2019–2020
1,217 posts
2020 615
December 2020
- US Dollar as “Global Reserve Currency” amid Fed’s QE and US Government Deficits: Dollar Hegemony in Decline
- US Stimulus & Shifts in Consumer Spending Hit Trade Deficit
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: December Update on House Price Inflation Gone Wild
- Flying During Christmas Travel Period? Still in Collapse Mode
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: American Debt Slaves in the Weirdest Economy Ever
- What an Ugly Year for Manhattan Luxury Condos & Co-ops, But the Market Came Unglued in 2016
- Railroads Slashed Jobs Again in Nov, to Lowest in Many Decades, Traffic Down 17% since 2006, Stocks Soared to Record High
- Majestic Overshoot of Stimulus Money Ended. Faced with Second Wave, Americans Cut Back, Even on Durable Goods
- Housing Market Goes Crazy, Everyone Sees It Can’t Last, and then the First Dip Appears
- Another Piece of the Puzzle of Plunging Credit Card Balances
- Holy-Cow Spikes in China-US Container Freight Rates & US Consumer Spending on Goods Trigger Mad, Possibly Illegal Scramble for Empties. US Farmers Twist in the Wind
- Who Holds the $1.65 Trillion of Apartment Building Debt amid Eviction Bans and Plunging Occupancy Rates at High Rises?
- Biggest Share Buyback Queens in Q3: Tech and Buffett. The Banks Are Gone. But Share Buybacks Plunged 42% YoY
- As Short-Term Renters & Immigration Fizzle, and People Move Out to “Work from Somewhere Else,” London Apartment Vacancies Soar, Rents Drop
- Where Americans Splurged & Where They Cut Back in 13 Whiplash-Charts
- Congress to Pass $17 Billion Bailout of Airline Shareholders & Bondholders, to Top Off Prior Bailout. Industry Applauds, Airline Stocks Jump
- California “Techsodus”: Tech Companies, Billionaires, Millionaires, Tech Employees Flee San Francisco & Silicon Valley
- Bracing for Impact: My View as British Expat Just Before Brexit
- Tesla, Quadruple-WTF Chart of the Year: It Should Just Sell Shares on Autopilot at Huge Prices and Exit Sordid Business of Making Cars
- Update on the Fed’s QE
- For HSBC, Life Gets Very Complicated in Hong Kong & China, its Number One Market, as China Tightens the Screws
- The State of American Used Cars & Trucks: A Market Gone Haywire and Now in Process of “Normalizing”
- Occupancy Plunges to 70% at San Francisco Luxury Apartment Towers across from Twitter Headquarters: a Broad Phenomenon
- Record IPO & SPAC Bubble Fattened by Ridiculous DoorDash IPO. Airbnb Next
- How Many Renters Face Eviction when the Eviction Bans End? How Much Worse is it, Compared to the Good Times?
- Consumers Finally Getting Smart? Credit Card Balances in Steepest Drop Ever
- Manhattan Luxury Condos See Demand, But at Much Lower Prices with Big Losses for Sellers
- Three Big Retailer Casualties in One Week: UK Retail Landlords Reel after Worst Week of Nightmare Year
- US Air Passenger Traffic Skids Again, Delta & American Warn of Declining Bookings
- The Jobs Report is a Mess, December Will Be Messier
- Junk Bond Yields Hit Record Low: Most Distorted Markets Ever
- For Stocks & Bonds, Upside Surprise of Inflation and Interest Rates “Could Prove Nasty”: Dudley
- Here Comes the Trucking Boom in the Weirdest Economy Ever
- “Exodus” in Full Swing: November Rents Swoon in San Francisco, New York, Boston, Los Angeles… But Skyrocket in Other Cities
- The State of the American Office: Suddenly Emptying Out Again Under the Second Wave
- Just in Time for Holiday Shopping Season: UK Fashion Giant Arcadia Crashes into Bankruptcy
- Vacancy Rate at Iconic Manhattan Tower with 899 Apartments Hits 26%: This Shows How Fast & Massive the Exodus Has Been
November 2020
- The Sorry State of Fintech Privacy: Visa Wants to Buy Plaid, and with it, Bank Transaction Data for Millions of People. DOJ Sues
- The State of American Restaurants, by City: The Catastrophe of the Second Wave
- Vast Euro-Derivatives Market, Centered in London, Is Set to Fragment as End of Brexit Transition & Uncertainties Loom
- This Spike of New Businesses is a Doozie, on Several Levels
- My Thoughts on San Francisco’s “Exodus,” the Social-Life & Cost-Cutting Aspects of Work from Home, and the Truly Bizarre Split in the Real Estate Market
- The State of the American Consumer: Free Pandemic-Money Runs Low
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Nov. Update
- California Legal Cannabis Sales Exploded. And California is Cashing In
- “Monetizing Privacy”: The Fed Fans Out, Touting the “Digital Dollar.” This Time, How Consumers Would Benefit
- Taxpayers Face $435 Billion in Student-Loan Losses, Already Baked in: Leaked Education-Department Study
- Australian Construction & Real-Estate Development Giant Grocon Hits Wall, amid Industry Swoon that Started in Mid-2019
- The Mnuchin-Powell Affair over the Fed’s “Special Purpose Vehicles” in Dollars & Effects
- Here Are the 12 Financial-Market Metrics Mnuchin Listed as Reasons for Letting the Fed’s Bondholder-Bailout SPVs Expire on Dec 31
- Online Sales by Category, in Weirdest Economy Ever
- Doubts Surface about “Valuations” of London Office Properties amid Conflicts of Interest
- Who Bought the Monstrous $4.2 Trillion Added to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt in 12 Months? Everyone but China
- No Payment, No Problem: In Rosy World of Forbearance, Official Delinquencies Plunge, Credit Scores of Delinquent Borrowers Jump
- Stimulus Fatigue? Retail Sales Wane at Many Brick & Mortar Stores. Department Stores Progress to Zombiehood. But Online Sales Surge to Record
- All Container Heck Breaks Loose amid Flood of Orders from US Retailers to Supply Stimulus-Stuffed Consumers, Cancelled Sailings by Carriers, and Record Spiking Freight Rates
- My Humble Site Is the Most Exciting Thing I’ve Ever Done. A Reminder: Please Donate to WOLF STREET
- How the Pandemic Scrambled Long-Term Driving Patterns: Americans Already Drove Less, Hidden by Population Growth
- Volkswagen to Throw $86 Billion at EVs over 5 Years. GM, Ford, Others Plow Mega-Bucks into Shift to EVs. Tesla Instigated It
- Wild Ride for Used Cars & Trucks in Weirdest Economy Ever
- How the Unemployment Fiasco in Europe Is Kept out of Official Unemployment Rates
- Southwest and Delta Douse Hopes for Recovery in Q4. TSA Checkpoint Screenings Already Agree
- Why Simon Property Group & Brookfield Property, #1 & #2 Mall Landlords, Bought J.C. Penney and Other Collapsed Retailers out of Bankruptcy
- WOLF STREET “Pickup Truck & Car Price Index” for 2021 Models Crushes Official “CPI for New Vehicles”
- Big City Exodus: Rents of Single-Family Houses Rise Across the US, Even as Apartment Rents in Expensive Cities Drop Sharply
- All Heck Broke Loose in the Markets on Vaccine Monday. Stocks Split in Two: Some Soared, Others Plunged
- Vaccine-Monday Again: Sure Could Use Some Hope Amid Spiking Covid-19 Infections
- Biogen’s Double-WTF Moment, After Trading Halt All Day Friday: The Elusive Alzheimer’s Money
- Spooked by Fishy Smells & Regulators, Investment Bank Natixis Dumps its 50% Stake in Formerly-$36-Billion Hedge Fund H2O
- State of the American Debt-Slaves, Q3 2020: The Stimulus & Forbearance Phenomenon
- Picture Emerges of Weird Recovery to Historically Awful Level
- Condo Prices Drop 13% in San Francisco, All-Time Record Inventory Glut Piles Up
- Tesla v. GM v. Ford: Sacrilege to Mention Them in the Same Breath, But Here We Go
- Interjet Runs Out of Runway. Six Other Latin-American Carriers Already Liquidated or in Bankruptcy
- Sales of New Cars & Trucks Through October Fell by 2.4 Million Vehicles, to 1985 Levels. Back to the Future
- For Stocks, Any Election Outcome is Now the Best Outcome, Disputed Election, Long Legal Mess, Split Government Without Stimulus, Whatever…
- US Apartment Market Splits in Two, 100 Cities: Where Rents Jumped or Dropped the Most, Are Highest or Lowest
- What Took so Long? After Years of Brick & Mortar Meltdown Punctuated by the Pandemic, Two Mall REITs File for Bankruptcy
- The State of American Restaurants, by City, November Update
- What Oil Companies Face: The WTF-Collapse of Consumption of Gasoline & Jet Fuel from Long-Term Weakness
October 2020
- High Times in the Plague Year: Booze & Cannabis Retailers Shine
- Do We Really Need More Stimulus to Print More Millionaires & Billionaires, Enrich Fraudsters, Balloon the Trade Deficit? Consumer Data Says, “No We Don’t”
- I’m in Awe of How Fast Rents Plunge in San Francisco, New York, Boston, Los Angeles, Other Expensive Cities. Rents Decline Even in Houston & Dallas. National Average Turns Negative
- WeWork Forerunner IWG/Regus Restructures its Business, Unleashing Mayhem on Landlords and Investors
- No, GDP Didn’t Jump “33.1%” in Q3, But 7.4%, after Plunging 9% in Q2: Time to Kill “Annualized” Growth Rates. Imports, Powered by Stimulus, Dragged on GDP
- My Random Walk Down Junk-Bond Minefield: How I Lost 77% after Buying DNR’s Unsecured Bonds at Rock-Bottom 8 Cents on the Dollar
- Unlocked Shareholder Value, so to Speak: Job Cuts at Boeing to Reach 30,000. Commercial Airplane Revenue -56%. $5 Billion Go Up in Flames in Q3, $22 Billion since 737 Max Fiasco.
- Americans Are Super-Gloomy About Holiday Spending, But Industry Ramps Up for Blockbuster Christmas
- Jingle Mail Haunts Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities as Property Values Get Slashed Below Loan Amounts
- How Fast Can a “Shortage” of Office Space Turn into a “Glut?” San Francisco Shows How Fast
- US, Global Corporate Giants Not Amused Mexico Finally Forces Them to Pay the Taxes They Owe
- Housing Market Goes Nuts, Everyone Sees it, But it Can’t Last
- Fed Assets Eke Out New Record for First Time Since June 10. But Repos, Dollar Liquidity Swaps, SPVs Mothballed
- Sorting through the Data Chaos in Unemployment Claims: Week 31 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Down-to-Earth View of the “Recovery” in Near-Real Time, Eight Months into the Pandemic
- “Creative Destruction” or Just “Destruction?”
- Synchrony Financial Disclosed Radical Work-from-Home Plan, Layoffs, and “Office Footprint” Reduction
- Trucking, Container Carriers, FedEx, UPS, Other Freight Firms Warn of “Capacity Shortage,” Expect Americans to Keep Splurging Despite Jobs Crisis
- Amid Eviction Moratorium, Wiggle Room Tightens for Retail Landlords & Tenants in the UK
- Worst Recovery Ever: To Soothe Investor Pain, Government Agency TSA Hypes Airline Stocks in Chilling PR Stunt
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: “Creative Destruction” or Just “Destruction”?
- Stimulus & Debt-Deferral Economy: Americans Splurged. Huge Price Increases Boosted Auto Sales. Liquidation Sales Pumped up Department Stores
- Extend-and-Pretend Caused Bankruptcies to Plunge in Germany, France, Spain. Now Central Banks Tell Banks to Prepare for Bankruptcy Surge
- Airlines Raised $$$-Billions via Frequent Flier Programs. Delta alone Raised $9 billion via SkyMiles as Collateral. How?
- The Great American Oil & Gas Massacre: Bankruptcies Hit New Milestone as Bigger Companies Let Go
- “Daily Cash Burn” to Continue till Further Notice: US Air Travelers Still -65%, Ticket Prices -25%, a Toxic Mix. Delta Q3 Passenger Revenues -83%
- Highly Leveraged Commercial Real Estate Bets that UK Local Authorities Took to Meet Budget Shortfalls Begin to Unravel
- Crazy Times Not Only for Consumers Trying to Buy a Used Car but also for Dealers Grappling with the Distortions
- Disney Struck. Cinemas, Landlords Live Nightmare in Brick-and-Mortar-Meltdown Series as Movie Debuts Shift to Streaming
- Two San Francisco Hiltons Add to Woes of Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities. Special Servicing Rate of Hotel CMBS Spiked to 26%
- Status of the Social Security Trust Fund, Fiscal 2020: Beware of Vicious Dog
- Astounding Distortions & Historic Price Spikes in Used-Vehicle Wholesale Market Begin to Unwind
- Microsoft Offers Permanent Work-from-Home Option with Pay-Cuts if Employees Move to Cheaper Cities or Countries
- Touting the Success of Jawboning, Fed Steps Away from Corporate Bond Market, Having Bought Almost No Bonds & Bond ETFs
- The Big Boys Are Back: Financializing Single-Family Houses
- Now Everything Depends on US Stimulus, from Billionaires to China’s Manufacturers, as US National Debt Blows Out
- Condo Boom Turns to Historic Condo Glut in San Francisco
- Private-Equity Firm Blackstone, Spain’s Largest Landlord, Tries to Unload its Properties
- Twisted Bailout Economy: Chapter 11 Bankruptcies Surged, But Commercial Chapter 13 Bankruptcies Plunged. 420,000 Small Businesses Closed Quietly, Highest Rate Ever
- Cinema Chains Near Collapse: The Problem Beyond the Pandemic
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: The Big Boys Are Back Financializing Single-Family Houses
- Wolf Richter on “Coffee with Lynette,” Discussing Business, Finance, Money (well, the Fed’s Digital Dollar), and the “Reset”
- Commercial Real Estate Office Sector Crushed by Work-from-Home, Tsunami of Supply in Q3: Manhattan, San Francisco, Houston, Chicago, Los Angeles
- Small-Business Emergency Loan Program in the UK Threatens to Descend into Chaos
- The Flight of the Techies
- What’s Behind the Fed’s Project to Send Free Money to People Directly?
- San Francisco Rents in Free-Fall. New York Rents Swoon. Expensive Cities, College Towns, Cities in Texas, Other States Sag. But in 16 Cities, Rents Jump Double-Digits
- Americans Still Running on Fumes of Stimulus, Now Vanishing
- What Does the Fed See Heading at Big Banks? Blocks Share-Buybacks, Slaps on Dividend Caps Due to “Economic Uncertainty” and “Cushion Against Loan Losses”
September 2020
- Hong Kong’s Overleveraged Commercial Real Estate Tycoons Unravel, Prices Plunge, Creditors Begin to Take Over
- How Has the US Dollar Held Up as “Global Reserve Currency” During Q2 Turmoil?
- Powered by Stimulus & Rent/Mortgage Payments “Not Made,” US Trade Deficit Hits Record Worst Terrible Level Ever
- California Sales Ban of New Gasoline & Diesel Vehicles Jolts Half-Dead Business Model of Electric Utilities & Power Producers, Including in Other States
- Facing Crappiest Recovery Ever, Airlines Demand New $25-Billion Bailout, for $50 Billion Total, after Having Burned $45 Billion on Share Buybacks
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What’s Behind the Fed’s Project to Send Free Money to People Directly
- Commercial Real-Estate Fallout Even Douses the Queen of England
- Subprime, No Problem? FHA Mortgage Delinquencies Hit Record 17.4%, as Fed Triggers Mad Land-Rush in Split Housing Market
- The Shift from City Centers to Suburbs: New House Sales Soar for 3rd Month, +46% YoY, to Highest Since 2007
- California Tries to Stem the Unemployment Insurance Chaos: Week 27 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- “Robinhood Traders” Trigger Massive Idiocy on Scheme by Nasdaq-Listed Chinese Penny Stock that Skyrocketed 4,387% & Collapsed by Two-Thirds in Just One Day
- Grim Summer Turns to Long Cold Winter for European Airlines as Passenger Traffic Dives Again
- Who Got the $33 Billion in Farm Subsidies for the US-China Trade-War and Coronavirus Payments?
- How the Pandemic Upended the Video Game Industry
- There Will Be Permanent Changes: Apple CEO Tim Cook Weighs in on Working from Home
- Hit from All Sides, European Bank Stocks Swoon to 1988 Low
- Nikola Hype Collapses, Shares Plunge Further, Founder/CEO Pushed Out. GM Swoons
- Asset Class of Vintage Cars During the Pandemic: Sales at High End on Ice, After Steep Price Drops Earlier in the Year
- “Giant 5 Stock Index” (AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, MSFT, FB) -16% from High, Apple -20%. And Rest of the Market?
- Who Bought the $3.3 Trillion Piled on the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt Since March?
- On Concerns about Turkey’s Financial Health, Lira Dives to New Low, Cost of Insuring Turkish Sovereign Debt Nearly Doubles
- Great Time to Turn a Nest Egg into Scrambled Eggs
- How Life Changed During the Pandemic: Still Loaded with Stimulus Cash, Americans Went Shopping. But Where?
- Down-to-Earth Aspects of the US Economy in Near-Real Time
- Why the Hoped-for Solution to Out-of-Control Government Debts Won’t Work This Time
- What’s to Be Done Now with All These Zombie Companies?
- “Remote Learning” Sinks Student-Housing CMBS, After Delinquencies Had Already Spiked in 2019
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Great Time to Turn a Nest Egg into Scrambled Eggs
- Subprime Auto-Loan Delinquencies, Loan Deferrals & Stimulus Curdle into Curious Phenomenon
- How Spain Became a Squatter’s Paradise
- The Wild Ride of the FANGMANTIS Stocks v. Rest of Market
- Junk-Bond Frenzy Set Records in August, as Everyone Tried to Front-Run the Fed
- “Don’t Fight the Fed?” Fed’s Assets in Week 13 Since Peak-QE
- Unemployment Crisis Going in Wrong Direction: Week 25 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Unprecedented Stimulus Is Fueling an Explosion of Fraud, Governments Begin to Admit
- Have You Noticed How Push-Back Against Powell-Fed’s Actions Is Getting Louder in the Mainstream Media, from NPR to CNBC?
- The Fed Bought No Bond ETFs (None, Zero, Zilch) in August. ETF Holdings Actually Fell. Bought Almost No Corporate Bonds
- Used-Vehicle Market Digs Out from Supply-and-Demand Chaos that Caused Enormous Distortions in Wholesale Prices
- On Fumes of Stimulus: California Starts Sending Out $900 Lump-Sum FEMA-Funded Unemployment Payments on Labor Day
- “Prolonged Period of Risk to Institutional and Retail Investors of Further – Possibly Significant – Market Corrections”
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: This Tech-Stock Sell-Off Is a Sign Something Broke
- The Wild Ride of the Giant 5 Stocks (APPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, FB) v. the Rest of the Market
- Tesla Not Added to S&P 500 Index, Shares Plunge After-Hours: Triple-WTF Chart of the Year Turns into Sharp Spike
- Wall Street’s New Meme: Selloff is “Good News for Tech Stocks” after Robinhood Call-Options Traders Are Properly Wiped Out
- San Francisco Unicorn Juul to Lay Off Over Half its Remaining Staff: Altria’s $12.8 Billion Go to Heck, But Not in a Straight Line
- Work from Home Gets Entrenched: Embraced by Workers & Businesses in the UK, it’s Upending Real Estate, Retail, Restaurants, Bars, Cafés
- Big Setback for the Unemployment Crisis: Week 24 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- The Second Wave of Layoffs is Here, Now Hitting Well-Paid Jobs
- Landlords, Please Chime in: After CDC Eviction Moratorium & State Eviction Bans, How Big is Nonpayment of Rent, amid Sharply Conflicting Household Surveys & Landlord Data
- Rents Plunge in San Francisco, New York. Other Expensive Cities, College Towns, Texas Oil Patch also Hit. Incentives Surge. But in 18 Cities: Double-Digit YoY Rent Increases
- Tesla, the Triple-WTF Chart of the Year: Just Put Your Brain on Tesla Autopilot and Believe in It
August 2020
- €22Bn Hedge Fund H2O, Majority-Owned by Natixis, Ordered to Freeze Funds. Fishy Smells Emanate
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Second Wave of Layoffs Is Here, Now Hitting Well-Paid Jobs
- The State of the American Restaurant, City by City
- Office Towers in Hong Kong Battered from All Directions: Big Haircuts for Investors amid Falling Rents and Rising Vacancies
- Twisted Picture of a Consumer Economy Running on Fumes of Stimulus
- Subprime Mortgages Fall Massively Delinquent. Taxpayers on Hook. Housing Market Splits in Two
- Fed’s Total Assets Fall Again, Week 11 Since Peak-QE: Crazy Charts for Crazy Times
- Unemployment-Data Chaos: Labor Dept. Admits “Seasonal Adjustments” Went Haywire During Pandemic (why I stopped using them in May): Week 23 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- The Zombie Companies Are Coming
- Airlines, Trying to Dodge Bankruptcy with Air Travel Still Down 70%, Threaten Oct. Jobs Massacre Unless they Get 2nd Bailout
- Small Landlords, Tenants, Lenders, Governments Grapple with “Extend-and-Pretend Forevermore”
- “Pent-up Supply” in San Francisco Turns into Record Glut of Houses & Condos for Sale. Prices Weaken
- Jingle Mail for Malls: Even Biggest Landlords Walk from Malls as Stores Go Bankrupt, Refuse to Pay Rent, Mall Values Slashed Brutally. But those Shorting Mall CMBS Made a Killing
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: The Zombie Companies Are Coming
- Haunting Photos of San Francisco’s Desolate Financial District During Morning “Rush Hour”: Visual Effects of Work-from-Home
- Shell’s Colossal Miscalculation in 2011 of Today’s LNG Price: Largest-Ever $12-$17-Billion “Floating Facility” Shut Down, Months After Shipping First LNG. Done in by Long Price Collapse
- Australia’s Construction Industry Faces “Bloodbath,” Says Lobbying Group Clamoring for Bailout, after Riding up the Housing Bubble
- The Fed’s Asset Purchases: Week 10 Since Peak-QE
- Disconcertingly, Both State & Federal “Initial” Unemployment Claims Jump. 28 Million People on Unemployment Insurance, 17.5% of Labor Force: Week 22 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- California Cannabis Tax Revenues Soar as Industry Gets Going, But Black Market Still Dominates
- The Rich Got Richer During the Pandemic, Bailed Out by the Fed. How it Happened and Why That’s Bad for the Economy
- How Negative Interest Rates Sap Consumer Spending by an Ever Larger Part of Consumers
- Ecommerce Sales Spike 44% in Q2: Even Groceries, Building Materials, Garden Supplies, and Furniture
- Who Bought the Gigantic $4.5 Trillion in US Government Debt Added in the Past 12 Months? Everyone but China?
- Mortgage Delinquencies Jump by Most Ever. 60-Day Delinquencies Hit Highest Level Ever. Record 16% of FHA Mortgages Delinquent. What a Mess
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: The Rich Got Richer in the Pandemic. Why?
- Alarm Bells Ring over Refinance Mortgage Boom: Why Refis Are so Risky
- Turkey’s 2nd Financial & Currency Crisis in 2 Years Blossoms. Heavily Invested European Banks Look for Exit. But Not the Most Exposed Bank
- Fired up by Stimulus Money & Debt Deferrals, Americans Went Shopping. But Where? How Life Changed During the Pandemic
- Week 9 Since Peak-QE: Update on the Fed’s Assets
- Toronto Rental Market Hit by 82% Spike in Apartments for Rent
- Number of People on State or Federal Unemployment Insurance Falls Below 30 Million, First Time Since June: Week 21 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Used Car & Truck Market Turmoil Mauls Freshly IPO-ed Unicorn Online Car Dealer Vroom. Shares -20%
- Dollar’s Purchasing Power Drops to Lowest Ever. Inflation Heats Up, as Fed Wants, After Simultaneous Supply & Demand Shocks
- Foot Traffic to “Places of Commerce,” Office Occupancy Hit by Covid Resurgence, Persistent Work-from-Home: Real-Time Data
- Corporate Bond & Junk Bond Markets Driven into Foaming-at-the-Mouth Exuberance by Fed Jawboning about Huge Purchases. But it Actually Bought Just Tiny Amounts
- No, Americans Aren’t Suddenly Flying Again, Despite What the Media Said Today to Boost Stocks of Airlines and Boeing
- Bailout Air Europa, to Be Acquired by IAG — Owner of British Airways and Spain’s Top 2 Airlines — Doesn’t Pass Smell Test
- Tesla Gets Crushed in Germany by EVs from Volkswagen, Renault, and Hyundai Group: It Woke Up the Giants
- The State of the American Debt-Slaves Q2 2020: The Credit Card Phenomenon
- Bite the Bullet or Extend & Pretend? Unemployment in Europe
- No Payment, No Problem: Bizarre New World of Consumer Debt
- End of QE, Week 8: Fed’s Assets Fall by -$4 Billion for the Week, Down -$224 Billion Since June 10
- Number of People on State or Federal Unemployment Insurance Jumps to 32.1 Million, Second Highest Ever: Week 20 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- U.S. Stocks at the Swiss National Bank Balloon to Record: Gains, Bought, Sold, and How it Keeps that Racket Going
- US Crude Oil Production Plunged Most Ever, Natural Gas Followed: The Great American Oil & Gas Bust, Phase 2
- Making Money Coming and Going: Why Wall Street Loves Serial Defaulter Argentina
- Why’s the ECB Buying the Debt of So Many Non-EU Companies?
- The Census Bureau’s Grim Take on the Employment Shock During the Pandemic: Not Improving Yet
- Rents Swoon in San Francisco, Other Expensive Cities, TX-OK Oil Patch Y/Y. But 23 Cities with Double-Digit Rent Increases
- A Vaccine for Retail? My View from the Trenches
- Average Age of Cars & Trucks on the Road Sets Record, Will Jump During Pandemic as New-Vehicle Sales Plunge to 1970s Level
July 2020
- Turkey in 2nd Currency Crisis in 2 Years. Lira Hits Record Low
- Nobody Knows How to Ever Get Out of This Mess
- Fed’s Assets Fall by $16 Billion, -$220 Billion Since June 10: Week 7 of Balance Sheet Shrinkage
- No, GDP Didn’t Plunge “32.9%” in Q2, it Plunged a Still Terrible 9.5%: Time to Kill “Annual Rates”
- #TheZooHasGoneNuts: Kodak — after its Crypto-Scheme in 2018 Caused Shares to Surge 300% Before Recrashing — Gets Trump-Pump Worth 2,190% Before Recrashing
- Confession Time for Big Banks in Europe: Banco Santander Reports $12.7 Billion Loss
- Going to Be Tough for Airlines, Full Recovery Moved to 2024: IATA
- Don’t Try This at Home? 60%-80% of Retail Traders, Depending on Broker, Lost Money Trading Forex CFDs
- Coal Consumption Plunged to Lowest Since at Least 1973. Why There’s No Hope for Coal
- A Midsummer Nightmare for Tourism: UK, Other Countries Impose Quarantine Requirements on Returnees from Spain as Virus Cases Surge
- Google Extends Work-from-Home to July 2021. Other Firms to Follow. Condo, Apartment, Office Markets in Silicon Valley, San Francisco, Manhattan to Take Further Hit
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Nobody Knows How to Ever Get Out of This Mess
- Coca-Cola Confronted by Big Problem in its Second Largest Market. For Once, Political Connections Failed. Oct 1 is the Date
- Brick & Mortar Retailers, Malls, Mall-REITs, and their Debts: The Whole Schmear is Coming Apart
- Shift from Condos to Houses and from Big Cities to Suburbs? New House Sales Rose 6.9% fr. June Last Year, to Highest Level since July 2007
- Week Six of Fed’s Lumpy Shrinkage of its Assets
- Media Continues to Misreport Unemployment: 31.8 Million People on State & Federal Unemployment Insurance. Week 18 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Update on the WTF-Collapse of Consumption of Gasoline, Jet Fuel & Diesel
- Work-from-Home Unleashes Nightmare for Office Landlords & Surrounding Businesses. Global Banks at the Forefront
- Home Sales Down -11% from Year Ago, Condos -23%, but Bounce off Lockdown-Lows
- “Demand to Remain Suppressed” till Vaccine/Treatment Widely Available: United Airlines. May Not Happen till Late 2021 “or Even Later”: Health Care Leaders
- Bailout of Trucking Company YRC, Near Bankruptcy Before Covid-19, Ripped by Congressional Watchdog
- #TheZooHasGoneNuts: “Fraudulent” Press Release of Buyout Nearly Triples Stock of Soon-to-be-Bankrupt Oil & Gas Producer, Briefly
- Recovery of Collapsed Air Passenger Traffic in the US Backtracks
- “Giant 5 Index” – AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, FB – Sagged All Week, Rest of Market Rose, Still 2.5-Year Wild Ride to Nowhere
- How Work-from-Home Impacts Commercial Real Estate & Cities. Can Airlines Survive? Can We Now Get Deals on New Cars?
- “Pent-up Supply” Floods San Francisco Housing Market, Most Since Housing Bust
- “Uneven” Freight Recovery after New Covid Outbreaks: Daily Truck Trips Already Fell 10% Since June 25
- 32 Million People on State & Federal Unemployment, 2nd Highest Ever: Week 17 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Streets and Plazas in Barcelona Still Eerily Quiet as Covid-Chaos Upends Tourism
- Work-from-Home & Covid Resurgence Maul Office Occupancy
- It Starts: Mortgage Delinquencies Suddenly Soar at Record Pace
- Delta’s Passenger Revenue -94%. How it Plans to Stay Alive till “Demand Returns.” Confirms United’s Warning About Newly Waning Demand
- Subprime Auto-Loan Delinquencies, After April Fiasco, Miraculously Healed by “Forbearance” & Stimulus Money
- These Airlines, Financial Black Holes for Years, Now Face the Pandemic
- Moving the Iron amid Sagging Demand: Tesla Cuts Price of Model Y, after Cutting Prices of Model 3, S & X, as Other Automakers Offer Record Incentives.
- What Happens If Most Businesses & Consumers Tighten Their Belts at the Same Time?
- “Wild Ride to Nowhere”: APPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, FB Soar to New High. Rest of Stock Market is a Dud, Has Been for Years
- The Great American Shale Oil & Gas Massacre: Bankruptcies, Defaulted Debts, Worthless Shares, Collapsed Prices of Oil & Gas
- QE Unwind Speeds Up: Fed’s Assets Drop $85 Billion. Four-Week Total -$248 Billion. Big Chunk in a Short Time
- Unemployment Claims Hit New Record: 32.9 Million State & Federal. Week 16 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- No V-Shaped Recovery for Airlines. Ticket Sales Slide Again. United Announces 36,000 “Involuntary Furloughs”
- Pandemic Compresses Brick & Mortar Meltdown: Brooks Brothers Files for Bankruptcy, Ascena (Ann Taylor, etc.) Prepares to File, Tailored Brands (Men’s Wearhouse, etc.) Not Far Behind
- US House Prices to Drop 6.6% by May 2021, First Annual Decline since Jan. 2012: CoreLogic, Owner of the Case-Shiller Index
- Huge Debt Payments at Worst Time for Canadian Oil Drillers
- Seems Counter-Intuitive in This Crisis: Inflation Heats Up for Services Firms, and They’re Able to Pass it on via Higher Prices
- A Word About that Historic Bounce in US Services PMIs: No, the Service Sector Didn’t Hit New Highs. It Stopped Plunging
- Mall and Hotel Loans Are Blowing up Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
- As the Biggest Restaurant Chains in the UK Fall into Bankruptcy, Attention Turns to KKR & Other PE Firms that Own Them
- QE Unwinds: Fed’s Assets Drop for 3rd Week, Another -$76 Billion. 3-Week Total: -$163 Billion
- Never Before Have I Seen So Much Fake Unemployment & Jobs Data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Labor Department Nails It
- Despite New Gigafactory in China, Tesla’s Global Deliveries Drop 4.8% in Q2, Much Worse Than I Expected
- Massive Shifts Underway, Rental Market Reacts in Near-Real Time: Rents Plunge in San Francisco & Oil Patch, Drop in Expensive Cities. But Long List of Double-Digit Gainers
- Double-WTF Chart of the Year Update: Tesla Becomes Most Valuable Automaker, Blows by Toyota
- UK House Prices in June Fall for First Time Since 2012, Mortgage Approvals Slump to Record Low Despite Reopening
June 2020
- There Sure’s a Lot of Brain-Dead Misreporting About the Case-Shiller Home Price Index this Morning
- Who Will Get Hit When Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLOs) Blow Up? Banks or Unsuspecting “Market Participants”?
- Negative-Interest Rate Champion Bank of France Now Frets About Ballooning Corporate Debt
- Pending Home Sales Bounce Off Brutal Low, Still -11% from February, -5% from May Last Year
- Fed Discloses it Bought Tiny Amounts of Corporate Bonds, Including a Whopping $15.5 Million (with an M) in Junk Bonds
- What’s in Beijing’s Mystery Security Law Will Be a Giant Tell about Hong Kong’s Future
- World Trade Plunges. Here’s Why it’s Even Worse in Reality: China’s Deep-Fake Data Comes to Light
- Mall Giant Intu Collapses Into Bankruptcy
- A Federal-Money-from-the-Sky Story
- Plagued Retail: My View from the Trenches
- “V-Shaped” Recovery Not Now: It Gets Worse, 30.55 Million on Unemployment. Week 14 of U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Business Uncertainty About Sales Goes Haywire
- Barcelona’s Epic Tourism Boom Is Over, Now the Crisis Begins: My Walk to the Beach
- Wild Ride to Nowhere Since Jan 2018: What the US Stock Market Looks Like Minus APPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOG, FB
- Sales of New Houses Rose Off Multi-Year Low, as Sales of Existing Houses & Especially Condos Plunged. What Gives?
- Massive Credit Losses to Hit European Banks in Q2 and into 2021, Particularly When Debt Moratoriums Are Lifted
- Plot Thickens on End of QE & Start of Shedding Assets
- Home Sales Plunged Most since 2008, Condos -41%. First-Ever April-May Price Drop in Normally Red-Hot Spring Selling Season
- Latin-America’s Airlines Are Crashing, But There May Be No Bailouts. Aeromexico Denies Filing for US Bankruptcy
- Alitalia, Lufthansa, Condor, Norwegian, Other European Airlines Try to Survive, But it Gets Complicated
- I, Who Hates Shorting, Just Shorted the Entire Stock Market. Here’s Why
- Fed Ends QE, Total Assets Drop. Liquidity Injection Ends
- Week 13 of the U.S. Labor Market Collapse: Week 3 of Recovery at Snail’s Pace Amid Data Chaos
- Update on the WTF Collapse of Demand for Gasoline, Jet Fuel, and Diesel
- Italy Once Again on the Eurozone Worry List
- This Better Be the Bottom for the Goods-Based Sector in the US
- Retail Sales by Segment in 12 Hair-Raising Charts
- But Who Bought this Huge Pile of US Government Debt?
- Asset Class of Classic Cars Sinks, High-End Hits 5-Year Low, Priciest Ferraris Drop the Most. American Muscle Cars Fall to 2007 Level
- Commercial Real Estate Sellers Expecting Pre-Virus Prices “Are Smoking Dope,” Says UK Fund Manager
- An Epically Bad Week for US Brick-and-Mortar Retailers and Landlords
- Europe’s Fashion Industry Faces Nightmare
- Wow, That Was Fast: Debt Out the Wazoo
- America Convulses in Pain, Fed Bails Out the Wealthy
- A Word About the Chaos in the Unemployment Data: Week 12 of the U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- The Chilling Things Delta Said about the Airline Business, the 90% Collapse in Q2 Revenues, and Why Some Demand Destruction May Be “Permanent”
- Tsunami of “Unsustainable” Business Loans to Hit Banks, City of London Grandees Warn
- Collapse in Gambling Totally Crushes Macau’s Overall Economy
- Illinois is the First Entity to Borrow from the Fed’s New Facility. But “Insolvent” Entities Are Not Supposed to be Eligible
- Tesla’s Double-WTF Chart of the Year
- The 53 Companies Bailed Out by the Bank of England: Johnson Controls, Carnival, PACCAR, Honda, Toyota, BASF, Bayer…
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: America Convulses in Pain, Fed Bails Out the Wealthy
- I was asked: “Are Stocks as Safe a Bet Going Forward as They’ve Been in the Past Couple of Months?”
- Crude Steel Production: China Blows the Doors off Rest of the World During Pandemic After Already Huge Surge in 2019
- Powered by Restaurants, Bars & Retailers, Jobs Bounce Off Bottom. Some Industries & Governments Continue to Shed Jobs
- Treasury Market Smells a Rat: Steepest Yield Curve Since 2017 Despite QE
- HSBC Embraces China’s Crackdown on Hong Kong, Goes All-In on Asia Pivot
- Week 11 of the U.S. Labor Market Collapse: Signs of Having Hit Bottom, Finally
- This is What Heavy-Truck Manufacturers Face After a 19-Month Order Collapse to Historic Lows
- The “Post-Plague” Office: There Could be Quite a Run on the Suburbs
- CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes by Most on Record
- International Tourist Arrivals & Spending in Tourism-Dependent Spain Collapsed to “Zero” in April. May Likely Similar
- Rents in the Most Expensive Cities Drop. Oil Patch Gets Hit Too. But Massive Gains in Other Cities
- Head of Canada’s Mortgage & Housing Agency Warns Home Buyers to Question Motives of Those Saying Prices Will Rise
- San Francisco, Epitome of the “Everything Bubble,” Faces Fiscal Chaos. Boom-and-Bust, Always. Now is the Bust
May 2020
- Automakers’ Finance Divisions Lobby BoE & UK Gov for Bailout. Auto Sales Collapse 97%, Consumers Apply for Payment Holiday
- From Ice-Cold to Hot: Daily Pending Home Sales in May so Far, 15 Cities Around the US
- After Decade of Retail Investors Getting Systematically Wiped Out, SEC & CFTC Investigate Oil ETF USO Investor Risk Disclosure
- Fed Tapered QE Helicopter Money for Wall Street Further: MBS Fell. Treasuries Barely Rose. Liquidity Swaps & Repos Stalled.
- No, Homes Did Not Sell Like Hotcakes: “Pending Home Sales” Plunged 34% in April, a Preview of “Closed Sales” in May
- Week 10 of the U.S. Labor Market Collapse: Still Getting Worse at Gut-Wrenching Pace, But Signs of Bottom Appear
- Commercial Real Estate in the Plague Year: The Office Tower Landscape is About to Be Remade
- 4th-Largest US Rental Car Company, Advantage, Files for Bankruptcy: 3rd Time in Decade, Hertz & Private Equity Written All Over It
- College Enrollment in the Spring Fell for 9th Year in a Row, and Now Comes Covid
- Despite Record-Low Mortgage Rates, New House Prices Drop to Lowest April since 2015, Sales to Lowest April since 2017
- It Starts: The Corporate Mega-Bailout Bonanza in Europe, Germany on Top
- US Air Passenger Traffic over Memorial Day Weekend Down 87%, Amid Signs of Slow Recovery
- Hertz Bankruptcy & Fleet Liquidation Threaten to Make Mess of Used-Vehicle Prices with Burst of “Pent-Up Supply”
- Student Housing, One of the Most Hyped Asset Classes, Runs Out of Students
- Catastrophic Plunge in Jobs & Labor Force in Los Angeles, San Francisco/Silicon Valley Smacks into Housing Bubbles
- What Horrified Fund Managers, Banks & UK’s Pension Minister Said About the Bank of England’s Sudden “We Don’t Rule Out” Negative Interest Rates
- The Unemployment Rate for Each State, from 7.9% in Connecticut to 28.2% in Nevada
- Median Home Price Does Classic Head-Fake as Home Sales Plunge and Condo Sales Collapse
- Week 9 of the Collapse of the U.S. Labor Market: Still Getting Worse at a Gut-Wrenching Pace
- Used-Vehicle Market Starts to Unfreeze, “Pent-up Supply” Looms
- Green-Energy Zombie Abengoa Threatens to Default 3rd Time Since Enron-Style Collapse, Blames Covid, Begs for Fresh Bailout
- What Unicorn Money-Sinkholes Actually Disrupt
- During the Last Financial Crisis, Even Ecommerce Sales Plunged. Not This Time
- Shares of Mall REITs Jumped 12% Today, But Have Collapsed So Far It’s a Barely Visible Blip
- Canadian Home Sales See Worst April Since 1984, Montreal And Toronto Lead Lower
- With No Mainland Chinese Buyers, Hong Kong’s Commercial Real Estate Dives
- The WOLF STREET REPORT: What Unicorn Money-Sinkholes Actually Disrupted
- Third Mega-Crisis in 12 Years: Eurozone Economy Plunges at Fastest Rate on Record
- Zombie J.C. Penney Finally Files for Bankruptcy, in Deal with Distressed Debt Funds. Stock and Some Bonds Wiped Out
- Here’s What Collapsed, Spiked, or Hung On in 12 Charts of Retail Sales (Yes, Department Stores Were Already Toast)
- After Two Months of Jawboning and Media Hype that Triggered a Huge Rally, the Fed Finally Buys a Whopping $305 Million in Corporate Bonds
- Non-Paying Tenants Trip Up Land Securities, Once UK’s Largest Commercial Property REIT. Stock Plunges
- Week 8 of the Collapse of the U.S. Labor Market: Nearing a Previously Unthinkably Deep Bottom?
- First the Freight Recession, Now Covid-19: Trucking & Rail Freight Collapses. Is This the Bottom?
- What Powell said About Negative Interest Rates, Their Effect on Banks, Jawboning, and Why the Fed Might Not Buy a Lot of Junk Bonds
- A Word About the Current Chaos in Prices and Inflation
- Airbnb Gets Disrupted. Hosts, “Super-Hosts” Try to Survive. Apartments in Prime Locations Suddenly Flood Rental Market
- “Pent-up Supply” is Building up in the Housing Market: Example of San Francisco Bay Area’s North Bay
- US Commercial Real Estate Prices Plunged in April, Mall Prices Collapsed
- It Gets Rough for US Airlines: Why Buffett Dumped His Airline Stocks Though There Was Blood on the Tarmac, Which Should Have Been a Buy Signal
- The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q1 2020: How Are Consumers Positioned Going into the Crisis?
- Collapse of the Labor Market in 5 Charts: Employment Plunged to 1999 Level. Everything’s a Gut-Wrenching Record
- Fed Cuts QE Helicopter Money for Wall Street Further. Still Hasn’t Bought Junk Bonds or ETFs. Was Just Jawboning
- Uber Lost $3 Billion on $3.5 Billion in Revenues. Fake “Profitability” Delayed. Another Quarterly Horror-Show. Markets Eat it Up
- Another SoftBank Unicorn Gets in Trouble: “Reverse Factoring” Specialist Greensill
- Week 7 of the Collapse of the U.S. Labor Market
- US National Debt Spiked by $1.5 trillion in 6 Weeks, to $25 trillion. Fed Monetized 90%
- Nothing’s Fixed: What’s Behind the Corporate Debt Bailout
- Service Sector Falls Off Cliff in the Eurozone, Manufacturing Not Far Behind
- Subprime Auto Loans Blow Up, Get Very Messy
- Retail Landlords Reel as Big Luxury Brands Threaten to Close Stores if Rents Aren’t Slashed
- The ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index Shows to What Unfathomable Extent the US Economy Has Collapsed
- Commercial Real Estate Already Gets Hit in Europe: Prices for Retail Properties Plunge, Office Prices Sink
- Facing the Crisis Aftermath: Boeing and the Airlines
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Nothing’s Fixed – What’s Behind the Corporate Debt Bailout
- Bone-Chilling WTF Charts of the Collapse in US Demand for Gasoline, Jet Fuel, and Diesel
- European Banks Reveal Scale & Complexity of Crisis. Shares Hammered Back to 1987 Level
- Fed Drastically Slashed Helicopter Money for Wall Street. QE Down 86% From Peak Week in March
April 2020
- Week 6 of the Collapse of the U.S. Labor Market
- Mortgage Forbearance Balloons, Home Sales Plunge
- Life Under Draconian Lockdown: I Can Barely See the Light at the End of this Long, Dark Tunnel
- Can Macy’s Survive this Crisis Without Filing for Bankruptcy?
- Dividend Massacre in This Crisis is Already Breaking Records, But it Just Started
- What Manufacturing Executives Said About Their Business in this Economy
- The LNG Market Is “Imploding”
- Wolf Richter Rails Against Mexican Companies that Borrow in Dollars and then Get Bailed Out When it Blows Up, Which is Now
- How the Unicorn Blowup & Oil Bust Bleed into Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
- Supermarket Sales Jumped, Alcohol Sales Spiked 33% & Online Grocery Sales 100%, But “Non-Food” Sales Collapsed
- Used-Vehicle Wholesale Volume Collapsed, Prices Drop: Mega-Pain for Automakers, Leasing Companies, Rental-Car Companies, Banks, Bondholders, Stockholders
- Tourism in Southern Europe, Accounting for 13%-21% of GDP, is on its Knees. When Will it Get Back Up Again?
- Fed Cut Back on Helicopter Money for Wall Street & the Wealthy
- Postmortem of the Infamous Day WTI Crude Oil Futures Went to Heck in a Straight Line
- Week 5 of the Collapse of the U.S. Labor Market
- Housing Market under COVID-19: Regular Folks Retreat, Foreign Investors Blocked, Large US Investors Gone, iBuyers Frozen
- U.S. Shale Faces Largest Ever Drop in Fracking Activity
- Market Mayhem Meets Liquidity Mismatch: “At Least” 76 Mutual Funds in Europe Were “Gated” in March
- How Far Will the U.S. Economy Plunge During Lockdown?
- Mainland Chinese Stop Buying Hong Kong Residential Properties, Try to Unload What They Have, Prices Follow
- Holy WTF Moly: WTI May Contract Collapses to Negative -$37
- US Crude Oil Gets Annihilated Under Targeted Saudi Attack
- Munger: “Nobody Knows What’s Going to Happen.” And This Time, Berkshire Is Not Piling into Stocks & Companies
- Demand for Bank Notes in Dollars & Euros Spikes Despite Fears of Covid-19 Contaminated Cash
- What U.S. Cruise Lines Are Up Against. And No Bailout Money
- Coronavirus Drives Barrage of New Lobbying Activity
- There’s a Significant Risk of Cascading Defaults in Form of a “Debtors’ Strike”
- Fed Massively Tapered QE-4. Hasn’t Bought Any Junk Bonds, Was Just Jawboning
- How Will Covid-19 Lockdowns Hit the Housing Market? It Gets a Little Clearer
- Week Four of the U.S. Labor Market Collapse
- Here’s Where Retail Sales Spiked and Collapsed in 11 Mind-Blowing Charts of Lockdown Land
- U.S. Oil Drilling Grinds to Halt at Key Shale Hotspots
- From Panic-Buying to Lockdowns of Eateries & Manufacturing: Truckers, Railroads Face Supply Chain Turmoil, Spikes & Plunges
- “Something Has Gone Wrong”: UK Government, Banks Screw Up Coronavirus Loans, Small Firms Near Collapse. Better Results in Other Countries
- SoftBank’s Fake Startup “Valuations” Come Unglued
- Farm-Labor Crisis under COVID-19 Sends Countries Scrambling
- Going to be Tougher for Lots of People to Even Get a Mortgage. Expensive Housing Markets Most Affected
- COVID-19 vs. the Economy: When is it Time to Reboot?
- “Mortgage Forbearance” is Suddenly Hot, Hits Shadow Banks, which Clamor for Bailout from Taxpayers and the Fed
- QE-4 Cut in Half this Week. Fed’s Helicopter Money for Wall Street & the Wealthy Hits $1.8 Trillion in 4 Weeks
- Week 3 of the Collapse of the US Labor Market
- Now in Lockdown, Mexico’s Economy Slides. Banks & Companies Clamor for Bailout. Government Refuses
- Week 3: How Lockdowns Impact Housing & Mortgage Markets
- How Lockdowns Hit U.S. New & Used Vehicle Sales: Beyond Ugly
- Construction Activity Plunges in Germany, France, & Italy
- Another U.S. IPO of a Chinese Company Goes Bust in 11 Months
- Preparing for the Aftermath: China’s Airlines Try to Exit Crisis, Alitalia is Nationalized, Qantas Plans 21-Hour Direct Flights
- New York Fed, FDIC Tout “Opacity in a Banking Crisis” to Keep Corporations, Hedge Funds, PE Firms & Counterparties in the Dark about Weak Banks
- Lockdown Hits UK Commercial Real Estate, Retail Landlords & Their Investors: Most Property Mutual Funds Suddenly “Gated”
- The Fight Against COVID-19: “Bending the Curve” & Then What?
- Trucking Skids Off the Road Entirely
- Services Sector Falls off Cliff: First Data Points from the Eurozone where Lockdowns Started Earlier
- $1.5 Trillion Helicopter Money for Wall Street in 3 Weeks of Fed Bailouts
- Week Two of the Collapse of the Labor Market
- Week Two: How COVID-19 Lockdowns Impact US Housing Market. Mortgages Give Clues: It Gets Uglier
- A Word About Hong Kong’s Retail Sales Collapse: It’s a Mess
- Foretaste of the Lockdown-Driven Collapse in the Services & Retail Sectors: Holy Moly, What a Catastrophic Mess
March 2020
- Estimates About the Collapse of Share Buybacks Emerge
- Post-Lockdown New Normal: Many Brick & Mortar Stores Will Not Reopen, CMBS will Default, Mess to Ensue
- The $1.5 Trillion Global Tourism Industry Faces $450 Billion Collapse in Revenues, Based on Optimistic Assumptions
- How Will COVID-19 Impact US Manufacturing? First Indications Are Ugly. Exacerbated by Underlying Conditions
- Corruption in the Time of Coronavirus
- “Not All Airlines Will Go Bankrupt”: How Will Coronavirus Travel-Bans Impact Airbus, Suppliers, and Airlines?
- CoronaWar Battlegrounds: New York Leads in Growth, Minnesota Bends it Best. California Hot Spots v. Italy & South Korea. Pain in Spain
- The Downgrade Massacre Has Started
- Latin America Was Already Steeped in Economic Problems. Now Come the External & Internal Shocks of COVID-19
- Helicopter Money for Wall Street
- A Word About the Horrid Spike in Unemployment Claims and Why it’s Even More Horrid Than it Appears
- How Will Coronavirus Lockdowns Impact the US Housing Market? First Data Points Are Out. They’re Ugly
- Self-Employed Left Hanging after Spanish Government Promised to Protect Them from Worst of Covid-19 Fallout
- Four Mortgage REITs Collapse After Chaos Hit Markets for Residential & Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities
- Share Buybacks Are Toast for 2020: Oops, that was the $4.6 Trillion Driver of the Stock-Market-Bubble
- Coronavirus May Deliver Coup de Grace to Overrated Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)
- What Are All the Fed’s Corporate & Investor Bailout Programs and SPVs? Here’s the Whole Shitload of Them
- New Currency Crisis Dawns: Mexican Peso Plunges to Record Low Against the Dollar
- Leveraged Loans Blow Out. Distressed Corporate Debt Spikes
- Australia’s Construction Industry “On Brink of Collapse”: Started Going to Heck Last Year, Now Comes COVID-19
- Hottest Battlegrounds in the CoronaWar: Is “Social Distancing” Kicking In?
- It’s Just Day 22 of CoronaCrash, and It’s Already Such a Mess
- Fed’s Balance Sheet Spikes as “Everything Bubble” Morphs into Financial Crisis 2
- After Epic “Run on the Funds,” 10 More Real Estate Mutual Funds Shuttered as COVID-19 Batters UK Property Values
- Junk-Bond Spreads & BBB-Bond Spreads Blow Out Past Lehman-Bankruptcy Levels
- How a Landlord of Neighborhood Malls Deals with the Lockdown Crisis his Tenants Face
- Tesla, the WTF Chart of the Year
- European Banks Face Financial Crisis 2, Shares Hit 1988 Lows
- Treasury Market, Gold Go Haywire as Fed Struggles to Contain What’s Turning into Financial Crisis 2
- After Blowing $4.5 Trillion on Share Buybacks, Airlines, Boeing, Many Other Culprits Want Taxpayer & Fed Bailouts of their Shareholders
- Welcome to Dystopia: My Life Under Lockdown in Spain
- Lockdown in San Francisco, Silicon Valley & the East Bay: We’re to “Shelter in Place.” What it Means Now & Long Term
- S&P 500 Plunged Most Since 1987, Gave Up in 18 Days the 42% Gains of Past 3 Years. Boeing Shares Collapsed
- First US Economic Data of the COVID-19 Era Emerges. It’s Ugly
- How Our Business Got Hit by COVID-19 Event-Cancellations Whose Effects Now Cascade Through the Industry
- Panicked Fed Slashes Rates to Near 0%, Throws $700 Billion QE on Top, after $1.5 Trillion Shock-and-Awe Repos Fizzled. Stock Futures Plunge 5%, Hit Limit Down
- Mall Giant Intu Warns of Bankruptcy: First, the Meltdown of Brick & Mortar Retail, Now COVID-19
- To Win the CoronaWar, Defense Is The Only Offense
- Historic Volatility Tells Me This Stock Market is in the Middle of an Equally Historic Crash
- No One Knows How the Coronavirus Will Impact Canadian Real Estate, But Here Are My Thoughts
- As Everything Bubble Implodes, Frazzled Fed Rolls Out Fastest Mega-Money Printer Ever, up to $4.5 Trillion in Four Weeks
- Stocks Crashed. I Covered My Short Positions (SPY, QQQ) Because “Nothing Goes to Heck in a Straight Line.” Out of Spite, Bought Some Crap for a Bear-Market Bounce
- First Enron of 2020: Muddy Waters’ Short-Target NMC Health Just “Discovered” $2.7 Billion Undisclosed Debt
- Boeing Crashes: $43 Billion in Share Buybacks Turn into Existential Threat
- My Conversation with MarketWatch About my Hair-Raising Contrarian Short Positions Taken Out (and Published) on Dec 30 During Peak Market Euphoria
- I Live in Italy’s “Orange Zone”: What it’s Like Inside the Lockdown
- The Collapse of Pot Stocks: Refreshingly, Not COVID-19’s Fault
- European Bank Stocks Collapse to March 2009 & 1988 Levels
- The Great American Shale-Oil Bust Turns into Massacre
- We Anticipate a Period of Severe Market Turbulence that Will Create New Opportunities for Patient Investors
- Good Morning America, All Heck Broke Loose in the Markets Overnight
- It’s Crazy in the Treasury Market, But the Corporate Bond Market is Starting to Dial in the Coronavirus
- Tourism is 10% of GDP in France, 13% in Italy, 15% in Spain. And Now it’s in Free Fall
- Stock Market Volatility Jangles Nerves. Something’s Afoot
- What Sequoia Capital’s “Black Swan” Memo Means for Unicorn-Hotspots Like San Francisco, Silicon Valley & Others
- US Airline Stocks Crushed. Southwest Warns on US Domestic Demand. UK Airline Collapses, Abandoned by Its Coronavirus-Spooked Owners
- Out-of-Funds Chinese Property Developer Oceanwide Tries to Shed its Mega-Money-Pits in San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Manhattan at a Loss, But it’s Hard
- “COVID-19 Added to this Uncertainty:” Orders & Sales of Heavy Trucks & Medium-Duty Trucks Plunge in the US
- Yield Curve Gets Ugly, 10-Year Treasury Yield Falls Below 1% for First Time Ever, 30-Year at Record Low, on Rising Inflation
- Stocks Sag as Fed Cures Coronavirus by Cutting Rates ½ Percentage Point
- “Wall Street Biggest Banks Shamelessly Try to Use Coronavirus to Get Federal Reserve to Weaken Rules”: Better Markets
- Just How Bad Is It Going to Get for US Airlines?
- China’s Non-Manufacturing & Manufacturing PMIs Show to What Unfathomable Extent the Economy Has Collapsed
February 2020
- Muddy Waters’ Short-Target NMC Health, a FTSE 100 Company, Admits Doctoring Accounts on Massive Scale. Shares Suspended
- “Nothing Goes to Heck in a Straight Line,” Not Even Stocks Today
- Has the Coronavirus Hit US Consumer Spending Yet?
- Airline Stocks, Battered by Coronavirus & Boeing 737 MAX, Plunge to Four-Year Low
- Epic Construction Downturn Grips Australia
- How a Coronavirus Case in Korea Instantly Hit a Small Business in the US
- Los Angeles Housing Market Carved Up by Unaffordability & Divergence in Demand
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, Feb. Update
- Unicorns & Non-Unicorns Hung Out to Dry: As SoftBank Licks its Wounds, Startup Funding Fizzles, Shutdowns & Layoffs Spread
- Stocks Plunge (or Dip?), Traders Confused: This Wasn’t Supposed to Happen. Complacency Exacts its Toll
- Hong Kong’s Real Estate – Housing, Office & Retail Properties – Face “Tsunami-Like Shocks”
- Subprime Credit Card Delinquencies Spike to Record High, Past Financial-Crisis Peak, as Other Consumers Relish the Good Times. Why?
- So That’s the End for Air Italy. And More Airline Money-Pits
- California Auto Woes: New-Vehicle Registrations Fall for 3rd Year, -9.5% from 2016. Bay Area Hit Hardest. Q4 Was Ugly, with Tesla Plunging 46%. But Used-Vehicle Market Grows
- Ecommerce Spikes by Most Ever. Brick & Mortar Melts Down. Department Stores are Toast
- Coronavirus Slams Airbnb, Airlines, Hotels, Casinos, San Francisco, Other Hot Spots
- It Gets Surprisingly Ugly: US Freight Shipments Plunge 9.4%, Steepest since 2009
- Who Bought the $1.3 Trillion in Debt the US Government Added to its $23-Trillion Pile in 12 Months?
- HSBC Announces Mass Job Cuts, Huge Write-Down, Asset Sales, Halt of Share Buybacks. Warns of Coronavirus Impact on Credit Losses & Revenues in China & Hong Kong
- GM Better Figure Out How to Stop Shrinking, I Mean Globally & Pronto, Before It’s Too Late
- Is Private Equity Having its WeWork Moment?
- It Starts: Apple Throws Revenue Guidance Out the Window, on Supply Chain Woes & Sales Collapse in China
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Coronavirus Slams Airbnb, Airlines, Hotels, Casinos, San Francisco, Other Hot Spots
- Ex-CEO of Pemex Arrested for “Looting Mexico”
- “Speculative Energy in the Market is Incredibly out of Control”
- Median CPI Runs Hot, Fed Averts Eyes
- Credit-Card Interest Rates Soar to Record High, Bond Yields Drop to Record Low: What Gives?
- Coronavirus Fears Sink World’s Biggest Mobile Trade Fair After US & Global Tech Giants Pull Out
- Subprime Auto Loans Explode, “Serious Delinquencies” Spike to Record. But There’s No Jobs Crisis, These Are the Good Times
- OK, it Gets Sticky: Job Openings Plunge the Most Since the Great Recession
- Shares of Bedding Unicorn Casper Collapsed by 72% from Magical Pre-IPO Valuation
- Who Stole Americans’ Personal Data in Equifax Hack? China’s Military & How They Did it: US DOJ in 9-Count Indictment
- HELOC Balances Plunge to 15-Year Low. What’s Going on Here?
- The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q4 2019
- WeWork Debris Hits Bystanders: Two More Real-Estate Mutual Funds “Gated,” This Time in Ireland. Fitch Warns of Contagion
- End of QE-4: Fed’s Repos Drop Below Oct 2 Level, T-Bills Balloon, MBS Fall, Total Assets Down to Dec 25 Level
- Ford Better Figure Out How to Sell Vehicles, And I Mean Globally & Pronto, Before it’s Too Late
- What Will the Coronavirus Do to the US & Chinese Economy?
- US Imports from China Plunged Most Ever in 2019, Shifted to Other Countries, and the Goods Trade Deficit Improved Only a Tad from Worst Level Ever
- Another Major Employer Leaves San Francisco, 1,000 Jobs Vanish: Macy’s Shuts Tech Center in Broad “Optimization”
- I’m in Awe of How Tesla is Now a Supernatural Phenomenon
- After Coronavirus Measures, China’s Crude Oil Demand Plunges 20%: Industry Sources
- Why Has UK Auto Manufacturing Collapsed 24% in Three Years?
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What Will the Coronavirus Do to the US & Chinese Economy?
- Brexit Moment: Nigel Farage’s Dramatic Final Speech at the European Parliament (Video)
- Real Estate Developer: Why I Value my Properties Conservatively
- “In Aggregate,” Consumers Are Doing Pretty Good, But America’s Vast Income Disparity Skew the Data
January 2020
- Global Slowdown, Internal Issues Hit Mexico: GDP Drops for First Time Since 2009
- Student Enrollment Dropped 11% Since 2011, Student-Loan Balances Surged 74%. Why?
- US GDP Rose by $850 Billion in 2019 as US National Debt Surged by $1.2 Trillion. Debt-to-GDP Ratio Hit 108%
- Tesla’s Revenues +2%, Auto Revenue +0.7%. Net Income Plunges 25%. Without “Regulatory Credits,” it Would Have Lost $28 Million. Annual Loss Hits $862 Million. Shares Spike 12%
- What Happens When Investors Stop Fueling Cash-Burn Machines: At MoviePass Parent, Everything Goes to Zero
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, January Update
- Ring Doorbell App Packed with Third-Party Trackers to Surveil its Own Customers
- Startup Unicorn Casper Sets IPO Price Range to Dish Out 36% Loss to Prior Investors
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What’s Behind the Screwed-Up Student Loan Fiasco?
- Gift Turns into Kafkaesque Ordeal: How My Two WOLF STREET Beer Mugs “Were Disappeared” in Spanish Customs
- Tesla’s Global Deliveries Compared to the Top 10: Volkswagen, Toyota, GM, Ford, Honda, FCA, Mercedes… Here’s the Chart
- Australian Construction Giant CIMIC Writes Off Disastrous Arabian Adventure, After Being Bludgeoned over Opaque Debts
- Fed’s Repos Drop to Oct Level, T-Bills Surge, But MBS Fall, and Total Assets Decline Further
- Union Pacific Cut 17% of its Workers, Will Cut 8% in 2020. Revenue Fell 9.5%, Income 10%. Bought Back $5.8 Bn in Shares. Stock Hits New High
- The Great American Shale Oil & Gas Bust: Fracking Gushes Bankruptcies, Defaulted Debt, and Worthless Shares
- Housing Bubble 2 in San Francisco & Silicon Valley Has Lost its Mojo. Why?
- Housing Blues in the Heart of California’s “Wine Country”
- What to Do with Malls? Teetering UK Mall Giant Intu Asks Investors for £1 Billion. Shares Drop to Near-Nothing
- After Blowing $43 Bn on Share-Buybacks in 6 Years, Boeing Scrambles to Borrow $10 Bn, on Top of a $9.5 Bn Credit Line in Oct, to Fund its 737 MAX Fiasco
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Housing Bubble 2 in San Francisco & Silicon Valley Lost its Mojo. Why?
- Where the Heck is “Kitten Lopez?”
- Brick-and-Mortar Melts Down in the UK, Worst Decline Since 2009, as Big Retailers Collapsed, 14,500 Stores Closed
- Railroad Pain: CSX Revenues Fall Below 2014. Workforce -7%. But Hey, $3.4 Billion in Share Buybacks
- Tesla, Hit by Sagging US Sales, Goes Full-China with Design Center, Loans & Factory
- US Freight Shipments Plunge at Fastest Rate since 2009, Hit 2011 Level: This is Getting Surprisingly Ugly
- Nutty Bond Wonderland in Europe Just Reached New Heights of Madness
- US Demand for Electricity Declined in 2019 & Stagnated for a Decade, but 2020 Capacity Additions Are Wild
- EQT, Giant Natural Gas Producer, Takes $1.8 Billion Write-Down, Admits it Can’t Succeed in Low-Price Shale-Gas Environment
- 32 Misinformation Schemes & Other Tactics Used by Wall Street, Corporate America & the Media, as Pointed Out Hilariously by WOLF STREET Commenters
- China’s Consumers Slam Automakers, Sales Drop Hard, 2nd Year. GM Sales Plunge. Ford Sales Collapse. But Luxury is Hot
- Fed Pays $35 Billion to Banks, $6 Billion to Reverse-Repo Counterparties in Interest for 2019, Remits $55 billion to US Treasury
- It’s Time to Pay Attention to Commercial & Industrial Loans
- US Auto Imports from Mexico Hit Record, but Mexico’s Global Auto Exports Fall for First Time since 2009
- The Wall Street Journal (and Other Media) Should Stop Lying About Repos
- Fed Drains $45 Billion from Repo Market, back to Oct Level. T-Bill Purchases Continue. Assets Shrink by Most Since QT
- How Much Money Have Folks Already Lost Who Bought that Negative-Yielding 30-Year German Government Bond last August?
- Average Mileage on “Rental Risk” Vehicles Sold to Used Car Market Spikes. But Prices Soar Too. What Gives?
- Truckers Take “Wait and See Approach”: Equipment Orders, After Having Plunged, Stall at Low Levels
- Australia’s New-Vehicle Sales Drop to Lowest Since 2011
- Brick & Mortar Meltdown at the Movies: Neither Extra-Comfy Chairs Nor Bars Can Reverse the Trend
- US New Car & Truck Sales in 2019 Fell Below Year 2000 Level, 3rd Year in a Row Below 2016 Peak
- 2020, Already the Year of Zombie Airlines
- Carmageddon Spreads to Canada
- More ECB Bond Holdings Get in Trouble: Infrastructure Giant Atlantia, Infamous for Collapsed Genoa Bridge, Could Lose its Core Business
- Manufacturing Employment, New Orders & Production Fall Fastest Since Apr-Aug 2009
- What the Fed Did to Calm Year-End Hissy-Fit of its Crybaby Cronies on Wall Street
- Status of US Dollar as Global Reserve Currency v. Euro, Yen, Chinese Renminbi, & Others
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, Dec. Update
2019 602
December 2019
- I, Who Vowed to Never-Ever Short Stocks Again, Just Shorted the Entire Market
- How Ratings Agencies Inflate Credit Ratings to Get Deals & Fees
- Six of My Predictions in 2019 and How They’ve Fared
- Dallas Fed Outlines Somber Oil & Gas Industry, “Flaring” of Natural Gas Comes into Focus
- The Costs of Surviving in Ecommerce
- How Amazon Gains Control & Domination
- What Options Do Mall Landlords Have When Brick & Mortar Retail Melts Down on Them?
- Turmoil in the Heavy-Truck Market as Seen by a Truck Dealer
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: How Amazon Gains Control & Domination
- Young People Still Crushed by Housing Bust, Banking & Economic Crisis: Bank of Spain
- Below-the-Surface Struggles in Manhattan Housing Bust Seep to the Surface
- US Freight Shipments Fall Below 2014 Level. Answers Emerge
- First Central Bank Exits Negative Interest Rates
- Four Banks & Three Tech Companies Blow $56 Billion in Q3 to Prop up Their Own Shares
- Here’s What Gets Me about the Fed’s Warnings of “Excesses and Imbalances that Are Hard to Deal with Later”
- College Enrollment Skids for 8th Year in a Row in 2019, But Student Loans Skyrocket. What Gives?
- Mall Shooting Highlights Folly of AAA-Rating of CMBS Backed by a Single Mega-Mall
- My “Pickup Truck Price Index” Crushes “CPI for New Vehicles”
- The State of the Canadian Debt Slaves, How They Compare to American Debt Slaves, and the Bank of Canada’s Response
- REITs Pull Back from Housing Market in Spain as Rental Boom Runs Out of Gas
- This is How the Biggest Sector of the US Economy Is Doing
- Is the Corporate-Debt Bubble Ripe Yet?
- Brick & Mortar Meltdown Manhattan Style: Lenders Foreclose on Times Square Tower whose Six Retail Floors are 90% Vacant
- The Chilling Thing Subprime Retailer Conn’s Said About the Sudden Deterioration in New Accounts
- PayPal, Western Union Named & Shamed for Overcharging the Most on Money Transfers to Mexico
- I Just Dealt with a “Security Freeze,” the Most Effective Tool for Credit Security: It’s Become Super-Easy & Free, after the Equifax Hack Two Years Ago
- Accounting Fraud & Freight Recession Topple Celadon, Largest Truckload-Carrier Bankruptcy in US History
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Is the Corporate-Debt Bubble Ripe Yet?
- When Losses Don’t Matter: How Japanese Conglomerate Mitsubishi Blows Billions on a Jet Nobody Really Wants
- What’s Driving the Decline in the Goods-Based Sector, After the Boom of 2018?
- Fed Goes Hog-Wild with T-Bills, But Repos Drop from a Month Ago, and MBS Shrink by $22 Bn
- US Targets Wage-Repression Model in Mexico, Demands Inspections, Industry Has a Cow
- What Worries me About “Hedonic Quality Adjustments”
- Inflation Is Coming: All the Trends That Were Deflationary Are Slowly Going in Reverse
- Another UK Mutual Fund Leaves Investors Twisting in the Wind
- Trucking “Thrives on Stability, But We’re Now on a Rocky Road”
- HNA Gets Chopped Up, its Many Airlines Buckle & Get Bailouts to Dodge Messy Collapse, but its Hong Kong Airlines?
- Crude Oil Could Fall to $40 if OPEC+ Fails to Deepen Cuts
- US Manufacturing Stuck in Dour Mood, After the Boom Last Year
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What Worries me About “Hedonic Quality Adjustments”
November 2019
- Another Negative-Interest-Rate Central Bank Laments What Negative Interest Rates Have Wrought
- Momentous Change in US Crude Oil Market, with Global Impact
- Over-Indebted European Telecom Giant Tries to Dump its Latin American Empire
- What’s Behind the Subprime Consumer Loan Implosion?
- Brick & Mortar Rent Meltdown, Manhattan Style
- Despite Startup Millionaires, the Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America Deflate. Crushed Markets Scramble Higher
- After Years of Threats, Schwab Joins Exodus, to Move Headquarters from San Francisco to Texas
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What’s Behind the Subprime Consumer Loan Implosion?
- Fracking Blows Up Investors Again: Phase 2 of the Great American Shale Oil & Gas Bust
- Brick & Mortar Melts Down as Ecommerce Jumps by Most Ever
- Negative Interest Rates Bite: Bundesbank Warns of Risks to Financial Stability, Moody’s Downgrades Outlook for German Banks
- Chinese Stock Collapses 98% in Hours After MSCI Flip-Flops: How Index Providers Saddle US Pension Funds with Stock Scams
- The Fed Slaps Down Negative Interest Rates
- Fed Switches from Mid-Cycle “Adjustment” to Wait-and-See, Pending “Material Reassessment” of its Economic Outlook
- Fear of “Reversal Rates” Sets in, Says the Fed
- Canada’s Most Splendid Housing Bubbles v. Its Other Markets, October Update
- US National Debt Spiked by $1.3 Trillion in 12 Months, to $23 Tn. But Who Bought This Pile of Treasury Securities?
- I’m Just the Little Guy Between the Boots of Giants, but WOLF STREET has a Fairly Big Readership Now (for a little guy) and I Thank All of You for It
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Fear of “Reversal Rates” Sets in, Says the Fed
- As Bad Loans Explode in Turkey, Government Tries to Recreate Debt-Fueled Boom that Led to its Financial & Currency Crisis
- Meals on Broken Wheels: Uber Eats, GrubHub, DoorDash & Postmates
- US Freight Shipments Skid Below 2014 Level, Hit by the Slowdown in Industrial, Manufacturing & Construction
- Is SoftBank’s Bailout of WeWork Already in Trouble?
- Screwed Investors Still Stuck in Woodford’s Imploded Mutual Fund Get a Glimpse of Their Losses
- The Holy-Cow Moment for Subprime Auto Loans; Serious Delinquencies Blow Out
- Mexico’s Cancelled $13-Billion Zombie-Airport Refuses to Die
- How the Fed Boosts the 1%: Even the Upper Middle Class Loses Share of Household Wealth to the 1%. Bottom Half Gets Screwed
- Swiss National Bank’s Monetary Racket, US Stock Holdings & the Wild Ride of its Own Shares
- Murky Business of Chinese Merchandise on Amazon’s US Site
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: How the Fed Boosts the 1%, as Told by the Fed
- Negative Yielding Bonds Turn into Punishment Bonds
- The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q3 2019
- Fed Goes Nuts with Repos & T-Bills but Sheds Mortgage Backed Securities
- What’s Going on in the Used Cars & Trucks v. Carmageddon?
- Months After Takeover, European Supermarket Giant Dia Discloses Huge Losses, Plunging Revenues, Soaring Debt
- Where You Pay the Mostest and Get Approved the Leastest, so to Speak: Mortgage Rates, Fees & Denial Rates Differ Bigly by State
- What’s Behind the Fed’s Bailout of the Repo Market?
- Yield Curve Un-Inverts, 10-Year Yield Spikes, Middle-Age Sag Disappears
- What Heavy Trucks Are Saying
- Leveraged-Loan Downgrades Spike, Collateralized Loan Obligations Get Cold Feet, Selloff in B-Rated Loans Ensues
- Uber Loses Another $1.2 billion, Stock Dives Again
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What’s Behind the Fed’s Bailout of the Repo Market?
- US National Debt Passed $23 Trillion, Jumped $1.3 Trillion in 12 Months
- Manufacturing in the US vs. China, Germany, Japan, South Korea
- Panama Canal: Slowdown in US-Asia/China Trade?
- Rents Fall Southern California, Seattle, Miami, San Francisco, San Jose, Chicago, Honolulu & Others
October 2019
- Global Slowdown? Mexico’s GDP Declines Year-Over-Year for First Time Since 2009
- What Will Stocks Do When “Consensual Hallucination” Ends?
- Dallas, Minneapolis, Chicago, Charlotte, Atlanta, Detroit, Cleveland: From Smaller Housing Bubbles to Crushed Markets
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, October Update
- Tesla Discloses US Revenues Collapsed 39%. Americans Sour on its Cars, Pent-Up Demand Exhausted
- “Run on the Fund”: The Big Risk of Bond Mutual Funds. What to Look For and What to Do
- Redemptions Rip Through UK Equity Funds as Fallout from Woodford Collapse Grows
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What Will Stocks Do When “Consensual Hallucination” Ends
- The Crisis in Catalonia & What I Saw in Our Neighborhood in Barcelona
- Subprime Auto Loans Blow Up, 60-Day Delinquencies Shoot Past Financial Crisis Peak
- SoftBank to Book Loss of up to $7 Billion on WeWork, Uber, Others, after Showering $1.7 Billion on Neumann and Hanging his Employees Out to Dry
- Despite Ultra-Low Mortgage Rates, New House Prices Drop to Multi-Year Low
- “It’s Different This Time” Takes Root in the Junk-Bond Market Amid Parallels to Post-Lehman 2008
- Here’s What I’m Worried About with the Everything Bubble
- Why Online Shoppers Face Peculiar Results on Black Friday
- Oilfield Services Face Crisis as Shale Slowdown Worsens
- Cash-Flow Zombie Netflix Extracts Another $2 Billion from Befuddled Investors. Here’s How it Tricks Up its Earnings
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Here’s What I’m Worried About with the Everything Bubble
- Canada’s Most Splendid Housing Bubbles v. its Other Markets, September Update
- Another Chinese Mega-Construction Project in California Is Halted, this one in San Francisco. List of Troubled or Scuttled Chinese Projects in California Grows
- There Are a Couple of Things Not Coming Together Here
- Housing Bubble in Silicon Valley & San Francisco Bay Area Turns to Bust Despite Low Mortgage Rates & Startup Millionaires
- Braindead or Willfully Manipulative? How the Media Reported Retail Sales
- Why Banks Didn’t Lend to the Repo Market When Rates Blew Out: JPMorgan CEO Dimon
- JPMorgan, BofA, Citi, Barclays, Deutsche Bank, BBVA, Santander Accused of Rigging Government Bond Auctions in Mexico. Bank of Mexico Implicated
- Dual-Track Economy: Slowdown in Industrial Sectors Hits Truckers & Railroads. But Consumers Are Still Buying Stuff
- The WOLF STREET Beer Mugs Are Here
- Without the Outliers, Inflation Is Running Hot. Fed Has Started Mentioning these Measures in the Minutes
- Will Social Security Be There for You? Status of the Social Security Trust Fund in Fiscal 2019
- Just Weeks After the Collapse of Thomas Cook, Spain Launches First Bailout of its Huge Tourism Industry
- Global Air Freight Sinks into Longest Recession since 2008
- 10-Year Yield Jumps, Yield Curve Steepens, on Fed’s Plan to Buy $60 Billion a Month, But Only Short-Term Treasury Bills
- How the Crybabies on Wall Street Try to Force the Fed into QE-4
- Carmageddon for General Motors in China: Q3 Sales Collapse 30% from 2 Years Ago
- Twitter “Unintentionally” Used Your Phone Number for Targeted Advertising
- The Day When Repo Rates Blew Out: Fed Recounts a Fiasco that Occurred as the FOMC Was Meeting, and How it Reacted
- Fed Didn’t See Economic Reasons to Cut Rates, Admits Cutting for Other Reasons: My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter”
- How the SoftBank Scheme Rips Open the Startup Bubble
- When Was Peak-Insanity of the Unicorn-Startup Bubble That’s Now Imploding?
- Sticker Shock & Hedonic Quality Adjustments: How Much Have New-Car Prices Really Risen over Three Decades?
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: How the SoftBank Scheme Rips Open the Tech Bubble
- GM, Ford, BMW, VW, Honda Shift More Production to Mexico. Auto Imports Surge Despite Decline in US Sales
- WeWork CMBS Cause Jitters, Bonds Hit Record Low
- Repos Boost Fed’s Assets by $181 Billion
- Orders of Heavy Trucks Collapse, Layoffs Start
- Carmageddon for Tesla in Q3, GM Pulls Out All Stops, Ford Withers, Auto Sales at 1999-2000 Level
- Low & Negative Interest Rates Get Broadsided by the BIS
- IPOs Crash & Burn, Debris Hits Housing, Office Markets
- US Gross National Debt Jumps by $1.2 Trillion in Fiscal 2019, to $22.7 Trillion, Hits 106.5% of GDP
- Tariff-Front-Running Hits US Manufacturing, after Causing Biggest Surge since 2004
- US Dollar Status as Global Reserve Currency Slides
September 2019
- Silicon Valley Is Slowing, Whether for a Quick Breather or Extended Time-Out, I Have No Idea (Guessing the Latter)
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: IPOs Crash & Burn, Debris Hits Housing, Office Markets
- Treasury’s Weak Denial Acts as Confirmation: US Weighs Crackdown on Capital Flows to Chinese Companies, Stocks & Bonds, Listed in the US or China
- Rents in the USA: from the Priciest ZIP Codes to the Cheapest
- Metro Bank Teeters after Bond Sale Fails. Shares Collapsed 95%
- Nearly out of Cash, WeWork Shifts into Shrink & Survive Mode
- Miami Real Estate Is About To Collapse… This is About Condos, and it Would Be Funny if it Weren’t so Serious
- How Employees & Employers Get Bled by Health Insurance
- Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles & Crushed Markets in America, September Update
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, Sep. Update
- The September Airline Massacre in Europe
- Altria Rues the Day it Plowed $13 Billion into Super-Unicorn Juul
- Thomas Cook Collapses, up to 600,000 Travelers Stranded in Hotel & Airline Chaos, Triggers “Biggest Peacetime Repatriation in UK History”
- Asset Class of Vintage Cars Drops into Bear Market, Down by More than in 2008/2009
- Use of “Hidden Debt Loophole” Spreads Among Australian Corporations
- Fed Admits Failure of ‘Plan A’ to Control Money Market Rates, Shifts Back to Repos (which was ‘Plan A’ till 2008)
- Unstoppable Negative Yields Suddenly Become Stoppable
- Canada’s Most Splendid Housing Bubbles, August Update: Vancouver Spirals Lower
- Interest Rate Derivatives Trading Explodes to $6.5 Trillion/Day
- Fed’s Powell: No Negative Interest Rates at Next Crisis
- Foreign Exchange Trading Soars to $6.6 Trillion a Day, US Dollar is Total King
- Debt-Wracked Chinese Companies Dump US & Other Foreign Assets, Become Net Sellers Overseas for First Time
- Drama in the Oil Markets, But This Isn’t 2007 Anymore
- How Currency Controls Affect Doing Businesses in Argentina
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Snapback Bloodletting in the Overripe Bond Market
- Light at End of Tunnel or Oncoming Train for the Goods-Based Economy?
- The Unemployed Shadow Labor Force
- WeWork IPO, the Straw that Breaks the Stock Market’s Back? Valuation Plunged by up to 79%
- Who’ll Rescue Thomas Cook, the Collapsing Vacation-Travel-Airline Giant with 21,000 Employees?
- Palace Revolt at the ECB, Legitimacy of Policy out the Window
- “Core” Inflation Rises Most Since Sep 2008, Powered by Services and Now Even the Peculiar Case of Durable Goods
- What to Do About the Student-Loan Fiasco: Is “Debt Forgiveness” Really the Answer?
- Why Argentina Will Never Dollarize
- Men’s “Real” Earnings Below 1973 Level: Census Bureau
- Used-Car Market Profits from Carmageddon. For Many Americans, New Cars Cost Too Much
- Here Are Photos of Some of the Dilapidated Equipment San Francisco Wants to Buy from Bankrupt PG&E for $2.5 billion
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: What to Do About the Student-Loan Fiasco?
- Delinquency Rates of Student-Housing CMBS Spike
- Contagion from Liquidity Crunch at Junk-Bond Funds to Trigger “Material Second Round Effects”: EU Securities Regulator
- The Financialization of the US Economy
- Fed Sheds $20 Billion in Assets in August, Relentlessly Sloughs Off MBS, Adds Some Treasuries, Starts Shift to Short-Term T-Bills
- Orders for Heavy Trucks Plunged 80% in August
- These Incidents Raise New Questions about the Security & Operability of the Banking System in Mexico
- Here’s What I’m Worried About. And It’s Not a Recession
- Bank of Mexico Raises Alarm About Mexico’s Economy
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Here’s What I’m Worried About, and It’s Not a Recession
August 2019
- My Dream is to Become a Farmer (Ha!)
- China Imposes New Capital Controls, Targets Foreign Real Estate Purchases, as Yuan Falls to 11-Year Low
- Negative Yields Not Required: Even “Low” Interest Rates Screw Up the Economy
- From Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles to Crushed Markets in America, August Update
- The Airline Fiasco in Argentina as Peso Collapses and New Plan Goes Awry
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, August Update: West Coast Markets “See the Dip”
- Lenders Fear Ascena with 3,519 Stores May File for Bankruptcy: Source
- Woodford’s Shuttered Fund Crushed Further by Plunging Stocks in its Holdings, such as Muddy-Waters Target Burford Capital
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: How Even “Low” Interest Rates Screw Up the Economy
- World Trade Skids for First Time Since Financial Crisis
- Liquidity Crunch Mangles UK Equity & Real Estate Funds
- Near-Record Low Mortgage Rates No Relief for Dropping New House Prices
- Suddenly Leveraged Loan Issuance Gets Rough
- Repo Market Problems & Ballooning Inventories of Treasuries at Primary Dealers Make it into the Fed’s Minutes. My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter” Jumps
- How Negative Interest Rates Screw Up the Economy
- Canada’s Most Splendid Housing Bubbles, July Update
- How the Ecommerce Boom Crushes “Mall Retailers” One by One
- HSBC Runs into Buzzsaw in Hong Kong & China, its Home Market Generating 75% of its Profits
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: How Negative Interest Rates Screw Up the Economy
- US National Debt Spiked $363 billion in Two Weeks, $1 Trillion in 12 months. But Who Bought This Pile of Treasury Securities?
- Freight Shipments Suffer Steepest Drops since Financial Crisis, Overcapacity Balloons
- It Starts: First Truck Maker Cuts Production
- Housing Bubble 2 in San Francisco Bay Area & Silicon Valley Pops Despite Startup Millionaires & Low Mortgage Rates
- Argentina Crisis Slaps Foreign Banks & Companies Operating in the Country
- In Hilarious IPO Filing, WeWork Dreams of $3 Trillion in Revenue But Has Billions in Losses. Red-Ink Massacre to Come in 2nd Half
- Fuel for the Next Mortgage Bust?
- Subprime Auto Loans Blow Up, Delinquencies at 2009 Level, Biggest 12-Month Surge Since 2010
- Inflation Data Shows Tariffs Are Not a Tax on Consumers but on Foreign & US Corporations
- Brain-Dead Investors Get Crapped on Again by Argentina
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Fuel for the Next Mortgage Bust?
- Why Have Global Semiconductor Sales Plunged & Gotten Stuck at These Levels for 5 Months Now?
- Brick & Mortar Meltdown’s Ugly Week in Record-Ugly Year
- One of World’s Construction Giants Admits Using Risky Hidden-Debt Loophole “Across Group.” Australian Subsidiary Crushed
- How Can a Company Lose $5.2 Billion on $3.2 Billion in Revenue? Uber Shows How
- Is the Everything Bubble Ripe Yet?
- The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q2 2019
- Trade War Effect: Video-Game Console Makers Microsoft, Sony & Nintendo Prepare to Move Production out of China
- Financial World Gone Nuts: $15 Trillion Negative Yielding Debt
- Investor Sentiment Goes to Heck After Draghi’s Easing Promise
- What Plunging Global Semiconductor Sales Just Said about Autos, IT & How the Economy Reacts to Uncertainties
- Oil Price Correction Triggers Shale Meltdown
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Is the Everything Bubble Ripe Yet?
- Heavy-Truck Orders Collapse Stunning 81%. Lowest Since 2010
- Hottest, Most Expensive Rental Markets Unwind
- UK Auto Production Plunges to 7-Year Low on Slumping Global Demand & “No Deal” Brexit Fears
- The Biggie that Used to Be Strong: Nonresidential Construction Spending Suddenly Sags
- From Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles to Crushed Markets in America, July Update
July 2019
- Two Fed Governors Defy Wall Street, the Media & Trump. Eight Buckle: Powell Tries to Explain, Confusingly Throws “Couple of Rate Hikes” into Mix. Stocks Tank
- The Giant Sucking Sound of Financial Repression
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, July Update: Year-Over-Year Declines Spread to Seattle
- ECB’s NIRP-Forever Policy “Destroys Banks’ Profitability Equation”: Bankia CEO. Spanish Banks Reel. Problems Stack Up
- Fake Cash & Fake Accounting: Chinese Regulators Suddenly Halt 46 IPOs and Bond Offerings
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: The Giant Sucking Sound of Financial Repression
- Hit by Epic Construction Downturn, Mexico Faces Reality: New President Tries to Get Folks to Play by the Rules, and Everything Stalls
- The Companies with the Most Debt in America
- I Hope the Fed Won’t See This: Red-Hot Consumer Spending Powers GDP Growth
- World Trade in Face of Tariffmageddon, Trade Wars & Manufacturing Slowdown
- I Got it, Nothing Matters. Tesla, Boeing, Other Stocks: It’s Like the Whole Market Has Gone Nuts
- Up to Their Neck in Inventory, Homebuilders Cut Prices to November 2015 Level to Boost Sales
- Californians Sour on Tesla Model S and Model X
- Ultra-Low Mortgage Rates No Relief for Home Sales
- Who Holds the $3.2 Trillion in “Leveraged Loans” and CLOs?
- Canada’s Most Splendid Housing Bubbles, June Update
- Is Digital Bling Propping up China’s Stock Market?
- WOLF STREET Beer Mugs Are Coming. Here’s the Design for the Soon-Infamous “Nothing Goes to Heck in a Straight Line” Mug
- I’m in Awe of How Long Zombies Like J.C. Penney Keep Getting New Money to Burn. But Bankruptcy Beckons
- Another UK Fund Just Slammed its Doors Shut on Investors
- Housing Bubble 2 Lost its Mojo in the San Francisco Bay Area: House Prices Drop 8%
- US Home Purchases by Chinese, Other Foreigners Plunge Below 2012 Level. And the (for me) Chilling “Chinese Reaction” to it from the Largest Chinese Portal for US Homes for Sale
- London Housing Bust: Prices Fall, Sales Plunge to 2009 Level
- The Victims of Inflation
- Everything’s Fine Until Suddenly it Isn’t: How a “Leveraged Loan” Blows Up
- “Transportation Recession” Gets Uglier
- Fracking in California is About to Get a Lot More Difficult
- Not Helpful for Crushed European Bank Stocks: Stress Test a Sham, European Court of Auditors Warns
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: The Victims of Inflation
- My Advice to the Fed on “Low Inflation”: Use a Different Index for Crying Out Loud and Tell the BLS to be Less Aggressive with “Hedonic Quality Adjustments”
- “Where the American Dream Goes to Die”: Changes in House Prices, Rents, and Incomes since 1960 by Region & Metro
- Liquidity Crisis at Woodford Equity Fund Is Symptomatic of Systemic Problem, Bank of England Warns
- China Auto Sales Spiral Down, But This Time It’s Different: Government Refuses to Bail Them Out with Big-Fat Incentives
- With all this Money Printing, Where’s the Huge Inflation?
- Vehicle Sales Plunge amid India’s Shadow-Bank Debt Crisis & Contagion Fears
- What My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter” Says About the Fed’s Next Rate Move
- In Escalation of Trade War With Switzerland, EU Risks Balkanizing Europe’s Financial Markets
- Negative-Yielding Junk Bonds Have Arrived in Europe
- Truck Makers Are Going to Have to Fess Up Soon
- Update on the Worsening Housing Bust in Vancouver, Canada: Spring Hopes Got Crushed
- Liquidity Fears Hit Other UK “Equity Funds” as Investors Remain Trapped in Woodford Fund
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: After All This Money Printing, Where’s the Huge Inflation?
- Boeing, Airbus and Airline Overcapacity in Asia & Europe
- Fed Sheds $38 Billion in Treasuries and MBS in June, Dumps MBS at Record Pace, Exceeding “Cap” for First Time
- UK Auto Sales Drop to Five-Year Low in First Half
- I Just Hope the Fed Doesn’t See This Jobs Report
- When the Music of the “Wealth Effect” Stops
- New-Vehicle Sales Fall to 1999 Levels: How to Grow Revenues After 20 Years of Stagnation (Yup, You Guessed It)
- Trucking is Infamously Cyclical, But This is a Tad Extreme
- Bank of Japan Stealth-Tapers Further
- Apartment Rents Fall in Seattle, Southern California, New York, Oakland, San Jose, Chicago, Honolulu
- And the US Dollar’s Status as Global Reserve Currency?
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: When the Music of the “Wealth Effect” Stops
June 2019
- Why Investors Call any Business Dominated by a Tech Giant the “Kill Zone”
- Average Miles Driven per Vehicle Drop to 1992 Level: Automakers Not Amused
- Markets Might Hafta Grapple with “Patient”: Fed Rate Cut in July After This Inflation?
- This is What Happened Next After Special Interests at U.C., Berkeley Retrieved their Power
- Average Age of Vehicles Sets Record, New-Vehicle Sales Drop to Where They Were 20 Years Ago. What Are Automakers Doing?
- The Fed’s Stealth Stimulus Has Arrived
- From Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles to Crushed Markets in America, June Update
- What if They Run Out of Juice: Biggest Share-Buyback Queens
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: First Year-Over-Year Drops Since Housing Bust 1
- California Panics about Losing Businesses and People (to Texas): What the Housing Market Fears Most is Cropping Up in the Data
- Federal Disability Policy Poses Insidious Problems for Disabled People Who Want to Generate Income
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Stealth Stimulus Has Arrived
- Latest Act in the Crisis of the Enormous Korean Shipbuilders
- Crude Steel Production: China Knocks the Socks off Rest of the World
- Turkish Financial Crisis Hammers Home Sales & Mortgages
- Bring on Higher Oil Prices: They’ll Boost the US Economy. Powell Sees it Too. A New Experience for the US
- What Powell Really Said about the Economy and What Would Trigger a Rate Cut
- Brick-and-Mortar Meltdown Gets Costly for Big Retailers, and Results May Vary
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada, May Update
- No, Rate Cuts Were Not Discussed: ECB Insiders Out Draghi as Fabricator & Schemer, and Talk to Reuters
- Trucking Swerves Deep into Slump, from Red-Hot Boom. Smaller Truckers Hit Hardest
- Cesspool of Corruption Odebrecht Files for Bankruptcy, Largest Ever in Latin American History
- Who Bought the Nearly $1 Trillion of New US Government Debt over the Past 12 Months?
- Bad Loans Still Too High at Eurozone Banks, ECB Warns
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Inspired by Deutsche Bank Death Spiral, European Banks Sink to Dec 24, 2018 Level – First Seen in 1995
- My Perspective on the Murk of Official Retail-Sales Inflation, with Some Surprising Illustrations
- The State of the Canadian Debt Slaves, and How They Compare to the American Debt Slaves
- UK Government Blew Billions on “Help to Buy” Scheme that Enriched Home Builders and Drove Up Home Prices. Taxpayers on the Hook When Prices Sink, New Report Warns
- Walmart’s Desperate $3.3 Billion Acquisition of Jet.com Fails. But it Now Discloses its US Online Sales, and They’re Big
- The Fed Calls it “Collateral Stripping.” These PE Firms Took it to the Next Level and Just Got Away With It
- “The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart
- About this Biggest Plunge Since 2002 in Manufacturing in the UK
- Was this the Very Minute of Peak-Insanity in IPO Stocks?
- The Countries with the Most Monstrous Corporate Debt Pileups: US Fizzles in 24th Place! Canada Shines in 11th Place
- Used-Car Wholesale Prices Surge, Retail Volume Drops. New Cars Sink Deeper into Carmageddon
- A ‘’Gusher Of Red Ink’’ for US Shale
- Amazon Gets Booted by FedEx
- Fitch Cuts Pemex to Junk, on Track for Largest “Fallen Angel” in History. Cuts Mexico to Near Junk
- Fed Balance Sheet Drops by $42 Billion in May, Sheds MBS at Fastest Pace, Starts the Reverse of Operation Twist
- Here’s My Prediction: If the Fed Doesn’t Cut Rates 3 or 4 Times by Dec 11, Markets Are Going to Crap
- The Gas Flaring Crisis in the US Oil Patch
- What Collapsing Orders for Heavy Trucks – Down 71% from a Year Ago – Say about the U-Turn in Trucking
- Crucial US Service Sector Growth Sends Conflicting Signals
- Another UK Outsourcing Giant Teeters, Collapsed Shares Add to Woes of Woodford Fund that Just Froze Withdrawals
- Global Semiconductor Sales Plunge 24% from Peak, Deepest % Plunge since Financial Crisis, Deepest $ Plunge Ever. Here’s Why
- Treasury Market Acts Like the Economy is in a Death Spiral, But Wait…
- FANGMAN Stocks Crushed by Potential “Unprecedented, Wide-Ranging Probe” into Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon
- US Cleanest Dirty Shirt Among Manufacturing Giants: Germany at Crisis Level. China, Japan, South Korea Contract
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- The Engines of Large Airliners and the Costly Challenges Manufacturers Face
- Dow 25,000! Oops…
May 2019
- American Consumers Prop Up the Economy. Wall Street Clamors for Multiple Rate Cuts. Fed Blows Off Wall Street
- Yield-Curve Spaghetti: “Middle-Age Sag” Gets Fatter, May Serve Up Surprises
- “Largest Foreign Bribery Case in History” Claims New Scalp: Former Pemex CEO
- OK, I Get it, Markets Have Gone Nuts: Junk-Bonds Are in Party Mood, Treasuries Clamor for Doom & Rate Cuts
- From Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles to Crushed Markets in America in 9 Charts
- Italian Banks Are At It Again, Shares Re-Crushed
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Seasonal Upticks Too Small
- How a Low Share Price Would be Fatal for Tesla, and Why Musk Has to Pump It Up, Come Hell or High Water
- Busted Housing Bubble 1 Morphs into Housing Bubble 2 in Spain?
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- US-Traded Chinese Stocks & ADRs Totally Crushed, Many by 50% or 60% or More
- Lousy Durable Goods Data Sink GDP Forecasts for Q2
- Here’s How I think E-Commerce Is Wiping Out Brick & Mortar
- Suddenly US Service-Sector Growth Dives, Manufacturing Gets Even Weaker
- My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter.” And the Fed Says It’ll be “Patient” with Rate Cuts, Even at “Low Inflation”
- Subprime Profit-Machine Hiccups: Credit-Card Charge-Offs Rise Across Banking System
- US Home Sales Drop, Drop, Drop Despite Lower Mortgage Rates. But Mortgage Applications Jump. What Gives?
- Jaguar Land Rover Books its Biggest-Ever Annual Loss. Sales Collapse in China
- Deutsche Bank Death Spiral Hits Historic Low. European Banks Get Re-Hammered
- Carmageddon Sinks Tesla’s Bonds
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- This Is What Happens When Retailer Asks Landlord for a Rent Reduction
- E-Commerce Crushes Mall Retailers One by One. Here’s the Data
- What Should We Make of the Global Slowdown in Manufacturing?
- How Did the US Service Sector Do in Q1?
- Vacation Giant & Airline Thomas Cook Verges on Collapse
- Brick & Mortar Meltdown, Manhattan Style
- UK Banks Double Down on High-Risk Mortgage Products to Prop Up Housing Market
- Subprime Bites: Auto-Loan Delinquencies Spike to Q3 2009 Level, Despite Strongest Labor Market in Years
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada Deflate Further
- Trucking & Rail Shipments Sink as US Goods-Based Sector Slows
- Amazon Butts in on Google-Facebook “Duopoly” in the Huge Business of Internet Advertising. Publishers Hung Out to Dry
- After Shares Collapse, Mini Bank-Run Begins as UK Lender Counts Cost of Broken Trust
- Nasdaq Drops 6.3% in 6 Days, as Uber & Lyft IPOs Turn into Colossal Flops. S&P 500 Chart Not Pretty
- Boeing, Airbus Carve up Embraer & Bombardier, Chinese Aircraft Makers Still Learning the Ropes
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- QE Party Over, Bank of Japan Stealth-Tapers Further
- Inflation by City, from Hot to Cool, from San Francisco to Chicago
- Veil Over Money Laundering in Real Estate Lifted in BC, Canada
- House Flipper Zillow Lost $109K (37%) Per Flip, Net Loss Triples, Shares Soar
- In July, I Stuck My Neck Out to See a Housing Market Turning Point in San Francisco Bay Area’s Sonoma County: Here’s an Update on My Neck
- US Senator Aims at Big Gaming, Tries to Ban “Loot Boxes” & “Pay-to-Win,” Puts $50 Billion in Revenues at Risk. Here’s How Gamers Reacted
- Fed Launches ‘Rate Peg Instead of QE’ Trial Balloon for Next Crisis
- Perhaps It’s Time to Start Worrying About Global Corporate Debt, Suggests Bank of England
- The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q1 2019
- While I Was Away from My Desk, Dow Drops 473 Points
- Businesses in “Critical Distress,” Bankruptcies Surge in the UK
- Vancouver Housing Bust Steepens, Bank of Canada Welcomes “Froth” Coming Off
- Manufacturing and Services Out of Sync, Not Just in the US
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Trucking Skids into Downturn after Phenomenal Boom
- Ad-Free Subscription Option of WOLF STREET? I Need Feedback. And the San Francisco WOLF STREET Meetup Photos Are Here
- More Airline Woes: Avianca Brazil Gets Dismembered, Korea’s Asiana Airlines Gets Taxpayer Bailout, Air India Gets Rumors of Default
- Fed’s QE Unwind Continues at Full Speed in April
- Update on the Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles & Crushed Markets in America
- Global Foreign Direct Investment Flows Collapse
- Construction Spending Turns South, Driven by Big Drops in Residential & Retail
April 2019
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, April Update
- Did Someone Turn Off the Spigot? Global Semiconductor Sales Plunge Most Since the Financial Crisis
- Tesla Discloses Record Pollution Credits for Q1: Without Them, it Would Have Lost $918 Million and Bled $1.14 Billion in Cash
- San Francisco WOLF STREET Meetup, April 30: Last Details
- How the Inventory Pileup Boosted Q1 Blowout GDP and What Carmageddon Has to Do with It
- Unemployment in Spain Still Miserably High Despite Six Years of Economic Growth. Now it Ticked Up Again
- China Tries to Muscle in on Dollar as Dominant ‘Payments Currency,’ But It’s a Thankless Slog
- I Just Hope the Fed Won’t See This: US Economy Has Blowout First Quarter
- China, Other Emerging Asia Sink World Trade
- Tesla Reports Another Doozie
- How a Little Money Laundering Can Have a Big Impact on Real Estate Prices
- US Auto Imports from Mexico Surge 10% in Q1 to New Record, Despite Dropping Sales in the US
- Cut the Price and They Will Come: New House Prices Drop to December 2014 Level
- Stock-Market Margin Debt, after Plunging in Q4, Has Not Bounced Back Despite S&P 500 Historic Surge
- Lower Mortgage Rates No Relief for US Home Sales
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- London Home Prices Had Biggest Monthly Drop Since Lehman
- California’s Housing Bubble Counts on Blistering Population Growth, But it’s Fizzling
- Retail’s Existential Threat? Private Equity Firms
- Here Are Sears Holding’s Five “Fraudulent Transfers” and Why “Culpable Insiders” Lampert, Mnuchin, et. al Got Sued
- Threat of Contagion to Eurozone from Spanish Banks’ Huge Bet on Emerging Markets: UBS
- WOLF STREET Meetup in San Francisco Etched in Stone: April 30
- More Airlines Collapse: Jet Airways India, Alitalia, WOW Air
- House Prices in 12 of California’s Most Expensive Coastal Counties Fell in March from a Year Ago. Here are the Charts
- What J.B. Hunt Just Said About the U-Turn in Trucking
- Who Bought the Huge $1.26 Trillion of New US Government Debt over the Past 12 Months?
- China EV Manufacturing Bubble Faces Getting Bludgeoned
- Pemex, World’s Most Indebted Oil Company, Gets Government Bailout as Suppliers Gripe About Unpaid Bills
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- What’ll Happen to Home Prices in Silicon Valley & San Francisco after IPOs Shake Loose All These Startup Millionaires? Last Two Times, We Got a Housing Bust
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada Deflate
- Whole Foods’ Existential Threat?
- Uber Discloses 3-Yr $10-Billion Loss from Operations, Stalling Rideshare Revenue & 50 Pages of “Risk Factors” that Are Not for the Squeamish
- Big Old Problem Just Re-Erupted on Eurozone’s Southern Flank
- Carmageddon at Tesla-Panasonic Gigafactory in Nevada and Shanghai
- My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter” Jumps 18%, “Patient” Gets Slashed, “Moderated” Disappears
- How Big or Tiny of an Apartment Can the Median Household Income Afford to Rent in the 100 Largest US Cities?
- This is How Stocks Get Hit When BBB-Rated Companies Try to Dodge a Downgrade to “Junk”
- UK-Based Multinational Department Store Debenhams Collapses, After 200 Years of Trading
- What Would Stocks Do in “a World Without Buybacks,” Goldman Asks
- A Simon Property Group Mall Generates Largest Loss Ever for Retail CMBS
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT: Why the Wave of Mega-IPOs Won’t Bail Out the San Francisco & Silicon Valley Housing Bubbles
- Update on the Deepening Housing Bust in Vancouver, Canada
- Used-Car Market Profits from Carmageddon
- Facebook Got Caught Phishing for Friends
- UK Auto Sales Now Down 15% in Q1 from 2 Years Ago. Diesels in Death Spiral
- Fed’s QE Unwind Reaches $535 Billion, Balance Sheet Drops to $3.94 Trillion, Old Autopilot Still Engaged
- Currency-Trading Algos “Flummoxed” by Rapid-Fire Brexit Headlines
- Next Phase in Trucking Boom-Bust Cycle Has Started
- Market is Delusional: This is Not a Rate-Cut Economy
- Q1 Carmageddon for GM, Fiat-Chrysler, Toyota, Nissan, Mercedes, Mazda…
- Update on the Spreading Housing Bust in Australia, and Why it’s Happening
- US Still Cleanest Dirty Shirt Among Manufacturing Giants, Germany Drops to Debt Crisis Levels, Japan Contracts, China Counts on Government Bailout of Private Sector
- US Dollar Status as Global Reserve Currency Edges Down Further
March 2019
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- What the Heck’s Going on in China’s Video-Game Market, the Largest in the World?
- Lyft Shares Plunge 10% in 4 Hours from “Pop” to Close
- Consumers Revert to “Normal” Range, after Red-Hot mid-2018
- Apartment Rental Market: Houston Rents Plunge Most; Southern California Lose Grip. New York, Washington DC, Chicago Down. “Mid-Tier” Cities Red-Hot
- And the Less-Splendid Housing Bubbles & Crushed Markets in America?
- Deutsche Bank Seeking a “Guarantee of Existence” with Monster-Merger?
- Yield-Curve Spaghetti: Weird Sag in the Middle May Dish up Surprises
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America Deflate Further
- How Can a Company with $1.8 Billion in Revenue Lose $1.9 Billion? WeWork Shows How
- What’s So Hilarious When a Millennial WSJ-Reporter Says What an App Does is New & Life-Changing Though We’ve Been Doing It for 3 Decades
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- The Countries with the Most Monstrous Corporate Debt Pileups. US Wimps out in 25th Place!
- Bay Area WOLF STREET Readers: Meetup in San Francisco?
- Worsening Inventory Pileup Rattles Goods-Based Economy
- Finance & Insurance Hit it Out of the Ballpark, No Slowdown in the Huge Services Sector
- Billions in Toronto Real Estate Bought Anonymously, with Funds of Unknown Origin
- Fed’s New Balance Sheet Plan: Get Rid of MBS
- Risks of Financial Instability “Appear to Be Elevated But Contained”: Australia’s Central Bank on Housing Bust
- What FedEx Just Said About Europe and China
- Views of “Current Economic Conditions” in Germany Drop to Euro Debt-Crisis Level
- US Freight Volume Drops
- That Didn’t Last Long: Cboe Bails on Bitcoin Futures Trading
- Just Get Brexit Over With? Businesses Fear Prolonging the Uncertainty
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Steinhoff Committed $7.4 Billion in Fraud (at least). Here’s How
- Tesla’s Mess at the Top: Moody’s Gets Nervous
- Outsourcing Giant Interserve with 65,000 Employees Collapses
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada Deflate
- Transition to Cashless Society Could Lead to Financial Exclusion and System Vulnerability, Study Warns
- E-Commerce is Wiping Out Mall Retailers One by One. Here’s the Data
- Video Game Industry Stalls, Stocks Plunge. What’s Going On?
- US Banks Report $251 billion of “Unrealized Losses” on Securities Investments in 2018, the Most Since 2008: FDIC
- Toll-Road Giant Abertis Just Doubled its Debt to €22 Bn to Pay a Special Dividend to the Companies that Acquired it Last Year
- Demand for HELOCs Collapses to 15-Year Low
- Kremlin Vies with China to See Who Controls the Internet Better
- Formerly Red-Hot Retail Sales Fizzle Back to Normal
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Time’s Running Out for World’s Most Indebted Oil Company
- State of the World’s Biggest Debt Slaves: Americans Wimp Out in 11th Place
- Why I’m Not in Panic Yet About the Lousy “20,000 Jobs Created”
- Fed’s QE Unwind Reaches $501 Billion, Balance Sheet Falls Below $4 Trillion. “Autopilot” Engaged
- US Dollar Hits 52-Week High in Cleanest-Dirty-Shirt-Syndrome on New ECB Stimulus, as Old ECB Stimulus Fails to Stimulate
- Tesla Falls from Grace with Americans, Facebook Plunges to the Ignominious Level of Goldman, Wells Fargo, Sears
- Good Lordy, What a Banner Year 2018 was for China, Other Countries, and Corporate America
- Trucking Boom U-Turns
- Sharply Lower Prices Help Sell New Houses, But it’s Not Enough
- More Lousy Data Emerges after Government Shutdown: Construction Spending
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- US is Cleanest Dirty Shirt Among Manufacturing Giants. China, Japan & Germany Sink
- Automakers in the UK Are Not Amused
- The Biggest Retailers Are Too Scared to Disclose this Data. But Nordstrom Just Did
- Balance Sheet “Error” Wreaks Havoc on UK’s Fastest Growing, Most Popular Bank
- Home Prices in Sydney & Melbourne Spiral Down, Bust Spreads. IMF to Regulators: “Reinforce Financial Crisis Management”
February 2019
- GDP Rose by $1.0 Trillion in 2018, US Gov. Debt by $1.3 Trillion
- “Shadow Banks” Dominate Mortgage Lending by Piling on Risks. Federal Housing Administration (FHA) on the Hook
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America Get Pricked
- All Heck Breaks Loose After Spanish Banks Block Thousands of Accounts with Chinese Names & Folks Can’t Get to Their Money
- Oops, Imports by China, Emerging Asia Plunge Most Since 2008
- Inventory Pileup Sounds Alarm for Goods-Based Economy
- Consequences of “Leaving Interest Rates Very Low for a Long Time”: Bank of Canada Governor Poloz
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- “New Economic or Financial Crisis” in the Eurozone Could Start in Italy: French Government Frets
- Carmageddon for Ford in the US, China, and Europe
- Disorderly Brexit Increasingly Likely, EU Blinks on Derivatives-Clearing in London
- The US Housing Market Begins to Feel the Pain
- What the Fed Actually Said About Ending the QE Unwind
- My Fancy-Schmancy “Fed Hawk-o-Meter” Ticks Down, Still Red-Lines. In Passing, Fed Plants Seed for Removing “Patient”
- Forced End of “Ponzi-Like Leverage” & “Fraudulent Lending” Turns Australia’s House Price Bubble into “Property Bloodbath”
- What Trucking & Freight Just Said About the Goods-Based Economy in the US
- London Housing Meltdown Spreads as Pre-Brexit Angst Batters Market Sentiment
- Why WOLF STREET is Still Free and Not Behind a Paywall Though You Have to Put Up with Ads and I Make (Maybe) Less Money
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Next in the Bankruptcy & Restructuring Saga of European and Asian Airlines
- I Was Asked About J.P. Morgan’s Blockchain-Based “JPM Coin.” I Ruthlessly Expand it to Other Payment Systems
- This Retailer Bankruptcy Will Lead to the Largest Liquidation by Store Count in the US. Liquidation Sales to Start Next Week
- Just How Huge Are Mexico’s Auto Exports to the US? How Fast Have they Grown?
- Worried about Costs & Slowdown? Amazon Scuttles HQ2 Altogether, Plunges NY City Real Estate Industry “Into Despair”
- Why I’m Not in Panic Just Yet over the “Dreadful” Retail Sales that “Fell Most Since 2009,” But Nervously Look at the Trend
- Reverse Sticker Shock? No Inflation for New Vehicles for 22 Years, Says Consumer Price Index, as Taurus Prices Soared 55%
- Mortgage Applications Drop Despite Lower Mortgage Rates: Industry is Baffled
- Subprime Arrives: Auto-Loan Delinquencies Spike to Great Recession Levels
- Bond Funds Are “Potential Source of Financial Instability,” after Years of Global QE and Low Interest Rates: Fitch
- Liquidity in New York City’s Housing Market Dries Up
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Carmageddon for Tesla Model 3: US Deliveries Plunge 55% to 60% from Q4, Laid-off Delivery Employees tell Reuters
- The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q4 2018
- Spanish Grocery Giant Unveils Big Losses, Teeters on Brink of Bankruptcy, after Allegations of Accounting Fraud
- Fed’s QE Unwind Reaches $434 Billion, Remains on “Autopilot”
- German Industrial Production Falls the Most Since 2009. New Orders Plummet
- Phenomenal Trucking Boom Ends, Trucking Bust Starts
- Mexico’s Cash Cow: Remittances from the US & Other Countries Surge to New Record
- Oops: Low Interest Rates a “Factor” in Slowdown of Economic & Productivity Growth: NBER
- New Trucks are Hot, Prices Surge. But Cars Face Carmageddon. And Total Sales Fall
- QE Party Goes Dry, Bank of Japan Tries to Confuse the Markets
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Italy Guns For Glass-Steagall-Type Law to Break Up Banks, Cut Bailout Costs for Taxpayers
- What the CEO of America’s Largest Mall REIT, Simon Property Group, Just Said about the Brick & Mortar Meltdown and How it’s Trying to Manage It
- I’m in Awe of How Fast the Housing Markets in Sydney & Melbourne Are Coming Unglued
- Who Bought the Gigantic $1.5 Trillion of New US Government Debt Issued over the Past 12 Months?
January 2019
- New House Prices Drop 12% as Supply Surges
- Home Sales to Get Even Uglier in Near Future
- Fed’s QE Unwind to Continue on Autopilot, Rate Hikes on Hold for “Common-Sense Risk Management”: Powell
- Lloyds Bank Resurrects 0%-Down Adjustable-Rate Mortgages for First-Time Buyers to Prop Up UK’s Housing Market
- The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America Shrink
- Is China’s Debt Crackdown Hitting California’s Commercial Real Estate Bubble?
- Preparing for a Coming Winter Storm? WeWork Pivots to Minimize Risk for Itself
- The Chilling Thing Nvidia Just Said about China & Tech
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Low-Cost Airlines Are Crashing into Bankruptcy One After the Other as Financial Conditions Tighten in Europe
- “Worst December in 10 Years”: Brick-and-Mortar Retail in the UK Faces Overindebted Consumers
- We’re Flying with Eyes Partially Closed into Turbulent Markets & Economy
- Big Exporters are Losing It: US Manufacturing Gains. Germany, Japan, China not so Lucky
- Uber, Cabify “Evicted” from Barcelona as Turf War with Taxi Drivers Gets Ugly
- What an Investment Fund, Forced to Take a Big Loss, Said about the Housing Bust in Prime Central London
- Record Defaults by Chinese Companies: Fake “Cash” & Fake Accounting
- Prepping for Bankruptcy, PG&E Secures $5.5 Billion in “Debtor-in-Possession” Financing. What is “DIP” Financing?
- US Home Sales Get Uglier
- As Investors Flee Australia’s Housing Bust, Sales of New Houses Plunge to Record Low
- Huge Backlog Could Trigger New Wave Of Shale Oil
- Canada’s Majestic Housing Bubble Deflates, Media Hype U-Turns
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Brexit’s Ironic Twists Hit Spain’s Biggest Industry
- Bottom Suddenly Falls Out of Demand in China in Many Sectors
- Stock-Market Margin Debt Plummets Most Since Q4 2008
- Another Retail Chain Bought & Stripped Bare by Sun Capital Goes Bankrupt
- Boom Fizzles: Shipments Fall for 1st Time Since Transportation Recession
- 4 Months of Carmageddon in the EU Wipe Out Gains for 2018
- Yield Curve Spaghetti
- Turkey’s Debt Crisis Deepens, Erdogan Bails out Banks His Way
- What Truck Drivers Say about “Driver Shortage” & Pay Increases
- China’s Consumers Rattle Global Automakers as Sales Plunge
- Bankruptcy Next, PG&E Says. Shares Down 90% in 15 Months. From “Investment Grade” to “Default” in Three Weeks?
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- The Brick & Mortar Meltdown at Movie Theaters. But a Few Movies Still Make it Big
- Automakers Prepare for “No-Deal” Brexit
- Oops, SpaceX to Lay Off 10% of its Employees after Funding Fiasco in November
- Fed’s Powell: Balance Sheet to be “Substantially Smaller.” How Small? He Gave Big Clues. My Dive into the Dynamics & Charts
- At Taxpayers’ Expense, Fed Paid Banks $38.5 Billion in Interest on “Reserves” in 2018. Here’s How
- Italy’s New Government Eats Its Words, Joins Bank Bailout Club
- Rally in Stocks Takes Heat Off Fed, Now They Talk Rate Hikes Again, Market Expectation of a Rate Hike Spikes
- My “Fed Hawk-O-Meter” Speaks
- Housing Bubble Trouble in the Seattle-Bellevue Metro
- Brexit Moment in 80 Days, No One Knows What’ll Happen, London’s Finance Industry on Tenterhooks
- Germany Heads for a Technical Recession
- Housing Bubble Trouble in Silicon Valley & San Francisco
- Carmageddon in the UK: Auto Sales Plunge 12% in 2 Years, Diesels in Death Spiral. Consumers, Businesses, Fleets Cut Back
- THE WOLF STREET REPORT
- Trucking Boom Ends, Next Phase in Cycle Starts
- Fed’s Balance Sheet Reduction Reaches $402 Billion
- Carmageddon for GM, Ford & Toyota: 3rd Down-Year in a Row. Industry Sales Below 2015. Hyundai-Kia Drop 11% in 2 Years. BMW & Mercedes-Benz Fizzle
- Markets Are in a Tizzy. So What Will the Fed Do?
- iPhone Sales Croak, China’s Economy Deteriorating Faster than Expected, Apple Warns. Shares Plunge
- The Housing Bust in Sydney & Melbourne, Oh My!
- Long-Term “Buy & Hold” Crushed Stockholders in Largest Markets Except US & India. But for the US, Luck’s Running Out
- Mexico Kicks Off War on its Vast Black Market for Oil