The Curious Engineer

Calculated Risk

2023

1,547 posts

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2023 1,547

December 2023

  1. Update: Lumber Prices Up 9.6% YoY
  2. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.8% year-over-year
  3. Schedule for Week of December 31, 2023
  4. Dec 29th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
  5. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 25 States in November (3-Month Basis)
  6. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in November; Up 6.3% Year-over-year
  7. Question #10 for 2024: Will inventory increase further in 2024?
  8. Friday: Chicago PMI
  9. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.5% Year-over-year
  10. Las Vegas November 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 3%
  11. Update on FirstAm Cyber Attack
  12. NAR: Pending Home Sales Unchanged in November; Down 5.2% Year-over-year
  13. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000
  14. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  15. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 6.7% below recent peak
  16. Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in November: Single Family Mostly Unchanged, Multi-Family Increased
  17. Wednesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
  18. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  19. Comments on October Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  20. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.8% year-over-year in October
  21. FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
  22. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  23. Housing December 25th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.9% Week-over-week, Up 3.9% Year-over-year
  24. Happy Holidays!
  25. Ten Economic Questions for 2024
  26. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November
  27. Schedule for Week of December 24, 2023
  28. Dec 22nd COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
  29. AIA: "Architecture firm billings continue to decline in November"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 16th Consecutive Month
  30. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in November
  31. New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November; Average New Home Price is Down 14% from the Peak
  32. New Home Sales decrease to 590,000 Annual Rate in November
  33. PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.7% YoY in November
  34. Personal Income increased 0.4% in November; Spending increased 0.2%
  35. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods, New Home Sales
  36. December Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.7 million SAAR, Up 16% YoY
  37. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 1.1% Year-over-year
  38. ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in November
  39. Q3 GDP Growth Revised down to 4.9% Annual Rate
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 205,000
  41. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  42. Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2023
  43. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.82 million SAAR in November; Months-of-Supply Close to 2019 Levels
  44. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.82 million SAAR in November
  45. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  46. Wednesday: Existing Home Sales
  47. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in November, California Home Sales Down 6% YoY in October
  48. Single Family Starts Increase Sharply in November, Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  49. Housing Starts Increased to 1.560 million Annual Rate in November
  50. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  51. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.26% in November"
  52. Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November; Treasury and MBS Yields: There and Back Again
  53. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in December
  54. Housing December 18th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.4% Week-over-week, Up 3.0% Year-over-year
  55. Sunday Night Futures
  56. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.1% Year-over-year
  57. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The Coming Fed Rate Cuts and the Impact on Mortgage Rates
  58. Schedule for Week of December 17, 2023
  59. Dec 15th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
  60. Q4 GDP Tracking: 1.5% to 2.6% Range
  61. LA Port Inbound Traffic Increased in November
  62. Industrial Production Increased 0.2% in November
  63. Friday: NY Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
  64. The Coming Fed Rate Cuts and the Impact on Mortgage Rates
  65. Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 4.0% YoY; New Listings up 6.8% YoY
  66. Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in November
  67. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 202,000
  68. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims
  69. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  70. FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy
  71. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December
  72. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  73. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, PPI
  74. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December
  75. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in November
  76. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  77. BLS: CPI Increased 0.1% in November; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  78. Tuesday: CPI
  79. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in November with Comparison to 2019
  80. Why 25 to 54 is the Prime Working Age group for the Participation Rate
  81. Housing December 11th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.7% Week-over-week, Up 1.9% Year-over-year
  82. Sunday Night Futures
  83. Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 3.1% YoY; New Listings up 5.6% YoY
  84. FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
  85. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3
  86. Schedule for Week of December 10, 2023
  87. Dec 8th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
  88. AAR: November Carloads Down Slightly YoY; Intermodal Up
  89. Q4 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
  90. Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  91. Comments on November Employment Report
  92. November Employment Report: 199 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
  93. Friday: Employment Report
  94. November Employment Preview
  95. The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3
  96. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Decreased $1.3 Trillion in Q3
  97. Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 2.1% in November; Down 5.8% Year-over-year
  98. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 220,000
  99. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q3 Flow of Funds
  100. Heavy Truck Sales Increased in November, up 5% YoY
  101. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in November with Comparison to 2019
  102. Trade Deficit increased to $64.3 Billion in October
  103. ADP: Private Employment Increased 103,000 in November
  104. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  105. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Trade Deficit
  106. ISM® Services Index Increases to 52.7% in November
  107. Asking Rents Down 1.1% Year-over-year
  108. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.7 million in October
  109. CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 4.7% Year-over-year in October
  110. Tuesday: Job Openings, ISM Services
  111. Update: Lumber Prices Up Slightly YoY
  112. ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "Home prices continued sending mixed signals in October"
  113. Housing December 4th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.8% Week-over-week, Up 1.0% Year-over-year
  114. Sunday Night Futures
  115. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.4% Year-over-year
  116. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October
  117. Schedule for Week of December 3, 2023
  118. Dec 1st COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  119. Vehicles Sales decrease to 15.32 million SAAR in November; Up 7% YoY
  120. Q4 GDP Tracking: Close to 1%
  121. CES Strike Report: Ending Strikes will Boost November Employment
  122. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.0% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 6.9% below recent peak
  123. Construction Spending Increased 0.6% in October
  124. ISM® Manufacturing index Unchanged at 46.7% in November
  125. Friday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Fed Chair Powell, Vehicle Sales

November 2023

  1. Las Vegas October 2023: Visitor Traffic Down Slightly YoY; Convention Traffic Up 2%
  2. Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 1.8% YoY; New Listings up 8.9% YoY
  3. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in October to New High; Up 6.0% Year-over-year
  4. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 1.5% in October; Down 8.5% Year-over-year; Lowest Number of Record
  5. PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.9% YoY in October
  6. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 218,000
  7. Personal Income increased 0.2% in October; Spending increased 0.2%
  8. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
  9. Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in October: Single Family Declined, Multi-Family Increased
  10. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity slowed since the previous report"
  11. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  12. Q3 GDP Growth Revised up to 5.2% Annual Rate
  13. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  14. Wednesday: GDP, Beige Book
  15. FHFA Announces Baseline Conforming Loan Limit Will Increase to $766,550
  16. Comments on September Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  17. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.9% year-over-year in September; New all-time High
  18. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  19. TSA: Airline Travel Above 2019 Levels
  20. New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October; Median New Home Price is Down 18% from the Peak
  21. New Home Sales decrease to 679,000 Annual Rate in October
  22. Housing November 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Down Week-over-week, Up Slightly Year-over-year
  23. Monday: New Home Sales
  24. 2024 Conforming Loan Limits Will be Released on Tuesday
  25. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.79 million SAAR in October; New Cycle Low
  26. Schedule for Week of November 26, 2023
  27. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.6% Year-over-year
  28. Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 1.5% YoY; New Listings up 5.0% YoY
  29. Q4 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  30. Five Economic Reasons to be Thankful
  31. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in October
  32. November Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up 11% YoY
  33. Lawler on Existing Home Sales, Population Projections and Household Slowdown
  34. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 209,000
  35. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  36. Wednesday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
  37. FOMC Minutes: "All participants agreed that the Committee was in a position to proceed carefully"
  38. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.79 million SAAR in October; New Cycle Low, Months-of-Supply Close to 2019 Levels
  39. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.79 million SAAR in October
  40. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  41. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.29% in October"
  42. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  43. LA Port Inbound Traffic Increases in October
  44. Housing November 20th Weekly Update: Inventory Up Slightly Year-over-year
  45. Sunday Night Futures
  46. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.8% Year-over-year
  47. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Census Long-Term Population Projections Are MASSIVELY Lower Than Previous Projections
  48. Schedule for Week of November 19, 2023
  49. Nov 17th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
  50. Q4 GDP Tracking: Close to 2%
  51. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October
  52. October Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  53. Housing Starts Increased to 1.372 million Annual Rate in October
  54. Friday: Housing Starts
  55. Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP YoY
  56. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in November
  57. Industrial Production Decreased 0.6% in October
  58. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 231,000
  59. Thursday: Industrial Production, Unemployment Claims, Homebuilder Survey
  60. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  61. AIA: "Continuing Decline in Architecture Billings"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 15th Consecutive Month
  62. Retail Sales Decreased 0.1% in October
  63. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  64. Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, NY Fed Mfg
  65. Lawler: New Census Long-Term Population Projections Are MASSIVELY Lower Than Previous Projections
  66. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in October
  67. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  68. BLS: CPI Unchanged in October; Core CPI increased 0.2%
  69. Tuesday: CPI
  70. A Few Comments on a Possible Government Shutdown
  71. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
  72. Housing November 13th Weekly Update: Inventory Mostly Flat Week-over-week
  73. Sunday Night Futures
  74. When will the Fed Cut Rates?
  75. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Inventory will Tell the Tale
  76. Schedule for Week of November 12, 2023
  77. Nov 10th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
  78. MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Third Quarter of 2023
  79. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in October
  80. Q4 GDP Tracking: Starting Close to 2%
  81. Friday: Veterans Day
  82. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November
  83. Census: U.S. Population Projected to Begin Declining in Second Half of Century
  84. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 4.0% Year-over-year
  85. Realtor.com Reports Weekly New Listings UP 0.6% YoY; Active Inventory Down Only 0.2% YoY
  86. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 217,000
  87. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  88. Update: Lumber Prices Down Slightly YoY
  89. Housing: Inventory will Tell the Tale
  90. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  91. Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
  92. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased in October, Down 8% YoY
  93. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in October; Early Reporting Markets suggest some month-to-month increase in Sales in October, SAAR
  94. NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased
  95. Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 2.3% in October; Down 4.0% Year-over-year
  96. Trade Deficit increased to $61.5 Billion in September
  97. Tuesday: Trade Deficit
  98. Fed SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
  99. ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "It’s fair to expect prices to weaken later in 2023"
  100. Housing November 6th Weekly Update: Inventory Still Increasing, Up 0.8% Week-over-week
  101. Monday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
  102. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.7% Year-over-year
  103. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index Up 2.6% year-over-year in August
  104. Schedule for Week of November 5, 2023
  105. Nov 3rd COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
  106. AAR: October Rail Combined Carloads and Intermodal Highest Since June 2021
  107. Lawler: Single-Family Rent Results
  108. Heavy Truck Sales Decline in October, Unchanged YoY
  109. Comments on October Employment Report
  110. October Employment Report: 150 thousand Jobs, 3.9% Unemployment Rate
  111. Friday: Employment Report
  112. October Employment Preview
  113. Realtor.com Reports Weekly New Listings UP 5.6% YoY; Active Inventory Down 1.0% YoY
  114. Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year
  115. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 217,000
  116. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  117. Vehicles Sales decrease to 15.5 million SAAR in October; Up 6% YoY
  118. FOMC Statement: No Change to Rates
  119. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.1% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.0% below recent peak
  120. Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in September
  121. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.7% in October
  122. BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 9.6 million in September
  123. ADP: Private Employment Increased 113,000 in October
  124. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  125. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Job Openings, Vehicle Sales, ISM Manufacturing and More

October 2023

  1. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in September to New High; Up 5.2% Year-over-year
  2. Las Vegas September 2023: Visitor Traffic Down Slightly YoY; Convention Traffic Up 9%
  3. HVS: Q3 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates; Rental Vacancy Rates Increased
  4. Comments on August Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  5. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 2.6% year-over-year in August; New all-time High
  6. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Chicago PMI, Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
  7. Goldman: 2024 Inflation Outlook
  8. Housing October 30th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.5% Week-over-week; Down 2.7% Year-over-year
  9. Sunday Night Futures
  10. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.8% Year-over-year
  11. FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
  12. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales increase to 759,000 Annual Rate in September
  13. Schedule for Week of October 29, 2023
  14. Oct 27th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
  15. October CES Strike Report
  16. Fannie and Freddie: Single-Family Mortgage Delinquency Rate Mostly Unchanged in September
  17. PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 7.2% YoY in September
  18. Personal Income increased 0.3% in September; Spending increased 0.7%
  19. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
  20. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.0% YoY; New Listings Down 1.0% YoY
  21. CoreLogic: "US Serious Mortgage Delinquency Rate Drops to All-Time Low in August"
  22. NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 1.1% in September; Down 11% Year-over-year
  23. BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.9% Annualized Rate in Q3
  24. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 210,000
  25. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  26. October Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.0 million SAAR, Up 9% YoY
  27. New Home Sales increase to 759,000 Annual Rate in September; Median New Home Price is Down 16% from the Peak
  28. New Home Sales increase to 759,000 Annual Rate in September
  29. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  30. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  31. Goldman: 2024 Housing Outlook
  32. Total Housing Completions Will Likely Increase Slightly in 2023; The Mix will Change
  33. Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
  34. LA Port Traffic Increases in September
  35. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in September
  36. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in September
  37. Housing October 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.4% Week-over-week; Down 3.1% Year-over-year
  38. Sunday Night Futures
  39. Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
  40. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to New Cycle Low
  41. Schedule for Week of October 22, 2023
  42. Oct 20th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
  43. NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
  44. Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 4%
  45. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.3% Year-over-year
  46. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.7% YoY; New Listings Down 4.4% YoY
  47. Fed Chair Powell: "Inflation is still too high", expects "a period of below-trend growth"
  48. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.96 million SAAR in September; New Cycle Low, First Sign of House Price Weakness
  49. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.96 million SAAR in September
  50. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 198,000
  51. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell
  52. 30-Year Mortgage Rates Hit 8.0%; California Home Sales Down 21.5% YoY in September
  53. Fed's Beige Book: "Little to no change in economic activity"
  54. AIA: Architecture Billings "New Decline in Business Condition"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 14th Consecutive Month
  55. September Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  56. Housing Starts Increased to 1.358 million Annual Rate in September
  57. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  58. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Beige Book
  59. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in September
  60. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in October
  61. Industrial Production Increased 0.3% in September
  62. Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in September
  63. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
  64. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.31% in September"
  65. Preliminary 2024 Housing Forecasts
  66. Housing October 16th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.8% Week-over-week; Down 3.5% Year-over-year
  67. Sunday Night Futures
  68. By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
  69. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
  70. Schedule for Week of October 15, 2023
  71. Oct 13th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Decreased
  72. Q3 GDP Tracking: High 3s
  73. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
  74. Hotels: Occupancy Rate decreased 0.2% Year-over-year
  75. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.4% YoY; New Listings Down 3.2% YoY
  76. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  77. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in September
  78. Cost of Living Adjustment increases 3.2% in 2024, Contribution Base increased to $168,600
  79. BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in September; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  80. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Unchanged at 209,000
  81. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
  82. FOMC Minutes: "Majority of participants judged that one more increase in the target federal funds rate ... would likely be appropriate"
  83. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
  84. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  85. Wednesday: PPI, FOMC Minutes
  86. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
  87. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October
  88. Moody's: Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q3
  89. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October
  90. Housing October 9th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.4% Week-over-week; Down 4.3% Year-over-year
  91. Sunday Night Futures
  92. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.8% Year-over-year
  93. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
  94. Schedule for Week of October 8, 2023
  95. Oct 6th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  96. AAR: September Rail Carloads and Intermodal Increased Year-over-year
  97. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in September; Early Reporting Markets suggest Sales at New Cycle Low in September
  98. Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving on up!
  99. Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased 1.0% in September; Down 3.9% Year-over-year
  100. Comments on September Employment Report
  101. September Employment Report: 336 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
  102. Friday: Employment Report
  103. September Employment Preview
  104. Moody's: "Apartment Market Softens, Office Evolution Continues, and Retail On Shaky Ground"
  105. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2.6% YoY; New Listings Down 1.2% YoY
  106. Trade Deficit decreased to $58.3 Billion in August
  107. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 207,000
  108. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
  109. Las Vegas August 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 4.0% YoY; Convention Traffic Up Sharply YoY
  110. Lawler: The Second Half “Bear Steepener”: Higher for Longer, a Higher R*, and A Rising Term Premium
  111. Strikes and the Impact on the Employment Report
  112. Heavy Truck Sales Solid in September, Up 5% YoY
  113. ISM® Services Index Decreases to 53.6% in September
  114. ADP: Private Employment Increased 89,000 in September
  115. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Apps Lowest Since 1995
  116. Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Services
  117. Vehicles Sales increase to 15.67 million SAAR in September; Up 15% YoY
  118. Update: Lumber Prices Down 11% YoY
  119. FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
  120. BLS: Job Openings Increased to 9.6 million in August
  121. CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Rate Increased in August
  122. Tuesday: Job Openings, Vehicle Sales
  123. Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
  124. ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "Home Prices Set Yet Another Record in August"
  125. Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in August
  126. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 49.0% in September
  127. Housing October 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down 4.7% Year-over-year
  128. Monday: ISM Manufacturing, Construction Spending
  129. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in August to New High; Up 4.0% Year-over-year

September 2023

  1. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: House Price Index Up 1.0% year-over-year in July; New all-time High
  2. Schedule for Week of October 1, 2023
  3. Sept 29th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  4. Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
  5. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.6% Year-over-year
  6. Fannie and Freddie: Single-Family Mortgage Delinquency Rate Declined, Multi-Family Increased in August
  7. PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 7.4% YoY in August
  8. Personal Income increased 0.4% in August; Spending increased 0.4%
  9. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
  10. Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year
  11. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 3.7% YoY; New Listings Down 7.5% YoY
  12. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 7.1% in August; Down 18.7% Year-over-year
  13. Q2 GDP Growth at 2.1% Annual Rate
  14. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 204,000
  15. Thursday: Q2 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell
  16. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  17. A Few Comments on the Likely Government Shutdown
  18. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.4% below recent peak
  19. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  20. Wednesday: Durable Goods
  21. New Home Sales decrease to 675,000 Annual Rate in August; Median New Home Price is Down 13% from the Peak
  22. New Home Sales decrease to 675,000 Annual Rate in August
  23. Comments on July Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  24. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 1.0% year-over-year in July; New all-time High
  25. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, New Home Sales
  26. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  27. Update on Four High Frequency Indicators
  28. Housing September 25th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.8% Week-over-week; Down 5.2% Year-over-year
  29. Sunday Night Futures
  30. The Top Ten Job Streaks: Current Streak is in 8th Place
  31. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  32. Schedule for Week of September 24, 2023
  33. Sept 22nd COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  34. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased Slightly in August
  35. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 40 States in August (3-Month Basis)
  36. September Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.4 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
  37. Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
  38. "Mortgage Rates Jump up to 23-Year Highs"
  39. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.2% Year-over-year
  40. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 4.4% YoY; New Listings Down 6.0% YoY
  41. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.04 million SAAR in August; Median Prices Increased 3.9% YoY in August
  42. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.04 million SAAR in August
  43. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 201,000
  44. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  45. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  46. FOMC Statement: No Change to Rates
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings "Softening Business Conditions in August"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 13th Consecutive Month
  48. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in August; California Home Sales Down 18.9% YoY in August
  49. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  50. Wednesday: FOMC Statement
  51. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down YoY in August
  52. August Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  53. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.283 million Annual Rate in August
  54. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  55. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.33% in August"
  56. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August and Some New Household/Housing Stock Data
  57. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in August
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in September
  59. Housing September 18th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.9% Week-over-week; Down 6.1% Year-over-year
  60. Sunday Night Futures
  61. FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
  62. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
  63. Schedule for Week of September 17, 2023
  64. Sept 15th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  65. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  66. Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
  67. Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in August
  68. Friday: Industrial Production, NY Fed Mfg
  69. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 5.1% YoY; New Listings Down 7.1% YoY
  70. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September
  71. Retail Sales Increased 0.6% in August
  72. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 220,000
  73. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, PPI
  74. Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  75. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September
  76. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  77. BLS: CPI increased 0.6% in August; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  78. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  79. Wednesday: CPI
  80. CPI Preview and Owners' equivalent rent
  81. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  82. CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Rate Increased in July
  83. Tuesday: Corelogic House Price index
  84. Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  85. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in August
  86. Housing September 11th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.1% Week-over-week; Down 6.9% Year-over-year
  87. Sunday Night Futures
  88. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.2% Year-over-year
  89. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" Stays Mostly Closed in Q2
  90. Schedule for Week of September 10, 2023
  91. Sept 8th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  92. AAR: August Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  93. The "Home ATM" Stays Mostly Closed in Q2
  94. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $5.5 Trillion in Q2
  95. Q3 GDP Tracking: Over 3%
  96. Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased 0.2% in August; Down 7.7% Year-over-year
  97. CoreLogic: 1.11 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q2 2023
  98. Friday: Q2 Flow of Funds
  99. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 5% YoY; New Listings Down 8.5% YoY
  100. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August
  101. FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Unchanged in Q2 2023
  102. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 216,000
  103. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  104. Fed's Beige Book: "Growth was modest during July and August"
  105. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Purchase Rate Locks "are now running 39% below pre-pandemic levels"
  106. ISM® Services Index Increases to 54.5% in August
  107. Trade Deficit at $65.0 Billion in July
  108. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Applications Lowest in 28 Years
  109. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ISM Services, Beige Book
  110. The Changing Mix of Light Vehicle Sales
  111. Heavy Truck Sales Solid in August, Up 2% YoY
  112. Lawler: Single Family Rent Trends at AMH and Invitation Homes
  113. Monday Night Futures
  114. Update: Lumber Prices Down 14% YoY
  115. Housing September 4th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.1% Week-over-week; Down 7.9% Year-over-year
  116. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.4% Year-over-year
  117. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Unchanged year-over-year
  118. Schedule for Week of September 3, 2023
  119. Sept 1st COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  120. Vehicles Sales at 15.04 million SAAR in August; Up 14% YoY
  121. Q3 GDP Tracking
  122. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in July to New High; Black Knight Index Hits New High, but "Mixed signals"
  123. Construction Spending Increased 0.7% in July
  124. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.6% in August
  125. Comments on August Employment Report
  126. August Employment Report: 187 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
  127. Friday: Employment Report, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

August 2023

  1. Goldman August Payrolls Preview
  2. Asking Rents Down 1.2% Year-over-year
  3. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 6% YoY; New Listings Down 8% YoY
  4. PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 7.8% YoY in July
  5. Personal Income increased 0.2% in July; Spending increased 0.8%
  6. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 228,000
  7. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Personal Income and Outlays, Chicago PMI
  8. Las Vegas July 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1.0% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 16.8% YoY
  9. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak
  10. NAR: Pending Home Sales Up 0.9% in July; Down 14.0% Year-over-year
  11. Q2 GDP Growth Revised down to 2.1% Annual Rate
  12. ADP: Private Employment Increased 177,000 in August
  13. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  14. Wednesday: ADP Employment, GDP, Pending Home Sales
  15. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  16. Comments on June Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  17. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.8 million in July
  18. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Unchanged year-over-year in June
  19. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings
  20. Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate vs Unemployment Rate
  21. Fannie Mae Single-Family Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Lowest since 2002
  22. Housing August 28th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down 9.3% Year-over-year
  23. Sunday Night Futures
  24. An Early Look at the September FOMC Projections
  25. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales increase to 714,000 Annual Rate in July
  26. Schedule for Week of August 27, 2023
  27. Aug 25th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
  28. Forecast: Multifamily Starts will Decline Sharply
  29. Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving Up
  30. Fed Chair Powell: Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead
  31. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased Slightly Year-over-year
  32. Friday: Fed Chair Powell Speaks at Jackson Hole Symposium
  33. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 7% YoY; New Listings Down 6% YoY
  34. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in July
  35. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in July
  36. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 230,000
  37. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
  38. August Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.3 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
  39. AIA: Architecture Billings "Stable" in July; Multi-family Billings Decline for 12th Consecutive Month
  40. New Home Sales increase to 714,000 Annual Rate in July; Median New Home Price is Down 12% from the Peak
  41. Employment: Preliminary annual benchmark revision shows downward adjustment of 306,000 jobs
  42. New Home Sales increase to 714,000 Annual Rate in July
  43. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in July
  44. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Applications "lowest level since April 1995"
  45. Wednesday: New Home Sales
  46. Lawler: More on “R-Star”
  47. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.07 million SAAR in July; Median Prices Increased 1.9% YoY in July
  48. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.07 million SAAR in July
  49. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales, Richmond Fed Mfg
  50. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.39% in July"
  51. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in July
  52. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 2.8% year-over-year in June
  53. Housing August 21st Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.9% Week-over-week; Down 10.0% Year-over-year
  54. Sunday Night Futures
  55. Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  56. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  57. Schedule for Week of August 20, 2023
  58. Aug 18th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Deaths
  59. Lawler: Is The “Natural” Rate of Interest Back to Pre-Financial Crisis Levels?
  60. Q3 GDP Tracking: Moving Up
  61. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July
  62. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Unchanged Year-over-year
  63. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 8% YoY; New Listings Down 8% YoY
  64. CoreLogic: US Home Investor Share Remained High in Early Summer 2023
  65. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 239,000
  66. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  67. FOMC Minutes: Staff No Longer Predicts Recession; "Upside Risks to Inflation"
  68. July Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  69. Industrial Production Increased 1.0% in July
  70. Housing Starts Increased to 1.452 million Annual Rate in July
  71. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  72. Wednesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, FOMC Minutes
  73. The "New Normal" Mortgage Rate Range
  74. NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased in August "on Rising Mortgage Rates"
  75. Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in July
  76. Tuesday: Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
  77. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August
  78. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in July
  79. Housing August 14th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.9% Week-over-week; Down 10.5% Year-over-year
  80. Sunday Night Futures
  81. Update: Lumber Prices Down 29% YoY
  82. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The Long-Term Housing and Population Shift
  83. Schedule for Week of August 13, 2023
  84. Aug 11th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Deaths
  85. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 9% YoY; New Listings Down 14% YoY
  86. Early Q3 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
  87. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August
  88. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.0% Year-over-year
  89. Friday: PPI
  90. The Long-Term Housing and Population Shift
  91. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in July
  92. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  93. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Decrease in the Second Quarter of 2023"; Lowest Level on Record
  94. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 248,000
  95. BLS: CPI increased 0.2% in July; Core CPI increased 0.2%
  96. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
  97. Oops. Wrong Graph Last Friday for 25- to 54-Years-Old Participation Rate
  98. Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased in Q2
  99. Atlanta Fed: Home Ownership Affordability Monitor
  100. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  101. Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications
  102. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in July
  103. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in July
  104. NY Fed Q2 Report: Household Debt Increased Slightly, Mortgage Balances "Unchanged"
  105. Trade Deficit Decreased to $65.5 Billion in June
  106. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Q2 Household Debt and Credit
  107. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in July; Prices Down 6.3% YoY
  108. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Month-to-month to New Record High in June
  109. Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 1.6% in July; Down 11.6% Year-over-year
  110. Housing August 7th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 0.7% Week-over-week; Down 10.3% Year-over-year
  111. Sunday Night Futures
  112. Summer Teen Employment
  113. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Asking Rents Negative Year-over-year
  114. Schedule for Week of August 6, 2023
  115. Aug 4th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Deaths
  116. The impact of 7% Mortgage Rates
  117. AAR: July Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  118. Comments on July Employment Report
  119. July Employment Report: 187 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
  120. Friday: Employment Report
  121. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 9% YoY; New Listings Down 17% YoY
  122. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.6% Year-over-year
  123. July Employment Preview
  124. ISM® Services Index Decreases to 52.7% in July
  125. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 227,000
  126. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
  127. HVS: Q2 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates; Rental Vacancy Rates Increased YoY
  128. Heavy Truck Sales Hit New Record High; Up 18% Year-over-year in July
  129. How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Change for 2024?
  130. ADP: Private Employment Increased 324,000 in July
  131. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  132. Wednesday: ADP Employment, Q2 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
  133. Vehicles Sales at 15.74 million SAAR in July; Up 18% YoY
  134. Asking Rents Negative Year-over-year
  135. Construction Spending Increased 0.5% in June
  136. BLS: Job Openings Decreased Slightly to 9.6 million in June
  137. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 46.4% in July
  138. CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Inches Up in June
  139. Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices, Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

July 2023

  1. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in June to New High; Up 1.7% Year-over-year
  2. Fed SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
  3. Housing July 31st Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.1% Week-over-week; Down 10.1% Year-over-year
  4. Sunday Night Futures
  5. Q2 2023 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Increased to 47 Institutions
  6. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller House Prices Decreased 0.5% year-over-year
  7. Schedule for Week of July 30, 2023
  8. July 28th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths
  9. Las Vegas June 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1.5% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 2.9% YoY
  10. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.5% Year-over-year
  11. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.9% below recent peak
  12. PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 8.0% YoY in June
  13. Personal Income increased 0.3% in June; Spending increased 0.5%
  14. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
  15. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 8% YoY; New Listings Down 18% YoY
  16. Fannie and Freddie: Single-Family Mortgage Delinquency Rate Declined, Multi-Family Increased in June
  17. NAR: Pending Home Sales Up 0.3% in June; Down 15.6% Year-over-year
  18. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 221,000
  19. BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.4% Annualized Rate in Q2
  20. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
  21. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp
  22. New Home Sales decrease to 697,000 Annual Rate in June; Median New Home Price is Down 16.4% from the Peak
  23. New Home Sales decrease to 697,000 Annual Rate in June
  24. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  25. Wednesday: New Home Sales, FOMC Statement
  26. July Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
  27. Comments on May Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  28. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Decreased 0.5% year-over-year in May
  29. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  30. Update on Four High Frequency Indicators
  31. Housing July 24th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.9% Week-over-week; Down 8.8% Year-over-year
  32. Sunday Night Futures
  33. FOMC Preview: Likely 25bp Rate Hike
  34. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  35. Schedule for Week of July 23, 2023
  36. July 21st COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  37. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June
  38. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  39. Black Knight: "Seriously Delinquent Mortgages Hit Lowest Level Since 2006" in June
  40. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 6% YoY; New Listings Down 19% YoY
  41. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.1% Year-over-year
  42. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.16 million SAAR in June; Median Prices Declined 0.9% YoY in June
  43. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.16 million SAAR in June
  44. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 228,000
  45. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
  46. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June & 4th Look at Local Markets
  47. AIA: Architecture Billings "Stable" in June; Multi-family Billings Decline for 11th Consecutive Month
  48. June Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  49. Housing Starts Decreased Sharply to 1.434 million Annual Rate in June
  50. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  51. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  52. NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
  53. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in July
  54. Industrial Production Decreased 0.5% in June
  55. Retail Sales Increased 0.2% in June
  56. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
  57. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.44% in June"
  58. Will house prices decline further later this year?
  59. Housing July 17th Weekly Update: Inventory increased 1.2% Week-over-week; Down 7.5% Year-over-year
  60. Sunday Night Futures
  61. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in June
  62. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Currently 23.3% of mortgage loans are under 3%, 61.3% are under 4%
  63. Schedule for Week of July 16, 2023
  64. July 14th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  65. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in June
  66. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  67. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 5% YoY; New Listings Down 27% YoY
  68. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.3% Year-over-year
  69. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July
  70. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 237,000
  71. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  72. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July
  73. Fed's Beige Book: "Overall economic activity increased slightly"
  74. Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  75. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.1% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.1% in June
  76. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  77. BLS: CPI increased 0.2% in June; Core CPI increased 0.2%
  78. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  79. Wednesday: CPI, Beige Book
  80. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in June
  81. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in June
  82. CoreLogic: US Annual Home Price Growth Drops to the Lowest Rate in 11 Years in May
  83. Tuesday: Corelogic House Price index
  84. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in June; Prices Down 6.8% YoY
  85. Lawler: Update on Demographic Trends, and Population and Household Projections Through 2025
  86. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Month-to-month to New Record High in May
  87. Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 4.2% in June; Down 10.3% Year-over-year
  88. Housing July 10th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.2% Week-over-week; Down 4.6% Year-over-year
  89. Sunday Night Futures
  90. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 4.1% Year-over-year
  91. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down 2% YoY; New Listings Down 21% YoY
  92. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Asking Rent Growth Flat Year-over-year
  93. Schedule for Week of July 9, 2023
  94. July 7th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  95. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  96. AAR: June Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  97. Heavy Truck Sales Up 15% Year-over-year in June
  98. Comments on June Employment Report
  99. June Employment Report: 209 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
  100. Friday: Employment Report
  101. June Employment Preview
  102. Early Look at Local Housing Markets in June
  103. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.8 million in May
  104. Trade Deficit Decreased to $69.0 Billion in May
  105. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 248,000
  106. ADP: Private Employment Increased 497,000 in June
  107. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  108. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ADP Employment, Trade Deficit, Job Openings and More
  109. Vehicles Sales at 15.68 million SAAR in June; Up 20% YoY
  110. FOMC Minutes: Staff Predicts Mild Recession; Additional Increases in Fed Funds Rate "Appropriate"
  111. Asking Rent Growth Flat Year-over-year
  112. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  113. Housing Inventory and Demographics: The Next Big Shift
  114. Construction Spending Increased 0.9% in May
  115. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.0% in June
  116. Housing July 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.3% Week-over-week; Down Year-over-year
  117. Sunday Night Futures
  118. Update: Lumber Prices Down About 35% YoY
  119. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Increase in May
  120. Schedule for Week of July 2, 2023

June 2023

  1. June 30th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  2. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in May; Up 0.4% Year-over-year
  3. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  4. PCE Measure of Shelter Finally Slowing YoY
  5. Personal Income increased 0.4% in May; Spending increased 0.1%
  6. Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
  7. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.0% Year-over-year
  8. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Down Slightly YoY; New Listings Down 29% YoY
  9. NAR: Pending Home Sales Down 2.7% in May; Down 22.2% Year-over-year
  10. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 239,000
  11. Q1 GDP Growth Revised Up to 2.0% Annual Rate
  12. Thursday: Fed Chair Powell, Unemployment Claims, GDP, Pending Home Sales
  13. Las Vegas May 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 1.5% YoY; Convention Traffic up 16% YoY
  14. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.8% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.4% below recent peak
  15. CNBC: Fed Chair "Powell says more ‘restriction’ is coming"
  16. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  17. Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell, Stress Test Results
  18. New Home Sales increase to 763,000 Annual Rate in May; Median New Home Price is Down 16.2% from the Peak
  19. New Home Sales increase to 763,000 Annual Rate in May
  20. Comments on April Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  21. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Decreased 0.2% year-over-year in April
  22. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, New Home Sales, Durable Goods
  23. Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in May: Single Family Declined, Multi-Family Increased
  24. Update on Four High Frequency Indicators
  25. Housing June 26th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.0% Week-over-week
  26. Sunday Night Futures
  27. A Very Early Look at 2024 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
  28. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  29. Schedule for Week of June 25, 2023
  30. June 23rd COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  31. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in all 50 States in May (3-Month Basis)
  32. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
  33. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May
  34. Black Knight: "Past-Due Mortgages Approach Recent Record Lows" in May
  35. June Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.9 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
  36. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 5% YoY; New Listings Down 26% YoY
  37. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.1% Year-over-year
  38. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.30 million SAAR in May; Median Prices Declined 3.1% YoY
  39. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.30 million SAAR in May
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 264,000
  41. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Existing Home Sales, Fed Chair Powell
  42. AIA: Architecture Billings "Rebound" in May; Multi-family Billings Decline for 11th Consecutive Month
  43. California Home Sales Down 23.6% YoY in May, Median Prices Decline 6.4% YoY
  44. Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
  45. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  46. Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress
  47. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.49% in May"
  48. May Housing Starts: Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
  49. Housing Starts Increased Sharply to 1.631 million Annual Rate in May
  50. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  51. Some More Good News for Homebuilders
  52. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in June
  53. Housing June 19th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.8% Week-over-week
  54. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in May
  55. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
  56. Schedule for Week of June 18, 2023
  57. June 16th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  58. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
  59. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in May
  60. Update: Lumber Prices Down About 25% YoY
  61. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
  62. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.6% Year-over-year
  63. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 10% YoY; New Listings Down 22% YoY
  64. Lawler: Update on Mortgage/Treasury Spreads
  65. Industrial Production Decreased 0.2% in May
  66. Retail Sales Increased 0.3% in May
  67. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 262,000
  68. Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, NY and Philly Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
  69. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  70. FOMC Statement: Pause
  71. Update: "Why Year-over-year Headline Inflation will Decline Sharply in May and June"
  72. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June
  73. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  74. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, PPI
  75. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June
  76. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in May
  77. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  78. BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in May; Core CPI increased 0.4%
  79. Tuesday: Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  80. AAR: May Rail Carloads Increased, Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  81. Why Year-over-year Headline Inflation will Decline Sharply in May and June
  82. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in May
  83. Housing June 12th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 1.5% Week-over-week
  84. Sunday Night Futures
  85. FOMC Preview: A Likely "Pause"
  86. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" was Closed in Q1
  87. Schedule for Week of June 11, 2023
  88. June 9th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  89. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1% to 2%
  90. Lawler: Census 2020, Population Estimates, and Population Projections: Challenges for Demographers
  91. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.3% Year-over-year
  92. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 13% YoY; New Listings Down 25% YoY
  93. The "Home ATM" was Closed in Q1; Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) turns negative in Q1 2023
  94. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $3.0 Trillion in Q1
  95. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 261,000
  96. CoreLogic: 1.2 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q1 2023
  97. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Flow of Funds
  98. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in May
  99. Could 6% to 7% 30-Year Mortgage Rates be the "New Normal"?
  100. Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in May; Down 7.6% Year-over-year
  101. Trade Deficit Increased to $74.6 Billion in April
  102. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  103. Wednesday: Trade Deficit
  104. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in May
  105. Early Look at Local Housing Markets in May
  106. CoreLogic: House Prices up 2.0% YoY in April
  107. Tuesday: CoreLogic House Prices
  108. ISM® Services Index Decreases to 50.3% in May
  109. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Month-to-month in April; Prices Unchanged YoY
  110. Housing June 5th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.7% Week-over-week
  111. Sunday Night Futures
  112. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.6% Year-over-year
  113. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 18% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY
  114. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller National House Price Index Increased 0.7% year-over-year in March
  115. Schedule for Week of June 4, 2023
  116. June 2nd COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  117. Heavy Truck Sales Up Sharply Year-over-year in May
  118. Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate; Asking Rents Likely to be Down year-over-year in June or July
  119. Vehicles Sales at 15.05 million SAAR in May; Up 19.6% YoY
  120. Comments on May Employment Report
  121. May Employment Report: 339 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
  122. Friday: Employment Report
  123. U.S. Births decreased Slightly in 2022
  124. May Employment Preview
  125. Construction Spending Increased 1.2% in April
  126. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.9% in May
  127. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.2% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.3% below recent peak
  128. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increased to 232,000
  129. ADP: Private Employment Increased 278,000 in May
  130. Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales

May 2023

  1. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in April; Up 0.3% Year-over-year
  2. Las Vegas April 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 4% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 30%
  3. Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity was little changed ... Residential real estate activity picked up"
  4. BLS: Job Openings Increased to 10.1 million in April
  5. Lawler: Census Finally Releases 2020 Census Demographic Profile and Demographic and Housing Characteristics File
  6. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  7. Wednesday: Job Openings, Chicago PMI, Fed's Beige Book
  8. A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
  9. Comments on March Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  10. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index increased 0.7% year-over-year in March
  11. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  12. Recession Watch Update
  13. Housing May 29th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.1% Week-over-week
  14. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Year-over-year
  15. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Multi-Family Delinquencies Increased"
  16. Schedule for Week of May 28, 2023
  17. May 26th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  18. Fannie and Freddie Serious Delinquencies in April: Single Family Declined, Multi-Family Increased
  19. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 1% to 2%
  20. PCE Measure of Shelter Still Accelerating YoY
  21. Personal Income increased 0.4% in April; Spending increased 0.8%
  22. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Durable Goods
  23. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 20% YoY; New Listings Down 26% YoY
  24. May Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.3 million SAAR, Up Sharply YoY
  25. Total Housing Completions will Likely Decrease Slightly in 2023; The Mix will Change
  26. NAR: Pending Home Sales Unchanged in April; Down 20.3% Year-over-year
  27. Q1 GDP Growth Revised up to 1.3% Annual Rate
  28. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 229,000
  29. Thursday: 2nd Estimate Q1 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  30. Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Rise on Calendar Effect" in April
  31. FOMC Minutes: Staff Predicts Recession Starting in Q4; Future Monetary Policy "less certain"
  32. AIA: Architecture Billings Decreased in April
  33. Two Key Housing Themes: Low Inventory and Few Distressed Sales
  34. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  35. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  36. "Mortgage Rates Move Back Above 7%"
  37. New Home Sales at 683,000 Annual Rate in April; Median New Home Price is Down 15.3% from the Peak
  38. New Home Sales at 683,000 Annual Rate in April
  39. Tuesday: New Home Sales
  40. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April
  41. What Happened to "Paying off the National Debt"?
  42. Housing May 22nd Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.9% Week-over-week
  43. Sunday Night Futures
  44. The Changing Mix of Light Vehicle Sales
  45. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Near Record Multi-Family Under Construction"
  46. Schedule for Week of May 21, 2023
  47. May 19th COVID Update: New Pandemic Lows for Deaths and Hospitalizations
  48. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in April
  49. Similar Number of Housing Units started in Q1 as 'Built-for-Rent' as 'Built-for-Sale'
  50. Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  51. Friday: Discussion, Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Ben Bernanke
  52. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.0% Year-over-year
  53. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 23% YoY; New Listings Down 25% YoY
  54. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.28 million SAAR in April; Median Prices Declined 1.7% YoY
  55. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.28 million SAAR in April
  56. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 242,000
  57. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  58. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in April
  59. April Housing Starts: Near Record Multi-Family Under Construction
  60. Housing Starts at 1.401 million Annual Rate in April
  61. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  62. Wednesday: Housing Starts
  63. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April
  64. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in May
  65. Industrial Production Increased 0.5% in April
  66. Retail Sales Increased 0.4% in April
  67. Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
  68. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.51% in April"
  69. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in April
  70. NY Fed Q1 Report: Household Debt Increases, Mortgage Loan Growth Slows
  71. Housing May 15th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.2% Week-over-week
  72. Monday: NY Fed Mfg, Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
  73. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 0.6% year-over-year in March
  74. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability"
  75. Schedule for Week of May 14, 2023
  76. May 12th COVID Update: New Pandemic Low for Hospitalizations
  77. Early Q2 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
  78. Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April
  79. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 2.0% Year-over-year
  80. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 31% YoY; New Listings Down 16% YoY
  81. Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April
  82. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquency Rate in First-Quarter 2023 Declines to Second-Lowest Level in MBA’s Survey"
  83. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 264,000
  84. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  85. Misery Index
  86. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in April
  87. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in April
  88. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  89. BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in April; Core CPI increased 0.4%
  90. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  91. Wednesday: CPI
  92. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in April
  93. House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability
  94. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in April
  95. "Mortgage Rates Jump to Highest Levels Since Last Monday"
  96. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 57% YoY, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
  97. Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
  98. Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory essentially unchanged in Q1
  99. Lawler: American Homes 4 Rent Net Seller of Single-Family Homes Last Quarter
  100. Housing May 8th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.6% Week-over-week
  101. Monday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices
  102. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 35% YoY; New Listings Down 22% YoY
  103. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
  104. Schedule for Week of May 7, 2023
  105. COVID May 5, 2023, Update: New Pandemic Low for Hospitalizations
  106. AAR: April Rail Carloads Increased, Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  107. Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in April; Down 4.4% Year-over-year
  108. Early Look at Local Housing Markets in April
  109. Comments on April Employment Report
  110. April Employment Report: 253 thousand Jobs, 3.4% Unemployment Rate
  111. Friday: April Employment Report
  112. Goldman April Payrolls Preview
  113. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 0.1% Year-over-year
  114. April Employment Preview
  115. Trade Deficit decreased to $64.2 Billion in March
  116. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 242,000
  117. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Balance
  118. Heavy Truck Sales Up Sharply Year-over-year in April
  119. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp; Pause in June Likely
  120. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased in March; Prices Up 1.0% YoY
  121. HVS: Q1 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates; Rental Vacancy Rates Increased Sharply
  122. ISM® Services Index Increases to 51.9% in April
  123. ADP: Private Employment Increased 296,000 in April
  124. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  125. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, ISM Services, ADP Employment, HVS Vacancies and Homeownership
  126. Vehicles Sales at 15.91 million SAAR in April; Up 11.4% YoY
  127. Lawler: Invitation Homes Net Seller of Single-Family Properties for Second Straight Quarter
  128. A Policy Proposal to Increase the Utilization of the Current Housing Stock
  129. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.6 million in March
  130. CoreLogic: House Prices up 3.1% YoY in March, Lowest Annual Growth Rate since early 2012
  131. Tuesday: Job Openings, Vehicle Sales
  132. Secretary Yellen to Speaker McCarthy: "unable to continue to satisfy all of the government’s obligations by early June"
  133. Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
  134. Construction Spending Increased 0.3% in March
  135. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.1% in April
  136. Housing May 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.0% Week-over-week

April 2023

  1. Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
  2. FOMC Preview: Likely 25bp Hike
  3. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller House Prices up 2.0% YoY
  4. Schedule for Week of April 30, 2023
  5. COVID Apr 28, 2023, Update: New Pandemic Low for Weekly Deaths
  6. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 2.3% Year-over-year
  7. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in March
  8. Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in March; Up 1.0% Year-over-year
  9. PCE Measure of Shelter Still Accelerating YoY
  10. Personal Income increased 0.3% in March; Spending increased Slightly
  11. Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
  12. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 39% YoY; New Listings Down 21% YoY
  13. NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
  14. NAR: Pending Home Sales Decreased 5.2% in March; Down 23.2% Year-over-year
  15. BEA: Real GDP increased at 1.1% Annualized Rate in Q1
  16. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 230,000
  17. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
  18. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in March
  19. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.6% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.4% below recent peak
  20. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  21. Wednesday: Durable Goods
  22. Las Vegas March 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 1.1% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Up 39.6%
  23. New Home Sales Increase to 683,000 Annual Rate in March; Likely New Home Sales will be up YoY in Mid-2023
  24. New Home Sales Increase to 683,000 Annual Rate in March
  25. Comments on February Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  26. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Declines Moderated" to 2.0% year-over-year increase in February
  27. Tuesday: New Home Sales, Case-Shiller House Prices
  28. Vehicle Sales Forecast: "April U.S. Light-Vehicle Sales to Post Strong Growth"
  29. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in March
  30. Housing April 24th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 2.1% Week-over-week
  31. Sunday Night Futures
  32. The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
  33. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Most Multi-family Under Construction Since 1973"
  34. Schedule for Week of April 23, 2023
  35. COVID Apr 21, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  36. Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  37. Why Measures of Existing Home Inventory appear Different
  38. Black Knight: "Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record Low in March"
  39. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Up 3.7% Year-over-year
  40. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 49% YoY; New Listings Down 5% YoY
  41. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.44 million SAAR in March; Median Prices Declined 0.9% YoY
  42. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.44 million SAAR in March
  43. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 245,000
  44. Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  45. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in March
  46. Fed's Beige Book: "The labor market becoming less tight ... increases to the labor supply"
  47. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets: California Home Sales down 34% YoY in March; Prices Down 7.0% YoY
  48. AIA: Architecture Billings "Slightly Improved" in March
  49. The Fed on "Possible Macroeconomic Effects of a Temporary Federal Debt Default"
  50. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  51. Wednesday: Architecture Billings Index, Beige Book
  52. Misery Index
  53. March Housing Starts: Most Multi-family Under Construction Since 1973
  54. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.420 million Annual Rate in March
  55. Tuesday: Housing Starts
  56. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.55% in March"
  57. Lawler on Demographics: New Population Estimates Incorporate Unprecedented Methodological Changes
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased Slightly in April
  59. Housing April 17th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.3% Week-over-week
  60. Monday: NAHB Homebuilder Survey, NY Fed Mfg
  61. By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
  62. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March"
  63. Schedule for Week of April 16, 2023
  64. COVID Apr 14, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  65. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March; 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
  66. Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  67. Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in March
  68. Retail Sales Decreased 1.0% in March
  69. Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production
  70. U.S. Demographics: Largest 5-year cohorts, and Ten most Common Ages in 2022
  71. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 44% YoY; New Listings Down 32% YoY
  72. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.4% Year-over-year
  73. Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April
  74. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 239,000
  75. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
  76. FOMC Minutes: "some additional policy firming may be appropriate"; Staff Predicts Recession
  77. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in March
  78. Remote Work and Household Formation
  79. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  80. BLS: CPI increased 0.1% in March; Core CPI increased 0.4%
  81. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  82. Wednesday: CPI, FOMC Minutes
  83. The Top Ten Job Streaks: Current Streak is in 9th Place
  84. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
  85. More Employment Graphs: Duration of Unemployment, Unemployment by Education, Diffusion Indexes
  86. "Mortgage Rates Have Quickly Erased Last Week's Drop"
  87. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased in March
  88. A Few Comments on Commercial Real Estate
  89. Housing April 10th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.2% Week-over-week
  90. Sunday Night Futures
  91. Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  92. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in March
  93. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Comparing the Current Housing Cycle to the 1980 Period"
  94. Schedule for Week of April 9, 2023
  95. COVID Apr 7, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  96. AAR: March Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  97. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March
  98. Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in March, Down 2.4% Year-over-year
  99. Comments on March Employment Report
  100. March Employment Report: 236 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
  101. Friday: Employment Report
  102. March Employment Preview
  103. Mortgage Rate Update
  104. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 3.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  105. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 53% YoY; New Listings Down 22% YoY
  106. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 228,000; Major Revisions to Seasonal Factors
  107. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  108. Update: Comparing the Current Housing Cycle to the 1980 Period
  109. ISM® Services Index Decreases to 51.2% in March
  110. Trade Deficit increased to $70.5 Billion in February
  111. ADP: Private Employment Increased 145,000 in March
  112. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
  113. Wednesday: Trade Deficit, ISM Services, ADP Employment
  114. Moody's: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q1, Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
  115. Heavy Truck Sales Up 7% Year-over-year in March
  116. Moody's: Multifamily Demand "Softened notably over the past few quarters"
  117. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 9.9 million in February
  118. CoreLogic: House Prices up 4.4% YoY in February; Increased 0.8% MoM in February NSA
  119. Tuesday: Job Openings
  120. Vehicles Sales at 14.82 million SAAR in March; Up 9.3% YoY
  121. Q1 2023 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 46 Institutions
  122. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Increased Slightly in February; Prices Up 1.9% YoY
  123. Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in February
  124. ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.3% in March
  125. Housing April 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.8% Week-over-week
  126. Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
  127. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 63% YoY, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
  128. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Price-to-rent index is 7.9% below recent peak"
  129. Schedule for Week of April 2, 2023
  130. COVID Mar 31, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths

March 2023

  1. Freddie Mac House Price Index Declines for 8th Consecutive Month in February
  2. Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
  3. Personal Income increased 0.3% in February; Spending increased 0.2%
  4. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
  5. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.3% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  6. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 57% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY
  7. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 4.6% Below Peak
  8. Q4 GDP Growth Revised Down to 2.6% Annual Rate
  9. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 198,000
  10. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
  11. Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in all 50 States in January (3-Month Basis)
  12. Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
  13. NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 0.8% in February; Down 21.1% Year-over-year
  14. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  15. Wednesday: Pending Home Sales
  16. Las Vegas February 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 3.4% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 11.4%
  17. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate declined in February
  18. Comments on January Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  19. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Declining Trend Continued" to 3.8% year-over-year increase in January
  20. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  21. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in February
  22. DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 5.6% year-over-year in January
  23. Housing March 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 0.3% Week-over-week
  24. Sunday Night Futures
  25. Off-Topic: This is Personal
  26. Fed: Q4 2022 Household Debt Service Ratio Still Low
  27. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Median Existing Home Prices Declined YoY"
  28. Schedule for Week of March 26, 2023
  29. COVID Mar 24, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  30. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 2.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  31. Q1 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
  32. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  33. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 59% YoY; New Listings Down 20% YoY
  34. Friday: Durable Goods
  35. Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to be up Year-over-year in March
  36. More Good News for Homebuilders
  37. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in February
  38. New Home Sales at 640,000 Annual Rate in February; New Home Average Prices Down 4.5% Year-over-year
  39. New Home Sales at 640,000 Annual Rate in February
  40. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 191,000
  41. Thursday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
  42. FOMC Projections and Press Conference
  43. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp; "some additional policy firming may be appropriate"
  44. AIA: Architecture Billings "Slowdown Continues" in February
  45. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  46. Wednesday: FOMC Announcement
  47. Goldman: Seasonally Adjusted Median Prices Down 4.2% from Peak
  48. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.58 million SAAR in February; Median Prices Declined YoY
  49. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.58 million SAAR in February
  50. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
  51. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.60% in February"
  52. First House Price Index goes Negative Year-over-year
  53. House Prices: Rust or Bust?
  54. Goldman Expects the FOMC to Pause
  55. Housing March 20th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.4% Week-over-week
  56. Sunday Night Futures
  57. FOMC Preview: Uncertainty, Likely 25bp Hike, Maybe Pause
  58. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Average Length of Time from Start to Completion increased Sharply in 2022"
  59. Schedule for Week of March 19, 2023
  60. COVID Mar 17, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  61. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down Sharply YoY in February
  62. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
  63. Q1 GDP Tracking: Wide Range
  64. Industrial Production Unchanged in February
  65. Friday: Industrial Production
  66. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 61% YoY; New Listings Down 16% YoY
  67. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  68. February Housing Starts: Average Length of Time from Start to Completion increased Sharply in 2022
  69. Housing Starts Increased to 1.450 million Annual Rate in February
  70. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 192,000
  71. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  72. Weather Boosted Employment by About 65,000 in February
  73. Current State of the Housing Market: Overview for mid-March
  74. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in March
  75. Retail Sales Decreased 0.4% in February
  76. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  77. Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
  78. Q4 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
  79. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  80. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.6% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in February
  81. YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
  82. BLS: CPI increased 0.4% in February; Core CPI increased 0.5%
  83. Tuesday: CPI
  84. Bank Failure #2 in 2023: Silicon Valley Bank
  85. Pandemic Economics, Housing and Monetary Policy: Part II
  86. Housing March 13th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.5% Week-over-week
  87. Sunday Night Futures
  88. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in February
  89. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Pandemic Economics and Housing"
  90. Schedule for Week of March 12, 2023
  91. COVID Mar 10, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  92. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.6% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  93. Q1 GDP Tracking
  94. Bank Failure #1 in 2023: Silicon Valley Bank
  95. Comments on February Employment Report
  96. February Employment Report: 311 thousand Jobs, 3.6% Unemployment Rate
  97. Friday: Employment Report
  98. "Home ATM" is Closing; Mortgage Equity Withdrawal (MEW) Declines in Q4
  99. Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $2.9 Trillion in Q4
  100. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 61% YoY; New Listings Down 26% YoY
  101. February Employment Preview
  102. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 211,000
  103. Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Q4 Flow of Funds
  104. Fed's Beige Book: "Leasing rates for multifamily were starting to decrease"
  105. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in February
  106. Trade Deficit increased to $68.3 Billion in January
  107. BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 10.8 million in January
  108. ADP: Private Employment Increased 242,000 in February
  109. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
  110. Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell, Job Openings, ADP Employment, Beige Book
  111. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in February
  112. Pandemic Economics, Housing and Monetary Policy: Part I; The Economic Fireworks have been in Housing!
  113. Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in February, Down 7.0% Year-over-year
  114. CoreLogic: House Prices up 5.5% YoY in January; Declined 0.2% MoM in January NSA
  115. Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell
  116. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in January, "on pace to fall below 0% by March/April"
  117. Housing March 6th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 2.6% Week-over-week
  118. Sunday Night Futures
  119. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 72% YoY, Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
  120. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Price-to-rent index is 7.1% below recent peak"
  121. Schedule for Week of March 5, 2023
  122. COVID Mar 3, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  123. AAR: February Rail Carloads and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  124. Q1 GDP Tracking
  125. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak
  126. ISM® Services Index at 55.1% in February
  127. Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged Year-over-year
  128. "Mortgage Rates Now Back Above 7%"
  129. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 67% YoY; New Listings Down 16% YoY
  130. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 1.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  131. Year-over-year Rent Growth Continues to Decelerate
  132. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 190,000
  133. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  134. Vehicles Sales at 14.89 million SAAR in February
  135. Freddie Mac House Price Index Declines for 7th Consecutive Month in January
  136. Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in January
  137. ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.7% in February
  138. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased, Lowest Level Since 1995
  139. Wednesday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending

February 2023

  1. Las Vegas January 2023: Visitor Traffic Down 4.0% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 24.9%
  2. FDIC: Problem Banks Decreased to Record Low 39 in Q4 2022
  3. Comments on December Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  4. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Decline Continued" to 5.8% year-over-year increase in December
  5. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  6. Lawler: AMH Net Seller of Existing Single-Family Homes, “Investor” Home Purchases Plunged
  7. Freddie Mac Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate unchanged in January; Fannie Mae Decreased Slightly
  8. Measures of Shelter in the CPI and PCE price indexes Still Increasing
  9. NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 8.1% in January; Down 24.1% Year-over-year
  10. Housing February 27th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.6% Week-over-week
  11. Monday: Pending Home Sales, Durable Goods
  12. High Frequency Indicators: Airlines Back to Pre-Pandemic Levels, Movie Tickets Still Down
  13. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "New Home Average Prices Down 5.3% Year-over-year"
  14. Schedule for Week of February 26, 2023
  15. COVID Feb 24, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  16. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Decreased in January
  17. Q1 GDP Tracking: Close to 2%
  18. New Home Sales Increase to 670,000 Annual Rate in January; New Home Average Prices Down 5.3% Year-over-year
  19. New Home Sales at 670,000 Annual Rate in January
  20. Personal Income increased 0.6% in January; Spending increased 1.8%
  21. Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, New Home Sales
  22. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 67% YoY; New Listings Down 18% YoY
  23. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  24. Q4 GDP Growth Revised Down to 2.7% Annual Rate
  25. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 192,000
  26. Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims
  27. Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to be up Year-over-year in February
  28. FOMC Minutes: All participants continued to anticipate ongoing rate increases
  29. AIA: Architecture Billings "Continue to Contract" in January
  30. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  31. MBA: Mortgage Purchase Applications Decreased Sharply, Lowest Since 1995
  32. Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
  33. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.64% in January"
  34. The Normal Seasonal Changes for Median House Prices
  35. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.00 million SAAR in January; Median Prices Down 13.2% from Peak in June 2022
  36. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.00 million SAAR in January
  37. CoreLogic: "US Annual Rent Price Growth Dropped by Nearly Half in December"
  38. Tuesday: Existing Home Sales
  39. Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory increased in Q4; Expected to increase further in 2023
  40. First time ever more "Built-for-Rent" Units started Quarterly than "Built-for-Sale"
  41. Housing February 20th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.5% Week-over-week
  42. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down 22% YoY in January
  43. Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
  44. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Near Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction"
  45. Schedule for Week of February 19, 2023
  46. COVID Feb 17, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  47. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in January; Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in January
  48. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 70% YoY; New Listings Down 13% YoY
  49. Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 1.5%
  50. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 8.7% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  51. MBA: "Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in the Fourth Quarter of 2022"
  52. NY Fed Q4 Report: Household Debt Increases, Mortgage and Auto Loan Growth Slows
  53. January Housing Starts: Near Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  54. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.309 million Annual Rate in January
  55. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 194,000
  56. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, PPI, Philly Fed Mfg, NY Fed Household Debt and Credit
  57. Update: Some "Good News" for Homebuilders
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in February
  59. Industrial Production Unchanged in January
  60. Retail Sales Increased 3.0% in January
  61. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest Weekly Survey
  62. Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, NY Fed Mfg
  63. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.7% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.6% in January
  64. Current State of the Housing Market: Overview for mid-February
  65. Core CPI ex-Shelter declines to 3.9% YoY
  66. BLS: CPI increased 0.5% in January; Core CPI increased 0.4%
  67. Tuesday: CPI
  68. Demographics for Housing are not as Favorable as Projected 3 Years Ago
  69. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  70. Housing February 13th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 3.0% Week-over-week
  71. Sunday Night Futures
  72. Weather Boosted Employment by About 125,000 in January
  73. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Home Prices Declined in December; Down 5.3% since June"
  74. Schedule for Week of February 12, 2023
  75. COVID Feb 10, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  76. Early Q1 GDP Tracking
  77. Net Immigration and Household Formation
  78. Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force
  79. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 70% YoY; New Listings Down 11% YoY
  80. Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
  81. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 7.3% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  82. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims increase to 196,000
  83. Thursday: Unemployment Claims
  84. U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Decline 6 Percent in 2022
  85. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in January
  86. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in January
  87. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Latest Weekly Survey
  88. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreases in January
  89. Freddie Mac House Price Index Declines for 7th Consecutive Month in December
  90. Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in January, Down 12.8% Year-over-year
  91. Trade Deficit increased to $67.4 Billion in December
  92. CoreLogic: House Prices up 6.9% YoY in December; Declined 0.4% MoM in December NSA
  93. Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Fed Chair Powell
  94. Fed Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for Residential Real Estate and HELOCs
  95. Heavy Truck Sales Up 6% Year-over-year
  96. Black Knight Mortgage Monitor: Home Prices Declined in December; Down 5.3% since June
  97. Housing February 6th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.9% Week-over-week
  98. Sunday Night Futures
  99. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 0.3% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  100. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline"
  101. Schedule for Week of February 5, 2023
  102. COVID Feb 3, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  103. AAR: January Rail Carloads Increased and Intermodal Decreased Year-over-year
  104. Lawler: Net Home Orders and Sales Cancellations of Large Publicly-Traded Home Builders
  105. Comments on January Employment Report
  106. January Employment Report: 517 thousand Jobs, 3.4% Unemployment Rate
  107. Friday: Employment Report
  108. January Employment Preview
  109. Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.6% Below Peak
  110. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 183,000
  111. Vehicles Sales Increased to 15.74 million SAAR in January
  112. BLS: Job Openings Increased to 11.0 million in December
  113. FOMC Statement: Raise Rates 25 bp; "Ongoing increases appropriate"
  114. Rents Continue to Decline; "Apartment Market Loosens"
  115. Construction Spending Decreased 0.4% in December
  116. ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 47.4% in January
  117. ADP: Private Employment Increased 106,000 in January
  118. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Latest Weekly Survey
  119. Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Job Openings, ADP Employment, Construction Spending, ISM Mfg

January 2023

  1. Las Vegas December 2022: Visitor Traffic Down 4.6% Compared to 2019; Convention Traffic Down 38.2%
  2. HVS: Q4 2022 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
  3. Comments on November Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
  4. Case-Shiller: National House Price Index "Continued to Decline" to 7.7% year-over-year increase in November
  5. Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
  6. Fannie Mae: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly in December
  7. Lawler: D.R. Horton (DHI) Net Order Price Declined "Roughly" 10% from Peak
  8. Housing January 30th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 1.4% Week-over-week
  9. Sunday Night Futures
  10. FOMC Preview: 25bp Hike
  11. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply
  12. Schedule for Week of January 29, 2023
  13. COVID Jan 27, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  14. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 6.2% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  15. Realtor.com Reports Weekly Active Inventory Up 69% YoY; New Listings Down 5% YoY
  16. Has Housing "Bottomed"?
  17. NAR: Pending Home Sales Increased 2.5% in December, Year-over-year Down 33.8%
  18. Personal Income increased 0.2% in December; Spending decreased 0.2%
  19. Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
  20. A Few Comments on Q4 GDP and Investment
  21. New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Previous 3 Months Revised Down Sharply
  22. New Home Sales at 616,000 Annual Rate in December; Annual Sales down 16.4% in 2022
  23. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 186,000
  24. BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.9% Annualized Rate in Q4
  25. Thursday: GDP, New Home Sales, Durable Goods, Unemployment Claims
  26. Freddie Mac: Mortgage Serious Delinquency Rate unchanged in December
  27. Vehicle Sales Forecast: Vehicle Sales to Increase in January
  28. Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in December; Prepayments at Record Low
  29. AIA: Architecture Billings "Continue to Decline" in December
  30. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  31. Wednesday: MBA Mortgage Applications, Architecture Billings
  32. BLS: Alaska and Pennsylvania Set New Record Series Low Unemployment rates in December
  33. Final Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  34. Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
  35. MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Remains Flat at 0.70% in December"
  36. LA Port Inbound Traffic Down 20% YoY in December
  37. 1.51 million Total Housing Completions in 2022 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007
  38. Housing January 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased Slightly Week-over-week
  39. Sunday Night Futures
  40. The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
  41. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Median House Prices Down 11.3% from Peak in June 2022; Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  42. Schedule for Week of January 22, 2023
  43. COVID Jan 20, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  44. Hotels: Occupancy Rate Down 5.5% Compared to Same Week in 2019
  45. Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid-to-high 2s
  46. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December; Median Prices Down 11.3% from Peak in June 2022
  47. NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.02 million SAAR in December
  48. Monetary Policy: The Pause that Refreshes?
  49. Friday: Existing Home Sales
  50. "Short Memories"
  51. "Some BIG Changes to Mortgage Costs Were Just Announced"
  52. December Housing Starts: Record Number of Housing Units Under Construction
  53. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 190,000
  54. Housing Starts Decreased to 1.382 million Annual Rate in December
  55. Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
  56. 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December; California Home Sales down 44% YoY in December; Prices Down 2.8% YoY
  57. Fed's Beige Book: "A sizable volume of new apartment development is due to be completed in 2023"
  58. NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in January
  59. Industrial Production Decreased 0.7 Percent in December
  60. Retail Sales Decreased 1.1% in December
  61. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  62. Wednesday: Retail Sales, PPI, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Confidence, Fed's Beige Book
  63. Homebuilder Price Cuts
  64. Update: The Inland Empire
  65. Tuesday: NY Fed Mfg
  66. The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP
  67. Housing January 16th Weekly Update: Inventory Increased 0.3% Week-over-week
  68. Effective Fed Funds Rate and Inflation
  69. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: A Sharp Decline in Sales, House Prices and Rents Falling
  70. Schedule for Week of January 15, 2023
  71. COVID Jan 13, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  72. Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
  73. Question #1 for 2023: How much will the economy grow in 2023? Will there be a recession in 2023?
  74. Q4 GDP Tracking: Solid Q4
  75. 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  76. Question #2 for 2023: How much will job growth slow in 2023? Or will the economy lose jobs?
  77. Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.4% in December
  78. Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January
  79. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 205,000
  80. BLS: CPI decreased 0.1% in December; Core CPI increased 0.3%
  81. Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
  82. Lawler: Freddie Mac “National” Home Price Index Down Again in November; Rents Continued to Slide
  83. Question #3 for 2023: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2023?
  84. Question #4 for 2023: What will the participation rate be in December 2023?
  85. MBA: Mortgage Applications Increase in Latest Weekly Survey
  86. Mortgage Rate Update
  87. Second Home Market: South Lake Tahoe in December
  88. Question #5 for 2023: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2023?
  89. Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell on "Central Bank Independence"
  90. Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increases in December
  91. 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  92. AAR: December Rail Carloads and Intermodal Down Year-over-year
  93. Wholesale Used Car Prices Down 14.9% Year-over-year; Largest Annual Decline on Record
  94. Housing January 9th Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 4% Week-over-week
  95. Sunday Night Futures
  96. Question #6 for 2023: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2023?
  97. Question #7 for 2023: How much will wages increase in 2023?
  98. Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Early reports suggest NAR reported December sales could be lowest since 2010
  99. Schedule for Week of January 8, 2023
  100. COVID Jan 6, 2023: Update on Cases, Hospitalizations and Deaths
  101. Annual Vehicle Sales decrease 8% in 2022; Heavy Trucks Sales up 2% YoY
  102. 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December
  103. Comments on December Employment Report
  104. December Employment Report: 223 thousand Jobs, 3.5% Unemployment Rate
  105. Friday: Employment Report
  106. Goldman December Payrolls Preview
  107. December Employment Preview
  108. Rents Continue to Decline More than Seasonally Normal
  109. Trade Deficit decreased to $61.5 Billion in November
  110. Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 204,000
  111. ADP: Private Employment Increased 235,000 in December
  112. Thursday: Trade Deficit, ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims
  113. Vehicles Sales Declined to 13.31 million SAAR in December
  114. FOMC Minutes: Participants continued to anticipate ongoing rate increases
  115. ISM® Manufacturing index Declined to 48.4% in December, Price Index Lowest Since April 2020
  116. BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 10.5 million in November
  117. Moody's: National Multifamily Supply and Demand at Lowest Levels since 2009
  118. MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over Last Two Weeks
  119. Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Vehicle Sales, FOMC Minutes
  120. Update: Framing Lumber Prices Down 67% YoY, Slightly Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
  121. Question #8 for 2023: How much will Residential investment change in 2023? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2023?
  122. Construction Spending Increased 0.2% in November
  123. CoreLogic: House Prices up 8.6% YoY in November; Declined 0.2% MoM in November NSA
  124. Tuesday: Construction Spending
  125. Question #9 for 2023: What will happen with house prices in 2023?
  126. Housing January 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory Decreased 3.4% Week-over-week
  127. Reis: Office Vacancy Rate Increased in Q4 as "demand plummeted", Mall Vacancy Rate Unchanged
  128. Q4 2022 Update: Unofficial Problem Bank list Decreased to 49 Institutions; Search for "Whale" Continues

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