for Week of February 26, 2023
- COVID Feb 24, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Decreased in January
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Close to 2%
- New Home Sales Increase to 670,000 Annual Rate in January; New Home Average Prices Down 5.3% Year-over-year
- New Home Sales at 670,000 Annual Rate in January
- Personal Income increased 0.6% in January; Spending increased 1.8%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, New Home Sales
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 67% YoY; New Listings Down 18% YoY
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q4 GDP Growth Revised Down to 2.7% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 192,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
- Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to be up Year-over-year in February
- FOMC Minutes: All participants continued to anticipate ongoing rate increases
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Continue to Contract" in January
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased Sharply, Lowest Since 1995
- Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.64% in January"
- The Normal Seasonal Changes for Median House Prices
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.00 million SAAR in January; Median Prices Down 13.2% from Peak in June 2022
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.00 million SAAR in January
- CoreLogic: "US Annual Rent Price Growth Dropped by Nearly Half in December"
- Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
- Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory increased in Q4; Expected to increase further in 2023
- First time ever more "Built-for-Rent" Units started Quarterly than "Built-for-Sale"
- Housing February 20th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.5% Week-over-week
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down 22% YoY in January
- Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Near Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction"
- Schedule for Week of February 19, 2023
- COVID Feb 17, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in January; Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 70% YoY; New Listings Down 13% YoY
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 8.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Fourth Quarter of 2022"
- NY Fed Q4 Report: Household Debt Increases, Mortgage and Auto Loan Growth Slows
- January Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.309 million Annual Rate in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 194,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, PPI, Philly Fed Mfg, NY Fed Household Debt and Credit
- Update: Some "Good News" for Homebuilders
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in February
- Industrial Production Unchanged in January
- Retail Sales Increased 3.0% in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, NY Fed Mfg
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in January
- Current State of the Housing Market: Overview for mid-February
- Core CPI ex-Shelter declines to 3.9% YoY
- BLS: CPI increased 0.5% in January; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Demographics for Housing are not as Favorable as Projected 3 Years Ago
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- Housing February 13th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 3.0% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Weather Boosted Employment by About 125,000 in January
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Home Prices Declined in December; Down 5.3% since June"
- Schedule for Week of February 12, 2023
- COVID Feb 10, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Early Q1 GDP Tracking
- Net Immigration and Household Formation
- Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 70% YoY; New Listings Down 11% YoY
- Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.3% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 196,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Decline 6 Percent in 2022
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in January
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Latest Weekly Survey
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreases in January
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Declines for 7th Consecutive Month in December
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in January, Down 12.8% Year-over-year
- Trade Deficit increased to $67.4 Billion in December
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.9% YoY in December; Declined 0.4% MoM in December NSA
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Fed Chair Powell
- Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for Residential Real Estate and HELOCs
- Heavy Truck Sales Up 6% Year-over-year
- Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in December; Down 5.3% since June
- Housing February 6th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.9% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 0.3% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline"
- Schedule for Week of February 5, 2023
- COVID Feb 3, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- AAR: January Rail Carloads Increased and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
- Lawler: Net Home Orders and Sales Cancellations of Large Publicly-Traded Home Builders
- Comments on January Employment Report
- January Employment Report: 517 thousand Jobs, 3.4% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- January Employment Preview
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.6% Below Peak
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 183,000
- Vehicles Sales Increased to 15.74 million SAAR in January
- BLS: Job Openings Increased to 11.0 million in December
- FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
- Rents Continue to Decline; "Apartment Market Loosens"
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.4% in December
- ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 47.4% in January
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 106,000 in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Job Openings, ADP Employment, Construction Spending, ISM Mfg
January 2023
- Las Vegas December 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 4.6% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 38.2%
- HVS: Q4 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- Comments on November Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline" to 7.7% year-over-year increase in November
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in December
- Lawler: D.R. Horton (DHI) Net Order Price Declined "Roughly" 10% from Peak
- Housing January 30th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.4% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: 25bp Hike
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply
- Schedule for Week of January 29, 2023
- COVID Jan 27, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 69% YoY; New Listings Down 5% YoY
- Has Housing "Bottomed"?
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 2.5% in December, Year-over-year Down 33.8%
- Personal Income increased 0.2% in December; Spending decreased 0.2%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
- A Few Comments on Q4 GDP and Investment
- New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply
- New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Annual Sales down 16.4% in 2022
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 186,000
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.9% Annualized Rate in Q4
- Thursday: GDP, New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate unchanged in December
- Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to Increase in January
- Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in December; Prepayments at Record Low
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Continue to Decline" in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Architecture Billings
- BLS: Alaska and Pennsylvania Set New Record Series Low Unemployment rates in December
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Remains Flat at 0.70% in December"
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Down 20% YoY in December
- 1.51 million Total Housing Completions in 2022 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007
- Housing January 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Median House Prices Down 11.3% from Peak in June 2022; Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Schedule for Week of January 22, 2023
- COVID Jan 20, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid-to-high 2s
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December; Median Prices Down 11.3% from Peak in June 2022
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December
- Monetary Policy: The Pause that Refreshes?
- Friday: Existing Home Sales
- "Short Memories"
- "Some BIG Changes to Mortgage Costs Were Just Announced"
- December Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 190,000
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.382 million Annual Rate in December
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December; California Home Sales down 44% YoY in December; Prices Down 2.8% YoY
- Fed's Beige Book: "A sizable volume of new apartment development is due to be completed in 2023"
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in January
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.7 Percent in December
- Retail Sales Decreased 1.1% in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence, Fed's Beige Book
- Homebuilder Price Cuts
- Update: The Inland Empire
- Tuesday: NY Fed Mfg
- The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP
- Housing January 16th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.3% Week-over-week
- Effective Fed Funds Rate and Inflation
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: A Sharp Decline in Sales, House Prices and Rents Falling
- Schedule for Week of January 15, 2023
- COVID Jan 13, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
- Question #1 for 2023: How much will the economy grow in 2023? Will there be a recession in 2023?
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Solid Q4
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Question #2 for 2023: How much will job growth slow in 2023? Or will the economy lose jobs?
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in December
- Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 205,000
- BLS: CPI decreased 0.1% in December; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- Lawler: Freddie Mac “National” Home Price Index Down Again in November; Rents Continued to Slide
- Question #3 for 2023: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2023?
- Question #4 for 2023: What will the participation rate be in December 2023?
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
- Mortgage Rate Update
- Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in December
- Question #5 for 2023: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2023?
- Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell on "Central Bank Independence"
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in December
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- AAR: December Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Down 14.9% Year-over-year; Largest Annual Decline on Record
- Housing January 9th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 4% Week-over-week
- Sunday Night Futures
- Question #6 for 2023: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2023?
- Question #7 for 2023: How much will wages increase in 2023?
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Early reports suggest NAR reported December sales could be lowest since 2010
- Schedule for Week of January 8, 2023
- COVID Jan 6, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
- Annual Vehicle Sales decrease 8% in 2022; Heavy Trucks Sales up 2% YoY
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Comments on December Employment Report
- December Employment Report: 223 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Goldman December Payrolls Preview
- December Employment Preview
- Rents Continue to Decline More than Seasonally Normal
- Trade Deficit decreased to $61.5 Billion in November
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 204,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 235,000 in December
- Thursday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims
- Vehicles Sales Declined to 13.31 million SAAR in December
- FOMC Minutes: Participants continued to anticipate ongoing rate increases
- ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 48.4% in December, Price Index Lowest Since April 2020
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 10.5 million in November
- Moody's: National Multifamily Supply and Demand at Lowest Levels since 2009
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over Last Two Weeks
- Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Vehicle Sales, FOMC Minutes
- Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 67% YoY, Slightly Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
- Question #8 for 2023: How much will Residential investment change in 2023? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2023?
- Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in November
- CoreLogic: House Prices up 8.6% YoY in November; Declined 0.2% MoM in November NSA
- Tuesday: Construction Spending
- Question #9 for 2023: What will happen with house prices in 2023?
- Housing January 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 3.4% Week-over-week
- Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q4 as "demand plummeted", Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
- Q4 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 49 Institutions; Search for "Whale" Continues