2024
1,438 posts
2024 1,438
December 2024
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family and Multi-Family Serious Delinquency Rates Increased in November
- Question #4 for 2025: What will the participation rate be in December 2025?
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.6% year-over-year in October
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.6% year-over-year in October
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased Year-over-year
- Question #5 for 2025: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2025?
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in November and a Look Ahead to December Sales
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 2.2% in November; Up 6.9% Year-over-year
- Housing Dec 30th Weekly Update: Inventory down 2.5% Week-over-week, Up 26.8% Year-over-year
- Monday: Pending Home Sales
- Question #6 for 2025: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2025?
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Increase to 664,000 Annual Rate in November
- Schedule for Week of December 29, 2024
- December 27th COVID Update: COVID in Wastewater Increasing
- FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- Q4 GDP Tracking: 2.3% to 3.1%
- Question #7 for 2025: How much will wages increase in 2025?
- Question #8 for 2025: How much will Residential investment change in 2025? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2025?
- Question #9 for 2025: What will happen with house prices in 2025?
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 219,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Happy Holidays and Merry Christmas to All!
- Lawler: Interest Rates Since the Federal Reserve Began Cutting Rates
- Lawler: New Census Population Estimates Show Massively Higher Population Growth
- Question #10 for 2025: Will inventory increase further in 2025?
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.50% in November
- LA Ports: Traffic Increased Sharply Year-over-year in November
- New Home Sales Increase to 664,000 Annual Rate in November
- New Home Sales Increase to 664,000 Annual Rate in November
- Housing Dec 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory down 2.2% Week-over-week, Up 26.3% Year-over-year
- Monday: New Home Sales
- Ten Economic Questions for 2025
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.15 million SAAR in November
- Schedule for Week of December 22, 2024
- December 20th COVID Update: COVID in Wastewater Increasing
- December Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.7 million SAAR, Up 5% YoY
- Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2024
- Q4 GDP Tracking: 2.4% to 3.1%
- PCE Measure of Shelter Decreases to 4.8% YoY in November
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in November; Spending increased 0.4%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 23.4% YoY
- Census: The U.S. population grew by nearly 1.0% between 2023 and 2024
- Newsletter: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.15 million SAAR in November
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.15 million SAAR in November
- Q3 GDP Growth Revised up to 3.1% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 220,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, GDP, Existing Home Sales
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in November
- FOMC Projections
- FOMC Statement: 25bp Rate Cut
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Flat" in November; Multi-family Billings Turn Slightly Positive
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.289 million Annual Rate in November
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.289 million Annual Rate in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts, FOMC Meeting
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in November
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Unchanged in December
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.1% in November
- Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in November
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate increased Year-over-year
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in November
- Housing Dec 16th Weekly Update: Inventory down 1.1% Week-over-week, Up 26.6% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Fed to Cut Rates 25bp
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Home ATM" Mostly Closed
- Schedule for Week of December 15, 2024
- December 13th COVID Update: COVID in Wastewater Increasing
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December 2024
- Q3 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Q4 GDP Tracking: 2.1% to 3.3% Range
- Friday: No major economic releases scheduled
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 23.5% YoY
- The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q3
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $4.8 Trillion in Q3
- FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased Slightly in Q3 2024
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 242,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI, Q3 Flow of Funds
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in November
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in November
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.3% in November; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- CPI Preview
- The Upward Slope of Real House Prices
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-December 2024
- Tuesday: No major economic releases
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased 2% in November; Up 12% YoY
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: Refinance Activity Increased Especially for Rate/Term Refinances
- Housing Dec 9th Weekly Update: Inventory down 2.3% Week-over-week, Up 26.3% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- CoreLogic: Almost 1 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q3 2024
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.4% Below 2022 Peak
- Schedule for Week of December 8, 2024
- December 6th COVID Update: Weekly COVID Deaths Continue to Decline
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in November; Another Year-over-year Sales Gain in November
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in November; Up 0.2% Year-over-year
- Comments on November Employment Report
- November Employment Report: 227 thousand Jobs, 4.2% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- November Employment Preview
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 25.9% YoY
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- Trade Deficit decreased to $73.8 Billion in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 224,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
- Heavy Truck Sales Increased in 4% YoY in November
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity rose slightly"
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.4% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.1% below 2022 peak
- ISM® Services Index Decreases to 52.1% in November
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 146,000 in November
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Services, Fed Chair Powell Discussion, Beige Book
- Vehicles Sales Increase to 16.50 million SAAR in November
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 3.4% Year-over-year in October
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Unchanged" at 7.7 million in October
- FHFA Announces Baseline Conforming Loan Limit Will Increase to $806,500
- Tuesday: Job Openings
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in October; Up 3.7% Year-over-year
- Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in October
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 48.4% in November
- Housing Dec 2nd Weekly Update: Inventory down 1.7% Week-over-week, Up 27.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
November 2024
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index Up 3.9% year-over-year in September
- Schedule for Week of December 1, 2024
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 21.7% Year-over-year due to Timing of Thanksgiving
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range
- Five Economic Reasons to be Thankful
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 26.5% YoY
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family and Multi-Family Serious Delinquency Rates Increased in October
- Personal Income increased 0.6% in October; Spending increased 0.4%
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 2.0% in October; Up 5.4% Year-over-year
- Q3 GDP Growth Unrevised at 2.8% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 213,000
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Personal Income & Outlays, Pending Home Sales
- ICE: "Home price growth edged slightly higher in October"
- FOMC Minutes: "appropriate to move gradually toward a more neutral stance"
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 610,000 Annual Rate in October
- New Home Sales Decrease Sharply to 610,000 Annual Rate in October
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.9% year-over-year in September
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 3.9% year-over-year in September
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, New Home Sales, FOMC Minutes and More
- Housing Nov 25th Weekly Update: Inventory down 0.4% Week-over-week, Up 27.1% Year-over-year
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in October and a Look Ahead to November Sales
- "The Financial Stability Implications of Digital Assets"
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.5% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.96 million SAAR in October
- Schedule for Week of November 24, 2024
- November 22nd COVID Update: COVID in Wastewater Continues to Decline
- November Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.2 million SAAR, Up 5% YoY
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range
- Preliminary 2025 Housing Forecasts
- How many people work for the U.S. federal government?
- Friday: No Major Economic Releases
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 25.9% YoY
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased Year-over-year in October
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.96 million SAAR in October
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 3.96 million SAAR in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 213,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- LA Ports: Inbound Traffic Increased Sharply Year-over-year in October
- AIA: Architecture Billings "Moderates" in October; Multi-family Billings Declined for 27th Consecutive Month
- California Home Sales Up 9.5% SA YoY in October
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Architecture Billings Index
- Lawler: Observations Ahead of the December FOMC Meeting
- Long Beach Port Traffic Surges to Record in October; Importers Rushing to Beat Tariffs?
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.311 million Annual Rate in October
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.311 million Annual Rate in October
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.47% in October
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in October; First Year-over-year Sales Gain Since August 2021
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in November
- Housing Nov 18th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.1% Week-over-week, Up 26.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.5% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Watch Months-of-Supply!
- Schedule for Week of November 17, 2024
- November 15th COVID Update: COVID in Wastewater Continues to Decline
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in October
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November 2024
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.3% in October
- Retail Sales Increased 0.4% in October
- Friday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 26.1% YoY
- Fed Chair Powell: No "signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates"
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-November 2024
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 217,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI, Fed Chair Powell
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in October
- NY Fed: Mortgage Originations by Credit Score, Delinquencies Increase, Foreclosures Remain Low
- NY Fed Q3 Report: Household Debt Increased; Delinquency Rate "Edged Up"
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.2% in October; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, Q3 Household Debt and Credit
- Fed Q3 SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Mostly Tighter Standards and Weaker Demand for All Loan Types
- Heavy Truck Sales Decreased in 14% YoY in October
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in October; First Year-over-year Sales Gain Since August 2021
- Tuesday: Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
- Watch Months-of-Supply!
- Economic Outlook and the Election
- Housing Nov 11th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.9% Week-over-week, Up 27.3% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased 5% in October; Up Sharply YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: First Year-over-year Existing Home Sales Gain Since August 2021
- Schedule for Week of November 10, 2024
- November 8th COVID Update: Deaths Continues to Decline
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 1.9% Year-over-year
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Decreased Slightly in Q3 2024
- Friday: No Major Economic Releases
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 26.6% YoY
- FOMC Statement: 25bp Rate Cut
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in October; First Year-over-year Sales Gain Since August 2021
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in October; Down 3.2% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 221,000
- Thursday: FOMC Statement, Unemployment Claims
- BofA on Trump Policy
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 3.4% Year-over-year in September, "Slowest growth rate in over a year"
- In Q2, almost 20% of Units Started Built-for-Rent were Single Family
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 56.0% in October
- Trade Deficit Increased to $84.4 Billion in September
- Tuesday: U.S. Election, Trade Deficit, ISM Services
- Construction Spending Increased 0.1% in September
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: "Annual home price growth cooled for the seventh consecutive month"
- Housing Nov 4th Weekly Update: Inventory Unchanged Week-over-week, Up 29.8% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Fed to Cut Rates 25bp
- November 1st COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Continues to Decline
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.2% year-over-year in August
- Schedule for Week of November 3, 2024
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 8.1% below 2022 peak
- Comments on October Employment Report
- October Employment Report: 12 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
October 2024
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 27.6% YoY
- October Employment Preview
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in September; Up 3.6% Year-over-year
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in September; Spending increased 0.5%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 216,000
- Thursday: Personal Income and Outlays, Unemployment Claims
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family and Multi-Family Serious Delinquency Rates Increased in September
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 7.4% in September; Up 2.6% Year-over-year
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.8% Annualized Rate in Q3
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 233,000 in October
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: GDP, Pending Home Sales, ADP Employment
- HVS: Q3 2024 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- Lawler: Mortgage Rates Have Surged Since the Federal Reserve Cut Interest Rates Last Month
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.2% year-over-year in August; Over last 4 months, FHFA Index has increased at a 1.9% Annual Rate
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Unchanged" at 7.4 million in September
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 4.2% year-over-year in August
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings
- Employment Report Forecasts
- A Proposal to Address the Housing Crisis
- Housing Oct 28th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.2% Week-over-week, Up 31.2% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- CES Strike Report: Strikes will Negatively Impact October Employment
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September
- Schedule for Week of October 27, 2024
- October 25th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Continues to Decline
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 34 States in September (3-Month Basis)
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Just Over 3%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 1.6% Year-over-year
- Friday: Consumer Sentiment
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 28.7% YoY
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in September
- New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September; Median New Home Price is Down 7% from the Peak due to Change in Mix
- New Home Sales Increase to 738,000 Annual Rate in September
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 227,000
- Thursday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
- October Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.9 million SAAR, Up 3.6% YoY
- AIA: Architecture Billings Declined in September; Multi-family Billings Declined for 26th Consecutive Month
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity was little changed"
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.84 million SAAR in September, New Cycle Low; Median House Prices Increased 3.0% Year-over-Year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.84 million SAAR in September, New Cycle Low
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, Architecture Billings Index, Beige Book
- Retail: October Seasonal Hiring vs. Holiday Retail Sales
- California Home Sales Up 5% SA YoY in September
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.34% in September
- The Election and the Economy
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Conditions Continue to Loosen"
- Housing Oct 21st Weekly Update: Inventory Up 1.0% Week-over-week, Up 33.4% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Lawler: Update on the “Neutral” Rate and Early Read on September Existing Home Sales
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Housing Starts Decreased to 1.354 million Annual Rate in September
- Schedule for Week of October 20, 2024
- October 18th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Continues to Decline
- LA Ports: Inbound Traffic Increased Sharply Year-over-year in September
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Just Over 3%
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.354 million Annual Rate in September
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.354 million Annual Rate in September
- Friday: Housing Starts
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.3% in September
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in October
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 241,000
- Retail Sales Increased 0.4% in September
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- Real GDP Annual and Quarterly
- By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October 2024
- Lawler: Changes in Various Interest Rates Since the FOMC Cut Its Target Fed Funds Rate by 50 Basis Points
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- Housing Oct 14th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.3% Week-over-week, Up 34.0% Year-over-year
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.4% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Homeowner Insurance Costs "Spike"
- Schedule for Week of October 13, 2024
- October 11th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Continues to Decline
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 30.5% YoY
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-October 2024
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
- Friday: PPI
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in September
- House Prices to Income
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- Cost of Living Adjustment increases 2.5% in 2025, Contribution Base increased to $176,100
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 258,000
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.2% in September; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- AAR: Rail Carloads Down YoY in September, Intermodal Up
- FOMC Minutes: "Some participants noted that there had been a plausible case for a 25 basis point rate cut at the previous meeting"
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Minutes
- Trade Deficit Decreased to $70.4 Billion in August
- Tuesday: Trade Balance
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: Insurance Costs "Spike", Especially in Florida
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased in September; Down 5.3% Year-over-year
- Housing Oct 7th Weekly Update: Inventory up 0.4% Week-over-week, Up 36.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Moody's: Retail Vacancy Rate Decreased Slightly in Q3
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in August
- Schedule for Week of October 6, 2024
- October 4th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Declines Further
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- Comments on September Employment Report
- September Employment Report: 254 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- September Employment Preview
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 31.9% YoY
- Moody's: Apartment Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q3; Office Vacancy Rate at Record High
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 54.9% in September
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 225,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Services
- Heavy Truck Sales Decreased in September
- FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 143,000 in September
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment
- Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.77 million SAAR in September
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in August
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Unchanged" at 8.0 million in August
- ISM® Manufacturing index Unchanged at 47.2% in September
September 2024
- Tuesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in August; Up 3.7% Year-over-year
- Fed Chair Powell: Economic Outlook
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in August and a Look Ahead to September Sales
- Housing Sept 30th Weekly Update: Inventory up 0.8% Week-over-week, Up 36.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 33.2% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller National HPI Up 5.0% year-over-year in July
- Schedule for Week of September 29, 2024
- September 27th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Declining
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Ticked Up in August
- ICE: "Home prices continued to cool in August, with prices up +3.0%" YoY
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Around 3%
- PCE Measure of Shelter Increases to 5.3% YoY in August
- Personal Income increased 0.2% in August; Spending increased 0.2%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays
- September Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.1 million SAAR, Up 2% YoY
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.5% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.8% below 2022 peak
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 0.6% in August; Down 3.0% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 218,000
- Q2 GDP Growth Unrevised at 3.0% Annual Rate
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Fed Chair Powell, Pending Home Sales
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in August
- New Home Sales Decrease to 716,000 Annual Rate in August; Median New Home Price is Down 9% from the Peak
- New Home Sales Decrease to 716,000 Annual Rate in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.0% year-over-year in July; Over last 3 months, FHFA Index has increased at a 0.7% Annual Rate
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.0% year-over-year in July
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.31% in August
- LA Ports: Inbound Traffic Increased Sharply Year-over-year in August
- Watch Months-of-Supply!
- Housing Sept 23rd Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.6% Week-over-week, Up 37.2% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- The Top Ten Job Streaks: Current Streak is in 5th Place
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.86 million SAAR in August
- Schedule for Week of September 22, 2024
- September 20th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Declining
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Close to 3%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.7% Year-over-year
- Friday: Misc
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 33.0% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.86 million SAAR in August; Median House Prices Increased 3.1% Year-over-Year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.86 million SAAR in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 219,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
- FOMC Projections
- FOMC Statement: 50bp Rate Cut
- AIA: Architecture Billings Declined in August; Multi-family Billings Declined for 25th Consecutive Month
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.356 million Annual Rate in August
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.356 million Annual Rate in August
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts, FOMC Announcement
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in August
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in September
- Industrial Production Increased 0.8% in August
- Retail Sales Increased 0.1% in August
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2024
- Update: The Art of the Soft Landing
- Q2 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- Housing Sept 16th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.4% Week-over-week, Up 37.4% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: Fed to Cut Rates
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q2
- Schedule for Week of September 15, 2024
- September 13th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Still High
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-September 2024
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Mid 2% Range
- Friday: Misc
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 33.4% YoY
- The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q2
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $2.8 Trillion in Q2
- CoreLogic: 1.11 million Homeowners with Negative Equity in Q2 2024
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 230,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI, Q2 Flow of Funds
- Early Look at 2025 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in August
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.2% in August; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 4.3% Year-over-year in July, "Notable Cooling"
- Update: Lumber Prices Unchanged YoY
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 3% in August
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: House Price Growth Slows, Inventory Surges in Florida and Texas
- Tuesday: Misc
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in August; Down 3.9% Year-over-year
- Housing Sept 9th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.1% Week-over-week, Up 38.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in July; Up 4.4% Year-over-year
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.6% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.7% below 2022 peak
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.4% year-over-year in June; FHFA House Price Index Declined Slightly month-over-month in June
- Schedule for Week of September 8, 2024
- September 6th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Has Peaked
- Q3 GDP Tracking: Low-to-Mid 2%
- Catching Up: New Home Sales Increased to 739,000 Annual Rate in July
- Comments on August Employment Report
- August Employment Report: 142 thousand Jobs, 4.2% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- August Employment Preview
- Calculated Risk Returns! Existing Home Sales Increased to 3.95 million SAAR in July
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 51.5% in August
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 227,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 99,000 in August
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ADP Employment
- Vehicles Sales Decrease to 15.13 million SAAR in August
August 2024
- Schedule for Week of September 1, 2024
- From 2007 and 2008: The Compleat UberNerd
- Schedule for Week of August 25, 2024
- December 2006: Tanta joined CR!
- Calculated Risk on Vacation until Sept 5th
- LA Port Traffic Increased Sharply Year-over-year in July
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in July and 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets
- Housing August 19th Weekly Update: Inventory up 0.8% Week-over-week, Up 40.4% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.5% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Housing Starts Decreased to 1.238 million Annual Rate in July
- Schedule for Week of August 18, 2024
- August 16th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Might be Peaking
- Early Q3 GDP Tracking: Low-to-Mid 2%
- Housing Starts: Single Family Down Year-15% over-year in July; Multi-Family Down 18% YoY
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.238 million Annual Rate in July
- Friday: Housing Starts
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.5% YoY
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased in Q2 2024
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Declined in August
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.6% in July
- Retail Sales Increased 1.0% in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 227,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in July
- Early Look at 2025 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August 2024
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.2% in July; Core CPI increased 0.2%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI
- Summer Teen Employment
- Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased 10% in Q2 2024
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-August 2024
- Tuesday: PPI
- CPI Previews
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- Housing August 12th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.3% Week-over-week, Up 40.5% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Early Reports Suggest New Cycle Low for NAR reported Sales in July
- Schedule for Week of August 11, 2024
- August 9th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing
- Update: Lumber Prices Up Slightly YoY
- Early Q3 GDP Tracking: Mid-2%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.8% Year-over-year
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 8% in July
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.9% YoY
- Atlanta Fed: Home Ownership Affordability Monitor
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 233,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Las Vegas June 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 1.8% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 7.9%
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in July
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Increased in July; Down 4.8% Year-over-year
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- How Much will the Fannie & Freddie Conforming Loan Limit Change for 2025?
- NY Fed Q2 Report: Household Debt Increased, Mortgage Originations Remain Low
- Trade Deficit Decreased to $73.1 Billion in June
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 4.7% Year-over-year in June as "Prices Cool"
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit, Q2 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
- Fed Q2 SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards and Weaker Demand for almost All Loan Types
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: Existing Home Inventory Surges in Florida and Texas
- Heavy Truck Sales Increased in July
- Housing August 5th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.0% Week-over-week, Up 39.9% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.4% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller House Price Index Up 5.9% YoY
- Schedule for Week of August 4, 2024
- August 2nd COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 37.1% YoY
- Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.8 million SAAR in July
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- Comments on July Employment Report
- July Employment Report: 114 thousand Jobs, 4.3% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- July Employment Preview
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 1.9% Below 2022 Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below 2022 peak
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.3% in June
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 46.8% in July
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 249,000
July 2024
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Fed Funds Rate
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased Slightly in June; Up 5.1% Year-over-year
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 4.8% in June; Down 2.6% Year-over-year
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 122,000 in July
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, Pending Home Sales, Chicago PMI
- HVS: Q2 2024 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- Comments on May Case-Shiller House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Unchanged in May
- BLS: Job Openings "Unchanged" at 8.2 million in June
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.9% year-over-year in May
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Mostly Unchanged in June, Multi-family Increased
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in June and a Look Ahead to July Sales
- Housing July 29th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.3% Week-over-week, Up 39.4% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.89 million SAAR in June
- Schedule for Week of July 28, 2024
- July 26th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Might Have Peaked
- "Snow Belt to Sun Belt Migration: End of an Era?"
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.3% YoY in June
- Personal Income increased 0.2% in June; Spending increased 0.3%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 1.0% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.9% YoY
- Watch Months-of-Supply!
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 2.8% Annualized Rate in Q2
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 235,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
- AIA: Architecture Billings Declined in June; Multi-family Billings Declined for 23rd Consecutive Month
- New Home Sales Decrease to 617,000 Annual Rate in June; Median New Home Price is Down 9% from the Peak
- New Home Sales Decrease to 617,000 Annual Rate in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales, Architecture Billings Index
- July Vehicle Sales Forecast: 16.1 million SAAR, Up 1% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.89 million SAAR in June; Median House Prices Increased 4.1% Year-over-Year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.89 million SAAR in June
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Increases to 0.23% in June
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in June
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Conditions Continue to Loosen"
- Housing July 22nd Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.6% Week-over-week, Up 39.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Existing Home Sales Report: Watch Months-of-Supply
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Single Family Starts Up Year-over-year in June; Multi-Family Starts Down 23% YoY
- Schedule for Week of July 21, 2024
- July 19th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing Sharply
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in June
- California Home Sales Down 3% SA YoY in June; 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Mid-2%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 3.7% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.8% YoY
- LA Port Traffic Increased Year-over-year in June
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 243,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- Fed's Beige Book: "Slight to modest pace of growth"
- Single Family Starts Up Year-over-year in June; Multi-Family Starts Down 23% YoY
- Industrial Production Increased 0.6% in June
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.353 million Annual Rate in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production, Beige Book
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Declined in July
- Retail Sales Unchanged in June
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Homebuilder Survey
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024
- Housing July 15th Weekly Update: Inventory down 0.2% Week-over-week, Up 38.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.9% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: A Discussion of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of July 14, 2024
- July 12th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing Sharply
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- An Early Look at 2025 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Friday: PPI
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 34.5% YoY
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-July 2024
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.2% in June
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 222,000
- BLS: CPI Decreased 0.1% in June; Core CPI increased 0.1%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 10% in June
- AAR: Rail Carloads Down YoY in June due to Decrease in Coal, Intermodal Up
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Fed Chair Powell
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in June; Down 8.9% Year-over-year
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in June
- Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
- Lance Lambert Interviews Me on the Housing Market
- Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell Testimony
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in May, Multi-family Increased Slightly
- Update: Lumber Prices Down 20% YoY
- Housing July 8th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.1% Week-over-week, Up 40.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Moody's: Retail Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q2
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Office Vacancy Rate at New Record High
- Schedule for Week of July 7, 2024
- July 5th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing Sharply
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 38.1% YoY
- Moody's: Apartment Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q2; Office Vacancy Rate at New Record High
- Comments on June Employment Report
- June Employment Report: 206 thousand Jobs, 4.1% Unemployment Rate
- June Employment Preview
- "Mortgage Rates Move Lower"
- Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged in June
- FOMC Minutes: "Additional favorable data were required to give them greater confidence that inflation" was Moving to Target
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: Existing Home Inventory Surges in Florida and Texas
- ISM® Services Index Decreases to 48.8% in June
- Trade Deficit Increased to $75.1 Billion in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 238,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 150,000 in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims, ADP Employment, FOMC Minutes
- Vehicles Sales Decrease to 15.3 million SAAR in June due to Cyberattack
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- BLS: Job Openings "Little Changed" at 8.1 million in May
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 4.9% Year-over-year in May as "Prices Cool"
- Tuesday: Fed Chair Powell, Job Openings, Vehicle Sales
- FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in May
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 48.5% in June
- Housing July 1st Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.8% Week-over-week, Up 38.4% Year-over-year
June 2024
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in May and a Look Ahead to June Sales
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.5% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Decrease to 619,000 Annual Rate in May
- Schedule for Week of June 30, 2024
- June 28th COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing Sharply
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in May; Up 5.9% Year-over-year
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.7% to 2.2%
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.5% YoY in May
- Personal Income increased 0.5% in May; Spending increased 0.2%
- Friday: Personal Income & Outlays, Chicago PMI
- Las Vegas May 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 4.6% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 2%
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.1% YoY
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.3% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below 2022 peak
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 2.1% in May; Down 6.6% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 233,000
- Q1 GDP Growth Revised Up to 1.4% Annual Rate
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods, Pending Home Sales
- AIA: Architecture Billings Declined in May; Multi-family Billings Decline for 22nd Consecutive Month
- New Home Sales Decrease to 619,000 Annual Rate in May; Median New Home Price is Down 9% from the Peak
- New Home Sales Decrease to 619,000 Annual Rate in May
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: New Home Sales
- June Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.9 million SAAR, Down 1% YoY
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on April House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Increased 0.2% in April
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.3% year-over-year in April
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases Slightly to 0.21% in May
- Watch Months-of-Supply!
- Housing June 24th Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.2% Week-over-week, Up 37.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.6% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Single Family Starts Down Slightly Year-over-year in May; Multi-Family Starts Down 50%
- Schedule for Week of June 23, 2024
- June 21st COVID Update: Wastewater Measure Increasing
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.8% to 3.0%
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.11 million SAAR in May; Median House Prices Increased 5.8% Year-over-Year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.11 million SAAR in May
- Friday: Existing Home Sales
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.0% YoY
- Single Family Starts Down Slightly Year-over-year in May; Multi-Family Starts Down 50%
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.277 million Annual Rate in May
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 238,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- The Art of the Soft Landing
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Declined in June
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Markets Closed, Homebuilder Survey
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in May
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in May; California Home Sales Down 6% YoY in May
- Industrial Production Increased 0.9% in May
- Retail Sales Increased 0.1% in May
- Tuesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production
- Comparing the Current Housing Market to the 1978 to 1982 period
- LA Port Traffic Decreased Year-over-year in May
- Housing June 17th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.5% Week-over-week, Up 37.3% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Low Level of Delinquencies and Foreclosures
- Schedule for Week of June 16, 2024
- June 14th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths at New Pandemic Low!
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.8% to 3.1%
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.1% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.0% YoY
- A Very Early Look at 2025 Cost-Of-Living Adjustments and Maximum Contribution Base
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June 2024
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 242,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- FOMC Statement and Projections: No Change to Fed Funds Rate
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-June 2024
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.2% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.1% in May
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Unchanged in May; Core CPI increased 0.2%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, FOMC Statement
- CPI Previews
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.9% Year-over-year
- "Mortgage Rates Slightly Higher to Start Pivotal Week"
- Q1 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- AAR: Rail Carloads Down YoY in May, Intermodal Up
- Housing June 10th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.1% Week-over-week, Up 37.8% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q1
- Schedule for Week of June 9, 2024
- June 7th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths at New Pandemic Low!
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in May; Down 12.1% Year-over-year
- The "Home ATM" Mostly Closed in Q1
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $5.1 Trillion in Q1
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.6% to 3.1%
- Comments on May Employment Report
- May Employment Report: 272 thousand Jobs, 4.0% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report, Q1 Flow of Funds
- May Employment Preview
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in May
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.5% YoY
- Trade Deficit Increased to $74.6 Billion in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 229,000
- Thursday: Trade Deficit, Unemployment Claims
- Update: Lumber Prices Down Slightly YoY
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 53.8% in May
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 152,000 in May
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Services
- Heavy Truck Sales Unchanged in May
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.1 million in April
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 5.3% Year-over-year in April
- Tuesday: Job Openings
- Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.9 million SAAR in May; Up 2.5% YoY
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in April; Up 6.5% Year-over-year
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: "Home Prices Cool for Second Straight Month in April"
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.1% in April
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 48.7% in May
- Housing June 3rd Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.7% Week-over-week, Up 38.4% Year-over-year
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 1.6% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: House Price Index Up 6.5% year-over-year in March
- Schedule for Week of June 2, 2024
May 2024
- May 31st COVID Update: Weekly Deaths at New Pandemic Low!
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.8% to 2.8%
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased in April, Multi-family Increased Slightly
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.6% YoY in April
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in April; Spending increased 0.2%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 36.5% YoY; Most Homes For Sale Since July 2020
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in April and a Look Ahead to May Sales
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 7.7% in April; Down 7.4% Year-over-year
- Q1 GDP Growth Revised Down to 1.3% Annual Rate
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 219,000
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- Las Vegas April 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 3.8% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 36%
- FDIC: Number of Problem Banks Increased in Q1 2024
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.2% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.5% below 2022 peak
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Beige Book, Richmond Fed Mfg
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on March House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Increased 0.1% in March
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.5% year-over-year in March
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Housing May 27th Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.9% Week-over-week, Up 37.0% Year-over-year
- TSA: Airline Travel about 12% Above 2019 Levels to New Record High
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Decrease to 634,000 Annual Rate in April
- Schedule for Week of May 26, 2024
- May 24th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths at New Pandemic Low!
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.8% to 3.5%
- Watch Months-of-Supply!
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 0.2% Year-over-year
- May Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up 2% YoY
- Friday: Durable Goods
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.5% YoY; Most Homes For Sale Since July 2020
- New Home Sales Decrease to 634,000 Annual Rate in April
- New Home Sales Decrease to 634,000 Annual Rate in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 215,000
- Thursday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
- AIA: Architecture Billings Decline in April; Multi-family Billings Decline for 21st Consecutive Month
- FOMC Minutes: "Recent increases in inflation had been relatively broad based"
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.14 million SAAR in April; Median House Prices Increased 5.7% Year-over-Year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.14 million SAAR in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes, Architecture Billings Index
- LA Port Traffic Increased Year-over-year in April
- Single Family Built-for-Rent Up 20% Year-over-year in Q1
- What Happened to "Paying off the National Debt"?
- "Mortgage Rates Close Enough to Unchanged Over The Weekend"
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Remains at 0.22% in April
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in April; California Home Sales Up 4.4% YoY in April
- Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson on Housing Dynamics
- Housing May 20th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.7% Week-over-week, Up 36.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- The Top Ten Job Streaks: Current Streak is in 5th Place
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Housing Starts Increased to 1.360 million Annual Rate in April
- Schedule for Week of May 19, 2024
- May 17th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths at New Pandemic Low!
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 2.1% Year-over-year
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in April & 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets
- Early Q2 GDP Tracking: 1.9% to 3.6%
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.0% YoY; Most Home For Sale Since August 2020
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increased Slightly in Q1 2024
- Single Family Starts Up 18% Year-over-year in May; Multi-Family Starts Down Sharply YoY
- Industrial Production Unchanged in April
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.360 million Annual Rate in April
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 222,000
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Industrial Production, Philly Fed Mfg
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.3% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in April
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Declined in May
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- Retail Sales "Unchanged" in April
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.3% in April; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-May 2024
- NY Fed Q1 Report: Household Debt and Delinquency Rates Increased
- CPI Previews
- Tuesday: PPI, Fed Chair Powell, Q1 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
- Heavy Truck Sales Increased in April
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- Housing May 13th Weekly Update: Inventory up 1.6% Week-over-week, Up 35.0% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Housing Starts: Record Average Length of Time from Start to Completion in 2023
- Schedule for Week of May 12, 2024
- May 10th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Continue to Decline
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-May 2024
- Q2 GDP Tracking: 3%+
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate decreased 0.8% Year-over-year
- "Mortgage Rates Technically at Lowest Levels in a Month"
- Housing Starts: Record Average Length of Time from Start to Completion in 2023
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 35.1% YoY; New Listings Up 3.6% YoY
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 231,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased 6% in April
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in April
- Update: Lumber Prices Mostly Unchanged YoY
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- AAR: Rail Carloads Down YoY in April, Intermodal Up
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in April; Down 14.0% Year-over-year
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 5.3% Year-over-year in March
- Tuesday: CoreLogic Home Price Index
- Fed SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for almost All Loan Types
- Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased in Q1 2024
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: Annual home price growth eased in March; "For-sale inventory has been growing sharply across Florida"
- Housing May 6th Weekly Update: Inventory up 0.6% Week-over-week, Up 33.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate decreased 1.2% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: National House Price Index Up 6.4% year-over-year in February
- Schedule for Week of May 5, 2024
- May 3rd COVID Update: Deaths Continue to Decline
- Q2 GDP Tracking: Solid Early Look
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.5% below 2022 peak
- Comments on April Employment Report
- April Employment Report: 175 thousand Jobs, 3.9% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- April Employment Preview
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 33.3% YoY; New Listings Up 10.4% YoY
- Lawler: Update on Mortgage Rates and Spreads and also New / Renewal Rents
- Trade Deficit at $69.4 Billion in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 208,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
- Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.7 million SAAR in April; Up Slightly YoY
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.2% in March
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Fed Funds Rate, "lack of further progress" on Inflation
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in March; Up 6.6% Year-over-year
- BLS: Job Openings Decreased to 8.5 million in March
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 49.2% in April
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 192,000 in April
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
April 2024
- Wednesday: FOMC Announcement, ADP Employment, Construction Spending, Job Openings, ISM Mfg, Vehicle Sales
- HVS: Q1 2024 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- Comments on February House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Up 7.0% YoY
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.4% year-over-year in February
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices
- Q1 2024 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate decreased 0.3% Year-over-year
- Energy expenditures as a percentage of PCE
- Housing April 29th Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.5% Week-over-week, Up 31.8% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory Up 31.7% YoY; New Listings Up 13.5% YoY
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Fed Funds Rate
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales Increase to 693,000 Annual Rate in March
- Schedule for Week of April 28, 2024
- April 26th COVID Update: Hospitalizations at Pandemic Low!
- Las Vegas March 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 0.4% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 37%
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased, Multi-family Decreased in March
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows Slightly to 5.8% YoY in March
- Personal Income increased 0.5% in March; Spending increased 0.8%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays
- Lawler: Observations on the Recent Surge in Net International Migration
- U.S. Births decreased in 2023
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 3.4% in March; Up 0.1% Year-over-year
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 1.6% Annualized Rate in Q1
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 207,000
- Thursday: Q1 GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- April Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.8 million SAAR, Up 1% YoY
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 44 States in March (3-Month Basis)
- AIA: "Architecture firm billings retreat further in March"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 20th Consecutive Month
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Durable Goods, Architecture Billings Index
- The Normal Seasonal Pattern for Median House Prices
- New Home Sales Increase to 693,000 Annual Rate in March; Median New Home Price is Down 13% from the Peak
- New Home Sales Increase to 693,000 Annual Rate in March
- Tuesday: New Home Sales
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Holds Steady at 0.22% in March
- Housing April 22nd Weekly Update: Inventory up 3.0% Week-over-week, Up 30.9% Year-over-year
- TSA: Airline Travel about 5% Above 2019 Levels
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 1.4% year-over-year in February 2024 SA
- Sunday Night Futures
- When Do Market Participants Expect the Fed to Cut Rates?
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Single Family Starts Up 22% Year-over-year in March; Multi-Family Starts Down Sharply
- Schedule for Week of April 21, 2024
- April 19th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Movin' on Up
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 2.8% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 29.1% YoY; New Listings Up 7.2% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.19 million SAAR in March; Median House Prices Increased 4.8% Year-over-Year
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 4.19 million SAAR in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Unchanged at 212,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg, Existing Home Sales
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in March; California Home Sales Down 4.4% YoY in March
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity expanded slightly"
- LA Port Traffic Increased Year-over-year in March
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Beige Book
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in March
- Single Family Starts Up 22% Year-over-year in March; Multi-Family Starts Down Sharply
- Industrial Production Increased 0.4% in March
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.321 million Annual Rate in March
- Tuesday: Housing Starts, Industrial Production
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Unchanged in April
- Retail Sales Increased 0.7% in March
- Housing April 15th Weekly Update: Inventory up 2.6% Week-over-week, Up 29.6% Year-over-year
- Monday: Retail Sales, NY Fed Mfg, Homebuilder Survey
- By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of April 14, 2024
- April 12th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2024
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Increased 4.7% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 30.4% YoY; New Listings Up 30.1% YoY
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 211,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-April 2024
- FOMC Minutes: Uncertainty about inflation; Need greater confidence
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in March
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.4% in March; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: CPI, FOMC Minutes
- CPI Preview
- An Update on the House Price Battle Royale: Low Inventory vs Affordability
- Moody's: Retail Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q1
- Tuesday: Small Business Survey
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 5.6% Year-over-year Due to Easter Holiday
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in March
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Decreased 9% in March
- Housing April 8th Weekly Update: Inventory down 0.9% Week-over-week due to Easter Holiday, Up 24.6% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- AAR: Rail Carloads Down YoY in March, Intermodal Up
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Office Vacancy Rate at Record High
- Schedule for Week of April 7, 2024
- April 5th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Q1 GDP Tracking: 2% to 2.5%
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in March; Down 14.7% Year-over-year
- Comments on March Employment Report
- March Employment Report: 303 thousand Jobs, 3.8% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- March Employment Preview
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 25.0% YoY; New Listings Down 7.8% YoY
- Moody's: Apartment Vacancy Rate Unchanged in Q1; Office Vacancy Rate at Record High
- Trade Deficit at $68.9 Billion in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 221,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Deficit
- Heavy Truck Sales Decreased in March
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- ISM® Services Index decreases to 51.4% in March
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 184,000 in March
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: ADP Employment, ISM Services
- Vehicles Sales Decrease to 15.5 million SAAR in March; Up 4% YoY
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in February; Up 5.9% Year-over-year
- BLS: Job Openings Little Changed at 8.8 million in February
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 5.5% Year-over-year in February
- Tuesday: Job Openings, Vehicle Sales
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: The Impact of "Golden-Handcuffs" on Mortgage Payments
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.3% in February
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 50.3% in March
- Housing April 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.9% Week-over-week, Up 26.0% Year-over-year
March 2024
- Monday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
- Las Vegas February 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 9.5% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 15%
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: House Price Index Up 6.0% year-over-year
- Schedule for Week of March 31, 2024
- March 29th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- FHFA’s National Mortgage Database: Outstanding Mortgage Rates, LTV and Credit Scores
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Just Over 2%
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 5.8% YoY in February
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in February; Spending increased 0.8%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, PCE Prices, Fed Chair Powell
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 25.5% YoY; New Listings up 14.9% YoY
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 1.6% in February; Down 7.0% Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 210,000
- Q4 GDP Growth Revised Up to 3.4% Annual Rate
- Thursday: GDP, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreased, Multi-family Decreased in February
- Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes Increased in 49 States in January (3-Month Basis)
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.5% below 2022 peak
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- A few comments on the Seasonal Pattern for House Prices
- Comments on January House Prices, FHFA: House Prices Declined Slightly in January
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 6.0% year-over-year in January
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, Richmond and Dallas Fed Mfg
- March Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.6 million SAAR, Up 5% YoY
- New Home Sales at 662,000 Annual Rate in February; Median New Home Price is Down 19% from the Peak
- New Home Sales at 662,000 Annual Rate in February
- Housing March 25th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 1.1% Week-over-week, Up 23.9% Year-over-year
- Monday: New Home Sales
- Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Single Family Starts Up 35% Year-over-year in February
- Schedule for Week of March 24, 2024
- March 22nd COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in February
- Q1 GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 1.4% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 23.8% YoY; New Listings up 17.8% YoY
- BofA "Should policy be set on OER if nobody pays it?"
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.38 million SAAR in February; Median Prices Down 7.1 From Peak (NSA)
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.38 million SAAR in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 210,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Existing Home Sales
- FOMC Projections and Press Conference
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy
- AIA: "Moderation in the Slowdown in Business Conditions at Architecture Firms"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 19th Consecutive Month
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement
- California February Existing Home Sales increase 1.3% YoY, Prices up 9.7% YoY
- Single Family Starts Up 35% Year-over-year in February; Multi-Family Starts Down Sharply
- Housing Starts Increased to 1.521 million Annual Rate in February
- "The Lock-In Effect of Rising Mortgage Rates"
- Tuesday: Housing Starts
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Holds Steady at 0.22% in February
- LA Port Traffic Increased Sharply Year-over-year in February
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in March
- Housing March 18th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 1.3% Week-over-week, Up 22.2% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market
- Schedule for Week of March 17, 2024
- March 15th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in February
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in February
- GDP Tracking: Around 2%
- Industrial Production Increased 0.1% in February
- Friday: NY Fed Mfg, Industrial Production
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 21.7% YoY; New Listings up 15.8% YoY
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024
- Retail Sales Increased 0.6% in February
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 209,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, PPI
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-March 2024
- Q4 Update: Delinquencies, Foreclosures and REO
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- Favorable Weather Boosted Employment by About 100,000 in February
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in February; Inventory Continues to Surge in Florida
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in February
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.4% in February; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.3% Year-over-year
- Lawler: Rent Trends at some Large Holders of Multifamily Properties
- Housing March 11th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.4% Week-over-week, Up 21.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 19.9% YoY; New Listings up 17.4% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Price-to-rent index is 7.3% below recent peak
- Schedule for Week of March 10, 2024
- March 8th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- AAR: Rail Traffic Recovered in February
- GDP Tracking: Low 2% Range
- Comments on February Employment Report
- February Employment Report: 275 thousand Jobs, 3.9% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- February Employment Preview
- The "Home ATM" Closed in Q4
- Fed's Flow of Funds: Household Net Worth Increased $4.8 Trillion in Q4
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Declined in February; Down 13.1% Year-over-year
- Trade Deficit at $67.4 Billion in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 217,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, Trade Balance, Fed Chair Powell, Flow of Funds
- Fed's Beige Book: "Economic activity increased slightly"
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- BLS: Job Openings Little Changed at 8.9 million in January
- Fed Chair Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 140,000 in February
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Job Openings, Fed Chair Powell Testimony, Beige Book, ADP Employment
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.4% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.3% below recent peak
- ISM® Services Index decreases to 52.6% in February
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 5.8% Year-over-year in January
- Tuesday: ISM Services
- Heavy Truck Sales Increased in February
- Lawler: Some Thoughts on Quantitative Easing and Quantitative Tightening
- ICE Mortgage Monitor: "First-Time Homebuyers Make Up Record 47% of GSE Purchase Loans"
- Housing March 4th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.1% Week-over-week, Up 18.8% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 17.8% YoY; New Listings up 11.9% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: House Price Index Up 5.5% year-over-year in December
- Schedule for Week of March 3, 2024
- March 1st COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Vehicles Sales Increase to 15.8 million SAAR in February; Up 6% YoY
- GDP Tracking: Low 2% Range
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Decreases Slightly in January
- Construction Spending Decreased 0.2% in January
- ISM® Manufacturing index Decreased to 47.8% in February
- Friday: ISM Mfg, Construction Spending, Vehicle Sales
February 2024
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in January; Up 6.2% Year-over-year
- Las Vegas January 2024: Visitor Traffic Up 3% YoY; Convention Traffic Up 9%
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Decrease 4.9% in January; Down 8.8% Year-over-year
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.1% YoY in January
- Personal Income increased 1.0% in January; Spending increased 0.2%
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 215,000
- Thursday: Personal Income & Outlays, Unemployment Claims, Pending Home Sales, Chicago PMI
- Freddie Reports Surge in Multifamily Serious Delinquencies
- Q4 GDP Growth Revised Down to 3.2% Annual Rate
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey, "Activity stalled"
- Wednesday: GDP
- Lawler: Update on American Homes for Rent (AMH)
- Comments on December Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.5% year-over-year in December
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Durable Goods, Richmond Fed Mfg
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- New Home Sales at 661,000 Annual Rate in January; Median New Home Price is Down 15% from the Peak
- New Home Sales at 661,000 Annual Rate in January
- Housing February 26th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.7% Week-over-week, Up 15.6% Year-over-year
- Monday: New Home Sales
- February Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.5 million SAAR, Up 4% YoY
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January
- Schedule for Week of February 25, 2024
- Feb 23rd COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.5% Year-over-year
- GDP Tracking: Q1 Boosted Slightly
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Decreased in January
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 15.7% YoY; New Listings up 10.9% YoY
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January; Median Prices Down 8.4% from Peak NSA
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.00 million SAAR in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 201,000
- Thursday: Existing Home Sales, Unemployment Claims
- FOMC Minutes: "Most participants noted the risks of moving too quickly to ease the stance of policy"
- AIA: "Architecture Billings Index Reports Sluggish Conditions to Start 2024"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 18th Consecutive Month
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Minutes, Architecture Billings Index
- MBA Survey: Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.22% in January
- Lawler: Update on Invitation Homes Rental Trends
- DOT: Vehicle Miles Driven Increased 2.1% year-over-year in 2023
- Single Family Built-for-Rent Almost Doubled Since 2020
- Existing Home Sales: Lawler vs. the Consensus
- Tuesday: No major economic releases scheduled
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in January; California Home Sales Up 5.9% YoY in January
- Housing February 19th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.2% Week-over-week, Up 12.9% Year-over-year
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.7% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Current State of the Housing Market for Mid-February
- Schedule for Week of February 18, 2024
- Feb 16th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Decreased
- Lawler: Update on “Is the “Natural” Rate of Interest Back to Pre-Financial Crisis Levels”
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 13.9% YoY; New Listings up 9.5% YoY
- GDP Tracking: Q1 Moving Down
- Single Family Starts Up 22% Year-over-year in January; Multi-Family Starts Down Sharply
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.331 million Annual Rate in January
- Friday: Housing Starts, PPI
- Fannie "Real Estate Owned" inventory Decreased in Q4 2023
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in February
- Industrial Production Decreased 0.1% in January
- Retail Sales Decreased 0.8% in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 212,000
- Thursday: Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims, NY & Philly Fed Mfg, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Increased Year-over-year in January
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2024
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.5% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.5% in January
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.3% in January; Core CPI increased 0.4%
- Tuesday: CPI
- Trends in Educational Attainment in the U.S. Labor Force
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-February 2024
- Housing February 12th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.5% Week-over-week, Up 11.4% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- By Request: Public and Private Sector Payroll Jobs During Presidential Terms
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Update on Mortgage Rates and Spreads
- Schedule for Week of February 11, 2024
- Feb 9th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Increased
- AAR: January Carloads Down and Intermodal Up YoY
- Poor Weather Reduced Employment by About 50,000 in January
- Early GDP Tracking: Solid Start for Q1
- Updated Seasonal Factors for CPI
- Friday: Updated Seasonal Factors for CPI
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.1% Year-over-year
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 12.2% YoY; New Listings up 12.8% YoY
- MBA: Mortgage Delinquencies Increase in Q4 2023
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 218,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims
- Update: Lumber Prices Up 6% YoY
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in January
- Wholesale Used Car Prices "Flat" in December; Down 9.2% Year-over-year
- Trade Deficit at $62.2 Billion in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Trade Deficit
- NY Fed Q4 Report: Household Debt Increased
- ICE (Black Knight) Mortgage Monitor: "Positive Signs in Housing, Mortgage Markets"
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 5.5% Year-over-year in December
- Tuesday: Q4 Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit
- Fed SLOOS Survey: Banks reported Tighter Standards, Weaker Demand for almost All Loan Types
- Lawler: Update on Mortgage Rates and Spreads
- ISM® Services Index Increases to 53.4% in January
- Housing February 5th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 1.2% Week-over-week, Up 8.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Heavy Truck Sales Increased in January
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Case-Shiller National House Price Index Up 5.1% YoY
- Schedule for Week of February 4, 2024
- Feb 2nd COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Increased
- Early GDP Tracking: Solid Start for Q1
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- Comments on January Employment Report
- January Employment Report: 353 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- Vehicles Sales Decrease to 15.0 million SAAR in January; Down 1% YoY
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 10.1% YoY; New Listings up 2.1% YoY
- January Employment Preview
- Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.3% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.0% below recent peak
- Construction Spending Increased 0.9% in December
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 49.1% in January
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 224,000
- Thursday: Unemployment Claims, ISM Mfg, Construction Spending
January 2024
- Freddie Mac House Price Index Increased in December; Up 6.6% Year-over-year
- FOMC Statement: No Change to Policy
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 107,000 in January
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: FOMC Statement, ADP Employment, Chicago PMI
- Fannie and Freddie: Single Family Serious Delinquency Rate Increased Slightly, Multi-family Unchanged in December
- HVS: Q4 2023 Homeownership and Vacancy Rates
- Comments on November Case-Shiller and FHFA House Prices
- BLS: Job Openings Little Changed at 9.0 million in December
- Case-Shiller: National House Price Index Up 5.1% year-over-year in November
- Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Job Openings, Housing Vacancies and Homeownership
- Q4 2023 GDP Details on Residential and Commercial Real Estate
- Las Vegas December 2023: Visitor Traffic Up 3% YoY; Convention Traffic Down 11%
- Housing January 29th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 0.6% Week-over-week, Up 7.9% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- FOMC Preview: No Change to Policy Expected
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: New Home Sales increase to 664,000 Annual Rate
- Schedule for Week of January 28, 2024
- Jan 26th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Increased
- U.S. Courts: Bankruptcy Filings Increase 17 Percent in 2023; 42% Below Pre-Pandemic Levels
- NAR: Pending Home Sales Increase 8.3% December; Up 1.3% Year-over-year
- PCE Measure of Shelter Slows to 6.4% YoY in December
- Personal Income increased 0.3% in December; Spending increased 0.7%
- Friday: Personal Income and Outlays, Pending Home Sales
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 8.6% YoY; New Listings up 3.4% YoY
- New Home Sales increase to 664,000 Annual Rate in December; Average New Home Price is Down 14% from the Peak
- New Home Sales increase to 664,000 Annual Rate in December
- BEA: Real GDP increased at 3.3% Annualized Rate in Q4
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Increase to 214,000
- Thursday: Q4 GDP, New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims, Durable Goods
- January Vehicle Sales Forecast: 15.4 million SAAR, Up 2% YoY
- ICE: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Increased in December
- Final Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- AIA: "Architecture firm billings remain soft to end the year"; Multi-family Billings Decline for 17th Consecutive Month
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Architecture Billings Index
- NMHC and Fannie Mae Multi-Family Presentation
- 1.54 million Total Housing Completions in 2023 including Manufactured Homes; Most Since 2007
- Tuesday: Richmond Fed Mfg
- MBA Survey: "Share of Mortgage Loans in Forbearance Decreases to 0.23% in December"
- NMHC: "Apartment Market Continues to Loosen"
- Update on High Frequency Indicators: Airlines and Movie Tickets
- Housing January 22nd Weekly Update: Inventory Up 0.2% Week-over-week, Up 7.1% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 2.8% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: Existing Home Months-of-Supply above December 2019
- Schedule for Week of January 21, 2024
- Jan 19th COVID Update: Weekly Deaths Increased
- Q4 GDP Tracking: Around 1.8%
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.78 million SAAR in December; Months-of-Supply above December 2019
- NAR: Existing-Home Sales Decreased to 3.78 million SAAR in December; Lowest Annual Sales Since 1995
- Friday: Existing Home Sales
- 4th Look at Local Housing Markets in December; California Home Sales Down 7.1% YoY in December
- LA Port Inbound Traffic Increased Year-over-year in December
- Realtor.com Reports Active Inventory UP 7.9% YoY; New Listings up 7.0% YoY
- Single Family Starts Up Year-over-year in December; Near Record Number of Multi-Family Housing Units Under Construction
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 187,000
- Housing Starts Decreased to 1.460 million Annual Rate in December
- Thursday: Housing Starts, Unemployment Claims, Philly Fed Mfg
- Lawler: Early Read on Existing Home Sales in December
- Fed's Beige Book: "Little or no change in economic activity"
- NAHB: Builder Confidence Increased in January
- Industrial Production Increased 0.1% in December
- Retail Sales Increased 0.6% in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Homebuilder Survey, Beige Book
- 3rd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- MBA: "Office properties drove increase" in Q4 Commercial Real Estate Delinquencies
- Annual Light Vehicle Sales Increase 12% in 2023; Heavy Trucks Sales up 6% YoY
- Tuesday: NY Fed Mfg
- The Housing Bubble and Mortgage Debt as a Percent of GDP
- Housing January 15th Weekly Update: Inventory Up 1.2% Week-over-week, Up 6.7% Year-over-year
- Hotels: Occupancy Rate Decreased 0.7% Year-over-year
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: 2023 Annual Sales Likely Lowest Since 1995
- Schedule for Week of January 14, 2024
- Jan 12th COVID Update: Hospitalizations Increased
- Q4 GDP Tracking: 1.3% to 2.2% Range
- 2nd Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- AAR: December Carloads and Intermodal Up YoY
- Friday: PPI
- Cleveland Fed: Median CPI increased 0.4% and Trimmed-mean CPI increased 0.3% in December
- Part 2: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2024
- YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims at 202,000
- BLS: CPI Increased 0.3% in December; Core CPI increased 0.3%
- Thursday: CPI, Unemployment Claims
- Question #1 for 2024: How much will the economy grow in 2024? Will there be a recession in 2024?
- Part 1: Current State of the Housing Market; Overview for mid-January 2024
- Leading Index for Commercial Real Estate Increased in December, Down 11% from Peak
- Question #2 for 2024: How much will job growth slow in 2024? Or will the economy lose jobs?
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Increased in Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Mortgage Applications
- Question #3 for 2024: What will the unemployment rate be in December 2024?
- 1st Look at Local Housing Markets in December
- Question #4 for 2024: What will the participation rate be in December 2024?
- Trade Deficit decreased to $63.2 Billion in November
- CoreLogic: US Home Prices Increased 5.2% Year-over-year in November
- Tuesday: Trade Deficit, CoreLogic House Prices
- Question #5 for 2024: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2024?
- Moody's: Apartment Vacancy Rate increased in Q4; Office Vacancy Rate in "Uncharted Territory" at Record High
- Wholesale Used Car Prices Decreased 0.5% in December; Down 7.0% Year-over-year
- Housing January 8th Weekly Update: Inventory Down 2.7% Week-over-week, Up 5.7% Year-over-year
- Sunday Night Futures
- Question #6 for 2024: What will the Fed Funds rate be in December 2024?
- Real Estate Newsletter Articles this Week: What will happen with house prices in 2024?
- Schedule for Week of January 7, 2024
- Jan 5th COVID Update: Deaths and Hospitalizations Increased
- Q4 GDP Tracking: 1.4% to 2.5%
- Question #7 for 2024: How much will wages increase in 2024?
- Comments on December Employment Report
- December Employment Report: 216 thousand Jobs, 3.7% Unemployment Rate
- Friday: Employment Report
- December Employment Preview
- Asking Rents Mostly Unchanged Year-over-year
- Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease to 202,000
- ADP: Private Employment Increased 164,000 in December
- Thursday: ADP Employment, Unemployment Claims
- Vehicles Sales increase to 15.83 million SAAR in December; Up 17% YoY
- FOMC Minutes: "A lower target range for the federal funds rate would be appropriate by the end of 2024"
- Question #8 for 2024: How much will Residential investment change in 2024? How about housing starts and new home sales in 2024?
- BLS: Job Openings Little Changed at 8.8 million in November
- ISM® Manufacturing index Increased to 47.4% in December
- MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased Over a Two-Week Period in Latest Weekly Survey
- Wednesday: Job Openings, ISM Mfg, FOMC Minutes
- Question #9 for 2024: What will happen with house prices in 2024?
- Construction Spending Increased 0.4% in November
- Tuesday: Construction Spending
- Housing January 1st Weekly Update: Inventory Down 2.9% Week-over-week, Up 4.4% Year-over-year